Urawa Red Diamonds v JEF United Ichihara-Chiba — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 21 October 2026 · JPN-J League · 2627

JPN-J League results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

Urawa Red Diamonds

06:30

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,092h before kick-off

Urawa Red Diamonds win

61.7%

model 63.3%

Draw

19.1%

model 19.6%

JEF United Ichihara-Chiba win

19.1%

model 17.1%

621919

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (1,523 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-1 9.9%
2-0 9.7%
1-1 9.1%
1-0 9.1%
3-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	61.7%	Under 2.5	38.3%
BTTS yes	56.6%	BTTS no	43.4%
Urawa Red Diamonds 1+	88.4%	Urawa Red Diamonds 2+	63.5%
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 1+	64.1%	JEF United Ichihara-Chiba 2+	27.3%

Expected goals 2.16 – 1.03. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

77/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

96%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Urawa Red Diamonds carry the stronger rating, 1517 Elo against 1343.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Urawa Red Diamonds have an estimated 61.7% win probability, against 19.1% for the draw and 19.1% for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.16 for Urawa Red Diamonds and 1.02 for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba.

Why Urawa Red Diamonds

Urawa Red Diamonds carry the stronger rating, 1517 Elo against 1343.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 19.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.

Why JEF United Ichihara-Chiba can win

Nothing in the data singles out JEF United Ichihara-Chiba.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Urawa Red Diamonds, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for JEF United Ichihara-Chiba, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Urawa Red Diamonds: 52% possession, 16.6 shots a match, 15.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. JEF United Ichihara-Chiba: 48% possession, 9.6 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Urawa Red Diamonds's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Urawa Red Diamonds are the model's most likely outcome at 61.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-1 at 9.9%. Confidence 77/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	671815	2.37–1.03	2-1 10%	66%	58%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win	67.4%	65.0%	42.9%	1.52×	1.54
Draw	17.8%	19.3%	26.3%	0.74×	5.17
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win	14.8%	13.4%	31.0%	0.43×	7.49

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds & both teams score	34.7%	29.7%	18.0%	1.65×	3.36
Urawa Red Diamonds & not both score	32.6%	29.7%	25.0%	1.19×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	14.6%	13.3%	19.3%	0.69×	7.54
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & both teams score	8.8%	8.4%	13.4%	0.62×	11.93
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & not both score	6.1%	8.4%	17.7%	0.47×	11.94
Draw & not both score	3.2%	4.9%	7.1%	0.68×	20.59

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 1.5	59.3%	55.0%	30.2%	1.82×	1.82
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 2.5	49.9%	45.2%	23.1%	1.96×	2.21
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 3.5	34.6%	30.9%	33.1%	0.93×	3.24
Urawa Red Diamonds & over 3.5	32.8%	30.9%	10.0%	3.10×	3.24
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 2.5	17.4%	18.0%	19.9%	0.90×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	14.6%	12.9%	19.3%	0.67×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	11.3%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	11.3%	12.9%	20.4%	0.63×	7.77
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & over 1.5	11.3%	12.9%	21.2%	0.61×	7.77
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & under 3.5	10.0%	12.9%	23.4%	0.55×	7.77
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & over 2.5	9.6%	7.9%	17.9%	0.44×	12.69
Urawa Red Diamonds & under 1.5	8.0%	7.9%	12.8%	0.61×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	6.5%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & under 2.5	5.3%	7.9%	13.3%	0.59×	12.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & over 3.5	4.8%	4.8%	7.8%	0.62×	20.93
Draw & under 1.5	3.2%	4.8%	7.1%	0.67×	20.94
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba & under 1.5	3.5%	4.8%	10.0%	0.48×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (1UP)	79.0%	79.1%	—	—	1.27
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (1UP)	34.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2UP)	67.4%	68.8%	—	—	1.45
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (2UP)	14.8%	13.7%	—	—	7.31

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win 2nd half	54.8%	52.5%	—	—	1.90
2nd half drawn	28.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.80
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win 2nd half	17.0%	18.9%	—	—	5.28

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (+0.5)	85.2%	88.5%	69.0%	1.28×	1.13
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (+2.5)	74.9%	73.7%	93.8%	0.79×	1.36
Urawa Red Diamonds (-0.5)	67.4%	68.7%	42.9%	1.60×	1.46
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (+1.5)	55.1%	57.0%	82.0%	0.70×	1.76
Urawa Red Diamonds (-1.5)	44.9%	43.0%	18.0%	2.38×	2.33
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (+0.5)	32.6%	31.3%	57.1%	0.55×	3.20
Urawa Red Diamonds (-2.5)	25.1%	26.3%	6.2%	4.26×	3.81
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (-0.5)	14.8%	11.5%	31.0%	0.37×	8.69

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to concede	90.7%	91.7%	75.3%	1.22×	1.09
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet	9.3%	8.3%	24.7%	0.34×	12.07

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to concede in 1st half	64.0%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba clean sheet in 1st half	36.0%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 6.5 corners	80.3%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 2.5 corners	78.6%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 5.5 corners	69.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 3.5 corners	62.4%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 4.5 corners	54.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 4.5 corners	45.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 3.5 corners	37.6%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 5.5 corners	31.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 2.5 corners	21.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 6.5 corners	19.7%	18.5%	—	—	5.39

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 3.5 goals	97.9%	97.5%	95.9%	1.02×	1.03
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 2.5 goals	91.5%	92.3%	87.8%	1.05×	1.08
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 1.5 goals	72.7%	72.0%	68.2%	1.06×	1.39
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 0.5 goals	64.1%	63.0%	68.0%	0.93×	1.59
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 0.5 goals	35.9%	37.0%	32.0%	1.16×	2.70
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 1.5 goals	27.3%	28.0%	31.8%	0.88×	3.57
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 2.5 goals	8.5%	7.7%	12.2%	0.63×	13.03
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 3.5 goals	2.1%	2.5%	4.1%	0.60×	40.77

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 1.5 in 1st half	93.6%	94.2%	—	—	1.06
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba under 0.5 in 1st half	66.4%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 0.5 in 1st half	33.6%	31.8%	—	—	3.15
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba over 1.5 in 1st half	6.4%	5.8%	—	—	17.30

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (away no bet)	79.1%	73.8%	62.0%	1.19×	1.36
Draw (away no bet)	20.9%	26.2%	38.0%	0.69×	3.81

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba even goals	56.4%	56.9%	54.4%	1.04×	1.76
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba odd goals	43.6%	43.1%	45.6%	0.95×	2.32

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	75.5%	82.1%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	24.5%	17.9%	—	—	5.57

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	75.8%	72.5%	—	—	1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals	24.2%	27.5%	—	—	3.64

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.2%	71.7%	—	—	1.39
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 2+ in a row	60.7%	59.8%	—	—	1.67
Either team to score 3+ in a row	34.6%	29.1%	—	—	3.44
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+ in a row	31.5%	28.9%	—	—	3.45
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 2+ in a row	17.4%	16.3%	—	—	6.12
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 3+ in a row	3.6%	2.6%	—	—	38.39

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+3.5)	88.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+2.5)	82.1%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (+3.5)	78.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (+1.5)	73.8%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (+2.5)	69.1%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (+1.5)	58.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-1.5)	41.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-2.5)	30.9%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (-1.5)	26.2%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Urawa Red Diamonds corners (-3.5)	21.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (-2.5)	17.9%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba corners (-3.5)	11.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.7%	33.7%	—	—	2.96
9-11 corners	31.3%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
12+ corners	30.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	78.0%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Over 7.5 corners	72.0%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	70.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	61.3%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	60.5%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 9.5 corners	50.2%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	49.8%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	39.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	38.7%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	30.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.10
Under 7.5 corners	28.0%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	22.0%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Any other score	9.6%	7.4%	3.2%	2.35×	13.48
2-0	9.4%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
2-1	9.7%	7.4%	9.8%	0.76×	13.48
3-1	7.6%	7.4%	3.0%	2.47×	13.48
1-0	8.0%	7.4%	12.8%	0.58×	13.48
1-1	8.0%	7.4%	13.4%	0.55×	13.48
3-0	7.5%	7.4%	3.6%	2.04×	13.48
2-2	4.9%	1.7%	5.2%	0.33×	58.46
3-2	3.9%	1.7%	2.5%	0.68×	58.47
3-3	1.3%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.48
3-4	0.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.70×	58.49
4-0	4.4%	1.7%	1.3%	1.35×	58.46
4-1	4.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.46
4-2	2.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.08×	58.48
4-3	0.8%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.3%	5.40×	58.49
0-0	3.2%	1.7%	7.1%	0.24×	58.47
0-1	3.5%	1.7%	10.0%	0.17×	58.47
0-2	1.8%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
0-3	0.6%	1.7%	3.2%	0.54×	58.49
0-4	0.2%	1.7%	1.1%	1.54×	58.49
1-2	4.2%	1.7%	7.3%	0.24×	58.47
1-3	1.4%	1.7%	2.4%	0.72×	58.48
1-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.16×	58.49
2-3	1.7%	1.7%	1.7%	0.98×	58.48
2-4	0.4%	1.7%	0.5%	3.60×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT (DNB)	77.4%	78.0%	—	—	1.28
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba leading at HT (DNB)	22.6%	22.0%	—	—	4.55

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (1X)	85.2%	86.6%	69.0%	1.26×	1.15
Urawa Red Diamonds or JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (12)	82.2%	80.7%	73.7%	1.09×	1.24
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw (X2)	32.6%	35.0%	57.1%	0.61×	2.86

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw at HT	85.3%	88.0%	—	—	1.14
Urawa Red Diamonds or JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT	65.0%	66.3%	—	—	1.51
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw at HT	49.7%	52.4%	—	—	1.91

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw (1UP)	85.2%	91.5%	—	—	1.09
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw (1UP)	34.2%	39.1%	—	—	2.56

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds or draw in 2nd half	83.0%	81.1%	—	—	1.23
Urawa Red Diamonds or JEF United Ichihara-Chiba in 2nd half	71.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba or draw in 2nd half	45.2%	47.5%	—	—	2.11

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	46.6%	50.0%	—	—	2.00
A half drawn	53.4%	50.0%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (DNB)	82.0%	80.5%	58.0%	1.39×	1.24
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (DNB)	18.0%	19.5%	42.0%	0.47×	5.12

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score first	67.6%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score first	29.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
No goal scored	3.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	58.1%	54.9%	50.5%	1.09×	1.82
Not both teams to score	41.9%	45.1%	49.5%	0.91×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	50.0%	47.0%	37.2%	1.26×	2.13
Not both score & under 2.5	26.0%	33.6%	40.0%	0.84×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	16.0%	21.7%	9.7%	2.25×	4.61
Both score & under 2.5	8.0%	8.4%	13.4%	0.62×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	81.3%	83.0%	86.2%	0.96×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	18.7%	17.0%	13.8%	1.23×	5.89

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	66.0%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	34.0%	32.5%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	51.8%	55.9%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Both score 1st half only	14.2%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	7.3%	6.8%	—	—	14.73

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	78.5%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	21.5%	18.5%	—	—	5.42

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	65.4%	66.6%	—	—	1.50
A half without a goal	34.6%	33.4%	—	—	3.00

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	41.1%	42.1%	47.2%	0.89×	2.38
4-6 goals	38.4%	35.1%	21.0%	1.67×	2.85
0-1 goals	14.8%	17.0%	29.6%	0.57×	5.90
7+ goals	5.7%	7.6%	2.5%	2.99×	13.22

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score exactly 1	36.8%	36.0%	36.4%	0.99×	2.78
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score exactly 0	35.9%	36.0%	32.0%	1.13×	2.78
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score exactly 2	18.8%	19.6%	19.8%	0.99×	5.11
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score 3+	8.5%	8.5%	12.2%	0.69×	11.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score 3+	42.3%	34.9%	14.9%	2.35×	2.87
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	24.4%	1.09×	3.77
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 1	22.1%	23.2%	36.4%	0.64×	4.30
Urawa Red Diamonds to score exactly 0	9.3%	10.3%	24.7%	0.42×	9.70

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds leading at HT	50.3%	47.6%	—	—	2.10
Draw at HT	35.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba leading at HT	14.7%	12.0%	—	—	8.31

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: 1	44.9%	42.8%	—	—	2.34
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: 2	32.6%	30.1%	—	—	3.33
Urawa Red Diamonds -1: X	22.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:1)	44.9%	42.7%	18.0%	2.37×	2.34
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:1)	32.6%	30.0%	57.1%	0.53×	3.33
Draw (0:1)	22.5%	24.3%	25.0%	0.97×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:2)	55.1%	62.6%	82.0%	0.76×	1.60
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:2)	25.1%	23.6%	6.2%	3.82×	4.24
Draw (0:2)	19.8%	15.3%	12.0%	1.27×	6.53

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:3)	74.9%	78.1%	93.8%	0.83×	1.28
Draw (0:3)	13.3%	10.0%	4.3%	2.35×	9.98
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:3)	11.8%	10.0%	2.1%	4.86×	10.00

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (0:4)	88.2%	92.0%	97.9%	0.94×	1.09
Draw (0:4)	7.1%	4.7%	1.4%	3.27×	21.51
Urawa Red Diamonds (0:4)	4.8%	1.2%	0.8%	1.52×	83.12

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (1:0)	85.2%	86.3%	69.0%	1.25×	1.16
Draw (1:0)	9.8%	6.9%	19.3%	0.36×	14.40
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (1:0)	5.1%	6.9%	11.9%	0.58×	14.48

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds (2:0)	94.9%	94.0%	88.1%	1.07×	1.06
Draw (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.14
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (2:0)	1.4%	2.3%	6.0%	0.38×	44.29

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	50.2%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	28.1%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	21.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede	64.1%	63.4%	68.0%	0.93×	1.58
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet	35.9%	36.6%	32.0%	1.14×	2.74

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds clean sheet in 1st half	66.4%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Urawa Red Diamonds to concede in 1st half	33.6%	31.5%	—	—	3.18

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 corners	85.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 corners	72.5%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Urawa Red Diamonds under 6.5 corners	70.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Urawa Red Diamonds over 4.5 corners	57.4%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Urawa Red Diamonds under 5.5 corners	57.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Urawa Red Diamonds under 4.5 corners	42.6%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Urawa Red Diamonds over 5.5 corners	42.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Urawa Red Diamonds over 6.5 corners	29.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 corners	27.5%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 corners	14.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.28

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 goals	90.7%	92.2%	75.3%	1.22×	1.08
Urawa Red Diamonds under 3.5 goals	78.5%	77.8%	94.9%	0.82×	1.29
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 goals	68.6%	67.9%	39.1%	1.74×	1.47
Urawa Red Diamonds under 2.5 goals	57.7%	58.8%	85.1%	0.69×	1.70
Urawa Red Diamonds over 2.5 goals	42.3%	41.2%	14.9%	2.77×	2.43
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 goals	31.4%	32.1%	60.9%	0.53×	3.11
Urawa Red Diamonds over 3.5 goals	21.5%	22.2%	5.1%	4.39×	4.50
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 goals	9.3%	7.8%	24.7%	0.31×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds under 1.5 in 1st half	72.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Urawa Red Diamonds over 0.5 in 1st half	64.0%	64.8%	—	—	1.54
Urawa Red Diamonds under 0.5 in 1st half	36.0%	35.2%	—	—	2.84
Urawa Red Diamonds over 1.5 in 1st half	27.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.98

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	54.6%	51.7%	45.9%	1.13×	1.94
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba (home no bet)	45.4%	48.3%	54.1%	0.89×	2.07

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds even goals	50.4%	50.6%	52.4%	0.97×	1.98
Urawa Red Diamonds odd goals	49.6%	49.4%	47.6%	1.04×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	24.4%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 0-0	23.9%	24.1%	—	—	4.14
HT 2-0	12.5%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
HT 1-1	10.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
HT 0-1	9.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.01
Any other HT score	9.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.02
HT 2-1	5.1%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 0-2	2.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 1-2	2.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.46
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.53

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT	44.7%	43.6%	—	—	2.30
Draw at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.8%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT / JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at FT	7.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.66
Draw at HT / JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / Draw at FT	4.3%	3.5%	—	—	28.79
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT / Draw at FT	3.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.82
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at HT / Urawa Red Diamonds at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Urawa Red Diamonds at HT / JEF United Ichihara-Chiba at FT	1.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.91

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to score last	67.5%	70.2%	—	—	1.42
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score last	29.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
No goal scored	3.2%	4.3%	—	—	23.40

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.8%	95.7%	—	—	1.05
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 1 at any time	79.0%	78.4%	—	—	1.28
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	61.5%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 2 at any time	52.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to lead by 1 at any time	34.2%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	31.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Urawa Red Diamonds to lead by 3 at any time	28.8%	25.5%	—	—	3.92
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to lead by 2 at any time	9.7%	6.7%	—	—	14.95
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to lead by 3 at any time	2.3%	1.6%	—	—	62.00

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds most corners	52.6%	51.9%	—	—	1.93
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba most corners	36.3%	39.3%	—	—	2.54
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	83.9%	83.5%	87.5%	0.95×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.5%	78.6%	68.0%	1.16×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.3%	72.4%	65.0%	1.11×	1.38
1-4 goals	71.2%	72.4%	81.8%	0.89×	1.38
3-6 goals	60.3%	63.4%	44.3%	1.43×	1.58
2-4 goals	59.7%	59.2%	59.3%	1.00×	1.69
3-5 goals	53.1%	53.2%	41.3%	1.29×	1.88
1-3 goals	52.6%	53.2%	69.6%	0.76×	1.88
2-3 goals	41.1%	43.6%	47.2%	0.92×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.5%	43.6%	35.6%	1.22×	2.30
4-6 goals	38.4%	39.2%	21.0%	1.86×	2.55
4-5 goals	31.2%	35.4%	18.0%	1.96×	2.83
1-2 goals	30.8%	35.4%	46.4%	0.76×	2.83
5-6 goals	19.8%	18.6%	8.9%	2.10×	5.37
7+ goals	5.7%	8.7%	2.5%	3.45×	11.46

