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Venezia v Udinese — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 30 October 2024 · ITA-Serie A · 2425

Serie A xG

3–2
2.55 – 1.31 xG
Shots
18 – 15
On target
7 – 5
Shots in box
9 – 10
xG per shot
0.14 – 0.09
Set-piece xG
1.74 – 0.64
Goals − xG
+0.45 – +0.69
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.71.42.12.90'15'30'45'60'75'90'Sandi Lovric 18' — goalIker Bravo 24' — goalJoel Pohjanpalo 40' — goalHans Nicolussi Caviglia 55' — goalJoel Pohjanpalo 85' — goal
Venezia 2.55 xGUdinese 1.31 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Alfred Duncan 5' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 7' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)John Yeboah 12' — Saved Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 18' — Goal (0.12 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 18' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Iker Bravo 24' — Goal (0.06 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 26' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 26' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Martín Payero 26' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 27' — Missed Shot (0.12 xG, Open Play)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 30' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Lorenzo Lucca 32' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 40' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Iker Bravo 43' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Martín Payero 46' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Alfred Duncan 47' — Missed Shot (0.36 xG, Open Play)Alfred Duncan 48' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sandi Lovric 51' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Souleymane Isaak Touré 51' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 55' — Goal (0.11 xG, Direct Freekick)Gianluca Busio 59' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 59' — Saved Shot (0.03 xG, From Corner)Jaka Bijol 64' — Missed Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Gaetano Oristanio 66' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, From Corner)Ridgeciano Haps 66' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Lorenzo Lucca 74' — Saved Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Mikael Ellertsson 74' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Christian Kabasele 79' — Missed Shot (0.54 xG, Set Piece)Gaetano Oristanio 80' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Magnus Kofod Andersen 81' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Alfred Duncan 82' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Joel Pohjanpalo 85' — Goal (0.76 xG, )Ridgeciano Haps 88' — Missed Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)
Venezia attacking right Udinese attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
5' Venezia Alfred Duncan 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot
7' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
12' Venezia John Yeboah 0.07 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot
18' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Goal Iker Bravo
18' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.03 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
24' Udinese Iker Bravo 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Goal
26' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Iker Bravo
26' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.01 Open Play Missed Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
26' Udinese Martín Payero 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Sandi Lovric
27' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.12 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Kingsley Ehizibue
30' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Alfred Duncan
32' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Iker Bravo
40' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.76 Right Foot Goal
43' Udinese Iker Bravo 0.03 Open Play Missed Shot Hassane Kamara
46' Udinese Martín Payero 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
47' Venezia Alfred Duncan 0.36 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Gaetano Oristanio
48' Venezia Alfred Duncan 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Hans Nicolussi Caviglia
51' Udinese Sandi Lovric 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Missed Shot
51' Udinese Souleymane Isaak Touré 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Blocked Shot Martín Payero
55' Venezia Hans Nicolussi Caviglia 0.11 Direct Freekick Right Foot Goal
59' Venezia Gianluca Busio 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Michael Svoboda
59' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.03 From Corner Right Foot Saved Shot Gianluca Busio
64' Udinese Jaka Bijol 0.02 From Corner Missed Shot Jordan Zemura
66' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.02 From Corner Left Foot Blocked Shot
66' Venezia Ridgeciano Haps 0.05 From Corner Right Foot Missed Shot Joel Pohjanpalo
74' Udinese Lorenzo Lucca 0.06 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Jesper Karlström
74' Venezia Mikael Ellertsson 0.02 Open Play Saved Shot Gaetano Oristanio
79' Udinese Christian Kabasele 0.54 Set Piece Right Foot Missed Shot
80' Venezia Gaetano Oristanio 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Michael Svoboda
81' Venezia Magnus Kofod Andersen 0.02 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Joel Pohjanpalo
82' Venezia Alfred Duncan 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mikael Ellertsson
85' Venezia Joel Pohjanpalo 0.76 Right Foot Goal
88' Venezia Ridgeciano Haps 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Magnus Kofod Andersen

Players

Udinese

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Martín Payero MC 90 0 0 2 1 0.13 0.05 0.47
Jaka Bijol DC 90 0 0 1 0 0.02 0.00 0.06
Kingsley Ehizibue DMR 90 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.18 0.23
Maduka Okoye GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jesper Karlström MC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.22
Lorenzo Lucca FW 79 0 0 5 0 0.29 0.00 0.29
Sandi Lovric MC 79 1 0 3 1 0.19 0.04 0.42
Hassane Kamara DML 64 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.03 0.05
Lautaro Giannetti DC 64 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Iker Bravo AMC 56 1 1 2 3 0.09 0.22 0.31
Souleymane Isaak Touré DC 54 0 0 1 0 0.05 0.00 0.12
Christian Kabasele Sub 34 0 0 1 0 0.54 0.00 0.00
Oier Zarraga Sub 26 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Jordan Zemura Sub 26 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.02 0.00
Keinan Davis Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Florian Thauvin Sub 11 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Venezia

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Joel Pohjanpalo FW 90 2 0 3 2 1.55 0.08 0.38
Alfred Duncan MC 90 0 0 4 1 0.49 0.04 0.64
Ridgeciano Haps DC 90 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.13
Mikael Ellertsson DML 90 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.08 0.16
Filip Stankovic GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.06
Michael Svoboda DC 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.12 0.18
Giorgio Altare DC 81 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Gianluca Busio AMC 75 0 0 1 1 0.08 0.03 0.08
Hans Nicolussi Caviglia MC 74 1 0 3 1 0.18 0.02 0.11
John Yeboah AMC 47 0 0 1 0 0.07 0.00 0.09
Antonio Candela DMR 47 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.03
Gaetano Oristanio Sub 43 0 0 2 2 0.07 0.38 0.45
Francesco Zampano Sub 43 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.02
Magnus Kofod Andersen Sub 16 0 0 1 1 0.02 0.03 0.05
Christian Gytkjær Sub 15 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Marin Sverko Sub 9 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.04
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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