West Ham United v Southampton — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 24 October 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated 7 Sep 2026, 02:03

West Ham United

10:00

Southampton

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily Priced 5 Sep, 22:23 · 1,168h before kick-off

West Ham United win

33.0%

model 34.1%

Draw

23.9%

model 24.5%

Southampton win

43.0%

model 41.4%

332443

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (4,353 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

1-1 10.4%
1-2 8.5%
2-1 7.7%
2-2 7.0%
1-3 5.2%

Goals

Over 2.5	67.4%	Under 2.5	32.6%
BTTS yes	68.8%	BTTS no	31.2%
West Ham United 1+	80.7%	West Ham United 2+	49.0%
Southampton 1+	83.9%	Southampton 2+	54.5%

Expected goals 1.65 – 1.83. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence

48/100

Data quality

80/100

Model agreement

97%

★ Best pick

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

★ Most likely to land

Nothing on a measured band prices above 1.18 here.

Positive factors

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1506.
Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.

Why the model thinks this

The price

Southampton have an estimated 43.0% win probability, against 33.0% for West Ham United and 23.9% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.65 for West Ham United and 1.82 for Southampton.

Why West Ham United

Their last eleven was closer to full strength: Southampton were missing 0.67 expected goal involvements a match against 0.28.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 23.9%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.65 to 1.82. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why Southampton can win

Southampton carry the stronger rating, 1614 Elo against 1506. Form is good: 2.00 points a match from the last five.

Key players

West Ham United's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Valentín Castellanos (0.41), Jarrod Bowen (0.40), Crysencio Summerville (0.27). Southampton's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Mateus Fernandes (0.20), Paul Onuachu (0.20), Cameron Archer (0.17).

Availability

2 of Southampton's top three contributors did not start their last match.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

West Ham United: 56% possession, 15.4 shots a match, 14.0 faced, 0.33 xG a match from set pieces. Southampton: 60% possession, 17.6 shots a match, 15.8 faced, 0.24 xG a match from set pieces. West Ham United's shot volume meets a defence that concedes shots freely.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-05 22:20 · team_stats 2026-09-05 09:41 · availability 2026-09-05 21:03 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Southampton are the model's most likely outcome at 43.0%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 10.4%. Confidence 48/100, data quality 80/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

West Ham United are conceding sharply fewer than expected — 4.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WDLWDWLLLW last 10 scored 12 from 13.5 xG conceded 11 from 15.3 xG

Southampton have scored 6 from 7.4 expected and conceded 18 from 18.4 — both ends in line with the chances, so the recent record is a fair reflection.

LDLLDLLDLL last 10 scored 6 from 7.4 xG conceded 18 from 18.4 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
dc-xg	322344	1.68–1.99	1-1 10%	71%	71%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win	44.4%	43.1%	29.0%	1.48×	2.32
West Ham United to win	32.1%	30.4%	43.5%	0.70×	3.30
Draw	23.5%	24.5%	27.6%	0.89×	4.09

1X2 & GG/NG 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & both teams score	29.3%	25.2%	13.8%	1.82×	3.97
West Ham United & both teams score	21.9%	21.9%	20.2%	1.08×	4.57
Draw & both teams score	19.9%	17.9%	20.4%	0.88×	5.58
Southampton & not both score	15.1%	17.9%	15.3%	1.17×	5.58
West Ham United & not both score	10.1%	13.3%	23.4%	0.57×	7.55
Draw & not both score	3.6%	4.9%	7.3%	0.67×	20.58

