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Viking FK v Kristiansund BK — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 13 September 2026 · NOR-Eliteserien · 2627

NOR-Eliteserien results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Viking FK win
76.1%
model 77.1%
Draw
17.5%
model 15.0%
Kristiansund BK win
6.4%
model 7.9%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (50 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 2-0 11.7%
  2. 3-0 10.3%
  3. 2-1 8.8%
  4. 1-0 8.5%
  5. 3-1 7.8%

Goals

Over 2.565.9% Under 2.534.1%
BTTS yes49.6% BTTS no50.4%
Viking FK 1+92.8% Viking FK 2+74.0%
Kristiansund BK 1+53.0% Kristiansund BK 2+17.5%

Expected goals 2.64 – 0.75. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
78/100
Data quality
65/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Viking FK (-1.5)
Asian handicap · usually 28%
56.8% fair odds 1.76
strong signal · 920 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Under 2.5 in 1st half
Over/Under 1HT
83.6% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 388 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Viking FK carry the stronger rating, 1762 Elo against 1412.
  • Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Viking FK have an estimated 76.1% win probability, against 17.5% for the draw and 6.4% for Kristiansund BK. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.64 for Viking FK and 0.75 for Kristiansund BK.

Why Viking FK

Viking FK carry the stronger rating, 1762 Elo against 1412. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 17.5%. Draws run at 20% in this competition.

Why Kristiansund BK can win

Nothing in the data singles out Kristiansund BK.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Viking FK, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Kristiansund BK, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Viking FK: 53% possession, 15.6 shots a match, 19.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Kristiansund BK: 46% possession, 14.0 shots a match, 17.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Viking FK's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Viking FK are the model's most likely outcome at 76.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 2-0 at 11.7%. Confidence 78/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.64–0.75 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.71–0.66 2-0 13% 65% 46%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to win 79.9% 78.5% 49.0% 1.60× 1.27
Draw 13.8% 13.3% 19.9% 0.67× 7.50
Kristiansund BK to win 6.3% 8.1% 31.3% 0.26× 12.30
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK & not both score 47.7% 43.0% 24.1% 1.79× 2.32
Viking FK & both teams score 32.3% 29.7% 25.1% 1.18× 3.37
Draw & both teams score 10.0% 8.4% 15.0% 0.56× 11.92
Draw & not both score 3.8% 4.9% 5.2% 0.94× 20.57
Kristiansund BK & both teams score 3.4% 4.9% 16.8% 0.29× 20.58
Kristiansund BK & not both score 2.9% 4.9% 14.8% 0.33× 20.60
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK & over 1.5 71.0% 66.8% 41.2% 1.62× 1.50
Viking FK & over 2.5 58.4% 55.0% 34.7% 1.58× 1.82
Viking FK & under 3.5 41.3% 40.3% 28.0% 1.44× 2.48
Viking FK & over 3.5 38.6% 34.9% 21.2% 1.64× 2.87
Viking FK & under 2.5 21.5% 21.7% 14.5% 1.49× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 10.4% 12.9% 14.5% 0.89× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 10.4% 12.9% 14.5% 0.89× 7.77
