Västerås SK v IK Sirius — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 5 September 2026 · SWE-Allsvenskan · 2627
SWE-Allsvenskan
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.61–2.01 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 1.71–2.35 | 1-2 8% | 77% | 74% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to win | 51.8% | 51.4% | 36.6% | 1.40× | 1.95 |
| Västerås SK to win | 27.7% | 27.9% | 40.7% | 0.68× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 20.5% | 24.4% | 22.9% | 1.07× | 4.09 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius & both teams score | 35.9% | 33.1% | 18.1% | 1.83× | 3.02 |
| Västerås SK & both teams score | 20.3% | 21.9% | 17.3% | 1.26× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 18.3% | 17.9% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.58 |
| IK Sirius & not both score | 16.0% | 17.9% | 18.8% | 0.95× | 5.58 |
| Västerås SK & not both score | 7.4% | 8.4% | 23.7% | 0.35× | 11.93 |
| Draw & not both score | 2.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 0.91× | 20.62 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius & over 1.5 | 48.2% | 45.2% | 27.7% | 1.63× | 2.21 |
| IK Sirius & over 2.5 | 43.4% | 40.3% | 22.9% | 1.76× | 2.48 |
| IK Sirius & over 3.5 | 31.5% | 30.9% | 11.5% | 2.70× | 3.24 |
| Västerås SK & over 1.5 | 25.1% | 26.0% | 34.6% | 0.75× | 3.84 |
| Västerås SK & over 2.5 | 22.6% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 0.85× | 4.62 |
| IK Sirius & under 3.5 | 20.3% | 21.7% | 25.4% | 0.85× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 18.3% | 18.0% | 17.8% | 1.01× | 5.56 |
| Västerås SK & over 3.5 | 15.2% | 18.0% | 14.8% | 1.22× | 5.56 |
| Västerås SK & under 3.5 | 12.5% | 12.9% | 26.2% | 0.49× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 2.53× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 11.0% | 12.9% | 5.1% | 2.53× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.44× | 12.69 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 9.5% | 7.9% | 18.1% | 0.44× | 12.69 |
| IK Sirius & under 2.5 | 8.5% | 7.9% | 14.0% | 0.56× | 12.69 |
| Västerås SK & under 2.5 | 5.1% | 7.9% | 15.5% | 0.51× | 12.70 |
| IK Sirius & under 1.5 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 0.52× | 20.94 |
| Västerås SK & under 1.5 | 2.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 0.75× | 20.94 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 2.1% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 0.89× | 20.95 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (1UP) | 70.7% | 75.7% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Västerås SK (1UP) | 51.5% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (2UP) | 51.8% | 55.5% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Västerås SK (2UP) | 27.7% | 24.9% | — | — | 4.02 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to win 2nd half | 46.8% | 45.4% | — | — | 2.20 |
| 2nd half drawn | 27.2% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.81 |
| Västerås SK to win 2nd half | 25.9% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (+2.5) | 94.6% | 92.1% | 88.6% | 1.04× | 1.09 |
| IK Sirius (+1.5) | 86.4% | 88.5% | 76.3% | 1.16× | 1.13 |
| IK Sirius (+0.5) | 72.3% | 73.7% | 59.3% | 1.24× | 1.36 |
| IK Sirius (-0.5) | 51.8% | 52.3% | 36.6% | 1.43× | 1.91 |
| Västerås SK (+0.5) | 48.2% | 47.7% | 63.4% | 0.75× | 2.10 |
| Västerås SK (-0.5) | 27.7% | 26.3% | 40.7% | 0.65× | 3.80 |
| Västerås SK (-1.5) | 13.6% | 11.5% | 23.7% | 0.49× | 8.70 |
| Västerås SK (-2.5) | 5.5% | 7.9% | 11.5% | 0.69× | 12.65 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to concede | 81.9% | 81.3% | 76.1% | 1.07× | 1.23 |
| IK Sirius clean sheet | 18.1% | 18.7% | 23.9% | 0.78× | 5.35 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius clean sheet in 1st half | 48.0% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| IK Sirius to concede in 1st half | 52.0% | 49.3% | — | — | 2.03 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius over 2.5 corners | 85.7% | 84.9% | — | — | 1.18 |
| IK Sirius over 3.5 corners | 73.1% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| IK Sirius under 6.5 corners | 68.7% | 68.2% | — | — | 1.47 |
| IK Sirius over 4.5 corners | 58.5% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| IK Sirius under 5.5 corners | 55.9% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| IK Sirius over 5.5 corners | 44.1% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| IK Sirius under 4.5 corners | 41.5% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| IK Sirius over 6.5 corners | 31.3% | 31.8% | — | — | 3.15 |
| IK Sirius under 3.5 corners | 26.9% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| IK Sirius under 2.5 corners | 14.3% | 15.1% | — | — | 6.62 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius over 0.5 goals | 90.4% | 92.3% | 71.2% | 1.30× | 1.08 |
| IK Sirius under 3.5 goals | 79.0% | 76.2% | 95.2% | 0.80× | 1.31 |
