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Wolverhampton Wanderers v West Bromwich Albion — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 20 September 2026 · ENG-Championship · 2627

Championship results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

ai-blend v1.0 daily
Wolverhampton Wanderers win
51.5%
model 52.3%
Draw
21.3%
model 22.7%
West Bromwich Albion win
27.3%
model 25.1%

Calibrated: the model's number corrected by how often calls at that confidence have landed, out of sample (372 settled matches in the thinnest band), then normalised. The smaller figure is the raw model output.

Top 5 scorelines

  1. 1-1 9.4%
  2. 2-1 9.1%
  3. 2-2 6.7%
  4. 3-1 6.5%
  5. 1-2 6.2%

Goals

Over 2.570.2% Under 2.529.8%
BTTS yes69.1% BTTS no30.9%
Wolverhampton Wanderers 1+88.4% Wolverhampton Wanderers 2+63.5%
West Bromwich Albion 1+77.1% West Bromwich Albion 2+43.3%

Expected goals 2.16 – 1.47. Every market above is read off one scoreline distribution.

Footing

AI confidence
46/100
Data quality
75/100
Model agreement
97%
★ Best pick
Over 3 (void on exactly 3)
Over/Under (whole line) · usually 32%
62.8% fair odds 1.59
strong signal · 684 settled matches behind the band
★ Most likely to land
West Bromwich Albion (0:3)
Handicap 0:3 · usually 92%
83.5% fair odds 1.20
moderate signal · 235 settled matches behind the band

Positive factors

  • Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Risk factors

  • No specific risk flags beyond the usual variance of a football match.
Why the model thinks this

The price

Wolverhampton Wanderers have an estimated 51.5% win probability, against 27.3% for West Bromwich Albion and 21.3% for the draw. Expected goals from the ensemble are 2.16 for Wolverhampton Wanderers and 1.47 for West Bromwich Albion.

Why Wolverhampton Wanderers

Nothing in the data singles out Wolverhampton Wanderers.

Why the draw is live

The draw sits at 21.3%. Draws run at 28% in this competition.

Why West Bromwich Albion can win

West Bromwich Albion carry the stronger rating, 1442 Elo against 1409.

Key players

Wolverhampton Wanderers's leading contributors by expected goal involvements a match: Adam Armstrong (0.34), Tolu Arokodare (0.24), Mateus Mané (0.19).

Availability

1 of Wolverhampton Wanderers's top three contributors did not start their last match. No lineup on record for West Bromwich Albion, so availability is unknown.

The matchup, as far as the data reaches

Wolverhampton Wanderers: 50% possession, 17.0 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.54 xG a match from set pieces. West Bromwich Albion: 57% possession, 11.8 shots a match, 12.2 faced, 0.30 xG a match from set pieces.

Inputs last refreshed: matches 2026-09-06 07:42 · team_stats 2026-09-06 06:08 · availability 2026-09-06 07:53 · prediction 2026-09-05 18:39 ·

Wolverhampton Wanderers are the model's most likely outcome at 51.5%. The likeliest scoreline is 1-1 at 9.4%. Confidence 46/100, data quality 75/100. These are probabilities, not certainties: the less likely outcome happens as often as its number says.

Written from the numbers the model saw, not by a language model; nothing here is a statistic the snapshot does not hold. How predictions work.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the chances say

Wolverhampton Wanderers are finishing below their chances — 3.7 goals fewer than expected across 10 matches, despite creating the openings. They are also conceding fewer than expected — 2.3 goals saved beyond what the chances suggest.

