Alabama Crimson Tide v UL Monroe Warhawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Alabama Crimson Tide win
97.9%
Draw
0.0%
UL Monroe Warhawks win
2.1%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 78.80–56.17 | 79-56 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 100+ | 1.6% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.05 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 110+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.34 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H1 | 87.7% | 88.7% | 56.4% | 1.57× | 1.13 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win H1 | 10.1% | 10.7% | 39.9% | 0.27× | 9.32 |
| H1 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 77.5 | 89.6% | 87.7% | 91.6% | 0.96× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 53.5 | 87.4% | 87.7% | 76.8% | 1.14× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 80.6% | 82.5% | 85.6% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 77.0% | 77.4% | 64.8% | 1.19× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 71.4% | 73.5% | 78.9% | 0.93× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 60.5 | 66.8% | 67.4% | 53.9% | 1.25× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 68.5 | 64.3% | 62.7% | 73.5% | 0.85× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 59.2% | 58.2% | 46.3% | 1.26× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 56.7% | 58.2% | 67.1% | 0.87× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 52.7% | 52.6% | 63.9% | 0.82× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 64.5 | 51.3% | 52.6% | 39.3% | 1.34× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 64.5 | 48.7% | 47.4% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 47.3% | 47.4% | 36.1% | 1.31× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 43.3% | 41.8% | 32.9% | 1.27× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 40.8% | 41.8% | 53.7% | 0.78× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 68.5 | 35.7% | 37.3% | 26.5% | 1.41× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 60.5 | 33.2% | 32.6% | 46.1% | 0.71× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 28.6% | 26.5% | 21.1% | 1.26× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 23.0% | 22.6% | 35.2% | 0.64× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 19.4% | 17.5% | 14.4% | 1.21× | 5.72 |
| H1 under 53.5 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 23.2% | 0.53× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 10.4% | 12.3% | 8.4% | 1.47× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win H2 | 89.1% | 84.2% | 56.0% | 1.50× | 1.19 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win H2 | 9.0% | 11.3% | 40.6% | 0.28× | 8.82 |
| H2 tied | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 83.5 | 88.3% | 85.2% | 88.9% | 0.96× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 59.5 | 86.7% | 85.2% | 77.0% | 1.11× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 79.5 | 79.1% | 75.8% | 82.0% | 0.92× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 76.5% | 75.8% | 65.3% | 1.16× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 70.0% | 72.2% | 75.6% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 66.5 | 66.7% | 66.4% | 55.4% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 74.5 | 63.1% | 61.6% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 59.4% | 57.3% | 48.7% | 1.18× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 72.5 | 55.8% | 57.3% | 64.1% | 0.90× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 70.5 | 51.9% | 52.4% | 42.2% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 70.5 | 48.2% | 47.6% | 57.8% | 0.82× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 72.5 | 44.2% | 42.7% | 36.0% | 1.19× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 40.6% | 42.7% | 51.3% | 0.83× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 74.5 | 36.9% | 38.4% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 66.5 | 33.3% | 33.6% | 44.6% | 0.75× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 30.0% | 27.8% | 24.4% | 1.14× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 23.5% | 24.2% | 34.7% | 0.70× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 79.5 | 20.9% | 24.2% | 18.0% | 1.35× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 59.5 | 13.3% | 14.8% | 23.0% | 0.64× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 83.5 | 11.7% | 14.8% | 11.1% | 1.33× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide leading at half time | 87.7% | 89.4% | 56.4% | 1.58× | 1.12 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks leading at half time | 10.1% | 10.2% | 39.9% | 0.26× | 9.79 |
