Vancouver Whitecaps v D.C. United — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 27 September 2026 · USA-MLS · 2627

USA-MLS results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

Vancouver Whitecaps

22:30

D.C. United

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 6 Sep, 07:53 · 499h before kick-off

Vancouver Whitecaps win

82.9%

model 78.1%

Draw

10.4%

model 14.4%

D.C. United win

6.8%

model 7.5%

83107

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (50 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

2-0 11.8%
3-0 10.5%
2-1 8.7%
1-0 8.5%
3-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.5	66.3%	Under 2.5	33.7%
BTTS yes	48.8%	BTTS no	51.2%
Vancouver Whitecaps 1+	93.1%	Vancouver Whitecaps 2+	74.7%
D.C. United 1+	52.1%	D.C. United 2+	16.9%

Expected goals 2.68 – 0.74. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

57/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

100%

★ Best pick

Vancouver Whitecaps (-1.5)

Asian handicap · usually 23%

56.9% fair odds 1.76

strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

Under 2.5 in 1st half

Over/Under 1HT

83.5% fair odds 1.20

moderate signal · 384 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1390.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Vancouver Whitecaps have an estimated 82.9% win probability, against 10.4% for the draw and 6.8% for D.C. United. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.68 for Vancouver Whitecaps and 0.74 for D.C. United.

Why Vancouver Whitecaps

Vancouver Whitecaps carry the stronger rating, 1667 Elo against 1390. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 10.4%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why D.C. United can win

Nothing in the data singles out D.C. United.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Vancouver Whitecaps, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for D.C. United, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Vancouver Whitecaps: 61% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 6.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. D.C. United: 38% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 15.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Vancouver Whitecaps's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Vancouver Whitecaps are the model's most likely outcome at 82.9%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.8%. Confidence 57/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	78148	2.68–0.74	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	78157	2.60–0.69	2-0 13%	64%	46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to win	78.0%	78.3%	45.4%	1.73×	1.28
Draw	14.7%	13.4%	24.9%	0.54×	7.49
D.C. United to win	7.3%	8.2%	29.9%	0.27×	12.22

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps & not both score	46.2%	42.9%	21.1%	2.04×	2.33
Vancouver Whitecaps & both teams score	31.8%	29.7%	24.4%	1.22×	3.37
Draw & both teams score	10.6%	13.3%	19.1%	0.69×	7.55
Draw & not both score	4.0%	4.9%	5.8%	0.83×	20.56
D.C. United & both teams score	3.9%	4.9%	17.8%	0.27×	20.57
D.C. United & not both score	3.4%	4.9%	12.3%	0.40×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps & over 1.5	68.6%	67.3%	37.1%	1.81×	1.49
Vancouver Whitecaps & over 2.5	56.0%	54.9%	30.9%	1.77×	1.82
Vancouver Whitecaps & under 3.5	41.7%	40.3%	28.3%	1.43×	2.48
Vancouver Whitecaps & over 3.5	36.4%	34.9%	17.2%	2.03×	2.87
Vancouver Whitecaps & under 2.5	22.0%	21.7%	14.5%	1.49×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	10.6%	12.9%	19.1%	0.67×	7.77
Draw & under 2.5	11.0%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	11.0%	12.9%	16.0%	0.80×	7.77
Vancouver Whitecaps & under 1.5	9.4%	7.9%	8.4%	0.94×	12.69
D.C. United & over 1.5	5.0%	7.9%	23.5%	0.34×	12.70
D.C. United & under 3.5	5.7%	7.9%	18.8%	0.42×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	4.0%	4.8%	5.8%	0.82×	20.93
D.C. United & over 2.5	4.1%	4.8%	20.3%	0.24×	20.93
Draw & over 2.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.9%	0.53×	20.94
Draw & over 3.5	3.7%	4.8%	8.9%	0.53×	20.94
D.C. United & under 2.5	3.2%	4.8%	9.7%	0.49×	20.94
D.C. United & under 1.5	2.3%	4.8%	6.5%	0.73×	20.95
D.C. United & over 3.5	1.6%	4.8%	11.2%	0.43×	20.95

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (1UP)	85.4%	88.7%	—	—	1.13
D.C. United (1UP)	22.5%	22.8%	—	—	4.39

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (2UP)	78.0%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
D.C. United (2UP)	7.3%	8.5%	—	—	11.74

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to win 2nd half	64.0%	59.7%	—	—	1.68
2nd half drawn	26.0%	26.2%	—	—	3.81
D.C. United to win 2nd half	10.0%	11.9%	—	—	8.42