| IK Sirius over 1.5 goals | 68.0% | 68.0% | 39.2% | 1.73× | 1.47 |
| IK Sirius under 2.5 goals | 58.4% | 59.5% | 81.7% | 0.73× | 1.68 |
| IK Sirius over 2.5 goals | 41.6% | 40.5% | 18.3% | 2.21× | 2.47 |
| IK Sirius under 1.5 goals | 32.0% | 32.0% | 60.8% | 0.53× | 3.12 |
| IK Sirius over 3.5 goals | 21.0% | 23.8% | 4.8% | 4.91× | 4.21 |
| IK Sirius under 0.5 goals | 9.6% | 7.7% | 28.8% | 0.27× | 13.02 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius under 1.5 in 1st half | 75.8% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.32 |
| IK Sirius over 0.5 in 1st half | 60.9% | 64.0% | — | — | 1.56 |
| IK Sirius under 0.5 in 1st half | 39.1% | 36.0% | — | — | 2.78 |
| IK Sirius over 1.5 in 1st half | 24.2% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.09 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK (away no bet) | 57.5% | 57.5% | 64.0% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 42.5% | 42.5% | 36.0% | 1.18× | 2.35 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius even goals | 50.5% | 52.8% | 53.2% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| IK Sirius odd goals | 49.5% | 47.2% | 46.8% | 1.01× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 65.7% | 71.1% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 34.3% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 84.5% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 15.5% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.58 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 75.9% | 75.4% | — | — | 1.33 |
| IK Sirius to score 2+ in a row | 55.7% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 36.2% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Västerås SK to score 2+ in a row | 36.1% | 36.4% | — | — | 2.75 |
| IK Sirius to score 3+ in a row | 25.8% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
| Västerås SK to score 3+ in a row | 11.7% | 12.2% | — | — | 8.23 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius corners (+3.5) | 87.8% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| IK Sirius corners (+2.5) | 81.4% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Västerås SK corners (+3.5) | 77.3% | 75.5% | — | — | 1.33 |
| IK Sirius corners (+1.5) | 73.2% | 69.9% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Västerås SK corners (+2.5) | 68.5% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Västerås SK corners (+1.5) | 58.3% | 56.8% | — | — | 1.76 |
| IK Sirius corners (-1.5) | 41.7% | 43.2% | — | — | 2.31 |
| IK Sirius corners (-2.5) | 31.5% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| Västerås SK corners (-1.5) | 26.8% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.32 |
| IK Sirius corners (-3.5) | 22.7% | 24.5% | — | — | 4.08 |
| Västerås SK corners (-2.5) | 18.6% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
| Västerås SK corners (-3.5) | 12.2% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 37.0% | 35.1% | — | — | 2.85 |
| 12+ corners | 32.3% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
| 9-11 corners | 30.7% | 32.0% | — | — | 3.13 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 75.9% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 73.3% | 72.5% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 67.7% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 63.0% | 62.7% | — | — | 1.60 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 58.2% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 52.3% | 52.2% | — | — | 1.91 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 47.7% | 47.8% | — | — | 2.09 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 41.8% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 37.0% | 37.3% | — | — | 2.68 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 32.3% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 26.7% | 27.5% | — | — | 3.64 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 24.1% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 50.4% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Any other score | 11.6% | 11.5% | 4.1% | 2.81× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 13.0% | 0.57× | 13.48 |
| 1-2 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 0.91× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.82× | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 6.4% | 7.4% | 4.8% | 1.53× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 1.27× | 13.48 |
| 2-3 | 5.5% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.65× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 4.8% | 1.7% | 5.1% | 0.34× | 58.46 |
| 0-0 | 2.1% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.48 |
| 0-1 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 9.2% | 0.19× | 58.47 |
| 0-3 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 0.45× | 58.47 |
| 0-4 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.48 |
| 1-0 | 2.6% | 1.7% | 6.4% | 0.27× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
| 2-0 | 2.5% | 1.7% | 9.4% | 0.18× | 58.48 |