| Level at half time | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide +5.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 70.1% | 1.39× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +6.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 72.3% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +7.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 74.5% | 1.31× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +8.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 76.5% | 1.27× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +9.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +10.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +14.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −1.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 58.7% | 1.66× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +1.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 61.2% | 1.59× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −2.5 | 96.7% | 97.4% | 56.7% | 1.72× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +2.5 | 98.7% | 97.4% | 63.3% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −3.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 54.2% | 1.80× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +3.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 65.7% | 1.48× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide +4.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 67.8% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −4.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 52.2% | 1.75× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −5.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 49.7% | 1.83× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −6.5 | 92.6% | 91.1% | 47.6% | 1.91× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −7.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 44.8% | 2.04× | 1.10 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −8.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 42.0% | 2.05× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −9.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 39.3% | 2.19× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −10.5 | 85.9% | 85.9% | 36.8% | 2.33× | 1.16 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −12.5 | 81.3% | 81.1% | 32.1% | 2.52× | 1.23 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −14.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 27.9% | 2.74× | 1.31 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −16.5 | 70.0% | 66.7% | 24.3% | 2.75× | 1.50 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −18.5 | 63.4% | 61.9% | 20.7% | 2.99× | 1.62 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide −20.5 | 56.3% | 57.1% | 18.0% | 3.17× | 1.75 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +20.5 | 43.7% | 42.9% | 82.0% | 0.52× | 2.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +18.5 | 36.6% | 38.1% | 79.3% | 0.48× | 2.63 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +16.5 | 30.0% | 33.3% | 75.7% | 0.44× | 3.01 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +14.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 72.1% | 0.33× | 4.25 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +12.5 | 18.7% | 18.9% | 67.9% | 0.28× | 5.29 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +10.5 | 14.2% | 14.1% | 63.2% | 0.22× | 7.09 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +9.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 60.7% | 0.23× | 7.09 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +8.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 58.0% | 0.24× | 7.09 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +7.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 55.2% | 0.16× | 11.25 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +5.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 50.3% | 0.18× | 11.25 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +6.5 | 7.4% | 8.9% | 52.4% | 0.17× | 11.25 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +4.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 47.8% | 0.19× | 11.25 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +1.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 41.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −1.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 38.8% | 0.07× | 38.73 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +2.5 | 3.3% | 2.6% | 43.3% | 0.06× | 38.73 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −2.5 | 1.3% | 2.6% | 36.7% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks +3.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 45.8% | 0.06× | 38.72 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −3.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 34.3% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −4.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 32.2% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −5.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 29.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −6.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 27.7% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −7.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 25.5% | 0.10× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −8.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 23.5% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −9.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −10.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.8% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 27.2% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.7% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 33.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 16.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.4% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 87.0% | 89.1% | 48.3% | 1.85× | 1.12 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 0.85× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Alabama Crimson Tide at FT | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.76 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide at HT / UL Monroe Warhawks at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 8.2% | 0.26× | 47.78 |
