Waasland-Beveren v Union St.-Gilloise — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 31 October 2026 · BEL-Pro League · 2627
BEL-Pro League
results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
ai-blend v1.0 dailyRaw model output; no calibration record for this fixture's bands yet.
Top 5 scorelines
- 0-2 14.6%
- 0-1 13.1%
- 0-3 10.6%
- 1-2 8.9%
- 1-1 8.5%
Goals
| Over 2.5 | 52.8% | Under 2.5 | 47.2% |
| BTTS yes | 40.8% | BTTS no | 59.2% |
| Waasland-Beveren 1+ | 45.7% | Waasland-Beveren 2+ | 12.5% |
| Union St.-Gilloise 1+ | 88.7% | Union St.-Gilloise 2+ | 64.1% |
Expected goals 0.61 – 2.18. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.
Footing
Positive factors
- Union St.-Gilloise carry the stronger rating, 1767 Elo against 1464.
- Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
Risk factors
- Data quality is 45/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
- Waasland-Beveren have only 4 matches on record.
Why the model thinks this
The price
Union St.-Gilloise have an estimated 73.3% win probability, against 18.1% for the draw and 8.7% for Waasland-Beveren. Expected goals from the ensemble are 0.61 for Waasland-Beveren and 2.18 for Union St.-Gilloise.
Why Waasland-Beveren
Nothing in the data singles out Waasland-Beveren.
Why the draw is live
The draw sits at 18.1%. Draws run at 26% in this competition.
Why Union St.-Gilloise can win
Union St.-Gilloise carry the stronger rating, 1767 Elo against 1464. Form is good: 2.60 points a match from the last five.
Key players
No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.
Availability
No lineup on record for Waasland-Beveren, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Union St.-Gilloise, so availability is unknown.
The matchup, as far as the data reaches
Waasland-Beveren: 51% possession, 11.0 shots a match, 16.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Union St.-Gilloise: 55% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 10.0 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.
Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·
Union St.-Gilloise are the model's most likely outcome at 73.3%. The likeliest scoreline is 0-2 at 14.6%. Confidence 61/100, data quality 45/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.
Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 0.39–2.39 | 0-2 18% | 53% | 30% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.