Alabama Crimson Tide v Kennesaw State Owls — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAB · 2027
NCAAB results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Alabama Crimson Tide win
96.1%
Draw
0.0%
Kennesaw State Owls win
3.9%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 97.83–79.40 | 98-79 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 100+ | 43.5% | 41.9% | 3.4% | 12.18× | 2.39 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 110+ | 11.6% | 13.8% | 0.7% | 20.32× | 7.24 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 120+ | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.87× | 283.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 130+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 19.47× | 283.34 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to score 100+ | 1.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 0.33× | 283.02 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.95× | 283.34 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 12.98× | 283.36 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 38.95× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.87× | 283.09 |
H1 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H1 | 83.1% | 83.6% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H1 | 83.1% | 83.6% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to win H1 | 14.2% | 10.8% | 38.2% | 0.28× | 9.22 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to win H1 | 14.1% | 10.8% | 38.2% | 0.28× | 9.22 |
| H1 tied | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.87 |
| H1 tied | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 0.99× | 25.87 |
H1 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 96.5 | 88.3% | 87.7% | 99.1% | 0.89× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 72.5 | 85.6% | 87.7% | 36.7% | 2.39× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 92.5 | 80.0% | 82.5% | 98.1% | 0.84× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 92.5 | 79.3% | 77.4% | 98.1% | 0.79× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 76.1% | 77.4% | 24.5% | 3.17× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 76.5 | 75.4% | 77.4% | 24.5% | 3.17× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 89.5 | 71.0% | 73.5% | 96.4% | 0.76× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 89.5 | 70.3% | 73.5% | 96.4% | 0.76× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 16.9% | 3.99× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 16.9% | 3.99× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 87.5 | 63.5% | 62.7% | 95.0% | 0.66× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 87.5 | 64.0% | 62.7% | 95.0% | 0.66× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 81.5 | 58.6% | 58.2% | 12.8% | 4.56× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 81.5 | 58.9% | 58.2% | 12.8% | 4.56× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 85.5 | 56.5% | 58.2% | 92.9% | 0.63× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 85.5 | 56.3% | 58.2% | 92.9% | 0.63× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 84.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 91.7% | 0.57× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 84.5 | 52.7% | 52.6% | 91.7% | 0.57× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 83.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 9.7% | 5.40× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 83.5 | 51.2% | 52.6% | 9.7% | 5.40× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 83.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 90.3% | 0.52× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 83.5 | 48.8% | 47.4% | 90.3% | 0.52× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 84.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 8.3% | 5.72× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 84.5 | 47.3% | 47.4% | 8.3% | 5.72× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 85.5 | 43.7% | 41.8% | 7.1% | 5.84× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 85.5 | 43.5% | 41.8% | 7.1% | 5.84× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 81.5 | 41.4% | 41.8% | 87.2% | 0.48× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 81.5 | 41.1% | 41.8% | 87.2% | 0.48× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 87.5 | 36.5% | 37.3% | 5.0% | 7.39× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 87.5 | 36.0% | 37.3% | 5.0% | 7.39× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 83.1% | 0.39× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 83.1% | 0.39× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 89.5 | 29.7% | 26.5% | 3.6% | 7.30× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 89.5 | 29.0% | 26.5% | 3.6% | 7.30× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 24.6% | 22.6% | 75.5% | 0.30× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 76.5 | 23.9% | 22.6% | 75.5% | 0.30× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 92.5 | 20.7% | 22.6% | 1.9% | 12.03× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 92.5 | 20.0% | 17.5% | 1.9% | 9.32× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 72.5 | 14.4% | 12.3% | 63.3% | 0.19× | 8.13 |
