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Arkansas Razorbacks v High Point Panthers — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Arkansas Razorbacks win
66.2%
Draw
0.0%
High Point Panthers win
33.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 74.16–69.61 74-70 0% 48% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 100+ 0.4% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.28
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Arkansas Razorbacks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 100+ 0.1% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.34
High Point Panthers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
High Point Panthers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win H1 57.9% 57.3% 56.4% 1.01× 1.75
High Point Panthers to win H1 37.8% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 56.5 88.3% 87.7% 68.2% 1.29× 1.14
H1 under 80.5 87.8% 87.7% 94.9% 0.92× 1.14
H1 over 60.5 78.7% 77.4% 53.9% 1.44× 1.29
H1 under 76.5 78.0% 77.4% 90.2% 0.86× 1.29
H1 over 63.5 69.3% 67.4% 42.9% 1.57× 1.48
H1 under 73.5 68.3% 67.4% 85.6% 0.79× 1.48
H1 over 65.5 62.1% 62.7% 36.1% 1.74× 1.59
H1 under 71.5 61.1% 62.7% 81.4% 0.77× 1.59
H1 over 67.5 54.4% 52.6% 29.6% 1.78× 1.90
H1 under 69.5 53.4% 52.6% 76.2% 0.69× 1.90
H1 over 68.5 50.5% 52.6% 26.5% 1.99× 1.90
H1 under 68.5 49.5% 47.4% 73.5% 0.64× 2.11
H1 over 69.5 46.6% 47.4% 23.8% 1.99× 2.11
H1 under 67.5 45.6% 47.4% 70.4% 0.67× 2.11
H1 under 65.5 37.9% 37.3% 63.9% 0.58× 2.68
H1 over 71.5 38.9% 37.3% 18.6% 2.01× 2.68
H1 over 73.5 31.7% 32.6% 14.4% 2.26× 3.07
H1 under 63.5 30.7% 32.6% 57.1% 0.57× 3.07
H1 over 76.5 22.0% 22.6% 9.8% 2.30× 4.43
H1 under 60.5 21.3% 22.6% 46.1% 0.49× 4.43
H1 over 80.5 12.2% 12.3% 5.1% 2.39× 8.14
H1 under 56.5 11.7% 12.3% 31.8% 0.39× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win H2 58.5% 55.0% 56.0% 0.98× 1.82
High Point Panthers to win H2 37.3% 41.2% 40.6% 1.02× 2.43
H2 tied 4.2% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 87.5 87.6% 85.2% 93.2% 0.91× 1.17
H2 over 63.5 86.2% 85.2% 65.3% 1.30× 1.17
H2 under 83.5 78.2% 75.8% 88.9% 0.85× 1.32
H2 over 67.5 76.3% 75.8% 52.1% 1.45× 1.32
H2 under 80.5 69.1% 66.4% 84.0% 0.79× 1.51
H2 over 70.5 66.9% 66.4% 42.2% 1.57× 1.51
H2 under 78.5 62.3% 61.6% 80.1% 0.77× 1.62
H2 over 72.5 59.8% 57.3% 36.0% 1.60× 1.74
H2 under 76.5 55.0% 52.4% 75.6% 0.69× 1.91
H2 over 74.5 52.5% 52.4% 30.1% 1.74× 1.91
H2 under 75.5 51.3% 52.4% 73.0% 0.72× 1.91
H2 over 75.5 48.7% 47.6% 27.0% 1.77× 2.10
H2 under 74.5 47.5% 47.6% 69.9% 0.68× 2.10
H2 over 76.5 45.0% 47.6% 24.4% 1.95× 2.10
H2 under 72.5 40.2% 42.7% 64.1% 0.67× 2.35
H2 over 78.5 37.7% 38.4% 19.9% 1.93× 2.61
H2 under 70.5 33.1% 33.6% 57.8% 0.58× 2.97
H2 over 80.5 30.9% 33.6% 16.0% 2.11× 2.97
H2 under 67.5 23.7% 24.2% 47.9% 0.51× 4.13
H2 over 83.5 21.8% 24.2% 11.1% 2.18× 4.13
H2 under 63.5 13.8% 14.8% 34.7% 0.43× 6.76
H2 over 87.5 12.4% 14.8% 6.8% 2.18× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks leading at half time 57.9% 56.9% 56.4% 1.01× 1.76
