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Air Force Falcons v Loyola Chicago Ramblers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027

NCAAB results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Air Force Falcons win
23.7%
Draw
0.0%
Loyola Chicago Ramblers win
76.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 64.59–72.06 65-72 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Air Force Falcons to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 3.4% 0.10× 283.35
Air Force Falcons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.7% 0.52× 283.36
Air Force Falcons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.87× 283.36
Air Force Falcons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 19.47× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 1.1% 0.33× 283.32
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.2% 1.95× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 12.98× 283.36
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 38.95× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.4% 0.87× 283.36
H1 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H1 64.0% 62.2% 38.2% 1.63× 1.61
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H1 64.0% 62.2% 38.2% 1.63× 1.61
Air Force Falcons to win H1 31.8% 33.1% 57.9% 0.57× 3.02
Air Force Falcons to win H1 31.8% 33.1% 57.9% 0.57× 3.02
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.9% 0.99× 25.86
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 52.5 87.6% 87.7% 93.8% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 76.5 86.7% 87.7% 75.5% 1.16× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 78.8% 77.4% 87.5% 0.89× 1.29
H1 over 56.5 78.1% 77.4% 87.5% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 77.7% 77.4% 63.3% 1.22× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 76.9% 77.4% 63.3% 1.22× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 69.4% 67.4% 80.7% 0.84× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 68.0% 67.4% 53.1% 1.27× 1.48
H1 over 59.5 68.8% 67.4% 80.7% 0.84× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 67.5% 67.4% 53.1% 1.27× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 62.2% 62.7% 74.9% 0.84× 1.59
H1 over 61.5 61.8% 62.7% 74.9% 0.84× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 60.8% 62.7% 45.6% 1.38× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 60.5% 62.7% 45.6% 1.38× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 54.6% 52.6% 69.0% 0.76× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 54.5% 52.6% 69.0% 0.76× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 53.2% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 53.1% 52.6% 38.1% 1.38× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 50.7% 52.6% 65.3% 0.81× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 50.7% 52.6% 65.3% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 49.3% 47.4% 34.8% 1.36× 2.11
H1 under 64.5 49.3% 47.4% 34.8% 1.36× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 46.8% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 46.9% 47.4% 61.9% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 45.4% 47.4% 31.0% 1.53× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 45.5% 47.4% 31.0% 1.53× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 39.2% 37.3% 54.4% 0.69× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 39.5% 37.3% 54.4% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 38.2% 37.3% 25.1% 1.48× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 37.8% 37.3% 25.1% 1.48× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 32.5% 32.6% 46.9% 0.69× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 32.0% 32.6% 46.9% 0.69× 3.07
H1 under 59.5 31.2% 32.6% 19.3% 1.69× 3.07
