Waasland-Beveren v OH Leuven — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 6 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627
BEL-Pro League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 1-1 13.2%
- 0-1 11.0%
- 1-2 8.8%
- 0-0 8.8%
- 1-0 8.7%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 45.4% | Under 2.5 | 54.6% |
| BTTS yes | 50.6% | BTTS no | 49.4% |
| Waasland-Beveren 1+ | 67.0% | Waasland-Beveren 2+ | 30.4% |
| OH Leuven 1+ | 74.9% | OH Leuven 2+ | 40.2% |
Expected goals 1.11 – 1.38. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Nothing in the data singles out OH Leuven.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Waasland-Beveren have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
OH Leuven have an estimated 42.6% win probability, against 29.7% for Waasland-Beveren and 27.7% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.11 for Waasland-Beveren and 1.38 for OH Leuven.
Why Waasland-Beveren
Waasland-Beveren carry the stronger rating, 1464 Elo against 1352. They have had 9 days' rest to OH Leuven's 3.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 27.7%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why OH Leuven can win
Nothing in the data singles out OH Leuven.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Waasland-Beveren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for OH Leuven, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Waasland-Beveren: 51% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. OH Leuven: 39% possession, 13.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
OH Leuven are the model's most likely outcome at 42.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 13.2%. Confidence 64/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 1.11–1.38 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.91–1.32 | 0-1 14% | 38% | 44% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.