Walsall v Rochdale — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Saturday 12 September 2026 · ENG-League Two · 2627
AI prediction
dc-xg No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dc-xg | 1.96–0.60 | 1-0 17% | 47% | 37% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to win | 71.1% | 73.8% | 42.6% | 1.73× | 1.36 |
| Draw | 17.3% | 19.3% | 26.2% | 0.74× | 5.17 |
| Rochdale to win | 11.6% | 13.3% | 31.3% | 0.42× | 7.52 |
1X2 & GG/NG 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall & not both score | 40.4% | 40.0% | 23.4% | 1.71× | 2.50 |
| Walsall & both teams score | 30.7% | 29.7% | 19.4% | 1.53× | 3.37 |
| Draw & both teams score | 12.9% | 13.2% | 19.4% | 0.68× | 7.55 |
| Rochdale & both teams score | 5.9% | 8.4% | 14.4% | 0.58× | 11.95 |
| Rochdale & not both score | 5.7% | 8.4% | 17.1% | 0.49× | 11.95 |
| Draw & not both score | 4.4% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 0.70× | 20.48 |
1X2 & Over/Under 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall & over 1.5 | 60.7% | 54.7% | 30.5% | 1.79× | 1.83 |
| Walsall & over 2.5 | 48.7% | 45.3% | 23.9% | 1.89× | 2.21 |
| Walsall & under 3.5 | 41.0% | 40.3% | 29.9% | 1.35× | 2.48 |
| Walsall & over 3.5 | 30.1% | 30.9% | 12.9% | 2.39× | 3.24 |
| Walsall & under 2.5 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 18.9% | 1.14× | 4.62 |
| Draw & over 1.5 | 12.9% | 12.9% | 19.4% | 0.66× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 2.5 | 12.6% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 0.68× | 7.78 |
| Draw & under 3.5 | 12.6% | 12.9% | 18.9% | 0.68× | 7.78 |
| Walsall & under 1.5 | 10.5% | 12.9% | 12.3% | 1.05× | 7.78 |
| Rochdale & under 3.5 | 8.9% | 7.9% | 23.9% | 0.33× | 12.69 |
| Rochdale & over 1.5 | 7.8% | 7.9% | 23.1% | 0.34× | 12.69 |
| Rochdale & over 2.5 | 6.4% | 7.9% | 17.4% | 0.45× | 12.69 |
| Rochdale & under 2.5 | 5.2% | 7.9% | 14.1% | 0.56× | 12.69 |
| Draw & over 2.5 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 0.64× | 20.93 |
| Draw & over 3.5 | 4.7% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 0.64× | 20.93 |
| Draw & under 1.5 | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 0.69× | 20.93 |
| Rochdale & under 1.5 | 3.7% | 4.8% | 8.4% | 0.57× | 20.93 |
| Rochdale & over 3.5 | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 0.63× | 20.94 |
1X2 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (1UP) | 80.5% | 86.7% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Rochdale (1UP) | 28.2% | 27.0% | — | — | 3.71 |
1X2 2UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (2UP) | 71.1% | 80.2% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Rochdale (2UP) | 11.6% | 13.3% | — | — | 7.51 |
2nd half 1X2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to win 2nd half | 57.4% | 60.2% | — | — | 1.66 |
| 2nd half drawn | 28.9% | 26.3% | — | — | 3.80 |
| Rochdale to win 2nd half | 13.7% | 12.1% | — | — | 8.23 |
Asian handicap 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (+0.5) | 88.4% | 88.5% | 68.7% | 1.29× | 1.13 |
| Rochdale (+2.5) | 73.4% | 73.7% | 93.4% | 0.79× | 1.36 |
| Walsall (-0.5) | 71.1% | 73.7% | 42.6% | 1.73× | 1.36 |
| Rochdale (+1.5) | 52.3% | 52.3% | 81.3% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Walsall (-1.5) | 47.7% | 47.7% | 18.7% | 2.54× | 2.10 |
| Rochdale (+0.5) | 28.9% | 26.3% | 57.4% | 0.46× | 3.80 |
| Walsall (-2.5) | 26.6% | 26.3% | 6.6% | 3.97× | 3.80 |
| Rochdale (-0.5) | 11.6% | 11.5% | 31.3% | 0.37× | 8.70 |
Away clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale to concede | 89.9% | 86.5% | 76.1% | 1.14× | 1.16 |
| Rochdale clean sheet | 10.1% | 13.5% | 23.9% | 0.56× | 7.43 |
