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Alabama Crimson Tide v Florida A&M Rattlers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 20 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Alabama Crimson Tide win
100.0%
Draw
0.0%
Florida A&M Rattlers win
0.0%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 84.69–45.25 85-45 0% 64% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to score 100+ 7.3% 8.8% 1.8% 4.89× 11.37
Alabama Crimson Tide to score 110+ 0.6% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.24
Alabama Crimson Tide to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.35
Alabama Crimson Tide to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Florida A&M Rattlers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win H1 97.6% 98.7% 56.4% 1.75× 1.01
Florida A&M Rattlers to win H1 1.8% 3.9% 39.9% 0.10× 25.88
H1 tied 0.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.89
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 52.5 90.3% 90.8% 79.6% 1.14× 1.10
H1 under 76.5 89.6% 87.7% 90.2% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 80.5% 82.5% 68.2% 1.21× 1.21
H1 under 72.5 80.1% 82.5% 83.6% 0.99× 1.21
H1 over 59.5 70.4% 73.5% 57.8% 1.27× 1.36
H1 under 69.5 70.2% 73.5% 76.2% 0.96× 1.36
H1 over 61.5 62.6% 62.7% 50.2% 1.25× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 62.5% 62.7% 70.4% 0.89× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 54.2% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 54.2% 52.6% 63.9% 0.82× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 50.0% 52.6% 39.3% 1.34× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 50.0% 47.4% 60.7% 0.78× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 45.8% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 45.8% 47.4% 36.1% 1.31× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 37.4% 37.3% 49.8% 0.75× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 37.5% 37.3% 29.6% 1.26× 2.68
H1 under 59.5 29.6% 26.5% 42.2% 0.63× 3.77
H1 over 69.5 29.8% 26.5% 23.8% 1.11× 3.77
H1 over 72.5 19.9% 17.5% 16.4% 1.07× 5.72
H1 under 56.5 19.5% 17.5% 31.8% 0.55× 5.72
H1 over 76.5 10.4% 12.3% 9.8% 1.26× 8.14
H1 under 52.5 9.7% 9.2% 20.4% 0.45× 10.87
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win H2 98.2% 95.6% 56.0% 1.71× 1.05
Florida A&M Rattlers to win H2 1.4% 3.9% 40.6% 0.10× 25.38
H2 tied 0.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.38
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 58.5 89.7% 85.2% 79.6% 1.07× 1.17
H2 under 82.5 88.4% 85.2% 87.4% 0.97× 1.17
H2 over 62.5 80.0% 75.8% 68.3% 1.11× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 78.8% 75.8% 80.1% 0.95× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 70.1% 72.2% 58.8% 1.23× 1.39
H2 under 75.5 69.0% 66.4% 73.0% 0.91× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 62.6% 61.6% 52.1% 1.18× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 61.5% 61.6% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 54.6% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 53.6% 52.4% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 50.5% 52.4% 42.2% 1.24× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 49.5% 47.6% 57.8% 0.82× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 45.4% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 46.4% 47.6% 38.9% 1.23× 2.10
H2 over 73.5 38.5% 38.4% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
H2 under 67.5 37.4% 38.4% 47.9% 0.80× 2.61
H2 over 75.5 31.0% 33.6% 27.0% 1.25× 2.97
H2 under 65.5 29.9% 27.8% 41.2% 0.68× 3.59
H2 over 78.5 21.2% 24.2% 19.9% 1.22× 4.13
H2 under 62.5 20.0% 24.2% 31.7% 0.76× 4.13
H2 over 82.5 11.6% 14.8% 12.6% 1.17× 6.76
H2 under 58.5 10.3% 14.8% 20.4% 0.73× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide leading at half time 97.6% 98.5% 56.4% 1.75× 1.02
Florida A&M Rattlers leading at half time 1.8% 3.8% 39.9% 0.09× 26.43
Level at half time 0.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.45
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide −3.5 99.9% 97.4% 54.2% 1.80× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +3.5 100.0% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −4.5 99.9% 97.4% 52.2% 1.87× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +4.5 100.0% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −5.5 99.8% 97.4% 49.7% 1.96× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 100.0% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −6.5 99.8% 97.4% 47.6% 2.05× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 100.0% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −7.5 99.7% 97.4% 44.8% 2.18× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +7.5 100.0% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −8.5 99.6% 97.4% 42.0% 2.32× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +8.5 100.0% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −9.5 99.5% 97.4% 39.3% 2.48× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +9.5 100.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +10.5 100.0% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +12.5 100.