West Bromwich Albion v Southampton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 3 November 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

West Bromwich Albion

15:00

Southampton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,414h before kick-off

West Bromwich Albion win

26.8%

model 27.5%

Draw

26.8%

model 26.5%

Southampton win

46.5%

model 46.0%

272746

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (3,799 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 12.4%
1-2 9.4%
0-1 7.5%
0-2 7.4%
2-1 7.1%

Goals

Over 2.5	56.7%	Under 2.5	43.3%
BTTS yes	59.9%	BTTS no	40.1%
West Bromwich Albion 1+	71.9%	West Bromwich Albion 2+	36.2%
Southampton 1+	81.5%	Southampton 2+	50.3%

Expected goals 1.27 – 1.69. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

44/100

Data quality

65/100

Model agreement

99%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1442.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southampton have an estimated 46.5% win probability, against 26.8% for West Bromwich Albion and 26.8% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.27 for West Bromwich Albion and 1.69 for Southampton.

Why West Bromwich Albion

Nothing in the data singles out West Bromwich Albion.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 26.8%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Southampton can win

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1442. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

No lineup on record for West Bromwich Albion, so availability is unknown. 2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

West Bromwich Albion: 57% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton: 60% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Southampton are the model's most likely outcome at 46.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.4%. Confidence 44/100, data quality 65/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	262647	1.23–1.71	1-1 12%	56%	59%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win	47.1%	47.5%	29.0%	1.63×	2.11
West Bromwich Albion to win	26.4%	27.9%	43.5%	0.64×	3.59
Draw	26.5%	27.9%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & both teams score	24.6%	21.9%	13.8%	1.58×	4.57
Southampton & not both score	22.5%	21.9%	15.3%	1.43×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
West Bromwich Albion & both teams score	14.8%	13.3%	20.2%	0.66×	7.54
West Bromwich Albion & not both score	11.6%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.55
Draw & not both score	6.6%	8.4%	7.3%	1.15×	11.93

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & over 1.5	39.4%	34.9%	21.4%	1.63×	2.87
Southampton & over 2.5	31.7%	30.9%	16.2%	1.91×	3.24
Southampton & under 3.5	29.3%	26.0%	22.3%	1.17×	3.84
West Bromwich Albion & over 1.5	21.2%	21.7%	32.5%	0.67×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	19.0%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
Draw & under 3.5	19.0%	18.0%	21.6%	0.83×	5.56
West Bromwich Albion & under 3.5	17.8%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Southampton & over 3.5	17.9%	18.0%	6.8%	2.65×	5.56
West Bromwich Albion & over 2.5	17.2%	18.0%	26.4%	0.68×	5.56
Southampton & under 2.5	15.4%	18.0%	13.0%	1.39×	5.56
West Bromwich Albion & under 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.69
West Bromwich Albion & over 3.5	8.6%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.69
Draw & over 2.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Draw & over 3.5	7.4%	7.9%	6.0%	1.31×	12.70
Southampton & under 1.5	7.7%	7.9%	7.7%	1.02×	12.70
Draw & under 1.5	6.6%	7.9%	7.3%	1.08×	12.70
West Bromwich Albion & under 1.5	5.2%	7.9%	11.1%	0.71×	12.70

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1UP)	63.6%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
West Bromwich Albion (1UP)	45.8%	43.1%	—	—	2.32

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2UP)	47.1%	49.8%	—	—	2.01
West Bromwich Albion (2UP)	26.4%	24.8%	—	—	4.03

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win 2nd half	41.9%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	34.0%	34.5%	—	—	2.90
West Bromwich Albion to win 2nd half	24.2%	23.2%	—	—	4.31

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+2.5)	96.3%	96.3%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Southampton (+1.5)	88.6%	88.5%	80.7%	1.10×	1.13
Southampton (+0.5)	73.6%	73.7%	56.5%	1.30×	1.36
West Bromwich Albion (+0.5)	52.9%	52.3%	71.0%	0.74×	1.91
Southampton (-0.5)	47.1%	47.7%	29.0%	1.64×	2.10
West Bromwich Albion (-0.5)	26.4%	26.3%	43.5%	0.60×	3.80
West Bromwich Albion (-1.5)	11.4%	11.5%	19.3%	0.59×	8.71
West Bromwich Albion (-2.5)	3.7%	3.7%	8.1%	0.46×	26.83

