Union St.-Gilloise v Cercle Brugge KSV — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 25 October 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627

BEL-Pro League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Union St.-Gilloise

14:15

Cercle Brugge KSV

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,196h before kick-off

Union St.-Gilloise win

67.7%

model 69.5%

Draw

19.1%

model 18.8%

Cercle Brugge KSV win

13.2%

model 11.7%

681913

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (999 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 12.0%
1-0 10.4%
2-1 9.6%
1-1 8.9%
3-0 8.9%

Goals

Over 2.5	58.4%	Under 2.5	41.6%
BTTS yes	49.5%	BTTS no	50.5%
Union St.-Gilloise 1+	89.2%	Union St.-Gilloise 2+	65.3%
Cercle Brugge KSV 1+	55.2%	Cercle Brugge KSV 2+	19.2%

Expected goals 2.23 – 0.80. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

80/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Union St.-Gilloise carry the stronger rating, 1767 Elo against 1422.
Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Union St.-Gilloise have an estimated 67.7% win probability, against 19.1% for the draw and 13.2% for Cercle Brugge KSV. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.23 for Union St.-Gilloise and 0.80 for Cercle Brugge KSV.

Why Union St.-Gilloise

Union St.-Gilloise carry the stronger rating, 1767 Elo against 1422. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why Cercle Brugge KSV can win

Nothing in the data singles out Cercle Brugge KSV.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Union St.-Gilloise, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Cercle Brugge KSV, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Union St.-Gilloise: 55% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Cercle Brugge KSV: 45% possession, 17.4 shots a match, 15.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Union St.-Gilloise's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Union St.-Gilloise are the model's most likely outcome at 67.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 12.0%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	692011	2.05–0.70	2-0 13%	52%	44%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise to win	68.5%	65.1%	42.9%	1.52×	1.54
Draw	20.1%	24.4%	26.4%	0.93×	4.09
Cercle Brugge KSV to win	11.4%	13.3%	30.9%	0.43×	7.53

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise & not both score	42.8%	40.1%	24.4%	1.65×	2.49
Union St.-Gilloise & both teams score	25.7%	25.2%	18.7%	1.35×	3.98
Draw & both teams score	13.4%	13.3%	18.8%	0.70×	7.54
Draw & not both score	6.7%	8.4%	7.7%	1.09×	11.93
Cercle Brugge KSV & not both score	6.2%	8.4%	14.5%	0.58×	11.94
Cercle Brugge KSV & both teams score	5.2%	8.4%	16.5%	0.51×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise & over 1.5	55.8%	54.9%	33.6%	1.63×	1.82
Union St.-Gilloise & under 3.5	44.7%	40.3%	29.5%	1.37×	2.48
Union St.-Gilloise & over 2.5	42.4%	40.3%	26.1%	1.55×	2.48
Union St.-Gilloise & under 2.5	26.1%	26.0%	17.0%	1.53×	3.84
Union St.-Gilloise & over 3.5	23.8%	21.7%	13.6%	1.59×	4.62
Draw & under 2.5	16.2%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.2%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	13.4%	12.9%	18.8%	0.68×	7.77
Union St.-Gilloise & under 1.5	12.7%	12.9%	9.4%	1.37×	7.77
Cercle Brugge KSV & under 3.5	9.3%	7.9%	21.9%	0.36×	12.69
Draw & under 1.5	6.7%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
Cercle Brugge KSV & over 1.5	7.2%	7.9%	24.4%	0.32×	12.70
Cercle Brugge KSV & over 2.5	5.6%	7.9%	19.8%	0.40×	12.70
Cercle Brugge KSV & under 2.5	5.7%	7.9%	11.3%	0.70×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.9%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.94
Cercle Brugge KSV & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	6.6%	0.72×	20.93
Cercle Brugge KSV & over 3.5	2.0%	4.8%	9.1%	0.52×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (1UP)	77.7%	78.9%	—	—	1.27
Cercle Brugge KSV (1UP)	26.6%	26.6%	—	—	3.76