H1 under 59.5 30.6% 32.6% 19.3% 1.69× 3.07
H1 over 72.5 22.3% 22.6% 36.7% 0.62× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 23.1% 22.6% 36.7% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 56.5 21.2% 22.6% 12.5% 1.80× 4.43
H1 under 56.5 21.9% 22.6% 12.5% 1.80× 4.43
H1 over 76.5 13.3% 12.3% 24.5% 0.50× 8.14
H1 under 52.5 12.4% 12.3% 6.2% 1.97× 8.14
H2 result 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H2 65.2% 62.7% 38.9% 1.61× 1.59
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win H2 65.2% 62.7% 38.5% 1.63× 1.59
Air Force Falcons to win H2 30.8% 36.3% 57.5% 0.63× 2.76
Air Force Falcons to win H2 30.8% 36.3% 56.9% 0.64× 2.76
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.2% 0.95× 25.36
H2 tied 4.0% 3.9% 4.1% 0.97× 25.36
H2 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 84.5 86.5% 85.2% 70.5% 1.21× 1.17
H2 over 60.5 85.0% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 80.5 77.9% 75.8% 62.9% 1.21× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 77.3% 75.8% 59.2% 1.28× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 75.8% 75.8% 85.3% 0.89× 1.32
H2 over 64.5 75.1% 75.8% 86.5% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 77.5 69.0% 66.4% 53.0% 1.25× 1.51
H2 under 77.5 68.5% 66.4% 49.8% 1.33× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 66.4% 66.4% 78.2% 0.85× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 65.9% 66.4% 80.0% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 62.2% 61.6% 46.6% 1.32× 1.62
H2 under 75.5 61.9% 61.6% 43.6% 1.41× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 59.4% 57.3% 72.8% 0.79× 1.74
H2 over 69.5 59.2% 57.3% 74.8% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 73.5 55.1% 57.3% 39.6% 1.45× 1.74
H2 under 73.5 55.0% 52.4% 36.9% 1.42× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 52.2% 52.4% 66.4% 0.79× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 51.5% 52.4% 36.6% 1.43× 1.91
H2 over 71.5 52.1% 52.4% 68.8% 0.76× 1.91
H2 under 72.5 51.4% 52.4% 34.1% 1.54× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 47.8% 47.6% 33.6% 1.42× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 48.5% 47.6% 63.4% 0.75× 2.10
H2 under 71.5 47.9% 47.6% 31.2% 1.52× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 48.6% 47.6% 65.9% 0.72× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 45.0% 47.6% 63.1% 0.76× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 44.9% 42.7% 60.4% 0.71× 2.34
H2 under 69.5 40.8% 42.7% 25.2% 1.69× 2.35
H2 under 69.5 40.6% 42.7% 27.2% 1.57× 2.35
H2 over 75.5 38.1% 38.4% 56.4% 0.68× 2.61
H2 over 75.5 37.8% 38.4% 53.4% 0.72× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 33.7% 33.6% 21.8% 1.55× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 34.1% 33.6% 20.0% 1.68× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 31.0% 33.6% 47.0% 0.72× 2.97
H2 over 77.5 31.5% 33.6% 50.2% 0.67× 2.97
H2 under 64.5 24.9% 24.2% 13.5% 1.79× 4.13
H2 under 64.5 24.3% 24.2% 14.7% 1.64× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 22.7% 24.2% 40.8% 0.59× 4.13
H2 over 80.5 22.1% 24.2% 37.1% 0.65× 4.13
H2 under 60.5 15.0% 14.8% 7.3% 2.03× 6.76
H2 over 84.5 13.5% 14.8% 29.5% 0.50× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers leading at half time 64.0% 62.5% 38.2% 1.64× 1.60
Air Force Falcons leading at half time 31.8% 32.7% 57.9% 0.57× 3.06
Level at half time 4.2% 3.8% 3.9% 0.97× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +20.5 99.5% 97.4% 86.5% 1.13× 1.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +12.5 96.8% 97.4% 72.4% 1.35× 1.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +14.5 97.9% 97.4% 77.2% 1.26× 1.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +16.5 98.7% 97.4% 80.7% 1.21× 1.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +18.5 99.2% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +10.5 95.1% 97.4% 67.4% 1.45× 1.03
