Air Force Falcons v Idaho State Bengals — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 68.99–75.20 | 69-75 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 3.4% | 0.10× | 283.34 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.52× | 283.36 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.36 |
| Air Force Falcons to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.36 |
| Idaho State Bengals to score 100+ | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.25 |
| Idaho State Bengals to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.35 |
| Idaho State Bengals to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Idaho State Bengals to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.35 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals to win H1 | 61.5% | 62.2% | 38.2% | 1.63× | 1.61 |
| Idaho State Bengals to win H1 | 61.5% | 62.2% | 38.2% | 1.63× | 1.61 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H1 | 34.3% | 33.1% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.02 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H1 | 34.2% | 33.1% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.02 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
| H1 tied | 4.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.86 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 80.5 | 87.6% | 87.7% | 85.2% | 1.03× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 56.5 | 86.5% | 87.7% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 78.2% | 77.4% | 75.5% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 79.0% | 77.4% | 75.5% | 1.03× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 77.3% | 77.4% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 76.6% | 77.4% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 69.7% | 67.4% | 66.6% | 1.01× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 69.1% | 67.4% | 66.6% | 1.01× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 67.1% | 67.4% | 69.0% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 67.6% | 67.4% | 69.0% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 62.2% | 62.7% | 60.0% | 1.04× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 62.6% | 62.7% | 60.0% | 1.04× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 60.0% | 62.7% | 61.9% | 1.01× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 60.3% | 62.7% | 61.9% | 1.01× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 55.0% | 58.2% | 53.1% | 1.10× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 54.9% | 52.6% | 53.1% | 0.99× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 54.4% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 52.7% | 52.6% | 54.4% | 0.97× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 51.1% | 52.6% | 49.3% | 1.07× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 49.3% | 1.07× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 48.9% | 47.4% | 50.7% | 0.93× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 50.7% | 0.93× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 47.3% | 47.4% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 45.1% | 47.4% | 46.9% | 1.01× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 45.0% | 41.8% | 46.9% | 0.89× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 40.0% | 37.3% | 38.1% | 0.98× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 39.7% | 37.3% | 38.1% | 0.98× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 37.8% | 37.3% | 40.0% | 0.93× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 37.4% | 37.3% | 40.0% | 0.93× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 32.9% | 32.6% | 31.0% | 1.05× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 32.4% | 32.6% | 31.0% | 1.05× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 30.9% | 32.6% | 33.4% | 0.98× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 30.3% | 32.6% | 33.4% | 0.98× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 23.4% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 1.02× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 22.7% | 22.6% | 22.1% | 1.02× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 21.8% | 22.6% | 24.5% | 0.92× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 21.0% | 22.6% | 24.5% | 0.92× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 56.5 | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.5% | 0.98× | 8.13 |
| H1 over 80.5 | 12.4% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 0.83× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals to win H2 | 62.5% | 58.8% | 38.5% | 1.53× | 1.70 |