Draw & over 1.5 10.0% 7.9% 15.0% 0.52× 12.69
Viking FK & under 1.5 8.9% 7.9% 8.0% 0.98× 12.69
Kristiansund BK & under 3.5 4.9% 4.8% 19.4% 0.25× 20.93
Draw & under 1.5 3.8% 4.8% 5.2% 0.92× 20.94
Kristiansund BK & over 1.5 4.4% 4.8% 26.4% 0.18× 20.93
Draw & over 2.5 3.4% 4.8% 5.7% 0.84× 20.94
Draw & over 3.5 3.4% 4.8% 5.7% 0.84× 20.94
Kristiansund BK & over 2.5 3.6% 4.8% 21.5% 0.22× 20.94
Kristiansund BK & under 2.5 2.7% 4.8% 10.1% 0.47× 20.94
Kristiansund BK & under 1.5 1.9% 4.8% 5.2% 0.92× 20.95
Kristiansund BK & over 3.5 1.4% 4.8% 12.2% 0.39× 20.95
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (1UP) 86.8% 89.2% 1.12
Kristiansund BK (1UP) 21.2% 22.2% 4.50
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (2UP) 79.9% 77.3% 1.29
Kristiansund BK (2UP) 6.3% 8.2% 12.15
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to win 2nd half 66.0% 61.9% 1.62
2nd half drawn 24.9% 23.2% 4.30
Kristiansund BK to win 2nd half 9.1% 8.1% 12.36
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (+0.5) 93.7% 92.1% 68.7% 1.34× 1.09
Viking FK (-0.5) 79.9% 78.5% 49.0% 1.60× 1.28
Kristiansund BK (+2.5) 62.4% 62.9% 85.5% 0.74× 1.59
Viking FK (-1.5) 59.7% 57.0% 28.0% 2.04× 1.75
Kristiansund BK (+1.5) 40.3% 43.0% 72.0% 0.60× 2.33
Viking FK (-2.5) 37.6% 37.1% 14.5% 2.56× 2.70
Kristiansund BK (+0.5) 20.1% 21.5% 51.0% 0.42× 4.64
Kristiansund BK (-0.5) 6.3% 7.9% 31.3% 0.25× 12.64
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK to concede 93.3% 91.8% 80.3% 1.14× 1.09
Kristiansund BK clean sheet 6.7% 8.2% 19.7% 0.41× 12.26
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK to concede in 1st half 68.8% 69.6% 1.44
Kristiansund BK clean sheet in 1st half 31.2% 30.4% 3.29
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK under 6.5 corners 87.2% 85.2% 1.17
Kristiansund BK under 5.5 corners 78.6% 75.9% 1.32
Kristiansund BK over 2.5 corners 67.6% 67.5% 1.48
Kristiansund BK under 4.5 corners 66.2% 67.5% 1.48
Kristiansund BK under 3.5 corners 50.3% 53.1% 1.88
Kristiansund BK over 3.5 corners 49.7% 46.9% 2.13
Kristiansund BK over 4.5 corners 33.8% 32.5% 3.08
Kristiansund BK under 2.5 corners 32.4% 32.5% 3.08
Kristiansund BK over 5.5 corners 21.4% 24.1% 4.16
Kristiansund BK over 6.5 corners 12.8% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK under 3.5 goals 99.5% 97.6% 93.5% 1.04× 1.03
Kristiansund BK under 2.5 goals 97.0% 97.5% 82.6% 1.18× 1.03
Kristiansund BK under 1.5 goals 85.7% 87.9% 63.0% 1.40× 1.14
Kristiansund BK under 0.5 goals 51.5% 53.7% 29.0% 1.85× 1.86
Kristiansund BK over 0.5 goals 48.5% 46.3% 71.0% 0.65× 2.16
Kristiansund BK over 1.5 goals 14.3% 12.1% 37.0% 0.33× 8.24
Kristiansund BK over 2.5 goals 3.0% 2.5% 17.4% 0.14× 40.72
Kristiansund BK over 3.5 goals 0.5% 2.4% 6.5% 0.38× 40.86
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK under 1.5 in 1st half 97.0% 95.8% 1.04
Kristiansund BK under 0.5 in 1st half 76.7% 75.7% 1.32
Kristiansund BK over 0.5 in 1st half 23.3% 24.3% 4.12
Kristiansund BK over 1.5 in 1st half 3.0% 4.2% 23.96
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (away no bet) 85.3% 84.2% 71.1% 1.19× 1.19
Draw (away no bet) 14.7% 15.8% 28.9% 0.54× 6.35
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK even goals 63.3% 59.1% 52.9% 1.12× 1.69