| 2-4 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
| 3-0 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 3.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.68× | 58.47 |
| 3-4 | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.24× | 58.48 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.61× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.12× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 0.75× | 58.48 |
| 4-4 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.36× | 58.49 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius leading at HT (DNB) | 58.7% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Västerås SK leading at HT (DNB) | 41.3% | 42.0% | — | — | 2.38 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK or IK Sirius (12) | 79.5% | 75.6% | 77.1% | 0.98× | 1.32 |
| IK Sirius or draw (X2) | 72.3% | 72.1% | 59.3% | 1.22× | 1.39 |
| Västerås SK or draw (1X) | 48.2% | 48.6% | 63.4% | 0.77× | 2.06 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius or draw at HT | 72.8% | 74.3% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Västerås SK or IK Sirius at HT | 65.8% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Västerås SK or draw at HT | 61.4% | 62.1% | — | — | 1.61 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius or draw (1UP) | 72.3% | 80.1% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Västerås SK or draw (1UP) | 51.5% | 59.2% | — | — | 1.69 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius or draw in 2nd half | 74.1% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Västerås SK or IK Sirius in 2nd half | 72.8% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Västerås SK or draw in 2nd half | 53.2% | 54.6% | — | — | 1.83 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half drawn | 48.3% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| A half drawn | 51.7% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (DNB) | 65.2% | 67.1% | 47.4% | 1.42× | 1.49 |
| Västerås SK (DNB) | 34.8% | 32.9% | 52.6% | 0.63× | 3.04 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to score first | 56.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Västerås SK to score first | 41.2% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 2.1% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.59 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 74.5% | 62.5% | 52.7% | 1.19× | 1.60 |
| Not both teams to score | 25.6% | 37.5% | 47.3% | 0.79× | 2.67 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 67.1% | 57.3% | 39.9% | 1.44× | 1.74 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 15.7% | 21.7% | 34.4% | 0.63× | 4.61 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.9% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 0.63× | 11.95 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 7.3% | 8.4% | 13.0% | 0.64× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 65.4% | 70.2% | 84.2% | 0.83× | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 34.6% | 29.8% | 15.8% | 1.89× | 3.35 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 52.8% | 53.9% | — | — | 1.85 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 47.2% | 46.1% | — | — | 2.17 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 36.0% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 32.3% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Both score 1st half only | 16.9% | 15.6% | — | — | 6.41 |
| Both score in both halves | 14.9% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.26 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 68.2% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 31.8% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.36 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 73.9% | 73.3% | — | — | 1.36 |
| A half without a goal | 26.1% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.75 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 goals | 46.1% | 47.4% | 26.2% | 1.81× | 2.11 |
| 2-3 goals | 33.9% | 30.8% | 49.1% | 0.63× | 3.25 |
| 7+ goals | 11.6% | 16.9% | 4.8% | 3.50× | 5.91 |
| 0-1 goals | 8.4% | 7.6% | 20.4% | 0.37× | 13.15 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to score 3+ | 41.6% | 37.0% | 18.3% | 2.02× | 2.70 |
| IK Sirius to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 27.4% | 21.1% | 1.30× | 3.65 |
| IK Sirius to score exactly 1 | 22.5% | 22.4% | 32.3% | 0.69× | 4.46 |
| IK Sirius to score exactly 0 | 9.6% | 8.5% | 28.8% | 0.29× | 11.80 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK to score exactly 1 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 32.8% | 0.99× | 3.06 |
| Västerås SK to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 26.5% | 22.1% | 1.20× | 3.77 |
| Västerås SK to score 3+ | 24.5% | 23.3% | 21.6% | 1.08× | 4.30 |
| Västerås SK to score exactly 0 | 18.1% | 18.9% | 23.9% | 0.79× | 5.29 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius leading at HT | 38.6% | 37.9% | — | — | 2.64 |
