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Arizona Wildcats v Oregon State Beavers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 16 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Arizona Wildcats win
48.3%
Draw
0.0%
Oregon State Beavers win
51.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 67.16–67.63 67-68 0% 48% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Arizona Wildcats to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Arizona Wildcats to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Oregon State Beavers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Oregon State Beavers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Oregon State Beavers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Oregon State Beavers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win H1 48.8% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
Arizona Wildcats to win H1 46.7% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 76.5 88.3% 87.7% 90.2% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 52.5 87.9% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 78.1% 77.4% 68.2% 1.14× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 78.7% 77.4% 83.6% 0.93× 1.29
H1 under 69.5 69.3% 67.4% 76.2% 0.89× 1.48
H1 over 59.5 68.4% 67.4% 57.8% 1.17× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 61.1% 62.7% 50.2% 1.25× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 62.1% 62.7% 70.4% 0.89× 1.59
H1 under 65.5 54.4% 52.6% 63.9% 0.82× 1.90
H1 over 63.5 53.4% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 50.5% 52.6% 60.7% 0.87× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 49.5% 47.4% 39.3% 1.21× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 46.6% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 45.6% 47.4% 36.1% 1.31× 2.11
H1 under 61.5 38.9% 37.3% 49.8% 0.75× 2.68
H1 over 67.5 37.9% 37.3% 29.6% 1.26× 2.68
H1 under 59.5 31.6% 32.6% 42.2% 0.77× 3.07
H1 over 69.5 30.7% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.07
H1 under 56.5 21.9% 22.6% 31.8% 0.71× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 21.3% 22.6% 16.4% 1.38× 4.43
H1 under 52.5 12.1% 12.3% 20.4% 0.60× 8.14
H1 over 76.5 11.7% 12.3% 9.8% 1.26× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win H2 48.9% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
Arizona Wildcats to win H2 46.7% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 58.5 87.0% 85.2% 79.6% 1.07× 1.17
H2 under 82.5 86.9% 85.2% 87.4% 0.97× 1.17
H2 over 62.5 77.4% 75.8% 68.3% 1.11× 1.32
H2 under 78.5 77.3% 75.8% 80.1% 0.95× 1.32
H2 over 65.5 68.0% 66.4% 58.8% 1.13× 1.51
H2 under 75.5 68.0% 66.4% 73.0% 0.91× 1.51
H2 over 67.5 61.1% 61.6% 52.1% 1.18× 1.62
H2 under 73.5 61.1% 61.6% 67.1% 0.92× 1.62
H2 over 69.5 53.7% 52.4% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
H2 under 71.5 53.7% 52.4% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 50.0% 52.4% 57.8% 0.91× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 50.0% 47.6% 42.2% 1.13× 2.10
H2 under 69.5 46.3% 47.6% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 46.3% 47.6% 38.9% 1.23× 2.10
H2 under 67.5 38.9% 38.4% 47.9% 0.80× 2.61
H2 over 73.5 38.9% 38.4% 32.9% 1.17× 2.61
H2 under 65.5 32.0% 33.6% 41.2% 0.82× 2.97
H2 over 75.5 32.0% 33.6% 27.0% 1.25× 2.97
H2 under 62.5 22.6% 24.2% 31.7% 0.76× 4.13
H2 over 78.5 22.7% 24.2% 19.9% 1.22× 4.13
H2 under 58.5 13.0% 14.8% 20.4% 0.73× 6.76
H2 over 82.5 13.1% 14.8% 12.6% 1.17× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers leading at half time 48.8% 47.3% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Arizona Wildcats leading at half time 46.7% 47.2% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers +20.5 96.8% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +20.5 96.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Oregon State Beavers +18.5 95.3% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Arizona Wildcats +18.5 94.5% 91.1% 91.1% 1.00× 1.10
Oregon State Beavers +16.5 93.3% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Oregon State Beavers +14.5 90.6% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Arizona Wildcats +16.5 92.1% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Arizona Wildcats +14.5 89.1% 85.9% 86.7% 0.99× 1.16
Oregon State Beavers +12.5 87.2% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
Arizona Wildcats +12.5 85.3% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Oregon State Beavers +10.5 83.0% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
Oregon State Beavers +9.5 80.6% 81.1% 60.7% 1.34× 1.23
Arizona Wildcats +10.5 80.8% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
Oregon State Beavers +8.5 78.0% 76.5% 58.0% 1.32× 1.31
Arizona Wildcats +9.5 78.2% 76.5% 78.7% 0.97× 1.31
Oregon State Beavers +7.5 75.2% 76.5% 55.2% 1.38× 1.31
Arizona Wildcats +8.5 75.4% 76.5% 76.5% 1.00× 1.31
Arizona Wildcats +7.5 72.5% 71.6% 74.5% 0.96× 1.40