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	70.9%	76.4%	77.5%	0.99×	1.31
Southampton clean sheet	29.1%	23.6%	22.5%	1.05×	4.24

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	58.8%	58.5%	—	—	1.71
Southampton to concede in 1st half	41.2%	41.5%	—	—	2.41

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 6.5 corners	78.3%	75.9%	—	—	1.32
Southampton over 2.5 corners	73.1%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Southampton under 5.5 corners	68.6%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Southampton over 3.5 corners	58.0%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Southampton under 4.5 corners	56.4%	57.1%	—	—	1.75
Southampton over 4.5 corners	43.6%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Southampton under 3.5 corners	42.0%	42.9%	—	—	2.33
Southampton over 5.5 corners	31.4%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Southampton under 2.5 corners	26.9%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Southampton over 6.5 corners	21.7%	24.1%	—	—	4.16

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 3.5 goals	90.6%	92.3%	97.8%	0.94×	1.08
Southampton over 0.5 goals	81.8%	81.4%	69.4%	1.17×	1.23
Southampton under 2.5 goals	75.6%	76.2%	90.6%	0.84×	1.31
Southampton over 1.5 goals	50.9%	53.7%	30.1%	1.78×	1.86
Southampton under 1.5 goals	49.1%	46.3%	69.9%	0.66×	2.16
Southampton over 2.5 goals	24.4%	23.8%	9.5%	2.52×	4.21
Southampton under 0.5 goals	18.2%	18.6%	30.6%	0.61×	5.38
Southampton over 3.5 goals	9.4%	7.7%	2.2%	3.44×	13.02

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	85.0%	88.9%	—	—	1.13
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	50.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.78
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	49.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.28
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	15.0%	11.1%	—	—	9.03

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw (away no bet)	50.1%	51.2%	38.8%	1.32×	1.96
West Bromwich Albion (away no bet)	49.9%	48.8%	61.2%	0.80×	2.05

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	51.7%	52.8%	52.6%	1.00×	1.89
Southampton odd goals	48.4%	47.2%	47.4%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	82.4%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Both halves over 1.5 goals	17.6%	17.1%	—	—	5.86

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	68.8%	68.7%	—	—	1.46
Both halves under 1.5 goals	31.2%	31.3%	—	—	3.20

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	59.9%	55.3%	—	—	1.81
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	41.8%	38.3%	—	—	2.61
West Bromwich Albion to score 2+ in a row	25.5%	25.0%	—	—	4.00
Either team to score 3+ in a row	22.7%	19.5%	—	—	5.12
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	16.1%	16.3%	—	—	6.13
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+ in a row	6.9%	5.6%	—	—	17.73

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion corners (+3.5)	87.4%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
West Bromwich Albion corners (+2.5)	82.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
West Bromwich Albion corners (+1.5)	75.1%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Southampton corners (+3.5)	69.0%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Southampton corners (+2.5)	60.7%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
Southampton corners (+1.5)	51.5%	52.5%	—	—	1.91
West Bromwich Albion corners (-1.5)	48.5%	47.5%	—	—	2.10
West Bromwich Albion corners (-2.5)	39.3%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
West Bromwich Albion corners (-3.5)	31.0%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
Southampton corners (-1.5)	24.9%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
Southampton corners (-2.5)	18.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.94
Southampton corners (-3.5)	12.6%	15.5%	—	—	6.46

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
12+ corners	37.3%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
0-8 corners	36.6%	33.7%	—	—	2.97
9-11 corners	26.1%	31.2%	—	—	3.20