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale to concede in 1st half | 62.8% | 64.8% | — | — | 1.54 |
| Rochdale clean sheet in 1st half | 37.2% | 35.2% | — | — | 2.84 |
Away goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale under 3.5 goals | 99.1% | 97.6% | 97.3% | 1.00× | 1.03 |
| Rochdale under 2.5 goals | 95.2% | 97.6% | 88.5% | 1.10× | 1.03 |
| Rochdale under 1.5 goals | 80.8% | 81.5% | 65.1% | 1.25× | 1.23 |
| Rochdale over 0.5 goals | 55.2% | 59.6% | 69.8% | 0.85× | 1.68 |
| Rochdale under 0.5 goals | 44.8% | 40.4% | 30.2% | 1.34× | 2.48 |
| Rochdale over 1.5 goals | 19.2% | 18.5% | 34.9% | 0.53× | 5.39 |
| Rochdale over 2.5 goals | 4.8% | 2.4% | 11.5% | 0.21× | 40.94 |
| Rochdale over 3.5 goals | 0.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 0.88× | 41.15 |
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale under 1.5 in 1st half | 95.8% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Rochdale under 0.5 in 1st half | 72.6% | 69.4% | — | — | 1.44 |
| Rochdale over 0.5 in 1st half | 27.4% | 30.6% | — | — | 3.27 |
| Rochdale over 1.5 in 1st half | 4.2% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.80 |
Away no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (away no bet) | 80.4% | 82.6% | 62.0% | 1.33× | 1.21 |
| Draw (away no bet) | 19.6% | 17.4% | 38.0% | 0.46× | 5.74 |
Away Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale even goals | 60.1% | 59.0% | 55.9% | 1.06× | 1.69 |
| Rochdale odd goals | 39.9% | 41.0% | 44.1% | 0.93× | 2.44 |
Both halves O1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves over 1.5 | 79.9% | 82.3% | — | — | 1.22 |
| Both halves over 1.5 goals | 20.1% | 17.7% | — | — | 5.65 |
Both halves U1.5 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both halves under 1.5 | 70.9% | 66.8% | — | — | 1.50 |
| Both halves under 1.5 goals | 29.1% | 33.2% | — | — | 3.01 |
Consecutive goals 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to score 2+ in a row | 67.1% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Walsall to score 2+ in a row | 60.4% | 59.4% | — | — | 1.68 |
| Either team to score 3+ in a row | 33.5% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.50 |
| Walsall to score 3+ in a row | 31.8% | 28.5% | — | — | 3.51 |
| Rochdale to score 2+ in a row | 11.9% | 12.0% | — | — | 8.35 |
| Rochdale to score 3+ in a row | 2.0% | 2.6% | — | — | 38.89 |
Correct score 26
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | 11.9% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 1.69× | 8.73 |
| 1-0 | 10.5% | 11.4% | 12.3% | 0.93× | 8.73 |
| 3-0 | 9.1% | 7.4% | 2.7% | 2.71× | 13.46 |
| Any other score | 8.4% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 3.54× | 13.46 |
| 2-1 | 9.5% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 0.87× | 13.46 |
| 3-1 | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.0% | 1.48× | 13.46 |
| 1-1 | 8.2% | 7.4% | 12.1% | 0.61× | 13.46 |
| 4-0 | 5.2% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 5.11× | 13.46 |
| 2-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 5.28× | 58.59 |
| 3-2 | 2.9% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 0.53× | 58.58 |
| 3-3 | 0.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.59 |
| 3-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.56× | 58.59 |
| 4-1 | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.32× | 58.57 |
| 4-2 | 1.7% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 2.64× | 58.58 |
| 4-3 | 0.5% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 3.52× | 58.59 |
| 4-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 10.56× | 58.59 |
| 0-0 | 4.4% | 1.7% | 6.9% | 0.25× | 58.57 |
