Universitario v Juan Pablo II — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · PER-Liga 1 · 2627

PER-Liga 1 results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Universitario

14:00

Juan Pablo II

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,172h before kick-off

Universitario win

70.3%

model 71.5%

Draw

17.5%

model 16.9%

Juan Pablo II win

12.2%

model 11.6%

701812

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (637 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.6%
1-0 10.1%
2-1 9.5%
3-0 9.1%
1-1 8.0%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.0%	Under 2.5	39.0%
BTTS yes	50.3%	BTTS no	49.7%
Universitario 1+	90.3%	Universitario 2+	67.7%
Juan Pablo II 1+	55.9%	Juan Pablo II 2+	19.8%

Expected goals 2.34 – 0.82. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

95%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1650 Elo against 1425.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Universitario have an estimated 70.3% win probability, against 17.5% for the draw and 12.2% for Juan Pablo II. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.33 for Universitario and 0.82 for Juan Pablo II.

Why Universitario

Universitario carry the stronger rating, 1650 Elo against 1425. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.5%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Juan Pablo II can win

Nothing in the data singles out Juan Pablo II.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Universitario, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Juan Pablo II, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Universitario: 47% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 13.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Juan Pablo II: 45% possession, 13.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Universitario are the model's most likely outcome at 70.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.6%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	76149	2.60–0.78	2-0 11%	66%	50%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win	76.4%	78.1%	50.0%	1.56×	1.28
Draw	14.5%	13.3%	25.1%	0.53×	7.49
Juan Pablo II to win	9.1%	8.3%	25.1%	0.33×	12.07

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario & not both score	42.4%	40.1%	26.5%	1.51×	2.49
Universitario & both teams score	34.0%	29.7%	23.6%	1.26×	3.36
Draw & both teams score	11.2%	13.3%	17.5%	0.76×	7.55
Juan Pablo II & both teams score	4.9%	4.9%	13.1%	0.37×	20.54
Juan Pablo II & not both score	4.2%	4.9%	12.2%	0.40×	20.56
Draw & not both score	3.3%	4.9%	7.8%	0.62×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario & over 1.5	67.4%	67.2%	38.2%	1.76×	1.49
Universitario & over 2.5	55.9%	54.9%	30.9%	1.78×	1.82
Universitario & under 3.5	39.4%	34.9%	33.8%	1.03×	2.87
Universitario & over 3.5	36.9%	34.9%	16.4%	2.13×	2.87
Universitario & under 2.5	20.5%	21.7%	19.3%	1.12×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	11.2%	12.9%	17.5%	0.74×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	10.1%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	10.1%	12.9%	18.9%	0.68×	7.77
Universitario & under 1.5	9.0%	7.9%	12.0%	0.66×	12.69
Juan Pablo II & over 1.5	6.3%	7.9%	17.3%	0.46×	12.70
Juan Pablo II & under 3.5	6.9%	7.9%	19.1%	0.41×	12.70
Juan Pablo II & over 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	14.4%	0.55×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	4.4%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Draw & over 3.5	4.4%	4.8%	6.4%	0.75×	20.93
Juan Pablo II & under 2.5	3.9%	4.8%	10.9%	0.44×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	7.8%	0.61×	20.94
Juan Pablo II & under 1.5	2.8%	4.8%	8.0%	0.60×	20.94
Juan Pablo II & over 3.5	2.3%	4.8%	6.2%	0.77×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (1UP)	84.6%	87.5%	—	—	1.14
Juan Pablo II (1UP)	25.6%	26.4%	—	—	3.79

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2UP)	76.4%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
Juan Pablo II (2UP)	9.1%	9.0%	—	—	11.06

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win 2nd half	62.4%	59.2%	—	—	1.69
2nd half drawn	25.9%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
Juan Pablo II to win 2nd half	11.7%	12.1%	—	—	8.24

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (+0.5)	90.9%	92.1%	74.9%	1.23×	1.09
Universitario (-0.5)	76.4%	78.4%	50.0%	1.57×	1.28
Juan Pablo II (+2.5)	66.8%	68.7%	88.5%	0.78×	1.46
Universitario (-1.5)	54.7%	52.4%	24.7%	2.12×	1.91
Juan Pablo II (+1.5)	45.3%	47.6%	75.3%	0.63×	2.10
Universitario (-2.5)	33.2%	31.3%	11.5%	2.73×	3.20
Juan Pablo II (+0.5)	23.6%	21.6%	50.0%	0.43×	4.64
Juan Pablo II (-0.5)	9.1%	7.9%	25.1%	0.32×	12.61