1X2 & Over/Under 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton & over 1.5	40.4%	40.3%	21.4%	1.88×	2.48
Southampton & over 2.5	35.3%	34.9%	16.2%	2.16×	2.87
West Ham United & over 1.5	28.8%	26.0%	32.5%	0.80×	3.84
West Ham United & over 2.5	25.2%	26.0%	26.4%	0.99×	3.84
Southampton & over 3.5	23.5%	21.7%	6.8%	3.19×	4.62
Southampton & under 3.5	21.0%	21.7%	22.3%	0.97×	4.62
Draw & over 1.5	19.9%	18.0%	20.4%	0.88×	5.56
West Ham United & over 3.5	16.0%	18.0%	11.1%	1.62×	5.56
West Ham United & under 3.5	16.1%	18.0%	32.5%	0.55×	5.56
Draw & under 2.5	13.1%	12.9%	21.6%	0.59×	7.77
Draw & under 3.5	13.1%	12.9%	21.6%	0.59×	7.77
Draw & over 2.5	10.4%	12.9%	6.0%	2.14×	7.77
Draw & over 3.5	10.4%	12.9%	6.0%	2.14×	7.77
Southampton & under 2.5	9.2%	7.9%	13.0%	0.61×	12.69
West Ham United & under 2.5	6.9%	7.9%	17.2%	0.46×	12.70
Southampton & under 1.5	4.1%	4.8%	7.7%	0.62×	20.93
West Ham United & under 1.5	3.3%	4.8%	11.1%	0.43×	20.94
Draw & under 1.5	3.6%	4.8%	7.3%	0.65×	20.94

1X2 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (1UP)	64.3%	63.2%	—	—	1.58
West Ham United (1UP)	54.2%	52.7%	—	—	1.90

1X2 2UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (2UP)	44.4%	47.8%	—	—	2.09
West Ham United (2UP)	32.1%	30.9%	—	—	3.24

2nd half 1X2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win 2nd half	41.0%	41.0%	—	—	2.44
2nd half drawn	30.0%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
West Ham United to win 2nd half	29.0%	26.3%	—	—	3.80

Asian handicap 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (+2.5)	93.4%	92.1%	91.9%	1.00×	1.09
Southampton (+1.5)	83.7%	82.4%	80.7%	1.02×	1.21
Southampton (+0.5)	67.9%	68.7%	56.5%	1.22×	1.46
West Ham United (+0.5)	55.6%	57.0%	71.0%	0.80×	1.76
Southampton (-0.5)	44.4%	43.0%	29.0%	1.48×	2.33
West Ham United (-0.5)	32.1%	31.3%	43.5%	0.72×	3.20
West Ham United (-1.5)	16.3%	17.6%	19.3%	0.91×	5.69
West Ham United (-2.5)	6.6%	7.9%	8.1%	0.98×	12.64

Away clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to concede	81.3%	81.3%	77.5%	1.05×	1.23
Southampton clean sheet	18.7%	18.7%	22.5%	0.83×	5.35

Away clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton clean sheet in 1st half	48.6%	50.8%	—	—	1.97
Southampton to concede in 1st half	51.4%	49.2%	—	—	2.03

Away corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 6.5 corners	83.4%	81.5%	—	—	1.23
Southampton under 5.5 corners	74.7%	71.6%	—	—	1.40
Southampton over 2.5 corners	67.9%	67.5%	—	—	1.48
Southampton under 4.5 corners	63.0%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Southampton over 3.5 corners	51.6%	53.1%	—	—	1.88
Southampton under 3.5 corners	48.4%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Southampton over 4.5 corners	37.0%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Southampton under 2.5 corners	32.1%	32.5%	—	—	3.08
Southampton over 5.5 corners	25.3%	28.4%	—	—	3.52
Southampton over 6.5 corners	16.6%	18.5%	—	—	5.40

Away goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton over 0.5 goals	86.3%	87.9%	69.4%	1.27×	1.14
Southampton under 3.5 goals	86.0%	87.9%	97.8%	0.90×	1.14
Southampton under 2.5 goals	68.0%	68.0%	90.6%	0.75×	1.47
Southampton over 1.5 goals	59.0%	59.5%	30.1%	1.98×	1.68
Southampton under 1.5 goals	41.0%	40.5%	69.9%	0.58×	2.47
Southampton over 2.5 goals	32.0%	32.0%	9.5%	3.39×	3.12
Southampton over 3.5 goals	14.0%	12.1%	2.2%	5.43×	8.25
Southampton under 0.5 goals	13.7%	12.1%	30.6%	0.40×	8.25