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (+0.5)	92.7%	92.1%	70.1%	1.31×	1.09
Vancouver Whitecaps (-0.5)	78.0%	78.4%	45.4%	1.73×	1.28
D.C. United (+2.5)	65.2%	68.7%	89.5%	0.77×	1.46
Vancouver Whitecaps (-1.5)	56.9%	57.0%	23.3%	2.45×	1.75
D.C. United (+1.5)	43.1%	43.0%	76.7%	0.56×	2.33
Vancouver Whitecaps (-2.5)	34.8%	31.3%	10.5%	2.97×	3.20
D.C. United (+0.5)	22.0%	21.6%	54.6%	0.39×	4.64
D.C. United (-0.5)	7.3%	7.9%	29.9%	0.26×	12.63

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to concede	92.6%	91.8%	82.0%	1.12×	1.09
D.C. United clean sheet	7.4%	8.2%	18.0%	0.46×	12.20

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to concede in 1st half	67.3%	69.3%	—	—	1.44
D.C. United clean sheet in 1st half	32.7%	30.7%	—	—	3.26

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 6.5 corners	90.9%	90.0%	—	—	1.11
D.C. United under 5.5 corners	83.7%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
D.C. United under 4.5 corners	72.4%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
D.C. United over 2.5 corners	62.3%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
D.C. United under 3.5 corners	56.7%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
D.C. United over 3.5 corners	43.3%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
D.C. United under 2.5 corners	37.7%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
D.C. United over 4.5 corners	27.6%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
D.C. United over 5.5 corners	16.3%	18.5%	—	—	5.40
D.C. United over 6.5 corners	9.1%	10.0%	—	—	10.04

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 3.5 goals	99.5%	97.6%	93.9%	1.04×	1.03
D.C. United under 2.5 goals	96.7%	97.5%	83.3%	1.17×	1.03
D.C. United under 1.5 goals	84.8%	81.4%	61.3%	1.33×	1.23
D.C. United under 0.5 goals	50.2%	53.6%	26.8%	2.00×	1.86
D.C. United over 0.5 goals	49.8%	46.4%	73.2%	0.63×	2.16
D.C. United over 1.5 goals	15.2%	18.6%	38.7%	0.48×	5.39
D.C. United over 2.5 goals	3.3%	2.5%	16.7%	0.15×	40.71
D.C. United over 3.5 goals	0.5%	2.4%	6.1%	0.40×	40.85

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United under 1.5 in 1st half	96.8%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
D.C. United under 0.5 in 1st half	75.9%	75.5%	—	—	1.32
D.C. United over 0.5 in 1st half	24.1%	24.5%	—	—	4.09
D.C. United over 1.5 in 1st half	3.2%	4.2%	—	—	23.79

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (away no bet)	84.2%	82.9%	64.6%	1.28×	1.21
Draw (away no bet)	15.8%	17.1%	35.4%	0.48×	5.84

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United even goals	62.6%	59.1%	53.6%	1.10×	1.69
D.C. United odd goals	37.4%	41.0%	46.4%	0.88×	2.44

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	77.1%	82.2%	—	—	1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals	22.9%	17.8%	—	—	5.60

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	74.3%	67.4%	—	—	1.48
Both halves under 1.5 goals	25.7%	32.6%	—	—	3.07

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	72.2%	72.0%	—	—	1.39
Vancouver Whitecaps to score 2+ in a row	67.9%	62.2%	—	—	1.61
Either team to score 3+ in a row	40.8%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Vancouver Whitecaps to score 3+ in a row	39.8%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
D.C. United to score 2+ in a row	8.7%	5.7%	—	—	17.58
D.C. United to score 3+ in a row	1.2%	2.5%	—	—	39.87

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (+3.5)	96.2%	95.8%	—	—	1.04
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (+2.5)	93.3%	89.6%	—	—	1.12
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (+1.5)	89.0%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (-1.5)	65.3%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
D.C. United corners (+3.5)	55.3%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (-2.5)	55.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
D.C. United corners (+2.5)	45.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Vancouver Whitecaps corners (-3.5)	44.7%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
D.C. United corners (+1.5)	34.7%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
D.C. United corners (-1.5)	11.0%	15.5%	—	—	6.46
D.C. United corners (-2.5)	6.7%	10.4%	—	—	9.59
D.C. United corners (-3.5)	3.8%	4.2%	—	—	23.55