| 0-1 | 3.7% | 1.7% | 8.4% | 0.20× | 58.57 |
| 0-2 | 1.5% | 1.7% | 5.8% | 0.29× | 58.58 |
| 0-3 | 0.4% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 0.70× | 58.59 |
| 0-4 | 0.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.76× | 58.59 |
| 1-2 | 3.3% | 1.7% | 7.8% | 0.22× | 58.57 |
| 1-3 | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 0.48× | 58.59 |
| 1-4 | 0.2% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.17× | 58.59 |
| 2-2 | 3.8% | 1.7% | 6.3% | 0.27× | 58.57 |
| 2-3 | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.06× | 58.59 |
DNB half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall leading at HT (DNB) | 81.4% | 86.2% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Rochdale leading at HT (DNB) | 18.6% | 13.8% | — | — | 7.23 |
Double chance 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall or draw (1X) | 88.4% | 86.7% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.15 |
| Walsall or Rochdale (12) | 82.7% | 80.7% | 73.8% | 1.09× | 1.24 |
| Rochdale or draw (X2) | 28.9% | 26.2% | 57.4% | 0.46× | 3.82 |
Double chance 1HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall or draw at HT | 88.1% | 88.3% | — | — | 1.13 |
| Walsall or Rochdale at HT | 63.7% | 62.2% | — | — | 1.61 |
| Rochdale or draw at HT | 48.1% | 52.6% | — | — | 1.90 |
Double chance 1UP 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall or draw (1UP) | 88.4% | 91.9% | — | — | 1.09 |
| Rochdale or draw (1UP) | 28.9% | 32.1% | — | — | 3.12 |
Double chance 2HT 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall or draw in 2nd half | 86.3% | 87.9% | — | — | 1.14 |
| Walsall or Rochdale in 2nd half | 71.1% | 73.7% | — | — | 1.36 |
| Rochdale or draw in 2nd half | 42.6% | 39.8% | — | — | 2.51 |
Draw either half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A half drawn | 54.8% | 50.3% | — | — | 1.99 |
| Neither half drawn | 45.2% | 49.7% | — | — | 2.01 |
Draw no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (DNB) | 86.0% | 87.4% | 57.6% | 1.52× | 1.14 |
| Rochdale (DNB) | 14.0% | 12.6% | 42.4% | 0.30× | 7.93 |
First goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to score first | 70.9% | 74.6% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Rochdale to score first | 24.7% | 23.3% | — | — | 4.29 |
| No goal scored | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.87 |
GG/NG 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score | 50.5% | 51.4% | 47.2% | 1.09× | 1.94 |
| Both teams to score | 49.5% | 48.6% | 52.8% | 0.92× | 2.06 |
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both score & over 2.5 | 41.3% | 41.5% | 40.9% | 1.02× | 2.41 |
| Not both score & under 2.5 | 32.0% | 34.4% | 39.6% | 0.87× | 2.91 |
| Not both score & over 2.5 | 18.5% | 21.8% | 7.8% | 2.81× | 4.59 |
| Both score & under 2.5 | 8.2% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 0.69× | 11.96 |
GG/NG 2+ 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both teams to score 2+ | 87.2% | 85.7% | 86.3% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score 2+ | 12.8% | 14.3% | 13.7% | 1.04× | 6.98 |
GG/NG 2nd half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score in 2nd half | 72.2% | 74.5% | — | — | 1.34 |
| Both teams to score in 2nd half | 27.8% | 25.5% | — | — | 3.92 |
GG/NG by half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neither half both score | 59.8% | 60.0% | — | — | 1.67 |
| Both score 2nd half only | 23.0% | 21.1% | — | — | 4.73 |
| Both score 1st half only | 12.4% | 10.5% | — | — | 9.54 |
| Both score in both halves | 4.8% | 5.0% | — | — | 19.93 |
