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Wolfsberger v Rapid Vienna — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Saturday 12 September 2026 · AUT-Bundesliga · 2627

AUT-Bundesliga results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Wolfsberger win
30.2%
model 34.1%
Draw
29.2%
model 26.4%
Rapid Vienna win
40.6%
model 39.6%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (483 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 12.2%
  2. 1-2 8.7%
  3. 2-1 8.0%
  4. 0-1 6.7%
  5. 2-2 6.3%

Goals

Over 2.557.9% Under 2.542.1%
BTTS yes61.5% BTTS no38.5%
Wolfsberger 1+76.4% Wolfsberger 2+42.3%
Rapid Vienna 1+79.2% Rapid Vienna 2+46.5%

Expected goals 1.44 – 1.57. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
20/100
Data quality
55/100
Model agreement
92%
★ Best pick
Rapid Vienna (+0.5)
Asian handicap · usually 56%
69.0% fair odds 1.45
moderate signal · 931 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
Rapid Vienna (0:2)
Handicap 0:2 · usually 77%
83.1% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 390 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Rapid Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1542 Elo against 1471.
  • Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Risk factors

  • Data quality is 55/100, so this price rests on less than the model would like.
  • The model's measured edge in this competition is -0.0106 nats, which is not meaningfully better than the base rates.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Rapid Vienna have an estimated 40.6% win probability, against 30.2% for Wolfsberger and 29.2% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 1.44 for Wolfsberger and 1.57 for Rapid Vienna.

Why Wolfsberger

Nothing in the data singles out Wolfsberger.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 29.2%. The sides are closely matched on expected goals, 1.44 to 1.57. Draws run at 25% in this competition.

Why Rapid Vienna can win

Rapid Vienna carry the stronger rating, 1542 Elo against 1471. Form is good: 2.40 points a match from the last five.

Key players

No player-level data for this fixture; the leagues with lineups are the big five.

