Unión La Calera v Universidad Católica — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · CHI-Primera Division · 2627

CHI-Primera Division results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Unión La Calera

14:00

Universidad Católica

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,196h before kick-off

Unión La Calera win

26.5%

model 26.1%

Draw

22.1%

model 20.4%

Universidad Católica win

51.4%

model 53.4%

262251

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,060 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

0-1 12.8%
1-2 9.6%
1-1 9.6%
0-2 9.1%
1-0 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	51.3%	Under 2.5	48.7%
BTTS yes	51.1%	BTTS no	48.9%
Unión La Calera 1+	65.4%	Unión La Calera 2+	28.7%
Universidad Católica 1+	81.1%	Universidad Católica 2+	49.6%

Expected goals 1.06 – 1.67. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

75/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

93%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Universidad Católica carry the stronger rating, 1635 Elo against 1335.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universidad Católica have an estimated 51.4% win probability, against 26.5% for Unión La Calera and 22.1% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.06 for Unión La Calera and 1.67 for Universidad Católica.

Why Unión La Calera

Nothing in the data singles out Unión La Calera.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 22.1%. Draws run at 21% in this competition.

Why Universidad Católica can win

Universidad Católica carry the stronger rating, 1635 Elo against 1335.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Unión La Calera, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Universidad Católica, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Unión La Calera: 47% possession, 11.2 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Universidad Católica: 47% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Universidad Católica are the model's most likely outcome at 51.4%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-1 at 12.8%. Confidence 75/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	211960	0.95–1.85	0-1 13%	53%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win	60.4%	58.1%	30.1%	1.93×	1.72
Unión La Calera to win	20.7%	24.4%	48.9%	0.50×	4.09
Draw	18.9%	19.3%	21.3%	0.91×	5.17

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica & not both score	34.5%	29.7%	16.9%	1.76×	3.36
Universidad Católica & both teams score	25.9%	25.2%	13.4%	1.87×	3.97
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	16.6%	0.80×	7.54
Unión La Calera & not both score	11.4%	13.3%	26.7%	0.50×	7.55
Unión La Calera & both teams score	9.3%	8.4%	22.5%	0.37×	11.92
Draw & not both score	4.3%	4.9%	4.9%	0.99×	20.56

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica & over 1.5	47.3%	45.2%	20.0%	2.25×	2.21
Universidad Católica & under 3.5	39.8%	34.9%	23.5%	1.49×	2.87
Universidad Católica & over 2.5	36.9%	34.9%	16.6%	2.10×	2.87
Universidad Católica & under 2.5	23.5%	21.7%	13.7%	1.58×	4.62
Universidad Católica & over 3.5	20.6%	21.7%	6.8%	3.16×	4.62
Unión La Calera & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	34.0%	0.53×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.9%	16.6%	0.77×	7.77
Unión La Calera & over 1.5	13.2%	12.9%	35.9%	0.36×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	13.2%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.2%	12.9%	13.9%	0.92×	7.77
Universidad Católica & under 1.5	13.1%	12.9%	10.3%	1.25×	7.77
Unión La Calera & over 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	29.1%	0.44×	7.77
Unión La Calera & under 2.5	10.3%	12.9%	20.0%	0.64×	7.77
Unión La Calera & under 1.5	7.6%	7.9%	13.2%	0.60×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	7.6%	1.04×	12.70
Unión La Calera & over 3.5	4.5%	4.8%	15.2%	0.32×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	4.3%	4.8%	4.9%	0.98×	20.93

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (1UP)	72.0%	75.8%	—	—	1.32
Unión La Calera (1UP)	37.3%	34.4%	—	—	2.91

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (2UP)	60.4%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Unión La Calera (2UP)	20.7%	23.5%	—	—	4.25

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win 2nd half	50.2%	51.8%	—	—	1.93
2nd half drawn	31.3%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Unión La Calera to win 2nd half	18.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.24

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (+2.5)	98.3%	96.3%	89.7%	1.07×	1.04
Universidad Católica (+1.5)	93.6%	92.1%	77.0%	1.20×	1.09
Universidad Católica (+0.5)	79.3%	78.5%	51.1%	1.54×	1.28
Universidad Católica (-0.5)	60.4%	62.9%	30.1%	2.09×	1.59
Unión La Calera (+0.5)	39.6%	37.1%	69.9%	0.53×	2.70
Unión La Calera (-0.5)	20.7%	21.6%	48.9%	0.44×	4.64
Unión La Calera (-1.5)	6.4%	7.9%	23.0%	0.34×	12.64
Unión La Calera (-2.5)	1.7%	3.7%	10.3%	0.36×	26.97

