Air Force Falcons v Denver Pioneers — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Wednesday 2 December 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Air Force Falcons win
21.7%
Draw
0.0%
Denver Pioneers win
78.3%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 72.86–80.97 | 73-81 0% | 48% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers to score 100+ | 2.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 282.83 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 100+ | 0.3% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 283.29 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.35 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Denver Pioneers to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.33 |
| Denver Pioneers to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Denver Pioneers to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.34 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers to win H1 | 65.5% | 68.3% | 38.2% | 1.79× | 1.47 |
| Denver Pioneers to win H1 | 65.4% | 68.3% | 38.2% | 1.79× | 1.47 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H1 | 30.4% | 33.1% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.02 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H1 | 30.5% | 33.1% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 85.5 | 88.5% | 87.7% | 92.9% | 0.94× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 85.5% | 87.7% | 74.9% | 1.17× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 81.5 | 80.2% | 82.5% | 87.2% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 81.5 | 79.5% | 77.4% | 87.2% | 0.89× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 75.9% | 77.4% | 61.9% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 75.2% | 77.4% | 61.9% | 1.25× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 71.2% | 73.5% | 80.7% | 0.91× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 78.5 | 70.6% | 73.5% | 80.7% | 0.91× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 50.7% | 1.33× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 65.5% | 67.4% | 50.7% | 1.33× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 64.2% | 62.7% | 75.5% | 0.83× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 63.8% | 62.7% | 75.5% | 0.83× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 58.6% | 58.2% | 43.5% | 1.34× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 58.4% | 58.2% | 43.5% | 1.34× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 56.8% | 58.2% | 69.6% | 0.84× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 69.6% | 0.84× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 52.9% | 52.6% | 66.6% | 0.79× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 52.8% | 52.6% | 66.6% | 0.79× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 51.0% | 52.6% | 36.7% | 1.44× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 50.9% | 52.6% | 36.7% | 1.44× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 49.0% | 47.4% | 63.3% | 0.75× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 49.1% | 47.4% | 63.3% | 0.75× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 47.1% | 47.4% | 33.4% | 1.42× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 47.2% | 47.4% | 33.4% | 1.42× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 43.2% | 41.8% | 30.4% | 1.37× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 43.5% | 41.8% | 30.4% | 1.37× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 41.6% | 41.8% | 56.5% | 0.74× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 41.4% | 41.8% | 56.5% | 0.74× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 35.8% | 37.3% | 24.5% | 1.52× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 36.2% | 37.3% | 24.5% | 1.52× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 34.5% | 32.6% | 49.3% | 0.66× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 49.3% | 0.66× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 29.4% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 1.37× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 78.5 | 28.8% | 26.5% | 19.3% | 1.37× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 24.8% | 22.6% | 38.1% | 0.59× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 24.1% | 22.6% | 38.1% | 0.59× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 81.5 | 20.5% | 22.6% | 12.8% | 1.77× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 81.5 | 19.8% | 17.5% | 12.8% | 1.37× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 14.5% | 12.3% | 25.1% | 0.49× | 8.13 |
