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Arizona State Sun Devils v Wake Forest Demon Deacons — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 29 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Arizona State Sun Devils win
86.6%
Draw
0.0%
Wake Forest Demon Deacons win
13.4%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 69.33–57.03 69-57 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.34
Arizona State Sun Devils to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Arizona State Sun Devils to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Arizona State Sun Devils to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win H1 72.8% 73.0% 56.4% 1.29× 1.37
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win H1 23.5% 21.4% 39.9% 0.54× 4.67
H1 tied 3.7% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 48.5 89.0% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 under 72.5 88.0% 87.7% 83.6% 1.05× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 79.4% 77.4% 79.6% 0.97× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 78.2% 77.4% 73.5% 1.05× 1.29
H1 over 55.5 69.8% 67.4% 71.0% 0.95× 1.48
H1 under 65.5 68.5% 67.4% 63.9% 1.06× 1.48
H1 over 57.5 62.4% 62.7% 64.8% 0.97× 1.59
H1 under 63.5 61.1% 62.7% 57.1% 1.10× 1.59
H1 over 59.5 54.6% 52.6% 57.8% 0.91× 1.90
H1 under 61.5 53.3% 52.6% 49.8% 1.06× 1.90
H1 over 60.5 50.7% 52.6% 53.9% 0.98× 1.90
H1 under 60.5 49.3% 47.4% 46.1% 1.03× 2.11
H1 over 61.5 46.7% 47.4% 50.2% 0.94× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 45.4% 47.4% 42.2% 1.12× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 38.9% 37.3% 42.9% 0.87× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 37.6% 37.3% 35.2% 1.06× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 31.5% 32.6% 36.1% 0.90× 3.07
H1 under 55.5 30.2% 32.6% 29.0% 1.12× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 21.8% 22.6% 26.5% 0.85× 4.43
H1 under 52.5 20.6% 22.6% 20.4% 1.11× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 12.0% 12.3% 16.4% 0.75× 8.14
H1 under 48.5 11.0% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win H2 74.2% 67.6% 56.0% 1.21× 1.48
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win H2 22.4% 26.9% 40.6% 0.66× 3.72
H2 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 54.5 87.5% 85.2% 88.0% 0.97× 1.17
H2 under 78.5 87.4% 85.2% 80.1% 1.06× 1.17
H2 over 58.5 77.7% 75.8% 79.6% 0.95× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 77.8% 75.8% 69.9% 1.08× 1.32
H2 under 71.5 68.5% 66.4% 61.1% 1.09× 1.51
H2 over 61.5 68.2% 66.4% 71.3% 0.93× 1.51
H2 under 69.5 61.5% 61.6% 54.8% 1.12× 1.62
H2 over 63.5 61.0% 61.6% 65.3% 0.94× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 53.5% 52.4% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
H2 under 67.5 54.1% 52.4% 47.9% 1.09× 1.91
H2 under 66.5 50.3% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 over 66.5 49.7% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 46.5% 47.6% 41.2% 1.16× 2.10
H2 over 67.5 45.9% 47.6% 52.1% 0.91× 2.10
H2 under 63.5 39.0% 38.4% 34.7% 1.11× 2.61
H2 over 69.5 38.5% 38.4% 45.2% 0.85× 2.61
H2 under 61.5 31.8% 33.6% 28.7% 1.17× 2.97
H2 over 71.5 31.5% 33.6% 38.9% 0.87× 2.97
H2 under 58.5 22.3% 24.2% 20.4% 1.19× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 22.2% 24.2% 30.1% 0.81× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 12.5% 14.8% 12.0% 1.23× 6.76
H2 over 78.5 12.6% 14.8% 19.9% 0.74× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils leading at half time 72.8% 73.5% 56.4% 1.30× 1.36
Wake Forest Demon Deacons leading at half time 23.5% 21.0% 39.9% 0.53× 4.77
Level at half time 3.7% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils +16.5 99.5% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +18.5 99.7% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +20.5 99.8% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +7.5 95.9% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +8.5 96.7% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +9.5 97.3% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +10.5 97.8% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +12.5 98.6% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +14.5 99.1% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +6.5 95.1% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Arizona State Sun Devils +4.5 92.9% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