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +14.5 100.0% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +16.5 100.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +18.5 100.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −1.5 100.0% 97.4% 58.7% 1.66× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5 100.0% 97.4% 61.2% 1.59× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −2.5 99.9% 97.4% 56.7% 1.72× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide +2.5 100.0% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −10.5 99.3% 97.4% 36.8% 2.65× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −12.5 98.9% 97.4% 32.1% 3.03× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −14.5 98.2% 97.4% 27.9% 3.49× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −16.5 97.2% 97.4% 24.3% 4.02× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −18.5 95.8% 97.4% 20.7% 4.70× 1.03
Alabama Crimson Tide −20.5 93.8% 91.1% 18.0% 5.06× 1.10
Florida A&M Rattlers +20.5 6.2% 8.9% 82.0% 0.11× 11.25
Florida A&M Rattlers +10.5 0.7% 2.6% 63.2% 0.04× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +12.5 1.1% 2.6% 67.9% 0.04× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +14.5 1.8% 2.6% 72.1% 0.04× 38.73
Florida A&M Rattlers +16.5 2.8% 2.6% 75.7% 0.03× 38.73
Florida A&M Rattlers +18.5 4.2% 2.6% 79.3% 0.03× 38.72
Florida A&M Rattlers +3.5 0.1% 2.6% 45.8% 0.06× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −3.5 0.0% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +4.5 0.1% 2.6% 47.8% 0.05× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −4.5 0.0% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +5.5 0.2% 2.6% 50.3% 0.05× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −5.5 0.0% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +6.5 0.2% 2.6% 52.4% 0.05× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −6.5 0.0% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +7.5 0.3% 2.6% 55.2% 0.05× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −7.5 0.0% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +8.5 0.4% 2.6% 58.0% 0.04× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −8.5 0.0% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +9.5 0.5% 2.6% 60.7% 0.04× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −9.5 0.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −10.5 0.0% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −12.5 0.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −14.5 0.0% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −16.5 0.0% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −18.5 0.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +1.5 0.0% 2.6% 41.3% 0.06× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −1.5 0.0% 2.6% 38.8% 0.07× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers +2.5 0.1% 2.6% 43.3% 0.06× 38.74
Florida A&M Rattlers −2.5 0.0% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT 97.6% 98.5% 48.3% 2.04× 1.02
Florida A&M Rattlers at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT 1.8% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.76
Level at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT 0.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.78
Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Florida A&M Rattlers at FT 0.0% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.79
Level at HT / Florida A&M Rattlers at FT 0.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Florida A&M Rattlers at HT / Florida A&M Rattlers at FT 0.0% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win 100.0% 97.5% 59.9% 1.63× 1.03
Florida A&M Rattlers to win 0.0% 2.5% 40.1% 0.06× 39.98
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Florida A&M Rattlers even 51.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Alabama Crimson Tide odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Florida A&M Rattlers odd 48.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 50.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 99.5% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 0.5% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.63
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q1 90.1% 91.7% 54.7% 1.68× 1.09
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q1 7.5% 5.5% 40.4% 0.14× 18.29
Q1 tied 2.5% 4.2% 4.9% 0.85× 24.03
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 24.5 89.1% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 40.5 89.1% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 78.1% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 77.8% 76.9% 67.7% 1.14× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 68.1% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 67.5% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 56.5% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 55.8% 58.6% 46.0% 1.27× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 50.3% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 32.5 49.7% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 31.5 44.2% 41.4% 54.0% 0.77× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 43.5% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 32.5% 32.4% 43.1% 0.75× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 31.9% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 22.2% 23.1% 32.3% 0.71× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 21.9% 23.1% 18.4% 1.26× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 10.9% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 10.9% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q2 89.4% 92.5% 52.9% 1.75× 1.08