| H1 over 85.5 | 11.5% | 12.3% | 7.1% | 1.72× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers to win H2 | 66.7% | 62.8% | 38.9% | 1.61× | 1.59 |
| Denver Pioneers to win H2 | 66.7% | 62.8% | 38.5% | 1.63× | 1.59 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H2 | 29.4% | 31.3% | 57.5% | 0.54× | 3.19 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H2 | 29.4% | 31.3% | 56.9% | 0.55× | 3.19 |
| H2 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.36 |
| H2 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.36 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 93.5 | 86.5% | 85.2% | 88.2% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 84.8% | 81.8% | 74.8% | 1.09× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 89.5 | 77.9% | 75.8% | 85.1% | 0.89× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 89.5 | 77.2% | 75.8% | 81.8% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 75.6% | 75.8% | 60.4% | 1.26× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 74.9% | 72.2% | 63.1% | 1.14× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 86.5 | 68.9% | 66.4% | 79.3% | 0.84× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 86.5 | 68.4% | 66.4% | 75.7% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 50.3% | 1.32× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 65.8% | 66.4% | 53.4% | 1.24× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 62.2% | 61.6% | 74.1% | 0.83× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 61.9% | 61.6% | 70.5% | 0.87× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 59.3% | 57.3% | 43.6% | 1.32× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 59.1% | 57.3% | 47.0% | 1.22× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 55.1% | 57.3% | 68.9% | 0.83× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 55.0% | 52.4% | 65.3% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 37.1% | 1.41× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 65.8% | 0.80× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 40.8% | 1.28× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 62.2% | 0.84× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 62.9% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 34.2% | 1.39× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 59.2% | 0.80× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 37.8% | 1.26× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 45.0% | 47.6% | 34.7% | 1.37× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 44.9% | 42.7% | 31.1% | 1.37× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 40.7% | 42.7% | 56.4% | 0.76× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 40.9% | 42.7% | 53.0% | 0.81× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 38.1% | 38.4% | 29.5% | 1.30× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 37.8% | 38.4% | 25.9% | 1.48× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 49.7% | 0.68× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 34.2% | 33.6% | 46.6% | 0.72× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 31.1% | 33.6% | 20.7% | 1.62× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 31.6% | 33.6% | 24.3% | 1.39× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 25.1% | 27.8% | 36.9% | 0.75× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 24.4% | 24.2% | 39.6% | 0.61× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 22.8% | 24.2% | 18.2% | 1.33× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 22.1% | 24.2% | 14.9% | 1.62× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 15.2% | 18.2% | 25.2% | 0.72× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 93.5 | 13.5% | 14.8% | 11.8% | 1.25× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers leading at half time | 65.4% | 68.4% | 38.2% | 1.79× | 1.46 |
| Air Force Falcons leading at half time | 30.5% | 32.7% | 57.9% | 0.56× | 3.06 |
| Level at half time | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers +20.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 86.5% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Denver Pioneers +10.5 | 95.7% | 97.4% | 67.4% | 1.45× | 1.03 |