Availability

No lineup on record for Wolfsberger, so availability is unknown. No lineup on record for Rapid Vienna, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wolfsberger: 40% possession, 9.0 shots a match, 18.8 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces. Rapid Vienna: 58% possession, 18.0 shots a match, 13.6 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Rapid Vienna are the model's most likely outcome at 40.6%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 12.2%. Confidence 20/100, data quality 55/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 1.44–1.57 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 1.48–1.28 1-1 13% 52% 57%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger to win 40.7% 43.0% 43.6% 0.99× 2.33
Rapid Vienna to win 31.6% 30.4% 31.4% 0.97× 3.29
Draw 27.7% 27.9% 25.2% 1.10× 3.59
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger & both teams score 20.4% 21.9% 21.2% 1.03× 4.57
Wolfsberger & not both score 20.4% 21.9% 22.6% 0.97× 4.57
Draw & both teams score 20.2% 21.9% 18.1% 1.21× 4.57
Rapid Vienna & both teams score 16.3% 17.9% 16.9% 1.06× 5.58
Rapid Vienna & not both score 15.3% 17.9% 14.8% 1.21× 5.58
Draw & not both score 7.5% 8.4% 7.4% 1.13× 11.95
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger & over 1.5 32.5% 30.9% 34.8% 0.89× 3.24
Wolfsberger & under 3.5 27.5% 26.0% 30.5% 0.85× 3.84
Wolfsberger & over 2.5 25.5% 26.0% 27.6% 0.94× 3.84
Rapid Vienna & over 1.5 24.6% 21.6% 25.5% 0.85× 4.62
Rapid Vienna & under 3.5 22.0% 21.6% 22.1% 0.98× 4.62
Draw & under 2.5 20.7% 21.6% 19.5% 1.11× 4.62
Draw & under 3.5 20.7% 21.6% 19.5% 1.11× 4.62
Draw & over 1.5 20.2% 21.6% 18.1% 1.20× 4.62
Rapid Vienna & over 2.5 19.4% 18.0% 20.0% 0.90× 5.56
Wolfsberger & under 2.5 15.2% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Wolfsberger & over 3.5 13.3% 12.9% 13.3% 0.96× 7.78
Rapid Vienna & under 2.5 12.2% 12.9% 11.7% 1.10× 7.78
Rapid Vienna & over 3.5 9.5% 7.9% 9.5% 0.83× 12.69
Wolfsberger & under 1.5 8.2% 7.9% 9.0% 0.87× 12.69
Draw & under 1.5 7.5% 7.9% 7.4% 1.07× 12.69
Draw & over 2.5 7.0% 7.9% 6.0% 1.32× 12.69
Draw & over 3.5 7.0% 7.9% 6.0% 1.32× 12.69
Rapid Vienna & under 1.5 7.0% 7.9% 6.2% 1.27× 12.69
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger (1UP) 57.7% 58.0% 1.72
Rapid Vienna (1UP) 49.7% 43.1% 2.32
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger (2UP) 40.7% 47.5% 2.11
Rapid Vienna (2UP) 31.6% 31.0% 3.23
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half drawn 36.0% 36.0% 2.77
Wolfsberger to win 2nd half 34.2% 34.5% 2.90
Rapid Vienna to win 2nd half 29.8% 26.3% 3.80
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (+2.5) 92.1% 92.1% 90.7% 1.02× 1.09
Rapid Vienna (+1.5) 79.7% 78.5% 76.9% 1.02× 1.27
Wolfsberger (+0.5) 68.4% 68.7% 68.6% 1.00× 1.46
Rapid Vienna (+0.5) 59.3% 57.0% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Wolfsberger (-0.5) 40.7% 43.0% 43.6% 0.99× 2.33
Rapid Vienna (-0.5) 31.6% 31.3% 31.4% 1.00× 3.20
Wolfsberger (-1.5) 20.3% 21.5% 23.1% 0.93× 4.65
Wolfsberger (-2.5) 7.9% 7.9% 9.3% 0.85× 12.67
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede 77.2% 79.0% 78.1% 1.01× 1.27
Rapid Vienna clean sheet 22.8% 21.0% 21.9% 0.96× 4.76
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to concede in 1st half 47.0% 50.9% 1.97
Rapid Vienna clean sheet in 1st half 53.0% 49.1% 2.04
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 corners 86.8% 84.9% 1.18
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 corners 75.8% 75.8% 1.32
Rapid Vienna over 4.5 corners 63.0% 61.4% 1.63
Rapid Vienna under 6.5 corners 62.0% 61.4% 1.63
Rapid Vienna over 5.5 corners 50.0% 52.4% 1.91