Oregon State Beavers +6.5 72.3% 71.6% 52.4% 1.37× 1.40
Oregon State Beavers +5.5 69.2% 66.7% 50.3% 1.33× 1.50
Arizona Wildcats +6.5 69.4% 66.7% 72.3% 0.92× 1.50
Arizona Wildcats +5.5 66.1% 66.7% 70.1% 0.95× 1.50
Oregon State Beavers +4.5 65.9% 66.7% 47.8% 1.39× 1.50
Arizona Wildcats +4.5 62.7% 61.9% 67.8% 0.91× 1.62
Oregon State Beavers +3.5 62.5% 61.9% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
Oregon State Beavers +2.5 59.0% 57.1% 43.3% 1.32× 1.75
Arizona Wildcats +3.5 59.2% 57.1% 65.7% 0.87× 1.75
Oregon State Beavers +1.5 55.4% 57.1% 41.3% 1.38× 1.75
Arizona Wildcats +2.5 55.6% 57.1% 63.3% 0.90× 1.75
Arizona Wildcats +1.5 52.0% 52.4% 61.2% 0.86× 1.91
Oregon State Beavers −1.5 48.0% 47.6% 38.8% 1.23× 2.10
Arizona Wildcats −1.5 44.6% 42.9% 58.7% 0.73× 2.33
Oregon State Beavers −2.5 44.4% 42.9% 36.7% 1.17× 2.33
Arizona Wildcats −2.5 41.0% 42.9% 56.7% 0.76× 2.33
Oregon State Beavers −3.5 40.8% 42.9% 34.3% 1.25× 2.33
Arizona Wildcats −3.5 37.5% 38.1% 54.2% 0.70× 2.63
Oregon State Beavers −4.5 37.3% 38.1% 32.2% 1.18× 2.63
Arizona Wildcats −4.5 34.1% 33.3% 52.2% 0.64× 3.01
Oregon State Beavers −5.5 33.9% 33.3% 29.9% 1.11× 3.01
Arizona Wildcats −5.5 30.8% 33.3% 49.7% 0.67× 3.01
Oregon State Beavers −6.5 30.6% 33.3% 27.7% 1.20× 3.01
Arizona Wildcats −6.5 27.7% 28.4% 47.6% 0.60× 3.53
Oregon State Beavers −7.5 27.5% 28.4% 25.5% 1.11× 3.53
Arizona Wildcats −7.5 24.8% 23.5% 44.8% 0.53× 4.25
Oregon State Beavers −8.5 24.6% 23.5% 23.5% 1.00× 4.25
Arizona Wildcats −8.5 22.0% 23.5% 42.0% 0.56× 4.25
Oregon State Beavers −9.5 21.8% 23.5% 21.3% 1.10× 4.25
Arizona Wildcats −9.5 19.4% 18.9% 39.3% 0.48× 5.29
Oregon State Beavers −10.5 19.2% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.29
Arizona Wildcats −10.5 17.0% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.29
Oregon State Beavers −12.5 14.7% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
Arizona Wildcats −12.5 12.8% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Oregon State Beavers −14.5 10.9% 14.1% 13.3% 1.06× 7.09
Arizona Wildcats −14.5 9.4% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Oregon State Beavers −16.5 7.9% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Arizona Wildcats −16.5 6.7% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Oregon State Beavers −18.5 5.5% 8.9% 8.9% 1.00× 11.25
Arizona Wildcats −18.5 4.7% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.72
Arizona Wildcats −20.5 3.2% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Oregon State Beavers −20.5 3.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.6% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.4% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers at HT / Oregon State Beavers at FT 36.0% 37.7% 30.1% 1.25× 2.65
Arizona Wildcats at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 33.3% 33.2% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
Arizona Wildcats at HT / Oregon State Beavers at FT 13.4% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Oregon State Beavers at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 12.8% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Level at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT 2.2% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Oregon State Beavers at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win 51.7% 51.0% 40.1% 1.27× 1.96
Arizona Wildcats to win 48.3% 49.0% 59.9% 0.82× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.8% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Arizona Wildcats even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Oregon State Beavers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Arizona Wildcats odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Oregon State Beavers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.2% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win Q1 47.6% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Arizona Wildcats to win Q1 46.2% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 40.5 88.5% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 24.5 87.7% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 37.5 77.6% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 27.5 76.3% 76.9% 67.7% 1.14× 1.30
Q1 under 35.5 67.8% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 29.5 66.3% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Q1 under 33.5 56.7% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 55.0% 58.6% 46.0% 1.27× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 50.8% 52.7% 59.1% 0.89× 1.90
Q1 over 32.5 49.2% 47.3% 40.9% 1.16× 2.11
Q1 under 31.5 45.0% 41.4% 54.0% 0.77× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 43.3% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 33.7% 32.4% 43.1% 0.75× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 32.2% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 under 27.5 23.7% 23.1% 32.3% 0.71× 4.33
