Arizona Wildcats v Vanderbilt Commodores — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 23 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027
NCAAW results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 66.33–88.72 | 66-89 0% | 49% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to score 100+ | 12.4% | 13.8% | 0.5% | 28.00× | 7.24 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 1.8% | 0.20× | 283.35 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 110+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.64× | 283.36 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 2.91× | 283.36 |
| Arizona Wildcats to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 7.58× | 283.36 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores to score 110+ | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 4.74× | 283.11 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores to score 120+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 18.95× | 283.35 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores to score 130+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 37.89× | 283.36 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 6.32× | 283.35 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win H1 | 87.8% | 88.7% | 39.9% | 2.22× | 1.13 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win H1 | 10.0% | 10.7% | 56.4% | 0.19× | 9.32 |
| H1 tied | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.05× | 25.87 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 86.5 | 88.9% | 87.7% | 98.1% | 0.89× | 1.14 |
| H1 over 62.5 | 87.2% | 87.7% | 46.3% | 1.89× | 1.14 |
| H1 under 82.5 | 79.7% | 77.4% | 96.2% | 0.80× | 1.29 |
| H1 over 66.5 | 77.1% | 77.4% | 32.9% | 2.35× | 1.29 |
| H1 under 79.5 | 70.4% | 73.5% | 93.9% | 0.78× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 69.5 | 67.2% | 67.4% | 23.8% | 2.83× | 1.48 |
| H1 under 77.5 | 63.3% | 62.7% | 91.6% | 0.68× | 1.59 |
| H1 over 71.5 | 59.8% | 58.2% | 18.6% | 3.14× | 1.72 |
| H1 under 75.5 | 55.7% | 58.2% | 88.8% | 0.66× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 73.5 | 52.1% | 52.6% | 14.4% | 3.66× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 74.5 | 51.8% | 52.6% | 87.2% | 0.60× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 73.5 | 47.9% | 47.4% | 85.6% | 0.55× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 74.5 | 48.2% | 47.4% | 12.8% | 3.69× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 75.5 | 44.3% | 41.8% | 11.2% | 3.74× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 71.5 | 40.2% | 41.8% | 81.4% | 0.51× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 77.5 | 36.7% | 37.3% | 8.4% | 4.45× | 2.68 |
| H1 under 69.5 | 32.8% | 32.6% | 76.2% | 0.43× | 3.07 |
| H1 over 79.5 | 29.6% | 26.5% | 6.1% | 4.33× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 66.5 | 22.9% | 22.6% | 67.1% | 0.34× | 4.43 |
| H1 over 82.5 | 20.3% | 22.6% | 3.8% | 5.98× | 4.43 |
| H1 under 62.5 | 12.8% | 12.3% | 53.7% | 0.23× | 8.14 |
| H1 over 86.5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 1.9% | 6.63× | 8.14 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win H2 | 89.2% | 84.2% | 40.6% | 2.08× | 1.19 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win H2 | 8.9% | 11.3% | 56.0% | 0.20× | 8.83 |
| H2 tied | 1.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.16× | 25.37 |
H2 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 93.5 | 87.7% | 85.2% | 97.0% | 0.88× | 1.17 |
| H2 over 69.5 | 86.1% | 85.2% | 45.2% | 1.89× | 1.17 |
| H2 under 89.5 | 78.5% | 75.8% | 94.8% | 0.80× | 1.32 |
| H2 over 73.5 | 76.1% | 75.8% | 32.9% | 2.30× | 1.32 |
| H2 under 86.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 92.2% | 0.72× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 76.5 | 66.6% | 66.4% | 24.4% | 2.72× | 1.51 |