Arizona State Sun Devils +5.5 94.1% 91.1% 70.1% 1.30× 1.10
Arizona State Sun Devils +2.5 90.2% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Arizona State Sun Devils +3.5 91.6% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Arizona State Sun Devils +1.5 88.5% 85.9% 61.2% 1.40× 1.16
Arizona State Sun Devils −1.5 84.4% 81.1% 58.7% 1.38× 1.23
Arizona State Sun Devils −2.5 81.9% 81.1% 56.7% 1.43× 1.23
Arizona State Sun Devils −3.5 79.3% 76.5% 54.2% 1.41× 1.31
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +20.5 77.9% 76.5% 82.0% 0.93× 1.31
Arizona State Sun Devils −4.5 76.5% 76.5% 52.2% 1.47× 1.31
Arizona State Sun Devils −5.5 73.4% 71.6% 49.7% 1.44× 1.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +18.5 72.0% 71.6% 79.3% 0.90× 1.40
Arizona State Sun Devils −6.5 70.3% 71.6% 47.6% 1.51× 1.40
Arizona State Sun Devils −7.5 66.9% 66.7% 44.8% 1.49× 1.50
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +16.5 65.4% 66.7% 75.7% 0.88× 1.50
Arizona State Sun Devils −8.5 63.5% 61.9% 42.0% 1.48× 1.62
Arizona State Sun Devils −9.5 59.9% 57.1% 39.3% 1.45× 1.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +14.5 58.4% 57.1% 72.1% 0.79× 1.75
Arizona State Sun Devils −10.5 56.3% 57.1% 36.8% 1.55× 1.75
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +12.5 51.1% 52.4% 67.9% 0.77× 1.91
Arizona State Sun Devils −12.5 48.9% 47.6% 32.1% 1.48× 2.10
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +10.5 43.7% 42.9% 63.2% 0.68× 2.33
Arizona State Sun Devils −14.5 41.6% 42.9% 27.9% 1.54× 2.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +9.5 40.1% 42.9% 60.7% 0.71× 2.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +8.5 36.5% 38.1% 58.0% 0.66× 2.63
Arizona State Sun Devils −16.5 34.6% 33.3% 24.3% 1.37× 3.01
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +7.5 33.1% 33.3% 55.2% 0.60× 3.01
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +6.5 29.7% 28.4% 52.4% 0.54× 3.53
Arizona State Sun Devils −18.5 28.0% 28.4% 20.7% 1.37× 3.53
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +5.5 26.6% 28.4% 50.3% 0.56× 3.53
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +4.5 23.5% 23.5% 47.8% 0.49× 4.25
Arizona State Sun Devils −20.5 22.1% 23.5% 18.0% 1.31× 4.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +3.5 20.7% 23.5% 45.8% 0.51× 4.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2.5 18.1% 18.9% 43.3% 0.44× 5.29
Wake Forest Demon Deacons +1.5 15.6% 18.9% 41.3% 0.46× 5.30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −1.5 11.5% 14.1% 38.8% 0.36× 7.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −2.5 9.8% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −3.5 8.4% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −4.5 7.1% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −5.5 5.9% 8.9% 29.9% 0.30× 11.25
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −6.5 4.9% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.72
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −7.5 4.1% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.72
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −8.5 3.3% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −9.5 2.7% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −10.5 2.2% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −12.5 1.4% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.73
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −14.5 0.9% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −16.5 0.5% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −18.5 0.3% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Wake Forest Demon Deacons −20.5 0.2% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 71.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 28.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils at HT / Arizona State Sun Devils at FT 68.5% 68.3% 48.3% 1.42× 1.47