| Idaho State Bengals to win H2 | 62.5% | 58.8% | 38.9% | 1.51× | 1.70 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H2 | 33.4% | 36.3% | 57.5% | 0.63× | 2.75 |
| Air Force Falcons to win H2 | 33.4% | 36.3% | 56.9% | 0.64× | 2.75 |
| H2 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.35 |
| H2 tied | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.35 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 88.5 | 86.6% | 85.2% | 79.8% | 1.07× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 64.5 | 84.7% | 81.8% | 86.5% | 0.95× | 1.22 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 78.1% | 75.8% | 74.1% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 77.4% | 75.8% | 70.5% | 1.07× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 75.4% | 75.8% | 75.7% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 74.8% | 72.2% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 69.2% | 66.4% | 65.8% | 1.01× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 68.7% | 66.4% | 62.2% | 1.07× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 66.4% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 68.8% | 0.97× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 62.5% | 61.6% | 59.8% | 1.03× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 62.1% | 61.6% | 56.2% | 1.10× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 59.1% | 57.3% | 60.4% | 0.95× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 58.8% | 57.3% | 63.1% | 0.91× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 55.4% | 57.3% | 53.0% | 1.08× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 77.5 | 55.2% | 57.3% | 49.8% | 1.15× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 51.9% | 52.4% | 53.4% | 0.98× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 51.8% | 52.4% | 49.7% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 75.5 | 51.8% | 52.4% | 56.4% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 51.7% | 52.4% | 46.6% | 1.12× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 48.1% | 47.6% | 46.6% | 1.02× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 50.3% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 75.5 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 43.6% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 48.3% | 47.6% | 53.4% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 44.8% | 42.7% | 50.2% | 0.85× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 77.5 | 44.6% | 42.7% | 47.0% | 0.91× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 40.9% | 42.7% | 39.6% | 1.08× | 2.35 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 41.2% | 42.7% | 36.9% | 1.16× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 37.9% | 38.4% | 43.8% | 0.88× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 37.5% | 38.4% | 40.3% | 0.95× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 31.2% | 1.08× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 33.6% | 1.00× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 30.8% | 33.6% | 34.2% | 0.98× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 31.3% | 33.6% | 37.8% | 0.89× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 25.2% | 27.8% | 22.5% | 1.24× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 24.6% | 24.2% | 24.3% | 1.00× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 22.6% | 24.2% | 29.5% | 0.82× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 21.9% | 24.2% | 25.9% | 0.94× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 64.5 | 15.3% | 18.2% | 13.5% | 1.34× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 13.4% | 14.8% | 20.2% | 0.73× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals leading at half time | 61.5% | 62.5% | 38.2% | 1.64× | 1.60 |
| Air Force Falcons leading at half time | 34.3% | 32.8% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.05 |
| Level at half time | 4.3% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.40 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals +20.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 86.5% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Idaho State Bengals +12.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 72.4% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Idaho State Bengals +14.5 | 97.2% | 97.4% | 77.2% | 1.26× | 1.03 |
| Idaho State Bengals +16.5 | 98.2% | 97.4% | 80.7% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Idaho State Bengals +18.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 83.9% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Idaho State Bengals +9.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 64.5% | 1.41× | 1.10 |