| H2 under 84.5 | 62.6% | 61.6% | 90.3% | 0.68× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 78.5 | 59.5% | 57.3% | 19.9% | 2.89× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 82.5 | 55.3% | 57.3% | 87.4% | 0.66× | 1.74 |
| H2 over 80.5 | 52.2% | 52.4% | 16.0% | 3.28× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 81.5 | 51.6% | 52.4% | 85.8% | 0.61× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 80.5 | 47.8% | 47.6% | 84.0% | 0.57× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 81.5 | 48.4% | 47.6% | 14.2% | 3.35× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 82.5 | 44.7% | 42.7% | 12.6% | 3.39× | 2.34 |
| H2 under 78.5 | 40.5% | 42.7% | 80.1% | 0.53× | 2.35 |
| H2 over 84.5 | 37.4% | 38.4% | 9.7% | 3.95× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 76.5 | 33.4% | 33.6% | 75.6% | 0.44× | 2.97 |
| H2 over 86.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 7.8% | 4.32× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 73.5 | 23.9% | 24.2% | 67.1% | 0.36× | 4.13 |
| H2 over 89.5 | 21.5% | 24.2% | 5.2% | 4.65× | 4.13 |
| H2 under 69.5 | 13.9% | 14.8% | 54.8% | 0.27× | 6.76 |
| H2 over 93.5 | 12.3% | 14.8% | 3.0% | 4.93× | 6.76 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores leading at half time | 87.8% | 89.4% | 39.9% | 2.24× | 1.12 |
| Arizona Wildcats leading at half time | 10.0% | 10.2% | 56.4% | 0.18× | 9.79 |
| Level at half time | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 1.03× | 26.43 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores +6.5 | 99.5% | 97.4% | 52.4% | 1.86× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +7.5 | 99.6% | 97.4% | 55.2% | 1.76× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +8.5 | 99.7% | 97.4% | 58.0% | 1.68× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +9.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 60.7% | 1.61× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +10.5 | 99.8% | 97.4% | 63.2% | 1.54× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +12.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 67.9% | 1.44× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +14.5 | 99.9% | 97.4% | 72.1% | 1.35× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +16.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 75.7% | 1.29× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +18.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 79.3% | 1.23× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +20.5 | 100.0% | 97.4% | 82.0% | 1.19× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +1.5 | 98.3% | 97.4% | 41.3% | 2.36× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −1.5 | 97.3% | 97.4% | 38.8% | 2.51× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +2.5 | 98.6% | 97.4% | 43.3% | 2.25× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −2.5 | 96.6% | 97.4% | 36.7% | 2.66× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +3.5 | 98.9% | 97.4% | 45.8% | 2.13× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −3.5 | 95.8% | 97.4% | 34.3% | 2.84× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +4.5 | 99.2% | 97.4% | 47.8% | 2.04× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores +5.5 | 99.3% | 97.4% | 50.3% | 1.94× | 1.03 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −4.5 | 94.9% | 91.1% | 32.2% | 2.83× | 1.10 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −5.5 | 93.8% | 91.1% | 29.9% | 3.05× | 1.10 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −6.5 | 92.5% | 91.1% | 27.7% | 3.29× | 1.10 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −7.5 | 91.1% | 91.1% | 25.5% | 3.58× | 1.10 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −8.5 | 89.6% | 85.9% | 23.5% | 3.65× | 1.16 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −9.5 | 87.8% | 85.9% | 21.3% | 4.03× | 1.16 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −10.5 | 85.9% | 85.9% | 19.6% | 4.38× | 1.16 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −12.5 | 81.4% | 81.1% | 16.2% | 4.99× | 1.23 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −14.5 | 76.2% | 76.5% | 13.3% | 5.77× | 1.31 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −16.5 | 70.2% | 71.6% | 10.9% | 6.59× | 1.40 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −18.5 | 63.8% | 61.9% | 8.9% | 6.94× | 1.62 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores −20.5 | 56.9% | 57.1% | 7.3% | 7.84× | 1.75 |