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 7.5 corners	72.2%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 12.5 corners	70.1%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Over 8.5 corners	63.4%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 11.5 corners	62.7%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Under 10.5 corners	54.5%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Over 9.5 corners	54.3%	53.3%	—	—	1.88
Under 9.5 corners	45.7%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 10.5 corners	45.5%	46.7%	—	—	2.14
Over 11.5 corners	37.3%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Under 8.5 corners	36.6%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 12.5 corners	29.9%	27.4%	—	—	3.65
Under 7.5 corners	27.8%	27.4%	—	—	3.66

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	12.4%	11.5%	14.4%	0.79×	8.73
1-2	9.5%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.48
0-0	6.6%	7.4%	7.3%	1.02×	13.48
0-1	7.7%	7.4%	7.7%	0.96×	13.48
0-2	7.7%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
2-1	6.9%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
1-0	5.2%	7.4%	11.1%	0.67×	13.48
1-3	5.4%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.48
2-2	5.9%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
0-3	4.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.46
0-4	1.9%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.48
1-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.48
2-0	4.0%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.47
2-3	3.3%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.47
2-4	1.4%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.48
3-0	1.7%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.48
3-1	2.8%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
3-2	2.4%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.48
3-3	1.4%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
3-4	0.6%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.49
4-0	0.5%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-1	0.9%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
4-2	0.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.49
4-3	0.4%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.49
4-4	0.2%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
Any other score	3.8%	1.7%	2.9%	0.59×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	58.3%	57.9%	—	—	1.73
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT (DNB)	41.7%	42.1%	—	—	2.38

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (X2)	73.6%	72.1%	56.5%	1.28×	1.39
West Bromwich Albion or Southampton (12)	73.5%	72.1%	72.4%	1.00×	1.39
West Bromwich Albion or draw (1X)	52.9%	52.5%	71.0%	0.74×	1.90

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw at HT	75.8%	79.8%	—	—	1.25
West Bromwich Albion or draw at HT	66.2%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
West Bromwich Albion or Southampton at HT	58.0%	56.9%	—	—	1.76

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1UP)	73.6%	80.2%	—	—	1.25
West Bromwich Albion or draw (1UP)	52.9%	59.3%	—	—	1.69

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	75.8%	76.8%	—	—	1.30
West Bromwich Albion or Southampton in 2nd half	66.0%	65.5%	—	—	1.53
West Bromwich Albion or draw in 2nd half	58.1%	59.0%	—	—	1.70

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	60.2%	61.5%	—	—	1.63
Neither half drawn	39.8%	38.5%	—	—	2.60

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (DNB)	64.1%	62.9%	40.0%	1.57×	1.59
West Bromwich Albion (DNB)	35.9%	37.1%	60.0%	0.62×	2.69

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score first	54.2%	53.9%	—	—	1.85
West Bromwich Albion to score first	39.2%	33.0%	—	—	3.03
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	59.3%	54.9%	54.2%	1.01×	1.82
Not both teams to score	40.7%	45.1%	45.8%	0.98×	2.22

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	46.9%	44.3%	39.9%	1.11×	2.26
Not both score & under 2.5	31.2%	34.3%	37.3%	0.92×	2.92
Both score & under 2.5	12.4%	12.3%	14.4%	0.85×	8.11
Not both score & over 2.5	9.4%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	82.2%	83.0%	89.0%	0.93×	1.20
Both teams to score 2+	17.8%	17.0%	11.0%	1.54×	5.90

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	67.2%	67.6%	—	—	1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half	32.8%	32.4%	—	—	3.08

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	53.2%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
Both score 2nd half only	26.2%	26.5%	—	—	3.78
Both score 1st half only	14.0%	10.8%	—	—	9.28
Both score in both halves	6.6%	6.8%	—	—	14.77

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	79.4%	81.6%	—	—	1.23
Both teams to score by HT	20.6%	18.4%	—	—	5.43

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	58.4%	57.4%	—	—	1.74
A half without a goal	41.6%	42.6%	—	—	2.35

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-3 goals	46.6%	47.4%	50.4%	0.94×	2.11
4-6 goals	30.9%	30.7%	22.4%	1.37×	3.25
0-1 goals	19.5%	20.2%	25.9%	0.78×	4.95
7+ goals	3.0%	1.8%	1.4%	1.34×	54.49

