VVV-Venlo v Roda JC Kerkrade — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 4 October 2026 · NED-Eerste Divisie · 2627

NED-Eerste Divisie results-only Prediction generated 5 Sep 2026, 14:39

VVV-Venlo

08:30

Roda JC Kerkrade

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 7 Sep, 07:51 · 653h before kick-off

VVV-Venlo win

49.5%

model 46.1%

Draw

21.8%

model 23.2%

Roda JC Kerkrade win

28.7%

model 30.7%

492229

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (413 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.8%
1-0 9.4%
2-1 9.3%
0-1 7.5%
1-2 7.3%

Goals

Over 2.5	55.8%	Under 2.5	44.2%
BTTS yes	57.7%	BTTS no	42.3%
VVV-Venlo 1+	80.4%	VVV-Venlo 2+	48.5%
Roda JC Kerkrade 1+	72.4%	Roda JC Kerkrade 2+	36.8%

Expected goals 1.63 – 1.29. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

54/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

98%

★ Best pick

1-3 goals

Multi goal · usually 55%

62.7% fair odds 1.60

moderate signal · 3105 settled matches behind the band

★ Most likely to land

VVV-Venlo over 0.5 goals

Home goals O/U · usually 82%

82.7% fair odds 1.21

moderate signal · 1110 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

VVV-Venlo have an estimated 49.5% win probability, against 28.7% for Roda JC Kerkrade and 21.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.63 for VVV-Venlo and 1.29 for Roda JC Kerkrade.

Why VVV-Venlo

Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.8%. Draws run at 22% in this competition.

Why Roda JC Kerkrade can win

Roda JC Kerkrade carry the stronger rating, 1470 Elo against 1445.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for VVV-Venlo, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Roda JC Kerkrade, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

VVV-Venlo: 44% possession, 9.8 shots a match, 20.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Roda JC Kerkrade: 48% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 16.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

VVV-Venlo are the model's most likely outcome at 49.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.8%. Confidence 54/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
ai-blend	462331	1.63–1.29	0%	0%	0%
dc-xg	482329	1.62–1.20	1-1 11%	54%	55%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win	47.7%	47.5%	44.4%	1.07×	2.11
Roda JC Kerkrade to win	28.9%	27.9%	33.5%	0.83×	3.59
Draw	23.4%	24.5%	22.3%	1.10×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo & not both score	24.7%	21.9%	22.9%	0.96×	4.57
VVV-Venlo & both teams score	23.0%	21.9%	21.6%	1.01×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	18.0%	17.9%	17.7%	1.01×	5.58
Roda JC Kerkrade & both teams score	14.5%	13.3%	19.7%	0.67×	7.54
Roda JC Kerkrade & not both score	14.4%	13.3%	13.9%	0.95×	7.54
Draw & not both score	5.4%	8.4%	4.7%	1.77×	11.94

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo & over 1.5	37.5%	34.9%	36.8%	0.95×	2.87
VVV-Venlo & under 3.5	31.7%	30.9%	25.9%	1.19×	3.24
VVV-Venlo & over 2.5	29.7%	26.0%	30.6%	0.85×	3.84
Roda JC Kerkrade & over 1.5	21.1%	21.7%	27.2%	0.79×	4.62
Roda JC Kerkrade & under 3.5	20.7%	21.7%	19.8%	1.09×	4.62
VVV-Venlo & under 2.5	18.0%	18.0%	13.9%	1.29×	5.56
Draw & over 1.5	18.0%	18.0%	17.7%	1.02×	5.56
Roda JC Kerkrade & over 2.5	16.9%	18.0%	23.6%	0.76×	5.56
VVV-Venlo & over 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	18.7%	0.96×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	16.4%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	16.4%	18.0%	14.2%	1.27×	5.56
Roda JC Kerkrade & under 2.5	12.0%	12.9%	10.0%	1.29×	7.77
VVV-Venlo & under 1.5	10.2%	12.9%	7.7%	1.67×	7.77
Roda JC Kerkrade & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	6.3%	1.24×	12.70
Roda JC Kerkrade & over 3.5	8.2%	7.9%	13.8%	0.57×	12.70
Draw & over 2.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.0%	7.9%	8.2%	0.96×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	5.4%	7.9%	4.7%	1.67×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (1UP)	63.0%	63.1%	—	—	1.58
Roda JC Kerkrade (1UP)	46.7%	43.2%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (2UP)	47.7%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
Roda JC Kerkrade (2UP)	28.9%	25.0%	—	—	4.01