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (2UP)	68.5%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Cercle Brugge KSV (2UP)	11.4%	13.2%	—	—	7.58

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise to win 2nd half	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
2nd half drawn	32.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Cercle Brugge KSV to win 2nd half	13.2%	12.4%	—	—	8.08

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (+0.5)	88.6%	88.5%	69.1%	1.28×	1.13
Cercle Brugge KSV (+2.5)	77.3%	78.4%	89.5%	0.88×	1.28
Union St.-Gilloise (-0.5)	68.5%	68.7%	42.9%	1.60×	1.46
Cercle Brugge KSV (+1.5)	56.2%	57.0%	77.9%	0.73×	1.75
Union St.-Gilloise (-1.5)	43.8%	43.0%	22.1%	1.95×	2.33
Cercle Brugge KSV (+0.5)	31.5%	31.3%	57.1%	0.55×	3.20
Union St.-Gilloise (-2.5)	22.7%	21.6%	10.5%	2.05×	4.64
Cercle Brugge KSV (-0.5)	11.4%	11.5%	30.9%	0.37×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to concede	87.1%	86.4%	77.9%	1.11×	1.16
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet	12.9%	13.6%	22.1%	0.61×	7.38

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to concede in 1st half	58.6%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Cercle Brugge KSV clean sheet in 1st half	41.4%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV under 6.5 corners	84.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Cercle Brugge KSV under 5.5 corners	74.3%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cercle Brugge KSV over 2.5 corners	73.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Cercle Brugge KSV under 4.5 corners	60.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Cercle Brugge KSV over 3.5 corners	56.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cercle Brugge KSV under 3.5 corners	44.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Cercle Brugge KSV over 4.5 corners	39.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Cercle Brugge KSV under 2.5 corners	26.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cercle Brugge KSV over 5.5 corners	25.7%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Cercle Brugge KSV over 6.5 corners	15.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV under 3.5 goals	99.4%	97.6%	95.2%	1.02×	1.03
Cercle Brugge KSV under 2.5 goals	96.5%	97.5%	86.9%	1.12×	1.03
Cercle Brugge KSV under 1.5 goals	84.3%	81.4%	64.7%	1.26×	1.23
Cercle Brugge KSV over 0.5 goals	50.5%	53.7%	68.1%	0.79×	1.86
Cercle Brugge KSV under 0.5 goals	49.5%	46.3%	31.9%	1.45×	2.16
Cercle Brugge KSV over 1.5 goals	15.7%	18.6%	35.3%	0.53×	5.38
Cercle Brugge KSV over 2.5 goals	3.5%	2.5%	13.1%	0.19×	40.70
Cercle Brugge KSV over 3.5 goals	0.6%	2.4%	4.8%	0.51×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV under 1.5 in 1st half	96.7%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Cercle Brugge KSV under 0.5 in 1st half	75.5%	75.5%	—	—	1.33
Cercle Brugge KSV over 0.5 in 1st half	24.5%	24.5%	—	—	4.08
Cercle Brugge KSV over 1.5 in 1st half	3.3%	4.2%	—	—	23.69

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (away no bet)	77.3%	73.7%	61.9%	1.19×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	22.7%	26.3%	38.1%	0.69×	3.80

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV even goals	62.3%	59.0%	57.4%	1.03×	1.69
Cercle Brugge KSV odd goals	37.7%	41.0%	42.6%	0.96×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	84.7%	83.0%	—	—	1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals	15.3%	17.0%	—	—	5.90

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	64.5%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Both halves under 1.5 goals	35.5%	41.8%	—	—	2.39

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	61.2%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Union St.-Gilloise to score 2+ in a row	55.0%	51.5%	—	—	1.94
Either team to score 3+ in a row	28.3%	25.1%	—	—	3.99
Union St.-Gilloise to score 3+ in a row	26.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Cercle Brugge KSV to score 2+ in a row	10.0%	5.7%	—	—	17.48
Cercle Brugge KSV to score 3+ in a row	1.5%	2.5%	—	—	39.66