| H1 over 96.5 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 0.9% | 13.17× | 8.14 |
H2 result 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H2 | 84.9% | 79.6% | 56.9% | 1.40× | 1.26 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H2 | 84.9% | 79.6% | 57.5% | 1.39× | 1.26 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to win H2 | 12.7% | 14.8% | 38.5% | 0.38× | 6.77 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to win H2 | 12.6% | 14.8% | 38.9% | 0.38× | 6.77 |
| H2 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 0.97× | 25.37 |
| H2 tied | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 0.95× | 25.37 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 105.5 | 85.8% | 85.2% | 97.2% | 0.88× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 85.5% | 85.2% | 37.8% | 2.26× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 101.5 | 77.5% | 75.8% | 97.4% | 0.78× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 75.9% | 75.8% | 26.7% | 2.84× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 101.5 | 76.3% | 75.8% | 95.4% | 0.79× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 85.5 | 76.3% | 75.8% | 23.2% | 3.27× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 67.1% | 66.4% | 16.7% | 3.97× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 98.5 | 68.3% | 66.4% | 95.8% | 0.69× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 98.5 | 67.4% | 66.4% | 93.3% | 0.71× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 88.5 | 66.9% | 66.4% | 20.2% | 3.28× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 96.5 | 61.5% | 61.6% | 94.1% | 0.65× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 90.5 | 60.2% | 61.6% | 13.1% | 4.70× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 90.5 | 60.2% | 61.6% | 16.4% | 3.77× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 96.5 | 60.8% | 61.6% | 91.4% | 0.67× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 94.5 | 54.3% | 52.4% | 92.4% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 94.5 | 53.8% | 52.4% | 89.5% | 0.59× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 92.5 | 53.0% | 52.4% | 9.9% | 5.27× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 92.5 | 53.3% | 52.4% | 13.1% | 4.01× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 93.5 | 50.6% | 52.4% | 91.2% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 93.5 | 50.3% | 52.4% | 88.2% | 0.59× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 93.5 | 49.4% | 47.6% | 8.8% | 5.44× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 93.5 | 49.7% | 47.6% | 11.8% | 4.03× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 92.5 | 47.0% | 47.6% | 90.1% | 0.53× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 92.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 86.9% | 0.55× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 94.5 | 45.7% | 47.6% | 7.6% | 6.30× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 94.5 | 46.2% | 47.6% | 10.5% | 4.54× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 90.5 | 39.8% | 38.4% | 86.9% | 0.44× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 90.5 | 39.8% | 38.4% | 83.6% | 0.46× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 96.5 | 39.2% | 38.4% | 8.6% | 4.46× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 96.5 | 38.5% | 38.4% | 5.9% | 6.55× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 33.1% | 33.6% | 79.8% | 0.42× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 88.5 | 32.9% | 33.6% | 83.3% | 0.40× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 98.5 | 31.7% | 33.6% | 4.2% | 7.96× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 98.5 | 32.6% | 33.6% | 6.7% | 5.02× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 76.8% | 0.32× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 85.5 | 24.1% | 24.2% | 73.3% | 0.33× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 101.5 | 23.7% | 24.2% | 4.6% | 5.21× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 101.5 | 22.5% | 24.2% | 2.6% | 9.41× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 14.5% | 14.8% | 62.2% | 0.24× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 14.2% | 14.8% | 2.8% | 5.27× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide leading at half time | 83.1% | 83.3% | 57.9% | 1.44× | 1.20 |
| Kennesaw State Owls leading at half time | 14.2% | 10.4% | 38.2% | 0.27× | 9.64 |