Rapid Vienna under 5.5 corners 50.0% 47.6% 2.10
Rapid Vienna over 6.5 corners 38.0% 38.6% 2.59
Rapid Vienna under 4.5 corners 37.0% 38.6% 2.59
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 corners 24.2% 24.2% 4.13
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 corners 13.2% 15.1% 6.62
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 3.5 goals 95.9% 97.6% 96.9% 1.01× 1.03
Rapid Vienna under 2.5 goals 86.2% 87.9% 86.9% 1.01× 1.14
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 goals 72.1% 71.9% 70.2% 1.02× 1.39
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 goals 63.5% 62.9% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 goals 36.5% 37.1% 35.2% 1.05× 2.70
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 goals 27.9% 28.1% 29.8% 0.94× 3.56
Rapid Vienna over 2.5 goals 13.8% 12.1% 13.1% 0.93× 8.25
Rapid Vienna over 3.5 goals 4.1% 2.4% 3.1% 0.79× 40.98
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna under 1.5 in 1st half 90.7% 94.1% 1.06
Rapid Vienna under 0.5 in 1st half 60.0% 64.3% 1.56
Rapid Vienna over 0.5 in 1st half 40.0% 35.7% 2.80
Rapid Vienna over 1.5 in 1st half 9.4% 5.9% 16.86
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger (away no bet) 59.5% 57.5% 63.3% 0.91× 1.74
Draw (away no bet) 40.5% 42.5% 36.7% 1.16× 2.36
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna even goals 53.9% 52.8% 53.6% 0.98× 1.90
Rapid Vienna odd goals 46.1% 47.2% 46.4% 1.02× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 84.8% 83.3% 1.20
Both halves over 1.5 goals 15.2% 16.7% 5.99
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 65.0% 58.0% 1.73
Both halves under 1.5 goals 35.0% 42.0% 2.38
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 56.0% 55.3% 1.81
Wolfsberger to score 2+ in a row 34.8% 28.6% 3.50
Rapid Vienna to score 2+ in a row 27.8% 25.2% 3.97
Either team to score 3+ in a row 19.6% 16.5% 6.07
Wolfsberger to score 3+ in a row 11.8% 12.0% 8.35
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ in a row 8.0% 5.6% 17.88
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna corners (+3.5) 89.9% 84.2% 1.19
Rapid Vienna corners (+2.5) 84.7% 80.0% 1.25
Rapid Vienna corners (+1.5) 77.9% 75.5% 1.33
Wolfsberger corners (+3.5) 69.5% 66.8% 1.50
Wolfsberger corners (+2.5) 60.3% 61.7% 1.62
Wolfsberger corners (+1.5) 50.4% 52.3% 1.91
Rapid Vienna corners (-1.5) 49.6% 47.7% 2.10
Rapid Vienna corners (-2.5) 39.7% 38.3% 2.61
Rapid Vienna corners (-3.5) 30.5% 33.2% 3.01
Wolfsberger corners (-1.5) 22.1% 24.5% 4.08
Wolfsberger corners (-2.5) 15.3% 20.0% 5.01
Wolfsberger corners (-3.5) 10.1% 15.8% 6.32
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 36.5% 35.1% 2.85
12+ corners 35.0% 35.1% 2.85
9-11 corners 28.5% 31.8% 3.15
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 7.5 corners 73.1% 72.5% 1.38
Under 12.5 corners 72.8% 72.5% 1.38
Under 11.5 corners 65.0% 62.7% 1.60
Over 8.5 corners 63.5% 62.7% 1.60
Under 10.5 corners 56.1% 57.8% 1.73
Over 9.5 corners 53.6% 52.2% 1.91
Under 9.5 corners 46.4% 47.8% 2.09
Over 10.5 corners 44.0% 42.2% 2.37
Under 8.5 corners 36.5% 37.3% 2.68
Over 11.5 corners 35.0% 37.3% 2.68
Over 12.5 corners 27.2% 27.5% 3.64
Under 7.5 corners 26.9% 27.5% 3.64
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even number of corners 50.0% 50.4% 1.98
Odd number of corners 50.0% 49.6% 2.02
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-1 13.2% 11.5% 12.4% 0.93× 8.73
2-1 8.9% 7.4% 10.5% 0.71× 13.46
0-0 7.5% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.46
0-1 7.0% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.46
1-0 8.2% 7.4% 9.0% 0.82× 13.46
1-2 7.7% 7.4% 7.9% 0.95× 13.46
2-0 6.9% 7.4% 7.4% 1.01× 13.46