Away goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton under 1.5 in 1st half	81.1%	82.9%	—	—	1.21
Southampton over 0.5 in 1st half	54.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
Southampton under 0.5 in 1st half	45.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29
Southampton over 1.5 in 1st half	18.9%	17.1%	—	—	5.85

Away no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (away no bet)	57.7%	57.5%	61.2%	0.94×	1.74
Draw (away no bet)	42.3%	42.5%	38.8%	1.10×	2.35

Away Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton even goals	50.9%	52.8%	52.6%	1.00×	1.89
Southampton odd goals	49.1%	47.2%	47.4%	1.00×	2.12

Both halves O1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves over 1.5	71.7%	77.0%	—	—	1.30
Both halves over 1.5 goals	28.3%	23.0%	—	—	4.35

Both halves U1.5 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both halves under 1.5	80.2%	77.2%	—	—	1.30
Both halves under 1.5 goals	19.8%	22.8%	—	—	4.38

Consecutive goals 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row	70.7%	71.8%	—	—	1.39
Southampton to score 2+ in a row	47.0%	45.8%	—	—	2.18
West Ham United to score 2+ in a row	36.9%	36.5%	—	—	2.74
Either team to score 3+ in a row	30.6%	28.9%	—	—	3.46
Southampton to score 3+ in a row	19.1%	16.4%	—	—	6.11
West Ham United to score 3+ in a row	12.4%	12.2%	—	—	8.21

Corner handicap 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United corners (+3.5)	85.3%	84.5%	—	—	1.18
Southampton corners (+3.5)	80.3%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
West Ham United corners (+2.5)	78.5%	74.9%	—	—	1.34
Southampton corners (+2.5)	72.3%	70.7%	—	—	1.41
West Ham United corners (+1.5)	69.7%	65.8%	—	—	1.52
Southampton corners (+1.5)	62.6%	61.9%	—	—	1.62
West Ham United corners (-1.5)	37.4%	38.1%	—	—	2.63
Southampton corners (-1.5)	30.3%	34.2%	—	—	2.92
West Ham United corners (-2.5)	27.7%	29.3%	—	—	3.42
Southampton corners (-2.5)	21.5%	25.1%	—	—	3.98
West Ham United corners (-3.5)	19.7%	20.3%	—	—	4.93
Southampton corners (-3.5)	14.7%	15.5%	—	—	6.45

Corner range 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
0-8 corners	55.1%	46.6%	—	—	2.15
9-11 corners	24.7%	25.6%	—	—	3.90
12+ corners	20.3%	25.6%	—	—	3.91

Corners O/U 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 12.5 corners	85.2%	83.0%	—	—	1.21
Under 11.5 corners	79.7%	76.5%	—	—	1.31
Under 10.5 corners	72.9%	72.6%	—	—	1.38
Under 9.5 corners	64.6%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Over 7.5 corners	55.3%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Under 8.5 corners	55.1%	57.8%	—	—	1.73
Over 8.5 corners	44.9%	42.3%	—	—	2.37
Under 7.5 corners	44.7%	42.2%	—	—	2.37
Over 9.5 corners	35.4%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
Over 10.5 corners	27.1%	27.4%	—	—	3.66
Over 11.5 corners	20.3%	23.5%	—	—	4.26
Over 12.5 corners	14.8%	17.0%	—	—	5.87

Corners Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of corners	50.0%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
Even number of corners	50.0%	49.8%	—	—	2.01

