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Arizona Wildcats v George Washington Revolutionaries — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Arizona Wildcats win
71.1%
Draw
0.0%
George Washington Revolutionaries win
28.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 68.35–62.26 68-62 0% 51% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.34
Arizona Wildcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
George Washington Revolutionaries to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win H1 61.0% 62.2% 56.4% 1.10× 1.61
George Washington Revolutionaries to win H1 34.7% 33.2% 39.9% 0.83× 3.02
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 50.5 88.2% 87.7% 84.5% 1.04× 1.14
H1 under 74.5 88.2% 87.7% 87.2% 1.01× 1.14
H1 over 54.5 78.4% 77.4% 74.0% 1.05× 1.29
H1 under 70.5 78.6% 77.4% 78.9% 0.98× 1.29
H1 over 57.5 68.8% 67.4% 64.8% 1.04× 1.48
H1 under 67.5 69.1% 67.4% 70.4% 0.96× 1.48
H1 over 59.5 61.4% 62.7% 57.8% 1.08× 1.59
H1 under 65.5 61.8% 62.7% 63.9% 0.98× 1.59
H1 over 61.5 53.7% 52.6% 50.2% 1.05× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 54.1% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 50.2% 52.6% 53.7% 0.98× 1.90
H1 over 62.5 49.8% 47.4% 46.3% 1.02× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 46.3% 47.4% 49.8% 0.95× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 45.9% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 under 59.5 38.6% 37.3% 42.2% 0.88× 2.68
H1 over 65.5 38.2% 37.3% 36.1% 1.03× 2.68
H1 under 57.5 31.2% 32.6% 35.2% 0.93× 3.07
H1 over 67.5 30.9% 32.6% 29.6% 1.10× 3.07
H1 under 54.5 21.6% 22.6% 26.0% 0.87× 4.43
H1 over 70.5 21.4% 22.6% 21.1% 1.07× 4.43
H1 under 50.5 11.8% 12.3% 15.5% 0.80× 8.14
H1 over 74.5 11.8% 12.3% 12.8% 0.96× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win H2 61.8% 58.8% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
George Washington Revolutionaries to win H2 34.1% 36.3% 40.6% 0.90× 2.75
H2 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 56.5 87.0% 85.2% 84.1% 1.01× 1.17
H2 under 80.5 87.2% 85.2% 84.0% 1.01× 1.17
H2 under 76.5 77.7% 75.8% 75.6% 1.00× 1.32
H2 over 60.5 77.2% 75.8% 74.5% 1.02× 1.32
H2 under 73.5 68.5% 66.4% 67.1% 0.99× 1.51
H2 over 63.5 67.7% 66.4% 65.3% 1.02× 1.51
H2 under 71.5 61.5% 61.6% 61.1% 1.01× 1.62
H2 over 65.5 60.7% 61.6% 58.8% 1.05× 1.62
H2 under 69.5 54.2% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 over 67.5 53.3% 52.4% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 50.4% 52.4% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
H2 over 68.5 49.6% 47.6% 48.7% 0.98× 2.10
H2 under 67.5 46.7% 47.6% 47.9% 1.00× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 45.8% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 under 65.5 39.3% 38.4% 41.2% 0.93× 2.61
H2 over 71.5 38.5% 38.4% 38.9% 0.99× 2.61
H2 under 63.5 32.3% 33.6% 34.7% 0.97× 2.97
H2 over 73.5 31.5% 33.6% 32.9% 1.02× 2.97
H2 under 60.5 22.8% 24.2% 25.5% 0.95× 4.13
H2 over 76.5 22.3% 24.2% 24.4% 0.99× 4.13
H2 under 56.5 13.0% 14.8% 15.9% 0.93× 6.76
H2 over 80.5 12.8% 14.8% 16.0% 0.93× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats leading at half time 61.0% 62.5% 56.4% 1.11× 1.60
George Washington Revolutionaries leading at half time 34.7% 32.8% 39.9% 0.82× 3.05
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats +14.5 96.6% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +16.5 97.7% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +18.5 98.6% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +20.5 99.1% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +12.5 95.0% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Arizona Wildcats +10.5 92.8% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
Arizona Wildcats +9.5 91.5% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +20.5 90.1% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Arizona Wildcats +8.5 90.0% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Arizona Wildcats +7.5 88.3% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
Arizona Wildcats +6.5 86.4% 85.9% 72.3% 1.19× 1.16
George Washington Revolutionaries +18.5 86.5% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Arizona Wildcats +5.5 84.3% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
Arizona Wildcats +4.5 82.1% 81.1% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
George Washington Revolutionaries +16.5 82.1% 81.1% 75.7% 1.07× 1.23
Arizona Wildcats +3.5 79.6% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
Arizona Wildcats +2.5 77.0% 76.5% 63.3% 1.21× 1.31
George Washington Revolutionaries +14.5 77.0% 76.5% 72.1% 1.06× 1.31
Arizona Wildcats +1.5 74.1% 71.6% 61.2% 1.17× 1.40
George Washington Revolutionaries +12.5 71.1% 71.6% 67.9% 1.06× 1.40
Arizona Wildcats −1.5 67.8% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
Arizona Wildcats −2.5 64.3% 61.9% 56.7% 1.09× 1.62
George Washington Revolutionaries +10.5 64.5% 61.9% 63.2% 0.98× 1.62
Arizona Wildcats −3.5 60.8% 61.9% 54.2% 1.14× 1.62
George Washington Revolutionaries +9.5 61.1% 61.9% 60.7% 1.02× 1.62