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede	92.5%	91.8%	80.2%	1.14×	1.09
Juan Pablo II clean sheet	7.5%	8.2%	19.8%	0.41×	12.20

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to concede in 1st half	67.2%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
Juan Pablo II clean sheet in 1st half	32.8%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 6.5 corners	96.5%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Juan Pablo II under 5.5 corners	92.5%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Juan Pablo II under 4.5 corners	84.8%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 corners	71.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 corners	52.5%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 corners	47.5%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 corners	28.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Juan Pablo II over 4.5 corners	15.2%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
Juan Pablo II over 5.5 corners	7.5%	9.9%	—	—	10.05
Juan Pablo II over 6.5 corners	3.5%	4.4%	—	—	22.80

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 3.5 goals	99.2%	97.6%	97.5%	1.00×	1.03
Juan Pablo II under 2.5 goals	95.5%	97.5%	92.0%	1.06×	1.03
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 goals	81.5%	81.4%	71.6%	1.14×	1.23
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 goals	54.3%	53.7%	65.8%	0.82×	1.86
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 goals	45.7%	46.3%	34.2%	1.35×	2.16
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 goals	18.5%	18.6%	28.4%	0.66×	5.38
Juan Pablo II over 2.5 goals	4.5%	2.5%	8.0%	0.31×	40.64
Juan Pablo II over 3.5 goals	0.8%	2.4%	2.5%	0.96×	40.84

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II under 1.5 in 1st half	96.0%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Juan Pablo II under 0.5 in 1st half	73.1%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Juan Pablo II over 0.5 in 1st half	26.9%	31.1%	—	—	3.21
Juan Pablo II over 1.5 in 1st half	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.10

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (away no bet)	84.0%	82.9%	66.6%	1.24×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	16.0%	17.1%	33.4%	0.51×	5.84

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II even goals	60.4%	59.0%	56.9%	1.04×	1.70
Juan Pablo II odd goals	39.6%	41.0%	43.1%	0.95×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.8%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.2%	17.9%	—	—	5.58

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.5%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.5%	27.5%	—	—	3.63

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.5%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Universitario to score 2+ in a row	67.1%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.1%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Universitario to score 3+ in a row	38.7%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Juan Pablo II to score 2+ in a row	10.9%	12.1%	—	—	8.24
Juan Pablo II to score 3+ in a row	1.7%	2.5%	—	—	39.56

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario corners (+3.5)	98.4%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Universitario corners (+2.5)	96.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Universitario corners (+1.5)	93.8%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Universitario corners (-1.5)	73.6%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Universitario corners (-2.5)	63.3%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Universitario corners (-3.5)	52.3%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
Juan Pablo II corners (+3.5)	47.7%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
Juan Pablo II corners (+2.5)	36.7%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Juan Pablo II corners (+1.5)	26.4%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Juan Pablo II corners (-1.5)	6.2%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
Juan Pablo II corners (-2.5)	3.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.57
Juan Pablo II corners (-3.5)	1.6%	4.2%	—	—	23.62

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	45.7%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
9-11 corners	28.5%	31.2%	—	—	3.20
12+ corners	25.8%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	81.0%	80.8%	—	—	1.24
Under 11.5 corners	74.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 10.5 corners	65.8%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 7.5 corners	65.1%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 9.5 corners	56.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 8.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 9.5 corners	43.8%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	34.9%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 10.5 corners	34.2%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 11.5 corners	25.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	19.0%	19.2%	—	—	5.20

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	12.2%	11.5%	2.7%	4.20×	8.73
2-0	11.5%	11.5%	7.5%	1.54×	8.73
1-0	9.0%	7.4%	12.0%	0.62×	13.48
2-1	9.0%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
3-0	9.9%	7.4%	5.1%	1.46×	13.48
1-1	6.8%	7.4%	11.3%	0.66×	13.48
3-1	7.8%	7.4%	5.3%	1.41×	13.48
4-0	6.4%	7.4%	1.6%	4.53×	13.48
4-1	5.1%	7.4%	2.5%	2.91×	13.48
0-0	3.3%	1.7%	7.8%	0.22×	58.47
0-1	2.8%	1.7%	8.0%	0.21×	58.47
0-2	1.0%	1.7%	3.1%	0.55×	58.48
0-3	0.3%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.49
0-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.13×	58.49
1-2	2.7%	1.7%	7.5%	0.23×	58.47
1-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
2-2	3.5%	1.7%	5.6%	0.30×	58.47
2-3	0.9%	1.7%	2.0%	0.85×	58.48
2-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-2	3.1%	1.7%	3.8%	0.45×	58.47
3-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.9%	1.88×	58.49
3-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.7%	2.35×	58.49
4-2	2.0%	1.7%	1.1%	1.57×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.4%	4.70×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.40×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario leading at HT (DNB)	84.5%	87.2%	—	—	1.15
Juan Pablo II leading at HT (DNB)	15.5%	12.8%	—	—	7.84