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +8.5 92.9% 91.1% 61.5% 1.48× 1.10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +9.5 94.1% 91.1% 64.5% 1.41× 1.10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +7.5 91.6% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +6.5 90.0% 91.1% 55.7% 1.64× 1.10
Air Force Falcons +20.5 88.7% 85.9% 96.5% 0.89× 1.16
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +5.5 88.3% 85.9% 53.0% 1.62× 1.16
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +4.5 86.3% 85.9% 49.3% 1.74× 1.16
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +3.5 84.1% 81.1% 45.9% 1.77× 1.23
Air Force Falcons +18.5 84.7% 81.1% 95.4% 0.85× 1.23
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +2.5 81.7% 81.1% 42.3% 1.92× 1.23
Loyola Chicago Ramblers +1.5 79.1% 76.5% 39.2% 1.95× 1.31
Air Force Falcons +16.5 79.7% 76.5% 94.0% 0.81× 1.31
Air Force Falcons +14.5 73.9% 71.6% 92.2% 0.78× 1.40
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −1.5 73.1% 71.6% 34.6% 2.07× 1.40
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −2.5 69.7% 66.7% 32.0% 2.08× 1.50
Air Force Falcons +12.5 67.4% 66.7% 89.9% 0.74× 1.50
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −3.5 66.2% 66.7% 29.3% 2.28× 1.50
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −4.5 62.5% 61.9% 26.3% 2.35× 1.62
Air Force Falcons +10.5 60.2% 61.9% 87.2% 0.71× 1.62
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −5.5 58.8% 57.1% 23.6% 2.42× 1.75
Air Force Falcons +9.5 56.5% 57.1% 85.3% 0.67× 1.75
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −6.5 55.0% 52.4% 21.2% 2.47× 1.91
Air Force Falcons +8.5 52.7% 52.4% 83.3% 0.63× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −7.5 51.1% 52.4% 19.0% 2.76× 1.91
Air Force Falcons +7.5 48.9% 47.6% 81.0% 0.59× 2.10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −8.5 47.3% 47.6% 16.7% 2.86× 2.10
Air Force Falcons +6.5 45.0% 47.6% 78.8% 0.60× 2.10
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −9.5 43.5% 42.9% 14.7% 2.93× 2.33
Air Force Falcons +5.5 41.2% 42.9% 76.4% 0.56× 2.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −10.5 39.8% 38.1% 12.8% 2.97× 2.63
Air Force Falcons +4.5 37.5% 38.1% 73.7% 0.52× 2.63
Air Force Falcons +3.5 33.8% 33.3% 70.8% 0.47× 3.01
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −12.5 32.6% 33.3% 10.1% 3.30× 3.01
Air Force Falcons +2.5 30.3% 33.3% 68.0% 0.49× 3.01
Air Force Falcons +1.5 26.9% 28.4% 65.4% 0.43× 3.53
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −14.5 26.1% 28.4% 7.8% 3.63× 3.53
Air Force Falcons −1.5 20.9% 23.5% 60.8% 0.39× 4.25
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −16.5 20.3% 23.5% 6.0% 3.95× 4.25
Air Force Falcons −2.5 18.3% 18.9% 57.7% 0.33× 5.29
Air Force Falcons −3.5 15.9% 18.9% 54.1% 0.35× 5.30
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −18.5 15.3% 18.9% 4.6% 4.14× 5.30
Air Force Falcons −4.5 13.7% 14.1% 50.7% 0.28× 7.09
Air Force Falcons −5.5 11.7% 14.1% 47.0% 0.30× 7.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers −20.5 11.3% 14.1% 3.5% 4.08× 7.09
Air Force Falcons −6.5 10.0% 8.9% 44.3% 0.20× 11.25
Air Force Falcons −7.5 8.4% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
Air Force Falcons −8.5 7.1% 8.9% 38.5% 0.23× 11.25
Air Force Falcons −9.5 5.9% 8.9% 35.5% 0.25× 11.25
Air Force Falcons −10.5 4.9% 2.6% 32.6% 0.08× 38.72
Air Force Falcons −12.5 3.2% 2.6% 27.6% 0.09× 38.73
Air Force Falcons −14.5 2.1% 2.6% 22.8% 0.11× 38.73
Air Force Falcons −16.5 1.3% 2.6% 19.3% 0.13× 38.74
Air Force Falcons −18.5 0.8% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.74
Air Force Falcons −20.5 0.5% 2.6% 13.5% 0.19× 38.74
