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Viborg FF v Midtjylland — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 19 October 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627

DEN-Superliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Viborg FF win
26.8%
model 29.4%
Draw
26.8%
model 25.5%
Midtjylland win
46.5%
model 45.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 11.9%
  2. 1-2 9.3%
  3. 0-1 7.9%
  4. 2-1 7.3%
  5. 0-2 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.556.6% Under 2.543.4%
BTTS yes59.5% BTTS no40.5%
Viborg FF 1+72.7% Viborg FF 2+37.3%
Midtjylland 1+80.9% Midtjylland 2+49.3%

Expected goals 1.30 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
80/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
100%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

  • Midtjylland carry the stronger rating, 1693 Elo against 1584.
  • Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Midtjylland have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Viborg FF and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Viborg FF and 1.66 for Midtjylland.

Why Viborg FF

Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Midtjylland can win

Midtjylland carry the stronger rating, 1693 Elo against 1584. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Viborg FF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Midtjylland, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Viborg FF: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Midtjylland: 54% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Midtjylland are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
dc-xg 1.32–1.69 1-1 12% 58% 60%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to win 45.5% 47.4% 30.0% 1.58× 2.11
Viborg FF to win 29.3% 27.9% 44.9% 0.62× 3.59
Draw 25.2% 27.9% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland & both teams score 24.4% 21.9% 16.8% 1.30× 4.57
Midtjylland & not both score 21.1% 21.9% 13.5% 1.62× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 19.6% 17.9% 19.6% 0.92× 5.58
Viborg FF & both teams score 16.5% 17.9% 24.5% 0.73× 5.58
Viborg FF & not both score 12.8% 13.3% 20.7% 0.64× 7.54
Draw & not both score 5.6% 8.4% 6.1% 1.38× 11.94
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland & over 1.5 37.9% 34.9% 26.2% 1.33× 2.87
Midtjylland & over 2.5 30.9% 30.9% 20.9% 1.47× 3.24
Midtjylland & under 3.5 27.9% 26.0% 18.5% 1.41× 3.84
Viborg FF & over 1.5 23.5% 21.7% 35.5% 0.61× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 19.6% 18.0% 19.6% 0.92× 5.56
Viborg FF & over 2.5 19.2% 18.0% 29.5% 0.61× 5.56
Viborg FF & under 3.5 19.2% 18.0% 27.3% 0.66× 5.56
Midtjylland & over 3.5 17.6% 18.0% 11.8% 1.52× 5.56
Draw & under 2.5 17.3% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Draw & under 3.5 17.3% 18.0% 16.8% 1.07× 5.56
Midtjylland & under 2.5 14.7% 12.9% 9.4% 1.37× 7.77
Viborg FF & under 2.5 10.1% 12.9% 15.7% 0.82× 7.77
Viborg FF & over 3.5 10.1% 12.9% 17.9% 0.72× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 7.9% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Draw & over 3.5 7.9% 7.9% 8.8% 0.89× 12.70
Midtjylland & under 1.5 7.6% 7.9% 4.1% 1.91× 12.70
Viborg FF & under 1.5 5.8% 7.9% 9.6% 0.82× 12.70
Draw & under 1.5 5.6% 7.9% 6.1% 1.30× 12.70
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (1UP) 62.5% 63.1% 1.59
Viborg FF (1UP) 48.7% 43.3% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (2UP) 45.5% 49.6% 2.02
Viborg FF (2UP) 29.3% 25.0% 4.00
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to win 2nd half 40.5% 40.9% 2.44
2nd half drawn 33.3% 34.5% 2.90
Viborg FF to win 2nd half 26.1% 26.2% 3.81
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (+2.5) 95.5% 96.3% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Midtjylland (+1.5) 87.0% 88.5% 78.8% 1.12× 1.13