Correct score 26

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
1-1	9.5%	7.4%	14.4%	0.51×	13.48
1-2	8.5%	7.4%	7.9%	0.94×	13.48
2-1	7.2%	7.4%	11.4%	0.65×	13.48
2-2	7.1%	7.4%	5.2%	1.42×	13.48
Any other score	7.8%	7.4%	2.9%	2.54×	13.48
1-3	5.6%	7.4%	3.1%	2.40×	13.48
0-2	5.1%	7.4%	5.3%	1.39×	13.48
2-3	4.7%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.46
1-4	2.8%	1.7%	0.6%	2.84×	58.47
2-0	3.6%	1.7%	6.2%	0.28×	58.47
2-4	2.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.64×	58.48
3-0	2.0%	1.7%	4.0%	0.42×	58.48
3-1	4.0%	1.7%	4.3%	0.40×	58.47
3-2	4.0%	1.7%	1.8%	0.95×	58.47
3-3	2.6%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.47
3-4	1.3%	1.7%	0.3%	6.63×	58.48
4-0	0.8%	1.7%	1.7%	1.00×	58.49
4-1	1.7%	1.7%	0.9%	1.99×	58.48
4-2	1.7%	1.7%	0.8%	2.21×	58.48
4-3	1.1%	1.7%	0.2%	9.95×	58.48
4-4	0.5%	1.7%	0.1%	19.90×	58.49
0-0	3.6%	1.7%	7.3%	0.23×	58.47
0-1	4.1%	1.7%	7.7%	0.22×	58.47
0-3	3.4%	1.7%	1.6%	1.05×	58.47
0-4	1.7%	1.7%	0.4%	3.98×	58.48
1-0	3.3%	1.7%	11.1%	0.15×	58.47

DNB half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton leading at HT (DNB)	53.4%	56.0%	—	—	1.79
West Ham United leading at HT (DNB)	46.6%	44.0%	—	—	2.27

Double chance 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United or Southampton (12)	76.5%	75.5%	72.4%	1.04×	1.32
Southampton or draw (X2)	67.9%	69.6%	56.5%	1.23×	1.44
West Ham United or draw (1X)	55.6%	56.9%	71.0%	0.80×	1.76

Double chance 1HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw at HT	70.6%	74.3%	—	—	1.35
West Ham United or draw at HT	66.3%	66.4%	—	—	1.51
West Ham United or Southampton at HT	63.2%	62.1%	—	—	1.61

Double chance 1UP 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw (1UP)	67.9%	76.0%	—	—	1.32
West Ham United or draw (1UP)	55.6%	62.6%	—	—	1.60

Double chance 2HT 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton or draw in 2nd half	71.0%	73.7%	—	—	1.36
West Ham United or Southampton in 2nd half	70.0%	73.6%	—	—	1.36
West Ham United or draw in 2nd half	59.0%	59.0%	—	—	1.69

Draw either half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A half drawn	54.6%	50.1%	—	—	2.00
Neither half drawn	45.4%	49.9%	—	—	2.00

Draw no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (DNB)	58.1%	58.3%	40.0%	1.46×	1.72
West Ham United (DNB)	41.9%	41.7%	60.0%	0.70×	2.40

First goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score first	52.3%	53.8%	—	—	1.86
West Ham United to score first	44.1%	41.9%	—	—	2.39
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.35

GG/NG 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams to score	71.2%	62.3%	54.2%	1.15×	1.61
Not both teams to score	28.8%	37.7%	45.8%	0.82×	2.65

GG/NG & Over/Under 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both score & over 2.5	61.6%	50.1%	39.9%	1.26×	2.00
Not both score & under 2.5	19.6%	21.8%	37.3%	0.58×	4.60
Both score & under 2.5	9.5%	8.4%	14.4%	0.58×	11.95
Not both score & over 2.5	9.2%	8.4%	8.6%	0.97×	11.95

GG/NG 2+ 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both teams to score 2+	70.5%	80.4%	89.0%	0.90×	1.24
Both teams to score 2+	29.5%	19.6%	11.0%	1.79×	5.09

GG/NG 2nd half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half	56.8%	66.2%	—	—	1.51
Both teams to score in 2nd half	43.2%	33.8%	—	—	2.96

GG/NG by half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Neither half both score	40.5%	49.7%	—	—	2.01
Both score 2nd half only	31.1%	26.4%	—	—	3.79
Both score 1st half only	16.3%	15.6%	—	—	6.42
Both score in both halves	12.1%	10.7%	—	—	9.31

GG/NG half time 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Not both to score by HT	71.7%	79.7%	—	—	1.25
Both teams to score by HT	28.3%	20.3%	—	—	4.94