Highest scoring half 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 highest scoring 77.5% 71.6% 70.4% 1.02× 1.40
2nd half highest scoring 75.9% 71.6% 72.5% 0.99× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 24.1% 28.4% 27.5% 1.03× 3.53
H1 highest scoring 22.5% 28.4% 29.6% 0.96× 3.53
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT 56.6% 56.8% 25.8% 2.20× 1.76
Air Force Falcons at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT 16.7% 15.5% 9.3% 1.66× 6.47
Air Force Falcons at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT 15.1% 15.4% 48.6% 0.32× 6.47
Loyola Chicago Ramblers at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT 7.4% 8.3% 12.4% 0.67× 12.09
Level at HT / Loyola Chicago Ramblers at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.6% 1.28× 47.74
Level at HT / Air Force Falcons at FT 1.2% 2.1% 2.3% 0.92× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win 76.3% 75.1% 36.8% 2.04× 1.33
Air Force Falcons to win 23.7% 24.9% 63.2% 0.39× 4.01
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.5% 50.5% 51.6% 0.98× 1.98
Air Force Falcons even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Loyola Chicago Ramblers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.4% 1.00× 1.98
Air Force Falcons odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Loyola Chicago Ramblers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.6% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 48.5% 49.5% 48.4% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.1% 94.0% 94.2% 1.00× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.9% 6.0% 5.8% 1.04× 16.65
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 82.5 86.0% 83.9% 83.3% 1.01× 1.19
Air Force Falcons over 54.5 85.1% 83.9% 97.0% 0.87× 1.19
Air Force Falcons under 74.5 84.7% 80.7% 45.9% 1.76× 1.24
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 62.5 84.6% 80.7% 76.6% 1.05× 1.24
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 79.5 77.7% 75.1% 76.3% 0.99× 1.33
Air Force Falcons over 57.5 76.6% 75.1% 94.6% 0.79× 1.33
Air Force Falcons under 71.5 76.3% 75.1% 36.3% 2.07× 1.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 65.5 76.0% 75.1% 67.8% 1.11× 1.33
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 77.5 71.0% 70.7% 70.9% 1.00× 1.41
Air Force Falcons over 59.5 69.8% 66.4% 92.0% 0.72× 1.51
Air Force Falcons under 69.5 69.5% 66.4% 30.4% 2.18× 1.51
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 67.5 69.0% 66.4% 61.6% 1.08× 1.51
Air Force Falcons over 61.5 62.2% 61.2% 89.0% 0.69× 1.63
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 75.5 63.4% 61.2% 64.7% 0.95× 1.63
Air Force Falcons under 67.5 62.0% 61.2% 24.1% 2.53× 1.63
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 69.5 61.3% 61.2% 54.8% 1.12× 1.63
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 73.5 55.3% 57.1% 58.3% 0.98× 1.75
Air Force Falcons over 63.5 54.2% 52.3% 85.4% 0.61× 1.91
Air Force Falcons under 65.5 54.0% 52.3% 18.9% 2.77× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 71.5 53.1% 52.3% 48.2% 1.08× 1.91
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 72.5 51.1% 52.3% 55.3% 0.95× 1.91
Air Force Falcons over 64.5 50.1% 52.3% 83.3% 0.63× 1.91
Air Force Falcons under 64.5 49.9% 47.7% 16.7% 2.86× 2.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 71.5 46.9% 47.7% 51.8% 0.92× 2.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 72.5 48.9% 47.7% 44.7% 1.07× 2.09
Air Force Falcons under 63.5 45.8% 47.7% 14.6% 3.26× 2.09
Air Force Falcons over 65.5 46.0% 47.7% 81.1% 0.59× 2.09
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 73.5 44.7% 42.9% 41.7% 1.03× 2.33
Air Force Falcons over 67.5 38.0% 38.8% 75.9% 0.51× 2.58
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 69.5 38.7% 38.8% 45.2% 0.86× 2.58