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win 2nd half	38.7%	36.1%	—	—	2.77
2nd half drawn	34.1%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
Roda JC Kerkrade to win 2nd half	27.2%	26.3%	—	—	3.81

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (+2.5)	89.8%	88.5%	88.1%	1.01×	1.13
Roda JC Kerkrade (+1.5)	75.5%	78.4%	75.6%	1.04×	1.28
VVV-Venlo (+0.5)	71.1%	73.7%	66.5%	1.11×	1.36
Roda JC Kerkrade (+0.5)	52.3%	52.3%	55.6%	0.94×	1.91
VVV-Venlo (-0.5)	47.7%	47.7%	44.4%	1.07×	2.10
Roda JC Kerkrade (-0.5)	28.9%	26.3%	33.5%	0.79×	3.80
VVV-Venlo (-1.5)	24.5%	21.6%	24.4%	0.89×	4.64
VVV-Venlo (-2.5)	10.2%	11.5%	11.9%	0.96×	8.71

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to concede	80.2%	81.3%	81.5%	1.00×	1.23
Roda JC Kerkrade clean sheet	19.8%	18.7%	18.5%	1.01×	5.34

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade clean sheet in 1st half	49.8%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Roda JC Kerkrade to concede in 1st half	50.2%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade over 2.5 corners	85.7%	85.2%	—	—	1.17
Roda JC Kerkrade over 3.5 corners	72.8%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Roda JC Kerkrade under 6.5 corners	69.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Roda JC Kerkrade over 4.5 corners	57.8%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Roda JC Kerkrade under 5.5 corners	57.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Roda JC Kerkrade over 5.5 corners	43.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Roda JC Kerkrade under 4.5 corners	42.2%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Roda JC Kerkrade over 6.5 corners	30.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Roda JC Kerkrade under 3.5 corners	27.2%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Roda JC Kerkrade under 2.5 corners	14.3%	14.8%	—	—	6.75

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade under 3.5 goals	96.6%	97.5%	93.0%	1.05×	1.03
Roda JC Kerkrade under 2.5 goals	88.0%	87.9%	81.5%	1.08×	1.14
Roda JC Kerkrade over 0.5 goals	69.9%	68.0%	72.5%	0.94×	1.47
Roda JC Kerkrade under 1.5 goals	66.3%	67.9%	58.1%	1.17×	1.47
Roda JC Kerkrade over 1.5 goals	33.7%	32.1%	41.9%	0.76×	3.12
Roda JC Kerkrade under 0.5 goals	30.1%	32.0%	27.5%	1.16×	3.12
Roda JC Kerkrade over 2.5 goals	12.1%	12.1%	18.5%	0.65×	8.26
Roda JC Kerkrade over 3.5 goals	3.4%	2.5%	7.0%	0.35×	40.70

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade under 1.5 in 1st half	91.6%	94.1%	—	—	1.06
Roda JC Kerkrade under 0.5 in 1st half	61.9%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
Roda JC Kerkrade over 0.5 in 1st half	38.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.79
Roda JC Kerkrade over 1.5 in 1st half	8.4%	5.9%	—	—	17.08

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (away no bet)	67.1%	66.4%	66.6%	1.00×	1.51
Draw (away no bet)	32.9%	33.6%	33.4%	1.01×	2.97

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade even goals	54.5%	52.8%	57.1%	0.93×	1.89
Roda JC Kerkrade odd goals	45.5%	47.2%	42.9%	1.10×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	83.9%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	16.1%	17.0%	—	—	5.88

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	65.4%	68.5%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	34.6%	31.5%	—	—	3.17

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	57.6%	55.2%	—	—	1.81
VVV-Venlo to score 2+ in a row	39.5%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Roda JC Kerkrade to score 2+ in a row	24.8%	19.6%	—	—	5.11
Either team to score 3+ in a row	21.0%	19.5%	—	—	5.13
VVV-Venlo to score 3+ in a row	14.7%	12.2%	—	—	8.17
Roda JC Kerkrade to score 3+ in a row	6.6%	5.6%	—	—	17.75