Goal in both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
A goal in each half	69.4%	67.0%	—	—	1.49
A half without a goal	30.6%	33.0%	—	—	3.03

Goal range 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
4-6 goals	42.0%	42.1%	22.4%	1.88×	2.38
2-3 goals	39.2%	35.1%	50.4%	0.70×	2.85
0-1 goals	11.0%	16.9%	25.9%	0.65×	5.92
7+ goals	7.8%	7.6%	1.4%	5.53×	13.16

Goals away 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score 3+	32.0%	33.8%	9.5%	3.58×	2.96
Southampton to score exactly 1	27.3%	27.4%	39.4%	0.70×	3.65
Southampton to score exactly 2	27.1%	27.4%	20.7%	1.32×	3.65
Southampton to score exactly 0	13.7%	12.8%	30.6%	0.42×	7.80

Goals home 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to score exactly 1	31.4%	32.6%	36.9%	0.88×	3.06
West Ham United to score exactly 2	26.3%	26.5%	24.6%	1.08×	3.77
West Ham United to score 3+	23.7%	23.2%	16.2%	1.44×	4.30
West Ham United to score exactly 0	18.7%	18.9%	22.5%	0.84×	5.29

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw at HT	36.8%	37.9%	—	—	2.64
Southampton leading at HT	33.7%	33.6%	—	—	2.97
West Ham United leading at HT	29.4%	25.7%	—	—	3.88

Handicap 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton -1: 1	55.6%	56.6%	—	—	1.77
Southampton -1: 2	25.6%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Southampton -1: X	18.8%	17.5%	—	—	5.71

Handicap 0:1 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:1)	67.9%	65.5%	56.5%	1.16×	1.53
West Ham United (0:1)	16.3%	17.8%	19.3%	0.92×	5.63
Draw (0:1)	15.7%	17.8%	24.2%	0.73×	5.63

Handicap 0:2 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:2)	83.7%	82.8%	80.7%	1.03×	1.21
Draw (0:2)	9.7%	7.7%	11.3%	0.68×	12.93
West Ham United (0:2)	6.6%	7.7%	8.1%	0.96×	12.96

Handicap 0:3 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:3)	93.4%	92.6%	91.9%	1.01×	1.08
Draw (0:3)	4.4%	2.4%	4.8%	0.49×	42.07
West Ham United (0:3)	2.2%	2.4%	3.4%	0.71×	42.17

Handicap 0:4 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (0:4)	97.8%	98.1%	96.6%	1.02×	1.02
Draw (0:4)	1.6%	1.2%	2.4%	0.50×	83.50
West Ham United (0:4)	0.6%	1.2%	1.0%	1.16×	83.61

Handicap 1:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (1:0)	55.6%	58.0%	71.0%	0.82×	1.72
Southampton (1:0)	25.6%	25.0%	11.9%	2.11×	3.99
Draw (1:0)	18.8%	17.0%	17.3%	0.99×	5.87

Handicap 2:0 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United (2:0)	74.4%	76.5%	88.1%	0.87×	1.31
Draw (2:0)	13.6%	10.4%	8.7%	1.20×	9.62
Southampton (2:0)	12.0%	10.4%	3.3%	3.18×	9.64

Highest scoring half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	51.3%	50.2%	—	—	1.99
1st half highest scoring	26.5%	26.5%	—	—	3.77
Halves equal	22.2%	24.1%	—	—	4.15

Home clean sheet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to concede	86.3%	86.0%	69.4%	1.24×	1.16
West Ham United clean sheet	13.7%	14.0%	30.6%	0.46×	7.15

Home clean sheet 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United to concede in 1st half	54.8%	56.3%	—	—	1.78
West Ham United clean sheet in 1st half	45.2%	43.7%	—	—	2.29

