Arizona Wildcats v Sacramento State Hornets — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Sunday 29 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Arizona Wildcats win
81.6%
Draw
0.0%
Sacramento State Hornets win
18.4%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 69.71–59.81 | 70-60 0% | 51% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.34 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.71× | 283.36 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.36 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.36 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.36 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win H1 | 68.6% | 68.3% | 56.4% | 1.21× | 1.46 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win H1 | 27.5% | 26.5% | 39.9% | 0.67× | 3.77 |
| H1 tied | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 74.5 | 89.1% | 87.7% | 87.2% | 1.01× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 50.5 | 87.5% | 87.7% | 84.5% | 1.04× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 70.5 | 79.9% | 77.4% | 78.9% | 0.98× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 54.5 | 77.2% | 77.4% | 74.0% | 1.05× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 67.5 | 70.7% | 73.5% | 70.4% | 1.04× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 57.5 | 67.3% | 67.4% | 64.8% | 1.04× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 65.5 | 63.5% | 62.7% | 63.9% | 0.98× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 59.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 57.8% | 1.01× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 63.5 | 55.9% | 58.2% | 57.1% | 1.02× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 61.5 | 52.0% | 52.6% | 50.2% | 1.05× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 52.0% | 52.6% | 53.7% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 61.5 | 48.0% | 47.4% | 49.8% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 48.0% | 47.4% | 46.3% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 63.5 | 44.1% | 41.8% | 42.9% | 0.97× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 59.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 42.2% | 0.99× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 65.5 | 36.5% | 37.3% | 36.1% | 1.03× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 57.5 | 32.7% | 32.6% | 35.2% | 0.93× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 67.5 | 29.3% | 26.5% | 29.6% | 0.90× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 54.5 | 22.8% | 22.6% | 26.0% | 0.87× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 70.5 | 20.1% | 22.6% | 21.1% | 1.07× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 50.5 | 12.5% | 12.3% | 15.5% | 0.80× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 10.9% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win H2 | 69.8% | 62.8% | 56.0% | 1.12× | 1.59 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win H2 | 26.5% | 31.3% | 40.6% | 0.77× | 3.20 |
| H2 tied | 3.7% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.36 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 80.5 | 88.2% | 85.2% | 84.0% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 56.5 | 86.1% | 85.2% | 84.1% | 1.01× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 79.1% | 75.8% | 75.6% | 1.00× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 60.5 | 75.9% | 75.8% | 74.5% | 1.02× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 70.1% | 72.2% | 67.1% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 63.5 | 66.2% | 66.4% | 65.3% | 1.02× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 71.5 | 63.3% | 61.6% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 65.5 | 59.0% | 57.3% | 58.8% | 0.98× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 56.0% | 57.3% | 54.8% | 1.05× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 67.5 | 51.5% | 52.4% | 52.1% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 68.5 | 52.3% | 52.4% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 67.5 | 48.5% | 47.6% | 47.9% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 68.5 | 47.7% | 47.6% | 48.7% | 0.98× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 44.0% | 42.7% | 45.2% | 0.94× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 65.5 | 41.0% | 42.7% | 41.2% | 1.03× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 71.5 | 36.7% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 63.5 | 33.8% | 33.6% | 34.7% | 0.97× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 29.9% | 27.8% | 32.9% | 0.85× | 3.59 |