Kristiansund BK odd goals 36.8% 40.9% 47.2% 0.87× 2.44
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 75.9% 82.1% 1.22
Both halves over 1.5 goals 24.2% 17.9% 5.58
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 75.6% 72.5% 1.38
Both halves under 1.5 goals 24.4% 27.5% 3.63
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 74.0% 72.2% 1.39
Viking FK to score 2+ in a row 70.2% 71.7% 1.39
Either team to score 3+ in a row 43.4% 38.4% 2.61
Viking FK to score 3+ in a row 42.5% 38.3% 2.61
Kristiansund BK to score 2+ in a row 8.1% 5.7% 17.64
Kristiansund BK to score 3+ in a row 1.1% 2.5% 39.97
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK corners (+3.5) 97.2% 95.8% 1.04
Viking FK corners (+2.5) 95.3% 95.7% 1.04
Viking FK corners (+1.5) 92.4% 89.6% 1.12
Viking FK corners (-1.5) 76.3% 74.9% 1.34
Viking FK corners (-2.5) 68.6% 65.8% 1.52
Viking FK corners (-3.5) 60.2% 61.9% 1.62
Kristiansund BK corners (+3.5) 39.8% 38.1% 2.63
Kristiansund BK corners (+2.5) 31.4% 34.2% 2.92
Kristiansund BK corners (+1.5) 23.7% 25.1% 3.98
Kristiansund BK corners (-1.5) 7.6% 10.4% 9.59
Kristiansund BK corners (-2.5) 4.7% 4.3% 23.52
Kristiansund BK corners (-3.5) 2.8% 4.2% 23.58
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
12+ corners 55.5% 46.6% 2.15
9-11 corners 24.2% 25.6% 3.90
0-8 corners 20.4% 25.6% 3.91
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 86.1% 83.0% 1.21
Over 8.5 corners 79.6% 76.5% 1.31
Over 9.5 corners 72.1% 72.6% 1.38
Over 10.5 corners 63.9% 63.4% 1.58
Over 11.5 corners 55.5% 57.8% 1.73
Under 12.5 corners 52.9% 53.3% 1.88
Over 12.5 corners 47.1% 46.7% 2.14
Under 11.5 corners 44.5% 42.2% 2.37
Under 10.5 corners 36.1% 36.6% 2.73
Under 9.5 corners 27.9% 27.4% 3.66
Under 8.5 corners 20.4% 23.5% 4.26
Under 7.5 corners 13.9% 17.0% 5.87
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 13.8% 11.5% 7.3% 1.58× 8.73
2-0 12.6% 11.5% 6.7% 1.70× 8.73
3-0 11.4% 11.5% 4.1% 2.76× 8.73
1-0 8.9% 7.4% 8.0% 0.92× 13.48
2-1 8.4% 7.4% 9.8% 0.75× 13.48
1-1 6.6% 7.4% 9.6% 0.77× 13.48
3-1 7.6% 7.4% 6.2% 1.19× 13.48
4-0 7.7% 7.4% 3.6% 2.05× 13.48
4-1 5.1% 7.4% 2.9% 2.60× 13.48
0-0 3.8% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.47
0-1 1.9% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.48
0-2 0.8% 1.7% 5.2% 0.33× 58.49
0-3 0.2% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.49
0-4 0.0% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.49
1-2 2.1% 1.7% 6.2% 0.28× 58.48
1-3 0.5% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.49
1-4 0.1% 1.7% 2.1% 0.82× 58.49
2-2 2.8% 1.7% 4.4% 0.39× 58.47
2-3 0.6% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.49
2-4 0.1% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.49
3-2 2.5% 1.7% 3.6% 0.47× 58.48
3-3 0.6% 1.7% 1.0% 1.65× 58.49
3-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.49
4-2 1.7% 1.7% 1.3% 1.32× 58.48
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.49
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.5% 3.30× 58.49
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK leading at HT (DNB) 87.7% 86.8% 1.15
Kristiansund BK leading at HT (DNB) 12.3% 13.2% 7.56
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or draw (1X) 93.7% 91.9% 68.7% 1.34× 1.09
Viking FK or Kristiansund BK (12) 86.2% 86.7% 80.1% 1.08× 1.15
Kristiansund BK or draw (X2) 20.1% 21.5% 51.0% 0.42× 4.65