Home corners O/U 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United under 6.5 corners	79.2%	76.6%	—	—	1.31
West Ham United over 2.5 corners	72.3%	71.9%	—	—	1.39
West Ham United under 5.5 corners	69.7%	66.7%	—	—	1.50
West Ham United under 4.5 corners	57.5%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
West Ham United over 3.5 corners	56.9%	57.5%	—	—	1.74
West Ham United under 3.5 corners	43.1%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
West Ham United over 4.5 corners	42.5%	42.5%	—	—	2.35
West Ham United over 5.5 corners	30.3%	33.3%	—	—	3.00
West Ham United under 2.5 corners	27.7%	28.1%	—	—	3.56
West Ham United over 6.5 corners	20.8%	23.4%	—	—	4.27

Home goals O/U 8

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United under 3.5 goals	91.0%	92.2%	94.8%	0.97×	1.08
West Ham United over 0.5 goals	81.3%	82.1%	77.5%	1.06×	1.22
West Ham United under 2.5 goals	76.3%	77.7%	83.8%	0.93×	1.29
West Ham United under 1.5 goals	50.0%	53.2%	59.4%	0.90×	1.88
West Ham United over 1.5 goals	50.0%	46.8%	40.6%	1.15×	2.14
West Ham United over 2.5 goals	23.7%	22.3%	16.2%	1.38×	4.49
West Ham United under 0.5 goals	18.7%	17.9%	22.5%	0.80×	5.59
West Ham United over 3.5 goals	9.0%	7.8%	5.2%	1.50×	12.89

Home goals O/U 1HT 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United under 1.5 in 1st half	83.7%	84.3%	—	—	1.19
West Ham United under 0.5 in 1st half	48.6%	50.9%	—	—	1.96
West Ham United over 0.5 in 1st half	51.4%	49.1%	—	—	2.04
West Ham United over 1.5 in 1st half	16.3%	15.7%	—	—	6.38

Home no bet 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton (home no bet)	65.4%	63.8%	51.3%	1.24×	1.57
Draw (home no bet)	34.6%	36.2%	48.7%	0.74×	2.77

Home Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United even goals	51.7%	50.6%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
West Ham United odd goals	48.3%	49.4%	49.5%	1.00×	2.03

HT correct score 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
HT 0-0	22.1%	24.1%	—	—	4.15
HT 0-1	17.3%	18.7%	—	—	5.34
HT 1-0	15.7%	18.7%	—	—	5.35
HT 1-1	12.8%	10.9%	—	—	9.15
Any other HT score	8.2%	7.1%	—	—	14.03
HT 0-2	6.9%	7.1%	—	—	14.05
HT 2-0	5.7%	7.1%	—	—	14.07
HT 1-2	5.0%	7.1%	—	—	14.08
HT 2-1	4.5%	2.3%	—	—	43.28
HT 2-2	1.8%	2.3%	—	—	43.48

HT/FT 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton at HT / Southampton at FT	25.8%	26.7%	—	—	3.74
West Ham United at HT / West Ham United at FT	19.2%	16.8%	—	—	5.96
Draw at HT / Southampton at FT	14.5%	12.7%	—	—	7.88
Draw at HT / Draw at FT	12.2%	12.7%	—	—	7.89
Draw at HT / West Ham United at FT	10.1%	12.7%	—	—	7.91
West Ham United at HT / Draw at FT	6.0%	6.0%	—	—	16.71
Southampton at HT / Draw at FT	5.2%	6.0%	—	—	16.73
West Ham United at HT / Southampton at FT	4.1%	3.5%	—	—	28.80
Southampton at HT / West Ham United at FT	2.7%	3.5%	—	—	28.86

Last goal 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to score last	52.3%	52.0%	—	—	1.92
West Ham United to score last	44.1%	40.1%	—	—	2.49
No goal scored	3.6%	4.3%	—	—	23.35

Lead at any time 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time	96.4%	95.6%	—	—	1.05
Southampton to lead by 1 at any time	64.3%	61.4%	—	—	1.63
Either team to lead by 2 at any time	59.0%	55.1%	—	—	1.81
West Ham United to lead by 1 at any time	54.2%	50.7%	—	—	1.97
Southampton to lead by 2 at any time	34.9%	29.5%	—	—	3.39
Either team to lead by 3 at any time	25.1%	25.4%	—	—	3.94
West Ham United to lead by 2 at any time	24.9%	19.7%	—	—	5.09
Southampton to lead by 3 at any time	15.7%	14.9%	—	—	6.72
West Ham United to lead by 3 at any time	9.4%	6.7%	—	—	14.96