| Level at half time | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 0.97× | 26.42 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide +8.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 83.3% | 1.17× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +9.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 85.3% | 1.14× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +10.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 87.2% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +12.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 89.9% | 1.08× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 92.2% | 1.06× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +16.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 94.0% | 1.04× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 95.4% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 96.5% | 1.01× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5 | 96.8% | 97.4% | 65.4% | 1.49× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +2.5 | 97.4% | 97.4% | 68.0% | 1.43× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +3.5 | 97.9% | 97.4% | 70.8% | 1.38× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +4.5 | 98.4% | 97.4% | 73.7% | 1.32× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 76.4% | 1.28× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 78.8% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +7.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 81.0% | 1.20× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −1.5 | 95.1% | 97.4% | 60.8% | 1.60× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −2.5 | 93.9% | 91.1% | 57.7% | 1.58× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −3.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 54.1% | 1.68× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −4.5 | 91.1% | 91.1% | 50.7% | 1.80× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −5.5 | 89.3% | 85.9% | 47.0% | 1.83× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −6.5 | 87.4% | 85.9% | 44.3% | 1.94× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −7.5 | 85.3% | 85.9% | 41.3% | 2.08× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −8.5 | 83.0% | 81.1% | 38.5% | 2.11× | 1.23 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −9.5 | 80.4% | 81.1% | 35.5% | 2.29× | 1.23 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −10.5 | 77.7% | 76.5% | 32.6% | 2.34× | 1.31 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −12.5 | 71.6% | 71.6% | 27.6% | 2.59× | 1.40 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −14.5 | 64.8% | 61.9% | 22.8% | 2.71× | 1.62 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −16.5 | 57.6% | 57.1% | 19.3% | 2.96× | 1.75 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +20.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 86.5% | 0.66× | 1.75 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −18.5 | 50.1% | 52.4% | 16.1% | 3.24× | 1.91 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +18.5 | 49.9% | 47.6% | 83.9% | 0.57× | 2.10 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +16.5 | 42.4% | 42.9% | 80.7% | 0.53× | 2.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −20.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 13.5% | 3.19× | 2.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +14.5 | 35.2% | 38.1% | 77.2% | 0.49× | 2.63 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +12.5 | 28.4% | 28.4% | 72.4% | 0.39× | 3.53 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +10.5 | 22.4% | 23.5% | 67.4% | 0.35× | 4.25 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +9.5 | 19.6% | 18.9% | 64.5% | 0.29× | 5.29 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +8.5 | 17.0% | 18.9% | 61.5% | 0.31× | 5.29 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +7.5 | 14.7% | 14.1% | 58.7% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +6.5 | 12.6% | 14.1% | 55.7% | 0.25× | 7.09 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +5.5 | 10.7% | 14.1% | 53.0% | 0.27× | 7.09 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +4.5 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 49.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +2.5 | 6.1% | 8.9% | 42.3% | 0.21× | 11.25 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +3.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 45.9% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| Kennesaw State Owls +1.5 | 4.9% | 2.6% | 39.2% | 0.07× | 38.72 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −1.5 | 3.2% | 2.6% | 34.6% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −2.5 | 2.6% | 2.6% | 32.0% | 0.08× | 38.73 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −3.5 | 2.1% | 2.6% | 29.3% | 0.09× | 38.73 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −4.5 | 1.6% | 2.6% | 26.3% | 0.10× | 38.73 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −5.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 23.6% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −6.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 21.2% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −7.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 19.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −8.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 16.7% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −9.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 14.7% | 0.18× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −10.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 12.8% | 0.20× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −12.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 10.1% | 0.26× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 7.8% | 0.33× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −16.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 0.43× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 0.57× | 38.74 |