| Arizona Wildcats +20.5 | 43.1% | 42.9% | 92.7% | 0.46× | 2.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats +18.5 | 36.2% | 38.1% | 91.1% | 0.42× | 2.63 |
| Arizona Wildcats +16.5 | 29.8% | 28.4% | 89.1% | 0.32× | 3.53 |
| Arizona Wildcats +14.5 | 23.8% | 23.5% | 86.7% | 0.27× | 4.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats +12.5 | 18.6% | 18.9% | 83.8% | 0.23× | 5.29 |
| Arizona Wildcats +10.5 | 14.1% | 14.1% | 80.4% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats +9.5 | 12.2% | 14.1% | 78.7% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats +8.5 | 10.4% | 14.1% | 76.5% | 0.18× | 7.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats +7.5 | 8.9% | 8.9% | 74.5% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats +5.5 | 6.2% | 8.9% | 70.1% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats +6.5 | 7.5% | 8.9% | 72.3% | 0.12× | 11.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats +4.5 | 5.1% | 8.9% | 67.8% | 0.13× | 11.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats −1.5 | 1.7% | 2.6% | 58.7% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Arizona Wildcats +1.5 | 2.7% | 2.6% | 61.2% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Arizona Wildcats −2.5 | 1.4% | 2.6% | 56.7% | 0.05× | 38.73 |
| Arizona Wildcats +2.5 | 3.4% | 2.6% | 63.3% | 0.04× | 38.73 |
| Arizona Wildcats −3.5 | 1.1% | 2.6% | 54.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats +3.5 | 4.2% | 2.6% | 65.7% | 0.04× | 38.72 |
| Arizona Wildcats −4.5 | 0.8% | 2.6% | 52.2% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −5.5 | 0.7% | 2.6% | 49.7% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −6.5 | 0.5% | 2.6% | 47.6% | 0.05× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −7.5 | 0.4% | 2.6% | 44.8% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −8.5 | 0.3% | 2.6% | 42.0% | 0.06× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −9.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 39.3% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −10.5 | 0.2% | 2.6% | 36.8% | 0.07× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −12.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 32.1% | 0.08× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −14.5 | 0.1% | 2.6% | 27.9% | 0.09× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −16.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 24.3% | 0.11× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −18.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 20.7% | 0.12× | 38.74 |
| Arizona Wildcats −20.5 | 0.0% | 2.6% | 18.0% | 0.14× | 38.74 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2nd half highest scoring | 75.6% | 71.6% | 66.7% | 1.07× | 1.40 |
| 1st half highest scoring | 24.4% | 28.4% | 33.3% | 0.85× | 3.53 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 highest scoring | 34.0% | 31.9% | 31.3% | 1.02× | 3.14 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 35.8% | 28.6% | 31.2% | 0.92× | 3.50 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 14.3% | 18.3% | 17.9% | 1.03× | 5.46 |
| Q1 highest scoring | 15.9% | 18.3% | 19.6% | 0.94× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores at HT / Vanderbilt Commodores at FT | 87.1% | 89.1% | 30.1% | 2.96× | 1.12 |