WWDLLLDLDD last 10 scored 9 from 12.7 xG conceded 17 from 19.3 xG

Finishing swings far more than chance creation, so a gap this size usually narrows. Over ten matches it is suggestive, not settled — a genuinely elite finisher beats expected goals for years.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
ai-blend 2.16–1.47 0% 0% 0%
dc-xg 2.41–1.56 2-1 9% 76% 73%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 55.6% 54.0% 43.5% 1.24× 1.85
West Bromwich Albion to win 23.5% 24.5% 29.0% 0.84× 4.09
Draw 20.9% 24.4% 27.6% 0.89× 4.09
1X2 & GG/NG 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & both teams score 37.3% 33.2% 20.2% 1.64× 3.02
Wolverhampton Wanderers & not both score 18.3% 17.9% 23.4% 0.77× 5.58
Draw & both teams score 18.2% 17.9% 20.4% 0.88× 5.58
West Bromwich Albion & both teams score 17.3% 17.9% 13.8% 1.30× 5.58
West Bromwich Albion & not both score 6.3% 8.4% 15.3% 0.55× 11.94
Draw & not both score 2.7% 4.9% 7.3% 0.66× 20.60
1X2 & Over/Under 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 1.5 51.9% 48.7% 32.5% 1.50× 2.05
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 2.5 46.4% 45.2% 26.4% 1.71× 2.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers & over 3.5 33.4% 30.9% 11.1% 2.79× 3.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 3.5 22.2% 21.7% 32.5% 0.67× 4.62
West Bromwich Albion & over 1.5 21.4% 21.7% 21.4% 1.01× 4.62
West Bromwich Albion & over 2.5 19.1% 18.0% 16.2% 1.11× 5.56
Draw & over 1.5 18.2% 18.0% 20.4% 0.88× 5.56
West Bromwich Albion & over 3.5 12.4% 12.9% 6.8% 1.90× 7.77
Draw & under 2.5 10.7% 12.9% 21.6% 0.59× 7.77
Draw & under 3.5 10.7% 12.9% 21.6% 0.59× 7.77
West Bromwich Albion & under 3.5 11.2% 12.9% 22.3% 0.58× 7.77
Draw & over 2.5 10.2% 12.9% 6.0% 2.14× 7.77
Draw & over 3.5 10.2% 12.9% 6.0% 2.14× 7.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 2.5 9.2% 7.9% 17.2% 0.46× 12.69
West Bromwich Albion & under 2.5 4.4% 4.8% 13.0% 0.37× 20.93
Wolverhampton Wanderers & under 1.5 3.7% 4.8% 11.1% 0.43× 20.94
Draw & under 1.5 2.7% 4.8% 7.3% 0.65× 20.94
West Bromwich Albion & under 1.5 2.1% 4.8% 7.7% 0.62× 20.95
1X2 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1UP) 73.1% 75.9% 1.32
West Bromwich Albion (1UP) 47.2% 43.2% 2.31
1X2 2UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2UP) 55.6% 54.9% 1.82
West Bromwich Albion (2UP) 23.5% 23.7% 4.21
2nd half 1X2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win 2nd half 46.6% 45.4% 2.20
2nd half drawn 28.0% 26.3% 3.80
West Bromwich Albion to win 2nd half 25.3% 26.2% 3.82
Asian handicap 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (+2.5) 80.6% 82.4% 91.9% 0.90× 1.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers (+0.5) 76.5% 78.4% 71.0% 1.11× 1.28
West Bromwich Albion (+1.5) 64.1% 62.9% 80.7% 0.78× 1.59
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-0.5) 55.6% 57.0% 43.5% 1.31× 1.76
West Bromwich Albion (+0.5) 44.4% 43.0% 56.5% 0.76× 2.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-1.5) 35.9% 37.1% 19.3% 1.92× 2.70
West Bromwich Albion (-0.5) 23.5% 21.6% 29.0% 0.74× 4.64
Wolverhampton Wanderers (-2.5) 19.4% 17.6% 8.1% 2.18× 5.68
Away clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to concede 91.0% 91.7% 77.5% 1.18× 1.09
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet 9.0% 8.3% 22.5% 0.37× 12.09
Away clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to concede in 1st half 64.5% 65.1% 1.54
West Bromwich Albion clean sheet in 1st half 35.5% 34.9% 2.86