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw (1X)	90.9%	91.7%	74.9%	1.22×	1.09
Universitario or Juan Pablo II (12)	85.5%	86.7%	74.9%	1.16×	1.15
Juan Pablo II or draw (X2)	23.6%	21.9%	50.0%	0.44×	4.56

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw at HT	89.6%	88.4%	—	—	1.13
Universitario or Juan Pablo II at HT	67.0%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Juan Pablo II or draw at HT	43.4%	42.9%	—	—	2.33

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw (1UP)	90.9%	93.1%	—	—	1.07
Juan Pablo II or draw (1UP)	25.6%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario or draw in 2nd half	88.3%	87.9%	—	—	1.14
Universitario or Juan Pablo II in 2nd half	74.1%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
Juan Pablo II or draw in 2nd half	37.6%	40.8%	—	—	2.45

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	49.4%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	50.6%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (DNB)	89.3%	87.3%	66.6%	1.31×	1.15
Juan Pablo II (DNB)	10.7%	12.7%	33.4%	0.38×	7.89

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score first	74.3%	75.4%	—	—	1.33
Juan Pablo II to score first	22.4%	22.8%	—	—	4.39
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	50.1%	51.4%	53.8%	0.95×	1.95
Not both teams to score	49.9%	48.6%	46.2%	1.05×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	43.3%	41.6%	42.7%	0.97×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	27.6%	33.6%	37.6%	0.89×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	22.2%	27.7%	8.7%	3.18×	3.61
Both score & under 2.5	6.8%	8.4%	11.3%	0.74×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	86.4%	85.6%	85.6%	1.00×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	13.6%	14.4%	14.4%	1.00×	6.94

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	71.1%	74.0%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	28.9%	26.0%	—	—	3.85

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	58.3%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Both score 2nd half only	23.7%	20.9%	—	—	4.80
Both score 1st half only	12.8%	10.8%	—	—	9.30
Both score in both halves	5.2%	6.7%	—	—	14.85

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.9%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	18.1%	17.6%	—	—	5.67

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.1%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	34.9%	33.4%	—	—	2.99

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.3%	42.1%	44.2%	0.95×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.1%	35.1%	26.9%	1.30×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.1%	20.2%	27.5%	0.73×	4.96
7+ goals	5.5%	7.6%	1.8%	4.16×	13.23

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 0	45.7%	42.9%	34.2%	1.25×	2.33
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 1	35.8%	36.0%	37.6%	0.96×	2.78
Juan Pablo II to score exactly 2	14.0%	12.8%	20.5%	0.62×	7.80
Juan Pablo II to score 3+	4.5%	4.5%	8.0%	0.57×	22.00

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score 3+	48.0%	36.9%	22.5%	1.64×	2.71
Universitario to score exactly 2	25.2%	26.5%	25.1%	1.06×	3.77
Universitario to score exactly 1	19.4%	18.9%	32.9%	0.57×	5.29
Universitario to score exactly 0	7.5%	10.3%	19.8%	0.52×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario leading at HT	56.6%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Draw at HT	33.0%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
Juan Pablo II leading at HT	10.4%	11.6%	—	—	8.65

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario -1: 1	54.7%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Universitario -1: 2	23.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Universitario -1: X	21.6%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (0:1)	54.7%	51.2%	24.7%	2.07×	1.95
Juan Pablo II (0:1)	23.6%	24.3%	50.0%	0.49×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	21.6%	24.3%	25.5%	0.95×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:2)	45.3%	51.1%	75.3%	0.68×	1.96
Universitario (0:2)	33.2%	28.7%	11.5%	2.51×	3.49
Draw (0:2)	21.6%	20.3%	13.5%	1.51×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:3)	66.8%	71.8%	88.5%	0.81×	1.39
Universitario (0:3)	17.0%	16.1%	4.0%	4.02×	6.22
Draw (0:3)	16.1%	16.0%	7.6%	2.10×	6.24

