Villarreal v Napoli — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 13 October 2026 · EUR-Champions League · 2627
Champions League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyVillarreal win
36.7%
model 35.9%
Draw
26.7%
model 25.9%
Napoli win
36.7%
model 38.2%
Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (5,276 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 12.3%
- 0-1 10.9%
- 1-0 10.5%
- 1-2 8.2%
- 2-1 7.9%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 45.9% | Under 2.5 | 54.1% |
| BTTS yes | 50.6% | BTTS no | 49.4% |
| Villarreal 1+ | 70.8% | Villarreal 2+ | 34.9% |
| Napoli 1+ | 72.1% | Napoli 2+ | 36.5% |
Expected goals 1.23 – 1.28. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
AI confidence
84/100
Data quality
80/100
Model agreement
93%
★ Best pick
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
★ Most likely to land
Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.
Positive factors
- Napoli carry the stronger rating, 1665 Elo against 1585.
- Napoli have created 1.32 xG a match over their last five while Villarreal have allowed 1.50.
- Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five.
- Away from home Napoli average 1.40 xG a match.
Risk factors
- No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Napoli have an estimated 36.7% win probability, against 36.7% for Villarreal and 26.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.23 for Villarreal and 1.28 for Napoli.
Why Villarreal
Villarreal have created 1.93 xG a match over their last five while Napoli have allowed 1.03. At home Villarreal average 2.40 xG a match.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 26.7%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.23 to 1.28. Draws run at 16% in this competition.
Why Napoli can win
Napoli carry the stronger rating, 1665 Elo against 1585. Napoli have created 1.32 xG a match over their last five while Villarreal have allowed 1.50. Form is good: 1.80 points a match from the last five. Away from home Napoli average 1.40 xG a match.
Key players
Villarreal's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Georges Mikautadze (0.56), Gerard Moreno (0.37), Nicolas Pepe (0.35). Napoli's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Rasmus Højlund (0.44), Scott McTominay (0.38), Kevin De Bruyne (0.29).
Availability
1 of Napoli's top three contributors did not start their last match.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Villarreal: 55% possession, 13.8 shots a match, 13.8 faced, 0.28 xG a match from set pieces. Napoli: 58% possession, 12.8 shots a match, 11.2 faced, 0.18 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Napoli are the model's most likely outcome at 36.7%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Confidence 84/100, data quality 80/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the chances say
Villarreal have scored 20 from 19.3 expected and conceded 15 from 15.0 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.
DWWDLLWDDL last 10
scored 20
from 19.3 xG
conceded 15
from 15.0 xG
Napoli are conceding fewer than expected — 2.4 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.
WDLWDLWWWL last 10
scored 15
from 13.2 xG
conceded 8
from 10.4 xG
Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.
What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 0.94–1.20 | 0-1 15% | 36% | 42% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to win | 42.5% | 43.0% | 33.7% | 1.28× | 2.33 |
| Villarreal to win | 29.3% | 27.9% | 50.5% | 0.55× | 3.59 |
| Draw | 28.2% | 27.9% | 16.1% | 1.74× | 3.59 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli & not both score | 27.8% | 25.2% | 15.5% | 1.62× | 3.97 |
| Villarreal & not both score | 18.9% | 17.9% | 25.0% | 0.72× | 5.58 |
| Draw & both teams score | 17.0% | 17.9% | 11.1% | 1.62× | 5.58 |
| Napoli & both teams score | 14.7% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 0.72× | 7.54 |
| Draw & not both score | 11.2% | 13.3% | 5.3% | 2.52× | 7.55 |