0-2 5.2% 7.4% 5.7% 1.30× 13.46
2-2 5.7% 7.4% 5.5% 1.36× 13.46
0-3 2.2% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.58
0-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.5% 3.58× 58.59
1-3 3.3% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.57
1-4 1.0% 1.7% 1.0% 1.79× 58.59
2-3 2.4% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.58
2-4 0.8% 1.7% 0.5% 3.58× 58.59
3-0 3.4% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.57
3-1 4.4% 1.7% 4.5% 0.38× 58.57
3-2 2.8% 1.7% 1.7% 1.02× 58.58
3-3 1.2% 1.7% 0.7% 2.39× 58.59
3-4 0.4% 1.7% 0.7% 2.39× 58.59
4-0 1.3% 1.7% 1.0% 1.79× 58.59
4-1 1.6% 1.7% 1.9% 0.90× 58.58
4-2 1.0% 1.7% 2.4% 0.72× 58.59
4-3 0.4% 1.7% 0.2% 7.17× 58.59
4-4 0.1% 1.7% 0.2% 7.17× 58.59
Any other score 2.7% 1.7% 4.3% 0.40× 58.58
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger leading at HT (DNB) 57.1% 57.5% 1.74
Rapid Vienna leading at HT (DNB) 42.9% 42.5% 2.36
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger or Rapid Vienna (12) 72.3% 72.1% 74.8% 0.96× 1.39
Wolfsberger or draw (1X) 68.4% 69.6% 68.6% 1.02× 1.44
Rapid Vienna or draw (X2) 59.3% 57.0% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger or draw at HT 75.7% 79.9% 1.25
Rapid Vienna or draw at HT 67.7% 66.1% 1.51
Wolfsberger or Rapid Vienna at HT 56.6% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger or draw (1UP) 68.4% 76.0% 1.32
Rapid Vienna or draw (1UP) 59.3% 62.8% 1.59
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger or draw in 2nd half 70.2% 73.7% 1.36
Rapid Vienna or draw in 2nd half 65.8% 65.5% 1.53
Wolfsberger or Rapid Vienna in 2nd half 64.0% 64.0% 1.56
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A half drawn 62.5% 61.6% 1.63
Neither half drawn 37.5% 38.4% 2.60
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger (DNB) 56.3% 58.2% 58.1% 1.00× 1.72
Rapid Vienna (DNB) 43.7% 41.8% 41.9% 1.00× 2.39
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger to score first 49.6% 45.7% 2.19
Rapid Vienna to score first 42.9% 41.7% 2.40
No goal scored 7.5% 7.4% 13.52
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 56.8% 54.8% 55.7% 0.98× 1.83
Not both teams to score 43.2% 45.2% 44.3% 1.02× 2.21
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 43.7% 41.6% 43.6% 0.95× 2.41
Not both score & under 2.5 34.9% 34.4% 34.8% 0.99× 2.91
Both score & under 2.5 13.2% 12.3% 12.4% 1.00× 8.11
Not both score & over 2.5 8.3% 8.4% 9.8% 0.86× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 84.1% 83.2% 86.9% 0.96× 1.20
Both teams to score 2+ 15.9% 16.8% 13.1% 1.28× 5.95
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 69.1% 67.7% 1.48
Both teams to score in 2nd half 30.9% 32.3% 3.10
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 55.9% 59.8% 1.67
Both score 2nd half only 25.1% 26.0% 3.85
Both score 1st half only 13.3% 10.5% 9.52
Both score in both halves 5.7% 6.7% 15.02
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 81.0% 82.8% 1.21
Both teams to score by HT 19.0% 17.2% 5.81
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 55.1% 57.2% 1.75
A half without a goal 44.9% 42.9% 2.33
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-3 goals 47.5% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
4-6 goals 27.5% 26.4% 26.7% 0.99× 3.79
0-1 goals 22.7% 22.8% 22.1% 1.03× 4.38
7+ goals 2.3% 1.8% 1.9% 0.95× 55.20
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 1 35.6% 36.0% 35.2% 1.02× 2.78
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 0 27.9% 27.4% 29.8% 0.92× 3.65
Rapid Vienna to score exactly 2 22.7% 22.4% 22.4% 1.00× 4.47
Rapid Vienna to score 3+ 13.8% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.80