Arizona Wildcats −4.5 57.1% 57.1% 52.2% 1.09× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries +8.5 57.5% 57.1% 58.0% 0.98× 1.75
Arizona Wildcats −5.5 53.5% 52.4% 49.7% 1.05× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries +7.5 53.9% 52.4% 55.2% 0.95× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries +6.5 50.2% 52.4% 52.4% 1.00× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats −6.5 49.8% 47.6% 47.6% 1.00× 2.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +5.5 46.5% 47.6% 50.3% 0.95× 2.10
Arizona Wildcats −7.5 46.1% 47.6% 44.8% 1.06× 2.10
George Washington Revolutionaries +4.5 42.9% 42.9% 47.8% 0.90× 2.33
Arizona Wildcats −8.5 42.5% 42.9% 42.0% 1.02× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries +3.5 39.2% 38.1% 45.8% 0.83× 2.63
Arizona Wildcats −9.5 38.9% 38.1% 39.3% 0.97× 2.63
George Washington Revolutionaries +2.5 35.7% 38.1% 43.3% 0.88× 2.63
Arizona Wildcats −10.5 35.5% 38.1% 36.8% 1.03× 2.63
George Washington Revolutionaries +1.5 32.2% 33.3% 41.3% 0.81× 3.01
Arizona Wildcats −12.5 28.9% 28.4% 32.1% 0.88× 3.53
George Washington Revolutionaries −1.5 25.9% 28.4% 38.8% 0.73× 3.53
George Washington Revolutionaries −2.5 23.0% 23.5% 36.7% 0.64× 4.25
Arizona Wildcats −14.5 23.0% 23.5% 27.9% 0.84× 4.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −3.5 20.4% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −4.5 17.9% 18.9% 32.2% 0.59× 5.29
Arizona Wildcats −16.5 17.9% 18.9% 24.3% 0.78× 5.29
George Washington Revolutionaries −5.5 15.7% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.30
George Washington Revolutionaries −6.5 13.6% 14.1% 27.7% 0.51× 7.09
Arizona Wildcats −18.5 13.5% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
George Washington Revolutionaries −7.5 11.7% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
George Washington Revolutionaries −8.5 10.0% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Arizona Wildcats −20.5 9.9% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −9.5 8.5% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −10.5 7.2% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −12.5 5.0% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
George Washington Revolutionaries −14.5 3.4% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
George Washington Revolutionaries −16.5 2.3% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
George Washington Revolutionaries −18.5 1.4% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
George Washington Revolutionaries −20.5 0.9% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.1% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.9% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.6% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 52.5% 51.1% 48.3% 1.06× 1.96
George Washington Revolutionaries at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 19.0% 15.5% 30.1% 0.51× 6.47
George Washington Revolutionaries at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 15.7% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Arizona Wildcats at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / George Washington Revolutionaries at FT 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win 71.1% 68.7% 59.9% 1.15× 1.46
George Washington Revolutionaries to win 28.9% 31.3% 40.1% 0.78× 3.20
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.6% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Arizona Wildcats even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
George Washington Revolutionaries even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Arizona Wildcats odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
George Washington Revolutionaries odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.4% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.4% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.6% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win Q1 56.0% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q1 38.0% 38.2% 40.4% 0.95× 2.62
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 39.5 88.4% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 23.5 87.9% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 36.5 77.5% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 26.5 76.6% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 34.5 67.7% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 28.5 66.6% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 32.5 56.5% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 30.5 55.3% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 31.5 50.6% 52.7% 54.0% 0.98× 1.90
Q1 over 31.5 49.4% 47.3% 46.0% 1.03× 2.11
Q1 under 30.5 44.7% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 32.5 43.5% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 28.5 33.4% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 34.5 32.3% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 26.5 23.4% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 36.5 22.5% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 23.5 12.1% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q1 over 39.5 11.6% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win Q2 55.8% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.69