| Villarreal & both teams score | 10.4% | 13.3% | 25.8% | 0.51× | 7.55 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli & under 3.5 | 34.5% | 30.9% | 19.2% | 1.61× | 3.24 |
| Napoli & over 1.5 | 27.9% | 26.0% | 28.2% | 0.92× | 3.84 |
| Villarreal & under 3.5 | 24.6% | 21.6% | 26.8% | 0.81× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 24.0% | 21.6% | 10.8% | 2.01× | 4.62 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 24.0% | 21.6% | 10.8% | 2.01× | 4.62 |
| Napoli & under 2.5 | 23.1% | 21.6% | 10.0% | 2.16× | 4.62 |
| Napoli & over 2.5 | 19.4% | 18.0% | 23.9% | 0.75× | 5.56 |
| Villarreal & over 1.5 | 17.7% | 18.0% | 42.4% | 0.42× | 5.56 |
| Villarreal & under 2.5 | 16.8% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 1.22× | 5.56 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 17.0% | 18.0% | 11.1% | 1.63× | 5.56 |
| Napoli & under 1.5 | 14.6% | 12.9% | 5.8% | 2.22× | 7.77 |
| Villarreal & over 2.5 | 12.5% | 12.9% | 36.1% | 0.36× | 7.77 |
| Villarreal & under 1.5 | 11.6% | 12.9% | 8.4% | 1.53× | 7.77 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 11.2% | 12.9% | 5.3% | 2.45× | 7.77 |
| Napoli & over 3.5 | 8.0% | 7.9% | 14.7% | 0.53× | 12.70 |
| Villarreal & over 3.5 | 4.6% | 4.8% | 23.9% | 0.20× | 20.92 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 0.86× | 20.92 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.3% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 0.86× | 20.92 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (1UP) | 55.2% | 58.0% | — | — | 1.72 |
| Villarreal (1UP) | 43.3% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (2UP) | 42.5% | 47.6% | — | — | 2.10 |
| Villarreal (2UP) | 29.3% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half drawn | 40.2% | 41.1% | — | — | 2.44 |
| Napoli to win 2nd half | 35.6% | 36.2% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Villarreal to win 2nd half | 24.2% | 23.1% | — | — | 4.34 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (+2.5) | 97.3% | 96.3% | 81.6% | 1.18× | 1.04 |
| Napoli (+1.5) | 89.8% | 88.5% | 68.4% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| Napoli (+0.5) | 70.7% | 73.7% | 49.5% | 1.49× | 1.36 |
| Villarreal (+0.5) | 57.5% | 57.0% | 66.3% | 0.86× | 1.75 |
| Napoli (-0.5) | 42.5% | 43.0% | 33.7% | 1.28× | 2.33 |
| Villarreal (-0.5) | 29.3% | 26.3% | 50.5% | 0.52× | 3.80 |
| Villarreal (-1.5) | 10.2% | 11.5% | 31.6% | 0.36× | 8.70 |
| Villarreal (-2.5) | 2.7% | 3.7% | 18.4% | 0.20× | 26.87 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to concede | 61.0% | 67.1% | 79.5% | 0.84× | 1.49 |
| Napoli clean sheet | 39.0% | 32.9% | 20.5% | 1.60× | 3.04 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli clean sheet in 1st half | 66.7% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Napoli to concede in 1st half | 33.3% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.37 |
Away corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli over 2.5 corners | 78.3% | 75.9% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Napoli under 6.5 corners | 74.9% | 71.6% | — | — | 1.40 |
| Napoli under 5.5 corners | 64.0% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Napoli over 3.5 corners | 63.8% | 61.8% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Napoli under 4.5 corners | 50.8% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Napoli over 4.5 corners | 49.2% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Napoli under 3.5 corners | 36.2% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Napoli over 5.5 corners | 36.0% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| Napoli over 6.5 corners | 25.1% | 28.4% | — | — | 3.52 |
| Napoli under 2.5 corners | 21.7% | 24.1% | — | — | 4.16 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli under 3.5 goals | 96.6% | 97.5% | 92.1% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Napoli under 2.5 goals | 87.9% | 87.9% | 78.9% | 1.11× | 1.14 |
| Napoli over 0.5 goals | 69.9% | 68.0% | 70.0% | 0.97× | 1.47 |
| Napoli under 1.5 goals | 66.2% | 67.9% | 59.7% | 1.14× | 1.47 |
| Napoli over 1.5 goals | 33.8% | 32.1% | 40.3% | 0.80× | 3.12 |