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger to score exactly 1 33.7% 32.6% 34.8% 0.94× 3.06
Wolfsberger to score exactly 2 24.9% 23.3% 25.5% 0.91× 4.30
Wolfsberger to score exactly 0 22.8% 23.3% 21.9% 1.06× 4.30
Wolfsberger to score 3+ 18.6% 18.9% 18.3% 1.03× 5.30
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw at HT 43.4% 43.2% 2.31
Wolfsberger leading at HT 32.3% 33.9% 2.95
Rapid Vienna leading at HT 24.3% 20.1% 4.99
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger -1: 2 59.3% 56.7% 1.76
Wolfsberger -1: 1 20.3% 23.6% 4.24
Wolfsberger -1: X 20.4% 23.6% 4.24
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:1) 59.3% 55.8% 56.4% 0.99× 1.79
Draw (0:1) 20.4% 24.3% 20.7% 1.17× 4.12
Wolfsberger (0:1) 20.3% 24.3% 23.1% 1.05× 4.12
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:2) 79.7% 79.5% 76.9% 1.03× 1.26
Draw (0:2) 12.5% 11.0% 14.0% 0.78× 9.08
Wolfsberger (0:2) 7.9% 7.7% 9.3% 0.83× 12.97
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:3) 92.1% 92.6% 90.7% 1.02× 1.08
Draw (0:3) 5.4% 5.8% 6.2% 0.94× 17.27
Wolfsberger (0:3) 2.5% 2.4% 3.3% 0.71× 42.03
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (0:4) 97.5% 98.1% 96.7% 1.01× 1.02
Draw (0:4) 1.8% 1.2% 1.7% 0.72× 83.26
Wolfsberger (0:4) 0.7% 1.2% 1.9% 0.63× 83.40
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger (1:0) 68.4% 69.9% 68.6% 1.02× 1.43
Draw (1:0) 17.5% 17.0% 16.4% 1.04× 5.87
Rapid Vienna (1:0) 14.1% 12.8% 15.2% 0.84× 7.80
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger (2:0) 85.9% 88.3% 84.8% 1.04× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 9.3% 6.5% 10.2% 0.63× 15.47
Rapid Vienna (2:0) 4.8% 2.3% 5.2% 0.43× 44.10
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 47.1% 48.2% 2.08
Halves equal 26.5% 26.5% 3.77
1st half highest scoring 26.4% 26.5% 3.77
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger to concede 72.1% 73.0% 70.2% 1.04× 1.37
Wolfsberger clean sheet 27.9% 27.0% 29.8% 0.91× 3.71
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger clean sheet in 1st half 60.0% 64.3% 1.56
Wolfsberger to concede in 1st half 40.0% 35.7% 2.80
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger under 6.5 corners 81.2% 81.3% 1.23
Wolfsberger over 2.5 corners 74.0% 71.5% 1.40
Wolfsberger under 5.5 corners 71.1% 71.5% 1.40
Wolfsberger over 3.5 corners 57.8% 57.4% 1.74
Wolfsberger under 4.5 corners 57.9% 57.4% 1.74
Wolfsberger under 3.5 corners 42.2% 42.6% 2.35
Wolfsberger over 4.5 corners 42.1% 42.6% 2.35
Wolfsberger over 5.5 corners 28.9% 28.5% 3.51
Wolfsberger under 2.5 corners 26.0% 28.5% 3.51
Wolfsberger over 6.5 corners 18.8% 18.7% 5.35
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger under 3.5 goals 93.7% 92.2% 92.4% 1.00× 1.08
Wolfsberger under 2.5 goals 81.4% 82.1% 81.7% 1.01× 1.22
Wolfsberger over 0.5 goals 77.2% 77.7% 78.1% 0.99× 1.29
Wolfsberger under 1.5 goals 56.5% 58.8% 56.4% 1.04× 1.70
Wolfsberger over 1.5 goals 43.5% 41.2% 43.6% 0.95× 2.43
Wolfsberger under 0.5 goals 22.8% 22.3% 21.9% 1.02× 4.48
Wolfsberger over 2.5 goals 18.6% 17.9% 18.3% 0.97× 5.60
Wolfsberger over 3.5 goals 6.3% 7.8% 7.6% 1.02× 12.90
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger under 1.5 in 1st half 86.6% 89.9% 1.11
Wolfsberger over 0.5 in 1st half 47.0% 51.0% 1.96
Wolfsberger under 0.5 in 1st half 53.0% 49.0% 2.04
Wolfsberger over 1.5 in 1st half 13.4% 10.1% 9.91
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna (home no bet) 53.3% 51.6% 55.5% 0.93× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 46.7% 48.4% 44.5% 1.09× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger even goals 52.6% 50.6% 52.1% 0.97× 1.97