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score exactly 1	31.0%	33.8%	39.4%	0.86×	2.96
Southampton to score exactly 2	26.4%	27.4%	20.7%	1.32×	3.65
Southampton to score 3+	24.4%	22.4%	9.5%	2.37×	4.46
Southampton to score exactly 0	18.2%	19.6%	30.6%	0.64×	5.11

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 1	35.9%	35.6%	36.9%	0.96×	2.81
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 0	29.1%	26.5%	22.5%	1.18×	3.77
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 2	22.2%	23.2%	24.6%	0.95×	4.30
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+	12.8%	14.3%	16.2%	0.89×	6.98

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	42.0%	43.1%	—	—	2.32
Southampton leading at HT	33.8%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT	24.2%	20.2%	—	—	4.95

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton -1: 1	52.9%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Southampton -1: 2	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Southampton -1: X	21.2%	23.6%	—	—	4.24

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	73.6%	71.1%	56.5%	1.26×	1.41
Draw (0:1)	15.0%	13.9%	24.2%	0.57×	7.21
West Bromwich Albion (0:1)	11.4%	13.8%	19.3%	0.72×	7.23

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:2)	88.6%	87.0%	80.7%	1.08×	1.15
Draw (0:2)	7.7%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	12.95
West Bromwich Albion (0:2)	3.7%	3.8%	8.1%	0.47×	26.54

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:3)	96.3%	96.6%	91.9%	1.05×	1.04
Draw (0:3)	2.7%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.14
West Bromwich Albion (0:3)	1.0%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.22

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:4)	99.0%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	0.8%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.59
West Bromwich Albion (0:4)	0.2%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.66

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (1:0)	52.9%	54.1%	71.0%	0.76×	1.85
Southampton (1:0)	26.0%	25.1%	11.9%	2.11×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	21.2%	21.8%	17.3%	1.26×	4.60

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion (2:0)	74.0%	76.5%	88.1%	0.87×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	14.7%	10.4%	8.7%	1.20×	9.61
Southampton (2:0)	11.2%	10.4%	3.3%	3.18×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	48.3%	48.2%	—	—	2.08
1st half highest scoring	26.0%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	25.7%	26.5%	—	—	3.77

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion to concede	81.8%	80.8%	69.4%	1.16×	1.24
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet	18.2%	19.2%	30.6%	0.63×	5.20

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet in 1st half	50.5%	56.0%	—	—	1.78
West Bromwich Albion to concede in 1st half	49.5%	44.0%	—	—	2.28

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 corners	84.4%	81.0%	—	—	1.24
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 corners	73.4%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
West Bromwich Albion over 4.5 corners	61.3%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
West Bromwich Albion under 6.5 corners	61.5%	62.3%	—	—	1.61
West Bromwich Albion under 5.5 corners	50.6%	52.8%	—	—	1.90
West Bromwich Albion over 5.5 corners	49.4%	47.2%	—	—	2.12
West Bromwich Albion under 4.5 corners	38.7%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
West Bromwich Albion over 6.5 corners	38.5%	37.7%	—	—	2.65
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 corners	26.6%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 corners	15.6%	19.0%	—	—	5.25

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 goals	96.3%	96.4%	94.8%	1.02×	1.04
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 goals	87.2%	87.3%	83.8%	1.04×	1.15
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 goals	70.9%	74.2%	77.5%	0.96×	1.35
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 goals	65.0%	67.8%	59.4%	1.14×	1.47
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 goals	35.0%	32.2%	40.6%	0.79×	3.11
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 goals	29.1%	25.8%	22.5%	1.15×	3.87
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 goals	12.8%	12.7%	16.2%	0.79×	7.85
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 goals	3.7%	3.6%	5.2%	0.71×	27.45

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 in 1st half	90.0%	95.2%	—	—	1.05
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 in 1st half	58.8%	58.2%	—	—	1.72
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 in 1st half	41.2%	41.8%	—	—	2.39
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 in 1st half	10.0%	4.8%	—	—	20.81