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q2 8.1% 6.1% 41.5% 0.15× 16.46
Q2 tied 2.5% 4.4% 5.7% 0.77× 22.96
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 40.5 90.0% 90.8% 90.8% 1.00× 1.10
Q2 over 24.5 88.0% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 79.6% 76.8% 82.3% 0.93× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 76.1% 76.8% 66.7% 1.15× 1.30
Q2 under 35.5 69.9% 67.4% 74.6% 0.90× 1.48
Q2 over 29.5 65.6% 67.4% 55.8% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 under 33.5 58.5% 58.2% 65.6% 0.89× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 53.7% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 52.4% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 47.6% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 31.5 46.3% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 41.5% 41.8% 34.4% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 34.4% 32.6% 44.2% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 over 35.5 30.1% 32.6% 25.4% 1.29× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 23.9% 23.2% 33.3% 0.70× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 20.4% 23.2% 17.7% 1.31× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 12.0% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.89
Q2 over 40.5 10.0% 9.2% 9.2% 1.01× 10.82
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q3 91.5% 94.3% 53.3% 1.77× 1.06
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q3 6.4% 5.3% 41.8% 0.13× 18.95
Q3 tied 2.1% 4.3% 4.9% 0.86× 23.52
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 89.0% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 88.2% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 78.2% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 76.6% 77.3% 66.8% 1.16× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 68.4% 67.8% 73.9% 0.92× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 66.4% 67.8% 56.1% 1.21× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 57.1% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 54.8% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 35.5 51.2% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 35.5 48.8% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 under 34.5 45.2% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 42.9% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 33.6% 32.2% 43.9% 0.73× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 31.6% 32.2% 26.1% 1.23× 3.11
Q3 under 30.5 23.4% 22.7% 33.2% 0.69× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 21.8% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 11.8% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 11.0% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q4 91.0% 85.3% 52.8% 1.62× 1.17
Florida A&M Rattlers to win Q4 6.8% 5.8% 41.5% 0.14× 17.23
Q4 tied 2.2% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.34
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 87.4% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 86.9% 85.6% 78.9% 1.09× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 76.5% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 75.6% 76.9% 66.3% 1.16× 1.30
Q4 under 38.5 67.0% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 65.8% 67.4% 55.4% 1.22× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 56.3% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 55.0% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 35.5 50.7% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 35.5 49.3% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 34.5 45.0% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 43.7% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 34.2% 32.6% 44.6% 0.73× 3.07
Q4 over 38.5 33.0% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 24.4% 23.1% 33.7% 0.68× 4.33
Q4 over 40.5 23.5% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 13.1% 14.4% 21.1% 0.68× 6.95
Q4 over 43.5 12.6% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida A&M Rattlers under 59.5 91.5% 86.4% 41.2% 2.10× 1.16
Alabama Crimson Tide under 96.5 87.1% 83.9% 97.5% 0.86× 1.19
Alabama Crimson Tide over 76.5 84.3% 80.7% 24.6% 3.29× 1.24
Florida A&M Rattlers over 42.5 84.2% 80.7% 94.8% 0.85× 1.24
Florida A&M Rattlers under 56.5 84.6% 80.7% 32.0% 2.52× 1.24
Florida A&M Rattlers over 39.5 100.0% 75.6% 97.0% 0.78× 1.32
Alabama Crimson Tide under 93.5 79.1% 75.1% 96.1% 0.78× 1.33
Florida A&M Rattlers under 54.5 78.2% 75.1% 26.5% 2.84× 1.33