Wolfsberger odd goals 47.4% 49.4% 47.9% 1.03× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 0-0 32.0% 32.5% 3.08
HT 1-0 20.0% 18.9% 5.28
HT 0-1 16.0% 18.9% 5.31
HT 1-1 10.5% 11.0% 9.07
HT 2-0 6.4% 7.1% 14.12
Any other HT score 4.2% 2.2% 44.61
HT 0-2 4.1% 2.2% 44.61
HT 2-1 3.3% 2.2% 44.68
HT 1-2 2.6% 2.2% 44.73
HT 2-2 0.8% 2.2% 44.87
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger at HT / Wolfsberger at FT 24.2% 22.2% 4.51
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 16.9% 16.8% 5.95
Rapid Vienna at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 16.9% 16.8% 5.95
Draw at HT / Wolfsberger at FT 14.2% 12.7% 7.88
Draw at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 12.3% 12.7% 7.90
Wolfsberger at HT / Draw at FT 5.8% 6.0% 16.62
Rapid Vienna at HT / Draw at FT 5.0% 6.0% 16.64
Wolfsberger at HT / Rapid Vienna at FT 2.4% 3.4% 29.19
Rapid Vienna at HT / Wolfsberger at FT 2.4% 3.4% 29.19
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger to score last 49.7% 47.0% 2.13
Rapid Vienna to score last 42.8% 40.2% 2.49
No goal scored 7.5% 7.4% 13.52
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 92.5% 92.7% 1.08
Wolfsberger to lead by 1 at any time 57.7% 55.0% 1.82
Rapid Vienna to lead by 1 at any time 49.7% 44.1% 2.27
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 46.5% 44.0% 2.27
Wolfsberger to lead by 2 at any time 26.8% 25.2% 3.97
Rapid Vienna to lead by 2 at any time 20.0% 15.0% 6.68
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 16.3% 14.9% 6.71
Wolfsberger to lead by 3 at any time 9.9% 6.6% 15.20
Rapid Vienna to lead by 3 at any time 6.4% 6.5% 15.38
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna most corners 59.8% 55.5% 1.80
Wolfsberger most corners 30.5% 33.7% 2.97
Corners level 9.6% 8.4% 11.88
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1-5 goals 86.4% 87.4% 86.2% 1.01× 1.14
1-4 goals 77.9% 78.6% 79.3% 0.99× 1.27
2-6 goals 75.0% 78.6% 76.2% 1.03× 1.27
2-5 goals 71.2% 72.4% 71.4% 1.01× 1.38
1-3 goals 62.7% 63.5% 64.5% 0.98× 1.58
2-4 goals 62.7% 63.5% 64.5% 0.98× 1.58
3-6 goals 49.7% 48.7% 51.4% 0.95× 2.06
2-3 goals 47.5% 48.7% 49.8% 0.98× 2.06
3-5 goals 45.9% 48.7% 46.7% 1.04× 2.06
1-2 goals 40.5% 43.6% 39.8% 1.10× 2.29
3-4 goals 37.4% 39.2% 39.8% 0.99× 2.55
4-6 goals 27.5% 30.2% 26.7% 1.13× 3.31
4-5 goals 23.7% 24.5% 21.9% 1.12× 4.09
5-6 goals 12.3% 14.9% 11.9% 1.25× 6.73
7+ goals 2.3% 2.5% 1.9% 1.33× 39.48
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger never behind 42.7% 48.2% 2.07
Rapid Vienna never behind 34.8% 35.6% 2.81
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 47.5% 50.8% 47.9% 1.06× 1.97
Even number of goals 52.5% 49.2% 52.1% 0.94× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 55.4% 57.8% 1.73
Odd goals in 1st half 44.6% 42.2% 2.37
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 52.8% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 47.2% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 5.5 goals 93.9% 92.3% 93.3% 0.99× 1.08
Over 0.5 goals 92.5% 92.3% 92.6% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4.5 goals 85.5% 87.7% 86.4% 1.01× 1.14
Over 1.5 goals 77.3% 77.4% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Under 3.5 goals 70.2% 72.5% 71.7% 1.01× 1.38
Over 2.5 goals 52.0% 52.4% 53.1% 0.99× 1.91
Under 2.5 goals 48.0% 47.6% 46.9% 1.01× 2.10
Over 3.5 goals 29.8% 27.5% 28.3% 0.97× 3.64
Under 1.5 goals 22.7% 22.6% 22.1% 1.02× 4.42
Over 4.5 goals 14.5% 12.3% 13.6% 0.91× 8.11
Under 0.5 goals 7.5% 7.7% 7.4% 1.05× 12.95
Over 5.5 goals 6.1% 7.7% 6.7% 1.16× 12.95
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 97.7% 97.3% 98.0% 0.99× 1.03
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 93.3% 92.5% 92.8% 1.00× 1.08