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (home no bet)	64.1%	60.2%	51.3%	1.17×	1.66
Draw (home no bet)	36.0%	39.8%	48.7%	0.82×	2.51

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion even goals	54.2%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.97
West Bromwich Albion odd goals	45.8%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	30.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
HT 0-1	20.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.16
HT 1-0	15.6%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	11.0%	10.9%	—	—	9.17
HT 0-2	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
Any other HT score	4.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.26
HT 2-0	4.2%	2.3%	—	—	43.30
HT 1-2	3.7%	2.3%	—	—	43.34
HT 2-1	2.9%	2.3%	—	—	43.40
HT 2-2	1.0%	2.3%	—	—	43.54

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	27.0%	26.8%	—	—	3.74
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	16.8%	16.8%	—	—	5.97
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	15.7%	16.7%	—	—	5.97
West Bromwich Albion at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT	15.1%	16.7%	—	—	5.98
Draw at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT	9.5%	6.0%	—	—	16.60
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Draw at FT	5.7%	6.0%	—	—	16.72
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	5.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.74
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Southampton at FT	3.4%	3.5%	—	—	28.83
Southampton at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT	1.8%	3.5%	—	—	28.89

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score last	54.3%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
West Bromwich Albion to score last	39.1%	38.7%	—	—	2.59
No goal scored	6.6%	7.5%	—	—	13.36

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	93.4%	92.6%	—	—	1.08
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	63.6%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	50.1%	50.6%	—	—	1.98
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 1 at any time	45.8%	44.0%	—	—	2.27
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	33.1%	29.4%	—	—	3.40
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	19.1%	14.9%	—	—	6.69
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 2 at any time	17.3%	14.9%	—	—	6.71
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	13.8%	10.5%	—	—	9.52
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 3 at any time	5.2%	6.6%	—	—	15.17

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion most corners	57.9%	55.5%	—	—	1.80
Southampton most corners	33.0%	34.3%	—	—	2.92
Corners level	9.1%	8.5%	—	—	11.80

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-5 goals	85.6%	87.4%	88.8%	0.98×	1.14
2-6 goals	77.4%	78.6%	72.8%	1.08×	1.27
1-4 goals	75.9%	78.6%	83.4%	0.94×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.7%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
2-4 goals	63.0%	63.4%	64.8%	0.98×	1.58
1-3 goals	59.5%	59.2%	69.1%	0.86×	1.69
3-6 goals	53.3%	53.2%	47.1%	1.13×	1.88
3-5 goals	48.5%	48.7%	44.5%	1.09×	2.06
2-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	50.4%	0.96×	2.06
3-4 goals	38.9%	39.2%	39.1%	1.00×	2.55
1-2 goals	37.1%	39.1%	44.4%	0.88×	2.55
4-6 goals	30.9%	35.4%	22.4%	1.58×	2.83
4-5 goals	26.1%	30.2%	19.8%	1.52×	3.31
5-6 goals	14.4%	14.9%	8.1%	1.84×	6.72
7+ goals	3.0%	2.6%	1.4%	1.86×	39.19

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton never behind	47.6%	56.5%	—	—	1.77
West Bromwich Albion never behind	29.8%	30.2%	—	—	3.31

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	47.2%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.8%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	54.9%	51.7%	—	—	1.93
Odd goals in 1st half	45.1%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	52.5%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	47.5%	47.9%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	93.4%	92.3%	92.7%	1.00×	1.08
Under 5.5 goals	92.2%	92.3%	96.0%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4.5 goals	82.5%	82.4%	90.6%	0.91×	1.21
Over 1.5 goals	80.5%	82.4%	74.1%	1.11×	1.21
Under 3.5 goals	66.1%	66.2%	76.3%	0.87×	1.51
Over 2.5 goals	56.3%	58.8%	48.4%	1.22×	1.70
Under 2.5 goals	43.7%	41.2%	51.6%	0.80×	2.43
Over 3.5 goals	33.9%	33.8%	23.7%	1.43×	2.96
Under 1.5 goals	19.5%	17.6%	25.9%	0.68×	5.67
Over 4.5 goals	17.5%	17.6%	9.4%	1.88×	5.68
Over 5.5 goals	7.8%	7.7%	4.0%	1.96×	12.92
Under 0.5 goals	6.6%	7.7%	7.3%	1.06×	12.93