| Idaho State Bengals +10.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 67.4% | 1.35× | 1.10 |
| Idaho State Bengals +8.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 61.5% | 1.48× | 1.10 |
| Air Force Falcons +20.5 | 90.6% | 91.1% | 96.5% | 0.94× | 1.10 |
| Idaho State Bengals +7.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 58.7% | 1.46× | 1.16 |
| Idaho State Bengals +6.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 55.7% | 1.54× | 1.16 |
| Air Force Falcons +18.5 | 87.1% | 85.9% | 95.4% | 0.90× | 1.16 |
| Idaho State Bengals +5.5 | 85.8% | 85.9% | 53.0% | 1.62× | 1.16 |
| Idaho State Bengals +4.5 | 83.6% | 81.1% | 49.3% | 1.64× | 1.23 |
| Air Force Falcons +16.5 | 82.6% | 81.1% | 94.0% | 0.86× | 1.23 |
| Idaho State Bengals +3.5 | 81.1% | 81.1% | 45.9% | 1.77× | 1.23 |
| Idaho State Bengals +2.5 | 78.5% | 76.5% | 42.3% | 1.81× | 1.31 |
| Air Force Falcons +14.5 | 77.4% | 76.5% | 92.2% | 0.83× | 1.31 |
| Idaho State Bengals +1.5 | 75.6% | 76.5% | 39.2% | 1.95× | 1.31 |
| Air Force Falcons +12.5 | 71.3% | 71.6% | 89.9% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Idaho State Bengals −1.5 | 69.1% | 66.7% | 34.6% | 1.93× | 1.50 |
| Idaho State Bengals −2.5 | 65.6% | 66.7% | 32.0% | 2.08× | 1.50 |
| Air Force Falcons +10.5 | 64.5% | 61.9% | 87.2% | 0.71× | 1.62 |
| Idaho State Bengals −3.5 | 61.9% | 61.9% | 29.3% | 2.12× | 1.62 |
| Air Force Falcons +9.5 | 60.9% | 61.9% | 85.3% | 0.73× | 1.62 |
| Idaho State Bengals −4.5 | 58.1% | 57.1% | 26.3% | 2.17× | 1.75 |
| Air Force Falcons +8.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 83.3% | 0.68× | 1.75 |
| Idaho State Bengals −5.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 23.6% | 2.22× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons +7.5 | 53.4% | 52.4% | 81.0% | 0.65× | 1.91 |
| Idaho State Bengals −6.5 | 50.5% | 52.4% | 21.2% | 2.47× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons +6.5 | 49.5% | 47.6% | 78.8% | 0.60× | 2.10 |
| Idaho State Bengals −7.5 | 46.6% | 47.6% | 19.0% | 2.50× | 2.10 |
| Air Force Falcons +5.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 76.4% | 0.62× | 2.10 |
| Idaho State Bengals −8.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 16.7% | 2.58× | 2.33 |
| Air Force Falcons +4.5 | 41.9% | 42.9% | 73.7% | 0.58× | 2.33 |
| Idaho State Bengals −9.5 | 39.1% | 38.1% | 14.7% | 2.60× | 2.63 |
| Air Force Falcons +3.5 | 38.1% | 38.1% | 70.8% | 0.54× | 2.63 |
| Idaho State Bengals −10.5 | 35.5% | 38.1% | 12.8% | 2.97× | 2.63 |
| Air Force Falcons +2.5 | 34.4% | 33.3% | 68.0% | 0.49× | 3.01 |
| Air Force Falcons +1.5 | 30.9% | 33.3% | 65.4% | 0.51× | 3.01 |
| Idaho State Bengals −12.5 | 28.7% | 28.4% | 10.1% | 2.81× | 3.53 |
| Air Force Falcons −1.5 | 24.4% | 23.5% | 60.8% | 0.39× | 4.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −2.5 | 21.5% | 23.5% | 57.7% | 0.41× | 4.25 |
| Idaho State Bengals −14.5 | 22.6% | 23.5% | 7.8% | 3.01× | 4.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −3.5 | 18.9% | 18.9% | 54.1% | 0.35× | 5.29 |
| Idaho State Bengals −16.5 | 17.4% | 18.9% | 6.0% | 3.17× | 5.29 |
| Air Force Falcons −4.5 | 16.4% | 18.9% | 50.7% | 0.37× | 5.30 |
| Air Force Falcons −5.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 47.0% | 0.30× | 7.09 |
| Air Force Falcons −6.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 44.3% | 0.32× | 7.09 |
| Idaho State Bengals −18.5 | 12.9% | 14.1% | 4.6% | 3.09× | 7.09 |
| Air Force Falcons −7.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 41.3% | 0.34× | 7.09 |
| Air Force Falcons −8.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 38.5% | 0.23× | 11.25 |
| Idaho State Bengals −20.5 | 9.4% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 2.57× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −9.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 35.5% | 0.25× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −10.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 32.6% | 0.27× | 11.25 |
| Air Force Falcons −12.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 27.6% | 0.09× | 38.72 |
| Air Force Falcons −14.5 | 2.8% | 2.6% | 22.8% | 0.11× | 38.73 |
| Air Force Falcons −16.5 | 1.8% | 2.6% | 19.3% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| Air Force Falcons −18.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 16.1% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Air Force Falcons −20.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 13.5% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 78.7% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 77.1% | 71.6% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 22.9% | 28.4% | 27.5% | 1.03× | 3.53 |