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
VVV-Venlo corners (+3.5)	80.4%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (+2.5)	78.3%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
VVV-Venlo corners (+2.5)	72.2%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (+1.5)	69.5%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
VVV-Venlo corners (+1.5)	62.4%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (-1.5)	37.6%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
VVV-Venlo corners (-1.5)	30.5%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (-2.5)	27.8%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
VVV-Venlo corners (-2.5)	21.7%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Roda JC Kerkrade corners (-3.5)	19.6%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
VVV-Venlo corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	34.7%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
0-8 corners	34.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01
9-11 corners	31.1%	33.2%	—	—	3.01

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	75.8%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 12.5 corners	73.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	65.9%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 11.5 corners	65.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Under 10.5 corners	55.4%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 9.5 corners	55.2%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 9.5 corners	44.8%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Over 10.5 corners	44.6%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 11.5 corners	34.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Under 8.5 corners	34.1%	32.3%	—	—	3.09
Over 12.5 corners	26.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Under 7.5 corners	24.2%	23.5%	—	—	4.26

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	11.0%	11.5%	9.6%	1.20×	8.73
1-0	10.2%	11.5%	7.7%	1.48×	8.73
2-1	9.4%	7.4%	8.1%	0.92×	13.48
0-1	7.7%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
1-2	7.0%	7.4%	7.5%	0.99×	13.48
2-0	7.8%	7.4%	6.3%	1.17×	13.48
2-2	5.6%	7.4%	6.7%	1.10×	13.48
3-1	5.1%	7.4%	4.6%	1.61×	13.48
0-0	5.4%	7.4%	4.7%	1.57×	13.48
2-3	2.3%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
2-4	0.7%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.49
3-0	4.2%	1.7%	4.1%	0.42×	58.47
3-2	3.0%	1.7%	4.2%	0.40×	58.47
3-3	1.2%	1.7%	1.6%	1.06×	58.48
3-4	0.4%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
4-0	1.7%	1.7%	3.5%	0.49×	58.48
4-1	2.1%	1.7%	1.4%	1.25×	58.48
4-2	1.2%	1.7%	1.5%	1.15×	58.48
4-3	0.5%	1.7%	0.5%	3.44×	58.49
4-4	0.1%	1.7%	0.1%	13.75×	58.49
Any other score	3.2%	1.7%	4.7%	0.36×	58.47
0-2	4.3%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
0-3	1.7%	1.7%	2.6%	0.65×	58.48
0-4	0.5%	1.7%	1.2%	1.37×	58.49
1-3	2.8%	1.7%	3.7%	0.46×	58.47
1-4	0.8%	1.7%	2.2%	0.76×	58.49

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo leading at HT (DNB)	61.9%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Roda JC Kerkrade leading at HT (DNB)	38.1%	34.2%	—	—	2.92

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or Roda JC Kerkrade (12)	76.6%	75.5%	77.7%	0.97×	1.32
VVV-Venlo or draw (1X)	71.1%	72.1%	66.5%	1.08×	1.39
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw (X2)	52.3%	52.5%	55.6%	0.94×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw at HT	77.8%	79.9%	—	—	1.25
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw at HT	64.0%	62.1%	—	—	1.61
VVV-Venlo or Roda JC Kerkrade at HT	58.2%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw (1UP)	71.1%	80.0%	—	—	1.25
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw (1UP)	52.3%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo or draw in 2nd half	72.8%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
VVV-Venlo or Roda JC Kerkrade in 2nd half	65.9%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
Roda JC Kerkrade or draw in 2nd half	61.3%	63.9%	—	—	1.57

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	62.3%	61.6%	—	—	1.62
Neither half drawn	37.7%	38.4%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (DNB)	62.3%	62.8%	57.0%	1.10×	1.59
Roda JC Kerkrade (DNB)	37.7%	37.2%	43.0%	0.87×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score first	54.3%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
Roda JC Kerkrade to score first	40.3%	41.7%	—	—	2.40
No goal scored	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	55.5%	54.9%	58.7%	0.93×	1.82
Not both teams to score	44.5%	45.1%	41.3%	1.09×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	44.5%	41.6%	49.3%	0.85×	2.40
Not both score & under 2.5	35.5%	38.5%	28.4%	1.36×	2.60
Both score & under 2.5	11.0%	12.3%	9.6%	1.29×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.1%	8.4%	13.1%	0.64×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	83.8%	83.1%	79.0%	1.05×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	16.2%	16.9%	21.0%	0.81×	5.91