Midtjylland (+0.5) 70.7% 73.7% 55.1% 1.34× 1.36
Viborg FF (+0.5) 54.5% 52.4% 70.0% 0.75× 1.91
Midtjylland (-0.5) 45.5% 47.6% 30.0% 1.59× 2.10
Viborg FF (-0.5) 29.3% 26.3% 44.9% 0.59× 3.80
Viborg FF (-1.5) 13.0% 11.5% 21.2% 0.54× 8.70
Viborg FF (-2.5) 4.5% 3.7% 8.3% 0.45× 26.78
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to concede 73.3% 76.5% 80.7% 0.95× 1.31
Midtjylland clean sheet 26.7% 23.5% 19.3% 1.22× 4.25
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland clean sheet in 1st half 56.7% 58.4% 1.71
Midtjylland to concede in 1st half 43.3% 41.6% 2.41
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland over 2.5 corners 87.2% 85.2% 1.17
Midtjylland over 3.5 corners 75.8% 75.9% 1.32
Midtjylland under 6.5 corners 63.8% 61.8% 1.62
Midtjylland over 4.5 corners 62.4% 61.8% 1.62
Midtjylland under 5.5 corners 51.3% 53.1% 1.88
Midtjylland over 5.5 corners 48.7% 46.9% 2.13
Midtjylland under 4.5 corners 37.6% 38.2% 2.62
Midtjylland over 6.5 corners 36.2% 38.2% 2.62
Midtjylland under 3.5 corners 24.2% 24.1% 4.16
Midtjylland under 2.5 corners 12.8% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland under 3.5 goals 90.8% 92.3% 93.7% 0.99× 1.08
Midtjylland over 0.5 goals 81.6% 81.4% 73.6% 1.11× 1.23
Midtjylland under 2.5 goals 75.9% 76.2% 84.0% 0.91× 1.31
Midtjylland over 1.5 goals 50.4% 53.7% 42.1% 1.27× 1.86
Midtjylland under 1.5 goals 49.6% 46.3% 57.9% 0.80× 2.16
Midtjylland over 2.5 goals 24.1% 23.8% 16.0% 1.49× 4.21
Midtjylland under 0.5 goals 18.4% 18.6% 26.4% 0.70× 5.38
Midtjylland over 3.5 goals 9.2% 7.7% 6.3% 1.21× 13.02
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland under 1.5 in 1st half 85.2% 88.9% 1.12
Midtjylland under 0.5 in 1st half 50.8% 56.1% 1.78
Midtjylland over 0.5 in 1st half 49.2% 43.9% 2.28
Midtjylland over 1.5 in 1st half 14.8% 11.1% 9.03
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (away no bet) 53.7% 51.3% 63.9% 0.80× 1.95
Draw (away no bet) 46.3% 48.7% 36.1% 1.35× 2.05
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland even goals 51.7% 52.8% 57.6% 0.92× 1.89
Midtjylland odd goals 48.3% 47.2% 42.4% 1.11× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 81.4% 82.9% 1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals 18.6% 17.1% 5.84
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 69.8% 68.8% 1.45
Both halves under 1.5 goals 30.2% 31.2% 3.21
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 60.9% 59.8% 1.67
Midtjylland to score 2+ in a row 40.9% 38.2% 2.62
Viborg FF to score 2+ in a row 28.1% 25.1% 3.99
Either team to score 3+ in a row 23.1% 19.5% 5.12
Midtjylland to score 3+ in a row 15.5% 16.3% 6.14
Viborg FF to score 3+ in a row 8.1% 5.7% 17.64
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland corners (+3.5) 88.1% 84.5% 1.18
Midtjylland corners (+2.5) 82.2% 79.7% 1.25
Midtjylland corners (+1.5) 74.6% 70.7% 1.41
Viborg FF corners (+3.5) 73.8% 70.7% 1.41
Viborg FF corners (+2.5) 64.9% 61.9% 1.62
Viborg FF corners (+1.5) 55.0% 57.1% 1.75
Midtjylland corners (-1.5) 45.0% 42.9% 2.33
Midtjylland corners (-2.5) 35.1% 38.1% 2.63
Midtjylland corners (-3.5) 26.2% 29.3% 3.42
Viborg FF corners (-1.5) 25.4% 29.3% 3.42
Viborg FF corners (-2.5) 17.8% 20.3% 4.94
Viborg FF corners (-3.5) 11.9% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 36.7% 33.7% 2.97
0-8 corners 33.7% 33.2% 3.01
9-11 corners 29.6% 31.2% 3.20
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 75.7% 76.5% 1.31
Under 12.5 corners 71.7% 72.6% 1.38
Over 8.5 corners 66.3% 67.7% 1.48
Under 11.5 corners 63.3% 63.4% 1.58
Over 9.5 corners 56.1% 57.8% 1.73
Under 10.5 corners 53.9% 53.3% 1.88
Over 10.5 corners 46.1% 46.7% 2.14
Under 9.5 corners 43.9% 42.2% 2.37
Over 11.5 corners 36.7% 36.6% 2.73
Under 8.5 corners 33.7% 32.3% 3.09