Away corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 6.5 corners 85.7% 85.2% 1.17
West Bromwich Albion under 5.5 corners 77.5% 75.9% 1.32
West Bromwich Albion under 4.5 corners 66.2% 67.5% 1.48
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 corners 65.1% 67.5% 1.48
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 corners 51.7% 53.1% 1.88
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 corners 48.4% 46.9% 2.13
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 corners 34.9% 32.5% 3.08
West Bromwich Albion over 4.5 corners 33.8% 32.5% 3.08
West Bromwich Albion over 5.5 corners 22.5% 24.1% 4.16
West Bromwich Albion over 6.5 corners 14.3% 14.8% 6.75
Away goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 3.5 goals 92.7% 92.3% 97.8% 0.94× 1.08
West Bromwich Albion under 2.5 goals 79.3% 76.3% 90.6% 0.84× 1.31
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 goals 79.0% 76.2% 69.4% 1.10× 1.31
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 goals 53.8% 53.7% 69.9% 0.77× 1.86
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 goals 46.2% 46.3% 30.1% 1.54× 2.16
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 goals 21.0% 23.8% 30.6% 0.78× 4.21
West Bromwich Albion over 2.5 goals 20.7% 23.7% 9.5% 2.51× 4.21
West Bromwich Albion over 3.5 goals 7.3% 7.7% 2.2% 3.43× 13.04
Away goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion under 1.5 in 1st half 87.0% 89.0% 1.12
West Bromwich Albion under 0.5 in 1st half 53.6% 56.2% 1.78
West Bromwich Albion over 0.5 in 1st half 46.4% 43.8% 2.28
West Bromwich Albion over 1.5 in 1st half 13.0% 11.0% 9.11
Away no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (away no bet) 72.7% 68.6% 61.2% 1.12× 1.46
Draw (away no bet) 27.3% 31.4% 38.8% 0.81× 3.18
Away Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion even goals 52.2% 52.8% 52.6% 1.00× 1.89
West Bromwich Albion odd goals 47.8% 47.2% 47.4% 1.00× 2.12
Both halves O1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves over 1.5 66.8% 71.4% 1.40
Both halves over 1.5 goals 33.2% 28.6% 3.50
Both halves U1.5 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both halves under 1.5 83.8% 78.0% 1.28
Both halves under 1.5 goals 16.2% 22.0% 4.55
Consecutive goals 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to score 2+ in a row 75.3% 75.2% 1.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 2+ in a row 58.0% 55.2% 1.81
Either team to score 3+ in a row 36.3% 36.4% 2.74
West Bromwich Albion to score 2+ in a row 31.8% 29.0% 3.45
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ in a row 28.0% 25.1% 3.99
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+ in a row 9.4% 5.7% 17.53
Corner handicap 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion corners (+3.5) 88.3% 84.5% 1.18
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+3.5) 82.5% 79.7% 1.25
West Bromwich Albion corners (+2.5) 81.6% 79.7% 1.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+2.5) 74.1% 70.7% 1.41
West Bromwich Albion corners (+1.5) 72.5% 70.7% 1.41
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (+1.5) 63.5% 61.9% 1.62
West Bromwich Albion corners (-1.5) 36.5% 38.1% 2.63
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-1.5) 27.5% 29.3% 3.42
West Bromwich Albion corners (-2.5) 25.9% 29.3% 3.42
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-2.5) 18.4% 20.3% 4.94
West Bromwich Albion corners (-3.5) 17.5% 20.3% 4.94
Wolverhampton Wanderers corners (-3.5) 11.7% 15.5% 6.46
Corner range 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