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or draw at HT 91.6% 90.0% 1.11
Viking FK or Kristiansund BK at HT 67.9% 66.4% 1.51
Kristiansund BK or draw at HT 40.4% 41.9% 2.38
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or draw (1UP) 93.7% 93.9% 1.07
Kristiansund BK or draw (1UP) 21.2% 23.6% 4.24
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK or draw in 2nd half 90.9% 91.9% 1.09
Viking FK or Kristiansund BK in 2nd half 75.1% 76.8% 1.30
Kristiansund BK or draw in 2nd half 34.0% 38.1% 2.63
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 48.5% 50.2% 1.99
Neither half drawn 51.5% 49.8% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (DNB) 92.7% 93.2% 61.0% 1.53× 1.07
Kristiansund BK (DNB) 7.3% 6.8% 39.0% 0.17× 14.65
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to score first 77.2% 80.3% 1.25
Kristiansund BK to score first 18.9% 18.7% 5.35
No goal scored 3.8% 4.3% 23.31
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 54.4% 51.4% 43.5% 1.18× 1.94
Both teams to score 45.6% 48.6% 56.5% 0.86× 2.06
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 39.1% 38.5% 47.2% 0.82× 2.60
Not both score & under 2.5 28.0% 33.6% 29.3% 1.15× 2.98
Not both score & over 2.5 26.3% 33.6% 14.5% 2.31× 2.98
Both score & under 2.5 6.6% 8.4% 9.6% 0.87× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 89.2% 85.6% 83.4% 1.03× 1.17
Both teams to score 2+ 10.8% 14.4% 16.6% 0.87× 6.96
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 74.0% 74.2% 1.35
Both teams to score in 2nd half 26.0% 25.8% 3.87
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 62.1% 66.4% 1.51
Both score 2nd half only 21.8% 20.8% 4.81
Both score 1st half only 12.0% 10.7% 9.31
Both score in both halves 4.1% 5.0% 19.86
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 83.9% 82.4% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 16.1% 17.6% 5.70
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 65.3% 66.6% 1.50
A half without a goal 34.7% 33.4% 3.00
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 41.9% 42.1% 43.8% 0.96× 2.38
4-6 goals 38.0% 35.1% 35.5% 0.99× 2.85
0-1 goals 14.7% 17.0% 17.9% 0.95× 5.90
7+ goals 5.5% 7.6% 3.4% 2.24× 13.23
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK to score exactly 0 51.5% 47.3% 29.0% 1.63× 2.12
Kristiansund BK to score exactly 1 34.2% 33.8% 34.2% 0.99× 2.96
Kristiansund BK to score exactly 2 11.3% 12.8% 19.9% 0.64× 7.81
Kristiansund BK to score 3+ 3.0% 4.5% 17.4% 0.26× 22.10
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to score 3+ 50.7% 43.4% 26.7% 1.63× 2.30
Viking FK to score exactly 2 24.5% 23.3% 25.9% 0.90× 4.30
Viking FK to score exactly 1 18.1% 18.9% 28.2% 0.67× 5.29
Viking FK to score exactly 0 6.7% 10.3% 19.7% 0.52× 9.73
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK leading at HT 59.6% 58.1% 1.72
Draw at HT 32.1% 33.6% 2.98
Kristiansund BK leading at HT 8.4% 10.0% 9.96
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK -1: 1 59.7% 56.7% 1.76
Viking FK -1: X 20.2% 23.6% 4.24
Viking FK -1: 2 20.1% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (0:1) 59.7% 55.9% 28.0% 2.00× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 20.2% 24.3% 21.2% 1.14× 4.12
Kristiansund BK (0:1) 20.1% 24.3% 51.0% 0.48× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (0:2) 37.6% 38.9% 14.5% 2.68× 2.57
Kristiansund BK (0:2) 40.3% 38.1% 72.0% 0.53× 2.62