Over 12.5 corners 28.3% 27.4% 3.66
Under 7.5 corners 24.3% 23.5% 4.26
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 11.7% 11.5% 11.0% 1.04× 8.73
1-2 9.3% 7.4% 7.7% 0.96× 13.48
0-1 7.6% 7.4% 4.1% 1.80× 13.48
0-2 7.0% 7.4% 5.5% 1.35× 13.48
2-1 7.3% 7.4% 10.2% 0.73× 13.48
0-0 5.6% 7.4% 6.1% 1.22× 13.48
1-0 5.8% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
1-3 5.2% 7.4% 2.8% 2.69× 13.48
2-2 6.1% 7.4% 6.6% 1.12× 13.48
0-3 4.0% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.47
0-4 1.7% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
1-4 2.2% 1.7% 2.8% 0.62× 58.48
2-0 4.3% 1.7% 6.3% 0.27× 58.47
2-3 3.5% 1.7% 3.3% 0.52× 58.47
2-4 1.5% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.48
3-0 1.9% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.48
3-1 3.2% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
3-2 2.7% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.47
3-3 1.5% 1.7% 2.5% 0.69× 58.48
3-4 0.6% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
4-0 0.6% 1.7% 1.9% 0.89× 58.49
4-1 1.1% 1.7% 1.1% 1.55× 58.48
4-2 0.9% 1.7% 2.2% 0.78× 58.48
4-3 0.5% 1.7% 0.6% 3.10× 58.49
4-4 0.2% 1.7% 0.3% 6.21× 58.49
Any other score 4.0% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland leading at HT (DNB) 55.8% 57.6% 1.74
Viborg FF leading at HT (DNB) 44.2% 42.4% 2.36
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF or Midtjylland (12) 74.8% 72.1% 74.7% 0.97× 1.39
Midtjylland or draw (X2) 70.7% 72.1% 55.1% 1.31× 1.39
Viborg FF or draw (1X) 54.5% 52.6% 70.0% 0.75× 1.90
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw at HT 74.0% 74.4% 1.34
Viborg FF or draw at HT 67.2% 66.4% 1.51
Viborg FF or Midtjylland at HT 58.8% 56.9% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw (1UP) 70.7% 80.0% 1.25
Viborg FF or draw (1UP) 54.5% 59.4% 1.68
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland or draw in 2nd half 73.9% 73.8% 1.36
Viborg FF or Midtjylland in 2nd half 66.7% 65.5% 1.53
Viborg FF or draw in 2nd half 59.5% 59.1% 1.69
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 60.0% 61.5% 1.63
Neither half drawn 40.0% 38.5% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (DNB) 60.9% 62.8% 40.1% 1.57× 1.59
Viborg FF (DNB) 39.1% 37.2% 59.9% 0.62× 2.69
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to score first 53.0% 53.9% 1.86
Viborg FF to score first 41.4% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 5.6% 7.5% 13.42
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 60.5% 56.5% 60.3% 0.94× 1.77
Not both teams to score 39.5% 43.5% 39.7% 1.10× 2.30
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 48.8% 44.3% 49.6% 0.89× 2.26
Not both score & under 2.5 30.4% 34.3% 30.6% 1.12× 2.92
Both score & under 2.5 11.7% 12.3% 11.0% 1.12× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 9.1% 8.4% 9.4% 0.89× 11.95
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 80.8% 83.0% 80.4% 1.03× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 19.2% 17.0% 19.6% 0.87× 5.89
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 66.0% 67.5% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 34.0% 32.5% 3.08
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 51.8% 55.9% 1.79
Both score 2nd half only 26.8% 26.5% 3.77
Both score 1st half only 14.2% 10.8% 9.27
Both score in both halves 7.2% 6.8% 14.74
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 78.6% 81.5% 1.23
Both teams to score by HT 21.4% 18.5% 5.42
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 59.4% 57.4% 1.74
A half without a goal 40.6% 42.6% 2.35
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 45.4% 47.4% 43.0% 1.10× 2.11
4-6 goals 32.1% 30.7% 36.4% 0.85× 3.25
0-1 goals 19.0% 20.2% 19.3% 1.05× 4.95
7+ goals 3.4% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 54.45
