Viborg FF v Midtjylland — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 19 October 2026 · DEN-Superliga · 2627
DEN-Superliga
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyCalibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 11.9%
- 1-2 9.3%
- 0-1 7.9%
- 2-1 7.3%
- 0-2 7.1%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 56.6% | Under 2.5 | 43.4% |
| BTTS yes | 59.5% | BTTS no | 40.5% |
| Viborg FF 1+ | 72.7% | Viborg FF 2+ | 37.3% |
| Midtjylland 1+ | 80.9% | Midtjylland 2+ | 49.3% |
Expected goals 1.30 – 1.66. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Midtjylland carry the stronger rating, 1693 Elo against 1584.
- Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Midtjylland have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for Viborg FF and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.30 for Viborg FF and 1.66 for Midtjylland.
Why Viborg FF
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 25% in this competition.
Why Midtjylland can win
Midtjylland carry the stronger rating, 1693 Elo against 1584. Form is good: 2.20 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Viborg FF, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Midtjylland, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Viborg FF: 47% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 14.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Midtjylland: 54% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 10.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Midtjylland are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 11.9%. Confidence 80/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.32–1.69 | 1-1 12% | 58% | 60% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to win | 45.5% | 47.4% | 30.0% | 1.58× | 2.11 |
| Viborg FF to win | 29.3% | 27.9% | 44.9% | 0.62× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 25.2% | 27.9% | 25.3% | 1.10× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland & both teams score | 24.4% | 21.9% | 16.8% | 1.30× | 4.57 |
| Midtjylland & not both score | 21.1% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 1.62× | 4.57 |
| Draw & both teams score | 19.6% | 17.9% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.58 |
| Viborg FF & both teams score | 16.5% | 17.9% | 24.5% | 0.73× | 5.58 |
| Viborg FF & not both score | 12.8% | 13.3% | 20.7% | 0.64× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 1.38× | 11.94 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland & over 1.5 | 37.9% | 34.9% | 26.2% | 1.33× | 2.87 |
| Midtjylland & over 2.5 | 30.9% | 30.9% | 20.9% | 1.47× | 3.24 |
| Midtjylland & under 3.5 | 27.9% | 26.0% | 18.5% | 1.41× | 3.84 |
| Viborg FF & over 1.5 | 23.5% | 21.7% | 35.5% | 0.61× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 19.6% | 18.0% | 19.6% | 0.92× | 5.56 |
| Viborg FF & over 2.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 29.5% | 0.61× | 5.56 |
| Viborg FF & under 3.5 | 19.2% | 18.0% | 27.3% | 0.66× | 5.56 |
| Midtjylland & over 3.5 | 17.6% | 18.0% | 11.8% | 1.52× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 17.3% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 1.07× | 5.56 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 17.3% | 18.0% | 16.8% | 1.07× | 5.56 |
| Midtjylland & under 2.5 | 14.7% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 1.37× | 7.77 |
| Viborg FF & under 2.5 | 10.1% | 12.9% | 15.7% | 0.82× | 7.77 |
| Viborg FF & over 3.5 | 10.1% | 12.9% | 17.9% | 0.72× | 7.77 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 0.89× | 12.70 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 0.89× | 12.70 |
| Midtjylland & under 1.5 | 7.6% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 1.91× | 12.70 |
| Viborg FF & under 1.5 | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 0.82× | 12.70 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 5.6% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 1.30× | 12.70 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (1UP) | 62.5% | 63.1% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Viborg FF (1UP) | 48.7% | 43.3% | — | — | 2.31 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (2UP) | 45.5% | 49.6% | — | — | 2.02 |
| Viborg FF (2UP) | 29.3% | 25.0% | — | — | 4.00 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to win 2nd half | 40.5% | 40.9% | — | — | 2.44 |
| 2nd half drawn | 33.3% | 34.5% | — | — | 2.90 |
| Viborg FF to win 2nd half | 26.1% | 26.2% | — | — | 3.81 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (+2.5) | 95.5% | 96.3% | 91.7% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Midtjylland (+1.5) | 87.0% | 88.5% | 78.8% | 1.12× | 1.13 |
| Midtjylland (+0.5) | 70.7% | 73.7% | 55.1% | 1.34× | 1.36 |
| Viborg FF (+0.5) | 54.5% | 52.4% | 70.0% | 0.75× | 1.91 |
| Midtjylland (-0.5) | 45.5% | 47.6% | 30.0% | 1.59× | 2.10 |
| Viborg FF (-0.5) | 29.3% | 26.3% | 44.9% | 0.59× | 3.80 |
| Viborg FF (-1.5) | 13.0% | 11.5% | 21.2% | 0.54× | 8.70 |
| Viborg FF (-2.5) | 4.5% | 3.7% | 8.3% | 0.45× | 26.78 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to concede | 73.3% | 76.5% | 80.7% | 0.95× | 1.31 |
| Midtjylland clean sheet | 26.7% | 23.5% | 19.3% | 1.22× | 4.25 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland clean sheet in 1st half | 56.7% | 58.4% | — | — | 1.71 |