GG/NG half time 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not both to score by HT | 82.8% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Both teams to score by HT | 17.2% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.84 |
Goal in both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A goal in each half | 60.7% | 58.9% | — | — | 1.70 |
| A half without a goal | 39.3% | 41.1% | — | — | 2.43 |
Goal range 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-3 goals | 43.9% | 42.1% | 45.2% | 0.93× | 2.37 |
| 4-6 goals | 33.6% | 30.7% | 26.3% | 1.17× | 3.26 |
| 0-1 goals | 18.6% | 20.2% | 27.3% | 0.74× | 4.94 |
| 7+ goals | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.25× | 55.03 |
Goals away 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale to score exactly 0 | 44.8% | 37.0% | 30.2% | 1.23× | 2.70 |
| Rochdale to score exactly 1 | 36.0% | 36.0% | 35.1% | 1.03× | 2.78 |
| Rochdale to score exactly 2 | 14.4% | 12.8% | 23.6% | 0.54× | 7.79 |
| Rochdale to score 3+ | 4.8% | 4.5% | 11.5% | 0.39× | 22.15 |
Goals home 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to score 3+ | 40.3% | 35.0% | 16.6% | 2.10× | 2.86 |
| Walsall to score exactly 2 | 26.5% | 26.5% | 23.1% | 1.15× | 3.77 |
| Walsall to score exactly 1 | 23.1% | 23.3% | 36.7% | 0.63× | 4.30 |
| Walsall to score exactly 0 | 10.1% | 14.3% | 23.9% | 0.60× | 6.98 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall leading at HT | 51.9% | 47.4% | — | — | 2.11 |
| Draw at HT | 36.3% | 37.8% | — | — | 2.65 |
| Rochdale leading at HT | 11.9% | 11.7% | — | — | 8.55 |
Handicap 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall -1: 1 | 47.7% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Walsall -1: 2 | 28.9% | 26.6% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Walsall -1: X | 23.4% | 23.6% | — | — | 4.24 |
Handicap 0:1 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (0:1) | 47.7% | 45.9% | 18.7% | 2.45× | 2.18 |
| Rochdale (0:1) | 28.9% | 27.0% | 57.4% | 0.47× | 3.70 |
| Draw (0:1) | 23.4% | 24.3% | 24.1% | 1.01× | 4.12 |
Handicap 0:2 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale (0:2) | 52.3% | 58.3% | 81.3% | 0.72× | 1.72 |
| Walsall (0:2) | 26.6% | 23.8% | 6.6% | 3.59× | 4.20 |
| Draw (0:2) | 21.1% | 20.3% | 12.3% | 1.65× | 4.93 |
Handicap 0:3 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale (0:3) | 73.4% | 77.9% | 93.4% | 0.83× | 1.28 |
| Draw (0:3) | 14.2% | 10.1% | 4.0% | 2.49× | 9.94 |
| Walsall (0:3) | 12.4% | 10.0% | 2.7% | 3.65× | 9.97 |
Handicap 0:4 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale (0:4) | 87.6% | 91.9% | 97.3% | 0.95× | 1.09 |
| Draw (0:4) | 7.5% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 2.39× | 21.60 |
| Walsall (0:4) | 4.9% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.24× | 82.90 |
Handicap 1:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (1:0) | 88.4% | 86.4% | 68.7% | 1.26× | 1.16 |
| Draw (1:0) | 8.3% | 6.9% | 17.4% | 0.40× | 14.47 |
| Rochdale (1:0) | 3.3% | 3.2% | 14.1% | 0.23× | 31.55 |
Handicap 2:0 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall (2:0) | 96.7% | 96.9% | 85.9% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Draw (2:0) | 2.6% | 2.3% | 9.4% | 0.24× | 44.25 |
| Rochdale (2:0) | 0.7% | 2.3% | 4.8% | 0.47× | 44.37 |
Highest scoring half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 48.9% | 48.2% | — | — | 2.07 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.2% | 26.5% | — | — | 3.77 |
| Halves equal | 23.0% | 24.2% | — | — | 4.13 |
Home clean sheet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to concede | 55.2% | 60.9% | 69.8% | 0.87× | 1.64 |
| Walsall clean sheet | 44.8% | 39.1% | 30.2% | 1.29× | 2.56 |