Q1 over 37.5 22.4% 23.1% 18.4% 1.26× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 12.3% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 11.5% 12.6% 10.1% 1.24× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win Q2 47.7% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Arizona Wildcats to win Q2 46.3% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 40.5 89.4% 87.3% 90.8% 0.96× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 86.7% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 79.0% 76.8% 82.3% 0.93× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 74.8% 72.0% 66.7% 1.08× 1.39
Q2 under 35.5 69.6% 67.4% 74.6% 0.90× 1.48
Q2 over 29.5 64.5% 60.7% 55.8% 1.09× 1.65
Q2 under 33.5 58.6% 58.2% 65.6% 0.89× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 53.1% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 52.8% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 47.2% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 31.5 46.9% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 41.4% 41.8% 34.4% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 35.5% 39.3% 44.2% 0.89× 2.55
Q2 over 35.5 30.4% 32.6% 25.4% 1.29× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 25.2% 28.0% 33.3% 0.84× 3.57
Q2 over 37.5 21.0% 23.2% 17.7% 1.31× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 13.3% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.89
Q2 over 40.5 10.6% 12.7% 9.2% 1.38× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win Q3 47.8% 47.6% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Arizona Wildcats to win Q3 46.3% 47.5% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 88.2% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 86.6% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 77.5% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 75.1% 77.3% 66.8% 1.16× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 68.1% 67.8% 73.9% 0.92× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 65.2% 67.8% 56.1% 1.21× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 57.3% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 54.1% 52.3% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Q3 under 35.5 51.6% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 35.5 48.4% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 under 34.5 45.9% 47.7% 54.6% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 36.5 42.7% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 34.8% 32.2% 43.9% 0.73× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 31.9% 32.2% 26.1% 1.23× 3.11
Q3 under 30.5 24.9% 22.7% 33.2% 0.69× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 22.5% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 13.4% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 11.8% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win Q4 47.8% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Arizona Wildcats to win Q4 46.4% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 86.7% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 85.5% 85.6% 78.9% 1.09× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 76.0% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 74.2% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 66.8% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 64.7% 61.4% 55.4% 1.11× 1.63
Q4 under 36.5 56.5% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 54.2% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 35.5 51.2% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 35.5 48.8% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 34.5 45.8% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 over 36.5 43.5% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 35.3% 38.6% 44.6% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 38.5 33.2% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 25.8% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 24.0% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 14.5% 14.4% 21.1% 0.68× 6.95
Q4 over 43.5 13.3% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers over 57.5 86.2% 83.9% 65.1% 1.29× 1.19
Arizona Wildcats under 77.5 85.9% 83.9% 77.4% 1.08× 1.19
Oregon State Beavers under 77.5 85.4% 83.9% 87.2% 0.96× 1.19
Arizona Wildcats over 57.5 84.4% 80.7% 77.2% 1.05× 1.24
Arizona Wildcats under 74.5 77.7% 75.1% 70.7% 1.06× 1.33
Oregon State Beavers over 60.5 77.9% 75.1% 55.6% 1.35× 1.33
Oregon State Beavers under 74.5 76.7% 75.1% 82.3% 0.91× 1.33
Arizona Wildcats over 60.5 75.7% 75.1% 69.5% 1.08× 1.33
Arizona Wildcats under 72.5 71.0% 70.7% 65.7% 1.08× 1.41
Oregon State Beavers over 62.5 71.0% 70.7% 49.0% 1.44× 1.41
Oregon State Beavers under 72.5 69.7% 66.4% 78.2% 0.85× 1.51
Arizona Wildcats over 62.5 68.7% 66.4% 64.3% 1.03× 1.51
Arizona Wildcats under 70.5 63.5% 61.2% 60.3% 1.01× 1.63
Oregon State Beavers over 64.5 63.3% 61.2% 43.2% 1.42× 1.63
