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Venezia v Como — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 December 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

2–2
0.30 – 0.78 xG
Shots
9 – 10
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
2 – 5
xG per shot
0.03 – 0.08
Set-piece xG
0.13 – 0.14
Goals − xG
+1.70 – +1.22
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.20.40.70.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 15' — goalAndrea Belotti 55' — goalGaetano Oristanio 68' — goal
Venezia 0.30 xGComo 0.78 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Gabriel Strefezza 2' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 15' — Goal (0.03 xG, Open Play)Alieu Fadera 17' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Andrea Belotti 23' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, From Corner)Nico Paz 23' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alieu Fadera 30' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Yannick Engelhardt 31' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, From Corner)Antonio Candela 48' — Own Goal (0.00 xG, Open Play)Gabriel Strefezza 51' — Missed Shot (0.34 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 53' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Andrea Belotti 55' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Nico Paz 57' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 58' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alieu Fadera 62' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Set Piece)Gaetano Oristanio 68' — Goal (0.01 xG, From Corner)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 82' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 84' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)Domen Crnigoj 91' — Blocked Shot (0.09 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 93' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Direct Freekick)
Venezia attacking right Como attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
2' Como Gabriel Strefezza 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Nico Paz
15' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Goal Francesco Zampano
17' Como Alieu Fadera 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
23' Como Andrea Belotti 0.07 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot Yannick Engelhardt
23' Como Nico Paz 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Ignace Van der Brempt
30' Como Alieu Fadera 0.09 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Yannick Engelhardt
31' Como Yannick Engelhardt 0.04 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Gabriel Strefezza
48' Venezia Antonio Candela 0.00 Open Play Right Foot Own Goal
51' Como Gabriel Strefezza 0.34 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alieu Fadera
53' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Gaetano Oristanio
55' Como Andrea Belotti 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Goal Ignace Van der Brempt
57' Como Nico Paz 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
58' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Francesco Zampano
62' Como Alieu Fadera 0.02 Set Piece Left Foot Saved Shot
68' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.01 From Corner Left Foot Goal
82' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Blocked Shot
84' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Saved Shot
91' Venezia Domen Crnigoj 0.09 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
93' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.04 Direct Freekick Right Foot Missed Shot

Players

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 90 1 0 5 0 0.17 0.00 0.05
Joel Pohjanpalo FW 90 0 0 1 0 0.03 0.00 0.05
Michael Svoboda DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Francesco Zampano DML 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.05 0.05
Jay Idzes DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Gaetano Oristanio AMC 85 1 0 1 1 0.01 0.03 0.03
Gianluca Busio AMC 85 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Giorgio Altare DC 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Antonio Candela DMR 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Issa Doumbia MC 65 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Magnus Kofod Andersen Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marin Sverko Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Mikael Ellertsson Sub 25 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Domen Crnigoj Sub 5 0 0 1 0 0.09 0.00 0.09
John Yeboah Sub 5 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Como

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Nico Paz AMC 90 0 0 2 1 0.05 0.03 0.20
Yannick Engelhardt DMC 90 0 0 1 2 0.04 0.16 0.09
José Reina GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Ignace Van der Brempt DR 90 0 1 0 2 0.00 0.14 0.14
Edoardo Goldaniga DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Marc-Oliver Kempf DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Gabriel Strefezza AMR 86 0 0 2 1 0.37 0.04 0.49
Lucas Da Cunha DMC 86 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.12
Andrea Belotti FW 77 1 0 2 0 0.19 0.00 0.14
Marco Sala DL 77 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Alieu Fadera AML 69 0 0 3 1 0.13 0.34 0.60
Luca Mazzitelli Sub 21 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alessio Iovine Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Patrick Cutrone Sub 13 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Simone Verdi Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Alessandro Gabrielloni Sub 4 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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