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall clean sheet in 1st half | 72.6% | 68.6% | — | — | 1.46 |
| Walsall to concede in 1st half | 27.4% | 31.4% | — | — | 3.19 |
Home goals O/U 8
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall over 0.5 goals | 89.9% | 87.3% | 76.1% | 1.15× | 1.15 |
| Walsall under 3.5 goals | 80.0% | 82.1% | 95.0% | 0.86× | 1.22 |
| Walsall over 1.5 goals | 66.8% | 67.9% | 39.6% | 1.72× | 1.47 |
| Walsall under 2.5 goals | 59.7% | 58.8% | 83.4% | 0.71× | 1.70 |
| Walsall over 2.5 goals | 40.3% | 41.2% | 16.6% | 2.47× | 2.43 |
| Walsall under 1.5 goals | 33.2% | 32.1% | 60.4% | 0.53× | 3.12 |
| Walsall over 3.5 goals | 20.0% | 17.9% | 5.0% | 3.57× | 5.60 |
| Walsall under 0.5 goals | 10.1% | 12.8% | 23.9% | 0.53× | 7.84 |
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall under 1.5 in 1st half | 74.0% | 79.5% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Walsall over 0.5 in 1st half | 62.8% | 64.6% | — | — | 1.55 |
| Walsall under 0.5 in 1st half | 37.2% | 35.4% | — | — | 2.83 |
| Walsall over 1.5 in 1st half | 26.0% | 20.5% | — | — | 4.89 |
Home no bet 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Draw (home no bet) | 59.9% | 56.7% | 45.5% | 1.25× | 1.76 |
| Rochdale (home no bet) | 40.1% | 43.3% | 54.5% | 0.79× | 2.31 |
Home Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall even goals | 50.5% | 50.6% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Walsall odd goals | 49.5% | 49.4% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.03 |
HT correct score 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| HT 0-0 | 27.0% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.49 |
| HT 1-0 | 26.7% | 28.6% | — | — | 3.49 |
| HT 2-0 | 13.2% | 11.1% | — | — | 9.04 |
| HT 0-1 | 8.7% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| HT 1-1 | 8.5% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.08 |
| Any other HT score | 8.2% | 7.1% | — | — | 14.09 |
| HT 2-1 | 4.2% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.60 |
| HT 0-2 | 1.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.83 |
| HT 1-2 | 1.4% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.83 |
| HT 2-2 | 0.7% | 2.2% | — | — | 44.89 |
HT/FT 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall at HT / Walsall at FT | 47.3% | 44.7% | — | — | 2.24 |
| Draw at HT / Walsall at FT | 20.9% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.53 |
| Draw at HT / Draw at FT | 10.3% | 12.6% | — | — | 7.91 |
| Rochdale at HT / Rochdale at FT | 5.6% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.63 |
| Draw at HT / Rochdale at FT | 5.0% | 6.0% | — | — | 16.64 |
| Walsall at HT / Draw at FT | 3.7% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.14 |
| Rochdale at HT / Draw at FT | 3.2% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.15 |
| Rochdale at HT / Walsall at FT | 3.0% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.16 |
| Walsall at HT / Rochdale at FT | 0.9% | 3.4% | — | — | 29.25 |
Last goal 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to score last | 70.8% | 72.1% | — | — | 1.39 |
| Rochdale to score last | 24.8% | 26.8% | — | — | 3.73 |
| No goal scored | 4.4% | 4.4% | — | — | 22.87 |
Lead at any time 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Either team to lead by 1 at any time | 95.6% | 95.6% | — | — | 1.05 |
| Walsall to lead by 1 at any time | 80.5% | 86.8% | — | — | 1.15 |
| Either team to lead by 2 at any time | 60.0% | 55.1% | — | — | 1.82 |
| Walsall to lead by 2 at any time | 53.7% | 50.6% | — | — | 1.98 |
| Either team to lead by 3 at any time | 30.9% | 29.4% | — | — | 3.40 |