| Napoli under 0.5 goals | 30.1% | 32.0% | 30.0% | 1.07× | 3.12 |
| Napoli over 2.5 goals | 12.1% | 12.1% | 21.1% | 0.57× | 8.26 |
| Napoli over 3.5 goals | 3.4% | 2.5% | 7.9% | 0.31× | 40.80 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli under 1.5 in 1st half | 91.6% | 94.1% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Napoli under 0.5 in 1st half | 61.9% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Napoli over 0.5 in 1st half | 38.1% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
| Napoli over 1.5 in 1st half | 8.4% | 5.9% | — | — | 16.93 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal (away no bet) | 50.9% | 51.2% | 75.9% | 0.67× | 1.95 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 49.1% | 48.8% | 24.1% | 2.02× | 2.05 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli even goals | 54.5% | 52.8% | 54.5% | 0.97× | 1.89 |
| Napoli odd goals | 45.5% | 47.2% | 45.5% | 1.04× | 2.12 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 92.1% | 92.4% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 7.9% | 7.6% | — | — | 13.13 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 49.8% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 50.2% | 49.8% | — | — | 2.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 43.5% | 38.4% | — | — | 2.61 |
| Napoli to score 2+ in a row | 28.0% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Villarreal to score 2+ in a row | 18.7% | 16.4% | — | — | 6.08 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 12.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.26 |
| Napoli to score 3+ in a row | 8.4% | 5.7% | — | — | 17.67 |
| Villarreal to score 3+ in a row | 4.3% | 2.6% | — | — | 37.78 |
Corner handicap 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli corners (+3.5) | 85.2% | 84.5% | — | — | 1.18 |
| Villarreal corners (+3.5) | 79.3% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Napoli corners (+2.5) | 78.4% | 74.9% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Villarreal corners (+2.5) | 71.2% | 70.7% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Napoli corners (+1.5) | 69.8% | 65.8% | — | — | 1.52 |
| Villarreal corners (+1.5) | 61.6% | 61.9% | — | — | 1.62 |
| Napoli corners (-1.5) | 38.4% | 38.1% | — | — | 2.63 |
| Villarreal corners (-1.5) | 30.2% | 34.2% | — | — | 2.92 |
| Napoli corners (-2.5) | 28.8% | 29.3% | — | — | 3.41 |
| Villarreal corners (-2.5) | 21.6% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Napoli corners (-3.5) | 20.7% | 25.1% | — | — | 3.98 |
| Villarreal corners (-3.5) | 14.8% | 15.5% | — | — | 6.45 |
Corner range 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-8 corners | 46.4% | 41.7% | — | — | 2.40 |
| 9-11 corners | 27.5% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
| 12+ corners | 26.2% | 31.2% | — | — | 3.20 |
Corners O/U 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 12.5 corners | 80.5% | 80.8% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Under 11.5 corners | 73.8% | 72.7% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Under 10.5 corners | 65.8% | 67.7% | — | — | 1.48 |
| Over 7.5 corners | 64.1% | 63.4% | — | — | 1.58 |
| Under 9.5 corners | 56.5% | 57.7% | — | — | 1.73 |
| Over 8.5 corners | 53.6% | 53.3% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 8.5 corners | 46.4% | 46.7% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Over 9.5 corners | 43.5% | 42.3% | — | — | 2.37 |
| Under 7.5 corners | 35.9% | 36.6% | — | — | 2.73 |
| Over 10.5 corners | 34.2% | 32.3% | — | — | 3.09 |
| Over 11.5 corners | 26.2% | 27.3% | — | — | 3.66 |
| Over 12.5 corners | 19.5% | 19.3% | — | — | 5.20 |
Corners Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd number of corners | 50.0% | 50.2% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Even number of corners | 50.0% | 49.9% | — | — | 2.01 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0-1 | 14.6% | 11.5% | 5.8% | 1.98× | 8.73 |
| 1-1 | 12.7% | 11.4% | 5.8% | 1.98× | 8.73 |