| Midtjylland to concede in 1st half | 43.3% | 41.6% | — | — | 2.41 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland over 2.5 corners | 87.2% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Midtjylland over 3.5 corners | 75.8% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Midtjylland under 6.5 corners | 63.8% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Midtjylland over 4.5 corners | 62.4% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Midtjylland under 5.5 corners | 51.3% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Midtjylland over 5.5 corners | 48.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Midtjylland under 4.5 corners | 37.6% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Midtjylland over 6.5 corners | 36.2% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Midtjylland under 3.5 corners | 24.2% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
| Midtjylland under 2.5 corners | 12.8% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.75 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland under 3.5 goals | 90.8% | 92.3% | 93.7% | 0.99× | 1.08 |
| Midtjylland over 0.5 goals | 81.6% | 81.4% | 73.6% | 1.11× | 1.23 |
| Midtjylland under 2.5 goals | 75.9% | 76.2% | 84.0% | 0.91× | 1.31 |
| Midtjylland over 1.5 goals | 50.4% | 53.7% | 42.1% | 1.27× | 1.86 |
| Midtjylland under 1.5 goals | 49.6% | 46.3% | 57.9% | 0.80× | 2.16 |
| Midtjylland over 2.5 goals | 24.1% | 23.8% | 16.0% | 1.49× | 4.21 |
| Midtjylland under 0.5 goals | 18.4% | 18.6% | 26.4% | 0.70× | 5.38 |
| Midtjylland over 3.5 goals | 9.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 1.21× | 13.02 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland under 1.5 in 1st half | 85.2% | 88.9% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Midtjylland under 0.5 in 1st half | 50.8% | 56.1% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Midtjylland over 0.5 in 1st half | 49.2% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
| Midtjylland over 1.5 in 1st half | 14.8% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.03 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF (away no bet) | 53.7% | 51.3% | 63.9% | 0.80× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 46.3% | 48.7% | 36.1% | 1.35× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland even goals | 51.7% | 52.8% | 57.6% | 0.92× | 1.89 |
| Midtjylland odd goals | 48.3% | 47.2% | 42.4% | 1.11× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 81.4% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 18.6% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 69.8% | 68.8% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 30.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.21 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 60.9% | 59.8% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Midtjylland to score 2+ in a row | 40.9% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Viborg FF to score 2+ in a row | 28.1% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.99 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 23.1% | 19.5% | — | — | 5.12 |
| Midtjylland to score 3+ in a row | 15.5% | 16.3% | — | — | 6.14 |
| Viborg FF to score 3+ in a row | 8.1% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.64 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland corners (+3.5) | 88.1% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Midtjylland corners (+2.5) | 82.2% | 79.7% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Midtjylland corners (+1.5) | 74.6% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Viborg FF corners (+3.5) | 73.8% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Viborg FF corners (+2.5) | 64.9% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Viborg FF corners (+1.5) | 55.0% | 57.1% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Midtjylland corners (-1.5) | 45.0% | 42.9% | — | — | 2.33 |
| Midtjylland corners (-2.5) | 35.1% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Midtjylland corners (-3.5) | 26.2% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Viborg FF corners (-1.5) | 25.4% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.42 |
| Viborg FF corners (-2.5) | 17.8% | 20.3% | — | — | 4.94 |
| Viborg FF corners (-3.5) | 11.9% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.46 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12+ corners | 36.7% | 33.7% | — | — | 2.97 |
| 0-8 corners | 33.7% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
| 9-11 corners | 29.6% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 7.5 corners | 75.7% | 76.5% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Under 12.5 corners | 71.7% | 72.6% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 66.3% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 63.3% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 56.1% | 57.8% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 53.9% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 46.1% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 43.9% | 42.2% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 36.7% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 33.7% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 28.3% | 27.4% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 24.3% | 23.5% | — | — | 4.26 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | 11.7% | 11.5% | 11.0% | 1.04× | 8.73 |