| Kennesaw State Owls −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 0.75× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 highest scoring | 83.5% | 71.6% | 70.4% | 1.02× | 1.40 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 81.9% | 71.5% | 72.5% | 0.99× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 18.1% | 28.5% | 27.5% | 1.04× | 3.51 |
| H1 highest scoring | 16.5% | 28.4% | 29.6% | 0.96× | 3.52 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 81.7% | 84.5% | 48.6% | 1.74× | 1.18 |
| Kennesaw State Owls at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.4% | 0.99× | 8.18 |
| Level at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 0.92× | 47.75 |
| Kennesaw State Owls at HT / Kennesaw State Owls at FT | 2.3% | 2.1% | 25.8% | 0.08× | 47.75 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Kennesaw State Owls at FT | 1.4% | 2.1% | 9.3% | 0.22× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / Kennesaw State Owls at FT | 0.2% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 1.28× | 47.79 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win | 96.1% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to win | 3.9% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.86 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Kennesaw State Owls even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.4% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.4% | 50.5% | 51.6% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Kennesaw State Owls odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.6% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.6% | 49.5% | 48.4% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 96.7% | 97.0% | 94.2% | 1.03× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 3.3% | 3.0% | 5.8% | 0.52× | 33.43 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 108.5 | 86.2% | 83.9% | 99.2% | 0.85× | 1.19 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 89.5 | 85.8% | 83.9% | 93.5% | 0.90× | 1.19 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 69.5 | 84.9% | 80.7% | 54.8% | 1.47× | 1.24 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 88.5 | 83.4% | 80.7% | 15.2% | 5.31× | 1.24 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 105.5 | 78.3% | 75.1% | 98.8% | 0.76× | 1.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 72.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 44.7% | 1.68× | 1.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 86.5 | 77.5% | 75.1% | 90.2% | 0.83× | 1.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 91.5 | 74.5% | 70.7% | 10.3% | 6.85× | 1.41 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 103.5 | 71.8% | 70.7% | 98.3% | 0.72× | 1.41 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 84.5 | 70.7% | 70.7% | 87.2% | 0.81× | 1.41 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 74.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 38.3% | 1.73× | 1.51 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 93.5 | 67.5% | 66.4% | 7.9% | 8.37× | 1.51 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 101.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 97.5% | 0.63× | 1.63 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 82.5 | 63.1% | 61.2% | 83.3% | 0.74× | 1.63 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 76.5 | 61.7% | 61.2% | 32.1% | 1.91× | 1.63 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 95.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 6.0% | 9.56× | 1.75 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 99.5 | 56.5% | 57.1% | 96.6% | 0.59× | 1.75 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 80.5 | 54.9% | 52.3% | 78.8% | 0.66× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 97.5 | 51.7% | 52.3% | 4.6% | 11.44× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 98.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 96.0% | 0.54× | 1.91 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 78.5 | 53.5% | 52.3% | 26.3% | 1.99× | 1.91 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 79.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 76.3% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 79.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 23.7% | 2.01× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 97.5 | 48.3% | 47.7% | 95.4% | 0.50× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 98.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 4.0% | 12.06× | 2.09 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 78.5 | 46.5% | 47.7% | 73.7% | 0.65× | 2.09 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 80.5 | 45.1% | 47.7% | 21.2% | 2.25× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 99.5 | 43.5% | 42.9% | 3.4% | 12.46× | 2.