Most corners 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United most corners	48.3%	46.9%	—	—	2.13
Southampton most corners	40.6%	43.5%	—	—	2.30
Corners level	11.1%	10.4%	—	—	9.61

Multi goal 15

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2-6 goals	81.2%	83.5%	72.8%	1.15×	1.20
1-5 goals	80.0%	78.6%	88.8%	0.89×	1.27
2-5 goals	72.6%	72.4%	70.2%	1.03×	1.38
1-4 goals	65.9%	68.9%	83.4%	0.83×	1.45
3-6 goals	63.0%	63.4%	47.1%	1.35×	1.58
2-4 goals	58.5%	59.2%	64.8%	0.91×	1.69
3-5 goals	54.4%	53.2%	44.5%	1.20×	1.88
1-3 goals	46.6%	48.7%	69.1%	0.70×	2.06
4-6 goals	42.0%	43.6%	22.4%	1.94×	2.30
3-4 goals	40.3%	43.6%	39.1%	1.11×	2.30
2-3 goals	39.2%	39.2%	50.4%	0.78×	2.55
4-5 goals	33.4%	35.4%	19.8%	1.78×	2.83
1-2 goals	25.6%	30.2%	44.4%	0.68×	3.31
5-6 goals	22.7%	24.5%	8.1%	3.03×	4.09
7+ goals	7.8%	8.7%	1.4%	6.36×	11.45

Never down 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton never behind	42.2%	48.2%	—	—	2.07
West Ham United never behind	32.2%	35.6%	—	—	2.81

Odd/Even 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Odd number of goals	48.0%	50.8%	49.4%	1.03×	1.97
Even number of goals	52.0%	49.2%	50.6%	0.97×	2.03

Odd/Even 1HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 1st half	52.8%	51.7%	—	—	1.94
Odd goals in 1st half	47.2%	48.3%	—	—	2.07

Odd/Even 2HT 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Even goals in 2nd half	51.4%	52.1%	—	—	1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half	48.6%	48.0%	—	—	2.09

Over/Under 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 goals	96.4%	95.5%	92.7%	1.03×	1.05
Over 1.5 goals	89.0%	87.7%	74.1%	1.18×	1.14
Under 5.5 goals	83.5%	82.4%	96.0%	0.86×	1.21
Over 2.5 goals	70.8%	72.5%	48.4%	1.50×	1.38
Under 4.5 goals	69.4%	66.2%	90.6%	0.73×	1.51
Under 3.5 goals	50.2%	52.5%	76.3%	0.69×	1.91
Over 3.5 goals	49.8%	47.5%	23.7%	2.00×	2.10
Over 4.5 goals	30.6%	33.8%	9.4%	3.61×	2.96
Under 2.5 goals	29.2%	27.5%	51.6%	0.53×	3.64
Over 5.5 goals	16.5%	17.6%	4.0%	4.46×	5.68
Under 1.5 goals	11.0%	12.3%	25.9%	0.48×	8.10
Under 0.5 goals	3.6%	4.5%	7.3%	0.62×	22.20

Over/Under (whole line) 10

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6)	91.4%	92.5%	98.6%	0.94×	1.08
Over 2 (void on exactly 2)	86.6%	86.7%	65.1%	1.33×	1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5)	80.8%	81.0%	95.8%	0.85×	1.23
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)	63.1%	62.1%	31.5%	1.97×	1.61
Under 4 (void on exactly 4)	62.2%	62.1%	89.1%	0.70×	1.61
Over 4 (void on exactly 4)	37.8%	37.9%	10.9%	3.47×	2.64
Under 3 (void on exactly 3)	36.9%	37.9%	68.5%	0.55×	2.64
Over 5 (void on exactly 5)	19.2%	19.0%	4.2%	4.54×	5.28
Under 2 (void on exactly 2)	13.4%	13.3%	34.9%	0.38×	7.54
Over 6 (void on exactly 6)	8.6%	7.5%	1.4%	5.35×	13.25