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q2 38.3% 35.8% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 89.3% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 86.9% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 78.9% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 75.0% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 69.4% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.48
Q2 over 28.5 64.8% 60.7% 61.2% 0.99× 1.65
Q2 under 32.5 58.4% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 53.3% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 52.5% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 47.5% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 46.7% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 41.6% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 35.2% 39.3% 38.8% 1.01× 2.55
Q2 over 34.5 30.6% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 25.0% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 21.1% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 13.1% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 10.7% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win Q3 56.6% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q3 37.6% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 42.5 88.4% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 86.6% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 77.8% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 74.9% 71.8% 71.8% 1.00× 1.39
Q3 under 37.5 68.4% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 64.9% 62.0% 61.6% 1.01× 1.61
Q3 under 35.5 57.6% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 53.8% 52.3% 50.9% 1.03× 1.91
Q3 under 34.5 51.9% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 48.1% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 46.2% 47.7% 49.1% 0.97× 2.10
Q3 over 35.5 42.4% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 35.1% 38.0% 38.4% 0.99× 2.63
Q3 over 37.5 31.6% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.11
Q3 under 29.5 25.1% 28.2% 28.2% 1.00× 3.55
Q3 over 39.5 22.2% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 13.4% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 11.6% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win Q4 56.5% 52.0% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
George Washington Revolutionaries to win Q4 37.8% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 42.5 86.9% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 85.4% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 76.3% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 29.5 74.0% 71.5% 70.8% 1.01× 1.40
Q4 under 37.5 67.1% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 31.5 64.5% 61.4% 61.1% 1.01× 1.63
Q4 under 35.5 56.8% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 33.5 54.0% 52.5% 50.4% 1.04× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 51.4% 52.5% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Q4 over 34.5 48.6% 47.5% 45.6% 1.04× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 46.0% 47.5% 49.6% 0.96× 2.11
Q4 over 35.5 43.2% 41.6% 40.6% 1.02× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 35.5% 38.6% 38.9% 0.99× 2.59
Q4 over 37.5 32.9% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 26.0% 28.5% 29.2% 0.98× 3.51
Q4 over 39.5 23.7% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 14.6% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 13.1% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
George Washington Revolutionaries under 72.5 86.5% 83.9% 78.2% 1.07× 1.19
Arizona Wildcats over 58.5 85.3% 83.9% 74.7% 1.12× 1.19
Arizona Wildcats under 78.5 85.2% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
George Washington Revolutionaries over 52.5 85.7% 83.9% 78.5% 1.07× 1.19
George Washington Revolutionaries under 69.5 78.2% 75.1% 71.2% 1.05× 1.33
Arizona Wildcats over 61.5 76.9% 75.1% 66.9% 1.12× 1.33
Arizona Wildcats under 75.5 76.7% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
George Washington Revolutionaries over 55.5 76.8% 75.1% 70.8% 1.06× 1.33
Arizona Wildcats over 63.5 70.1% 70.7% 61.5% 1.15× 1.41
George Washington Revolutionaries under 67.5 71.4% 70.7% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
Arizona Wildcats under 73.5 69.8% 66.4% 68.5% 0.97× 1.51
George Washington Revolutionaries over 57.5 69.7% 66.4% 65.1% 1.02× 1.51
Arizona Wildcats over 65.5 62.5% 61.2% 55.3% 1.11× 1.63
Arizona Wildcats under 71.5 62.2% 61.2% 63.0% 0.97× 1.63
George Washington Revolutionaries under 65.5 63.7% 61.2% 59.8% 1.02× 1.63
George Washington Revolutionaries over 59.5 61.7% 61.2% 58.8% 1.04× 1.63
George Washington Revolutionaries under 63.5 55.4% 57.1% 53.9% 1.06× 1.75
Arizona Wildcats over 67.5 54.3% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats under 69.5 54.0% 52.3% 57.4% 0.91× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries over 61.5 53.2% 52.3% 52.1% 1.00× 1.91