| Level at HT / UL Monroe Warhawks at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.79 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks at HT / UL Monroe Warhawks at FT | 1.2% | 2.1% | 30.1% | 0.07× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win | 97.9% | 97.5% | 59.9% | 1.63× | 1.03 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win | 2.1% | 2.5% | 40.1% | 0.06× | 39.38 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks even | 50.2% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks odd | 49.8% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.3% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.54 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q1 | 77.2% | 79.9% | 54.7% | 1.46× | 1.25 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win Q1 | 18.4% | 15.7% | 40.4% | 0.39× | 6.36 |
| Q1 tied | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.96 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 over 24.5 | 88.7% | 87.4% | 81.8% | 1.07× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 88.0% | 87.4% | 89.9% | 0.97× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 27.5 | 77.7% | 76.9% | 67.7% | 1.14× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 76.7% | 76.9% | 81.6% | 0.94× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 67.8% | 67.6% | 56.9% | 1.19× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 35.5 | 66.7% | 67.6% | 73.2% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 56.5% | 58.6% | 46.0% | 1.27× | 1.71 |
| Q1 under 33.5 | 55.3% | 58.6% | 64.0% | 0.92× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 50.6% | 52.7% | 40.9% | 1.29× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 49.4% | 47.3% | 59.1% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 33.5 | 44.7% | 41.4% | 36.0% | 1.15× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 43.5% | 41.4% | 54.0% | 0.77× | 2.42 |
| Q1 over 35.5 | 33.3% | 32.4% | 26.8% | 1.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 32.2% | 32.4% | 43.1% | 0.75× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 23.3% | 23.1% | 18.4% | 1.26× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 27.5 | 22.3% | 23.1% | 32.3% | 0.71× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 12.0% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 1.25× | 7.95 |
| Q1 under 24.5 | 11.3% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 0.69× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q2 | 76.5% | 80.7% | 52.9% | 1.53× | 1.24 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win Q2 | 19.1% | 14.7% | 41.5% | 0.35× | 6.81 |
| Q2 tied | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 40.5 | 89.0% | 87.3% | 90.8% | 0.96× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 24.5 | 87.7% | 87.3% | 80.7% | 1.08× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 78.2% | 76.8% | 82.3% | 0.93× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 27.5 | 76.2% | 76.8% | 66.7% | 1.15× | 1.30 |
| Q2 under 35.5 | 68.5% | 67.4% | 74.6% | 0.90× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 66.0% | 67.4% | 55.8% | 1.21× | 1.49 |
| Q2 under 33.5 | 57.3% | 58.2% | 65.6% | 0.89× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 54.5% | 52.7% | 44.3% | 1.19× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 51.4% | 52.7% | 60.8% | 0.87× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 48.6% | 47.3% | 39.2% | 1.21× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 45.5% | 47.3% | 55.7% | 0.85× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 33.5 | 42.7% | 41.8% | 34.4% | 1.22× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 34.0% | 32.6% | 44.2% | 0.74× | 3.06 |
| Q2 over 35.5 | 31.5% | 32.6% | 25.4% | 1.29× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 27.5 | 23.8% | 23.2% | 33.3% | 0.70× | 4.31 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 21.8% | 23.2% | 17.7% | 1.31× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 24.5 | 12.3% | 12.7% | 19.3% | 0.66× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 11.0% | 12.7% | 9.2% | 1.38× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q3 | 78.7% | 81.6% | 53.3% | 1.53× | 1.23 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win Q3 | 17.2% | 15.1% | 41.8% | 0.36× | 6.64 |