0-8 corners 68.4% 55.2% 1.81
9-11 corners 20.3% 25.6% 3.91
12+ corners 11.3% 21.0% 4.75
Corners O/U 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 12.5 corners 92.4% 83.3% 1.20
Under 11.5 corners 88.7% 83.0% 1.21
Under 10.5 corners 83.6% 80.8% 1.24
Under 9.5 corners 76.9% 76.5% 1.31
Under 8.5 corners 68.4% 67.7% 1.48
Under 7.5 corners 58.2% 57.8% 1.73
Over 7.5 corners 41.8% 42.2% 2.37
Over 8.5 corners 31.6% 32.3% 3.10
Over 9.5 corners 23.1% 23.5% 4.26
Over 10.5 corners 16.4% 19.2% 5.20
Over 11.5 corners 11.3% 17.0% 5.88
Over 12.5 corners 7.6% 16.7% 6.00
Corners Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of corners 50.0% 50.2% 1.99
Even number of corners 50.0% 49.8% 2.01
Correct score 26
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Any other score 11.6% 11.5% 2.9% 3.92× 8.73
2-1 8.6% 7.4% 11.4% 0.65× 13.48
3-1 6.9% 7.4% 4.3% 1.73× 13.48
1-1 7.9% 7.4% 14.4% 0.51× 13.48
2-2 6.7% 7.4% 5.2% 1.42× 13.48
3-2 5.4% 7.4% 1.8% 4.11× 13.48
1-2 5.5% 7.4% 7.9% 0.94× 13.48
2-0 5.5% 7.4% 6.2% 1.20× 13.48
3-3 2.8% 1.7% 0.9% 1.99× 58.47
3-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.3% 6.63× 58.48
4-0 2.7% 1.7% 1.7% 1.00× 58.47
4-1 4.1% 1.7% 0.9% 1.99× 58.47
4-2 3.2% 1.7% 0.8% 2.21× 58.47
4-3 1.7% 1.7% 0.2% 9.95× 58.48
4-4 0.7% 1.7% 0.1% 19.90× 58.49
0-0 2.7% 1.7% 7.3% 0.23× 58.47
0-1 2.1% 1.7% 7.7% 0.22× 58.48
0-2 2.3% 1.7% 5.3% 0.32× 58.48
0-3 1.2% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.48
0-4 0.5% 1.7% 0.4% 3.98× 58.49
1-0 3.7% 1.7% 11.1% 0.15× 58.47
1-3 2.9% 1.7% 3.1% 0.55× 58.47
1-4 1.1% 1.7% 0.6% 2.84× 58.48
2-3 3.5% 1.7% 1.6% 1.05× 58.47
2-4 1.4% 1.7% 0.3% 6.63× 58.48
3-0 4.4% 1.7% 4.0% 0.42× 58.46
DNB half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT (DNB) 67.4% 73.9% 1.35
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT (DNB) 32.6% 26.1% 3.83
Double chance 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or West Bromwich Albion (12) 79.1% 75.6% 72.4% 1.04× 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1X) 76.5% 75.5% 71.0% 1.06× 1.32
West Bromwich Albion or draw (X2) 44.4% 46.0% 56.5% 0.81× 2.18
Double chance 1HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw at HT 78.4% 79.9% 1.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers or West Bromwich Albion at HT 66.3% 66.4% 1.51
West Bromwich Albion or draw at HT 55.4% 56.8% 1.76
Double chance 1UP 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw (1UP) 76.5% 83.9% 1.19
West Bromwich Albion or draw (1UP) 47.2% 52.7% 1.90
Double chance 2HT 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers or draw in 2nd half 74.7% 73.8% 1.36
Wolverhampton Wanderers or West Bromwich Albion in 2nd half 72.0% 73.7% 1.36
West Bromwich Albion or draw in 2nd half 53.4% 54.6% 1.83
Draw either half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half drawn 48.7% 50.2% 1.99
A half drawn 51.3% 49.8% 2.01
Draw no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (DNB) 70.3% 71.3% 60.0% 1.19× 1.40
West Bromwich Albion (DNB) 29.7% 28.7% 40.0% 0.72× 3.49
First goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score first 59.0% 62.0% 1.61
West Bromwich Albion to score first 38.2% 32.9% 3.04
No goal scored 2.7% 4.3% 23.49
GG/NG 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams to score 72.7% 62.4% 54.2% 1.15× 1.60
Not both teams to score 27.3% 37.6% 45.8% 0.82× 2.66
GG/NG & Over/Under 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both score & over 2.5 64.8% 50.3% 39.9% 1.26× 1.99
Not both score & under 2.5 16.3% 21.7% 37.3% 0.58× 4.61