George Washington Revolutionaries under 62.5 51.1% 52.3% 51.0% 1.03× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats over 68.5 50.2% 52.3% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats under 68.5 49.8% 47.7% 54.4% 0.88× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries under 61.5 46.8% 47.7% 47.9% 1.00× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries over 62.5 48.9% 47.7% 49.0% 0.97× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats under 67.5 45.7% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats over 69.5 46.0% 47.7% 42.6% 1.12× 2.09
George Washington Revolutionaries over 63.5 44.6% 42.9% 46.1% 0.93× 2.33
George Washington Revolutionaries under 59.5 38.3% 38.8% 41.2% 0.94× 2.58
Arizona Wildcats under 65.5 37.5% 38.8% 44.7% 0.87× 2.58
Arizona Wildcats over 71.5 37.8% 38.8% 37.0% 1.05× 2.58
George Washington Revolutionaries over 65.5 36.3% 38.8% 40.2% 0.96× 2.58
George Washington Revolutionaries under 57.5 30.3% 33.6% 34.9% 0.96× 2.98
Arizona Wildcats over 73.5 30.2% 33.6% 31.5% 1.07× 2.98
Arizona Wildcats under 63.5 29.9% 29.3% 38.5% 0.76× 3.42
George Washington Revolutionaries over 67.5 28.6% 29.3% 34.4% 0.85× 3.42
Arizona Wildcats under 61.5 23.1% 24.9% 33.1% 0.75× 4.02
Arizona Wildcats over 75.5 23.3% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
George Washington Revolutionaries under 55.5 23.2% 24.9% 29.2% 0.85× 4.02
George Washington Revolutionaries over 69.5 21.8% 24.9% 28.8% 0.86× 4.02
Arizona Wildcats under 58.5 14.7% 16.1% 25.3% 0.64× 6.21
Arizona Wildcats over 78.5 14.8% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
George Washington Revolutionaries under 52.5 14.3% 16.1% 21.5% 0.75× 6.21
George Washington Revolutionaries over 72.5 13.5% 16.1% 21.8% 0.74× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 151.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 87.3% 1.02× 1.13
Over 111.5 points 90.4% 88.8% 85.1% 1.04× 1.13
Under 146.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 80.9% 1.05× 1.18
Over 116.5 points 83.2% 80.6% 77.2% 1.04× 1.24
Under 141.5 points 76.3% 75.6% 73.4% 1.03× 1.32
Over 121.5 points 73.3% 70.8% 67.7% 1.05× 1.41
Under 138.5 points 69.6% 65.9% 67.9% 0.97× 1.52
Over 124.5 points 66.3% 65.9% 61.5% 1.07× 1.52
Under 136.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 64.2% 0.96× 1.63
Over 126.5 points 61.3% 61.5% 57.4% 1.07× 1.63
Under 134.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 60.2% 0.94× 1.77
Over 128.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 52.8% 1.07× 1.77
Under 132.5 points 54.5% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 52.0% 52.3% 53.9% 0.97× 1.91
Over 130.5 points 50.8% 52.3% 48.3% 1.08× 1.91
Under 130.5 points 49.2% 47.7% 51.7% 0.92× 2.10
Over 131.5 points 48.0% 47.7% 46.1% 1.03× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 45.5% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Under 128.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 47.2% 0.92× 2.30
Over 134.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 39.8% 1.09× 2.30
Under 126.5 points 38.7% 38.5% 42.6% 0.90× 2.60
Over 136.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 35.8% 1.08× 2.60
Under 124.5 points 33.7% 34.1% 38.5% 0.89× 2.93
Over 138.5 points 30.4% 34.1% 32.1% 1.06× 2.93
Under 121.5 points 26.7% 29.2% 32.3% 0.90× 3.43
Over 141.5 points 23.7% 24.4% 26.6% 0.92× 4.10
Under 116.5 points 16.8% 19.4% 22.8% 0.85× 5.15
Over 146.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 19.1% 0.78× 6.68
Under 111.5 points 9.6% 11.2% 14.9% 0.75× 8.96
Over 151.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 12.8% 0.88× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to win both halves 35.0% 36.3% 36.0% 1.01× 2.76
George Washington Revolutionaries to win both halves 9.4% 8.9% 20.4% 0.43× 11.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats by 1-5 17.6% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Arizona Wildcats by 6-10 18.0% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Arizona Wildcats by 11-15 15.1% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
George Washington Revolutionaries by 1-5 13.3% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Arizona Wildcats by 16-20 10.4% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
George Washington Revolutionaries by 6-10 8.4% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Arizona Wildcats by 21-25 5.9% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
George Washington Revolutionaries by 11-15 4.4% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
Arizona Wildcats by 26+ 4.1% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.29
George Washington Revolutionaries by 16-20 1.9% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
George Washington Revolutionaries by 21-25 0.7% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
George Washington Revolutionaries by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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