| H1 highest scoring | 21.3% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.53 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals at HT / Idaho State Bengals at FT | 53.0% | 51.1% | 25.8% | 1.98× | 1.96 |
| Air Force Falcons at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT | 17.7% | 15.5% | 48.6% | 0.32× | 6.47 |
| Air Force Falcons at HT / Idaho State Bengals at FT | 16.5% | 15.5% | 9.3% | 1.66× | 6.47 |
| Idaho State Bengals at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT | 8.4% | 8.3% | 12.4% | 0.67× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Idaho State Bengals at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals to win | 72.5% | 68.7% | 36.8% | 1.87× | 1.46 |
| Air Force Falcons to win | 27.5% | 31.3% | 63.2% | 0.49× | 3.20 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Total points odd | 51.6% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Air Force Falcons even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Idaho State Bengals even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Air Force Falcons odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Idaho State Bengals odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.4% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 92.8% | 94.0% | 94.2% | 1.00× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 7.2% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 1.04× | 16.65 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Air Force Falcons under 79.5 | 86.1% | 83.9% | 61.6% | 1.36× | 1.19 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 85.5 | 85.7% | 83.9% | 88.8% | 0.94× | 1.19 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 65.5 | 84.8% | 80.7% | 67.8% | 1.19× | 1.24 |
| Air Force Falcons over 59.5 | 83.3% | 80.7% | 92.0% | 0.88× | 1.24 |
| Air Force Falcons under 76.5 | 78.2% | 75.1% | 52.3% | 1.44× | 1.33 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 68.5 | 76.2% | 75.1% | 58.4% | 1.29× | 1.33 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 82.5 | 77.4% | 75.1% | 83.3% | 0.90× | 1.33 |
| Air Force Falcons over 62.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 87.3% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Air Force Falcons under 74.5 | 71.7% | 70.7% | 45.9% | 1.54× | 1.41 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 80.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 78.8% | 0.90× | 1.41 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 70.5 | 69.3% | 66.4% | 51.4% | 1.29× | 1.51 |
| Air Force Falcons over 64.5 | 67.3% | 66.4% | 83.3% | 0.80× | 1.51 |
| Air Force Falcons under 72.5 | 64.5% | 61.2% | 39.2% | 1.56× | 1.63 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 78.5 | 63.0% | 61.2% | 73.7% | 0.83× | 1.63 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 72.5 | 61.6% | 61.2% | 44.7% | 1.37× | 1.63 |
| Air Force Falcons over 66.5 | 59.6% | 57.1% | 78.7% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Air Force Falcons under 70.5 | 56.6% | 57.1% | 33.3% | 1.71× | 1.75 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 76.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 67.9% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons over 68.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 72.7% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Air Force Falcons under 69.5 | 52.5% | 52.3% | 30.4% | 1.72× | 1.91 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 74.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 38.3% | 1.36× | 1.91 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 75.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 64.7% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 75.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 35.3% | 1.35× | 2.09 |
| Air Force Falcons under 68.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 27.3% | 1.75× | 2.09 |
| Air Force Falcons over 69.5 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 69.6% | 0.69× | 2.09 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 74.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 61.7% | 0.77× | 2.09 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 76.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 32.1% | 1.49× | 2.09 |
| Air Force Falcons over 70.5 | 43.4% | 42.9% | 66.7% | 0.64× | 2.33 |