High Point Panthers leading at half time 37.8% 37.9% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks +16.5 96.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +18.5 97.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +20.5 98.7% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +14.5 95.3% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Arkansas Razorbacks +12.5 93.3% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Arkansas Razorbacks +10.5 90.6% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
High Point Panthers +20.5 92.0% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Arkansas Razorbacks +9.5 89.1% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
High Point Panthers +18.5 88.9% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Arkansas Razorbacks +8.5 87.3% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
Arkansas Razorbacks +7.5 85.3% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
High Point Panthers +16.5 85.2% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Arkansas Razorbacks +6.5 83.1% 81.1% 72.3% 1.12× 1.23
Arkansas Razorbacks +5.5 80.8% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
High Point Panthers +14.5 80.6% 81.1% 72.1% 1.12× 1.23
Arkansas Razorbacks +4.5 78.2% 76.5% 67.8% 1.13× 1.31
Arkansas Razorbacks +3.5 75.5% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
High Point Panthers +12.5 75.2% 76.5% 67.9% 1.13× 1.31
Arkansas Razorbacks +2.5 72.5% 71.6% 63.3% 1.13× 1.40
Arkansas Razorbacks +1.5 69.4% 66.7% 61.2% 1.09× 1.50
High Point Panthers +10.5 69.2% 66.7% 63.2% 1.06× 1.50
High Point Panthers +9.5 65.9% 66.7% 60.7% 1.10× 1.50
Arkansas Razorbacks −1.5 62.7% 61.9% 58.7% 1.05× 1.62
High Point Panthers +8.5 62.5% 61.9% 58.0% 1.07× 1.62
Arkansas Razorbacks −2.5 59.1% 57.1% 56.7% 1.01× 1.75
High Point Panthers +7.5 59.0% 57.1% 55.2% 1.03× 1.75
Arkansas Razorbacks −3.5 55.5% 57.1% 54.2% 1.05× 1.75
High Point Panthers +6.5 55.5% 57.1% 52.4% 1.09× 1.75
Arkansas Razorbacks −4.5 51.8% 52.4% 52.2% 1.00× 1.91
High Point Panthers +5.5 51.8% 52.4% 50.3% 1.04× 1.91
High Point Panthers +4.5 48.2% 47.6% 47.8% 1.00× 2.10
Arkansas Razorbacks −5.5 48.2% 47.6% 49.7% 0.96× 2.10
High Point Panthers +3.5 44.5% 42.9% 45.8% 0.94× 2.33
Arkansas Razorbacks −6.5 44.5% 42.9% 47.6% 0.90× 2.33
High Point Panthers +2.5 40.9% 42.9% 43.3% 0.99× 2.33
Arkansas Razorbacks −7.5 41.0% 42.9% 44.8% 0.96× 2.33
High Point Panthers +1.5 37.3% 38.1% 41.3% 0.92× 2.63
Arkansas Razorbacks −8.5 37.5% 38.1% 42.0% 0.91× 2.63
Arkansas Razorbacks −9.5 34.1% 33.3% 39.3% 0.85× 3.01
High Point Panthers −1.5 30.6% 33.3% 38.8% 0.86× 3.01
Arkansas Razorbacks −10.5 30.8% 33.3% 36.8% 0.90× 3.01
High Point Panthers −2.5 27.5% 28.4% 36.7% 0.77× 3.53
High Point Panthers −3.5 24.5% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
Arkansas Razorbacks −12.5 24.8% 23.5% 32.1% 0.73× 4.25
High Point Panthers −4.5 21.8% 23.5% 32.2% 0.73× 4.25
High Point Panthers −5.5 19.2% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.29
Arkansas Razorbacks −14.5 19.4% 18.9% 27.9% 0.68× 5.29
High Point Panthers −6.5 16.9% 18.9% 27.7% 0.68× 5.29
High Point Panthers −7.5 14.7% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
Arkansas Razorbacks −16.5 14.8% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
High Point Panthers −8.5 12.7% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