| H2 under 60.5 | 24.1% | 24.2% | 25.5% | 0.95× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 20.9% | 24.2% | 24.4% | 0.99× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 56.5 | 13.9% | 14.8% | 15.9% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 11.8% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 0.93× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats leading at half time | 68.6% | 68.4% | 56.4% | 1.21× | 1.46 |
| Sacramento State Hornets leading at half time | 27.5% | 26.5% | 39.9% | 0.66× | 3.78 |
| Level at half time | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats +18.5 | 99.4% | 97.4% | 91.1% | 1.07× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +20.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 92.7% | 1.05× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +9.5 | 95.6% | 97.4% | 78.7% | 1.24× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +10.5 | 96.4% | 97.4% | 80.4% | 1.21× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +12.5 | 97.6% | 97.4% | 83.8% | 1.16× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +14.5 | 98.5% | 97.4% | 86.7% | 1.12× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +16.5 | 99.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats +8.5 | 94.7% | 91.1% | 76.5% | 1.19× | 1.10 |
| Arizona Wildcats +6.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 72.3% | 1.26× | 1.10 |
| Arizona Wildcats +7.5 | 93.7% | 91.1% | 74.5% | 1.22× | 1.10 |
| Arizona Wildcats +5.5 | 91.2% | 91.1% | 70.1% | 1.30× | 1.10 |
| Arizona Wildcats +4.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 67.8% | 1.27× | 1.16 |
| Arizona Wildcats +3.5 | 87.9% | 85.9% | 65.7% | 1.31× | 1.16 |
| Arizona Wildcats +2.5 | 86.0% | 85.9% | 63.3% | 1.36× | 1.16 |
| Arizona Wildcats +1.5 | 83.9% | 81.1% | 61.2% | 1.32× | 1.23 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +20.5 | 83.1% | 81.1% | 82.0% | 0.99× | 1.23 |
| Arizona Wildcats −1.5 | 78.9% | 76.5% | 58.7% | 1.30× | 1.31 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +18.5 | 78.1% | 76.5% | 79.3% | 0.96× | 1.31 |
| Arizona Wildcats −2.5 | 76.0% | 76.5% | 56.7% | 1.35× | 1.31 |
| Arizona Wildcats −3.5 | 72.9% | 71.6% | 54.2% | 1.32× | 1.40 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +16.5 | 72.3% | 71.6% | 75.7% | 0.95× | 1.40 |
| Arizona Wildcats −4.5 | 69.7% | 66.7% | 52.2% | 1.28× | 1.50 |
| Arizona Wildcats −5.5 | 66.4% | 66.7% | 49.7% | 1.34× | 1.50 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +14.5 | 65.8% | 66.7% | 72.1% | 0.93× | 1.50 |
| Arizona Wildcats −6.5 | 62.9% | 61.9% | 47.6% | 1.30× | 1.62 |
| Arizona Wildcats −7.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 44.8% | 1.28× | 1.75 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +12.5 | 58.9% | 57.1% | 67.9% | 0.84× | 1.75 |
| Arizona Wildcats −8.5 | 55.7% | 57.1% | 42.0% | 1.36× | 1.75 |
| Arizona Wildcats −9.5 | 52.0% | 52.4% | 39.3% | 1.33× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +10.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 63.2% | 0.83× | 1.91 |
| Arizona Wildcats −10.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 36.8% | 1.29× | 2.10 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +9.5 | 48.0% | 47.6% | 60.7% | 0.78× | 2.10 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +8.5 | 44.3% | 42.9% | 58.0% | 0.74× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +7.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 55.2% | 0.78× | 2.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats −12.5 | 41.1% | 42.9% | 32.1% | 1.34× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +6.5 | 37.1% | 38.1% | 52.4% | 0.73× | 2.63 |
| Arizona Wildcats −14.5 | 34.2% | 33.3% | 27.9% | 1.19× | 3.01 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +5.5 | 33.6% | 33.3% | 50.3% | 0.66× | 3.01 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +4.5 | 30.3% | 33.3% | 47.8% | 0.70× | 3.01 |
| Arizona Wildcats −16.5 | 27.7% | 28.4% | 24.3% | 1.17× | 3.53 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +3.5 | 27.1% | 28.4% | 45.8% | 0.62× | 3.53 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +2.5 | 24.0% | 23.5% | 43.3% | 0.54× | 4.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats −18.5 | 21.9% | 23.5% | 20.7% | 1.14× | 4.25 |