Draw (0:2) 22.1% 20.3% 13.7% 1.48× 4.92
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK (0:3) 62.4% 65.7% 85.5% 0.77× 1.52
Viking FK (0:3) 20.1% 18.7% 7.8% 2.40× 5.36
Draw (0:3) 17.5% 16.1% 7.0% 2.30× 6.22
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK (0:4) 79.9% 81.9% 92.2% 0.89× 1.22
Draw (0:4) 10.9% 9.4% 4.7% 2.02× 10.64
Viking FK (0:4) 9.2% 4.7% 3.4% 1.39× 21.32
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (1:0) 93.7% 92.8% 68.7% 1.35× 1.08
Draw (1:0) 4.7% 3.2% 14.8% 0.22× 31.35
Kristiansund BK (1:0) 1.6% 3.1% 16.8% 0.19× 31.85
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK (2:0) 98.4% 96.9% 83.2% 1.17× 1.03
Draw (2:0) 1.3% 2.3% 9.1% 0.25× 44.29
Kristiansund BK (2:0) 0.3% 2.3% 8.0% 0.28× 44.36
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 49.2% 48.2% 2.08
1st half highest scoring 28.2% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 22.6% 24.1% 4.15
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK clean sheet 51.5% 53.1% 29.0% 1.83× 1.88
Viking FK to concede 48.5% 46.9% 71.0% 0.66× 2.13
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK clean sheet in 1st half 76.7% 77.6% 1.29
Viking FK to concede in 1st half 23.3% 22.4% 4.47
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK over 2.5 corners 96.2% 94.9% 1.05
Viking FK over 3.5 corners 91.7% 89.3% 1.12
Viking FK over 4.5 corners 85.2% 86.3% 1.16
Viking FK over 5.5 corners 77.0% 76.6% 1.31
Viking FK over 6.5 corners 67.6% 66.7% 1.50
Viking FK under 6.5 corners 32.4% 33.3% 3.00
Viking FK under 5.5 corners 23.0% 23.4% 4.27
Viking FK under 4.5 corners 14.8% 13.7% 7.28
Viking FK under 3.5 corners 8.3% 10.7% 9.36
Viking FK under 2.5 corners 3.8% 5.1% 19.50
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK over 0.5 goals 93.3% 92.3% 80.3% 1.15× 1.08
Viking FK over 1.5 goals 75.2% 77.7% 52.3% 1.49× 1.29
Viking FK under 3.5 goals 71.3% 74.2% 87.6% 0.85× 1.35
Viking FK over 2.5 goals 50.7% 53.2% 26.7% 1.99× 1.88
Viking FK under 2.5 goals 49.3% 46.8% 73.3% 0.64× 2.14
Viking FK over 3.5 goals 28.7% 25.8% 12.4% 2.08× 3.87
Viking FK under 1.5 goals 24.8% 22.3% 47.7% 0.47× 4.49
Viking FK under 0.5 goals 6.7% 7.7% 19.7% 0.39× 12.92
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK over 0.5 in 1st half 68.8% 68.2% 1.47
Viking FK under 1.5 in 1st half 67.6% 68.1% 1.47
Viking FK over 1.5 in 1st half 32.4% 31.9% 3.13
Viking FK under 0.5 in 1st half 31.2% 31.8% 3.14
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw (home no bet) 68.5% 64.0% 38.9% 1.64× 1.56
Kristiansund BK (home no bet) 31.5% 36.0% 61.1% 0.59× 2.78
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK even goals 50.2% 50.6% 53.9% 0.94× 1.98
Viking FK odd goals 49.8% 49.4% 46.1% 1.07× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 27.8% 28.9% 3.47
HT 0-0 24.0% 24.1% 4.14
HT 2-0 16.2% 18.7% 5.35
Any other HT score 11.5% 10.9% 9.16
HT 1-1 7.5% 7.1% 14.04
HT 0-1 6.3% 7.1% 14.06
HT 2-1 4.3% 2.3% 43.29
HT 1-2 1.0% 2.3% 43.54
HT 0-2 0.8% 2.3% 43.55
HT 2-2 0.6% 2.3% 43.57
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK at HT / Viking FK at FT 56.2% 58.1% 1.72
Draw at HT / Viking FK at FT 20.9% 21.8% 4.60
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 8.4% 6.0% 16.64
Kristiansund BK at HT / Kristiansund BK at FT 3.0% 3.5% 28.84
Viking FK at HT / Draw at FT 2.8% 3.5% 28.85