High Point Panthers −9.5 10.9% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Arkansas Razorbacks −18.5 11.1% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
High Point Panthers −10.5 9.4% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
Arkansas Razorbacks −20.5 8.0% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
High Point Panthers −12.5 6.7% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
High Point Panthers −14.5 4.7% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.72
High Point Panthers −16.5 3.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
High Point Panthers −18.5 2.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
High Point Panthers −20.5 1.3% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 74.0% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 26.0% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 highest scoring 33.4% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q4 highest scoring 35.2% 28.6% 31.2% 0.92× 3.50
Q2 highest scoring 14.9% 18.4% 17.9% 1.03× 5.45
Q1 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks at HT / Arkansas Razorbacks at FT 48.1% 46.6% 48.3% 0.97× 2.15
High Point Panthers at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 22.5% 24.4% 30.1% 0.81× 4.10
High Point Panthers at HT / Arkansas Razorbacks at FT 15.3% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Arkansas Razorbacks at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 9.7% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Arkansas Razorbacks at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / High Point Panthers at FT 1.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win 66.2% 64.5% 59.9% 1.08× 1.55
High Point Panthers to win 33.8% 35.5% 40.1% 0.89× 2.82
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Arkansas Razorbacks even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
High Point Panthers even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Arkansas Razorbacks odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
High Point Panthers odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.2% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.8% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win Q1 53.8% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
High Point Panthers to win Q1 40.1% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 42.5 88.1% 87.4% 93.6% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 88.1% 87.4% 72.9% 1.20× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 76.9% 76.9% 87.5% 0.88× 1.30
Q1 over 29.5 76.9% 76.9% 56.9% 1.35× 1.30
Q1 under 37.5 67.1% 67.6% 81.6% 0.83× 1.48
Q1 over 31.5 67.0% 67.6% 46.0% 1.47× 1.48
Q1 under 35.5 55.9% 58.6% 73.2% 0.80× 1.71
Q1 over 33.5 55.8% 58.6% 36.0% 1.63× 1.71
Q1 under 34.5 50.0% 52.7% 68.5% 0.77× 1.90
Q1 over 34.5 50.0% 47.3% 31.5% 1.50× 2.11
Q1 under 33.5 44.2% 41.4% 64.0% 0.65× 2.42
Q1 over 35.5 44.1% 41.4% 26.8% 1.54× 2.42
Q1 over 37.5 32.9% 32.4% 18.4% 1.76× 3.08
Q1 under 31.5 33.0% 32.4% 54.0% 0.60× 3.08
Q1 over 39.5 23.1% 23.1% 12.5% 1.84× 4.33
Q1 under 29.5 23.1% 23.1% 43.1% 0.54× 4.33
Q1 over 42.5 11.9% 12.6% 6.4% 1.98× 7.95
