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Villarreal v Getafe — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 October 2024 · ESP-La Liga · 2425

La Liga xG

1–1
1.15 – 2.03 xG
Shots
10 – 21
On target
4 – 4
Shots in box
8 – 15
xG per shot
0.11 – 0.10
Set-piece xG
0.59 – 0.83
Goals − xG
-0.15 – -1.04
Reading the xG timeline
Each step up is a shot; the height of the step is how good the chance was. Dots mark goals. A side whose line climbs steadily created chances all match. A side that scored while its line stayed flat took a rare chance — that is finishing luck, and it rarely repeats.

Expected goals by minute

0.00.61.11.72.30'15'30'45'60'75'90'Santiago Comesaña 43' — goalMauro Arambarri 86' — goal
Villarreal 1.15 xGGetafe 2.04 xG
Reading the shot map
Each circle is a shot, placed where it was taken. Bigger means a better chance; filled circles are goals. Clusters near the goal mean a side worked good openings; lots of small circles far out means shooting from poor positions and hoping. Hover any circle for the player, minute and chance quality.

Shot map

Luis Milla 1' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Mauro Arambarri 1' — Blocked Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)Luis Milla 7' — Blocked Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Mauro Arambarri 12' — Blocked Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Alex Sola 15' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Alex Sola 19' — Missed Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 23' — Missed Shot (0.10 xG, Set Piece)Bertug Yildirim 24' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Carles Pérez 27' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Bertug Yildirim 30' — Blocked Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Sergi Cardona 36' — Missed Shot (0.48 xG, Set Piece)Pape Alassane Gueye 39' — Saved Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Mauro Arambarri 42' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 43' — Blocked Shot (0.03 xG, Open Play)Santiago Comesaña 43' — Goal (0.11 xG, Open Play)Alex Sola 46' — Blocked Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Alvaro Rodríguez 46' — Blocked Shot (0.10 xG, Open Play)Bertug Yildirim 55' — Saved Shot (0.04 xG, Open Play)Carles Pérez 59' — Blocked Shot (0.01 xG, Open Play)Alvaro Rodríguez 62' — Shot On Post (0.08 xG, Open Play)Ilias Akhomach 62' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 65' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Thierno Barry 66' — Missed Shot (0.08 xG, Open Play)Pape Alassane Gueye 69' — Saved Shot (0.13 xG, Open Play)Peter 73' — Missed Shot (0.04 xG, Set Piece)Nicolas Pepe 77' — Missed Shot (0.06 xG, Open Play)Peter 78' — Saved Shot (0.02 xG, Open Play)Bertug Yildirim 81' — Saved Shot (0.32 xG, Open Play)Alvaro Rodríguez 82' — Missed Shot (0.05 xG, From Corner)Mauro Arambarri 86' — Goal (0.74 xG, )Bertug Yildirim 89' — Missed Shot (0.07 xG, Open Play)
Villarreal attacking right Getafe attacking left Marker size is xG; filled markers are goals.

Every shot

MinTeamPlayerxG SituationBody partResultAssisted by
1' Getafe Luis Milla 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot
1' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.07 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Bertug Yildirim
7' Getafe Luis Milla 0.04 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Mauro Arambarri
12' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.05 Open Play Blocked Shot Christantus Uche
15' Getafe Alex Sola 0.10 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot Bertug Yildirim
19' Getafe Alex Sola 0.01 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Diego Rico
23' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.10 Set Piece Missed Shot Álex Baena
24' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
27' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Luis Milla
30' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.02 Open Play Blocked Shot Diego Rico
36' Villarreal Sergi Cardona 0.48 Set Piece Left Foot Missed Shot Santiago Comesaña
39' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.08 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Thierno Barry
42' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Carles Pérez
43' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.03 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Pape Alassane Gueye
43' Villarreal Santiago Comesaña 0.11 Open Play Left Foot Goal Thierno Barry
46' Getafe Alex Sola 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Blocked Shot
46' Getafe Alvaro Rodríguez 0.10 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Djené Dakonam
55' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.04 Open Play Right Foot Saved Shot Alex Sola
59' Getafe Carles Pérez 0.01 Open Play Left Foot Blocked Shot Luis Milla
62' Getafe Alvaro Rodríguez 0.08 Open Play Shot On Post Carles Pérez
62' Villarreal Ilias Akhomach 0.05 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot
65' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Santiago Comesaña
66' Villarreal Thierno Barry 0.08 Open Play Right Foot Missed Shot Álex Baena
69' Villarreal Pape Alassane Gueye 0.13 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Álex Baena
73' Getafe Peter 0.04 Set Piece Missed Shot Luis Milla
77' Villarreal Nicolas Pepe 0.06 Open Play Left Foot Missed Shot Daniel Parejo
78' Getafe Peter 0.02 Open Play Left Foot Saved Shot Carles Pérez
81' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.32 Open Play Saved Shot Juan Iglesias
82' Getafe Alvaro Rodríguez 0.05 From Corner Missed Shot
86' Getafe Mauro Arambarri 0.74 Right Foot Goal
89' Getafe Bertug Yildirim 0.07 Open Play Missed Shot Luis Milla

Players

Getafe

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Mauro Arambarri MC 90 1 0 4 1 0.94 0.04 0.24
Bertug Yildirim FW 90 0 0 5 2 0.53 0.17 0.70
Luis Milla MC 90 0 0 2 4 0.05 0.14 0.58
Carles Pérez MR 90 0 0 2 3 0.03 0.18 0.60
Omar Alderete DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
David Soria GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.36
Diego Rico DL 90 0 0 0 2 0.00 0.03 0.39
Djené Dakonam DC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.10 0.19
Juan Iglesias DR 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.32 0.55
Alex Sola ML 71 0 0 3 1 0.19 0.04 0.32
Christantus Uche FW 49 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.05 0.23
Alvaro Rodríguez Sub 41 0 0 3 0 0.22 0.00 0.24
Peter Sub 19 0 0 2 0 0.07 0.00 0.02
Nabil Aberdin Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nyom Sub 1 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00

Villarreal

PlayerMinGA ShKPxGxA xGChain
Sergi Cardona DL 90 0 0 1 0 0.48 0.00 0.11
Santiago Comesaña DMC 90 1 0 1 2 0.11 0.50 0.31
Thierno Barry FW 90 0 1 1 2 0.08 0.19 0.28
Raúl Albiol DC 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Kiko Femenía DR 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.22
Daniel Parejo DMC 90 0 0 0 1 0.00 0.06 0.38
Diego Conde GK 90 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Pape Alassane Gueye AMC 82 0 0 4 1 0.34 0.03 0.26
Álex Baena AML 82 0 0 0 3 0.00 0.32 0.38
Ilias Akhomach AMR 72 0 0 2 0 0.08 0.00 0.08
Eric Bailly DC 49 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.14
Pau Navarro Sub 41 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Nicolas Pepe Sub 18 0 0 1 0 0.06 0.00 0.18
Ramón Terrats Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
Yeremi Pino Sub 8 0 0 0 0 0.00 0.00 0.00
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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