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 95.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 94.0% | 0.46× | 2.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 76.5 | 38.3% | 38.8% | 67.9% | 0.57× | 2.58 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 82.5 | 36.9% | 38.8% | 16.7% | 2.32× | 2.58 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 101.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 2.5% | 15.80× | 2.58 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 93.5 | 32.5% | 33.6% | 92.1% | 0.37× | 2.98 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 74.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 61.7% | 0.54× | 2.98 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 84.5 | 29.3% | 29.3% | 12.8% | 2.28× | 3.42 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 103.5 | 28.2% | 29.3% | 1.7% | 16.92× | 3.42 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 91.5 | 25.5% | 29.3% | 89.7% | 0.33× | 3.42 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 72.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 55.3% | 0.45× | 4.02 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 86.5 | 22.5% | 24.9% | 9.8% | 2.54× | 4.02 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 105.5 | 21.7% | 24.9% | 1.2% | 20.19× | 4.02 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 88.5 | 16.6% | 19.3% | 84.8% | 0.23× | 5.18 |
| Kennesaw State Owls under 69.5 | 15.1% | 19.3% | 45.2% | 0.43× | 5.18 |
| Kennesaw State Owls over 89.5 | 14.2% | 16.1% | 6.5% | 2.49× | 6.21 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 108.5 | 13.8% | 16.1% | 0.8% | 19.96× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 157.5 points | 89.1% | 85.0% | 28.4% | 2.99× | 1.18 |
| Under 197.5 points | 89.7% | 85.0% | 99.1% | 0.86× | 1.18 |
| Under 192.5 points | 83.0% | 80.6% | 98.5% | 0.82× | 1.24 |
| Over 162.5 points | 82.1% | 80.6% | 20.6% | 3.91× | 1.24 |
| Under 187.5 points | 73.9% | 70.8% | 97.6% | 0.73× | 1.41 |
| Over 167.5 points | 72.8% | 70.8% | 14.4% | 4.93× | 1.41 |
| Under 184.5 points | 67.5% | 65.9% | 96.9% | 0.68× | 1.52 |
| Over 170.5 points | 66.3% | 65.9% | 11.4% | 5.80× | 1.52 |
| Under 182.5 points | 62.9% | 61.5% | 96.2% | 0.64× | 1.63 |
| Over 172.5 points | 61.6% | 61.5% | 9.5% | 6.48× | 1.63 |
| Under 180.5 points | 58.1% | 56.5% | 95.4% | 0.59× | 1.77 |
| Over 174.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 8.1% | 6.95× | 1.77 |
| Over 176.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 7.0% | 7.53× | 1.91 |
| Under 178.5 points | 53.1% | 52.3% | 94.2% | 0.56× | 1.91 |
| Under 177.5 points | 50.7% | 52.3% | 93.6% | 0.56× | 1.91 |
| Over 177.5 points | 49.3% | 47.7% | 6.4% | 7.48× | 2.10 |
| Under 176.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 93.1% | 0.51× | 2.10 |
| Over 178.5 points | 46.9% | 47.7% | 5.8% | 8.20× | 2.10 |
| Under 174.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 91.9% | 0.47× | 2.30 |
| Over 180.5 points | 41.9% | 43.5% | 4.6% | 9.46× | 2.30 |
| Under 172.5 points | 38.4% | 38.5% | 90.5% | 0.43× | 2.60 |
| Over 182.5 points | 37.1% | 38.5% | 3.8% | 10.07× | 2.60 |
| Under 170.5 points | 33.7% | 34.1% | 88.6% | 0.38× | 2.93 |
| Over 184.5 points | 32.5% | 34.1% | 3.1% | 10.91× | 2.93 |
| Under 167.5 points | 27.2% | 29.2% | 85.6% | 0.34× | 3.43 |
| Over 187.5 points | 26.1% | 29.2% | 2.4% | 12.28× | 3.43 |
| Under 162.5 points | 17.9% | 19.4% | 79.4% | 0.24× | 5.15 |
| Over 192.5 points | 17.0% | 19.4% | 1.5% | 12.54× | 5.15 |
| Under 157.5 points | 10.9% | 15.0% | 71.6% | 0.21× | 6.69 |
| Over 197.5 points | 10.3% | 15.0% | 0.9% | 17.19× | 6.69 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win both halves | 69.1% | 66.9% | 33.2% | 2.02× | 1.50 |
| Kennesaw State Owls to win both halves | 0.8% | 3.0% | 14.5% | 0.20× | 33.80 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 26+ | 25.7% | 30.6% | 7.9% | 3.87× | 3.27 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 16-20 | 18.6% | 16.8% | 7.6% | 2.20× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 11-15 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 11.6% | 1.45× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 21-25 | 17.0% | 16.8% | 5.6% | 3.01× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 6-10 | 11.7% | 12.3% | 14.4% | 0.86× | 8.11 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 1-5 | 6.7% | 7.5% | 16.2% | 0.46× | 13.40 |
| Kennesaw State Owls by 1-5 | 2.6% | 2.0% | 13.2% | 0.15× | 49.30 |
| Kennesaw State Owls by 6-10 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.32 |
| Kennesaw State Owls by 11-15 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 6.1% | 0.33× | 49.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls by 16-20 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 0.61× | 49.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 1.06× | 49.33 |
| Kennesaw State Owls by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.30× | 49.33 |