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise corners (+3.5)	93.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Union St.-Gilloise corners (+2.5)	89.1%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Union St.-Gilloise corners (+1.5)	83.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (+3.5)	64.2%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Union St.-Gilloise corners (-1.5)	56.2%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (+2.5)	54.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Union St.-Gilloise corners (-2.5)	45.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (+1.5)	43.8%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Union St.-Gilloise corners (-3.5)	35.8%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (-1.5)	16.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (-2.5)	10.9%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
Cercle Brugge KSV corners (-3.5)	6.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.2%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	32.9%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	30.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	76.6%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	71.4%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	67.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	62.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	56.9%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 10.5 corners	53.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 10.5 corners	46.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Under 9.5 corners	43.1%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	37.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	32.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Over 12.5 corners	28.6%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	23.4%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	13.4%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.73
1-0	12.7%	11.5%	9.4%	1.22×	8.73
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	12.3%	0.60×	13.48
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.8%	0.84×	13.48
3-0	9.2%	7.4%	4.0%	1.85×	13.48
0-0	6.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
3-1	6.4%	7.4%	2.9%	2.53×	13.48
Any other score	5.8%	7.4%	4.3%	1.72×	13.48
4-0	4.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.46
0-1	4.1%	1.7%	6.6%	0.26×	58.47
0-2	1.6%	1.7%	4.8%	0.36×	58.48
0-3	0.4%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.49
1-2	3.2%	1.7%	8.8%	0.19×	58.47
1-3	0.8%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.2%	1.38×	58.49
2-2	3.3%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.47
2-3	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.79×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.49
3-2	2.3%	1.7%	2.5%	0.69×	58.48
3-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.9%	1.85×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.49
4-1	3.3%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.47
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.4%	1.23×	58.48
4-3	0.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.22×	58.49
4-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.5%	3.69×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise leading at HT (DNB)	81.2%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Cercle Brugge KSV leading at HT (DNB)	18.8%	13.8%	—	—	7.25

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise or draw (1X)	88.6%	86.7%	69.1%	1.25×	1.15
Union St.-Gilloise or Cercle Brugge KSV (12)	79.9%	75.6%	73.6%	1.03×	1.32
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw (X2)	31.5%	34.9%	57.1%	0.61×	2.87

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise or draw at HT	88.7%	88.3%	—	—	1.13
Union St.-Gilloise or Cercle Brugge KSV at HT	60.4%	62.0%	—	—	1.61
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw at HT	51.0%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise or draw (1UP)	88.6%	91.9%	—	—	1.09
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw (1UP)	31.5%	38.6%	—	—	2.59

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise or draw in 2nd half	86.8%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Union St.-Gilloise or Cercle Brugge KSV in 2nd half	68.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Cercle Brugge KSV or draw in 2nd half	45.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	58.6%	58.1%	—	—	1.72
Neither half drawn	41.4%	41.9%	—	—	2.39

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (DNB)	85.8%	87.1%	58.2%	1.50×	1.15
Cercle Brugge KSV (DNB)	14.2%	12.9%	41.8%	0.31×	7.74

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise to score first	69.5%	69.6%	—	—	1.44
Cercle Brugge KSV to score first	23.8%	23.1%	—	—	4.33
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	55.7%	54.9%	46.3%	1.19×	1.82
Both teams to score	44.3%	45.1%	53.7%	0.84×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both score & under 2.5	38.6%	38.5%	35.6%	1.08×	2.60
Both score & over 2.5	34.8%	34.3%	41.5%	0.83×	2.92
Not both score & over 2.5	17.1%	21.7%	10.8%	2.01×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	12.3%	0.68×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	90.5%	89.1%	85.5%	1.04×	1.12
Both teams to score 2+	9.5%	10.9%	14.5%	0.75×	9.16

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	76.2%	75.1%	—	—	1.33
Both teams to score in 2nd half	23.8%	24.9%	—	—	4.02

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	65.2%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Both score 2nd half only	20.4%	20.7%	—	—	4.82
Both score 1st half only	11.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.33
Both score in both halves	3.4%	5.0%	—	—	20.02