| Air Force Falcons under 66.5 | 40.4% | 42.9% | 21.3% | 2.01× | 2.33 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 72.5 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 55.3% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 78.5 | 37.0% | 38.8% | 26.3% | 1.48× | 2.58 |
| Air Force Falcons over 72.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 60.8% | 0.64× | 2.58 |
| Air Force Falcons under 64.5 | 32.7% | 33.6% | 16.7% | 2.01× | 2.98 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 70.5 | 30.7% | 33.6% | 48.7% | 0.69× | 2.98 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 80.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 21.2% | 1.38× | 3.42 |
| Air Force Falcons over 74.5 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 54.1% | 0.54× | 3.42 |
| Air Force Falcons under 62.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 12.7% | 2.31× | 3.42 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 68.5 | 23.8% | 24.9% | 41.6% | 0.60× | 4.02 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 82.5 | 22.6% | 24.9% | 16.7% | 1.49× | 4.02 |
| Air Force Falcons over 76.5 | 21.8% | 24.9% | 47.7% | 0.52× | 4.02 |
| Air Force Falcons under 59.5 | 16.8% | 19.3% | 8.0% | 2.40× | 5.18 |
| Idaho State Bengals under 65.5 | 15.2% | 19.3% | 32.2% | 0.60× | 5.18 |
| Idaho State Bengals over 85.5 | 14.3% | 16.1% | 11.2% | 1.44× | 6.21 |
| Air Force Falcons over 79.5 | 13.9% | 16.1% | 38.4% | 0.42× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 124.5 points | 89.2% | 85.0% | 89.3% | 0.95× | 1.18 |
| Under 164.5 points | 89.7% | 85.0% | 82.3% | 1.03× | 1.18 |
| Under 159.5 points | 83.1% | 80.6% | 75.0% | 1.07× | 1.24 |
| Over 129.5 points | 82.1% | 80.6% | 83.3% | 0.97× | 1.24 |
| Under 154.5 points | 74.0% | 70.8% | 66.4% | 1.07× | 1.41 |
| Over 134.5 points | 72.8% | 70.8% | 74.7% | 0.95× | 1.41 |
| Under 151.5 points | 67.6% | 65.9% | 60.6% | 1.09× | 1.52 |
| Over 137.5 points | 66.2% | 65.9% | 69.0% | 0.95× | 1.52 |
| Under 149.5 points | 63.0% | 61.5% | 56.3% | 1.09× | 1.63 |
| Over 139.5 points | 61.5% | 61.5% | 64.6% | 0.95× | 1.63 |
| Under 147.5 points | 58.2% | 56.5% | 52.2% | 1.08× | 1.77 |
| Over 141.5 points | 56.7% | 56.5% | 60.4% | 0.94× | 1.77 |
| Under 145.5 points | 53.3% | 52.3% | 48.2% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| Over 143.5 points | 51.7% | 52.3% | 56.3% | 0.93× | 1.91 |
| Under 144.5 points | 50.7% | 52.3% | 45.9% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| Over 144.5 points | 49.3% | 47.7% | 54.1% | 0.88× | 2.10 |
| Under 143.5 points | 48.3% | 47.7% | 43.7% | 1.09× | 2.10 |
| Over 145.5 points | 46.7% | 47.7% | 51.8% | 0.92× | 2.10 |
| Under 141.5 points | 43.3% | 43.5% | 39.6% | 1.10× | 2.30 |
| Over 147.5 points | 41.8% | 43.5% | 47.8% | 0.91× | 2.30 |
| Under 139.5 points | 38.5% | 38.5% | 35.4% | 1.09× | 2.60 |
| Over 149.5 points | 37.0% | 38.5% | 43.7% | 0.88× | 2.60 |
| Under 137.5 points | 33.8% | 34.1% | 31.0% | 1.10× | 2.93 |
| Over 151.5 points | 32.4% | 34.1% | 39.4% | 0.87× | 2.93 |
| Under 134.5 points | 27.2% | 29.2% | 25.3% | 1.15× | 3.43 |
| Over 154.5 points | 26.0% | 29.2% | 33.6% | 0.87× | 3.43 |
| Under 129.5 points | 17.9% | 19.4% | 16.7% | 1.16× | 5.15 |
| Over 159.5 points | 16.9% | 19.4% | 25.0% | 0.78× | 5.15 |
| Under 124.5 points | 10.8% | 15.0% | 10.7% | 1.39× | 6.69 |
| Over 164.5 points | 10.3% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 0.84× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals to win both halves | 35.0% | 31.3% | 14.5% | 2.15× | 3.20 |
| Air Force Falcons to win both halves | 8.4% | 8.8% | 33.2% | 0.27× | 11.31 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Idaho State Bengals by 6-10 | 18.8% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Idaho State Bengals by 1-5 | 18.2% | 16.8% | 13.2% | 1.27× | 5.97 |
| Idaho State Bengals by 11-15 | 15.6% | 16.8% | 6.1% | 2.77× | 5.97 |
| Air Force Falcons by 1-5 | 13.3% | 12.3% | 16.2% | 0.76× | 8.11 |
| Idaho State Bengals by 16-20 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 3.71× | 8.11 |
| Air Force Falcons by 6-10 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 14.4% | 0.52× | 13.40 |
| Idaho State Bengals by 21-25 | 5.7% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 3.90× | 13.40 |
| Air Force Falcons by 11-15 | 3.9% | 2.0% | 11.6% | 0.18× | 49.29 |
| Idaho State Bengals by 26+ | 3.7% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.30 |
| Air Force Falcons by 16-20 | 1.6% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.31 |
| Air Force Falcons by 21-25 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 5.6% | 0.36× | 49.32 |
| Air Force Falcons by 26+ | 0.2% | 2.0% | 7.9% | 0.26× | 49.33 |