| Arizona Wildcats at HT / Vanderbilt Commodores at FT | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 1.01× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Vanderbilt Commodores at FT | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.20× | 47.76 |
| Arizona Wildcats at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT | 1.3% | 2.1% | 48.3% | 0.04× | 47.77 |
| Level at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT | 0.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.09× | 47.79 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores at HT / Arizona Wildcats at FT | 0.7% | 2.1% | 9.8% | 0.21× | 47.78 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win | 97.9% | 97.5% | 40.1% | 2.43× | 1.03 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win | 2.1% | 2.5% | 59.9% | 0.04× | 39.37 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona Wildcats even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.4% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.1% | 1.01× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 50.2% | 50.5% | 51.5% | 0.98× | 1.98 |
| Arizona Wildcats odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.6% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.9% | 0.99× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 49.8% | 49.5% | 48.5% | 1.02× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 98.3% | 97.0% | 95.6% | 1.02× | 1.03 |
| Match to go to overtime | 1.7% | 3.0% | 4.4% | 0.67× | 33.55 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win Q1 | 77.4% | 79.9% | 40.4% | 1.98× | 1.25 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q1 | 18.2% | 15.7% | 54.7% | 0.29× | 6.36 |
| Q1 tied | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 0.85× | 23.96 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 45.5 | 88.9% | 87.4% | 97.1% | 0.90× | 1.14 |
| Q1 over 29.5 | 87.2% | 87.4% | 56.9% | 1.54× | 1.14 |
| Q1 under 42.5 | 78.2% | 76.9% | 93.6% | 0.82× | 1.30 |
| Q1 over 32.5 | 75.6% | 76.9% | 40.9% | 1.88× | 1.30 |
| Q1 under 40.5 | 68.6% | 67.6% | 89.9% | 0.75× | 1.48 |
| Q1 over 34.5 | 65.5% | 67.6% | 31.5% | 2.14× | 1.48 |
| Q1 under 38.5 | 57.5% | 58.6% | 84.8% | 0.69× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 36.5 | 54.2% | 52.7% | 22.6% | 2.33× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 37.5 | 51.7% | 52.7% | 81.6% | 0.65× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 37.5 | 48.3% | 47.3% | 18.4% | 2.57× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 36.5 | 45.8% | 47.3% | 77.4% | 0.61× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 38.5 | 42.5% | 41.4% | 15.2% | 2.72× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 34.5 | 34.5% | 32.4% | 68.5% | 0.47× | 3.08 |
| Q1 over 40.5 | 31.4% | 32.4% | 10.1% | 3.21× | 3.08 |
| Q1 under 32.5 | 24.4% | 23.1% | 59.1% | 0.39× | 4.33 |
| Q1 over 42.5 | 21.8% | 23.1% | 6.4% | 3.62× | 4.33 |
| Q1 under 29.5 | 12.8% | 12.6% | 43.1% | 0.29× | 7.95 |
| Q1 over 45.5 | 11.1% | 12.6% | 2.9% | 4.30× | 7.95 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win Q2 | 76.7% | 80.7% | 41.5% | 1.95× | 1.24 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q2 | 18.9% | 14.7% | 52.9% | 0.28× | 6.81 |
| Q2 tied | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 0.77× | 22.89 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 45.5 | 89.9% | 87.3% | 97.5% | 0.90× | 1.15 |
| Q2 over 29.5 | 86.0% | 87.3% | 55.8% | 1.56× | 1.15 |
| Q2 under 42.5 | 79.8% | 76.8% | 94.3% | 0.81× | 1.30 |
| Q2 over 32.5 | 73.8% | 72.0% | 39.2% | 1.83× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 40.5 | 70.6% | 72.0% | 90.8% | 0.79× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 34.5 | 63.4% | 60.7% | 29.9% | 2.03× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 38.5 | 59.7% | 58.2% | 85.6% | 0.68× | 1.72 |