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	96.8%	97.2%	98.6%	0.99×	1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	91.4%	92.5%	95.8%	0.96×	1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	79.1%	75.9%	89.1%	0.85×	1.32
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	74.3%	72.6%	65.1%	1.12×	1.38
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	56.3%	55.4%	68.5%	0.81×	1.80
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	43.7%	44.6%	31.5%	1.42×	2.24
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	25.7%	27.4%	34.9%	0.79×	3.65
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	20.9%	24.1%	10.9%	2.20×	4.16
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	8.6%	7.5%	4.2%	1.81×	13.25
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	3.2%	2.8%	1.4%	1.96×	36.13

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	87.7%	89.0%	—	—	1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half	70.0%	71.1%	—	—	1.41
Under 1.5 in 1st half	65.6%	68.9%	—	—	1.45
Over 1.5 in 1st half	34.4%	31.1%	—	—	3.22
Under 0.5 in 1st half	30.0%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Over 2.5 in 1st half	12.3%	11.0%	—	—	9.08

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	81.8%	82.8%	—	—	1.21
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	75.0%	79.7%	—	—	1.26
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	52.0%	53.2%	—	—	1.88
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	48.0%	46.8%	—	—	2.14
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	25.0%	20.3%	—	—	4.92
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	18.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to score in both halves	79.2%	78.3%	—	—	1.28
Southampton not to score in both halves	68.3%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Southampton to score in both halves	31.7%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
West Bromwich Albion to score in both halves	20.8%	21.7%	—	—	4.61

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	59.3%	58.4%	54.2%	1.08×	1.71
Only Southampton scores	22.5%	22.3%	15.3%	1.46×	4.48
Only West Bromwich Albion scores	11.6%	10.9%	23.4%	0.47×	9.15
Neither team scores	6.6%	7.2%	7.3%	0.98×	13.92

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 2 goals	24.2%	22.6%	25.8%	0.88×	4.42
Exactly 3 goals	22.4%	22.6%	24.7%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	16.5%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.74
Exactly 1 goals	12.9%	12.1%	18.7%	0.65×	8.27
Exactly 5 goals	9.7%	7.6%	5.5%	1.39×	13.08
6 or more goals	7.8%	7.6%	4.0%	1.93×	13.08
Exactly 0 goals	6.6%	7.6%	7.3%	1.05×	13.09

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	52.0%	51.3%	—	—	1.95
1 goal in 2nd half	29.8%	29.9%	—	—	3.35
No goals in 2nd half	18.2%	17.2%	—	—	5.82

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to win both halves	94.0%	94.0%	—	—	1.06
Southampton not to win both halves	85.6%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Southampton to win both halves	14.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.21
West Bromwich Albion to win both halves	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.63

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win either half	61.3%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
West Bromwich Albion to win neither half	57.6%	59.5%	—	—	1.68
West Bromwich Albion to win either half	42.4%	40.5%	—	—	2.47
Southampton to win neither half	38.7%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to win to nil	88.4%	88.2%	76.6%	1.15×	1.13
Southampton not to win to nil	77.5%	78.0%	84.7%	0.92×	1.28
Southampton to win to nil	22.5%	22.0%	15.3%	1.44×	4.56
West Bromwich Albion to win to nil	11.6%	11.8%	23.4%	0.50×	8.50

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	26.5%	27.8%	27.6%	1.01×	3.59
Southampton by 1	21.2%	24.1%	17.3%	1.40×	4.14
Southampton by 2	14.7%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.47
West Bromwich Albion by 1	15.0%	11.8%	24.2%	0.49×	8.47
Southampton by 3+	11.2%	11.8%	3.3%	3.61×	8.48
West Bromwich Albion by 2	7.7%	7.3%	11.3%	0.64×	13.78
West Bromwich Albion by 3+	3.7%	2.7%	8.1%	0.34×	36.96