Not both score & over 2.5 10.9% 12.3% 8.6% 1.44× 8.11
Both score & under 2.5 7.9% 8.4% 14.4% 0.58× 11.96
GG/NG 2+ 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both teams to score 2+ 67.9% 70.7% 89.0% 0.79× 1.41
Both teams to score 2+ 32.1% 29.3% 11.0% 2.66× 3.42
GG/NG 2nd half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score in 2nd half 54.3% 54.8% 1.82
Both teams to score in 2nd half 45.7% 45.2% 2.21
GG/NG by half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Neither half both score 37.8% 44.5% 2.25
Both score 2nd half only 32.1% 26.6% 3.76
Both score 1st half only 16.5% 15.6% 6.41
Both score in both halves 13.6% 10.8% 9.29
GG/NG half time 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Not both to score by HT 69.9% 71.2% 1.41
Both teams to score by HT 30.1% 28.8% 3.47
Goal in both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
A goal in each half 73.3% 73.2% 1.37
A half without a goal 26.7% 26.8% 3.73
Goal range 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
4-6 goals 45.3% 47.4% 22.4% 2.11× 2.11
2-3 goals 35.4% 35.0% 50.4% 0.69× 2.85
7+ goals 10.7% 16.9% 1.4% 12.29× 5.92
0-1 goals 8.6% 7.6% 25.9% 0.29× 13.14
Goals away 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 1 32.8% 33.8% 39.4% 0.86× 2.96
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 2 25.6% 27.4% 20.7% 1.32× 3.65
West Bromwich Albion to score exactly 0 21.0% 22.4% 30.6% 0.73× 4.47
West Bromwich Albion to score 3+ 20.7% 22.4% 9.5% 2.37× 4.47
Goals home 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score 3+ 43.2% 34.9% 16.2% 2.16× 2.86
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 2 26.1% 26.5% 24.6% 1.08× 3.77
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 1 21.7% 23.2% 36.9% 0.63× 4.30
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score exactly 0 9.0% 10.3% 22.5% 0.46× 9.70
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers leading at HT 44.6% 43.2% 2.32
Draw at HT 33.7% 33.6% 2.97
West Bromwich Albion leading at HT 21.6% 20.1% 4.98
Handicap 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 2 44.4% 42.8% 2.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: 1 35.9% 37.3% 2.68
Wolverhampton Wanderers -1: X 19.7% 17.5% 5.71
Handicap 0:1 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:1) 44.4% 42.7% 56.5% 0.76× 2.34
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:1) 35.9% 37.2% 19.3% 1.93× 2.69
Draw (0:1) 19.7% 17.8% 24.2% 0.73× 5.62
Handicap 0:2 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:2) 64.1% 67.4% 80.7% 0.84× 1.48
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:2) 19.4% 15.3% 8.1% 1.89× 6.54
Draw (0:2) 16.5% 15.3% 11.3% 1.35× 6.55
Handicap 0:3 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:3) 80.6% 85.1% 91.9% 0.93× 1.18
Draw (0:3) 10.5% 10.0% 4.8% 2.07× 10.03
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:3) 8.9% 5.8% 3.4% 1.74× 17.13
Handicap 0:4 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (0:4) 91.1% 94.6% 96.6% 0.98× 1.06
Draw (0:4) 5.4% 4.6% 2.4% 1.92× 21.66
Wolverhampton Wanderers (0:4) 3.5% 1.2% 1.0% 1.16× 83.27
Handicap 1:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (1:0) 76.5% 78.4% 71.0% 1.10× 1.28
Draw (1:0) 12.5% 12.8% 17.3% 0.74× 7.81
West Bromwich Albion (1:0) 11.1% 12.8% 11.9% 1.08× 7.81
Handicap 2:0 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers (2:0) 88.9% 88.4% 88.1% 1.00× 1.13
Draw (2:0) 6.9% 6.5% 8.7% 0.74× 15.49
West Bromwich Albion (2:0) 4.1% 2.3% 3.3% 0.69× 44.11