| 1-2 | 9.3% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 0.96× | 13.48 |
| 0-1 | 7.6% | 7.4% | 4.1% | 1.80× | 13.48 |
| 0-2 | 7.0% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 1.35× | 13.48 |
| 2-1 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.48 |
| 0-0 | 5.6% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 1.22× | 13.48 |
| 1-0 | 5.8% | 7.4% | 9.6% | 0.77× | 13.48 |
| 1-3 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 2.8% | 2.69× | 13.48 |
| 2-2 | 6.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.12× | 13.48 |
| 0-3 | 4.0% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.89× | 58.47 |
| 0-4 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 58.48 |
| 1-4 | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 0.62× | 58.48 |
| 2-0 | 4.3% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.47 |
| 2-3 | 3.5% | 1.7% | 3.3% | 0.52× | 58.47 |
| 2-4 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.10× | 58.48 |
| 3-0 | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.89× | 58.48 |
| 3-1 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 58.47 |
| 3-2 | 2.7% | 1.7% | 4.4% | 0.39× | 58.47 |
| 3-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 0.69× | 58.48 |
| 3-4 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.21× | 58.49 |
| 4-0 | 0.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 0.89× | 58.49 |
| 4-1 | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.55× | 58.48 |
| 4-2 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 0.78× | 58.48 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 3.10× | 58.49 |
| 4-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 6.21× | 58.49 |
| Any other score | 4.0% | 1.7% | 5.2% | 0.33× | 58.47 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland leading at HT (DNB) | 55.8% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Viborg FF leading at HT (DNB) | 44.2% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF or Midtjylland (12) | 74.8% | 72.1% | 74.7% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| Midtjylland or draw (X2) | 70.7% | 72.1% | 55.1% | 1.31× | 1.39 |
| Viborg FF or draw (1X) | 54.5% | 52.6% | 70.0% | 0.75× | 1.90 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland or draw at HT | 74.0% | 74.4% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Viborg FF or draw at HT | 67.2% | 66.4% | — | — | 1.51 |
| Viborg FF or Midtjylland at HT | 58.8% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland or draw (1UP) | 70.7% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Viborg FF or draw (1UP) | 54.5% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland or draw in 2nd half | 73.9% | 73.8% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Viborg FF or Midtjylland in 2nd half | 66.7% | 65.5% | — | — | 1.53 |
| Viborg FF or draw in 2nd half | 59.5% | 59.1% | — | — | 1.69 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 60.0% | 61.5% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Neither half drawn | 40.0% | 38.5% | — | — | 2.60 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (DNB) | 60.9% | 62.8% | 40.1% | 1.57× | 1.59 |
| Viborg FF (DNB) | 39.1% | 37.2% | 59.9% | 0.62× | 2.69 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to score first | 53.0% | 53.9% | — | — | 1.86 |
| Viborg FF to score first | 41.4% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| No goal scored | 5.6% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.42 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams to score | 60.5% | 56.5% | 60.3% | 0.94× | 1.77 |
| Not both teams to score | 39.5% | 43.5% | 39.7% | 1.10× | 2.30 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 48.8% | 44.3% | 49.6% | 0.89× | 2.26 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 30.4% | 34.3% | 30.6% | 1.12× | 2.92 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 1.12× | 8.11 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 0.89× | 11.95 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 80.8% | 83.0% | 80.4% | 1.03× | 1.20 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 19.2% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 0.87× | 5.89 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 66.0% | 67.5% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 34.0% | 32.5% | — | — | 3.08 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 51.8% | 55.9% | — | — | 1.79 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 26.8% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Both score 1st half only | 14.2% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.27 |
| Both score in both halves | 7.2% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.74 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 78.6% | 81.5% | — | — | 1.23 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 21.4% | 18.5% | — | — | 5.42 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 59.4% | 57.4% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A half without a goal | 40.6% | 42.6% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.4% | 47.4% | 43.0% | 1.10× | 2.11 |
| 4-6 goals | 32.1% | 30.7% | 36.4% | 0.85× | 3.25 |
| 0-1 goals | 19.0% | 20.2% | 19.3% | 1.05× | 4.95 |
| 7+ goals | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 0.95× | 54.45 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to score exactly 1 | 31.2% | 33.8% | 31.7% | 1.07× | 2.96 |