| Denver Pioneers +12.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 72.4% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Denver Pioneers +14.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 77.2% | 1.26× | 1.03 |
| Denver Pioneers +16.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 80.7% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Denver Pioneers +18.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 83.9% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Denver Pioneers +9.5 | 94.8% | 91.1% | 64.5% | 1.41× | 1.10 |
| Denver Pioneers +7.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 58.7% | 1.55× | 1.10 |
| Denver Pioneers +8.5 | 93.7% | 91.1% | 61.5% | 1.48× | 1.10 |
| Denver Pioneers +6.5 | 91.1% | 91.1% | 55.7% | 1.64× | 1.10 |
| Denver Pioneers +5.5 | 89.5% | 85.9% | 53.0% | 1.62× | 1.16 |
| Denver Pioneers +4.5 | 87.7% | 85.9% | 49.3% | 1.74× | 1.16 |
| Air Force Falcons +20.5 | 87.3% | 85.9% | 96.5% | 0.89× | 1.16 |
| Denver Pioneers +3.5 | 85.6% | 85.9% | 45.9% | 1.87× | 1.16 |
| Denver Pioneers +2.5 | 83.4% | 81.1% | 42.3% | 1.92× | 1.23 |
| Air Force Falcons +18.5 | 82.9% | 81.1% | 95.4% | 0.85× | 1.23 |
| Denver Pioneers +1.5 | 80.9% | 81.1% | 39.2% | 2.07× | 1.23 |
| Air Force Falcons +16.5 | 77.7% | 76.5% | 94.0% | 0.81× | 1.31 |
| Denver Pioneers −1.5 | 75.2% | 76.5% | 34.6% | 2.21× | 1.31 |
| Denver Pioneers −2.5 | 72.0% | 71.6% | 32.0% | 2.24× | 1.40 |
| Air Force Falcons +14.5 | 71.7% | 71.6% | 92.2% | 0.78× | 1.40 |
| Denver Pioneers −3.5 | 68.5% | 66.7% | 29.3% | 2.28× | 1.50 |
| Denver Pioneers −4.5 | 65.0% | 61.9% | 26.3% | 2.35× | 1.62 |
| Air Force Falcons +12.5 | 64.9% | 61.9% | 89.9% | 0.69× | 1.62 |
| Denver Pioneers −5.5 | 61.3% | 61.9% | 23.6% | 2.62× | 1.62 |
| Denver Pioneers −6.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 21.2% | 2.69× | 1.75 |
| Air Force Falcons +10.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 87.2% | 0.65× | 1.75 |
| Denver Pioneers −7.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 19.0% | 2.76× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons +9.5 | 53.9% | 52.4% | 85.3% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons +8.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 83.3% | 0.63× | 1.91 |
| Denver Pioneers −8.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 16.7% | 2.86× | 2.10 |
| Air Force Falcons +7.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 81.0% | 0.59× | 2.10 |
| Denver Pioneers −9.5 | 46.1% | 47.6% | 14.7% | 3.25× | 2.10 |
| Air Force Falcons +6.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 78.8% | 0.55× | 2.33 |
| Denver Pioneers −10.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 12.8% | 3.35× | 2.33 |
| Air Force Falcons +5.5 | 38.7% | 38.1% | 76.4% | 0.50× | 2.63 |
| Air Force Falcons +4.5 | 35.0% | 38.1% | 73.7% | 0.52× | 2.63 |
| Denver Pioneers −12.5 | 35.1% | 38.1% | 10.1% | 3.78× | 2.63 |
| Air Force Falcons +3.5 | 31.5% | 33.3% | 70.8% | 0.47× | 3.01 |
| Air Force Falcons +2.5 | 28.0% | 28.4% | 68.0% | 0.42× | 3.53 |
| Denver Pioneers −14.5 | 28.3% | 28.4% | 7.8% | 3.63× | 3.53 |
| Air Force Falcons +1.5 | 24.8% | 23.5% | 65.4% | 0.36× | 4.25 |
| Denver Pioneers −16.5 | 22.3% | 23.5% | 6.0% | 3.95× | 4.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −1.5 | 19.1% | 18.9% | 60.8% | 0.31× | 5.29 |
| Denver Pioneers −18.5 | 17.1% | 18.9% | 4.6% | 4.14× | 5.29 |
| Air Force Falcons −2.5 | 16.6% | 18.9% | 57.7% | 0.33× | 5.30 |
| Air Force Falcons −3.5 | 14.4% | 14.1% | 54.1% | 0.26× | 7.09 |
| Air Force Falcons −4.5 | 12.3% | 14.1% | 50.7% | 0.28× | 7.09 |
| Denver Pioneers −20.5 | 12.7% | 14.1% | 3.5% | 4.08× | 7.09 |
| Air Force Falcons −5.5 | 10.5% | 14.1% | 47.0% | 0.30× | 7.09 |
| Air Force Falcons −6.5 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 44.3% | 0.20× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −7.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 41.3% | 0.22× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −8.5 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 38.5% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −9.5 | 5.2% | 8.9% | 35.5% | 0.25× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −10.5 | 4.3% | 2.6% | 32.6% | 0.08× | 38.72 |