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at HT / Arizona State Sun Devils at FT 15.2% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Wake Forest Demon Deacons at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 8.4% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.08
Arizona State Sun Devils at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 4.3% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.72
Level at HT / Arizona State Sun Devils at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Wake Forest Demon Deacons at FT 0.7% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win 86.6% 85.5% 59.9% 1.43× 1.17
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win 13.4% 14.5% 40.1% 0.36× 6.90
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 51.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Arizona State Sun Devils odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Wake Forest Demon Deacons odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.8% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.2% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.37
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win Q1 64.5% 64.9% 54.7% 1.19× 1.54
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q1 29.9% 22.5% 40.4% 0.56× 4.45
Q1 tied 5.6% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 22.5 88.4% 87.4% 88.8% 0.98× 1.14
Q1 under 38.5 88.2% 87.4% 84.8% 1.03× 1.14
Q1 over 25.5 77.3% 76.9% 77.6% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 77.1% 76.9% 73.2% 1.05× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 67.3% 67.6% 67.7% 1.00× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 67.2% 67.6% 64.0% 1.06× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 56.0% 58.6% 56.9% 1.03× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 55.9% 58.6% 54.0% 1.09× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 50.0% 52.7% 51.2% 1.03× 1.90
Q1 under 30.5 50.0% 47.3% 48.8% 0.97× 2.11
Q1 under 29.5 44.0% 41.4% 43.1% 0.96× 2.42
Q1 over 31.5 44.1% 41.4% 46.0% 0.90× 2.42
Q1 under 27.5 32.7% 32.4% 32.3% 1.00× 3.08
Q1 over 33.5 32.8% 32.4% 36.0% 0.90× 3.08
Q1 under 25.5 22.7% 23.1% 22.4% 1.03× 4.33
Q1 over 35.5 22.9% 23.1% 26.8% 0.86× 4.33
Q1 over 38.5 11.8% 12.6% 15.2% 0.83× 7.95
Q1 under 22.5 11.6% 12.6% 11.2% 1.12× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win Q2 64.1% 61.9% 52.9% 1.17× 1.62
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q2 30.4% 31.8% 41.5% 0.77× 3.15
Q2 tied 5.5% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 38.5 89.1% 87.3% 85.6% 1.02× 1.15
Q2 over 22.5 87.5% 87.3% 87.4% 1.00× 1.15
Q2 under 35.5 78.5% 76.8% 74.6% 1.03× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 75.8% 76.8% 76.2% 1.01× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 68.9% 67.4% 65.6% 1.03× 1.48
Q2 over 27.5 65.6% 67.4% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 57.7% 58.2% 55.7% 1.04× 1.72
Q2 over 29.5 54.1% 52.7% 55.8% 0.94× 1.90
Q2 under 30.5 51.8% 52.7% 50.1% 1.05× 1.90
Q2 over 30.5 48.2% 47.3% 49.9% 0.95× 2.11
Q2 under 29.5 45.9% 47.3% 44.2% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 over 31.5 42.3% 41.8% 44.3% 0.94× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 34.4% 32.6% 33.3% 0.98× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 31.1% 32.6% 34.4% 0.95× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 24.2% 23.2% 23.8% 0.98× 4.31
Q2 over 35.5 21.5% 23.2% 25.4% 0.91× 4.31
Q2 under 22.5 12.5% 12.7% 12.6% 1.01× 7.89
Q2 over 38.5 10.9% 12.7% 14.4% 0.88× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win Q3 65.6% 66.7% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q3 29.1% 28.9% 41.8% 0.69× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 41.5 88.5% 87.2% 85.1% 1.03× 1.15
Q3 over 25.5 86.9% 87.2% 86.9% 1.00× 1.15