Arizona Wildcats over 64.5 61.0% 61.2% 58.4% 1.05× 1.63
Oregon State Beavers under 70.5 61.9% 61.2% 73.7% 0.83× 1.63
Arizona Wildcats under 68.5 55.5% 57.1% 54.4% 1.05× 1.75
Oregon State Beavers over 66.5 55.0% 52.3% 37.3% 1.40× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats over 66.5 52.8% 52.3% 51.8% 1.01× 1.91
Arizona Wildcats under 67.5 51.3% 52.3% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
Oregon State Beavers under 68.5 53.5% 52.3% 68.6% 0.76× 1.91
Oregon State Beavers over 67.5 50.7% 52.3% 34.4% 1.52× 1.91
Oregon State Beavers under 67.5 49.3% 47.7% 65.6% 0.73× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats under 66.5 47.2% 47.7% 48.2% 0.99× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats over 67.5 48.7% 47.7% 48.7% 0.98× 2.09
Oregon State Beavers over 68.5 46.5% 47.7% 31.4% 1.52× 2.09
Oregon State Beavers under 66.5 45.0% 47.7% 62.7% 0.76× 2.09
Arizona Wildcats over 68.5 44.5% 42.9% 45.6% 0.94× 2.33
Arizona Wildcats under 64.5 39.0% 38.8% 41.6% 0.93× 2.58
Oregon State Beavers over 70.5 38.1% 38.8% 26.3% 1.47× 2.58
Arizona Wildcats over 70.5 36.5% 38.8% 39.7% 0.98× 2.58
Oregon State Beavers under 64.5 36.7% 38.8% 56.9% 0.68× 2.58
Arizona Wildcats under 62.5 31.3% 33.6% 35.7% 0.94× 2.98
Oregon State Beavers over 72.5 30.3% 33.6% 21.8% 1.54× 2.98
Arizona Wildcats over 72.5 29.0% 29.3% 34.3% 0.85× 3.42
Oregon State Beavers under 62.5 29.0% 29.3% 51.0% 0.57× 3.42
Arizona Wildcats under 60.5 24.3% 24.9% 30.5% 0.81× 4.02
Oregon State Beavers over 74.5 23.3% 24.9% 17.7% 1.40× 4.02
Arizona Wildcats over 74.5 22.3% 24.9% 29.3% 0.85× 4.02
Oregon State Beavers under 60.5 22.1% 24.9% 44.4% 0.56× 4.02
Arizona Wildcats under 57.5 15.6% 19.3% 22.8% 0.84× 5.18
Arizona Wildcats over 77.5 14.1% 16.1% 22.6% 0.71× 6.21
Oregon State Beavers over 77.5 14.6% 16.1% 12.8% 1.26× 6.21
Oregon State Beavers under 57.5 13.8% 16.1% 34.9% 0.46× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 155.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 90.7% 0.98× 1.13
Over 115.5 points 90.2% 88.8% 78.8% 1.13× 1.13
Under 150.5 points 85.0% 85.0% 86.1% 0.99× 1.18
Over 120.5 points 83.1% 80.6% 69.8% 1.15× 1.24
Under 145.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 125.5 points 73.3% 70.8% 59.5% 1.19× 1.41
Under 142.5 points 69.4% 65.9% 75.1% 0.88× 1.52
Over 128.5 points 66.4% 65.9% 52.8% 1.25× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 64.6% 61.5% 71.8% 0.86× 1.63
Over 130.5 points 61.4% 61.5% 48.3% 1.27× 1.63
Under 138.5 points 59.5% 56.5% 67.9% 0.83× 1.77
Over 132.5 points 56.3% 56.5% 44.0% 1.28× 1.77
Under 136.5 points 54.3% 52.3% 64.2% 0.81× 1.91
Under 135.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 62.4% 0.84× 1.91
Over 134.5 points 51.0% 52.3% 39.8% 1.31× 1.91
Under 134.5 points 49.0% 47.7% 60.2% 0.79× 2.10
Over 135.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 37.6% 1.27× 2.10
Over 136.5 points 45.7% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Under 132.5 points 43.7% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
Over 138.5 points 40.5% 43.5% 32.1% 1.36× 2.30
Under 130.5 points 38.6% 38.5% 51.7% 0.75× 2.60
Over 140.5 points 35.4% 38.5% 28.2% 1.36× 2.60
Under 128.5 points 33.6% 34.1% 47.2% 0.72× 2.93
Over 142.5 points 30.6% 34.1% 24.9% 1.37× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 26.7% 29.2% 40.5% 0.72× 3.43
Over 145.5 points 24.0% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Under 120.5 points 16.9% 19.4% 30.2% 0.64× 5.15
Over 150.5 points 15.0% 15.0% 13.9% 1.07× 6.68
Under 115.5 points 9.8% 11.2% 21.2% 0.53× 8.96
Over 155.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 9.3% 1.20× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Oregon State Beavers to win both halves 21.1% 23.0% 20.4% 1.13× 4.34
Arizona Wildcats to win both halves 19.1% 18.9% 36.0% 0.52× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arizona Wildcats by 1-5 17.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Oregon State Beavers by 1-5 17.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Oregon State Beavers by 6-10 14.7% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Arizona Wildcats by 6-10 13.8% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Oregon State Beavers by 11-15 9.9% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Arizona Wildcats by 11-15 9.0% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Oregon State Beavers by 16-20 5.5% 7.5% 4.8% 1.57× 13.40
Arizona Wildcats by 16-20 4.8% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
Arizona Wildcats by 21-25 2.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Oregon State Beavers by 21-25 2.5% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Arizona Wildcats by 26+ 1.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Oregon State Beavers by 26+ 1.3% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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