| Q2 under 37.5 | 54.0% | 52.7% | 82.3% | 0.64× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 36.5 | 51.9% | 52.7% | 21.3% | 2.47× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 36.5 | 48.1% | 47.3% | 78.7% | 0.60× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 37.5 | 46.0% | 47.3% | 17.7% | 2.68× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 38.5 | 40.3% | 41.8% | 14.4% | 2.90× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 34.5 | 36.6% | 39.3% | 70.1% | 0.56× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 40.5 | 29.4% | 28.0% | 9.2% | 3.05× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 32.5 | 26.2% | 28.0% | 60.8% | 0.46× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 42.5 | 20.2% | 23.2% | 5.7% | 4.09× | 4.31 |
| Q2 under 29.5 | 14.0% | 12.7% | 44.2% | 0.29× | 7.89 |
| Q2 over 45.5 | 10.1% | 12.7% | 2.5% | 5.15× | 7.90 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win Q3 | 78.9% | 81.6% | 41.8% | 1.95× | 1.23 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q3 | 17.0% | 15.1% | 53.3% | 0.28× | 6.64 |
| Q3 tied | 4.1% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.86× | 23.45 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 over 32.5 | 87.5% | 87.2% | 56.1% | 1.56× | 1.15 |
| Q3 under 48.5 | 87.4% | 87.2% | 97.2% | 0.90× | 1.15 |
| Q3 over 35.5 | 76.3% | 77.3% | 40.3% | 1.92× | 1.29 |
| Q3 under 45.5 | 76.3% | 77.3% | 93.8% | 0.82× | 1.29 |
| Q3 over 37.5 | 66.7% | 67.8% | 30.3% | 2.24× | 1.48 |
| Q3 under 43.5 | 66.6% | 67.8% | 90.2% | 0.75× | 1.48 |
| Q3 over 39.5 | 55.7% | 58.4% | 22.1% | 2.64× | 1.71 |
| Q3 under 41.5 | 55.7% | 58.4% | 85.1% | 0.69× | 1.71 |
| Q3 over 40.5 | 50.0% | 52.3% | 18.1% | 2.88× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 40.5 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 81.9% | 0.58× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 39.5 | 44.3% | 41.6% | 77.9% | 0.53× | 2.40 |
| Q3 over 41.5 | 44.3% | 41.6% | 14.9% | 2.80× | 2.40 |
| Q3 under 37.5 | 33.3% | 32.2% | 69.7% | 0.46× | 3.10 |
| Q3 over 43.5 | 33.4% | 32.2% | 9.8% | 3.28× | 3.10 |
| Q3 under 35.5 | 23.7% | 22.7% | 59.7% | 0.38× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 45.5 | 23.7% | 22.7% | 6.2% | 3.67× | 4.40 |
| Q3 over 48.5 | 12.6% | 12.8% | 2.8% | 4.50× | 7.83 |
| Q3 under 32.5 | 12.5% | 12.8% | 43.9% | 0.29× | 7.83 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win Q4 | 78.5% | 71.6% | 41.5% | 1.72× | 1.40 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win Q4 | 17.5% | 22.6% | 52.8% | 0.43× | 4.42 |
| Q4 tied | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 0.91× | 19.30 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 32.5 | 86.3% | 85.6% | 55.4% | 1.54× | 1.17 |
| Q4 under 48.5 | 85.8% | 85.6% | 96.3% | 0.89× | 1.17 |
| Q4 over 35.5 | 75.4% | 76.9% | 40.6% | 1.89× | 1.30 |
| Q4 under 45.5 | 74.7% | 71.5% | 92.4% | 0.77× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 37.5 | 66.2% | 67.4% | 31.2% | 2.16× | 1.48 |
| Q4 under 43.5 | 65.4% | 67.4% | 88.6% | 0.76× | 1.48 |
| Q4 over 39.5 | 55.8% | 58.4% | 23.0% | 2.54× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 41.5 | 55.0% | 52.5% | 83.6% | 0.63× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 40.5 | 50.4% | 52.5% | 19.4% | 2.71× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 40.5 | 49.6% | 47.5% | 80.6% | 0.59× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 41.5 | 45.0% | 47.5% | 16.4% | 2.90× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 39.5 | 44.2% | 41.6% | 77.0% | 0.54× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 43.5 | 34.6% | 32.6% | 11.4% | 2.86× | 3.07 |
| Q4 under 37.5 | 33.8% | 32.6% | 68.8% | 0.47× | 3.07 |
| Q4 over 45.5 | 25.3% | 28.5% | 7.6% | 3.73× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 35.5 | 24.6% | 23.1% | 59.4% | 0.39× | 4.33 |
| Q4 over 48.5 | 14.2% | 14.4% | 3.7% | 3.92× | 6.95 |
| Q4 under 32.5 | 13.7% | 14.4% | 44.6% | 0.32× | 6.95 |