Q1 under 26.5 11.9% 12.6% 27.1% 0.46× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win Q2 53.7% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
High Point Panthers to win Q2 40.4% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 42.5 89.1% 87.3% 94.3% 0.93× 1.15
Q2 over 26.5 87.0% 87.3% 71.6% 1.22× 1.15
Q2 under 39.5 78.5% 76.8% 88.4% 0.87× 1.30
Q2 over 29.5 75.3% 76.8% 55.8% 1.38× 1.30
Q2 under 37.5 69.0% 67.4% 82.3% 0.82× 1.48
Q2 over 31.5 65.1% 67.4% 44.3% 1.52× 1.49
Q2 under 35.5 57.9% 58.2% 74.6% 0.78× 1.72
Q2 over 33.5 53.7% 52.7% 34.4% 1.53× 1.90
Q2 under 34.5 52.1% 52.7% 70.1% 0.75× 1.90
Q2 over 34.5 47.9% 47.3% 29.9% 1.58× 2.11
Q2 under 33.5 46.3% 47.3% 65.6% 0.72× 2.11
Q2 over 35.5 42.1% 41.8% 25.4% 1.65× 2.39
Q2 under 31.5 34.9% 32.6% 55.7% 0.59× 3.06
Q2 over 37.5 31.0% 32.6% 17.7% 1.85× 3.06
Q2 under 29.5 24.7% 23.2% 44.2% 0.53× 4.31
Q2 over 39.5 21.5% 23.2% 11.6% 2.00× 4.31
Q2 under 26.5 13.0% 12.7% 28.4% 0.45× 7.89
Q2 over 42.5 10.9% 12.7% 5.7% 2.23× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win Q3 54.3% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
High Point Panthers to win Q3 39.8% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 29.5 87.5% 87.2% 71.8% 1.21× 1.15
Q3 under 45.5 87.3% 87.2% 93.8% 0.93× 1.15
Q3 over 32.5 76.5% 77.3% 56.1% 1.38× 1.29
Q3 under 42.5 76.1% 77.3% 87.8% 0.88× 1.29
Q3 over 34.5 66.9% 67.8% 45.4% 1.49× 1.48
Q3 under 40.5 66.4% 67.8% 81.9% 0.83× 1.48
Q3 over 36.5 55.9% 58.4% 35.4% 1.65× 1.71
Q3 under 38.5 55.4% 58.4% 73.9% 0.79× 1.71
Q3 over 37.5 50.3% 52.3% 30.3% 1.73× 1.91
Q3 under 37.5 49.7% 47.7% 69.7% 0.68× 2.10
Q3 over 38.5 44.6% 41.6% 26.1% 1.59× 2.40
Q3 under 36.5 44.1% 41.6% 64.6% 0.64× 2.40
Q3 over 40.5 33.6% 32.2% 18.1% 1.78× 3.10
Q3 under 34.5 33.1% 32.2% 54.6% 0.59× 3.10
Q3 over 42.5 23.9% 22.7% 12.2% 1.87× 4.40
Q3 under 32.5 23.5% 22.7% 43.9% 0.52× 4.40
Q3 over 45.5 12.7% 12.8% 6.2% 2.06× 7.83
Q3 under 29.5 12.5% 12.8% 28.2% 0.45× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win Q4 54.2% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.94
High Point Panthers to win Q4 40.0% 43.0% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 29.5 86.4% 85.6% 70.8% 1.21× 1.17
Q4 under 45.5 85.7% 85.6% 92.4% 0.93× 1.17
Q4 over 32.5 75.6% 76.9% 55.4% 1.39× 1.30
Q4 under 42.5 74.6% 71.5% 86.2% 0.83× 1.40
Q4 over 34.5 66.3% 67.4% 45.6% 1.48× 1.48
Q4 under 40.5 65.2% 67.4% 80.6% 0.84× 1.48
Q4 over 36.5 56.0% 58.4% 35.7% 1.64× 1.71
Q4 under 38.5 54.8% 52.5% 73.1% 0.72× 1.91
Q4 over 37.5 50.6% 52.5% 31.2% 1.68× 1.91
Q4 under 37.5 49.4% 47.5% 68.8% 0.69× 2.11
Q4 over 38.5 45.2% 47.5% 26.9% 1.77× 2.11
Q4 under 36.5 44.0% 41.6% 64.3% 0.65× 2.40
Q4 over 40.5 34.8% 32.6% 19.4% 1.68× 3.07
Q4 under 34.5 33.7% 32.6% 54.4% 0.60× 3.07
Q4 over 42.5 25.4% 28.5% 13.8% 2.06× 3.51
Q4 under 32.5 24.4% 23.1% 44.6% 0.52× 4.33
Q4 over 45.5 14.3% 14.4% 7.6% 1.88× 6.95
Q4 under 29.5 13.6% 14.4% 29.2% 0.49× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks under 84.5 85.8% 83.9% 88.9% 0.94× 1.19
High Point Panthers over 59.5 85.9% 83.9% 58.8% 1.43× 1.19
High Point Panthers under 79.5 85.7% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Arkansas Razorbacks over 64.5 84.5% 80.7% 58.4% 1.38× 1.24
Arkansas Razorbacks under 81.5 77.5% 75.1% 84.6% 0.89× 1.33
