Waasland-Beveren v Sint-Truidense — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627
BEL-Pro League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-2 10.2%
- 1-1 10.0%
- 1-2 9.9%
- 0-1 9.5%
- 0-3 7.0%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 58.5% | Under 2.5 | 41.5% |
| BTTS yes | 54.8% | BTTS no | 45.2% |
| Waasland-Beveren 1+ | 62.4% | Waasland-Beveren 2+ | 25.6% |
| Sint-Truidense 1+ | 87.3% | Sint-Truidense 2+ | 61.0% |
Expected goals 0.98 – 2.06. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Sint-Truidense carry the stronger rating, 1581 Elo against 1464.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Waasland-Beveren have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Sint-Truidense have an estimated 62.1% win probability, against 21.2% for the draw and 16.7% for Waasland-Beveren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.98 for Waasland-Beveren and 2.06 for Sint-Truidense.
Why Waasland-Beveren
They have had 15 days' rest to Sint-Truidense's 10.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 21.2%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Sint-Truidense can win
Sint-Truidense carry the stronger rating, 1581 Elo against 1464.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Waasland-Beveren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Sint-Truidense, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Waasland-Beveren: 51% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Sint-Truidense: 50% possession, 16.2 shots a match, 14.4 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-07 06:03 · team_stats 2026-09-07 06:05 · availability 2026-09-07 07:51 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Sint-Truidense are the model's most likely outcome at 62.1%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 10.2%. Confidence 62/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ai-blend | 0.98–2.06 | 0% | 0% | 0% | |
| dc-xg | 0.79–2.19 | 0-2 12% | 57% | 49% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.