| 0-0 | 11.2% | 11.4% | 5.3% | 2.17× | 8.74 |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.4% | 1.36× | 8.74 |
| 0-2 | 8.5% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 1.66× | 13.47 |
| 1-2 | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 1.28× | 13.47 |
| 2-0 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 1.13× | 13.47 |
| 2-1 | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 1.01× | 13.47 |
| 0-3 | 3.4% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.43× | 58.50 |
| 0-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.52 |
| 1-3 | 3.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 0.59× | 58.51 |
| 1-4 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.52 |
| 2-2 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 3.9% | 0.43× | 58.50 |
| 2-3 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.0% | 0.34× | 58.52 |
| 2-4 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 1.62× | 58.52 |
| 3-0 | 1.6% | 1.7% | 5.3% | 0.32× | 58.51 |
| 3-1 | 2.0% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.30× | 58.51 |
| 3-2 | 1.2% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.54× | 58.52 |
| 3-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.08× | 58.52 |
| 3-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.25× | 58.52 |
| 4-0 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 0.50× | 58.52 |
| 4-1 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.54× | 58.52 |
| 4-2 | 0.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.30× | 58.52 |
| 4-3 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 2.16× | 58.52 |
| 4-4 | 0.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.25× | 58.52 |
| Any other score | 1.1% | 1.7% | 11.3% | 0.15× | 58.52 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli leading at HT (DNB) | 55.2% | 57.0% | — | — | 1.75 |
| Villarreal leading at HT (DNB) | 44.8% | 43.0% | — | — | 2.33 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal or Napoli (12) | 71.8% | 72.1% | 83.9% | 0.86× | 1.39 |
| Napoli or draw (X2) | 70.7% | 72.1% | 49.5% | 1.46× | 1.39 |
| Villarreal or draw (1X) | 57.5% | 57.0% | 66.3% | 0.86× | 1.76 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli or draw at HT | 77.4% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Villarreal or draw at HT | 72.1% | 74.5% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Villarreal or Napoli at HT | 50.5% | 47.5% | — | — | 2.11 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli or draw (1UP) | 70.7% | 79.9% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Villarreal or draw (1UP) | 57.5% | 62.8% | — | — | 1.59 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli or draw in 2nd half | 75.8% | 76.9% | — | — | 1.30 |
| Villarreal or draw in 2nd half | 64.4% | 63.8% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Villarreal or Napoli in 2nd half | 59.8% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 70.4% | 69.8% | — | — | 1.43 |
| Neither half drawn | 29.6% | 30.2% | — | — | 3.31 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (DNB) | 59.2% | 58.3% | 40.0% | 1.46× | 1.72 |
| Villarreal (DNB) | 40.8% | 41.7% | 60.0% | 0.70× | 2.40 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to score first | 49.8% | 45.8% | — | — | 2.19 |
| Villarreal to score first | 39.0% | 32.8% | — | — | 3.05 |
| No goal scored | 11.2% | 9.8% | — | — | 10.22 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 57.9% | 54.9% | 45.3% | 1.21× | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 42.1% | 45.1% | 54.7% | 0.82× | 2.22 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 51.1% | 47.0% | 29.5% | 1.60× | 2.13 |
| Both score & over 2.5 | 29.4% | 33.6% | 49.2% | 0.68× | 2.97 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 12.7% | 12.3% | 5.8% | 2.13× | 8.12 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 6.8% | 8.4% | 16.1% | 0.52× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 91.8% | 89.1% | 81.1% | 1.10× | 1.12 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 8.2% | 10.9% | 18.9% | 0.58× | 9.18 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 78.9% | 75.8% | — | — | 1.32 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 21.1% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 69.0% | 62.9% | — | — | 1.59 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 18.4% | 15.8% | — | — | 6.32 |