Draw at HT / Kristiansund BK at FT 2.7% 3.5% 28.86
Kristiansund BK at HT / Viking FK at FT 2.8% 3.5% 28.85
Kristiansund BK at HT / Draw at FT 2.5% 3.5% 28.87
Viking FK at HT / Kristiansund BK at FT 0.6% 3.5% 28.94
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to score last 77.3% 77.0% 1.30
Kristiansund BK to score last 18.9% 13.3% 7.49
No goal scored 3.8% 4.3% 23.31
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 96.2% 95.6% 1.05
Viking FK to lead by 1 at any time 86.8% 90.4% 1.11
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 68.4% 69.5% 1.44
Viking FK to lead by 2 at any time 64.7% 61.4% 1.63
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 41.3% 39.2% 2.55
Viking FK to lead by 3 at any time 40.7% 39.2% 2.55
Kristiansund BK to lead by 1 at any time 21.2% 19.6% 5.11
Kristiansund BK to lead by 2 at any time 3.9% 1.7% 60.47
Kristiansund BK to lead by 3 at any time 0.6% 1.6% 63.76
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK most corners 82.9% 81.7% 1.22
Kristiansund BK most corners 11.7% 10.4% 9.61
Corners level 5.4% 8.5% 11.83
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 83.7% 83.5% 87.0% 0.96× 1.20
2-6 goals 79.9% 78.6% 79.0% 1.00× 1.27
2-5 goals 72.9% 72.4% 74.4% 0.97× 1.38
1-4 goals 71.2% 72.4% 73.1% 0.99× 1.38
2-4 goals 60.4% 63.4% 60.4% 1.05× 1.58
3-6 goals 60.0% 59.2% 58.3% 1.02× 1.69
3-5 goals 53.0% 53.2% 53.6% 0.99× 1.88
1-3 goals 52.7% 53.2% 56.5% 0.94× 1.88
2-3 goals 41.9% 43.6% 43.8% 1.00× 2.30
3-4 goals 40.5% 43.6% 39.6% 1.10× 2.30
4-6 goals 38.0% 39.2% 35.5% 1.10× 2.55
4-5 goals 31.0% 35.4% 30.8% 1.15× 2.83
1-2 goals 30.8% 35.4% 33.7% 1.05× 2.83
5-6 goals 19.5% 18.6% 18.9% 0.99× 5.37
7+ goals 5.5% 8.7% 3.4% 2.59× 11.46
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK never behind 75.0% 75.4% 1.33
Kristiansund BK never behind 9.4% 5.2% 19.27
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 49.2% 50.8% 51.6% 0.99× 1.97
Even number of goals 50.8% 49.2% 48.4% 1.02× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 53.0% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.0% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.3% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.7% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 96.2% 95.5% 94.8% 1.01× 1.05
Under 5.5 goals 87.5% 87.6% 92.0% 0.95× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 85.3% 87.6% 82.1% 1.07× 1.14
Under 4.5 goals 75.1% 77.3% 78.0% 0.99× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 65.4% 66.2% 61.4% 1.08× 1.51
Under 3.5 goals 56.5% 58.8% 61.4% 0.96× 1.70
Over 3.5 goals 43.5% 41.2% 38.6% 1.07× 2.43
Under 2.5 goals 34.6% 33.8% 38.6% 0.88× 2.96
Over 4.5 goals 24.9% 22.7% 22.0% 1.03× 4.41
Under 1.5 goals 14.7% 12.4% 17.9% 0.69× 8.09
Over 5.5 goals 12.5% 12.4% 8.0% 1.54× 8.10
Under 0.5 goals 3.8% 4.5% 5.2% 0.87× 22.20
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 94.1% 92.5% 96.5% 0.96× 1.08
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 85.8% 86.7% 90.7% 0.96× 1.15
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 81.7% 81.0% 77.5% 1.05× 1.23
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 69.4% 67.4% 73.6% 0.92× 1.48
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 55.7% 55.4% 50.0% 1.11× 1.81
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 44.3% 44.6% 50.0% 0.89× 2.24
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 30.6% 32.6% 26.4% 1.23× 3.07