Over/Under 1HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half	80.5%	86.1%	—	—	1.16
Over 0.5 in 1st half	77.9%	78.8%	—	—	1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half	55.1%	62.5%	—	—	1.60
Over 1.5 in 1st half	44.9%	37.5%	—	—	2.67
Under 0.5 in 1st half	22.1%	21.2%	—	—	4.72
Over 2.5 in 1st half	19.5%	13.9%	—	—	7.21

Over/Under 2HT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half	88.0%	85.4%	—	—	1.17
Under 2.5 in 2nd half	63.7%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Over 1.5 in 2nd half	63.6%	61.8%	—	—	1.62
Under 1.5 in 2nd half	36.4%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Over 2.5 in 2nd half	36.3%	38.2%	—	—	2.62
Under 0.5 in 2nd half	12.0%	14.6%	—	—	6.84

Score both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United not to score in both halves	68.4%	70.5%	—	—	1.42
Southampton not to score in both halves	61.8%	63.4%	—	—	1.58
Southampton to score in both halves	38.2%	36.6%	—	—	2.73
West Ham United to score in both halves	31.6%	29.5%	—	—	3.39

Teams to score 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Both teams score	71.2%	66.1%	54.2%	1.22×	1.51
Only Southampton scores	15.1%	16.1%	15.3%	1.05×	6.22
Only West Ham United scores	10.1%	10.9%	23.4%	0.47×	9.16
Neither team scores	3.6%	4.6%	7.3%	0.63×	21.84

Total goals 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Exactly 3 goals	21.0%	22.6%	24.7%	0.91×	4.42
Exactly 4 goals	19.3%	17.4%	14.4%	1.21×	5.74
Exactly 2 goals	18.2%	17.4%	25.8%	0.68×	5.74
6 or more goals	16.5%	17.4%	4.0%	4.41×	5.74
Exactly 5 goals	14.1%	12.1%	5.5%	2.20×	8.27
Exactly 1 goals	7.4%	7.6%	18.7%	0.41×	13.09
Exactly 0 goals	3.6%	4.4%	7.3%	0.60×	22.66

Total goals 2nd half 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half	63.6%	58.7%	—	—	1.71
1 goal in 2nd half	24.4%	23.2%	—	—	4.31
No goals in 2nd half	12.0%	14.4%	—	—	6.94

Win both halves 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United not to win both halves	91.3%	93.9%	—	—	1.07
Southampton not to win both halves	86.0%	87.8%	—	—	1.14
Southampton to win both halves	14.0%	12.2%	—	—	8.22
West Ham United to win both halves	8.7%	6.1%	—	—	16.44

Win either half 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Southampton to win either half	60.7%	65.0%	—	—	1.54
West Ham United to win neither half	50.2%	54.9%	—	—	1.82
West Ham United to win either half	49.8%	45.1%	—	—	2.22
Southampton to win neither half	39.3%	35.0%	—	—	2.86

Win to nil 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
West Ham United not to win to nil	89.9%	88.2%	76.6%	1.15×	1.13
Southampton not to win to nil	84.9%	83.0%	84.7%	0.98×	1.20
Southampton to win to nil	15.1%	17.0%	15.3%	1.11×	5.90
West Ham United to win to nil	10.1%	11.8%	23.4%	0.50×	8.51

Winning margin 7

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Draw	23.5%	24.2%	27.6%	0.88×	4.14
Southampton by 1	18.8%	16.9%	17.3%	0.98×	5.91
West Ham United by 1	15.7%	16.9%	24.2%	0.70×	5.91
Southampton by 2	13.6%	11.8%	8.7%	1.36×	8.47
Southampton by 3+	12.0%	11.8%	3.3%	3.61×	8.48
West Ham United by 2	9.7%	7.3%	11.3%	0.64×	13.77
West Ham United by 3+	6.6%	7.3%	8.1%	0.90×	13.79