| Q3 tied | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.45 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 43.5 | 87.7% | 87.2% | 90.2% | 0.97× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 27.5 | 87.8% | 87.2% | 80.0% | 1.09× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 76.7% | 77.3% | 81.9% | 0.94× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 30.5 | 76.6% | 77.3% | 66.8% | 1.16× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 38.5 | 66.9% | 67.8% | 73.9% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 32.5 | 66.8% | 67.8% | 56.1% | 1.21× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 55.6% | 58.4% | 45.4% | 1.29× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 36.5 | 55.9% | 58.4% | 64.6% | 0.90× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 50.1% | 52.3% | 59.7% | 0.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 49.9% | 47.7% | 40.3% | 1.18× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 44.4% | 41.6% | 54.6% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 36.5 | 44.1% | 41.6% | 35.4% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 33.2% | 32.2% | 43.9% | 0.73× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 38.5 | 33.1% | 32.2% | 26.1% | 1.23× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 23.3% | 22.7% | 18.1% | 1.25× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 30.5 | 23.4% | 22.7% | 33.2% | 0.69× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 12.3% | 12.8% | 9.8% | 1.30× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 27.5 | 12.2% | 12.8% | 20.0% | 0.64× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win Q4 | 78.3% | 71.6% | 52.8% | 1.35× | 1.40 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win Q4 | 17.7% | 22.6% | 41.5% | 0.55× | 4.42 |
| Q4 tied | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 27.5 | 86.6% | 85.6% | 78.9% | 1.09× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 86.1% | 85.6% | 88.6% | 0.97× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 30.5 | 75.6% | 76.9% | 66.3% | 1.16× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 75.1% | 76.9% | 80.6% | 0.95× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 32.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 55.4% | 1.22× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 38.5 | 65.7% | 67.4% | 73.1% | 0.92× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 55.7% | 58.4% | 45.6% | 1.28× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 36.5 | 55.2% | 58.4% | 64.3% | 0.91× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 50.3% | 52.5% | 40.6% | 1.29× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 49.7% | 47.5% | 59.4% | 0.80× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 36.5 | 44.8% | 41.6% | 35.7% | 1.17× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 44.3% | 41.6% | 54.4% | 0.76× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 38.5 | 34.3% | 32.6% | 26.9% | 1.21× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 44.6% | 0.73× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 24.9% | 23.1% | 19.4% | 1.19× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 30.5 | 24.4% | 23.1% | 33.7% | 0.68× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 13.9% | 14.4% | 11.4% | 1.26× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 27.5 | 13.4% | 14.4% | 21.1% | 0.68× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 67.5 | 88.6% | 83.9% | 65.6% | 1.28× | 1.19 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 89.5 | 86.5% | 83.9% | 93.9% | 0.89× | 1.19 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 47.5 | 85.5% | 83.9% | 88.4% | 0.95× | 1.19 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 69.5 | 84.5% | 80.7% | 42.6% | 1.90× | 1.24 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 64.5 | 81.0% | 80.7% | 56.9% | 1.42× | 1.24 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 86.5 | 78.4% | 75.1% | 91.2% | 0.82× | 1.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 72.5 | 75.7% | 75.1% | 34.3% | 2.19× | 1.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 50.5 | 75.6% | 75.1% | 83.1% | 0.90× | 1.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 62.5 | 74.5% | 70.7% | 51.0% | 1.39× | 1.41 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 84.5 | 71.7% | 70.7% | 88.9% | 0.80× | 1.41 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 74.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 29.3% | 2.27× | 1.51 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 52.5 | 67.7% | 66.4% | 78.5% | 0.85× | 1.51 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 60.5 | 67.0% | 66.4% | 44.4% | 1.50× | 1.51 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 82.5 | 64.2% | 61.2% | 86.2% | 0.71× | 1.63 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 76.5 | 60.7% | 61.2% | 24.6% | 2.49× | 1.63 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 54.5 | 59.1% | 57.1% | 73.5% | 0.78× | 1.75 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 58.5 | 58.6% | 57.1% | 37.9% | 1.51× | 1.75 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 80.5 | 56.0% | 57.1% | 82.9% | 0.69× | 1.75 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 57.5 | 54.2% | 52.3% | 34.9% | 1.50× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 78.5 | 52.4% | 52.3% | 20.6% | 2.53× | 1.91 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 79.5 | 51.8% | 52.3% | 81.3% | 0.64× | 1.91 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 56.5 | 50.2% | 52.3% | 68.0% | 0.77× | 1.91 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 56.5 | 49.8% | 47.7% | 32.0% | 1.49× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 78.5 | 47.6% | 47.7% | 79.4% | 0.60× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 79.5 | 48.2% | 47.7% | 18.7% | 2.55× | 2.09 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 57.5 | 45.8% | 47.7% | 65.1% | 0.73× | 2.09 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 80.5 | 44.0% | 42.9% | 17.1% | 2.51× | 2.