| Walsall to lead by 3 at any time | 29.6% | 25.3% | — | — | 3.96 |
| Rochdale to lead by 1 at any time | 28.2% | 25.2% | — | — | 3.97 |
| Rochdale to lead by 2 at any time | 6.6% | 6.5% | — | — | 15.37 |
| Rochdale to lead by 3 at any time | 1.3% | 1.5% | — | — | 64.71 |
Multi goal 15
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1-5 goals | 86.2% | 87.4% | 89.7% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| 2-6 goals | 77.6% | 78.6% | 71.4% | 1.10× | 1.27 |
| 1-4 goals | 75.5% | 78.6% | 82.1% | 0.96× | 1.27 |
| 2-5 goals | 72.0% | 72.4% | 69.3% | 1.04× | 1.38 |
| 2-4 goals | 61.3% | 63.5% | 61.7% | 1.03× | 1.58 |
| 1-3 goals | 58.1% | 59.2% | 65.6% | 0.90× | 1.69 |
| 3-6 goals | 56.0% | 59.2% | 47.2% | 1.26× | 1.69 |
| 3-5 goals | 50.5% | 53.1% | 45.1% | 1.18× | 1.88 |
| 2-3 goals | 43.9% | 43.6% | 45.2% | 0.96× | 2.29 |
| 3-4 goals | 39.7% | 39.2% | 37.5% | 1.05× | 2.55 |
| 1-2 goals | 35.8% | 39.2% | 44.8% | 0.88× | 2.55 |
| 4-6 goals | 33.6% | 35.4% | 26.3% | 1.34× | 2.83 |
| 4-5 goals | 28.1% | 30.2% | 24.2% | 1.25× | 3.31 |
| 5-6 goals | 16.3% | 18.6% | 9.9% | 1.89× | 5.38 |
| 7+ goals | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 1.75× | 39.40 |
Never down 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall never behind | 67.4% | 70.3% | — | — | 1.42 |
| Rochdale never behind | 15.1% | 18.2% | — | — | 5.50 |
Odd/Even 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even number of goals | 49.9% | 50.8% | 50.4% | 1.01× | 1.97 |
| Odd number of goals | 50.1% | 49.2% | 49.6% | 0.99× | 2.03 |
Odd/Even 1HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 1st half | 53.6% | 51.5% | — | — | 1.94 |
| Odd goals in 1st half | 46.4% | 48.5% | — | — | 2.06 |
Odd/Even 2HT 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Even goals in 2nd half | 51.3% | 52.0% | — | — | 1.92 |
| Odd goals in 2nd half | 48.7% | 48.0% | — | — | 2.08 |
Over/Under 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 goals | 95.6% | 95.5% | 93.1% | 1.03× | 1.05 |
| Under 5.5 goals | 90.6% | 92.3% | 96.4% | 0.96× | 1.08 |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81.4% | 82.4% | 72.7% | 1.13× | 1.21 |
| Under 4.5 goals | 79.9% | 77.4% | 88.9% | 0.87× | 1.29 |
| Under 3.5 goals | 62.5% | 61.8% | 72.4% | 0.85× | 1.62 |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59.8% | 58.8% | 48.5% | 1.21× | 1.70 |
| Under 2.5 goals | 40.2% | 41.2% | 51.5% | 0.80× | 2.43 |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37.5% | 38.2% | 27.6% | 1.38× | 2.62 |
| Over 4.5 goals | 20.1% | 22.6% | 11.1% | 2.03× | 4.42 |
| Under 1.5 goals | 18.6% | 17.6% | 27.3% | 0.65× | 5.67 |
| Over 5.5 goals | 9.4% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 2.17× | 12.94 |
| Under 0.5 goals | 4.4% | 4.5% | 6.9% | 0.65× | 22.18 |
Over/Under (whole line) 10
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 6 (void on exactly 6) | 95.9% | 97.2% | 98.5% | 0.99× | 1.03 |
| Under 5 (void on exactly 5) | 89.5% | 86.7% | 96.2% | 0.90× | 1.15 |
| Over 2 (void on exactly 2) | 76.3% | 75.9% | 64.0% | 1.19× | 1.32 |
| Under 4 (void on exactly 4) | 75.7% | 75.9% | 86.7% | 0.88× | 1.32 |
| Under 3 (void on exactly 3) | 51.7% | 51.8% | 65.1% | 0.80× | 1.93 |
| Over 3 (void on exactly 3) | 48.3% | 48.2% | 34.9% | 1.38× | 2.07 |
| Over 4 (void on exactly 4) | 24.3% | 24.1% | 13.3% | 1.80× | 4.15 |
| Under 2 (void on exactly 2) | 23.7% | 24.1% | 36.0% | 0.67× | 4.15 |
| Over 5 (void on exactly 5) | 10.5% | 13.3% | 3.8% | 3.45× | 7.55 |
| Over 6 (void on exactly 6) | 4.1% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 1.85× | 36.32 |
Over/Under 1HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 in 1st half | 85.5% | 89.2% | — | — | 1.12 |