| Air Force Falcons −12.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 27.6% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Air Force Falcons −14.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 22.8% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Air Force Falcons −16.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 19.3% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| Air Force Falcons −18.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 16.1% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Air Force Falcons −20.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 13.5% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 78.7% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| H2 highest scoring | 80.2% | 71.5% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| H1 highest scoring | 19.8% | 28.5% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.51 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 21.3% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers at HT / Denver Pioneers at FT | 58.6% | 56.8% | 25.8% | 2.20× | 1.76 |
| Air Force Falcons at HT / Denver Pioneers at FT | 16.7% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 1.66× | 6.47 |
| Air Force Falcons at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT | 13.8% | 12.2% | 48.6% | 0.25× | 8.17 |
| Denver Pioneers at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT | 6.9% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 0.67× | 12.09 |
| Level at HT / Denver Pioneers at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers to win | 78.3% | 75.1% | 36.8% | 2.04× | 1.33 |
| Air Force Falcons to win | 21.7% | 24.9% | 63.2% | 0.39× | 4.02 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.4% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Air Force Falcons even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Denver Pioneers even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Air Force Falcons odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Denver Pioneers odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.6% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.3% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.65 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons under 83.5 | 86.5% | 83.9% | 73.5% | 1.14× | 1.19 |
| Denver Pioneers under 91.5 | 86.2% | 83.9% | 95.3% | 0.88× | 1.19 |
| Denver Pioneers over 71.5 | 84.2% | 80.7% | 48.2% | 1.68× | 1.24 |
| Air Force Falcons over 63.5 | 82.8% | 80.7% | 85.4% | 0.95× | 1.24 |
| Air Force Falcons under 80.5 | 78.7% | 75.1% | 64.9% | 1.16× | 1.33 |
| Denver Pioneers under 88.5 | 78.1% | 75.1% | 92.6% | 0.81× | 1.33 |
| Denver Pioneers over 74.5 | 75.5% | 75.1% | 38.3% | 1.96× | 1.33 |
| Air Force Falcons over 66.5 | 73.9% | 70.7% | 78.7% | 0.90× | 1.41 |
| Air Force Falcons under 78.5 | 72.3% | 70.7% | 58.4% | 1.21× | 1.41 |
| Denver Pioneers under 86.5 | 71.4% | 70.7% | 90.2% | 0.78× | 1.41 |
| Denver Pioneers over 76.5 | 68.5% | 66.4% | 32.1% | 2.07× | 1.51 |
| Air Force Falcons over 68.5 | 66.8% | 66.4% | 72.7% | 0.91× | 1.51 |
| Air Force Falcons under 76.5 | 65.1% | 66.4% | 52.3% | 1.27× | 1.51 |
| Denver Pioneers under 84.5 | 63.9% | 61.2% | 87.2% | 0.70× | 1.63 |
| Denver Pioneers over 78.5 | 60.7% | 61.2% | 26.3% | 2.33× | 1.63 |
| Air Force Falcons over 70.5 | 59.0% | 57.1% | 66.7% | 0.86× | 1.75 |
| Air Force Falcons under 74.5 | 57.2% | 57.1% | 45.9% | 1.24× | 1.75 |
| Denver Pioneers under 82.5 | 55.8% | 57.1% | 83.3% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| Denver Pioneers over 80.5 | 52.5% | 52.3% | 21.2% | 2.46× | 1.91 |
| Denver Pioneers under 81.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 81.2% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons under 73.5 | 53.2% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons over 72.5 | 50.9% | 52.3% | 60.8% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons under 72.5 | 49.1% | 47.7% | 39.2% | 1.22× | 2.09 |
| Denver Pioneers under 80.5 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 78.8% | 0.61× | 2.09 |
| Denver Pioneers over 81.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 18.8% | 2.54× | 2.09 |
| Air Force Falcons over 73.5 | 46.8% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Denver Pioneers over 82.5 | 44.2% | 42.9% | 16.7% | 2.56× | 2.33 |
| Air Force Falcons over 74.5 | 42.8% | 42.9% | 54.1% | 0.79× | 2.33 |
| Air Force Falcons under 70.5 | 41.0% | 42.9% | 33.3% | 1.29× | 2.33 |
| Denver Pioneers under 78.5 | 39.3% | 38.8% | 73.7% | 0.53× | 2.58 |