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to score exactly 1 31.2% 33.8% 31.7% 1.07× 2.96
Midtjylland to score exactly 2 26.4% 27.4% 26.4% 1.04× 3.65
Midtjylland to score 3+ 24.1% 22.4% 16.0% 1.40× 4.46
Midtjylland to score exactly 0 18.4% 19.6% 26.4% 0.74× 5.11
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to score exactly 1 35.3% 35.6% 33.6% 1.06× 2.81
Viborg FF to score exactly 0 26.7% 26.5% 19.3% 1.38× 3.77
Viborg FF to score exactly 2 23.3% 23.2% 25.9% 0.90× 4.30
Viborg FF to score 3+ 14.8% 14.3% 21.8% 0.66× 6.97
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 41.2% 43.1% 2.32
Midtjylland leading at HT 32.8% 33.6% 2.98
Viborg FF leading at HT 26.0% 25.6% 3.91
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland -1: 1 54.5% 52.1% 1.92
Midtjylland -1: 2 24.4% 23.6% 4.24
Midtjylland -1: X 21.1% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:1) 70.7% 71.0% 55.1% 1.29× 1.41
Draw (0:1) 16.3% 17.8% 24.0% 0.74× 5.63
Viborg FF (0:1) 13.0% 13.8% 21.2% 0.65× 7.22
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:2) 87.0% 86.9% 78.8% 1.10× 1.15
Draw (0:2) 8.5% 7.7% 13.2% 0.58× 12.94
Viborg FF (0:2) 4.5% 3.8% 8.3% 0.46× 26.49
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:3) 95.5% 96.6% 91.7% 1.05× 1.04
Draw (0:3) 3.2% 2.4% 3.6% 0.66× 42.12
Viborg FF (0:3) 1.3% 2.4% 5.0% 0.48× 42.21
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (0:4) 98.7% 98.1% 95.0% 1.03× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.0% 1.2% 3.3% 0.36× 83.57
Viborg FF (0:4) 0.3% 1.2% 1.9% 0.62× 83.65
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (1:0) 54.5% 54.2% 70.0% 0.77× 1.85
Midtjylland (1:0) 24.4% 21.8% 15.7% 1.39× 4.59
Draw (1:0) 21.1% 21.8% 14.6% 1.49× 4.60
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF (2:0) 75.6% 80.2% 84.3% 0.95× 1.25
Draw (2:0) 14.0% 10.4% 8.3% 1.26× 9.62
Midtjylland (2:0) 10.4% 10.4% 7.7% 1.34× 9.65
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.1% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 26.5% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 24.4% 24.1% 4.14
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF to concede 81.6% 80.8% 73.6% 1.10× 1.24
Viborg FF clean sheet 18.4% 19.2% 26.4% 0.73× 5.20
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF clean sheet in 1st half 50.8% 56.1% 1.78
Viborg FF to concede in 1st half 49.2% 43.9% 2.28
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF over 2.5 corners 78.8% 76.6% 1.31
Viborg FF under 6.5 corners 77.6% 76.6% 1.31
Viborg FF under 5.5 corners 66.3% 66.7% 1.50
Viborg FF over 3.5 corners 63.5% 62.3% 1.61
Viborg FF under 4.5 corners 52.3% 52.8% 1.90
Viborg FF over 4.5 corners 47.7% 47.2% 2.12
Viborg FF under 3.5 corners 36.5% 37.7% 2.65
Viborg FF over 5.5 corners 33.7% 33.3% 3.00
Viborg FF over 6.5 corners 22.4% 23.4% 4.27
Viborg FF under 2.5 corners 21.2% 23.4% 4.27
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 3.5 goals 95.5% 96.4% 91.2% 1.06× 1.04
Viborg FF under 2.5 goals 85.3% 87.2% 78.2% 1.12× 1.15
Viborg FF over 0.5 goals 73.3% 74.2% 80.7% 0.92× 1.35
Viborg FF under 1.5 goals 62.0% 63.5% 52.6% 1.21× 1.58
Viborg FF over 1.5 goals 38.0% 36.5% 47.4% 0.77× 2.74
Viborg FF under 0.5 goals 26.7% 25.8% 19.3% 1.34× 3.87
Viborg FF over 2.5 goals 14.8% 12.8% 21.8% 0.59× 7.84
Viborg FF over 3.5 goals 4.5% 3.6% 8.8% 0.41× 27.41
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF under 1.5 in 1st half 88.9% 89.8% 1.11
Viborg FF under 0.5 in 1st half 56.7% 58.1% 1.72
Viborg FF over 0.5 in 1st half 43.3% 41.9% 2.38
Viborg FF over 1.5 in 1st half 11.1% 10.2% 9.82
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland (home no bet) 64.4% 60.2% 54.2% 1.11× 1.66
Draw (home no bet) 35.6% 39.8% 45.8% 0.87× 2.52