| Draw at HT | 34.2% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.97 |
| Västerås SK leading at HT | 27.2% | 25.7% | — | — | 3.90 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius -1: 1 | 48.2% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| IK Sirius -1: 2 | 32.3% | 30.1% | — | — | 3.33 |
| IK Sirius -1: X | 19.5% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (0:1) | 72.3% | 71.0% | 59.3% | 1.20× | 1.41 |
| Draw (0:1) | 14.1% | 13.9% | 17.3% | 0.80× | 7.22 |
| Västerås SK (0:1) | 13.6% | 13.9% | 23.7% | 0.59× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (0:2) | 86.4% | 86.9% | 76.3% | 1.14× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.1% | 7.7% | 12.5% | 0.62× | 12.94 |
| Västerås SK (0:2) | 5.5% | 7.7% | 11.5% | 0.67× | 12.97 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (0:3) | 94.6% | 92.6% | 88.6% | 1.05× | 1.08 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.6% | 2.4% | 6.9% | 0.35× | 42.10 |
| Västerås SK (0:3) | 1.8% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 0.49× | 42.18 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (0:4) | 98.2% | 98.1% | 95.2% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.3% | 1.2% | 3.8% | 0.31× | 83.53 |
| Västerås SK (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 0.94× | 83.62 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK (1:0) | 48.2% | 49.7% | 63.4% | 0.78× | 2.01 |
| IK Sirius (1:0) | 32.3% | 30.4% | 16.5% | 1.84× | 3.29 |
| Draw (1:0) | 19.5% | 17.0% | 20.4% | 0.84× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK (2:0) | 67.7% | 70.5% | 83.5% | 0.84× | 1.42 |
| IK Sirius (2:0) | 16.9% | 15.7% | 6.4% | 2.46× | 6.38 |
| Draw (2:0) | 15.4% | 15.6% | 10.4% | 1.50× | 6.40 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 53.3% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.7% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 20.1% | 24.0% | — | — | 4.16 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK to concede | 90.4% | 92.8% | 71.2% | 1.30× | 1.08 |
| Västerås SK clean sheet | 9.6% | 7.2% | 28.8% | 0.25× | 13.97 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK to concede in 1st half | 60.9% | 64.1% | — | — | 1.56 |
| Västerås SK clean sheet in 1st half | 39.1% | 35.9% | — | — | 2.78 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK over 2.5 corners | 79.1% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Västerås SK under 6.5 corners | 78.8% | 76.1% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Västerås SK under 5.5 corners | 67.4% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Västerås SK over 3.5 corners | 63.4% | 62.0% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Västerås SK under 4.5 corners | 52.9% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Västerås SK over 4.5 corners | 47.1% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Västerås SK under 3.5 corners | 36.6% | 38.0% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Västerås SK over 5.5 corners | 32.6% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.10 |
| Västerås SK over 6.5 corners | 21.2% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
| Västerås SK under 2.5 corners | 20.9% | 23.9% | — | — | 4.19 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK under 3.5 goals | 90.6% | 92.2% | 90.6% | 1.02× | 1.08 |
| Västerås SK over 0.5 goals | 81.9% | 82.1% | 76.1% | 1.08× | 1.22 |
| Västerås SK under 2.5 goals | 75.5% | 77.7% | 78.4% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Västerås SK over 1.5 goals | 51.0% | 53.2% | 43.5% | 1.22× | 1.88 |
| Västerås SK under 1.5 goals | 49.1% | 46.8% | 56.5% | 0.83× | 2.14 |
| Västerås SK over 2.5 goals | 24.5% | 22.3% | 21.6% | 1.03× | 4.49 |
| Västerås SK under 0.5 goals | 18.1% | 17.9% | 23.9% | 0.75× | 5.59 |
| Västerås SK over 3.5 goals | 9.4% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 0.82× | 12.89 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK under 1.5 in 1st half | 83.2% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Västerås SK under 0.5 in 1st half | 48.0% | 50.9% | — | — | 1.97 |
| Västerås SK over 0.5 in 1st half | 52.0% | 49.1% | — | — | 2.04 |
| Västerås SK over 1.5 in 1st half | 16.8% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.37 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius (home no bet) | 71.7% | 66.4% | 61.5% | 1.08× | 1.51 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 28.3% | 33.6% | 38.5% | 0.87× | 2.98 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK even goals | 51.6% | 50.6% | 53.9% | 0.94× | 1.98 |
| Västerås SK odd goals | 48.4% | 49.4% | 46.1% | 1.07× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 18.8% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 0-1 | 17.5% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.34 |
| HT 1-0 | 13.7% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.14 |
| HT 1-1 | 13.0% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.15 |