Team total 44
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 99.5 | 87.6% | 83.9% | 99.5% | 0.84× | 1.19 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 76.5 | 85.9% | 83.9% | 75.4% | 1.11× | 1.19 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 56.5 | 85.0% | 80.7% | 79.5% | 1.01× | 1.24 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 79.5 | 84.2% | 80.7% | 10.3% | 7.81× | 1.24 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 96.5 | 79.7% | 75.1% | 99.2% | 0.76× | 1.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 59.5 | 76.4% | 75.1% | 72.2% | 1.04× | 1.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 73.5 | 77.6% | 75.1% | 68.5% | 1.10× | 1.33 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 82.5 | 75.2% | 75.1% | 7.0% | 10.78× | 1.33 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 94.5 | 73.1% | 70.7% | 98.9% | 0.71× | 1.41 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 71.5 | 70.8% | 70.7% | 63.0% | 1.12× | 1.41 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 61.5 | 69.4% | 66.4% | 66.9% | 0.99× | 1.51 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 84.5 | 67.9% | 66.4% | 5.3% | 12.46× | 1.51 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 92.5 | 65.6% | 66.4% | 98.5% | 0.67× | 1.51 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 69.5 | 63.2% | 61.2% | 57.4% | 1.07× | 1.63 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 63.5 | 61.6% | 61.2% | 61.5% | 1.00× | 1.63 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 86.5 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 3.9% | 14.56× | 1.75 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 90.5 | 57.3% | 57.1% | 97.8% | 0.58× | 1.75 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 67.5 | 55.0% | 52.3% | 51.3% | 1.02× | 1.91 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 65.5 | 53.4% | 52.3% | 55.3% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 88.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 2.9% | 18.10× | 1.91 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 89.5 | 53.1% | 52.3% | 97.6% | 0.54× | 1.91 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 66.5 | 50.8% | 52.3% | 48.2% | 1.09× | 1.91 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 66.5 | 49.2% | 47.7% | 51.8% | 0.92× | 2.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 65.5 | 46.6% | 47.7% | 44.7% | 1.07× | 2.09 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 88.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 97.1% | 0.49× | 2.09 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 89.5 | 46.9% | 47.7% | 2.4% | 19.49× | 2.09 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 67.5 | 45.0% | 47.7% | 48.7% | 0.98× | 2.09 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 90.5 | 42.7% | 42.9% | 2.2% | 19.94× | 2.33 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 86.5 | 40.2% | 42.9% | 96.1% | 0.45× | 2.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 63.5 | 38.4% | 38.8% | 38.5% | 1.01× | 2.58 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 69.5 | 36.8% | 38.8% | 42.6% | 0.91× | 2.58 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 92.5 | 34.4% | 33.6% | 1.5% | 22.14× | 2.98 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 84.5 | 32.1% | 33.6% | 94.7% | 0.36× | 2.98 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 61.5 | 30.6% | 33.6% | 33.1% | 1.02× | 2.98 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 71.5 | 29.2% | 29.3% | 37.0% | 0.79× | 3.42 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 94.5 | 26.9% | 29.3% | 1.1% | 27.82× | 3.42 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 82.5 | 24.8% | 24.9% | 93.0% | 0.27× | 4.02 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 59.5 | 23.6% | 24.9% | 27.8% | 0.89× | 4.02 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 73.5 | 22.4% | 24.9% | 31.5% | 0.79× | 4.02 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 96.5 | 20.3% | 24.9% | 0.8% | 31.80× | 4.02 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores under 79.5 | 15.8% | 19.3% | 89.7% | 0.22× | 5.18 |