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 58.5 | 41.4% | 42.9% | 62.1% | 0.69× | 2.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 54.5 | 40.9% | 42.9% | 26.5% | 1.62× | 2.33 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 76.5 | 39.3% | 38.8% | 75.4% | 0.51× | 2.58 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 82.5 | 35.8% | 38.8% | 13.8% | 2.82× | 2.58 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 60.5 | 33.0% | 33.6% | 55.6% | 0.60× | 2.98 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 52.5 | 32.3% | 33.6% | 21.5% | 1.56× | 2.98 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 74.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 70.7% | 0.48× | 2.98 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 84.5 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 11.1% | 2.64× | 3.42 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 62.5 | 25.5% | 29.3% | 49.0% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 72.5 | 24.3% | 24.9% | 65.7% | 0.38× | 4.02 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 50.5 | 24.4% | 24.9% | 16.9% | 1.48× | 4.02 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 86.5 | 21.6% | 24.9% | 8.8% | 2.83× | 4.02 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 64.5 | 19.0% | 19.3% | 43.2% | 0.45× | 5.18 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide under 69.5 | 15.5% | 19.3% | 57.4% | 0.34× | 5.18 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks under 47.5 | 14.5% | 16.1% | 11.6% | 1.39× | 6.21 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide over 89.5 | 13.5% | 16.1% | 6.1% | 2.62× | 6.21 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks over 67.5 | 11.4% | 16.1% | 34.4% | 0.47× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 156.5 points | 92.0% | 88.8% | 91.3% | 0.97× | 1.13 |
| Over 116.5 points | 91.5% | 88.8% | 77.2% | 1.15× | 1.13 |
| Under 151.5 points | 85.8% | 85.0% | 87.3% | 0.97× | 1.18 |
| Over 121.5 points | 84.1% | 80.6% | 67.7% | 1.19× | 1.24 |
| Under 146.5 points | 76.9% | 75.6% | 80.9% | 0.93× | 1.32 |
| Over 126.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 57.4% | 1.24× | 1.41 |
| Under 143.5 points | 70.3% | 70.8% | 76.7% | 0.92× | 1.41 |
| Over 129.5 points | 66.5% | 65.9% | 50.5% | 1.30× | 1.52 |
| Under 141.5 points | 65.5% | 65.9% | 73.4% | 0.90× | 1.52 |
| Over 131.5 points | 61.3% | 61.5% | 46.1% | 1.33× | 1.63 |
| Under 139.5 points | 60.4% | 61.5% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Over 133.5 points | 55.9% | 56.5% | 42.0% | 1.35× | 1.77 |
| Under 137.5 points | 55.0% | 56.5% | 66.2% | 0.85× | 1.77 |
| Under 136.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 64.2% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Over 135.5 points | 50.4% | 52.3% | 37.6% | 1.39× | 1.91 |
| Under 135.5 points | 49.6% | 47.7% | 62.4% | 0.76× | 2.10 |
| Over 136.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 35.8% | 1.33× | 2.10 |
| Under 133.5 points | 44.1% | 43.5% | 58.0% | 0.75× | 2.30 |
| Over 137.5 points | 45.0% | 43.5% | 33.8% | 1.29× | 2.30 |
| Over 139.5 points | 39.6% | 38.5% | 30.1% | 1.28× | 2.60 |
| Under 131.5 points | 38.7% | 38.5% | 53.9% | 0.71× | 2.60 |
| Over 141.5 points | 34.5% | 34.1% | 26.6% | 1.28× | 2.93 |
| Under 129.5 points | 33.5% | 34.1% | 49.5% | 0.69× | 2.93 |
| Over 143.5 points | 29.7% | 29.2% | 23.3% | 1.25× | 3.43 |
| Under 126.5 points | 26.2% | 29.2% | 42.6% | 0.68× | 3.43 |
| Over 146.5 points | 23.1% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 1.28× | 4.10 |
| Under 121.5 points | 15.9% | 19.4% | 32.3% | 0.60× | 5.15 |
| Over 151.5 points | 14.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 1.17× | 6.68 |
| Under 116.5 points | 8.5% | 11.2% | 22.8% | 0.49× | 8.96 |
| Over 156.5 points | 8.0% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 1.29× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide to win both halves | 77.5% | 77.1% | 36.0% | 2.14× | 1.30 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks to win both halves | 0.4% | 3.0% | 20.4% | 0.15× | 33.82 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 26+ | 38.3% | 40.0% | 12.6% | 3.17× | 2.50 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 21-25 | 18.1% | 16.8% | 5.4% | 3.11× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 16-20 | 16.8% | 16.8% | 8.0% | 2.08× | 5.97 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 11-15 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 1.14× | 8.11 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 6-10 | 8.0% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 0.58× | 13.40 |
| Alabama Crimson Tide by 1-5 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks by 1-5 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks by 6-10 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 10.3% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| UL Monroe Warhawks by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |