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Valencia v Girona — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 21 September 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

2–0
0.35 – 0.39 xG
Shots
7 – 9
On target
1 – 3
Shots in box
3 – 5
xG per shot
0.05 – 0.04
Set-piece xG
0.13 – 0.09
Goals − xG
+1.65 – -0.39
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.10.30.40.60'15'30'45'60'75'90'Dani Gómez 57' — goal
Valencia 0.35 xGGirona 0.39 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Bojan Miovski 16' — Blocked Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Javier Guerra 18' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Cristhian Mosquera 26' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Set Piece)Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 29' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Diego López 38' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Set Piece)Javier Guerra 42' — Blocked Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 49' — Saved Shot (0.11 xG, Open Play)Juanpe 55' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Luis Rioja 55' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Dani Gómez 57' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Javier Guerra 60' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Yangel Herrera 63' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Misehouy 64' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Gabriel Misehouy 66' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Ladislav Krejcí 83' — Saved Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Alejandro Francés 92' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)
Valencia attacking right Girona attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
16' Girona Bojan Miovski 0.06 Open Play Blocked Shot
18' Valencia Javier Guerra 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Diego López
26' Valencia Cristhian Mosquera 0.07 Set Piece Missed Shot Pepelu
29' Girona Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Oriol Romeu
38' Valencia Diego López 0.06 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot Enzo Barrenechea
42' Valencia Javier Guerra 0.11 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Diego López
49' Girona Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Daley Blind
55' Girona Juanpe 0.00 Open Play Right Foot Own Goal
55' Valencia Luis Rioja 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Pepelu
57' Valencia Dani Gómez 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Pepelu
60' Valencia Javier Guerra 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Pepelu
63' Girona Yangel Herrera 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Yáser Asprilla
64' Girona Gabriel Misehouy 0.04 From Corner Saved Shot Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld
66' Girona Gabriel Misehouy 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Bojan Miovski
83' Girona Ladislav Krejcí 0.05 From Corner Saved Shot Bryan Gil Salvatierra
92' Girona Alejandro Francés 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Gabriel Misehouy

Players

Girona

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Ladislav Krejcí DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.10
Alejandro Francés DR 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.24
Juanpe DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.22
Daley Blind DL 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.11 0.22
Paulo Gazzaniga GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yáser Asprilla MR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.09 0.22
Arnaut Danjuma Groeneveld ML 79 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.04 0.22
Jhon Solis MC 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.10
Bojan Miovski FW 78 0 0 1 1 0.06 0.01 0.09
Oriol Romeu MC 62 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.02
Abel Ruiz FW 62 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yangel Herrera Sub 28 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.10
Gabriel Misehouy Sub 28 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.02 0.03
Cristhian Stuani Sub 12 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Donny van de Beek Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Bryan Gil Salvatierra Sub 11 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.00

Valencia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Cristhian Mosquera DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.15
Diego López AMR 90 0 0 1 2 0.06 0.15 0.15
Jesús Vázquez DL 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
César Tárrega DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.15
Pepelu DMC 90 0 1 0 4 0.00 0.14 0.18
Giorgi Mamardashvili GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Javier Guerra AMC 88 0 0 3 0 0.18 0.00 0.18
Luis Rioja AML 88 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.02
Dani Gómez FW 79 1 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.03
Thierry Correia DR 79 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.17
Enzo Barrenechea DMC 68 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.17
Hugo Guillamón Sub 22 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
German Valera Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Dimitri Foulquier Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Sergi Canos Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
André Almeida Sub 2 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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