| Sacramento State Hornets +1.5 | 21.1% | 23.5% | 41.3% | 0.57× | 4.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats −20.5 | 16.9% | 18.9% | 18.0% | 1.05× | 5.29 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −1.5 | 16.1% | 18.9% | 38.8% | 0.49× | 5.30 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −2.5 | 14.0% | 14.1% | 36.7% | 0.39× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −3.5 | 12.1% | 14.1% | 34.3% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −4.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 32.2% | 0.44× | 7.09 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −5.5 | 8.8% | 8.9% | 29.9% | 0.30× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −6.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 27.7% | 0.32× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −7.5 | 6.3% | 8.9% | 25.5% | 0.35× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −8.5 | 5.3% | 8.9% | 23.5% | 0.38× | 11.25 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −9.5 | 4.4% | 2.6% | 21.3% | 0.12× | 38.72 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −10.5 | 3.6% | 2.6% | 19.6% | 0.13× | 38.73 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −12.5 | 2.4% | 2.6% | 16.2% | 0.16× | 38.73 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −14.5 | 1.5% | 2.6% | 13.3% | 0.19× | 38.73 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −16.5 | 1.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.74 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −18.5 | 0.6% | 2.6% | 8.9% | 0.29× | 38.74 |
| Sacramento State Hornets −20.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 7.3% | 0.35× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 72.0% | 67.1% | 66.7% | 1.01× | 1.49 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 28.0% | 32.9% | 33.3% | 0.99× | 3.04 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 highest scoring | 34.4% | 31.9% | 31.2% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 32.6% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 15.7% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.02× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT | 62.8% | 62.3% | 48.3% | 1.29× | 1.61 |
| Sacramento State Hornets at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT | 15.7% | 15.4% | 9.8% | 1.58× | 6.47 |
| Sacramento State Hornets at HT / Sacramento State Hornets at FT | 11.7% | 12.2% | 30.1% | 0.41× | 8.18 |
| Arizona Wildcats at HT / Sacramento State Hornets at FT | 5.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.10 |
| Level at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.74 |
| Level at HT / Sacramento State Hornets at FT | 0.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win | 81.6% | 80.9% | 59.9% | 1.35× | 1.24 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win | 18.4% | 19.1% | 40.1% | 0.48× | 5.23 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Sacramento State Hornets even | 50.1% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.3% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Arizona Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Sacramento State Hornets odd | 49.9% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.7% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 95.2% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 4.8% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.68× | 33.33 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q1 | 61.4% | 64.9% | 54.7% | 1.19× | 1.54 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win Q1 | 32.8% | 30.4% | 40.4% | 0.75× | 3.29 |
| Q1 tied | 5.7% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 1.11× | 18.32 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 39.5 | 89.1% | 87.4% | 87.5% | 1.00× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 23.5 | 87.3% | 87.4% | 85.4% | 1.02× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 78.5% | 76.9% | 77.4% | 0.99× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 26.5 | 75.6% | 76.9% | 72.9% | 1.06× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 68.9% | 67.6% | 68.5% | 0.99× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 28.5 | 65.4% | 67.6% | 62.7% | 1.08× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 57.8% | 58.6% | 59.1% | 0.99× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 30.5 | 54.0% | 52.7% | 51.2% | 1.03× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 31.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 54.0% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 31.