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II (0:4)	83.0%	87.1%	96.0%	0.91×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	9.6%	4.7%	2.5%	1.85×	21.29
Universitario (0:4)	7.5%	4.7%	1.6%	2.85×	21.47

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (1:0)	90.9%	92.6%	74.9%	1.24×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	6.6%	6.9%	17.6%	0.39×	14.45
Juan Pablo II (1:0)	2.5%	3.2%	7.6%	0.41×	31.71

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario (2:0)	97.5%	96.9%	92.4%	1.05×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	2.0%	2.3%	5.6%	0.40×	44.25
Juan Pablo II (2:0)	0.5%	2.3%	2.2%	1.03×	44.34

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.8%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	28.4%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to concede	54.3%	53.2%	65.8%	0.81×	1.88
Universitario clean sheet	45.7%	46.8%	34.2%	1.37×	2.14

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario clean sheet in 1st half	73.1%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Universitario to concede in 1st half	26.9%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario over 2.5 corners	91.2%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Universitario over 3.5 corners	82.5%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Universitario over 4.5 corners	71.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Universitario over 5.5 corners	58.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Universitario under 6.5 corners	53.4%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Universitario over 6.5 corners	46.6%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Universitario under 5.5 corners	41.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Universitario under 4.5 corners	28.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Universitario under 3.5 corners	17.5%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Universitario under 2.5 corners	8.8%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario over 0.5 goals	92.5%	92.3%	80.2%	1.15×	1.08
Universitario under 3.5 goals	73.8%	74.2%	92.4%	0.80×	1.35
Universitario over 1.5 goals	73.1%	74.2%	47.5%	1.56×	1.35
Universitario under 2.5 goals	52.0%	53.2%	77.5%	0.69×	1.88
Universitario over 2.5 goals	48.0%	46.8%	22.5%	2.07×	2.14
Universitario under 1.5 goals	26.9%	25.8%	52.5%	0.49×	3.87
Universitario over 3.5 goals	26.2%	25.8%	7.6%	3.38×	3.87
Universitario under 0.5 goals	7.5%	7.7%	19.8%	0.39×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario under 1.5 in 1st half	69.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Universitario over 0.5 in 1st half	67.2%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Universitario under 0.5 in 1st half	32.8%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Universitario over 1.5 in 1st half	30.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	61.3%	60.2%	50.0%	1.20×	1.66
Juan Pablo II (home no bet)	38.7%	39.9%	50.0%	0.80×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario even goals	50.3%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Universitario odd goals	49.7%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	26.7%	28.8%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-0	23.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 2-0	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
Any other HT score	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	8.4%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-1	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 2-1	4.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 0-2	1.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.52
HT 1-2	1.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.51
HT 2-2	0.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.56

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario at HT / Universitario at FT	52.5%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Draw at HT / Universitario at FT	20.7%	21.7%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	8.4%	6.0%	—	—	16.64
Juan Pablo II at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	4.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
Draw at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	3.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.81
Universitario at HT / Draw at FT	3.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Juan Pablo II at HT / Universitario at FT	3.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Juan Pablo II at HT / Draw at FT	2.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
Universitario at HT / Juan Pablo II at FT	0.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.93

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to score last	74.2%	72.9%	—	—	1.37
Juan Pablo II to score last	22.5%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
No goal scored	3.3%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.7%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Universitario to lead by 1 at any time	84.6%	87.6%	—	—	1.14
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	65.9%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Universitario to lead by 2 at any time	60.6%	61.2%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	37.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Universitario to lead by 3 at any time	36.5%	34.8%	—	—	2.87
Juan Pablo II to lead by 1 at any time	25.6%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
Juan Pablo II to lead by 2 at any time	5.5%	6.6%	—	—	15.15
Juan Pablo II to lead by 3 at any time	1.0%	1.6%	—	—	63.34

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario most corners	82.4%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Juan Pablo II most corners	10.8%	10.4%	—	—	9.61
Corners level	6.8%	8.5%	—	—	11.82