Highest scoring half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 51.8% 50.2% 1.99
1st half highest scoring 27.1% 26.5% 3.77
Halves equal 21.1% 24.1% 4.16
Home clean sheet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede 79.0% 76.0% 69.4% 1.09× 1.32
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet 21.0% 24.0% 30.6% 0.79× 4.17
Home clean sheet 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers clean sheet in 1st half 53.6% 56.2% 1.78
Wolverhampton Wanderers to concede in 1st half 46.4% 43.8% 2.28
Home corners O/U 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 6.5 corners 89.9% 86.3% 1.16
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 5.5 corners 83.1% 80.9% 1.24
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 4.5 corners 72.9% 71.9% 1.39
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 corners 58.8% 57.5% 1.74
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 corners 58.8% 57.5% 1.74
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 corners 41.3% 42.5% 2.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 corners 41.2% 42.5% 2.35
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 4.5 corners 27.1% 28.1% 3.56
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 5.5 corners 16.9% 19.1% 5.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 6.5 corners 10.1% 13.7% 7.29
Home goals O/U 8
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 goals 91.0% 92.2% 77.5% 1.19× 1.08
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 3.5 goals 77.7% 77.7% 94.8% 0.82× 1.29
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 goals 69.3% 67.9% 40.6% 1.67× 1.47
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 2.5 goals 56.8% 58.8% 83.8% 0.70× 1.70
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 2.5 goals 43.2% 41.2% 16.2% 2.55× 2.43
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 goals 30.7% 32.1% 59.4% 0.54× 3.11
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 3.5 goals 22.3% 22.3% 5.2% 4.32× 4.49
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 goals 9.0% 7.8% 22.5% 0.34× 12.89
Home goals O/U 1HT 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 1.5 in 1st half 72.3% 79.8% 1.25
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 0.5 in 1st half 64.5% 64.8% 1.54
Wolverhampton Wanderers under 0.5 in 1st half 35.5% 35.2% 2.84
Wolverhampton Wanderers over 1.5 in 1st half 27.7% 20.2% 4.96
Home no bet 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion (home no bet) 53.0% 51.6% 51.3% 1.01× 1.94
Draw (home no bet) 47.0% 48.4% 48.7% 0.99× 2.07
Home Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers even goals 50.4% 50.6% 50.5% 1.00× 1.98
Wolverhampton Wanderers odd goals 49.6% 49.4% 49.5% 1.00× 2.03
HT correct score 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
HT 1-0 19.5% 18.8% 5.33
HT 0-0 19.2% 18.8% 5.33
HT 1-1 12.4% 10.9% 9.15
HT 0-1 11.7% 10.9% 9.16
Any other HT score 11.0% 10.9% 9.17
HT 2-0 10.2% 10.9% 9.18
HT 2-1 6.4% 7.1% 14.06
HT 1-2 3.8% 2.3% 43.33
HT 0-2 3.7% 2.3% 43.34
HT 2-2 2.0% 2.3% 43.46
HT/FT 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 36.3% 40.8% 2.45
Draw at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 15.2% 16.7% 5.98
West Bromwich Albion at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT 12.8% 12.7% 7.89
Draw at HT / Draw at FT 10.4% 12.7% 7.90
Draw at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT 8.1% 6.0% 16.65
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / Draw at FT 5.6% 6.0% 16.72