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 46.0% | 1.03× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 30.5 | 46.0% | 47.3% | 48.8% | 0.97× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 42.2% | 41.4% | 40.9% | 1.01× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 28.5 | 34.6% | 32.4% | 37.3% | 0.87× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 31.1% | 32.4% | 31.5% | 1.03× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 26.5 | 24.4% | 23.1% | 27.1% | 0.85× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 21.5% | 23.1% | 22.6% | 1.02× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 23.5 | 12.7% | 12.6% | 14.6% | 0.86× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 39.5 | 10.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 1.00× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q2 | 61.1% | 61.9% | 52.9% | 1.17× | 1.62 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win Q2 | 33.3% | 31.8% | 41.5% | 0.77× | 3.14 |
| Q2 tied | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 1.07× | 16.50 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 39.5 | 90.0% | 87.3% | 88.4% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 23.5 | 86.3% | 87.3% | 84.6% | 1.03× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 79.8% | 76.8% | 78.7% | 0.98× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 26.5 | 74.1% | 72.0% | 71.6% | 1.01× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 70.6% | 72.0% | 70.1% | 1.03× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 28.5 | 63.6% | 60.7% | 61.2% | 0.99× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 59.7% | 58.2% | 60.8% | 0.96× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 31.5 | 53.8% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 30.5 | 52.1% | 52.7% | 49.9% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 30.5 | 47.9% | 47.3% | 50.1% | 0.95× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 31.5 | 46.2% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 40.3% | 41.8% | 39.2% | 1.07× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 28.5 | 36.4% | 39.3% | 38.8% | 1.01× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 29.4% | 28.0% | 29.9% | 0.94× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 26.5 | 25.9% | 28.0% | 28.4% | 0.99× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 20.2% | 23.2% | 21.3% | 1.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 23.5 | 13.7% | 12.7% | 15.4% | 0.82× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 39.5 | 10.0% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 1.09× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q3 | 62.3% | 60.9% | 53.3% | 1.14× | 1.64 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win Q3 | 32.1% | 33.8% | 41.8% | 0.81× | 2.96 |
| Q3 tied | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 1.07× | 18.97 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 42.5 | 89.1% | 87.2% | 87.8% | 0.99× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 26.5 | 85.9% | 87.2% | 83.8% | 1.04× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 78.9% | 77.3% | 77.9% | 0.99× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 29.5 | 73.9% | 71.8% | 71.8% | 1.00× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 69.7% | 67.8% | 69.7% | 0.97× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 31.5 | 63.7% | 62.0% | 61.6% | 1.01× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 59.0% | 58.4% | 59.7% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 34.5 | 53.3% | 52.3% | 54.6% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 33.5 | 52.5% | 52.3% | 50.9% | 1.03× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 33.5 | 47.5% | 47.7% | 49.1% | 0.97× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 34.5 | 46.7% | 47.7% | 45.4% | 1.05× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 41.0% | 41.6% | 40.3% | 1.03× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 31.5 | 36.3% | 38.0% | 38.4% | 0.99× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 30.3% | 32.2% | 30.3% | 1.06× | 3.11 |
| Q3 under 29.5 | 26.1% | 28.2% | 28.2% | 1.00× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 21.1% | 22.7% | 22.1% | 1.03× | 4.40 |
| Q3 under 26.5 | 14.1% | 12.8% | 16.2% | 0.79× | 7.83 |
| Q3 over 42.5 | 10.9% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 1.05× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q4 | 62.1% | 57.8% | 52.8% | 1.09× | 1.73 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win Q4 | 32.5% | 37.4% | 41.5% | 0.90× | 2.68 |
| Q4 tied | 5.4% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 1.02× | 17.26 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 under 42.5 | 87.6% | 85.6% | 86.2% | 0.99× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 26.5 | 84.7% | 82.0% | 82.6% | 0.99× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 77.3% | 76.9% | 77.0% | 1.00× | 1.30 |