Q3 under 38.5 77.8% 77.3% 73.9% 1.05× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 75.3% 77.3% 76.4% 1.01× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 68.4% 67.8% 64.6% 1.05× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 65.3% 67.8% 66.8% 1.01× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 57.5% 58.4% 54.6% 1.07× 1.71
Q3 over 32.5 54.0% 52.3% 56.1% 0.93× 1.91
Q3 under 33.5 51.7% 52.3% 49.1% 1.07× 1.91
Q3 over 33.5 48.3% 47.7% 50.9% 0.94× 2.10
Q3 under 32.5 46.0% 47.7% 43.9% 1.09× 2.10
Q3 over 34.5 42.5% 41.6% 45.4% 0.92× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 34.7% 32.2% 33.2% 0.97× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 31.6% 32.2% 35.4% 0.91× 3.11
Q3 under 28.5 24.7% 22.7% 23.6% 0.96× 4.40
Q3 over 38.5 22.2% 22.7% 26.1% 0.87× 4.40
Q3 under 25.5 13.1% 12.8% 13.1% 0.98× 7.83
Q3 over 41.5 11.5% 12.8% 14.9% 0.86× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win Q4 65.3% 60.6% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win Q4 29.5% 33.4% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.3% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 41.5 86.9% 85.6% 83.6% 1.02× 1.17
Q4 over 25.5 85.7% 85.6% 86.1% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 under 38.5 76.3% 76.9% 73.1% 1.05× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 74.3% 71.5% 75.1% 0.95× 1.40
Q4 under 36.5 67.1% 67.4% 64.3% 1.05× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 64.8% 61.4% 66.3% 0.93× 1.63
Q4 under 34.5 56.7% 58.4% 54.4% 1.07× 1.71
Q4 over 32.5 54.2% 52.5% 55.4% 0.95× 1.91
Q4 under 33.5 51.3% 52.5% 49.6% 1.06× 1.91
Q4 over 33.5 48.7% 47.5% 50.4% 0.94× 2.11
Q4 under 32.5 45.8% 47.5% 44.6% 1.07× 2.11
Q4 over 34.5 43.3% 41.6% 45.6% 0.91× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 35.2% 38.6% 33.7% 1.14× 2.59
Q4 over 36.5 32.9% 32.6% 35.7% 0.91× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 25.7% 28.5% 24.9% 1.14× 3.51
Q4 over 38.5 23.7% 23.1% 26.9% 0.86× 4.33
Q4 under 25.5 14.3% 14.4% 13.9% 1.04× 6.95
Q4 over 41.5 13.1% 14.4% 16.4% 0.88× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 47.5 87.1% 83.9% 88.4% 0.95× 1.19
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 67.5 86.9% 83.9% 65.6% 1.28× 1.19
Arizona State Sun Devils over 59.5 85.9% 83.9% 72.2% 1.16× 1.19
Arizona State Sun Devils under 79.5 85.1% 83.9% 81.3% 1.03× 1.19
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 50.5 77.9% 75.1% 83.1% 0.90× 1.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 64.5 78.7% 75.1% 56.9% 1.32× 1.33
Arizona State Sun Devils over 62.5 77.6% 75.1% 64.3% 1.17× 1.33
Arizona State Sun Devils under 76.5 76.5% 75.1% 75.4% 1.00× 1.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 62.5 71.8% 70.7% 51.0% 1.39× 1.41
Arizona State Sun Devils over 64.5 70.8% 70.7% 58.4% 1.21× 1.41
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 52.5 70.4% 70.7% 78.5% 0.90× 1.41
Arizona State Sun Devils under 74.5 69.5% 66.4% 70.7% 0.94× 1.51
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 60.5 64.0% 61.2% 44.4% 1.38× 1.63
Arizona State Sun Devils over 66.5 63.1% 61.2% 51.8% 1.18× 1.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 54.5 62.1% 61.2% 73.5% 0.83× 1.63
Arizona State Sun Devils under 72.5 61.8% 61.2% 65.7% 0.93× 1.63
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 58.5 55.5% 57.1% 37.9% 1.51× 1.75
Arizona State Sun Devils over 68.5 54.9% 52.3% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Arizona State Sun Devils under 70.5 53.5% 52.3% 60.3% 0.87× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 56.5 53.4% 52.3% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 57.5 51.1% 52.3% 34.9% 1.50× 1.91
Arizona State Sun Devils over 69.5 50.7% 52.3% 42.6% 1.23× 1.91
Arizona State Sun Devils under 69.5 49.3% 47.7% 57.4% 0.83× 2.09
Arizona State Sun Devils over 70.5 46.5% 47.7% 39.7% 1.20× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 56.5 46.6% 47.7% 32.0% 1.49× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 57.5 48.9% 47.7% 65.1% 0.73× 2.09
Arizona State Sun Devils under 68.5 45.1% 47.7% 54.4% 0.88× 2.09
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 58.5 44.5% 42.9% 62.1% 0.69× 2.33
Arizona State Sun Devils over 72.5 38.2% 38.8% 34.3% 1.13× 2.58