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	38.0%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
12+ corners	33.0%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	29.0%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	74.8%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 7.5 corners	71.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 11.5 corners	67.0%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Over 8.5 corners	62.0%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	58.0%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	51.8%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	48.2%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	42.0%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Under 8.5 corners	38.0%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 11.5 corners	33.0%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 7.5 corners	28.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 12.5 corners	25.2%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-0	12.6%	11.5%	6.3%	1.82×	8.73
Any other score	12.2%	11.5%	4.7%	2.44×	8.73
3-0	10.9%	11.5%	4.1%	2.78×	8.73
1-0	9.4%	7.4%	8.4%	0.89×	13.48
2-1	8.7%	7.4%	9.9%	0.75×	13.48
1-1	7.0%	7.4%	10.3%	0.72×	13.48
3-1	7.5%	7.4%	4.9%	1.51×	13.48
4-0	7.1%	7.4%	1.3%	5.89×	13.48
4-1	4.9%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.46
0-0	4.0%	1.7%	5.8%	0.29×	58.47
0-1	2.3%	1.7%	6.5%	0.26×	58.48
0-2	0.9%	1.7%	3.3%	0.51×	58.48
0-3	0.2%	1.7%	1.8%	0.93×	58.49
0-4	0.0%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
1-2	2.3%	1.7%	7.4%	0.23×	58.48
1-3	0.5%	1.7%	3.4%	0.50×	58.49
1-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.24×	58.49
2-2	3.0%	1.7%	6.1%	0.28×	58.47
2-3	0.7%	1.7%	2.4%	0.71×	58.49
2-4	0.1%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
3-2	2.6%	1.7%	3.6%	0.48×	58.47
3-3	0.6%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.49
3-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.7%	2.49×	58.49
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.07×	58.48
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.8%	2.13×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.5%	3.73×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps leading at HT (DNB)	86.5%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
D.C. United leading at HT (DNB)	13.5%	13.9%	—	—	7.20

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw (1X)	92.7%	91.8%	70.1%	1.31×	1.09
Vancouver Whitecaps or D.C. United (12)	85.3%	86.6%	75.1%	1.15×	1.15
D.C. United or draw (X2)	22.0%	21.7%	54.6%	0.40×	4.60

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw at HT	91.0%	89.7%	—	—	1.12
Vancouver Whitecaps or D.C. United at HT	66.8%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
D.C. United or draw at HT	42.2%	42.5%	—	—	2.35

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw (1UP)	92.7%	93.6%	—	—	1.07
D.C. United or draw (1UP)	22.5%	24.2%	—	—	4.13

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps or draw in 2nd half	90.0%	88.1%	—	—	1.14
Vancouver Whitecaps or D.C. United in 2nd half	74.0%	73.8%	—	—	1.36
D.C. United or draw in 2nd half	36.0%	40.3%	—	—	2.48

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half drawn	49.8%	50.3%	—	—	1.99
A half drawn	50.2%	49.7%	—	—	2.01

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (DNB)	91.4%	93.0%	60.3%	1.54×	1.08
D.C. United (DNB)	8.6%	7.0%	39.7%	0.18×	14.38

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to score first	75.9%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
D.C. United to score first	20.1%	22.2%	—	—	4.50
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.27

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score	53.6%	51.4%	38.9%	1.32×	1.95
Both teams to score	46.4%	48.6%	61.1%	0.80×	2.06

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	39.4%	38.5%	50.9%	0.76×	2.60
Not both score & under 2.5	29.2%	33.6%	29.9%	1.12×	2.98
Not both score & over 2.5	24.4%	27.8%	9.2%	3.03×	3.60
Both score & under 2.5	7.0%	8.4%	10.3%	0.81×	11.96

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	88.9%	85.6%	79.5%	1.08×	1.17
Both teams to score 2+	11.1%	14.4%	20.5%	0.70×	6.96

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	73.7%	74.2%	—	—	1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half	26.3%	25.8%	—	—	3.87

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	61.7%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
Both score 2nd half only	22.0%	20.8%	—	—	4.81
Both score 1st half only	12.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.31
Both score in both halves	4.2%	5.0%	—	—	19.84

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	83.7%	82.4%	—	—	1.21
Both teams to score by HT	16.3%	17.6%	—	—	5.69

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	64.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.70
A half without a goal	36.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	42.6%	42.1%	42.5%	0.99×	2.38
4-6 goals	36.7%	35.1%	33.1%	1.06×	2.85
0-1 goals	15.7%	20.2%	20.5%	0.98×	4.96
7+ goals	4.9%	1.8%	4.1%	0.45×	54.29