| Midtjylland to score exactly 2 | 26.4% | 27.4% | 26.4% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Midtjylland to score 3+ | 24.1% | 22.4% | 16.0% | 1.40× | 4.46 |
| Midtjylland to score exactly 0 | 18.4% | 19.6% | 26.4% | 0.74× | 5.11 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF to score exactly 1 | 35.3% | 35.6% | 33.6% | 1.06× | 2.81 |
| Viborg FF to score exactly 0 | 26.7% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 1.38× | 3.77 |
| Viborg FF to score exactly 2 | 23.3% | 23.2% | 25.9% | 0.90× | 4.30 |
| Viborg FF to score 3+ | 14.8% | 14.3% | 21.8% | 0.66× | 6.97 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 41.2% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Midtjylland leading at HT | 32.8% | 33.6% | — | — | 2.98 |
| Viborg FF leading at HT | 26.0% | 25.6% | — | — | 3.91 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland -1: 1 | 54.5% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Midtjylland -1: 2 | 24.4% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Midtjylland -1: X | 21.1% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (0:1) | 70.7% | 71.0% | 55.1% | 1.29× | 1.41 |
| Draw (0:1) | 16.3% | 17.8% | 24.0% | 0.74× | 5.63 |
| Viborg FF (0:1) | 13.0% | 13.8% | 21.2% | 0.65× | 7.22 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (0:2) | 87.0% | 86.9% | 78.8% | 1.10× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 8.5% | 7.7% | 13.2% | 0.58× | 12.94 |
| Viborg FF (0:2) | 4.5% | 3.8% | 8.3% | 0.46× | 26.49 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (0:3) | 95.5% | 96.6% | 91.7% | 1.05× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 0.66× | 42.12 |
| Viborg FF (0:3) | 1.3% | 2.4% | 5.0% | 0.48× | 42.21 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (0:4) | 98.7% | 98.1% | 95.0% | 1.03× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 1.0% | 1.2% | 3.3% | 0.36× | 83.57 |
| Viborg FF (0:4) | 0.3% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 0.62× | 83.65 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF (1:0) | 54.5% | 54.2% | 70.0% | 0.77× | 1.85 |
| Midtjylland (1:0) | 24.4% | 21.8% | 15.7% | 1.39× | 4.59 |
| Draw (1:0) | 21.1% | 21.8% | 14.6% | 1.49× | 4.60 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF (2:0) | 75.6% | 80.2% | 84.3% | 0.95× | 1.25 |
| Draw (2:0) | 14.0% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 1.26× | 9.62 |
| Midtjylland (2:0) | 10.4% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 1.34× | 9.65 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 49.1% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.08 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 24.4% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.14 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF to concede | 81.6% | 80.8% | 73.6% | 1.10× | 1.24 |
| Viborg FF clean sheet | 18.4% | 19.2% | 26.4% | 0.73× | 5.20 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF clean sheet in 1st half | 50.8% | 56.1% | — | — | 1.78 |
| Viborg FF to concede in 1st half | 49.2% | 43.9% | — | — | 2.28 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF over 2.5 corners | 78.8% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Viborg FF under 6.5 corners | 77.6% | 76.6% | — | — | 1.31 |
| Viborg FF under 5.5 corners | 66.3% | 66.7% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Viborg FF over 3.5 corners | 63.5% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Viborg FF under 4.5 corners | 52.3% | 52.8% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Viborg FF over 4.5 corners | 47.7% | 47.2% | — | — | 2.12 |
| Viborg FF under 3.5 corners | 36.5% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Viborg FF over 5.5 corners | 33.7% | 33.3% | — | — | 3.00 |
| Viborg FF over 6.5 corners | 22.4% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
| Viborg FF under 2.5 corners | 21.2% | 23.4% | — | — | 4.27 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF under 3.5 goals | 95.5% | 96.4% | 91.2% | 1.06× | 1.04 |
| Viborg FF under 2.5 goals | 85.3% | 87.2% | 78.2% | 1.12× | 1.15 |
| Viborg FF over 0.5 goals | 73.3% | 74.2% | 80.7% | 0.92× | 1.35 |
| Viborg FF under 1.5 goals | 62.0% | 63.5% | 52.6% | 1.21× | 1.58 |
| Viborg FF over 1.5 goals | 38.0% | 36.5% | 47.4% | 0.77× | 2.74 |
| Viborg FF under 0.5 goals | 26.7% | 25.8% | 19.3% | 1.34× | 3.87 |
| Viborg FF over 2.5 goals | 14.8% | 12.8% | 21.8% | 0.59× | 7.84 |
| Viborg FF over 3.5 goals | 4.5% | 3.6% | 8.8% | 0.41× | 27.41 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF under 1.5 in 1st half | 88.9% | 89.8% | — | — | 1.11 |
| Viborg FF under 0.5 in 1st half | 56.7% | 58.1% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Viborg FF over 0.5 in 1st half | 43.3% | 41.9% | — | — | 2.38 |
| Viborg FF over 1.5 in 1st half | 11.1% | 10.2% | — | — | 9.82 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland (home no bet) | 64.4% | 60.2% | 54.2% | 1.11× | 1.66 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 35.6% | 39.8% | 45.8% | 0.87× | 2.52 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF even goals | 53.6% | 50.6% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Viborg FF odd goals | 46.4% | 49.4% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 28.9% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| HT 0-1 | 19.4% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 1-0 | 16.2% | 18.7% | — | — | 5.35 |
