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Union Berlin v Borussia M.Gladbach — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 15 February 2025 · GER-Bundesliga · 2425

Bundesliga xG

Shots
17 – 9
On target
3 – 5
Shots in box
14 – 6
xG per shot
0.10 – 0.25
Set-piece xG
1.10 – 0.07
Goals − xG
-0.67 – -0.22
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.21.92.50'15'30'45'60'75'90'Lukas Ullrich 9' — goalTim Kleindienst 25' — goalAndrej Ilic 62' — goal
Union Berlin 1.67 xGBorussia M.Gladbach 2.22 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Andrej Ilic 1' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Robert Skov 3' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Lukas Ullrich 9' — Goal (0.36 xG, Open Play)Andrej Ilic 20' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Set Piece)Danilho Doekhi 22' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 25' — Goal (0.83 xG, Open Play)Nico Elvedi 37' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Robin Hack 38' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 41' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 46' — Saved Shot (0.47 xG, Open Play)Robin Hack 46' — Shot On Post (0.06 xG, Open Play)Andrej Ilic 50' — Missed Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Danilho Doekhi 50' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, From Corner)Danilho Doekhi 51' — Blocked Shot (0.12 xG, From Corner)Woo-Yeong Jeong 51' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, From Corner)Benedict Hollerbach 54' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Janik Haberer 54' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Andrej Ilic 62' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Tom Rothe 66' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Joe Scally 68' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)László Bénes 69' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Tim Kleindienst 79' — Saved Shot (0.31 xG, Open Play)László Bénes 79' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Benedict Hollerbach 85' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Ivan Prtajin 90' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Danilho Doekhi 94' — Saved Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)
Union Berlin attacking right Borussia M.Gladbach attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Union Berlin Andrej Ilic 0.06 Open Play Saved Shot Janik Haberer
3' Union Berlin Robert Skov 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot Tim Skarke
9' Borussia M.Gladbach Lukas Ullrich 0.36 Open Play Left Foot Goal Robin Hack
20' Union Berlin Andrej Ilic 0.03 Set Piece Missed Shot Josip Juranovic
22' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.04 Open Play Missed Shot Josip Juranovic
25' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.83 Open Play Left Foot Goal Nathan N'Goumou Minpol
37' Borussia M.Gladbach Nico Elvedi 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot Robin Hack
38' Borussia M.Gladbach Robin Hack 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
41' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.02 From Corner Saved Shot
46' Borussia M.Gladbach Nathan N'Goumou Minpol 0.47 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Kevin Stöger
46' Borussia M.Gladbach Robin Hack 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Shot On Post Philipp Sander
50' Union Berlin Andrej Ilic 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Benedict Hollerbach
50' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.08 From Corner Missed Shot Josip Juranovic
51' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.12 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Diogo Leite
51' Union Berlin Woo-Yeong Jeong 0.06 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot
54' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Woo-Yeong Jeong
54' Union Berlin Janik Haberer 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
62' Union Berlin Andrej Ilic 0.76 Right Foot Goal
66' Union Berlin Tom Rothe 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Rani Khedira
68' Borussia M.Gladbach Joe Scally 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Robin Hack
69' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Benedict Hollerbach
79' Borussia M.Gladbach Tim Kleindienst 0.31 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Stefan Lainer
79' Union Berlin László Bénes 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Rani Khedira
85' Union Berlin Benedict Hollerbach 0.05 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot László Bénes
90' Union Berlin Ivan Prtajin 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
94' Union Berlin Danilho Doekhi 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Josip Juranovic

Players

Borussia M.Gladbach

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Tim Kleindienst FW 90 1 0 3 0 1.16 0.00 1.50
Lukas Ullrich DL 90 1 0 1 0 0.36 0.00 0.42
Nico Elvedi DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 1.20
Philipp Sander DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 1.31
Julian Weigl DMC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.31
Ko Itakura DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 1.20
Robin Hack AML 88 0 1 2 3 0.12 0.47 0.54
Kevin Stöger AMC 88 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.47 1.72
Nathan N'Goumou Minpol AMR 80 0 1 1 1 0.47 0.83 1.36
Joe Scally DR 80 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 1.72
Jonas Omlin Sub 71 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Moritz Nicolas GK 19 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Stefan Lainer Sub 10 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.31 0.31
Marvin Friedrich Sub 10 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Tomás Cvancara Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florian Neuhaus Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Union Berlin

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Danilho Doekhi DC 90 0 0 4 0 0.33 0.00 0.24
Benedict Hollerbach AML 90 0 0 2 2 0.14 0.13 0.31
Woo-Yeong Jeong AMC 90 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.09 0.12
Diogo Leite DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.12 0.17
Frederik Rönnow GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Rani Khedira DMC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.08 0.29
Josip Juranovic DR 90 0 0 0 4 0.00 0.25 0.26
Andrej Ilic FW 70 1 0 4 0 0.94 0.00 0.15
Janik Haberer DMC 70 0 0 1 1 0.07 0.06 0.26
Tom Rothe Sub 61 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.00
Tim Skarke AMR 52 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.01 0.05
Leopold Querfeld Sub 38 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Robert Skov DL 29 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.01
László Bénes Sub 20 0 0 2 1 0.06 0.05 0.11
Ivan Prtajin Sub 20 0 0 1 0 0.01 0.00 0.05
Marin Ljubicic Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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