| Both score 1st half only | 9.9% | 6.8% | — | — | 14.65 |
| Both score in both halves | 2.7% | 4.9% | — | — | 20.56 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 87.4% | 85.9% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 12.6% | 14.1% | — | — | 7.07 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half without a goal | 58.2% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| A goal in each half | 41.8% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 45.6% | 47.4% | 37.6% | 1.26× | 2.11 |
| 0-1 goals | 37.4% | 35.1% | 18.9% | 1.85× | 2.85 |
| 4-6 goals | 16.3% | 20.2% | 37.1% | 0.54× | 4.96 |
| 7+ goals | 0.6% | 1.8% | 6.8% | 0.26× | 55.19 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to score exactly 1 | 36.1% | 36.0% | 30.0% | 1.20× | 2.78 |
| Napoli to score exactly 0 | 30.1% | 33.8% | 30.0% | 1.13× | 2.96 |
| Napoli to score exactly 2 | 21.7% | 22.4% | 19.5% | 1.15× | 4.46 |
| Napoli to score 3+ | 12.1% | 12.8% | 21.1% | 0.61× | 7.81 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal to score exactly 0 | 39.0% | 35.6% | 20.5% | 1.74× | 2.81 |
| Villarreal to score exactly 1 | 36.7% | 35.6% | 25.5% | 1.39× | 2.81 |
| Villarreal to score exactly 2 | 17.3% | 18.9% | 23.4% | 0.81× | 5.30 |
| Villarreal to score 3+ | 7.0% | 10.3% | 31.1% | 0.33× | 9.72 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw at HT | 49.5% | 52.5% | — | — | 1.90 |
| Napoli leading at HT | 27.9% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.93 |
| Villarreal leading at HT | 22.6% | 20.1% | — | — | 4.97 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli -1: 1 | 57.5% | 56.7% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Napoli -1: X | 24.2% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
| Napoli -1: 2 | 18.2% | 17.5% | — | — | 5.71 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (0:1) | 70.7% | 70.9% | 49.5% | 1.43× | 1.41 |
| Draw (0:1) | 19.1% | 17.8% | 19.2% | 0.93× | 5.62 |
| Villarreal (0:1) | 10.2% | 13.8% | 31.6% | 0.44× | 7.24 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (0:2) | 89.8% | 87.0% | 68.4% | 1.27× | 1.15 |
| Draw (0:2) | 7.5% | 7.7% | 13.4% | 0.58× | 12.96 |
| Villarreal (0:2) | 2.7% | 3.8% | 18.4% | 0.20× | 26.57 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (0:3) | 97.3% | 96.6% | 81.6% | 1.18× | 1.04 |
| Draw (0:3) | 2.1% | 2.4% | 9.2% | 0.26× | 42.12 |
| Villarreal (0:3) | 0.6% | 2.4% | 9.5% | 0.25× | 42.19 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (0:4) | 99.4% | 98.1% | 90.5% | 1.08× | 1.02 |
| Draw (0:4) | 0.5% | 1.2% | 5.8% | 0.21× | 83.56 |
| Villarreal (0:4) | 0.1% | 1.2% | 3.9% | 0.30× | 83.60 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal (1:0) | 57.5% | 58.1% | 66.3% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| Draw (1:0) | 24.2% | 21.8% | 16.6% | 1.31× | 4.59 |
| Napoli (1:0) | 18.2% | 17.0% | 17.4% | 0.98× | 5.87 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal (2:0) | 81.8% | 84.6% | 82.6% | 1.02× | 1.18 |
| Draw (2:0) | 12.1% | 10.4% | 7.9% | 1.32× | 9.62 |
| Napoli (2:0) | 6.1% | 6.4% | 9.7% | 0.66× | 15.54 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 45.4% | 48.1% | — | — | 2.08 |
| Halves equal | 28.1% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 26.5% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal to concede | 69.9% | 66.6% | 70.0% | 0.95× | 1.50 |
| Villarreal clean sheet | 30.1% | 33.4% | 30.0% | 1.11× | 2.99 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal clean sheet in 1st half | 61.9% | 64.5% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Villarreal to concede in 1st half | 38.1% | 35.5% | — | — | 2.82 |
Home corners O/U 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal under 6.5 corners | 80.1% | 80.9% | — | — | 1.24 |