| Arizona Wildcats under 56.5 | 15.0% | 19.3% | 20.5% | 0.94× | 5.18 |
| Arizona Wildcats over 76.5 | 14.1% | 16.1% | 24.6% | 0.66× | 6.21 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores over 99.5 | 12.4% | 16.1% | 0.5% | 32.60× | 6.21 |
Total points 30
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 175.5 points | 91.2% | 88.8% | 98.6% | 0.90× | 1.13 |
| Over 135.5 points | 90.4% | 88.8% | 37.6% | 2.36× | 1.13 |
| Under 170.5 points | 84.6% | 80.6% | 97.7% | 0.82× | 1.24 |
| Over 140.5 points | 83.4% | 80.6% | 28.2% | 2.85× | 1.24 |
| Under 165.5 points | 75.5% | 75.6% | 96.3% | 0.79× | 1.32 |
| Over 145.5 points | 73.8% | 70.8% | 20.5% | 3.46× | 1.41 |
| Under 162.5 points | 68.8% | 65.9% | 95.0% | 0.69× | 1.52 |
| Over 148.5 points | 66.9% | 65.9% | 16.3% | 4.04× | 1.52 |
| Under 160.5 points | 64.0% | 61.5% | 93.9% | 0.65× | 1.63 |
| Over 150.5 points | 62.0% | 61.5% | 13.9% | 4.41× | 1.63 |
| Under 158.5 points | 58.9% | 56.5% | 92.7% | 0.61× | 1.77 |
| Over 152.5 points | 56.8% | 56.5% | 11.9% | 4.75× | 1.77 |
| Under 156.5 points | 53.7% | 52.3% | 91.3% | 0.57× | 1.91 |
| Over 154.5 points | 51.6% | 52.3% | 10.2% | 5.15× | 1.91 |
| Under 155.5 points | 51.1% | 52.3% | 90.7% | 0.58× | 1.91 |
| Over 155.5 points | 48.9% | 47.7% | 9.3% | 5.13× | 2.10 |
| Under 154.5 points | 48.4% | 47.7% | 89.8% | 0.53× | 2.10 |
| Over 156.5 points | 46.3% | 47.7% | 8.7% | 5.50× | 2.10 |
| Under 152.5 points | 43.2% | 43.5% | 88.1% | 0.49× | 2.30 |
| Over 158.5 points | 41.1% | 43.5% | 7.3% | 5.96× | 2.30 |
| Under 150.5 points | 38.0% | 38.5% | 86.1% | 0.45× | 2.60 |
| Over 160.5 points | 36.0% | 38.5% | 6.1% | 6.32× | 2.60 |
| Under 148.5 points | 33.1% | 34.1% | 83.7% | 0.41× | 2.93 |
| Over 162.5 points | 31.2% | 34.1% | 5.0% | 6.78× | 2.93 |
| Under 145.5 points | 26.2% | 29.2% | 79.5% | 0.37× | 3.43 |
| Over 165.5 points | 24.5% | 24.4% | 3.7% | 6.58× | 4.10 |
| Under 140.5 points | 16.6% | 19.4% | 71.8% | 0.27× | 5.15 |
| Over 170.5 points | 15.4% | 19.4% | 2.3% | 8.38× | 5.15 |
| Under 135.5 points | 9.6% | 11.2% | 62.4% | 0.18× | 8.96 |
| Over 175.5 points | 8.8% | 11.2% | 1.4% | 8.20× | 8.96 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores to win both halves | 77.6% | 77.1% | 20.4% | 3.79× | 1.30 |
| Arizona Wildcats to win both halves | 0.4% | 3.0% | 36.0% | 0.08× | 33.82 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vanderbilt Commodores by 26+ | 39.2% | 40.1% | 4.6% | 8.70× | 2.49 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores by 21-25 | 17.7% | 16.8% | 2.7% | 6.27× | 5.97 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores by 16-20 | 16.4% | 16.8% | 4.8% | 3.53× | 5.97 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores by 11-15 | 12.6% | 12.3% | 7.6% | 1.62× | 8.11 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores by 6-10 | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 0.72× | 13.40 |
| Vanderbilt Commodores by 1-5 | 4.1% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.29 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 1-5 | 1.4% | 2.0% | 10.2% | 0.20× | 49.32 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 6-10 | 0.5% | 2.0% | 12.9% | 0.16× | 49.32 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 11-15 | 0.1% | 2.0% | 10.8% | 0.19× | 49.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 16-20 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 8.0% | 0.25× | 49.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 21-25 | 0.0% | 2.0% | 5.4% | 0.38× | 49.33 |
| Arizona Wildcats by 26+ | 0.0% | 2.0% | 12.6% | 0.16× | 49.33 |