Air Force Falcons under 61.5 37.8% 38.8% 11.0% 3.53× 2.58
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 75.5 36.6% 38.8% 35.3% 1.10× 2.58
Air Force Falcons over 69.5 30.5% 33.6% 69.6% 0.48× 2.98
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 67.5 31.0% 33.6% 38.4% 0.87× 2.98
Air Force Falcons under 59.5 30.2% 33.6% 8.0% 4.18× 2.98
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 77.5 29.0% 29.3% 29.1% 1.01× 3.42
Air Force Falcons under 57.5 23.4% 24.9% 5.4% 4.61× 4.02
Air Force Falcons over 71.5 23.7% 24.9% 63.7% 0.39× 4.02
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 65.5 24.0% 24.9% 32.2% 0.77× 4.02
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 79.5 22.3% 24.9% 23.7% 1.05× 4.02
Air Force Falcons over 74.5 15.3% 19.3% 54.1% 0.36× 5.18
Loyola Chicago Ramblers under 62.5 15.4% 19.3% 23.4% 0.83× 5.18
Air Force Falcons under 54.5 14.9% 16.1% 3.0% 5.29× 6.21
Loyola Chicago Ramblers over 82.5 14.0% 16.1% 16.7% 0.96× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 157.5 points 90.3% 88.8% 71.6% 1.24× 1.13
Over 117.5 points 88.8% 85.0% 95.3% 0.89× 1.18
Under 152.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 62.7% 1.29× 1.24
Over 122.5 points 81.6% 80.6% 91.3% 0.88× 1.24
Under 147.5 points 75.0% 70.8% 52.2% 1.36× 1.41
Over 127.5 points 71.9% 70.8% 85.8% 0.83× 1.41
Under 144.5 points 68.6% 65.9% 45.9% 1.44× 1.52
Over 130.5 points 65.3% 65.9% 81.5% 0.81× 1.52
Under 142.5 points 64.0% 61.5% 41.7% 1.48× 1.63
Over 132.5 points 60.6% 61.5% 78.3% 0.79× 1.63
Under 140.5 points 59.3% 56.5% 37.2% 1.52× 1.77
Over 134.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 74.7% 0.76× 1.77
Under 138.5 points 54.3% 52.3% 33.0% 1.59× 1.91
Under 137.5 points 51.9% 52.3% 31.0% 1.69× 1.91
Over 136.5 points 50.7% 52.3% 71.1% 0.74× 1.91
Under 136.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 28.9% 1.65× 2.10
Over 137.5 points 48.1% 47.7% 69.0% 0.69× 2.10
Over 138.5 points 45.7% 47.7% 67.0% 0.71× 2.10
Under 134.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 25.3% 1.72× 2.30
Over 140.5 points 40.7% 43.5% 62.8% 0.69× 2.30
Under 132.5 points 39.4% 38.5% 21.7% 1.78× 2.60
Over 142.5 points 36.0% 38.5% 58.3% 0.66× 2.60
Under 130.5 points 34.7% 34.1% 18.5% 1.84× 2.93
Over 144.5 points 31.4% 34.1% 54.1% 0.63× 2.93
Under 127.5 points 28.1% 29.2% 14.2% 2.05× 3.43
Over 147.5 points 25.0% 29.2% 47.8% 0.61× 3.43
Under 122.5 points 18.4% 19.4% 8.7% 2.24× 5.15
Over 152.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 37.4% 0.52× 5.15
Under 117.5 points 11.2% 15.0% 4.7% 3.17× 6.69
Over 157.5 points 9.7% 11.2% 28.4% 0.39× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers to win both halves 38.4% 36.3% 14.5% 2.50× 2.75
Air Force Falcons to win both halves 6.9% 8.8% 33.2% 0.27× 11.32
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 6-10 19.0% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 1-5 17.5% 16.8% 13.2% 1.27× 5.97
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 11-15 16.7% 16.8% 6.1% 2.77× 5.97
Air Force Falcons by 1-5 12.0% 12.3% 16.2% 0.76× 8.11
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 16-20 11.8% 12.3% 3.3% 3.71× 8.11
Air Force Falcons by 6-10 6.9% 7.5% 14.4% 0.52× 13.40
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 21-25 6.7% 7.5% 1.9% 3.90× 13.40
Loyola Chicago Ramblers by 26+ 4.6% 2.0% 1.6% 1.30× 49.29
Air Force Falcons by 11-15 3.2% 2.0% 11.6% 0.18× 49.30
Air Force Falcons by 16-20 1.2% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Air Force Falcons by 21-25 0.4% 2.0% 5.6% 0.36× 49.32
Air Force Falcons by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 7.9% 0.26× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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