| Villarreal over 2.5 corners | 73.8% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Villarreal under 5.5 corners | 70.1% | 71.9% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Villarreal over 3.5 corners | 58.0% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Villarreal under 4.5 corners | 57.2% | 57.5% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Villarreal over 4.5 corners | 42.8% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Villarreal under 3.5 corners | 42.0% | 42.5% | — | — | 2.35 |
| Villarreal over 5.5 corners | 29.9% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Villarreal under 2.5 corners | 26.2% | 28.1% | — | — | 3.56 |
| Villarreal over 6.5 corners | 19.9% | 19.1% | — | — | 5.25 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal under 3.5 goals | 98.4% | 96.4% | 83.9% | 1.15× | 1.04 |
| Villarreal under 2.5 goals | 93.0% | 92.3% | 68.9% | 1.34× | 1.08 |
| Villarreal under 1.5 goals | 75.7% | 77.7% | 45.8% | 1.70× | 1.29 |
| Villarreal over 0.5 goals | 61.0% | 63.4% | 79.5% | 0.80× | 1.58 |
| Villarreal under 0.5 goals | 39.0% | 36.6% | 20.5% | 1.78× | 2.73 |
| Villarreal over 1.5 goals | 24.3% | 22.3% | 54.2% | 0.41× | 4.49 |
| Villarreal over 2.5 goals | 7.0% | 7.7% | 31.1% | 0.25× | 12.93 |
| Villarreal over 3.5 goals | 1.6% | 3.6% | 16.1% | 0.23× | 27.51 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal under 1.5 in 1st half | 93.7% | 95.4% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Villarreal under 0.5 in 1st half | 66.7% | 68.9% | — | — | 1.45 |
| Villarreal over 0.5 in 1st half | 33.3% | 31.1% | — | — | 3.21 |
| Villarreal over 1.5 in 1st half | 6.3% | 4.6% | — | — | 21.95 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli (home no bet) | 60.1% | 60.1% | 67.7% | 0.89× | 1.67 |
| Draw (home no bet) | 39.9% | 39.9% | 32.3% | 1.24× | 2.50 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal even goals | 57.6% | 55.5% | 53.2% | 1.04× | 1.80 |
| Villarreal odd goals | 42.4% | 44.5% | 46.8% | 0.95× | 2.25 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 41.2% | 41.2% | — | — | 2.42 |
| HT 0-1 | 19.9% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.31 |
| HT 1-0 | 16.8% | 18.8% | — | — | 5.33 |
| HT 1-1 | 7.9% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.16 |
| HT 0-2 | 4.8% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.71 |
| HT 2-0 | 3.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.82 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.9% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.93 |
| Any other HT score | 2.1% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.91 |
| HT 2-1 | 1.6% | 2.3% | — | — | 43.95 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.4% | 2.3% | — | — | 44.04 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli at HT / Napoli at FT | 22.5% | 21.8% | — | — | 4.60 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 19.4% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Draw at HT / Napoli at FT | 17.9% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.94 |
| Villarreal at HT / Villarreal at FT | 15.8% | 16.8% | — | — | 5.95 |
| Draw at HT / Villarreal at FT | 12.2% | 12.7% | — | — | 7.90 |
| Villarreal at HT / Draw at FT | 4.7% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.80 |
| Napoli at HT / Draw at FT | 4.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.83 |
| Villarreal at HT / Napoli at FT | 2.1% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.91 |
| Napoli at HT / Villarreal at FT | 1.3% | 3.5% | — | — | 28.94 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli to score last | 49.7% | 46.8% | — | — | 2.14 |
| Villarreal to score last | 39.0% | 38.2% | — | — | 2.62 |
| No goal scored | 11.2% | 9.2% | — | — | 10.90 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 88.8% | 90.8% | — | — | 1.10 |
| Napoli to lead by 1 at any time | 55.2% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Villarreal to lead by 1 at any time | 43.3% | 39.2% | — | — | 2.55 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 36.5% | 34.8% | — | — | 2.88 |