| HT 1-1 | 11.2% | 10.9% | — | — | 9.17 |
| HT 0-2 | 6.6% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.06 |
| Any other HT score | 5.1% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 2-0 | 4.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.27 |
| HT 1-2 | 3.7% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.33 |
| HT 2-1 | 3.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.38 |
| HT 2-2 | 1.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.53 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland at HT / Midtjylland at FT | 25.8% | 26.7% | — | — | 3.75 |
| Viborg FF at HT / Viborg FF at FT | 16.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Midtjylland at FT | 16.3% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.97 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 14.5% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.88 |
| Draw at HT / Viborg FF at FT | 10.4% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Viborg FF at HT / Draw at FT | 5.7% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.72 |
| Midtjylland at HT / Draw at FT | 5.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.77 |
| Viborg FF at HT / Midtjylland at FT | 3.4% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| Midtjylland at HT / Viborg FF at FT | 2.0% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.88 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to score last | 53.1% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Viborg FF to score last | 41.3% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| No goal scored | 5.6% | 7.5% | — | — | 13.42 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 94.4% | 92.6% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Midtjylland to lead by 1 at any time | 62.5% | 61.3% | — | — | 1.63 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 50.7% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Viborg FF to lead by 1 at any time | 48.7% | 44.1% | — | — | 2.27 |
| Midtjylland to lead by 2 at any time | 31.7% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Viborg FF to lead by 2 at any time | 19.3% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 19.3% | 15.0% | — | — | 6.69 |
| Midtjylland to lead by 3 at any time | 13.1% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.54 |
| Viborg FF to lead by 3 at any time | 6.2% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.12 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland most corners | 55.4% | 55.4% | — | — | 1.80 |
| Viborg FF most corners | 34.5% | 34.3% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Corners level | 10.1% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.62 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 85.9% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.6% | 78.6% | 79.1% | 0.99× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 75.7% | 78.6% | 73.8% | 1.06× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.5% | 72.4% | 72.2% | 1.00× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 62.3% | 63.4% | 60.6% | 1.05× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 58.8% | 59.2% | 56.2% | 1.05× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 54.5% | 53.2% | 57.0% | 0.93× | 1.88 |
| 3-5 goals | 49.4% | 48.7% | 50.1% | 0.97× | 2.06 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.4% | 48.7% | 43.0% | 1.13× | 2.06 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.3% | 39.2% | 38.6% | 1.02× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 36.4% | 39.1% | 35.5% | 1.10× | 2.56 |
| 4-6 goals | 32.1% | 35.4% | 36.4% | 0.97× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 27.0% | 30.2% | 29.5% | 1.03× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 15.3% | 18.6% | 18.7% | 0.99× | 5.37 |
| 7+ goals | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.32× | 39.18 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland never behind | 45.7% | 56.4% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Viborg FF never behind | 31.9% | 35.6% | — | — | 2.81 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of goals | 48.5% | 50.8% | 47.1% | 1.08× | 1.97 |
| Even number of goals | 51.5% | 49.2% | 52.9% | 0.93× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 54.4% | 51.7% | — | — | 1.93 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 45.6% | 48.3% | — | — | 2.07 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.9% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.1% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 94.4% | 92.3% | 93.9% | 0.98× | 1.08 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 91.5% | 92.3% | 91.2% | 1.01× | 1.08 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 81.3% | 82.4% | 79.6% | 1.03× | 1.21 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.0% | 82.4% | 80.7% | 1.02× | 1.21 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 64.5% | 61.8% | 62.0% | 1.00× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57.9% | 58.8% | 58.7% | 1.00× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 42.1% | 41.2% | 41.3% | 1.00× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35.5% | 38.2% | 38.0% | 1.01× | 2.