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to concede	61.2%	67.2%	78.5%	0.86×	1.49
Universidad Católica clean sheet	38.8%	32.8%	21.5%	1.53×	3.05

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica clean sheet in 1st half	66.5%	69.2%	—	—	1.44
Universidad Católica to concede in 1st half	33.5%	30.8%	—	—	3.25

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica over 2.5 corners	81.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Universidad Católica under 6.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Universidad Católica over 3.5 corners	67.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Universidad Católica under 5.5 corners	62.5%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Universidad Católica over 4.5 corners	51.7%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Universidad Católica under 4.5 corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Universidad Católica over 5.5 corners	37.5%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Universidad Católica under 3.5 corners	33.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Universidad Católica over 6.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Universidad Católica under 2.5 corners	18.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 3.5 goals	88.3%	87.9%	97.1%	0.91×	1.14
Universidad Católica over 0.5 goals	84.3%	81.4%	68.7%	1.19×	1.23
Universidad Católica under 2.5 goals	71.7%	71.9%	88.3%	0.82×	1.39
Universidad Católica over 1.5 goals	55.2%	59.5%	31.5%	1.89×	1.68
Universidad Católica under 1.5 goals	44.8%	40.5%	68.5%	0.59×	2.47
Universidad Católica over 2.5 goals	28.3%	28.1%	11.7%	2.39×	3.56
Universidad Católica under 0.5 goals	15.7%	18.6%	31.3%	0.59×	5.38
Universidad Católica over 3.5 goals	11.7%	12.1%	2.9%	4.13×	8.26

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica under 1.5 in 1st half	83.0%	83.1%	—	—	1.20
Universidad Católica over 0.5 in 1st half	52.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Universidad Católica under 0.5 in 1st half	47.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28
Universidad Católica over 1.5 in 1st half	17.0%	16.9%	—	—	5.92

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (away no bet)	52.4%	51.2%	69.7%	0.74×	1.95
Draw (away no bet)	47.6%	48.8%	30.3%	1.61×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica even goals	51.2%	52.8%	53.5%	0.99×	1.89
Universidad Católica odd goals	48.8%	47.2%	46.5%	1.02×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.3%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.7%	17.0%	—	—	5.89

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.4%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.6%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.1%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Universidad Católica to score 2+ in a row	47.8%	45.9%	—	—	2.18
Either team to score 3+ in a row	24.0%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Universidad Católica to score 3+ in a row	20.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
Unión La Calera to score 2+ in a row	16.8%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
Unión La Calera to score 3+ in a row	3.5%	2.6%	—	—	38.43

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera corners (+3.5)	84.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Universidad Católica corners (+3.5)	78.4%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Unión La Calera corners (+2.5)	78.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Universidad Católica corners (+2.5)	70.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Unión La Calera corners (+1.5)	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Universidad Católica corners (+1.5)	60.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Unión La Calera corners (-1.5)	39.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Universidad Católica corners (-1.5)	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Unión La Calera corners (-2.5)	29.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Universidad Católica corners (-2.5)	21.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Unión La Calera corners (-3.5)	21.6%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Universidad Católica corners (-3.5)	15.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	36.1%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	34.2%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.4%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	72.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	63.9%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	55.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	54.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	45.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	44.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	36.1%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	24.6%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-1	13.1%	11.5%	10.3%	1.12×	8.73
0-2	10.4%	11.5%	3.7%	3.12×	8.73
1-1	8.9%	7.4%	9.3%	0.80×	13.48
1-2	9.9%	7.4%	7.3%	1.01×	13.48
1-0	7.6%	7.4%	13.2%	0.56×	13.48
0-3	6.4%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.48
1-3	6.1%	7.4%	2.2%	3.37×	13.48
2-1	5.1%	7.4%	10.8%	0.69×	13.48
2-2	4.7%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.46
0-0	4.3%	1.7%	4.9%	0.35×	58.47
0-4	3.0%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.47
1-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.7%	2.33×	58.47
2-0	2.7%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.47
2-3	2.9%	1.7%	2.2%	0.78×	58.47
2-4	1.3%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.48
3-0	0.9%	1.7%	3.7%	0.47×	58.48
3-1	1.6%	1.7%	4.6%	0.37×	58.48
3-2	1.5%	1.7%	2.0%	0.87×	58.48
3-3	0.9%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-0	0.2%	1.7%	2.4%	0.70×	58.49
4-1	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-2	0.4%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.0%	1.75×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	6.99×	58.49
Any other score	4.3%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.46