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	69.3%	67.7%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	30.7%	32.3%	—	—	3.09

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	56.1%	59.3%	—	—	1.69
Both score 2nd half only	24.8%	20.9%	—	—	4.79
Both score 1st half only	13.1%	10.8%	—	—	9.29
Both score in both halves	5.9%	6.8%	—	—	14.81

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	81.0%	82.3%	—	—	1.22
Both teams to score by HT	19.0%	17.7%	—	—	5.66

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	55.5%	57.2%	—	—	1.75
A half without a goal	44.5%	42.8%	—	—	2.34

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	45.4%	47.4%	41.2%	1.15×	2.11
4-6 goals	28.7%	26.5%	37.3%	0.71×	3.78
0-1 goals	23.3%	22.8%	18.5%	1.23×	4.38
7+ goals	2.5%	1.8%	3.2%	0.57×	54.54

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade to score exactly 1	36.1%	36.0%	30.7%	1.17×	2.78
Roda JC Kerkrade to score exactly 0	30.1%	33.8%	27.5%	1.23×	2.96
Roda JC Kerkrade to score exactly 2	21.7%	22.4%	23.5%	0.95×	4.46
Roda JC Kerkrade to score 3+	12.1%	12.8%	18.5%	0.69×	7.81

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 1	32.1%	32.6%	30.5%	1.07×	3.06
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 2	26.0%	26.5%	25.9%	1.03×	3.77
VVV-Venlo to score 3+	22.2%	23.2%	25.4%	0.92×	4.30
VVV-Venlo to score exactly 0	19.8%	18.9%	18.5%	1.02×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	41.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
VVV-Venlo leading at HT	36.0%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Roda JC Kerkrade leading at HT	22.2%	20.1%	—	—	4.97

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo -1: 2	52.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
VVV-Venlo -1: 1	24.5%	23.6%	—	—	4.24
VVV-Venlo -1: X	23.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:1)	52.3%	51.1%	55.6%	0.92×	1.96
VVV-Venlo (0:1)	24.5%	24.3%	24.4%	1.00×	4.12
Draw (0:1)	23.2%	24.3%	20.1%	1.20×	4.12

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:2)	75.5%	79.4%	75.6%	1.05×	1.26
Draw (0:2)	14.3%	11.0%	12.6%	0.87×	9.11
VVV-Venlo (0:2)	10.2%	11.0%	11.9%	0.92×	9.13

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:3)	89.8%	90.8%	88.1%	1.03×	1.10
Draw (0:3)	6.7%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.17
VVV-Venlo (0:3)	3.5%	2.4%	6.3%	0.37×	42.11

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (0:4)	96.5%	98.1%	93.7%	1.05×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	2.5%	1.2%	4.4%	0.28×	83.39
VVV-Venlo (0:4)	1.0%	1.2%	2.1%	0.57×	83.57

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (1:0)	71.1%	72.5%	66.5%	1.09×	1.38
Draw (1:0)	17.3%	17.0%	18.2%	0.94×	5.87
Roda JC Kerkrade (1:0)	11.5%	12.8%	15.4%	0.83×	7.81

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo (2:0)	88.5%	88.4%	84.6%	1.05×	1.13
Draw (2:0)	7.8%	6.5%	8.8%	0.73×	15.48
Roda JC Kerkrade (2:0)	3.7%	2.3%	6.7%	0.34×	44.14

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.7%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	27.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	23.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to concede	69.9%	66.6%	72.5%	0.92×	1.50
VVV-Venlo clean sheet	30.1%	33.4%	27.5%	1.22×	2.99

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo clean sheet in 1st half	61.9%	64.1%	—	—	1.56
VVV-Venlo to concede in 1st half	38.1%	35.9%	—	—	2.79

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 corners	82.7%	80.9%	—	—	1.24
VVV-Venlo under 6.5 corners	74.7%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 corners	68.4%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
VVV-Venlo under 5.5 corners	62.4%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
VVV-Venlo over 4.5 corners	52.5%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
VVV-Venlo under 4.5 corners	47.5%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
VVV-Venlo over 5.5 corners	37.6%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 corners	31.6%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
VVV-Venlo over 6.5 corners	25.3%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 corners	17.3%	19.1%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 3.5 goals	91.8%	92.3%	89.8%	1.03×	1.08
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 goals	80.2%	82.1%	81.5%	1.01×	1.22
VVV-Venlo under 2.5 goals	77.8%	77.8%	74.6%	1.04×	1.29
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 goals	51.9%	53.2%	48.9%	1.09×	1.88
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 goals	48.1%	46.8%	51.1%	0.91×	2.14
VVV-Venlo over 2.5 goals	22.2%	22.3%	25.4%	0.88×	4.49
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 goals	19.8%	17.9%	18.5%	0.97×	5.59
VVV-Venlo over 3.5 goals	8.2%	7.8%	10.2%	0.76×	12.90