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds never behind	62.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba never behind	17.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.36

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.9%	50.8%	46.8%	1.09×	1.97
Odd number of goals	50.1%	49.2%	53.2%	0.92×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	50.9%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	49.1%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.8%	95.5%	92.9%	1.03×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	87.1%	87.6%	94.5%	0.93×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	85.2%	87.6%	70.4%	1.24×	1.14
Under 4.5 goals	74.5%	72.5%	88.8%	0.82×	1.38
Over 2.5 goals	66.0%	66.2%	46.7%	1.42×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	55.9%	58.8%	76.6%	0.77×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	44.1%	41.2%	23.4%	1.76×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	34.0%	33.8%	53.3%	0.63×	2.96
Over 4.5 goals	25.5%	27.5%	11.2%	2.44×	3.64
Under 1.5 goals	14.8%	12.4%	29.6%	0.42×	8.09
Over 5.5 goals	12.9%	12.4%	5.5%	2.23×	8.09
Under 0.5 goals	3.2%	4.5%	7.1%	0.63×	22.21

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	93.8%	92.5%	97.4%	0.95×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	85.3%	86.7%	94.1%	0.92×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	81.7%	81.0%	61.2%	1.32×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	68.7%	67.4%	87.2%	0.77×	1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.5%	55.4%	30.5%	1.82×	1.80
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.5%	44.6%	69.5%	0.64×	2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	31.3%	32.6%	12.8%	2.55×	3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	18.3%	19.0%	38.8%	0.49×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	14.7%	13.3%	5.9%	2.26×	7.53
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	6.2%	7.5%	2.6%	2.89×	13.27

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	82.6%	86.2%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	76.1%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	58.1%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	41.9%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	23.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half	17.4%	13.8%	—	—	7.27

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	86.1%	85.3%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	68.6%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	58.5%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	41.5%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	31.4%	32.4%	—	—	3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	13.9%	14.7%	—	—	6.79

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba not to score in both halves	84.6%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
Urawa Red Diamonds not to score in both halves	52.6%	55.7%	—	—	1.80
Urawa Red Diamonds to score in both halves	47.4%	44.3%	—	—	2.26
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to score in both halves	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.41

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	58.1%	58.4%	50.5%	1.16×	1.71
Only Urawa Red Diamonds scores	32.6%	33.3%	25.0%	1.33×	3.00
Only JEF United Ichihara-Chiba scores	6.1%	7.2%	17.7%	0.41×	13.92
Neither team scores	3.2%	4.6%	7.1%	0.64×	21.85

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.9%	22.6%	23.4%	0.97×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	19.2%	17.4%	23.9%	0.73×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	18.6%	17.4%	12.3%	1.41×	5.74
6 or more goals	12.9%	12.1%	5.5%	2.18×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	12.6%	12.1%	5.9%	2.06×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	11.5%	12.1%	22.6%	0.53×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	3.2%	4.4%	7.1%	0.62×	22.67

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	58.5%	53.4%	—	—	1.87
1 goal in 2nd half	27.6%	29.8%	—	—	3.36
No goals in 2nd half	13.9%	14.5%	—	—	6.89

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba not to win both halves	97.5%	97.2%	—	—	1.03
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win both halves	72.4%	72.7%	—	—	1.38
Urawa Red Diamonds to win both halves	27.6%	27.3%	—	—	3.66
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win both halves	2.5%	2.8%	—	—	36.22

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds to win either half	77.6%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win neither half	70.8%	72.8%	—	—	1.37
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win either half	29.2%	27.2%	—	—	3.68
Urawa Red Diamonds to win neither half	22.4%	20.3%	—	—	4.93

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba not to win to nil	93.9%	92.1%	82.3%	1.12×	1.09
Urawa Red Diamonds not to win to nil	67.4%	69.7%	75.0%	0.93×	1.44
Urawa Red Diamonds to win to nil	32.6%	30.3%	25.0%	1.21×	3.30
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba to win to nil	6.1%	7.9%	17.7%	0.45×	12.60

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Urawa Red Diamonds by 3+	25.1%	27.8%	6.2%	4.51×	3.59
Urawa Red Diamonds by 1	22.5%	24.1%	25.0%	0.97×	4.14
Urawa Red Diamonds by 2	19.8%	16.9%	12.0%	1.41×	5.91
Draw	17.8%	16.9%	26.3%	0.64×	5.91
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba by 1	9.8%	7.3%	19.3%	0.38×	13.77
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba by 2	3.7%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	36.96
JEF United Ichihara-Chiba by 3+	1.4%	2.7%	6.0%	0.45×	37.04