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica leading at HT (DNB)	68.2%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Unión La Calera leading at HT (DNB)	31.8%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera or Universidad Católica (12)	81.1%	80.7%	78.7%	1.02×	1.24
Universidad Católica or draw (X2)	79.3%	75.6%	51.1%	1.48×	1.32
Unión La Calera or draw (1X)	39.6%	41.9%	69.9%	0.60×	2.39

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw at HT	81.4%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Unión La Calera or draw at HT	60.0%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Unión La Calera or Universidad Católica at HT	58.6%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw (1UP)	79.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Unión La Calera or draw (1UP)	39.6%	42.7%	—	—	2.34

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica or draw in 2nd half	81.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Unión La Calera or Universidad Católica in 2nd half	68.7%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Unión La Calera or draw in 2nd half	49.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	61.8%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	38.2%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (DNB)	74.4%	71.5%	38.1%	1.88×	1.40
Unión La Calera (DNB)	25.6%	28.5%	61.9%	0.46×	3.51

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score first	63.3%	64.6%	—	—	1.55
Unión La Calera to score first	32.4%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.23

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	50.2%	51.4%	47.9%	1.07×	1.95
Both teams to score	49.8%	48.6%	52.1%	0.93×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	41.0%	41.6%	43.0%	0.97×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	38.1%	38.5%	38.1%	1.01×	2.60
Not both score & over 2.5	12.1%	12.3%	10.0%	1.23×	8.11
Both score & under 2.5	8.9%	8.4%	9.3%	0.90×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.5%	85.6%	84.6%	1.01×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.5%	14.4%	15.4%	0.93×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	72.6%	74.1%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	27.4%	25.9%	—	—	3.86

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	60.3%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.5%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	12.3%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.9%	5.1%	—	—	19.70

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	82.8%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	17.2%	17.6%	—	—	5.68

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.3%	53.5%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.7%	46.5%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	44.3%	42.1%	43.3%	0.97×	2.37
4-6 goals	28.4%	26.5%	26.9%	0.98×	3.78
0-1 goals	24.9%	22.8%	27.9%	0.82×	4.38
7+ goals	2.4%	1.8%	2.4%	0.75×	54.55

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score exactly 1	29.1%	27.4%	37.4%	0.73×	3.65
Universidad Católica to score 3+	28.3%	27.4%	11.7%	2.34×	3.65
Universidad Católica to score exactly 2	26.9%	27.4%	20.0%	1.37×	3.65
Universidad Católica to score exactly 0	15.7%	19.6%	31.3%	0.62×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to score exactly 0	38.8%	35.6%	21.5%	1.65×	2.81
Unión La Calera to score exactly 1	36.7%	35.6%	31.8%	1.12×	2.81
Unión La Calera to score exactly 2	17.4%	18.9%	26.4%	0.72×	5.29
Unión La Calera to score 3+	7.1%	10.3%	20.8%	0.49×	9.73

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.4%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Universidad Católica leading at HT	40.0%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Unión La Calera leading at HT	18.6%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica -1: 1	39.6%	37.3%	—	—	2.68
Universidad Católica -1: 2	34.1%	30.1%	—	—	3.32
Universidad Católica -1: X	26.3%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:1)	79.3%	73.9%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
Draw (0:1)	14.3%	13.9%	26.2%	0.53×	7.21
Unión La Calera (0:1)	6.4%	9.2%	23.0%	0.40×	10.90

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:2)	93.6%	90.9%	77.0%	1.18×	1.10
Draw (0:2)	4.7%	3.8%	13.0%	0.29×	26.48
Unión La Calera (0:2)	1.7%	3.8%	10.3%	0.37×	26.66

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:3)	98.3%	96.6%	89.7%	1.08×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	1.3%	2.4%	5.1%	0.46×	42.21
Unión La Calera (0:3)	0.3%	2.4%	5.4%	0.44×	42.25

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (0:4)	99.7%	98.1%	94.6%	1.04×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.3%	1.2%	4.2%	0.29×	83.65
Unión La Calera (0:4)	0.1%	1.2%	1.5%	0.81×	83.68