| Over 0.5 in 1st half | 73.0% | 71.1% | — | — | 1.41 |
| Under 1.5 in 1st half | 62.4% | 63.7% | — | — | 1.57 |
| Over 1.5 in 1st half | 37.6% | 36.3% | — | — | 2.75 |
| Under 0.5 in 1st half | 27.0% | 28.9% | — | — | 3.46 |
| Over 2.5 in 1st half | 14.5% | 10.8% | — | — | 9.29 |
Over/Under 2HT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 in 2nd half | 83.3% | 82.9% | — | — | 1.21 |
| Under 2.5 in 2nd half | 73.3% | 77.9% | — | — | 1.28 |
| Over 1.5 in 2nd half | 53.4% | 53.1% | — | — | 1.88 |
| Under 1.5 in 2nd half | 46.6% | 46.9% | — | — | 2.13 |
| Over 2.5 in 2nd half | 26.7% | 22.1% | — | — | 4.53 |
| Under 0.5 in 2nd half | 16.7% | 17.1% | — | — | 5.86 |
Score both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale not to score in both halves | 89.5% | 86.1% | — | — | 1.16 |
| Walsall not to score in both halves | 54.2% | 56.9% | — | — | 1.76 |
| Walsall to score in both halves | 45.8% | 43.1% | — | — | 2.32 |
| Rochdale to score in both halves | 10.5% | 13.9% | — | — | 7.17 |
Teams to score 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Both teams score | 49.5% | 50.4% | 52.8% | 0.95× | 1.98 |
| Only Walsall scores | 40.4% | 46.6% | 23.4% | 1.99× | 2.15 |
| Only Rochdale scores | 5.7% | 7.2% | 17.1% | 0.42× | 13.96 |
| Neither team scores | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.9% | 0.66× | 21.70 |
Total goals 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exactly 3 goals | 22.4% | 22.6% | 21.0% | 1.08× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 2 goals | 21.6% | 22.6% | 24.4% | 0.93× | 4.42 |
| Exactly 4 goals | 17.3% | 17.5% | 16.6% | 1.05× | 5.73 |
| Exactly 1 goals | 14.2% | 12.1% | 20.5% | 0.59× | 8.29 |
| Exactly 5 goals | 10.7% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 1.56× | 8.29 |
| 6 or more goals | 9.4% | 7.6% | 3.6% | 2.14× | 13.13 |
| Exactly 0 goals | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 0.64× | 22.60 |
Total goals 2nd half 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2+ goals in 2nd half | 53.4% | 51.0% | — | — | 1.96 |
| 1 goal in 2nd half | 30.0% | 29.7% | — | — | 3.37 |
| No goals in 2nd half | 16.7% | 16.9% | — | — | 5.93 |
Win both halves 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale not to win both halves | 98.4% | 97.2% | — | — | 1.03 |
| Walsall not to win both halves | 70.2% | 72.3% | — | — | 1.38 |
| Walsall to win both halves | 29.8% | 27.7% | — | — | 3.62 |
| Rochdale to win both halves | 1.6% | 2.8% | — | — | 36.09 |
Win either half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall to win either half | 79.6% | 80.0% | — | — | 1.25 |
| Rochdale to win neither half | 76.1% | 79.6% | — | — | 1.26 |
| Rochdale to win either half | 23.9% | 20.4% | — | — | 4.91 |
| Walsall to win neither half | 20.5% | 20.0% | — | — | 5.00 |
Win to nil 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale not to win to nil | 94.3% | 92.1% | 82.9% | 1.11× | 1.09 |
| Walsall not to win to nil | 59.6% | 59.0% | 76.6% | 0.77× | 1.70 |
| Walsall to win to nil | 40.4% | 41.0% | 23.4% | 1.75× | 2.44 |
| Rochdale to win to nil | 5.7% | 7.9% | 17.1% | 0.46× | 12.60 |
Winning margin 7
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Walsall by 3+ | 26.6% | 27.8% | 6.6% | 4.20× | 3.59 |
| Walsall by 1 | 23.4% | 24.1% | 24.1% | 1.00× | 4.14 |
| Walsall by 2 | 21.1% | 24.1% | 12.3% | 1.97× | 4.14 |
| Draw | 17.3% | 16.9% | 26.2% | 0.65× | 5.90 |
| Rochdale by 1 | 8.3% | 7.2% | 17.4% | 0.42× | 13.80 |
| Rochdale by 2 | 2.6% | 2.7% | 9.4% | 0.29× | 36.99 |
| Rochdale by 3+ | 0.7% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 0.56× | 37.05 |