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	85.6%	85.8%	—	—	1.17
Both teams to score by HT	14.4%	14.2%	—	—	7.04

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	54.9%	53.6%	—	—	1.87
A half without a goal	45.1%	46.4%	—	—	2.15

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.7%	47.4%	47.7%	0.99×	2.11
4-6 goals	27.5%	26.4%	26.4%	1.00×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.6%	22.8%	23.5%	0.97×	4.38
7+ goals	2.2%	1.8%	2.8%	0.66×	54.57

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to score exactly 0	49.5%	43.0%	31.9%	1.35×	2.33
Cercle Brugge KSV to score exactly 1	34.8%	33.8%	32.9%	1.03×	2.96
Cercle Brugge KSV to score exactly 2	12.2%	12.8%	22.4%	0.57×	7.81
Cercle Brugge KSV to score 3+	3.5%	4.5%	13.1%	0.35×	22.07

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise to score 3+	33.7%	32.7%	19.3%	1.69×	3.06
Union St.-Gilloise to score exactly 2	27.1%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
Union St.-Gilloise to score exactly 1	26.4%	26.5%	34.6%	0.77×	3.77
Union St.-Gilloise to score exactly 0	12.9%	14.3%	22.1%	0.65×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise leading at HT	49.0%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
Draw at HT	39.6%	38.0%	—	—	2.63
Cercle Brugge KSV leading at HT	11.3%	11.7%	—	—	8.57

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise -1: 1	43.8%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Union St.-Gilloise -1: 2	31.5%	30.0%	—	—	3.33
Union St.-Gilloise -1: X	24.7%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (0:1)	43.8%	42.7%	22.1%	1.94×	2.34
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:1)	31.5%	30.0%	57.1%	0.53×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	24.7%	24.3%	21.0%	1.16×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:2)	56.2%	62.7%	77.9%	0.80×	1.60
Union St.-Gilloise (0:2)	22.7%	20.3%	10.5%	1.94×	4.92
Draw (0:2)	21.1%	20.3%	11.7%	1.73×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:3)	77.3%	80.5%	89.5%	0.90×	1.24
Draw (0:3)	13.0%	10.0%	6.2%	1.62×	9.99
Union St.-Gilloise (0:3)	9.7%	5.8%	4.5%	1.31×	17.12

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV (0:4)	90.3%	94.6%	95.5%	0.99×	1.06
Draw (0:4)	6.2%	4.6%	2.5%	1.88×	21.58
Union St.-Gilloise (0:4)	3.5%	1.2%	2.2%	0.56×	83.27

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (1:0)	88.6%	86.4%	69.1%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	8.3%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.43
Cercle Brugge KSV (1:0)	3.1%	3.2%	13.4%	0.24×	31.61

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise (2:0)	96.9%	96.9%	86.6%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.5%	2.3%	8.6%	0.26×	44.21
Cercle Brugge KSV (2:0)	0.6%	2.3%	4.9%	0.46×	44.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	47.0%	48.1%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise to concede	50.5%	53.1%	68.1%	0.78×	1.89
Union St.-Gilloise clean sheet	49.5%	46.9%	31.9%	1.47×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise clean sheet in 1st half	75.5%	77.1%	—	—	1.30
Union St.-Gilloise to concede in 1st half	24.5%	22.9%	—	—	4.36

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise over 2.5 corners	90.8%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Union St.-Gilloise over 3.5 corners	81.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Union St.-Gilloise over 4.5 corners	69.6%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
Union St.-Gilloise over 5.5 corners	56.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Union St.-Gilloise under 6.5 corners	56.2%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Union St.-Gilloise over 6.5 corners	43.8%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Union St.-Gilloise under 5.5 corners	43.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Union St.-Gilloise under 4.5 corners	30.4%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
Union St.-Gilloise under 3.5 corners	18.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Union St.-Gilloise under 2.5 corners	9.2%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise over 0.5 goals	87.1%	87.3%	77.9%	1.12×	1.15
Union St.-Gilloise under 3.5 goals	84.8%	82.1%	90.9%	0.90×	1.22
Union St.-Gilloise under 2.5 goals	66.3%	67.9%	80.7%	0.84×	1.47
Union St.-Gilloise over 1.5 goals	60.7%	63.5%	43.5%	1.46×	1.58
Union St.-Gilloise under 1.5 goals	39.3%	36.5%	56.5%	0.65×	2.74
Union St.-Gilloise over 2.5 goals	33.7%	32.1%	19.3%	1.67×	3.11
Union St.-Gilloise over 3.5 goals	15.2%	17.9%	9.1%	1.96×	5.60
Union St.-Gilloise under 0.5 goals	12.9%	12.7%	22.1%	0.58×	7.85