| Q4 over 29.5 | 73.0% | 71.5% | 70.8% | 1.01× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 68.3% | 67.4% | 68.8% | 0.98× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 31.5 | 63.3% | 61.4% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 58.1% | 58.4% | 59.4% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q4 over 33.5 | 52.7% | 52.5% | 50.4% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 34.5 | 52.7% | 52.5% | 54.4% | 0.96× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 33.5 | 47.3% | 47.5% | 49.6% | 0.96× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 34.5 | 47.3% | 47.5% | 45.6% | 1.04× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 41.9% | 41.6% | 40.6% | 1.02× | 2.40 |
| Q4 under 31.5 | 36.7% | 38.6% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 31.7% | 32.6% | 31.2% | 1.04× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 29.5 | 27.0% | 28.5% | 29.2% | 0.98× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 22.7% | 23.1% | 23.0% | 1.00× | 4.33 |
| Q4 under 26.5 | 15.3% | 18.0% | 17.4% | 1.04× | 5.56 |
| Q4 over 42.5 | 12.4% | 14.4% | 13.8% | 1.04× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sacramento State Hornets under 70.5 | 87.5% | 83.9% | 73.7% | 1.14× | 1.19 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 80.5 | 86.7% | 83.9% | 82.9% | 1.01× | 1.19 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 50.5 | 85.2% | 83.9% | 83.1% | 1.01× | 1.19 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 60.5 | 84.0% | 80.7% | 69.5% | 1.16× | 1.24 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 67.5 | 79.7% | 75.1% | 65.6% | 1.15× | 1.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 77.5 | 78.7% | 75.1% | 77.4% | 0.97× | 1.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 53.5 | 75.9% | 75.1% | 76.3% | 0.98× | 1.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 63.5 | 75.2% | 75.1% | 61.5% | 1.22× | 1.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 65.5 | 73.0% | 70.7% | 59.8% | 1.18× | 1.41 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 75.5 | 72.0% | 70.7% | 73.2% | 0.97× | 1.41 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 55.5 | 68.4% | 66.4% | 70.8% | 0.94× | 1.51 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 65.5 | 68.1% | 66.4% | 55.3% | 1.20× | 1.51 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 63.5 | 65.4% | 66.4% | 53.9% | 1.23× | 1.51 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 73.5 | 64.5% | 61.2% | 68.5% | 0.89× | 1.63 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 57.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 65.1% | 0.94× | 1.63 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 67.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 48.7% | 1.26× | 1.63 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 61.5 | 57.1% | 57.1% | 47.9% | 1.19× | 1.75 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 71.5 | 56.4% | 57.1% | 63.0% | 0.91× | 1.75 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 59.5 | 51.5% | 52.3% | 58.8% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 60.5 | 52.8% | 52.3% | 44.4% | 1.18× | 1.91 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 69.5 | 51.9% | 52.3% | 42.6% | 1.23× | 1.91 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 70.5 | 52.3% | 52.3% | 60.3% | 0.87× | 1.91 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 59.5 | 48.5% | 47.7% | 41.2% | 1.16× | 2.09 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 60.5 | 47.2% | 47.7% | 55.6% | 0.86× | 2.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 69.5 | 48.1% | 47.7% | 57.4% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 70.5 | 47.7% | 47.7% | 39.7% | 1.20× | 2.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 71.5 | 43.6% | 42.9% | 37.0% | 1.16× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 61.5 | 42.9% | 42.9% | 52.1% | 0.82× | 2.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 57.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 34.9% | 1.11× | 2.58 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 67.