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 82.8% 81.1% 84.1% 0.96× 1.23
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 69.6% 67.4% 70.6% 0.95× 1.49
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 61.7% 62.1% 62.3% 1.00× 1.61
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 38.3% 37.9% 37.7% 1.01× 2.64
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 30.4% 32.6% 29.4% 1.11× 3.06
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 17.2% 18.9% 15.9% 1.19× 5.30
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 6.7% 7.5% 7.2% 1.05× 13.27
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 2.3% 2.7% 2.0% 1.37× 36.38
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 2.5 in 1st half 89.1% 89.4% 1.12
Over 0.5 in 1st half 68.0% 69.0% 1.45
Under 1.5 in 1st half 68.0% 69.0% 1.45
Under 0.5 in 1st half 32.0% 31.0% 3.23
Over 1.5 in 1st half 32.0% 31.0% 3.23
Over 2.5 in 1st half 10.9% 10.6% 9.40
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 79.6% 80.0% 1.25
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 78.1% 80.0% 1.25
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 51.8% 53.0% 1.89
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 48.2% 47.0% 2.13
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 21.9% 20.0% 4.99
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 20.4% 20.0% 5.00
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to score in both halves 78.6% 78.4% 1.28
Wolfsberger not to score in both halves 73.2% 74.3% 1.35
Wolfsberger to score in both halves 26.8% 25.7% 3.89
Rapid Vienna to score in both halves 21.4% 21.6% 4.64
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 56.8% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Only Wolfsberger scores 20.4% 22.3% 22.6% 0.99× 4.48
Only Rapid Vienna scores 15.3% 16.1% 14.8% 1.09× 6.21
Neither team scores 7.5% 7.2% 7.4% 0.97× 13.94
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Exactly 2 goals 25.3% 25.0% 25.0% 1.00× 4.01
Exactly 3 goals 22.2% 22.6% 25.0% 0.91× 4.42
Exactly 4 goals 15.3% 17.4% 15.0% 1.16× 5.73
Exactly 1 goals 15.2% 17.4% 15.0% 1.16× 5.73
Exactly 5 goals 8.4% 7.6% 7.1% 1.07× 13.13
Exactly 0 goals 7.5% 7.6% 7.4% 1.03× 13.13
6 or more goals 6.1% 7.6% 6.7% 1.14× 13.14
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 48.2% 44.8% 2.23
1 goal in 2nd half 31.4% 33.8% 2.96
No goals in 2nd half 20.4% 23.4% 4.28
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to win both halves 92.6% 94.0% 1.06
Wolfsberger not to win both halves 88.7% 88.1% 1.14
Wolfsberger to win both halves 11.3% 11.9% 8.41
Rapid Vienna to win both halves 7.4% 6.0% 16.57
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolfsberger to win either half 55.3% 59.3% 1.69
Rapid Vienna to win neither half 53.3% 54.8% 1.83
Rapid Vienna to win either half 46.7% 45.2% 2.21
Wolfsberger to win neither half 44.7% 40.7% 2.46
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Rapid Vienna not to win to nil 84.7% 83.0% 85.2% 0.97× 1.21
Wolfsberger not to win to nil 79.6% 78.0% 77.4% 1.01× 1.28
Wolfsberger to win to nil 20.4% 22.0% 22.6% 0.97× 4.55
Rapid Vienna to win to nil 15.3% 17.0% 14.8% 1.15× 5.88
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 27.7% 27.8% 25.2% 1.10× 3.59
Wolfsberger by 1 20.4% 24.1% 20.7% 1.17× 4.14
Rapid Vienna by 1 17.5% 16.9% 16.4% 1.03× 5.90
Wolfsberger by 2 12.5% 11.8% 14.0% 0.84× 8.46
Rapid Vienna by 2 9.3% 7.2% 10.2% 0.71× 13.80
Wolfsberger by 3+ 7.9% 7.2% 9.3% 0.78× 13.80
Rapid Vienna by 3+ 4.8% 2.7% 5.2% 0.52× 36.92
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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