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Draw at FT 4.8% 3.5% 28.77
West Bromwich Albion at HT / Wolverhampton Wanderers at FT 4.0% 3.5% 28.81
Wolverhampton Wanderers at HT / West Bromwich Albion at FT 2.7% 3.5% 28.86
Last goal 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score last 59.1% 56.6% 1.77
West Bromwich Albion to score last 38.2% 38.6% 2.59
No goal scored 2.7% 4.3% 23.49
Lead at any time 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Either team to lead by 1 at any time 97.3% 95.7% 1.05
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 1 at any time 73.1% 74.3% 1.35
Either team to lead by 2 at any time 64.1% 61.4% 1.63
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 1 at any time 47.2% 44.0% 2.27
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 2 at any time 45.8% 44.0% 2.27
Either team to lead by 3 at any time 30.7% 29.3% 3.41
Wolverhampton Wanderers to lead by 3 at any time 24.1% 19.6% 5.09
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 2 at any time 19.2% 15.0% 6.69
West Bromwich Albion to lead by 3 at any time 6.6% 6.6% 15.10
Most corners 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion most corners 48.7% 47.0% 2.13
Wolverhampton Wanderers most corners 38.8% 39.4% 2.54
Corners level 12.5% 10.4% 9.61
Multi goal 15
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2-6 goals 80.8% 83.5% 72.8% 1.15× 1.20
1-5 goals 76.3% 78.6% 88.8% 0.89× 1.27
2-5 goals 70.5% 72.4% 70.2% 1.03× 1.38
3-6 goals 65.0% 68.9% 47.1% 1.46× 1.45
1-4 goals 60.8% 63.4% 83.4% 0.76× 1.58
2-4 goals 55.0% 53.2% 64.8% 0.82× 1.88
3-5 goals 54.8% 53.2% 44.5% 1.20× 1.88
4-6 goals 45.3% 48.7% 22.4% 2.17× 2.06
1-3 goals 41.2% 43.6% 69.1% 0.63× 2.30
3-4 goals 39.2% 39.2% 39.1% 1.00× 2.55
2-3 goals 35.4% 39.1% 50.4% 0.78× 2.56
4-5 goals 35.1% 39.1% 19.8% 1.97× 2.56
5-6 goals 25.8% 30.2% 8.1% 3.74× 3.31
1-2 goals 21.5% 24.5% 44.4% 0.55× 4.09
7+ goals 10.7% 14.9% 1.4% 10.82× 6.73
Never down 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers never behind 50.0% 61.7% 1.62
West Bromwich Albion never behind 24.2% 24.5% 4.08
Odd/Even 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Odd number of goals 48.3% 50.8% 49.4% 1.03× 1.97
Even number of goals 51.7% 49.2% 50.6% 0.97× 2.03
Odd/Even 1HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 1st half 52.1% 51.7% 1.94
Odd goals in 1st half 47.9% 48.3% 2.07
Odd/Even 2HT 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Even goals in 2nd half 51.1% 52.0% 1.92
Odd goals in 2nd half 48.9% 48.0% 2.09
Over/Under 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 goals 97.3% 95.5% 92.7% 1.03× 1.05
Over 1.5 goals 91.4% 92.3% 74.1% 1.25× 1.08
Under 5.5 goals 79.0% 77.4% 96.0% 0.81× 1.29
Over 2.5 goals 75.7% 77.3% 48.4% 1.60× 1.29
Under 4.5 goals 63.5% 61.8% 90.6% 0.68× 1.62
Over 3.5 goals 56.0% 58.8% 23.7% 2.48× 1.70
Under 3.5 goals 44.0% 41.2% 76.3% 0.54× 2.43
Over 4.5 goals 36.5% 38.2% 9.4% 4.08× 2.62
Under 2.5 goals 24.3% 22.7% 51.6% 0.44× 4.41
Over 5.5 goals 21.0% 22.6% 4.0% 5.73× 4.42
Under 1.5 goals 8.6% 7.7% 25.9% 0.30× 12.92
Under 0.5 goals 2.7% 4.5% 7.3% 0.62× 22.22
Over/Under (whole line) 10
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 2 (void on exactly 2) 89.9% 86.8% 65.1% 1.33× 1.15
Under 6 (void on exactly 6) 88.1% 86.7% 98.6% 0.88× 1.15
Under 5 (void on exactly 5) 75.2% 75.9% 95.8% 0.79× 1.32
Over 3 (void on exactly 3) 69.8% 67.4% 31.5% 2.14× 1.48
Under 4 (void on exactly 4) 54.7% 51.8% 89.1% 0.58× 1.93
Over 4 (void on exactly 4) 45.4% 48.2% 10.9% 4.40× 2.08
Under 3 (void on exactly 3) 30.2% 32.6% 68.5% 0.48× 3.07