| Denver Pioneers over 84.5 | 36.1% | 38.8% | 12.8% | 3.03× | 2.58 |
| Air Force Falcons over 76.5 | 34.9% | 33.6% | 47.7% | 0.70× | 2.98 |
| Air Force Falcons under 68.5 | 33.2% | 33.6% | 27.3% | 1.23× | 2.98 |
| Denver Pioneers under 76.5 | 31.5% | 33.6% | 67.9% | 0.49× | 2.98 |
| Denver Pioneers over 86.5 | 28.6% | 29.3% | 9.8% | 2.99× | 3.42 |
| Air Force Falcons over 78.5 | 27.7% | 29.3% | 41.6% | 0.70× | 3.42 |
| Air Force Falcons under 66.5 | 26.1% | 29.3% | 21.3% | 1.37× | 3.42 |
| Denver Pioneers under 74.5 | 24.5% | 24.9% | 61.7% | 0.40× | 4.02 |
| Air Force Falcons over 80.5 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 35.1% | 0.71× | 4.02 |
| Denver Pioneers over 88.5 | 21.9% | 24.9% | 7.4% | 3.34× | 4.02 |
| Air Force Falcons under 63.5 | 17.2% | 19.3% | 14.6% | 1.32× | 5.18 |
| Denver Pioneers under 71.5 | 15.8% | 19.3% | 51.8% | 0.37× | 5.18 |
| Air Force Falcons over 83.5 | 13.5% | 16.1% | 26.5% | 0.61× | 6.21 |
| Denver Pioneers over 91.5 | 13.8% | 16.1% | 4.7% | 3.40× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 174.5 points | 90.1% | 88.8% | 91.9% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Over 134.5 points | 88.7% | 85.0% | 74.7% | 1.14× | 1.18 |
| Under 169.5 points | 83.6% | 80.6% | 87.7% | 0.92× | 1.24 |
| Over 139.5 points | 81.4% | 80.6% | 64.6% | 1.25× | 1.24 |
| Under 164.5 points | 74.7% | 70.8% | 82.3% | 0.86× | 1.41 |
| Over 144.5 points | 72.0% | 70.8% | 54.1% | 1.31× | 1.41 |
| Under 161.5 points | 68.4% | 65.9% | 77.9% | 0.85× | 1.52 |
| Over 147.5 points | 65.3% | 65.9% | 47.8% | 1.38× | 1.52 |
| Under 159.5 points | 63.9% | 61.5% | 75.0% | 0.82× | 1.63 |
| Over 149.5 points | 60.6% | 61.5% | 43.7% | 1.41× | 1.63 |
| Under 157.5 points | 59.1% | 56.5% | 71.6% | 0.79× | 1.77 |
| Over 151.5 points | 55.7% | 56.5% | 39.4% | 1.43× | 1.77 |
| Under 155.5 points | 54.2% | 52.3% | 68.1% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Under 154.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 66.4% | 0.79× | 1.91 |
| Over 153.5 points | 50.8% | 52.3% | 35.4% | 1.48× | 1.91 |
| Under 153.5 points | 49.2% | 47.7% | 64.6% | 0.74× | 2.10 |
| Over 154.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 33.6% | 1.42× | 2.10 |
| Over 155.5 points | 45.8% | 47.7% | 31.9% | 1.49× | 2.10 |
| Under 151.5 points | 44.3% | 43.5% | 60.6% | 0.72× | 2.30 |
| Over 157.5 points | 40.9% | 43.5% | 28.4% | 1.53× | 2.30 |
| Under 149.5 points | 39.4% | 38.5% | 56.3% | 0.68× | 2.60 |
| Over 159.5 points | 36.1% | 38.5% | 25.0% | 1.54× | 2.60 |
| Under 147.5 points | 34.7% | 34.1% | 52.2% | 0.65× | 2.93 |
| Over 161.5 points | 31.6% | 34.1% | 22.1% | 1.55× | 2.93 |
| Under 144.5 points | 28.0% | 29.2% | 45.9% | 0.64× | 3.43 |
| Over 164.5 points | 25.3% | 29.2% | 17.7% | 1.64× | 3.43 |
| Under 139.5 points | 18.6% | 19.4% | 35.4% | 0.55× | 5.15 |
| Over 169.5 points | 16.4% | 19.4% | 12.3% | 1.58× | 5.15 |
| Under 134.5 points | 11.3% | 15.0% | 25.3% | 0.59× | 6.69 |
| Over 174.5 points | 9.9% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 1.37× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers to win both halves | 40.5% | 40.6% | 14.5% | 2.79× | 2.46 |
| Air Force Falcons to win both halves | 6.2% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 0.27× | 11.33 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Denver Pioneers by 6-10 | 19.0% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Denver Pioneers by 1-5 | 17.0% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 1.27× | 5.97 |
| Denver Pioneers by 11-15 | 17.1% | 16.8% | 6.1% | 2.77× | 5.97 |
| Denver Pioneers by 16-20 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 3.71× | 8.11 |
| Air Force Falcons by 1-5 | 11.2% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 0.76× | 8.11 |
| Denver Pioneers by 21-25 | 7.4% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 3.90× | 13.40 |
| Air Force Falcons by 6-10 | 6.3% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 0.52× | 13.40 |
| Denver Pioneers by 26+ | 5.4% | 7.5% | 1.6% | 4.79× | 13.40 |
| Air Force Falcons by 11-15 | 2.8% | 2.0% | 11.6% | 0.18× | 49.30 |
| Air Force Falcons by 16-20 | 1.0% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.32 |
| Air Force Falcons by 21-25 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 0.36× | 49.33 |
| Air Force Falcons by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 0.26× | 49.33 |