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise under 1.5 in 1st half	77.9%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Union St.-Gilloise over 0.5 in 1st half	58.6%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
Union St.-Gilloise under 0.5 in 1st half	41.4%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
Union St.-Gilloise over 1.5 in 1st half	22.1%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	63.9%	60.2%	46.1%	1.31×	1.66
Cercle Brugge KSV (home no bet)	36.1%	39.8%	53.9%	0.74×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise even goals	50.8%	50.6%	52.6%	0.96×	1.98
Union St.-Gilloise odd goals	49.2%	49.4%	47.4%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	31.3%	32.2%	—	—	3.10
HT 1-0	27.5%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 2-0	12.1%	10.9%	—	—	9.16
HT 0-1	8.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 1-1	7.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	6.3%	7.1%	—	—	14.06
HT 2-1	3.4%	2.3%	—	—	43.36
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-2	0.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.58

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise at HT / Union St.-Gilloise at FT	44.5%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT / Union St.-Gilloise at FT	21.5%	21.8%	—	—	4.59
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Cercle Brugge KSV at HT / Cercle Brugge KSV at FT	5.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Draw at HT / Cercle Brugge KSV at FT	5.1%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
Union St.-Gilloise at HT / Draw at FT	3.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
Cercle Brugge KSV at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Cercle Brugge KSV at HT / Union St.-Gilloise at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Union St.-Gilloise at HT / Cercle Brugge KSV at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise to score last	69.5%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Cercle Brugge KSV to score last	23.7%	26.6%	—	—	3.76
No goal scored	6.7%	7.5%	—	—	13.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.3%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Union St.-Gilloise to lead by 1 at any time	77.7%	78.2%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	54.7%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Union St.-Gilloise to lead by 2 at any time	49.1%	44.1%	—	—	2.27
Cercle Brugge KSV to lead by 1 at any time	26.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.93
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	26.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Union St.-Gilloise to lead by 3 at any time	25.2%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Cercle Brugge KSV to lead by 2 at any time	5.8%	6.6%	—	—	15.14
Cercle Brugge KSV to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.33

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise most corners	66.4%	64.5%	—	—	1.55
Cercle Brugge KSV most corners	24.4%	26.0%	—	—	3.85
Corners level	9.2%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.2%	87.4%	86.0%	1.02×	1.14
1-4 goals	78.8%	78.6%	76.9%	1.02×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.2%	72.4%	73.9%	0.98×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.3%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
1-3 goals	63.5%	63.4%	63.4%	1.00×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.9%	63.4%	61.1%	1.04×	1.58
3-6 goals	49.7%	48.7%	49.5%	0.98×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.7%	48.7%	47.7%	1.02×	2.06
3-5 goals	45.8%	48.7%	45.8%	1.06×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.4%	43.6%	40.3%	1.08×	2.30
3-4 goals	37.4%	39.1%	36.7%	1.07×	2.55
4-6 goals	27.5%	30.2%	26.4%	1.15×	3.31
4-5 goals	23.7%	24.5%	22.7%	1.08×	4.09
5-6 goals	12.3%	14.9%	13.0%	1.15×	6.72
7+ goals	2.2%	2.5%	2.8%	0.92×	39.23

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise never behind	66.7%	70.2%	—	—	1.43
Cercle Brugge KSV never behind	15.5%	18.4%	—	—	5.44