| Any other HT score | 10.5% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 0-2 | 8.3% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.03 |
| HT 1-2 | 6.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.07 |
| HT 2-0 | 5.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.26 |
| HT 2-2 | 2.2% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.45 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius at HT / IK Sirius at FT | 31.1% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| Västerås SK at HT / Västerås SK at FT | 16.5% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / IK Sirius at FT | 15.8% | 16.7% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 9.8% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.60 |
| Draw at HT / Västerås SK at FT | 8.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.63 |
| Västerås SK at HT / Draw at FT | 5.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| Västerås SK at HT / IK Sirius at FT | 4.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| IK Sirius at HT / Draw at FT | 4.9% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| IK Sirius at HT / Västerås SK at FT | 2.5% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.86 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to score last | 56.7% | 56.5% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Västerås SK to score last | 41.2% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 2.1% | 4.2% | — | — | 23.59 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 97.9% | 95.7% | — | — | 1.05 |
| IK Sirius to lead by 1 at any time | 70.7% | 74.1% | — | — | 1.35 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 64.2% | 61.4% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Västerås SK to lead by 1 at any time | 51.5% | 50.7% | — | — | 1.97 |
| IK Sirius to lead by 2 at any time | 42.6% | 39.3% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 30.1% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Västerås SK to lead by 2 at any time | 22.6% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| IK Sirius to lead by 3 at any time | 21.7% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.10 |
| Västerås SK to lead by 3 at any time | 8.4% | 6.7% | — | — | 15.01 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius most corners | 52.6% | 52.9% | — | — | 1.89 |
| Västerås SK most corners | 36.6% | 38.6% | — | — | 2.59 |
| Corners level | 10.8% | 10.6% | — | — | 9.40 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-6 goals | 80.0% | 83.5% | 75.1% | 1.11× | 1.20 |
| 1-5 goals | 75.6% | 78.6% | 86.8% | 0.91× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 69.3% | 69.0% | 71.8% | 0.96× | 1.45 |
| 3-6 goals | 65.4% | 68.9% | 48.3% | 1.43× | 1.45 |
| 1-4 goals | 59.7% | 59.2% | 78.4% | 0.76× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 54.7% | 53.2% | 45.0% | 1.18× | 1.88 |
| 2-4 goals | 53.5% | 53.2% | 63.4% | 0.84× | 1.88 |
| 4-6 goals | 46.1% | 48.7% | 26.2% | 1.86× | 2.06 |
| 1-3 goals | 40.2% | 43.6% | 64.1% | 0.68× | 2.30 |
| 3-4 goals | 38.8% | 39.2% | 36.6% | 1.07× | 2.55 |
| 4-5 goals | 35.4% | 39.1% | 22.9% | 1.71× | 2.56 |
| 2-3 goals | 33.9% | 35.4% | 49.1% | 0.72× | 2.83 |
| 5-6 goals | 26.6% | 30.2% | 12.0% | 2.53× | 3.31 |
| 1-2 goals | 20.9% | 24.5% | 42.0% | 0.58× | 4.09 |
| 7+ goals | 11.6% | 14.9% | 4.8% | 3.08× | 6.72 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius never behind | 46.4% | 56.5% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Västerås SK never behind | 27.2% | 30.0% | — | — | 3.33 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 49.2% | 50.8% | 49.4% | 1.03× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 50.8% | 49.2% | 50.6% | 0.97× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 51.9% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 48.1% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 50.7% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 49.3% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 97.9% | 95.5% | 94.7% | 1.01× | 1.05 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91.6% | 92.3% | 79.6% | 1.16× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 77.7% | 77.3% | 91.9% | 0.84× | 1.29 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 77.0% | 77.3% | 52.9% | 1.46× | 1.29 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 61.8% | 61.8% | 83.5% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 57.7% | 58.8% | 30.8% | 1.91× | 1.70 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 42.3% | 41.2% | 69.2% | 0.59× | 2.43 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 38.2% | 38.2% | 16.5% | 2.31× | 2.61 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 23.0% | 22.7% | 47.1% | 0.48× | 4.41 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 22.3% | 22.7% | 8.1% | 2.78× | 4.41 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 8.4% | 7.7% | 20.4% | 0.38× | 12.92 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 2.1% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 0.84× | 22.23 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 90.2% | 92.4% | 72.2% | 1.28× | 1.08 |