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 51.3% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 73.5 | 35.5% | 38.8% | 31.5% | 1.23× | 2.58 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 63.5 | 34.6% | 33.6% | 46.1% | 0.73× | 2.98 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 65.5 | 31.9% | 33.6% | 44.7% | 0.75× | 2.98 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 55.5 | 31.6% | 33.6% | 29.2% | 1.15× | 2.98 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 65.5 | 27.0% | 29.3% | 40.2% | 0.73× | 3.42 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 75.5 | 28.0% | 29.3% | 26.8% | 1.09× | 3.42 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 53.5 | 24.1% | 24.9% | 23.7% | 1.05× | 4.02 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 63.5 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 38.5% | 0.65× | 4.02 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 77.5 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 22.6% | 1.10× | 4.02 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 67.5 | 20.3% | 24.9% | 34.4% | 0.72× | 4.02 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 60.5 | 16.0% | 19.3% | 30.5% | 0.63× | 5.18 |
| Sacramento State Hornets under 50.5 | 14.8% | 16.1% | 16.9% | 0.95× | 6.21 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 80.5 | 13.3% | 16.1% | 17.1% | 0.94× | 6.21 |
| Sacramento State Hornets over 70.5 | 12.5% | 16.1% | 26.3% | 0.61× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 150.5 points | 91.6% | 88.8% | 86.1% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Over 110.5 points | 90.9% | 88.8% | 86.4% | 1.03× | 1.13 |
| Under 145.5 points | 85.3% | 85.0% | 79.5% | 1.07× | 1.18 |
| Over 115.5 points | 83.5% | 80.6% | 78.8% | 1.02× | 1.24 |
| Under 140.5 points | 76.2% | 75.6% | 71.8% | 1.05× | 1.32 |
| Over 120.5 points | 73.6% | 70.8% | 69.8% | 1.01× | 1.41 |
| Under 137.5 points | 69.7% | 65.9% | 66.2% | 1.00× | 1.52 |
| Over 123.5 points | 66.5% | 65.9% | 63.3% | 1.04× | 1.52 |
| Under 135.5 points | 64.9% | 61.5% | 62.4% | 0.99× | 1.63 |
| Over 125.5 points | 61.4% | 61.5% | 59.5% | 1.03× | 1.63 |
| Under 133.5 points | 59.8% | 56.5% | 58.0% | 0.97× | 1.77 |
| Over 127.5 points | 56.2% | 56.5% | 55.1% | 1.03× | 1.77 |
| Under 131.5 points | 54.5% | 52.3% | 53.9% | 0.97× | 1.91 |
| Under 130.5 points | 51.8% | 52.3% | 51.7% | 1.01× | 1.91 |
| Over 129.5 points | 50.8% | 52.3% | 50.5% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Under 129.5 points | 49.2% | 47.7% | 49.5% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Over 130.5 points | 48.2% | 47.7% | 48.3% | 0.99× | 2.10 |
| Over 131.5 points | 45.5% | 47.7% | 46.1% | 1.03× | 2.10 |
| Under 127.5 points | 43.8% | 43.5% | 44.9% | 0.97× | 2.30 |
| Over 133.5 points | 40.2% | 43.5% | 42.0% | 1.04× | 2.30 |
| Under 125.5 points | 38.6% | 38.5% | 40.5% | 0.95× | 2.60 |
| Over 135.5 points | 35.1% | 38.5% | 37.6% | 1.02× | 2.60 |
| Under 123.5 points | 33.5% | 34.1% | 36.7% | 0.93× | 2.93 |
| Over 137.5 points | 30.3% | 34.1% | 33.8% | 1.01× | 2.93 |
| Under 120.5 points | 26.4% | 29.2% | 30.2% | 0.97× | 3.43 |
| Over 140.5 points | 23.8% | 24.4% | 28.2% | 0.86× | 4.10 |
| Under 115.5 points | 16.5% | 19.4% | 21.2% | 0.92× | 5.15 |
| Over 145.5 points | 14.7% | 15.0% | 20.5% | 0.73× | 6.68 |
| Under 110.5 points | 9.1% | 11.2% | 13.6% | 0.82× | 8.96 |
| Over 150.5 points | 8.4% | 11.2% | 13.9% | 0.80× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats to win both halves | 45.5% | 45.8% | 36.0% | 1.27× | 2.19 |
| Sacramento State Hornets to win both halves | 5.3% | 8.8% | 20.4% | 0.43× | 11.34 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats by 6-10 | 18.0% | 16.8% | 12.9% | 1.30× | 5.97 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 11-15 | 17.5% | 16.8% | 10.8% | 1.55× | 5.97 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 1-5 | 15.2% | 16.8% | 10.2% | 1.64× | 5.97 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 16-20 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.53× | 8.11 |
| Sacramento State Hornets by 1-5 | 9.6% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 0.73× | 13.40 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 21-25 | 9.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 1.39× | 13.40 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 26+ | 7.8% | 7.5% | 12.6% | 0.59× | 13.40 |
| Sacramento State Hornets by 6-10 | 5.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Sacramento State Hornets by 11-15 | 2.4% | 2.0% | 7.6% | 0.27× | 49.31 |
| Sacramento State Hornets by 16-20 | 0.9% | 2.0% | 4.8% | 0.43× | 49.32 |
| Sacramento State Hornets by 21-25 | 0.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 0.76× | 49.33 |
| Sacramento State Hornets by 26+ | 0.1% | 2.0% | 4.6% | 0.44× | 49.33 |