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 18.3% 19.0% 22.5% 0.84× 5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 14.2% 13.3% 9.3% 1.42× 7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 5.9% 7.5% 3.5% 2.13× 13.28
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 82.6% 86.2% 1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half 76.0% 78.7% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 58.1% 62.8% 1.59
Over 1.5 in 1st half 41.9% 37.3% 2.69
Under 0.5 in 1st half 24.0% 21.3% 4.70
Over 2.5 in 1st half 17.4% 13.8% 7.27
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 85.5% 85.3% 1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 69.3% 67.6% 1.48
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 57.9% 54.9% 1.82
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 42.1% 45.1% 2.22
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 30.7% 32.4% 3.09
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 14.5% 14.7% 6.78
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK not to score in both halves 92.3% 90.3% 1.11
Viking FK to score in both halves 54.1% 55.9% 1.79
Viking FK not to score in both halves 45.9% 44.1% 2.27
Kristiansund BK to score in both halves 7.7% 9.7% 10.27
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Only Viking FK scores 47.7% 50.5% 24.1% 2.10× 1.98
Both teams score 45.6% 50.4% 56.5% 0.89× 1.98
Neither team scores 3.8% 4.6% 5.2% 0.88× 21.83
Only Kristiansund BK scores 2.9% 4.6% 14.8% 0.31× 21.87
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 3 goals 22.0% 22.6% 23.1% 0.98× 4.42
Exactly 2 goals 19.9% 17.4% 21.0% 0.83× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 18.5% 17.4% 16.8% 1.04× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 12.5% 12.1% 14.2% 0.85× 8.27
6 or more goals 12.5% 12.1% 8.0% 1.50× 8.27
Exactly 1 goals 10.9% 12.1% 13.0% 0.93× 8.28
Exactly 0 goals 3.8% 4.4% 5.2% 0.85× 22.66
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 57.9% 53.4% 1.87
1 goal in 2nd half 27.6% 29.8% 3.35
No goals in 2nd half 14.5% 14.6% 6.87
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK not to win both halves 99.2% 97.3% 1.03
Viking FK not to win both halves 60.6% 67.3% 1.49
Viking FK to win both halves 39.4% 32.7% 3.06
Kristiansund BK to win both halves 0.8% 2.7% 36.98
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK to win either half 86.1% 91.6% 1.09
Kristiansund BK to win neither half 83.3% 83.1% 1.20
Kristiansund BK to win either half 16.7% 16.9% 5.92
Viking FK to win neither half 13.9% 8.4% 11.94
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Kristiansund BK not to win to nil 97.1% 96.2% 85.2% 1.13× 1.04
Viking FK not to win to nil 52.3% 54.1% 75.9% 0.71× 1.85
Viking FK to win to nil 47.7% 45.9% 24.1% 1.91× 2.18
Kristiansund BK to win to nil 2.9% 3.8% 14.8% 0.26× 26.14
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Viking FK by 3+ 37.6% 34.9% 14.5% 2.41× 2.87
Viking FK by 2 22.1% 24.1% 13.7% 1.76× 4.14
Viking FK by 1 20.2% 24.1% 21.2% 1.14× 4.14
Draw 13.8% 11.8% 19.9% 0.59× 8.47
Kristiansund BK by 1 4.7% 2.7% 14.8% 0.18× 36.93
Kristiansund BK by 2 1.3% 2.7% 9.1% 0.30× 37.04
Kristiansund BK by 3+ 0.3% 2.7% 8.0% 0.34× 37.07
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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