Arizona State Sun Devils under 66.5 36.9% 38.8% 48.2% 0.81× 2.58
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 54.5 37.9% 38.8% 26.5% 1.47× 2.58
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 60.5 36.0% 38.8% 55.6% 0.70× 2.58
Arizona State Sun Devils over 74.5 30.5% 33.6% 29.3% 1.15× 2.98
Arizona State Sun Devils under 64.5 29.2% 29.3% 41.6% 0.70× 3.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 52.5 29.6% 29.3% 21.5% 1.36× 3.42
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 62.5 28.2% 29.3% 49.0% 0.60× 3.42
Arizona State Sun Devils under 62.5 22.4% 24.9% 35.7% 0.70× 4.02
Arizona State Sun Devils over 76.5 23.5% 24.9% 24.6% 1.01× 4.02
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 50.5 22.1% 24.9% 16.9% 1.48× 4.02
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 64.5 21.3% 24.9% 43.2% 0.58× 4.02
Arizona State Sun Devils under 59.5 14.1% 16.1% 27.8% 0.58× 6.21
Arizona State Sun Devils over 79.5 14.9% 16.1% 18.7% 0.86× 6.21
Wake Forest Demon Deacons under 47.5 12.9% 16.1% 11.6% 1.39× 6.21
Wake Forest Demon Deacons over 67.5 13.1% 16.1% 34.4% 0.47× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 107.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 90.2% 0.99× 1.13
Under 147.5 points 91.7% 88.8% 82.3% 1.08× 1.13
Under 142.5 points 85.3% 85.0% 75.1% 1.13× 1.18
Over 112.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 83.6% 0.96× 1.24
Under 137.5 points 76.2% 75.6% 66.2% 1.14× 1.32
Over 117.5 points 74.3% 70.8% 75.3% 0.94× 1.41
Under 134.5 points 69.5% 65.9% 60.2% 1.10× 1.52
Over 120.5 points 67.2% 65.9% 69.8% 0.94× 1.52
Under 132.5 points 64.6% 61.5% 56.0% 1.10× 1.63
Over 122.5 points 62.0% 61.5% 65.6% 0.94× 1.63
Under 130.5 points 59.5% 56.5% 51.7% 1.09× 1.77
Over 124.5 points 56.7% 56.5% 61.5% 0.92× 1.77
Under 128.5 points 54.2% 52.3% 47.2% 1.11× 1.91
Under 127.5 points 51.5% 52.3% 44.9% 1.17× 1.91
Over 126.5 points 51.3% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
Under 126.5 points 48.7% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.10
Over 127.5 points 48.5% 47.7% 55.1% 0.87× 2.10
Over 128.5 points 45.8% 47.7% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Under 124.5 points 43.3% 43.5% 38.5% 1.13× 2.30
Over 130.5 points 40.5% 43.5% 48.3% 0.90× 2.30
Under 122.5 points 38.0% 38.5% 34.4% 1.12× 2.60
Over 132.5 points 35.4% 38.5% 44.0% 0.87× 2.60
Under 120.5 points 32.8% 34.1% 30.2% 1.13× 2.93
Over 134.5 points 30.5% 34.1% 39.8% 0.86× 2.93
Under 117.5 points 25.7% 29.2% 24.7% 1.18× 3.43
Over 137.5 points 23.8% 24.4% 33.8% 0.72× 4.10
Under 112.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 16.4% 1.19× 5.15
Over 142.5 points 14.7% 15.0% 24.9% 0.60× 6.68
Under 107.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 9.8% 1.14× 8.96
Over 147.5 points 8.3% 11.2% 17.7% 0.63× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils to win both halves 51.9% 50.4% 36.0% 1.40× 1.98
Wake Forest Demon Deacons to win both halves 3.5% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.62
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona State Sun Devils by 11-15 18.3% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Arizona State Sun Devils by 6-10 17.1% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Arizona State Sun Devils by 16-20 15.9% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Arizona State Sun Devils by 1-5 13.2% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Arizona State Sun Devils by 21-25 11.3% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Arizona State Sun Devils by 26+ 10.9% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 1-5 7.4% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 6-10 3.7% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.30
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 11-15 1.5% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.31
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 16-20 0.5% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Wake Forest Demon Deacons by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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