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 87.0% | 86.7% | 95.0% | 0.91× | 1.15 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 73.5% | 72.6% | 91.1% | 0.80× | 1.38 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 71.5% | 72.6% | 39.5% | 1.84× | 1.38 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 52.5% | 51.8% | 80.7% | 0.64× | 1.93 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 47.5% | 48.2% | 19.3% | 2.50× | 2.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 28.5% | 27.4% | 60.5% | 0.45× | 3.65 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 26.5% | 27.4% | 8.9% | 3.08× | 3.65 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 13.0% | 13.3% | 5.0% | 2.65× | 7.54 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 9.8% | 7.6% | 27.8% | 0.27× | 13.24 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 81.2% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 76.4% | 78.7% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 50.1% | 56.2% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 49.9% | 43.8% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 23.6% | 21.3% | — | — | 4.70 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 18.8% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.23 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 90.6% | 88.7% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 68.9% | 67.6% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 57.5% | 54.8% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 42.5% | 45.2% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 31.1% | 32.4% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 9.4% | 11.3% | — | — | 8.88 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK not to score in both halves | 67.6% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| IK Sirius not to score in both halves | 54.0% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| IK Sirius to score in both halves | 46.0% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Västerås SK to score in both halves | 32.4% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 74.5% | 66.7% | 52.7% | 1.27× | 1.50 |
| Only IK Sirius scores | 16.0% | 16.1% | 18.8% | 0.85× | 6.22 |
| Only Västerås SK scores | 7.4% | 7.2% | 23.7% | 0.30× | 13.91 |
| Neither team scores | 2.1% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 0.85× | 21.90 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 or more goals | 22.3% | 22.6% | 8.1% | 2.78× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.3% | 17.4% | 22.4% | 0.78× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 19.5% | 17.4% | 14.5% | 1.20× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 15.9% | 17.4% | 8.7% | 2.01× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 14.6% | 12.1% | 27.0% | 0.45× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 6.2% | 7.6% | 15.3% | 0.50× | 13.09 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 2.1% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 0.82× | 22.69 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 68.9% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 21.7% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.34 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 9.4% | 10.7% | — | — | 9.34 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK not to win both halves | 92.9% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| IK Sirius not to win both halves | 81.8% | 84.2% | — | — | 1.19 |
| IK Sirius to win both halves | 18.2% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.31 |
| Västerås SK to win both halves | 7.1% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.55 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IK Sirius to win either half | 67.3% | 67.9% | — | — | 1.47 |
| Västerås SK to win neither half | 54.0% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Västerås SK to win either half | 46.0% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| IK Sirius to win neither half | 32.7% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.11 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Västerås SK not to win to nil | 92.6% | 92.0% | 76.3% | 1.21× | 1.09 |
| IK Sirius not to win to nil | 84.0% | 83.0% | 81.2% | 1.02× | 1.20 |
| IK Sirius to win to nil | 16.0% | 17.0% | 18.8% | 0.90× | 5.89 |
| Västerås SK to win to nil | 7.4% | 8.0% | 23.7% | 0.34× | 12.57 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 20.5% | 24.1% | 22.9% | 1.05× | 4.14 |
| IK Sirius by 1 | 19.5% | 16.9% | 20.4% | 0.83× | 5.91 |
| IK Sirius by 3+ | 16.9% | 16.9% | 6.4% | 2.66× | 5.91 |
| IK Sirius by 2 | 15.4% | 16.9% | 10.4% | 1.62× | 5.91 |
| Västerås SK by 1 | 14.1% | 11.8% | 17.3% | 0.68× | 8.47 |
| Västerås SK by 2 | 8.1% | 7.3% | 12.5% | 0.58× | 13.78 |
| Västerås SK by 3+ | 5.5% | 7.3% | 11.5% | 0.63× | 13.79 |