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF even goals 53.6% 50.6% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Viborg FF odd goals 46.4% 49.4% 49.6% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 28.9% 28.9% 3.46
HT 0-1 19.4% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-0 16.2% 18.7% 5.35
HT 1-1 11.2% 10.9% 9.17
HT 0-2 6.6% 7.1% 14.06
Any other HT score 5.1% 7.1% 14.08
HT 2-0 4.6% 2.3% 43.27
HT 1-2 3.7% 2.3% 43.33
HT 2-1 3.1% 2.3% 43.38
HT 2-2 1.1% 2.3% 43.53
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland at HT / Midtjylland at FT 25.8% 26.7% 3.75
Viborg FF at HT / Viborg FF at FT 16.9% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Midtjylland at FT 16.3% 16.8% 5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 14.5% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Viborg FF at FT 10.4% 12.7% 7.90
Viborg FF at HT / Draw at FT 5.7% 6.0% 16.72
Midtjylland at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 3.5% 28.77
Viborg FF at HT / Midtjylland at FT 3.4% 3.5% 28.83
Midtjylland at HT / Viborg FF at FT 2.0% 3.5% 28.88
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to score last 53.1% 52.0% 1.92
Viborg FF to score last 41.3% 40.0% 2.50
No goal scored 5.6% 7.5% 13.42
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 94.4% 92.6% 1.08
Midtjylland to lead by 1 at any time 62.5% 61.3% 1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 50.7% 50.6% 1.98
Viborg FF to lead by 1 at any time 48.7% 44.1% 2.27
Midtjylland to lead by 2 at any time 31.7% 29.4% 3.41
Viborg FF to lead by 2 at any time 19.3% 15.0% 6.69
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 19.3% 15.0% 6.69
Midtjylland to lead by 3 at any time 13.1% 10.5% 9.54
Viborg FF to lead by 3 at any time 6.2% 6.6% 15.12
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland most corners 55.4% 55.4% 1.80
Viborg FF most corners 34.5% 34.3% 2.92
Corners level 10.1% 10.4% 9.62
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 85.9% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
2-6 goals 77.6% 78.6% 79.1% 0.99× 1.27
1-4 goals 75.7% 78.6% 73.8% 1.06× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.5% 72.4% 72.2% 1.00× 1.38
2-4 goals 62.3% 63.4% 60.6% 1.05× 1.58
1-3 goals 58.8% 59.2% 56.2% 1.05× 1.69
3-6 goals 54.5% 53.2% 57.0% 0.93× 1.88
3-5 goals 49.4% 48.7% 50.1% 0.97× 2.06
2-3 goals 45.4% 48.7% 43.0% 1.13× 2.06
3-4 goals 39.3% 39.2% 38.6% 1.02× 2.55
1-2 goals 36.4% 39.1% 35.5% 1.10× 2.56
4-6 goals 32.1% 35.4% 36.4% 0.97× 2.83
4-5 goals 27.0% 30.2% 29.5% 1.03× 3.31
5-6 goals 15.3% 18.6% 18.7% 0.99× 5.37
7+ goals 3.4% 2.6% 1.9% 1.32× 39.18
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland never behind 45.7% 56.4% 1.77
Viborg FF never behind 31.9% 35.6% 2.81
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.5% 50.8% 47.1% 1.08× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.5% 49.2% 52.9% 0.93× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 54.4% 51.7% 1.93
Odd goals in 1st half 45.6% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.9% 52.1% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.1% 47.9% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 94.4% 92.3% 93.9% 0.98× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 91.5% 92.3% 91.2% 1.01× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 81.3% 82.4% 79.6% 1.03× 1.21
Over 1.5 goals 81.0% 82.4% 80.7% 1.02× 1.21
Under 3.5 goals 64.5% 61.8% 62.0% 1.00× 1.62
Over 2.5 goals 57.9% 58.8% 58.7% 1.00× 1.70
Under 2.5 goals 42.1% 41.2% 41.3% 1.00× 2.43
Over 3.5 goals 35.5% 38.2% 38.0% 1.01× 2.62
Under 1.5 goals 19.0% 17.6% 19.3% 0.91× 5.67
Over 4.5 goals 18.7% 17.6% 20.4% 0.86× 5.67
Over 5.5 goals 8.5% 7.7% 8.8% 0.88× 12.92
Under 0.5 goals 5.6% 7.7% 6.1% 1.28× 12.93