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 19.0% | 17.6% | 19.3% | 0.91× | 5.67 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 18.7% | 17.6% | 20.4% | 0.86× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 0.88× | 12.92 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 5.6% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 1.28× | 12.93 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 96.4% | 97.2% | 97.9% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 90.5% | 92.4% | 90.0% | 1.03× | 1.08 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 77.5% | 75.9% | 75.3% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 75.3% | 75.9% | 75.3% | 1.01× | 1.32 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 54.2% | 51.8% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.93 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 45.8% | 48.2% | 47.9% | 1.01× | 2.08 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 24.7% | 24.1% | 24.7% | 0.97× | 4.15 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 22.5% | 24.1% | 24.7% | 0.97× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 9.5% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 0.76× | 13.24 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 1.34× | 36.12 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 87.0% | 89.0% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 71.1% | 71.2% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 64.5% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 35.5% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 28.9% | 28.8% | — | — | 3.47 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 13.0% | 11.0% | — | — | 9.06 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 82.7% | 82.8% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 73.9% | 77.8% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 53.0% | 53.2% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 47.0% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 26.1% | 22.2% | — | — | 4.50 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 17.3% | 17.2% | — | — | 5.83 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF not to score in both halves | 77.1% | 78.2% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Midtjylland not to score in both halves | 68.6% | 70.5% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Midtjylland to score in both halves | 31.4% | 29.5% | — | — | 3.39 |
| Viborg FF to score in both halves | 22.9% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.59 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 60.5% | 60.2% | 60.3% | 1.00× | 1.66 |
| Only Midtjylland scores | 21.1% | 22.3% | 13.5% | 1.65× | 4.48 |
| Only Viborg FF scores | 12.8% | 10.9% | 20.7% | 0.53× | 9.14 |
| Neither team scores | 5.6% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.19× | 13.92 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 23.0% | 22.6% | 22.3% | 1.01× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 20.9% | 1.08× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 16.9% | 17.4% | 17.9% | 0.97× | 5.74 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 13.4% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 0.90× | 8.27 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.2% | 12.1% | 11.8% | 1.02× | 8.28 |
| 6 or more goals | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 0.87× | 13.08 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 5.6% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 1.26× | 13.09 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 53.0% | 51.4% | — | — | 1.95 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 29.7% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 17.3% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.83 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF not to win both halves | 93.1% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Midtjylland not to win both halves | 86.6% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Midtjylland to win both halves | 13.4% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.24 |
| Viborg FF to win both halves | 6.9% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.57 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Midtjylland to win either half | 59.9% | 59.6% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Viborg FF to win neither half | 54.8% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Viborg FF to win either half | 45.2% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Midtjylland to win neither half | 40.1% | 40.4% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Viborg FF not to win to nil | 87.2% | 88.2% | 79.3% | 1.11× | 1.13 |
| Midtjylland not to win to nil | 78.9% | 78.1% | 86.5% | 0.90× | 1.28 |
| Midtjylland to win to nil | 21.1% | 21.9% | 13.5% | 1.63× | 4.56 |
| Viborg FF to win to nil | 12.8% | 11.8% | 20.7% | 0.57× | 8.49 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 25.2% | 27.8% | 25.3% | 1.10× | 3.59 |
| Midtjylland by 1 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 14.6% | 1.65× | 4.14 |
| Viborg FF by 1 | 16.3% | 16.9% | 24.0% | 0.71× | 5.91 |
| Midtjylland by 2 | 14.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 1.43× | 8.47 |
| Midtjylland by 3+ | 10.4% | 11.8% | 7.7% | 1.53× | 8.48 |
| Viborg FF by 2 | 8.5% | 7.3% | 13.2% | 0.55× | 13.78 |
| Viborg FF by 3+ | 4.5% | 2.7% | 8.3% | 0.33× | 36.94 |