| Napoli to lead by 2 at any time | 22.7% | 19.6% | — | — | 5.11 |
| Villarreal to lead by 2 at any time | 13.9% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.58 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 10.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.65 |
| Napoli to lead by 3 at any time | 7.3% | 6.6% | — | — | 15.24 |
| Villarreal to lead by 3 at any time | 3.5% | 1.6% | — | — | 62.95 |
Most corners 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli most corners | 49.0% | 47.0% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Villarreal most corners | 40.2% | 43.5% | — | — | 2.30 |
| Corners level | 10.8% | 10.4% | — | — | 9.61 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.6% | 87.4% | 81.3% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| 1-4 goals | 82.1% | 83.5% | 67.6% | 1.24× | 1.20 |
| 1-3 goals | 71.8% | 72.4% | 51.3% | 1.41× | 1.38 |
| 2-6 goals | 61.9% | 63.4% | 74.5% | 0.85× | 1.58 |
| 2-5 goals | 60.4% | 63.4% | 67.6% | 0.94× | 1.58 |
| 2-4 goals | 55.9% | 59.2% | 53.9% | 1.10× | 1.69 |
| 1-2 goals | 52.6% | 53.2% | 30.0% | 1.77× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 45.6% | 48.7% | 37.6% | 1.29× | 2.06 |
| 3-6 goals | 35.5% | 39.2% | 58.4% | 0.67× | 2.55 |
| 3-5 goals | 33.9% | 35.4% | 51.6% | 0.69× | 2.83 |
| 3-4 goals | 29.5% | 30.2% | 37.9% | 0.80× | 3.31 |
| 4-6 goals | 16.3% | 18.6% | 37.1% | 0.50× | 5.37 |
| 4-5 goals | 14.7% | 14.9% | 30.3% | 0.49× | 6.72 |
| 5-6 goals | 6.0% | 8.7% | 20.8% | 0.42× | 11.45 |
| 7+ goals | 0.6% | 2.5% | 6.8% | 0.37× | 39.49 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Napoli never behind | 45.5% | 56.4% | — | — | 1.77 |
| Villarreal never behind | 33.6% | 35.8% | — | — | 2.79 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.6% | 50.8% | 45.8% | 1.11× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.4% | 49.2% | 54.2% | 0.91× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 58.3% | 57.6% | — | — | 1.74 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 41.7% | 42.4% | — | — | 2.36 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 53.7% | 52.1% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 46.3% | 47.9% | — | — | 2.09 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 goals | 97.8% | 95.5% | 86.3% | 1.11× | 1.05 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 93.4% | 92.3% | 72.6% | 1.27× | 1.08 |
| Over 0.5 goals | 88.8% | 87.7% | 94.7% | 0.93× | 1.14 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 83.1% | 82.4% | 56.3% | 1.46× | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 63.8% | 61.7% | 35.0% | 1.76× | 1.62 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 62.6% | 61.7% | 81.1% | 0.76× | 1.62 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 37.4% | 38.3% | 18.9% | 2.02× | 2.61 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36.2% | 38.3% | 65.0% | 0.59× | 2.61 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 16.9% | 17.6% | 43.7% | 0.40× | 5.68 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 11.2% | 12.3% | 5.3% | 2.35× | 8.10 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 6.6% | 7.7% | 27.4% | 0.28× | 12.95 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 2.2% | 4.5% | 13.7% | 0.33× | 22.25 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 99.3% | 97.3% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 97.7% | 97.2% | 84.1% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 92.6% | 92.5% | 67.3% | 1.37× | 1.08 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 79.0% | 75.9% | 44.5% | 1.71× | 1.32 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 50.9% | 51.8% | 22.6% | 2.29× | 1.93 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 49.2% | 48.2% | 77.4% | 0.62× | 2.07 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 21.0% | 24.1% | 55.5% | 0.43× | 4.16 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 7.4% | 7.5% | 32.7% | 0.23× | 13.27 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 2.3% | 2.8% | 15.9% | 