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo under 1.5 in 1st half	84.5%	84.4%	—	—	1.19
VVV-Venlo under 0.5 in 1st half	49.8%	51.0%	—	—	1.96
VVV-Venlo over 0.5 in 1st half	50.2%	49.0%	—	—	2.04
VVV-Venlo over 1.5 in 1st half	15.5%	15.6%	—	—	6.40

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade (home no bet)	55.2%	56.7%	60.0%	0.94×	1.77
Draw (home no bet)	44.8%	43.3%	40.0%	1.08×	2.31

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo even goals	52.0%	50.6%	51.7%	0.98×	1.98
VVV-Venlo odd goals	48.0%	49.4%	48.3%	1.02×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.7%	32.2%	—	—	3.11
HT 1-0	21.6%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	14.9%	11.0%	—	—	9.13
HT 1-1	10.2%	10.9%	—	—	9.18
HT 2-0	7.5%	7.1%	—	—	14.04
Any other HT score	4.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.27
HT 0-2	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 2-1	3.6%	2.3%	—	—	43.35
HT 1-2	2.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.43
HT 2-2	0.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.55

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	28.6%	26.9%	—	—	3.72
Draw at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	16.5%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Roda JC Kerkrade at HT / Roda JC Kerkrade at FT	15.0%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	13.6%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Roda JC Kerkrade at FT	11.7%	12.7%	—	—	7.90
VVV-Venlo at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
Roda JC Kerkrade at HT / Draw at FT	4.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.78
Roda JC Kerkrade at HT / VVV-Venlo at FT	2.6%	3.5%	—	—	28.86
VVV-Venlo at HT / Roda JC Kerkrade at FT	2.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.88

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to score last	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Roda JC Kerkrade to score last	40.3%	39.9%	—	—	2.51
No goal scored	5.4%	7.4%	—	—	13.43

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	94.6%	92.7%	—	—	1.08
VVV-Venlo to lead by 1 at any time	63.0%	61.3%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	48.1%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Roda JC Kerkrade to lead by 1 at any time	46.7%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
VVV-Venlo to lead by 2 at any time	31.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.41
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	17.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.70
Roda JC Kerkrade to lead by 2 at any time	17.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
VVV-Venlo to lead by 3 at any time	12.6%	10.5%	—	—	9.55
Roda JC Kerkrade to lead by 3 at any time	5.1%	6.6%	—	—	15.17

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade most corners	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
VVV-Venlo most corners	40.7%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	10.9%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	87.9%	87.4%	86.3%	1.01×	1.14
1-4 goals	79.1%	78.6%	74.1%	1.06×	1.27
2-6 goals	74.1%	72.4%	78.4%	0.92×	1.38
2-5 goals	70.0%	69.0%	72.5%	0.95×	1.45
1-3 goals	63.4%	63.4%	55.0%	1.15×	1.58
2-4 goals	61.1%	63.4%	60.3%	1.05×	1.58
3-6 goals	51.0%	53.2%	59.1%	0.90×	1.88
3-5 goals	46.8%	48.7%	53.2%	0.91×	2.06
2-3 goals	45.4%	48.7%	41.2%	1.18×	2.06
1-2 goals	41.1%	43.6%	33.2%	1.31×	2.30
3-4 goals	38.0%	39.2%	41.0%	0.95×	2.55
4-6 goals	28.7%	30.3%	37.3%	0.81×	3.31
4-5 goals	24.6%	24.5%	31.5%	0.78×	4.08
5-6 goals	13.0%	14.9%	18.2%	0.82×	6.72
7+ goals	2.5%	2.6%	3.2%	0.79×	39.22