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (1:0)	39.6%	37.5%	69.9%	0.54×	2.66
Universidad Católica (1:0)	34.1%	30.5%	10.3%	2.97×	3.28
Draw (1:0)	26.3%	25.1%	20.0%	1.25×	3.99

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera (2:0)	65.9%	70.3%	89.7%	0.78×	1.42
Draw (2:0)	18.0%	15.7%	6.4%	2.47×	6.37
Universidad Católica (2:0)	16.0%	15.6%	4.2%	3.76×	6.39

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.6%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede	84.3%	80.9%	68.7%	1.18×	1.24
Unión La Calera clean sheet	15.7%	19.1%	31.3%	0.61×	5.23

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera to concede in 1st half	52.3%	56.2%	—	—	1.78
Unión La Calera clean sheet in 1st half	47.7%	43.8%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera over 2.5 corners	85.1%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Unión La Calera over 3.5 corners	72.6%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Unión La Calera under 6.5 corners	68.0%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Unión La Calera over 4.5 corners	58.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Unión La Calera under 5.5 corners	55.6%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Unión La Calera over 5.5 corners	44.4%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Unión La Calera under 4.5 corners	41.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Unión La Calera over 6.5 corners	32.0%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Unión La Calera under 3.5 corners	27.4%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Unión La Calera under 2.5 corners	14.9%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 3.5 goals	98.4%	96.4%	91.0%	1.06×	1.04
Unión La Calera under 2.5 goals	92.9%	92.3%	79.2%	1.16×	1.08
Unión La Calera under 1.5 goals	75.5%	77.7%	53.1%	1.47×	1.29
Unión La Calera over 0.5 goals	61.2%	63.5%	78.5%	0.81×	1.58
Unión La Calera under 0.5 goals	38.8%	36.5%	21.5%	1.70×	2.74
Unión La Calera over 1.5 goals	24.5%	22.3%	46.9%	0.47×	4.49
Unión La Calera over 2.5 goals	7.1%	7.7%	20.8%	0.37×	12.91
Unión La Calera over 3.5 goals	1.6%	3.6%	9.0%	0.40×	27.54

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	95.5%	—	—	1.05
Unión La Calera under 0.5 in 1st half	66.5%	67.9%	—	—	1.47
Unión La Calera over 0.5 in 1st half	33.5%	32.1%	—	—	3.12
Unión La Calera over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	4.5%	—	—	22.14

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica (home no bet)	76.2%	78.6%	58.6%	1.34×	1.27
Draw (home no bet)	23.8%	21.4%	41.4%	0.52×	4.68

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera even goals	57.5%	55.5%	54.5%	1.02×	1.80
Unión La Calera odd goals	42.5%	44.5%	45.5%	0.98×	2.25

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.4%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 0-1	23.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 1-0	13.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	9.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 0-2	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
Any other HT score	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 1-2	3.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-0	2.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.42
HT 2-1	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.47
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	35.1%	40.7%	—	—	2.46
Draw at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	21.9%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Unión La Calera at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	11.0%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	10.9%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
Draw at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	8.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.63
Unión La Calera at HT / Draw at FT	4.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Universidad Católica at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Unión La Calera at HT / Universidad Católica at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Universidad Católica at HT / Unión La Calera at FT	1.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.92

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to score last	63.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
Unión La Calera to score last	32.7%	32.9%	—	—	3.04
No goal scored	4.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.23

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	95.7%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Universidad Católica to lead by 1 at any time	72.0%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.8%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
Universidad Católica to lead by 2 at any time	40.4%	39.2%	—	—	2.55
Unión La Calera to lead by 1 at any time	37.3%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	21.1%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Universidad Católica to lead by 3 at any time	18.6%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
Unión La Calera to lead by 2 at any time	10.6%	10.4%	—	—	9.58
Unión La Calera to lead by 3 at any time	2.5%	1.6%	—	—	61.82