Over 5 (void on exactly 5) 24.8% 24.1% 4.2% 5.77× 4.15
Over 6 (void on exactly 6) 11.9% 13.3% 1.4% 9.39× 7.55
Under 2 (void on exactly 2) 10.1% 13.2% 34.9% 0.38× 7.55
Over/Under 1HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 1st half 80.8% 86.2% 1.16
Under 2.5 in 1st half 76.8% 78.8% 1.27
Under 1.5 in 1st half 50.4% 56.3% 1.78
Over 1.5 in 1st half 49.6% 43.7% 2.29
Over 2.5 in 1st half 23.2% 21.2% 4.71
Under 0.5 in 1st half 19.2% 13.8% 7.22
Over/Under 2HT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 0.5 in 2nd half 89.8% 85.5% 1.17
Over 1.5 in 2nd half 67.4% 67.5% 1.48
Under 2.5 in 2nd half 59.4% 54.9% 1.82
Over 2.5 in 2nd half 40.6% 45.1% 2.22
Under 1.5 in 2nd half 32.6% 32.5% 3.08
Under 0.5 in 2nd half 10.2% 14.5% 6.89
Score both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to score in both halves 71.8% 73.8% 1.36
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to score in both halves 51.8% 55.6% 1.80
Wolverhampton Wanderers to score in both halves 48.2% 44.4% 2.25
West Bromwich Albion to score in both halves 28.2% 26.2% 3.81
Teams to score 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Both teams score 72.7% 66.4% 54.2% 1.23× 1.51
Only Wolverhampton Wanderers scores 18.3% 16.1% 23.4% 0.69× 6.22
Only West Bromwich Albion scores 6.3% 7.2% 15.3% 0.47× 13.92
Neither team scores 2.7% 4.6% 7.3% 0.63× 21.87
Total goals 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
6 or more goals 21.0% 22.6% 4.0% 5.72× 4.42
Exactly 3 goals 19.7% 17.4% 24.7% 0.70× 5.74
Exactly 4 goals 19.5% 17.4% 14.4% 1.21× 5.74
Exactly 2 goals 15.7% 17.4% 25.8% 0.68× 5.74
Exactly 5 goals 15.5% 17.4% 5.5% 3.17× 5.74
Exactly 1 goals 5.8% 7.6% 18.7% 0.41× 13.09
Exactly 0 goals 2.7% 4.4% 7.3% 0.60× 22.68
Total goals 2nd half 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2+ goals in 2nd half 67.4% 59.3% 1.69
1 goal in 2nd half 22.4% 23.1% 4.33
No goals in 2nd half 10.2% 14.3% 6.99
Win both halves 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to win both halves 94.4% 94.0% 1.06
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win both halves 79.0% 75.4% 1.33
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win both halves 21.0% 24.6% 4.07
West Bromwich Albion to win both halves 5.6% 6.0% 16.66
Win either half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win either half 70.3% 72.8% 1.37
West Bromwich Albion to win neither half 58.6% 59.5% 1.68
West Bromwich Albion to win either half 41.4% 40.5% 2.47
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win neither half 29.7% 27.2% 3.67
Win to nil 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
West Bromwich Albion not to win to nil 93.7% 92.1% 84.7% 1.09× 1.09
Wolverhampton Wanderers not to win to nil 81.7% 83.0% 76.6% 1.08× 1.21
Wolverhampton Wanderers to win to nil 18.3% 17.0% 23.4% 0.73× 5.89
West Bromwich Albion to win to nil 6.3% 7.9% 15.3% 0.52× 12.59
Winning margin 7
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Draw 20.9% 24.1% 27.6% 0.88× 4.14
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 1 19.7% 16.9% 24.2% 0.70× 5.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 3+ 19.4% 16.9% 8.1% 2.10× 5.91
Wolverhampton Wanderers by 2 16.5% 16.9% 11.3% 1.49× 5.91
West Bromwich Albion by 1 12.5% 11.8% 17.3% 0.68× 8.48
West Bromwich Albion by 2 6.9% 7.3% 8.7% 0.84× 13.78
West Bromwich Albion by 3+ 4.1% 2.7% 3.3% 0.83× 36.95
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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