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo never behind	47.9%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Roda JC Kerkrade never behind	31.6%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even number of goals	49.0%	50.8%	49.5%	1.03×	1.97
Odd number of goals	51.0%	49.2%	50.5%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.6%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.4%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	94.6%	92.3%	95.3%	0.97×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	93.3%	92.3%	90.9%	1.01×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	84.5%	82.4%	78.7%	1.05×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	76.7%	77.3%	81.5%	0.95×	1.29
Under 3.5 goals	68.8%	66.2%	59.6%	1.11×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	53.5%	52.5%	62.2%	0.84×	1.91
Under 2.5 goals	46.5%	47.5%	37.8%	1.26×	2.11
Over 3.5 goals	31.2%	33.8%	40.4%	0.84×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	23.3%	22.7%	18.5%	1.22×	4.41
Over 4.5 goals	15.5%	17.6%	21.3%	0.83×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	6.7%	7.7%	9.1%	0.85×	12.93
Under 0.5 goals	5.4%	7.7%	4.7%	1.64×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	97.4%	97.2%	96.6%	1.01×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	92.7%	92.5%	89.7%	1.03×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	81.6%	81.0%	73.7%	1.10×	1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	69.6%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	59.8%	55.5%	48.3%	1.15×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	40.2%	44.5%	51.7%	0.86×	2.25
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	30.4%	32.6%	23.0%	1.42×	3.07
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	18.4%	19.0%	26.3%	0.72×	5.28
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	7.3%	7.5%	10.3%	0.73×	13.26
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	2.6%	2.8%	3.4%	0.81×	36.14

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	88.5%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	69.3%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half	67.2%	69.0%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	32.8%	31.0%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.7%	31.0%	—	—	3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half	11.5%	11.0%	—	—	9.10

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	80.9%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	77.2%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	51.3%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	48.7%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	22.8%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade not to score in both halves	80.4%	84.2%	—	—	1.19
VVV-Venlo not to score in both halves	69.8%	70.6%	—	—	1.42
VVV-Venlo to score in both halves	30.2%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Roda JC Kerkrade to score in both halves	19.6%	15.8%	—	—	6.33

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	55.5%	58.4%	58.7%	0.99×	1.71
Only VVV-Venlo scores	24.7%	22.4%	22.9%	0.98×	4.47
Only Roda JC Kerkrade scores	14.4%	10.9%	13.9%	0.79×	9.14
Neither team scores	5.4%	7.2%	4.7%	1.52×	13.93

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	23.1%	22.6%	19.4%	1.17×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.3%	22.6%	21.9%	1.03×	4.42
Exactly 1 goals	17.9%	17.4%	13.9%	1.25×	5.74
Exactly 4 goals	15.7%	17.4%	19.3%	0.90×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	8.9%	7.6%	12.3%	0.62×	13.08
6 or more goals	6.7%	7.6%	9.1%	0.84×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	5.4%	7.6%	4.7%	1.62×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	48.7%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
1 goal in 2nd half	32.2%	33.4%	—	—	2.99
No goals in 2nd half	19.1%	17.2%	—	—	5.81

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade not to win both halves	94.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
VVV-Venlo not to win both halves	86.2%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
VVV-Venlo to win both halves	13.8%	12.2%	—	—	8.23
Roda JC Kerkrade to win both halves	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo to win either half	60.9%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
Roda JC Kerkrade to win neither half	56.6%	59.4%	—	—	1.68
Roda JC Kerkrade to win either half	43.4%	40.6%	—	—	2.47
VVV-Venlo to win neither half	39.1%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Roda JC Kerkrade not to win to nil	85.6%	88.2%	86.1%	1.02×	1.13
VVV-Venlo not to win to nil	75.3%	78.0%	77.1%	1.01×	1.28
VVV-Venlo to win to nil	24.7%	22.0%	22.9%	0.96×	4.55
Roda JC Kerkrade to win to nil	14.4%	11.8%	13.9%	0.85×	8.48

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
VVV-Venlo by 1	23.2%	24.2%	20.1%	1.20×	4.14
Draw	23.4%	24.2%	22.3%	1.08×	4.14
Roda JC Kerkrade by 1	17.3%	16.9%	18.2%	0.93×	5.91
VVV-Venlo by 2	14.3%	11.8%	12.6%	0.94×	8.47
VVV-Venlo by 3+	10.2%	11.8%	11.9%	0.99×	8.48
Roda JC Kerkrade by 2	7.8%	7.3%	8.8%	0.82×	13.78
Roda JC Kerkrade by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	6.7%	0.40×	36.96