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.1%	50.8%	50.0%	1.02×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.9%	49.2%	50.0%	0.98×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	55.0%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
Odd goals in 1st half	45.0%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.7%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 5.5 goals	93.9%	92.3%	93.5%	0.99×	1.08
Over 0.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	92.3%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	85.5%	87.6%	84.4%	1.04×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	76.4%	77.3%	76.5%	1.01×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	70.3%	72.5%	71.0%	1.02×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	51.9%	52.5%	52.2%	1.01×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	48.1%	47.5%	47.8%	0.99×	2.10
Over 3.5 goals	29.7%	27.5%	29.0%	0.95×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	23.6%	22.7%	23.5%	0.97×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	14.5%	12.4%	15.6%	0.79×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	7.7%	1.00×	12.93
Over 5.5 goals	6.1%	7.7%	6.5%	1.19×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.7%	97.2%	97.1%	1.00×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	93.4%	92.5%	92.9%	1.00×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	82.9%	81.1%	82.0%	0.99×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	68.8%	67.4%	69.0%	0.98×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	61.8%	62.1%	62.2%	1.00×	1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	38.2%	37.9%	37.8%	1.00×	2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	31.2%	32.6%	31.0%	1.05×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	17.1%	18.9%	18.0%	1.05×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	6.6%	7.5%	7.1%	1.06×	13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.3%	2.8%	2.9%	0.96×	36.15

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.8%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	68.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.6%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.4%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	31.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.2%	11.0%	—	—	9.11

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	79.5%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	78.6%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	52.7%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	47.3%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	21.4%	20.2%	—	—	4.94
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	20.5%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV not to score in both halves	91.6%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Union St.-Gilloise not to score in both halves	59.6%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Union St.-Gilloise to score in both halves	40.4%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Cercle Brugge KSV to score in both halves	8.4%	9.9%	—	—	10.08

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	44.3%	46.6%	53.7%	0.87×	2.15
Only Union St.-Gilloise scores	42.8%	46.6%	24.4%	1.91×	2.15
Neither team scores	6.7%	7.2%	7.7%	0.93×	13.91
Only Cercle Brugge KSV scores	6.2%	7.2%	14.5%	0.50×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.5%	22.6%	24.5%	0.92×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.2%	22.6%	23.3%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	16.9%	17.4%	15.9%	1.10×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.3%	17.4%	13.6%	1.28×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.4%	7.6%	9.3%	0.83×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.7%	7.6%	7.7%	0.99×	13.09
6 or more goals	6.1%	7.6%	6.5%	1.18×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	47.3%	45.0%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	20.5%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV not to win both halves	98.5%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Union St.-Gilloise not to win both halves	73.1%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
Union St.-Gilloise to win both halves	26.9%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Cercle Brugge KSV to win both halves	1.5%	2.7%	—	—	36.64

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV to win neither half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Union St.-Gilloise to win either half	76.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Union St.-Gilloise to win neither half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.91
Cercle Brugge KSV to win either half	23.1%	20.3%	—	—	4.92

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Cercle Brugge KSV not to win to nil	93.8%	92.1%	85.5%	1.08×	1.09
Union St.-Gilloise not to win to nil	57.2%	58.8%	75.6%	0.78×	1.70
Union St.-Gilloise to win to nil	42.8%	41.2%	24.4%	1.69×	2.43
Cercle Brugge KSV to win to nil	6.2%	7.9%	14.5%	0.55×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Union St.-Gilloise by 1	24.7%	24.2%	21.0%	1.15×	4.14
Union St.-Gilloise by 3+	22.7%	24.1%	10.5%	2.30×	4.14
Union St.-Gilloise by 2	21.1%	24.1%	11.7%	2.06×	4.14
Draw	20.1%	24.1%	26.4%	0.91×	4.14
Cercle Brugge KSV by 1	8.3%	7.3%	17.6%	0.41×	13.78
Cercle Brugge KSV by 2	2.5%	2.7%	8.6%	0.31×	37.00
Cercle Brugge KSV by 3+	0.6%	2.7%	4.9%	0.55×	37.06