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United to score exactly 0	50.2%	47.2%	26.8%	1.76×	2.12
D.C. United to score exactly 1	34.6%	33.8%	34.6%	0.98×	2.96
D.C. United to score exactly 2	11.9%	12.8%	22.1%	0.58×	7.81
D.C. United to score 3+	3.3%	4.5%	16.7%	0.27×	22.08

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to score 3+	48.1%	36.9%	25.2%	1.47×	2.71
Vancouver Whitecaps to score exactly 2	25.1%	26.5%	26.0%	1.02×	3.77
Vancouver Whitecaps to score exactly 1	19.3%	18.9%	31.0%	0.61×	5.29
Vancouver Whitecaps to score exactly 0	7.4%	10.3%	18.0%	0.57×	9.72

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps leading at HT	57.8%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Draw at HT	33.2%	33.6%	—	—	2.98
D.C. United leading at HT	9.0%	10.3%	—	—	9.70

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps -1: 1	56.9%	56.7%	—	—	1.77
Vancouver Whitecaps -1: 2	22.0%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
Vancouver Whitecaps -1: X	21.1%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:1)	56.9%	55.8%	23.3%	2.40×	1.79
D.C. United (0:1)	22.0%	24.3%	54.6%	0.44×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	21.1%	24.3%	22.2%	1.09×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (0:2)	43.1%	38.5%	76.7%	0.50×	2.60
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:2)	34.8%	28.9%	10.5%	2.74×	3.46
Draw (0:2)	22.1%	20.3%	12.8%	1.58×	4.92

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (0:3)	65.2%	71.6%	89.5%	0.80×	1.40
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:3)	18.0%	16.1%	4.0%	4.02×	6.21
Draw (0:3)	16.8%	16.1%	6.6%	2.42×	6.23

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United (0:4)	82.0%	86.9%	96.0%	0.91×	1.15
Draw (0:4)	10.1%	9.3%	2.1%	4.52×	10.73
Vancouver Whitecaps (0:4)	8.0%	4.7%	2.1%	2.26×	21.43

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (1:0)	92.7%	92.7%	70.1%	1.32×	1.08
Draw (1:0)	5.4%	6.9%	16.8%	0.41×	14.47
D.C. United (1:0)	1.9%	3.1%	13.2%	0.24×	31.80

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps (2:0)	98.1%	96.9%	86.8%	1.12×	1.03
Draw (2:0)	1.5%	2.3%	8.7%	0.26×	44.28
D.C. United (2:0)	0.4%	2.3%	4.6%	0.49×	44.35

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.0%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	28.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.8%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet	50.2%	53.1%	26.8%	1.98×	1.89
Vancouver Whitecaps to concede	49.8%	46.9%	73.2%	0.64×	2.13

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps clean sheet in 1st half	75.9%	77.3%	—	—	1.29
Vancouver Whitecaps to concede in 1st half	24.1%	22.7%	—	—	4.40

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps over 2.5 corners	91.0%	89.3%	—	—	1.12
Vancouver Whitecaps over 3.5 corners	82.2%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
Vancouver Whitecaps over 4.5 corners	71.0%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
Vancouver Whitecaps over 5.5 corners	58.7%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
Vancouver Whitecaps under 6.5 corners	53.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.89
Vancouver Whitecaps over 6.5 corners	46.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
Vancouver Whitecaps under 5.5 corners	41.3%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
Vancouver Whitecaps under 4.5 corners	29.0%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
Vancouver Whitecaps under 3.5 corners	17.8%	19.1%	—	—	5.25
Vancouver Whitecaps under 2.5 corners	9.0%	10.7%	—	—	9.36

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps over 0.5 goals	92.6%	92.3%	82.0%	1.12×	1.08
Vancouver Whitecaps under 3.5 goals	73.7%	74.2%	90.6%	0.82×	1.35
Vancouver Whitecaps over 1.5 goals	73.2%	74.2%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
Vancouver Whitecaps under 2.5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	74.8%	0.71×	1.88
Vancouver Whitecaps over 2.5 goals	48.1%	46.8%	25.2%	1.86×	2.14
Vancouver Whitecaps under 1.5 goals	26.8%	25.8%	48.9%	0.53×	3.87
Vancouver Whitecaps over 3.5 goals	26.3%	25.8%	9.4%	2.75×	3.87
Vancouver Whitecaps under 0.5 goals	7.4%	7.7%	18.0%	0.43×	12.91

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps under 1.5 in 1st half	69.3%	68.2%	—	—	1.47
Vancouver Whitecaps over 0.5 in 1st half	67.3%	68.0%	—	—	1.47
Vancouver Whitecaps under 0.5 in 1st half	32.7%	32.0%	—	—	3.13
Vancouver Whitecaps over 1.5 in 1st half	30.7%	31.8%	—	—	3.15

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (home no bet)	66.7%	63.9%	45.4%	1.41×	1.57
D.C. United (home no bet)	33.3%	36.1%	54.6%	0.66×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps even goals	50.3%	50.6%	51.0%	0.99×	1.98
Vancouver Whitecaps odd goals	49.7%	49.4%	49.0%	1.01×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 1-0	27.7%	28.9%	—	—	3.47
HT 0-0	24.9%	24.2%	—	—	4.14
HT 2-0	15.5%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
Any other HT score	10.6%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 1-1	7.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
HT 0-1	6.8%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-1	4.3%	2.3%	—	—	43.30
HT 0-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.54
HT 1-2	1.1%	2.3%	—	—	43.53
HT 2-2	0.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.57

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps at HT / Vancouver Whitecaps at FT	54.1%	56.1%	—	—	1.78
Draw at HT / Vancouver Whitecaps at FT	21.0%	21.8%	—	—	4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	9.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.62
D.C. United at HT / D.C. United at FT	3.5%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Draw at HT / D.C. United at FT	3.2%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
Vancouver Whitecaps at HT / Draw at FT	3.0%	3.5%	—	—	28.84
D.C. United at HT / Vancouver Whitecaps at FT	2.9%	3.5%	—	—	28.85
D.C. United at HT / Draw at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
Vancouver Whitecaps at HT / D.C. United at FT	0.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.94

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to score last	75.9%	76.4%	—	—	1.31
D.C. United to score last	20.0%	25.7%	—	—	3.89
No goal scored	4.0%	4.3%	—	—	23.27

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.0%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Vancouver Whitecaps to lead by 1 at any time	85.4%	90.2%	—	—	1.11
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	66.3%	69.4%	—	—	1.44
Vancouver Whitecaps to lead by 2 at any time	62.2%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	38.6%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
Vancouver Whitecaps to lead by 3 at any time	37.9%	34.9%	—	—	2.87
D.C. United to lead by 1 at any time	22.5%	19.6%	—	—	5.10
D.C. United to lead by 2 at any time	4.4%	1.7%	—	—	60.03
D.C. United to lead by 3 at any time	0.7%	1.6%	—	—	63.65

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps most corners	74.8%	70.8%	—	—	1.41
D.C. United most corners	17.2%	19.2%	—	—	5.22
Corners level	8.0%	8.5%	—	—	11.81

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	84.5%	83.5%	83.2%	1.00×	1.20
2-6 goals	79.4%	78.6%	75.5%	1.04×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.8%	72.4%	68.5%	1.06×	1.38
1-4 goals	72.5%	72.4%	73.1%	0.99×	1.38
2-4 goals	60.8%	63.4%	58.4%	1.09×	1.58
3-6 goals	58.9%	59.2%	55.9%	1.06×	1.69
1-3 goals	54.3%	53.2%	57.2%	0.93×	1.88
3-5 goals	52.3%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
2-3 goals	42.6%	43.6%	42.5%	1.03×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	38.8%	1.12×	2.30
4-6 goals	36.7%	39.1%	33.1%	1.18×	2.55
1-2 goals	32.2%	35.4%	34.4%	1.03×	2.83
4-5 goals	30.2%	35.4%	26.1%	1.35×	2.83
5-6 goals	18.5%	18.6%	17.2%	1.08×	5.37
7+ goals	4.9%	2.6%	4.1%	0.62×	39.11

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps never behind	73.4%	77.5%	—	—	1.29
D.C. United never behind	10.6%	12.4%	—	—	8.05

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	49.4%	50.8%	50.2%	1.01×	1.97
Even number of goals	50.6%	49.2%	49.8%	0.99×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	53.2%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	46.8%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.7%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.0%	95.5%	94.2%	1.01×	1.05
Under 5.5 goals	88.5%	87.7%	88.9%	0.99×	1.14
Over 1.5 goals	84.3%	82.4%	79.5%	1.04×	1.21
Under 4.5 goals	76.5%	77.3%	78.8%	0.98×	1.29
Over 2.5 goals	63.8%	61.8%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
Under 3.5 goals	58.3%	58.8%	62.9%	0.94×	1.70
Over 3.5 goals	41.7%	41.2%	37.1%	1.11×	2.43
Under 2.5 goals	36.2%	38.2%	40.1%	0.95×	2.62
Over 4.5 goals	23.5%	22.7%	21.2%	1.07×	4.41
Under 1.5 goals	15.7%	17.6%	20.5%	0.86×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	11.5%	12.4%	11.1%	1.11×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	4.0%	4.5%	5.8%	0.77×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	94.7%	92.5%	95.6%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	86.9%	86.7%	87.6%	0.99×	1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	80.2%	81.0%	74.5%	1.09×	1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	71.3%	72.6%	74.8%	0.97×	1.38
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	53.5%	51.8%	48.1%	1.08×	1.93
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	46.5%	48.2%	51.9%	0.93×	2.08
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	28.7%	27.4%	25.2%	1.09×	3.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	19.8%	19.0%	25.5%	0.74×	5.27
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	13.1%	13.3%	12.4%	1.07×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	5.3%	7.5%	4.4%	1.70×	13.28

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	83.5%	86.3%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	75.1%	78.7%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	59.4%	62.8%	—	—	1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half	40.6%	37.2%	—	—	2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half	24.9%	21.3%	—	—	4.69
Over 2.5 in 1st half	16.5%	13.7%	—	—	7.29

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	84.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	70.6%	77.6%	—	—	1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	56.6%	54.8%	—	—	1.83
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	43.4%	45.2%	—	—	2.21
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	29.4%	22.4%	—	—	4.47
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	15.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United not to score in both halves	91.8%	90.1%	—	—	1.11
Vancouver Whitecaps to score in both halves	52.0%	55.6%	—	—	1.80
Vancouver Whitecaps not to score in both halves	48.0%	44.4%	—	—	2.25
D.C. United to score in both halves	8.2%	9.9%	—	—	10.15

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	46.4%	50.5%	61.1%	0.83×	1.98
Only Vancouver Whitecaps scores	46.2%	50.5%	21.1%	2.39×	1.98
Neither team scores	4.0%	4.6%	5.8%	0.78×	21.82
Only D.C. United scores	3.4%	4.6%	12.3%	0.37×	21.84

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	22.1%	22.6%	22.9%	0.99×	4.42
Exactly 2 goals	20.5%	22.6%	19.7%	1.15×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	18.2%	17.4%	16.0%	1.09×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	12.0%	12.1%	10.2%	1.19×	8.28
Exactly 1 goals	11.7%	12.1%	14.8%	0.82×	8.28
6 or more goals	11.5%	12.1%	11.1%	1.09×	8.28
Exactly 0 goals	4.0%	4.4%	5.8%	0.76×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	56.6%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
1 goal in 2nd half	28.3%	29.8%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	15.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United not to win both halves	99.1%	97.3%	—	—	1.03
Vancouver Whitecaps not to win both halves	62.9%	68.3%	—	—	1.47
Vancouver Whitecaps to win both halves	37.1%	31.7%	—	—	3.15
D.C. United to win both halves	0.9%	2.7%	—	—	36.91

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps to win either half	84.7%	83.4%	—	—	1.20
D.C. United to win neither half	81.9%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
D.C. United to win either half	18.1%	17.1%	—	—	5.84
Vancouver Whitecaps to win neither half	15.3%	16.6%	—	—	6.01

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
D.C. United not to win to nil	96.6%	96.2%	87.7%	1.10×	1.04
Vancouver Whitecaps not to win to nil	53.8%	54.2%	78.9%	0.69×	1.85
Vancouver Whitecaps to win to nil	46.2%	45.8%	21.1%	2.17×	2.18
D.C. United to win to nil	3.4%	3.8%	12.3%	0.31×	25.99

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Vancouver Whitecaps by 3+	34.8%	27.7%	10.5%	2.62×	3.62
Vancouver Whitecaps by 2	22.1%	24.1%	12.8%	1.88×	4.14
Vancouver Whitecaps by 1	21.1%	24.1%	22.2%	1.09×	4.14
Draw	14.7%	11.8%	24.9%	0.47×	8.47
D.C. United by 1	5.4%	7.3%	16.8%	0.43×	13.79
D.C. United by 2	1.5%	2.7%	8.7%	0.31×	37.03
D.C. United by 3+	0.4%	2.7%	4.6%	0.59×	37.07