Alabama Crimson Tide over 79.5 75.4% 75.1% 18.7% 4.02× 1.33
Alabama Crimson Tide under 91.5 72.5% 70.7% 95.1% 0.74× 1.41
Florida A&M Rattlers over 44.5 72.7% 70.7% 92.5% 0.76× 1.41
Florida A&M Rattlers under 52.5 70.3% 70.7% 21.5% 3.29× 1.41
Alabama Crimson Tide over 81.5 68.2% 66.4% 15.4% 4.30× 1.51
Alabama Crimson Tide under 89.5 65.0% 61.2% 93.9% 0.65× 1.63
Florida A&M Rattlers over 46.5 61.0% 61.2% 89.7% 0.68× 1.63
Florida A&M Rattlers under 50.5 60.9% 61.2% 16.9% 3.63× 1.63
Alabama Crimson Tide over 83.5 60.2% 61.2% 12.3% 4.97× 1.63
Alabama Crimson Tide under 87.5 56.8% 57.1% 92.3% 0.62× 1.75
Florida A&M Rattlers under 49.5 55.8% 57.1% 14.9% 3.82× 1.75
Alabama Crimson Tide over 85.5 51.7% 52.3% 9.8% 5.34× 1.91
Alabama Crimson Tide under 86.5 52.5% 52.3% 91.2% 0.57× 1.91
Florida A&M Rattlers under 48.5 50.4% 52.3% 13.3% 3.93× 1.91
Florida A&M Rattlers over 48.5 49.6% 47.7% 86.7% 0.55× 2.09
Alabama Crimson Tide under 85.5 48.3% 47.7% 90.2% 0.53× 2.09
Alabama Crimson Tide over 86.5 47.5% 47.7% 8.8% 5.43× 2.09
Florida A&M Rattlers over 49.5 44.2% 42.9% 85.1% 0.50× 2.33
Alabama Crimson Tide over 87.5 43.2% 42.9% 7.7% 5.59× 2.33
Alabama Crimson Tide under 83.5 39.8% 38.8% 87.7% 0.44× 2.58
Florida A&M Rattlers under 46.5 39.0% 38.8% 10.3% 3.77× 2.58
Florida A&M Rattlers over 50.5 39.1% 38.8% 83.1% 0.47× 2.58
Alabama Crimson Tide over 89.5 35.0% 38.8% 6.1% 6.32× 2.58
Alabama Crimson Tide under 81.5 31.8% 33.6% 84.6% 0.40× 2.98
Florida A&M Rattlers over 52.5 29.7% 29.3% 78.5% 0.37× 3.42
Alabama Crimson Tide over 91.5 27.5% 29.3% 4.9% 5.99× 3.42
Florida A&M Rattlers under 44.5 27.3% 29.3% 7.5% 3.92× 3.42
Alabama Crimson Tide under 79.5 24.6% 24.9% 81.3% 0.31× 4.02
Alabama Crimson Tide over 93.5 20.9% 24.9% 3.9% 6.44× 4.02
Florida A&M Rattlers over 54.5 21.8% 24.9% 73.5% 0.34× 4.02
Florida A&M Rattlers under 39.5 0.0% 24.4% 3.0% 8.12× 4.09
Alabama Crimson Tide under 76.5 15.7% 19.3% 75.4% 0.26× 5.18
Florida A&M Rattlers under 42.5 15.8% 19.3% 5.2% 3.73× 5.18
Florida A&M Rattlers over 56.5 15.4% 19.3% 68.0% 0.28× 5.18
Alabama Crimson Tide over 96.5 12.9% 16.1% 2.5% 6.42× 6.21
Florida A&M Rattlers over 59.5 8.5% 13.6% 58.8% 0.23× 7.37
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 115.5 points 95.1% 92.1% 78.8% 1.17× 1.09
Under 155.5 points 93.8% 88.8% 90.7% 0.98× 1.13
Over 120.5 points 88.6% 85.0% 69.8% 1.22× 1.18
Under 150.5 points 88.2% 85.0% 86.1% 0.99× 1.18
Under 145.5 points 79.4% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 125.5 points 77.9% 75.6% 59.5% 1.27× 1.32
Under 142.5 points 72.4% 70.8% 75.1% 0.94× 1.41
Over 128.5 points 69.6% 65.9% 52.8% 1.25× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 67.2% 65.9% 71.8% 0.92× 1.52
Over 130.5 points 63.6% 61.5% 48.3% 1.27× 1.63
Under 138.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 67.9% 0.91× 1.63
Over 132.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 44.0% 1.28× 1.77
Under 136.5 points 55.4% 56.5% 64.2% 0.88× 1.77
Under 135.5 points 52.3% 52.3% 62.4% 0.84× 1.91
Over 134.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 39.8% 1.31× 1.91
Under 134.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 60.2% 0.79× 2.10
Over 135.5 points 47.7% 47.7% 37.6% 1.27× 2.10
Over 136.5 points 44.6% 43.5% 35.8% 1.22× 2.30
Under 132.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
Over 138.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 32.1% 1.20× 2.60
Under 130.5 points 36.4% 38.5% 51.7% 0.75× 2.60
Over 140.5 points 32.8% 34.1% 28.2% 1.21× 2.93
Under 128.5 points 30.4% 34.1% 47.2% 0.72× 2.93
Over 142.5 points 27.6% 29.2% 24.9% 1.17× 3.43
Under 125.5 points 22.1% 24.4% 40.5% 0.60× 4.10
Over 145.5 points 20.6% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Over 150.5 points 11.8% 15.0% 13.9% 1.07× 6.69
Under 120.5 points 11.4% 15.0% 30.2% 0.50× 6.69
Over 155.5 points 6.2% 11.2% 9.3% 1.20× 8.97
Under 115.5 points 4.9% 7.9% 21.2% 0.37× 12.63
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide to win both halves 95.8% 96.2% 36.0% 2.67× 1.04
Florida A&M Rattlers to win both halves 0.0% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.85
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Alabama Crimson Tide by 26+ 85.7% 88.2% 12.6% 6.99× 1.13
Alabama Crimson Tide by 21-25 8.1% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Alabama Crimson Tide by 16-20 4.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
Alabama Crimson Tide by 11-15 1.6% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.31
Alabama Crimson Tide by 1-5 0.1% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 1-5 0.0% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.33
Alabama Crimson Tide by 6-10 0.5% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.32
Florida A&M Rattlers by 6-10 0.0% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 11-15 0.0% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 16-20 0.0% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Florida A&M Rattlers by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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