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera most corners	49.6%	47.0%	—	—	2.13
Universidad Católica most corners	40.0%	39.4%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	10.4%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	89.2%	87.4%	87.3%	1.00×	1.14
1-4 goals	80.5%	83.5%	81.2%	1.03×	1.20
2-6 goals	72.7%	72.4%	69.9%	1.04×	1.38
2-5 goals	68.6%	69.0%	64.3%	1.07×	1.45
1-3 goals	64.9%	63.4%	66.3%	0.96×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.9%	59.2%	58.2%	1.02×	1.69
3-6 goals	50.6%	53.2%	50.6%	1.05×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.6%	48.7%	45.0%	1.08×	2.06
2-3 goals	44.3%	43.6%	43.3%	1.01×	2.30
1-2 goals	42.7%	43.6%	42.5%	1.02×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.8%	39.2%	38.9%	1.01×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.4%	30.3%	26.9%	1.12×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.3%	24.5%	21.3%	1.15×	4.08
5-6 goals	12.8%	14.9%	12.0%	1.24×	6.72
7+ goals	2.4%	2.6%	2.4%	1.04×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica never behind	58.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Unión La Calera never behind	23.7%	24.5%	—	—	4.09

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	46.6%	50.8%	45.0%	1.13×	1.97
Odd number of goals	53.4%	49.2%	55.0%	0.89×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.4%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.6%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.6%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.4%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	95.7%	95.5%	95.1%	1.00×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	93.5%	92.3%	91.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.8%	82.4%	85.8%	0.96×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	75.1%	77.3%	72.1%	1.07×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	69.2%	66.2%	70.9%	0.93×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.0%	52.5%	52.8%	0.99×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	47.0%	47.5%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	30.8%	33.8%	29.1%	1.16×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	24.9%	22.7%	27.9%	0.81×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.2%	17.6%	14.2%	1.24×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.5%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	4.3%	4.5%	4.9%	0.92×	22.19

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.5%	97.2%	97.4%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.9%	92.5%	91.4%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.0%	81.1%	83.3%	0.97×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.0%	67.4%	65.5%	1.03×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	60.4%	62.1%	61.9%	1.00×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	39.6%	37.9%	38.1%	1.00×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	32.0%	32.6%	34.5%	0.94×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.0%	18.9%	16.7%	1.14×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.1%	7.5%	8.6%	0.88×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.5%	2.8%	2.6%	1.07×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	89.0%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	68.4%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	31.6%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.0%	11.0%	—	—	9.12

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.4%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	23.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to score in both halves	86.0%	85.7%	—	—	1.17
Universidad Católica not to score in both halves	64.9%	63.6%	—	—	1.57
Universidad Católica to score in both halves	35.1%	36.4%	—	—	2.75
Unión La Calera to score in both halves	14.0%	14.3%	—	—	6.99

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	49.8%	50.5%	52.1%	0.97×	1.98
Only Universidad Católica scores	34.5%	33.4%	16.9%	1.98×	3.00
Only Unión La Calera scores	11.4%	10.9%	26.7%	0.41×	9.15
Neither team scores	4.3%	4.6%	4.9%	0.94×	21.81

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	22.0%	22.6%	19.6%	1.16×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	24.0%	0.94×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	20.6%	22.6%	23.2%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	15.6%	17.4%	15.2%	1.15×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.7%	7.6%	6.4%	1.20×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.5%	7.6%	8.1%	0.95×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	4.3%	4.4%	4.9%	0.90×	22.65

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	18.6%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win both halves	96.7%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Universidad Católica not to win both halves	80.3%	84.1%	—	—	1.19
Universidad Católica to win both halves	19.7%	15.9%	—	—	6.27
Unión La Calera to win both halves	3.3%	2.8%	—	—	35.87

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica to win either half	70.5%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Unión La Calera to win neither half	66.2%	67.8%	—	—	1.48
Unión La Calera to win either half	33.8%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
Universidad Católica to win neither half	29.5%	27.2%	—	—	3.68

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Unión La Calera not to win to nil	88.6%	88.2%	73.4%	1.20×	1.13
Universidad Católica not to win to nil	65.5%	69.6%	83.1%	0.84×	1.44
Universidad Católica to win to nil	34.5%	30.4%	16.9%	1.80×	3.29
Unión La Calera to win to nil	11.4%	11.8%	26.7%	0.44×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universidad Católica by 1	26.3%	27.8%	20.0%	1.39×	3.59
Draw	18.9%	16.9%	21.3%	0.80×	5.91
Universidad Católica by 2	18.0%	16.9%	6.4%	2.66×	5.91
Universidad Católica by 3+	16.0%	16.9%	4.2%	4.07×	5.91
Unión La Calera by 1	14.3%	11.8%	26.2%	0.45×	8.47
Unión La Calera by 2	4.7%	2.7%	13.0%	0.21×	36.93
Unión La Calera by 3+	1.7%	2.7%	10.3%	0.26×	37.03