0.17× | 36.35 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 0.7% | 2.7% | 7.3% | 0.37× | 36.40 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 94.0% | 92.9% | — | — | 1.08 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 77.9% | 78.9% | — | — | 1.27 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 58.8% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 41.2% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.76 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 22.1% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.74 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 6.0% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 86.7% | 85.2% | — | — | 1.17 |
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 71.7% | 77.7% | — | — | 1.29 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 64.4% | 62.3% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 35.6% | 37.7% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 28.3% | 22.3% | — | — | 4.48 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 13.3% | 14.8% | — | — | 6.78 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal not to score in both halves | 86.2% | 85.9% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Napoli not to score in both halves | 80.4% | 84.3% | — | — | 1.19 |
| Napoli to score in both halves | 19.6% | 15.7% | — | — | 6.37 |
| Villarreal to score in both halves | 13.8% | 14.1% | — | — | 7.11 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 42.1% | 46.6% | 54.7% | 0.85× | 2.15 |
| Only Napoli scores | 27.8% | 26.1% | 15.5% | 1.68× | 3.82 |
| Only Villarreal scores | 18.9% | 16.1% | 25.0% | 0.64× | 6.21 |
| Neither team scores | 11.2% | 10.9% | 5.3% | 2.08× | 9.14 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 2 goals | 26.4% | 24.9% | 16.3% | 1.53× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 26.2% | 24.9% | 13.9% | 1.79× | 4.01 |
| Exactly 3 goals | 19.2% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 0.81× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 11.2% | 12.1% | 5.3% | 2.29× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 10.3% | 12.1% | 16.6% | 0.73× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 13.9% | 0.32× | 22.67 |
| 6 or more goals | 2.2% | 4.4% | 13.7% | 0.32× | 22.71 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 36.1% | 40.0% | — | — | 2.50 |
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 35.6% | 39.9% | — | — | 2.51 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 28.3% | 29.9% | — | — | 3.35 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal not to win both halves | 94.6% | 94.0% | — | — | 1.06 |
| Napoli not to win both halves | 90.1% | 93.9% | — | — | 1.07 |
| Napoli to win both halves | 9.9% | 6.1% | — | — | 16.42 |
| Villarreal to win both halves | 5.4% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.75 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal to win neither half | 58.6% | 59.5% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Napoli to win either half | 53.7% | 55.0% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Napoli to win neither half | 46.3% | 45.0% | — | — | 2.22 |
| Villarreal to win either half | 41.4% | 40.5% | — | — | 2.47 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Villarreal not to win to nil | 81.1% | 83.0% | 75.0% | 1.11× | 1.21 |
| Napoli not to win to nil | 72.2% | 75.3% | 84.5% | 0.89× | 1.33 |
| Napoli to win to nil | 27.8% | 24.7% | 15.5% | 1.59× | 4.04 |
| Villarreal to win to nil | 18.9% | 17.0% | 25.0% | 0.68× | 5.89 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw | 28.2% | 27.8% | 16.1% | 1.73× | 3.60 |
| Napoli by 1 | 24.2% | 24.2% | 16.6% | 1.46× | 4.14 |
| Villarreal by 1 | 19.1% | 17.0% | 19.2% | 0.88× | 5.90 |
| Napoli by 2 | 12.1% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 1.50× | 8.47 |
| Villarreal by 2 | 7.5% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 0.54× | 13.80 |
| Napoli by 3+ | 6.1% | 7.2% | 9.7% | 0.74× | 13.80 |
| Villarreal by 3+ | 2.7% | 2.7% | 18.4% | 0.15× | 37.05 |