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 96.4% 97.2% 97.9% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 90.5% 92.4% 90.0% 1.03× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 77.5% 75.9% 75.3% 1.01× 1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 75.3% 75.9% 75.3% 1.01× 1.32
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 54.2% 51.8% 52.1% 1.00× 1.93
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 45.8% 48.2% 47.9% 1.01× 2.08
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 24.7% 24.1% 24.7% 0.97× 4.15
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 22.5% 24.1% 24.7% 0.97× 4.15
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 9.5% 7.6% 10.0% 0.76× 13.24
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 3.6% 2.8% 2.1% 1.34× 36.12
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 87.0% 89.0% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 71.1% 71.2% 1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half 64.5% 63.7% 1.57
Over 1.5 in 1st half 35.5% 36.3% 2.76
Under 0.5 in 1st half 28.9% 28.8% 3.47
Over 2.5 in 1st half 13.0% 11.0% 9.06
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 82.7% 82.8% 1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 73.9% 77.8% 1.29
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 53.0% 53.2% 1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 47.0% 46.8% 2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 26.1% 22.2% 4.50
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 17.3% 17.2% 5.83
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF not to score in both halves 77.1% 78.2% 1.28
Midtjylland not to score in both halves 68.6% 70.5% 1.42
Midtjylland to score in both halves 31.4% 29.5% 3.39
Viborg FF to score in both halves 22.9% 21.8% 4.59
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 60.5% 60.2% 60.3% 1.00× 1.66
Only Midtjylland scores 21.1% 22.3% 13.5% 1.65× 4.48
Only Viborg FF scores 12.8% 10.9% 20.7% 0.53× 9.14
Neither team scores 5.6% 7.2% 6.1% 1.19× 13.92
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 23.0% 22.6% 22.3% 1.01× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 22.4% 22.6% 20.9% 1.08× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 16.9% 17.4% 17.9% 0.97× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 13.4% 12.1% 13.5% 0.90× 8.27
Exactly 5 goals 10.2% 12.1% 11.8% 1.02× 8.28
6 or more goals 8.5% 7.6% 8.8% 0.87× 13.08
Exactly 0 goals 5.6% 7.6% 6.1% 1.26× 13.09
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 53.0% 51.4% 1.95
1 goal in 2nd half 29.7% 29.9% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 17.3% 17.1% 5.83
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF not to win both halves 93.1% 94.0% 1.06
Midtjylland not to win both halves 86.6% 87.9% 1.14
Midtjylland to win both halves 13.4% 12.1% 8.24
Viborg FF to win both halves 6.9% 6.0% 16.57
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Midtjylland to win either half 59.9% 59.6% 1.68
Viborg FF to win neither half 54.8% 55.0% 1.82
Viborg FF to win either half 45.2% 45.0% 2.22
Midtjylland to win neither half 40.1% 40.4% 2.47
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viborg FF not to win to nil 87.2% 88.2% 79.3% 1.11× 1.13
Midtjylland not to win to nil 78.9% 78.1% 86.5% 0.90× 1.28
Midtjylland to win to nil 21.1% 21.9% 13.5% 1.63× 4.56
Viborg FF to win to nil 12.8% 11.8% 20.7% 0.57× 8.49
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 25.2% 27.8% 25.3% 1.10× 3.59
Midtjylland by 1 21.1% 24.1% 14.6% 1.65× 4.14
Viborg FF by 1 16.3% 16.9% 24.0% 0.71× 5.91
Midtjylland by 2 14.0% 11.8% 8.3% 1.43× 8.47
Midtjylland by 3+ 10.4% 11.8% 7.7% 1.53× 8.48
Viborg FF by 2 8.5% 7.3% 13.2% 0.55× 13.78
Viborg FF by 3+ 4.5% 2.7% 8.3% 0.33× 36.94
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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