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.1%	83.5%	87.1%	0.96×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.6%	70.9%	1.11×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	67.5%	1.07×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.6%	72.4%	78.0%	0.93×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.0%	63.4%	49.6%	1.28×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.8%	59.2%	58.4%	1.01×	1.69
1-3 goals	53.1%	53.2%	63.8%	0.83×	1.88
3-5 goals	53.0%	53.2%	46.2%	1.15×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.3%	43.6%	44.2%	0.99×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	37.1%	1.17×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.1%	39.2%	26.9%	1.45×	2.55
1-2 goals	31.2%	35.4%	41.1%	0.86×	2.83
4-5 goals	31.1%	35.4%	23.5%	1.51×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.6%	18.6%	12.7%	1.46×	5.37
7+ goals	5.5%	8.7%	1.8%	4.80×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario never behind	71.1%	76.7%	—	—	1.30
Juan Pablo II never behind	12.2%	12.8%	—	—	7.84

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.8%	50.8%	46.9%	1.08×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.2%	49.2%	53.1%	0.93×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.7%	95.5%	92.2%	1.04×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.4%	87.6%	94.7%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.9%	82.4%	72.5%	1.14×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	74.9%	72.5%	85.6%	0.85×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	65.6%	66.2%	51.3%	1.29×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	56.4%	58.8%	71.5%	0.82×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	43.6%	41.2%	28.5%	1.44×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	34.4%	33.8%	48.7%	0.69×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	25.1%	27.5%	14.4%	1.91×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	15.1%	17.6%	27.5%	0.64×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	12.6%	12.4%	5.3%	2.34×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.3%	4.5%	7.8%	0.58×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.0%	92.5%	98.1%	0.94×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.6%	86.7%	94.2%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.3%	81.0%	65.1%	1.24×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	69.2%	67.4%	83.3%	0.81×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	55.9%	55.4%	36.9%	1.50×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	44.1%	44.6%	63.1%	0.71×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	30.8%	32.6%	16.7%	1.95×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.7%	19.0%	34.9%	0.54×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.4%	13.3%	5.8%	2.29×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.0%	7.5%	1.9%	4.00×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.2%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.8%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	85.8%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	69.1%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	57.9%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	42.1%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	30.9%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	14.2%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to score in both halves	89.9%	86.0%	—	—	1.16
Universitario to score in both halves	51.9%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Universitario not to score in both halves	48.1%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
Juan Pablo II to score in both halves	10.1%	14.0%	—	—	7.13

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	50.1%	53.9%	53.8%	1.00×	1.86
Only Universitario scores	42.4%	46.6%	26.5%	1.75×	2.15
Only Juan Pablo II scores	4.2%	4.6%	12.2%	0.38×	21.81
Neither team scores	3.3%	4.6%	7.8%	0.59×	21.85

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.3%	17.4%	21.5%	0.81×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.5%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	12.5%	12.1%	9.3%	1.30×	8.27
6 or more goals	12.6%	12.1%	5.3%	2.29×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	11.8%	12.1%	19.8%	0.61×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.3%	4.4%	7.8%	0.56×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	57.9%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.9%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	14.2%	14.5%	—	—	6.88

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win both halves	98.8%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Universitario not to win both halves	64.7%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Universitario to win both halves	35.3%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Juan Pablo II to win both halves	1.2%	2.7%	—	—	36.78

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario to win either half	83.7%	83.2%	—	—	1.20
Juan Pablo II to win neither half	79.1%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Juan Pablo II to win either half	20.9%	20.1%	—	—	4.98
Universitario to win neither half	16.3%	16.8%	—	—	5.95

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Juan Pablo II not to win to nil	95.8%	96.1%	87.8%	1.09×	1.04
Universitario not to win to nil	57.6%	58.9%	73.5%	0.80×	1.70
Universitario to win to nil	42.4%	41.1%	26.5%	1.55×	2.43
Juan Pablo II to win to nil	4.2%	3.9%	12.2%	0.32×	25.76

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Universitario by 3+	33.2%	27.6%	11.5%	2.41×	3.62
Universitario by 1	21.6%	24.1%	25.5%	0.95×	4.14
Universitario by 2	21.6%	24.1%	13.5%	1.79×	4.14
Draw	14.5%	11.8%	25.1%	0.47×	8.47
Juan Pablo II by 1	6.6%	7.3%	17.6%	0.41×	13.78
Juan Pablo II by 2	2.0%	2.7%	5.6%	0.48×	37.02
Juan Pablo II by 3+	0.5%	2.7%	2.2%	1.24×	37.07