High Point Panthers over 62.5 77.5% 75.1% 49.0% 1.53× 1.33
High Point Panthers under 76.5 77.2% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Arkansas Razorbacks over 67.5 75.9% 75.1% 48.7% 1.54× 1.33
Arkansas Razorbacks under 79.5 70.8% 70.7% 81.3% 0.87× 1.41
High Point Panthers over 64.5 70.5% 70.7% 43.2% 1.64× 1.41
High Point Panthers under 74.5 70.3% 70.7% 82.3% 0.86× 1.41
Arkansas Razorbacks over 69.5 69.0% 66.4% 42.6% 1.56× 1.51
Arkansas Razorbacks under 77.5 63.2% 61.2% 77.4% 0.79× 1.63
High Point Panthers over 66.5 62.7% 61.2% 37.3% 1.64× 1.63
High Point Panthers under 72.5 62.5% 61.2% 78.2% 0.78× 1.63
Arkansas Razorbacks over 71.5 61.3% 61.2% 37.0% 1.65× 1.63
Arkansas Razorbacks under 75.5 55.1% 57.1% 73.2% 0.78× 1.75
High Point Panthers over 68.5 54.4% 52.3% 31.4% 1.66× 1.91
High Point Panthers under 70.5 54.1% 52.3% 73.7% 0.71× 1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks over 73.5 53.2% 52.3% 31.5% 1.66× 1.91
Arkansas Razorbacks under 74.5 51.0% 52.3% 70.7% 0.74× 1.91
High Point Panthers over 69.5 50.1% 52.3% 28.8% 1.82× 1.91
High Point Panthers under 69.5 49.9% 47.7% 71.2% 0.67× 2.09
Arkansas Razorbacks under 73.5 46.8% 47.7% 68.5% 0.70× 2.09
Arkansas Razorbacks over 74.5 49.0% 47.7% 29.3% 1.63× 2.09
High Point Panthers under 68.5 45.6% 47.7% 68.6% 0.70× 2.09
High Point Panthers over 70.5 45.9% 47.7% 26.3% 1.81× 2.09
Arkansas Razorbacks over 75.5 44.9% 42.9% 26.8% 1.60× 2.33
Arkansas Razorbacks under 71.5 38.7% 38.8% 63.0% 0.62× 2.58
Arkansas Razorbacks over 77.5 36.8% 38.8% 22.6% 1.72× 2.58
High Point Panthers under 66.5 37.3% 38.8% 62.7% 0.62× 2.58
High Point Panthers over 72.5 37.5% 38.8% 21.8% 1.78× 2.58
Arkansas Razorbacks under 69.5 31.0% 33.6% 57.4% 0.59× 2.98
Arkansas Razorbacks over 79.5 29.2% 29.3% 18.7% 1.57× 3.42
High Point Panthers under 64.5 29.5% 29.3% 56.9% 0.52× 3.42
High Point Panthers over 74.5 29.7% 29.3% 17.7% 1.65× 3.42
Arkansas Razorbacks under 67.5 24.1% 24.9% 51.3% 0.48× 4.02
Arkansas Razorbacks over 81.5 22.5% 24.9% 15.4% 1.61× 4.02
High Point Panthers under 62.5 22.5% 24.9% 51.0% 0.49× 4.02
High Point Panthers over 76.5 22.8% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Arkansas Razorbacks under 64.5 15.5% 19.3% 41.6% 0.46× 5.18
Arkansas Razorbacks over 84.5 14.2% 16.1% 11.1% 1.45× 6.21
High Point Panthers under 59.5 14.1% 16.1% 41.2% 0.39× 6.21
High Point Panthers over 79.5 14.3% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 164.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 95.9% 0.93× 1.13
Over 124.5 points 90.0% 85.0% 61.5% 1.38× 1.18
Under 159.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 93.3% 0.91× 1.18
Over 129.5 points 82.8% 80.6% 50.5% 1.59× 1.24
Under 154.5 points 76.1% 75.6% 89.8% 0.84× 1.32
Over 134.5 points 73.1% 70.8% 39.8% 1.78× 1.41
Under 151.5 points 69.6% 65.9% 87.3% 0.76× 1.52
Over 137.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 33.8% 1.95× 1.52
Under 149.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 84.9% 0.72× 1.63
Over 139.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 30.1% 2.04× 1.63
Under 147.5 points 59.8% 56.5% 82.3% 0.69× 1.77
Over 141.5 points 56.0% 56.5% 26.6% 2.13× 1.77
Under 145.5 points 54.6% 52.3% 79.5% 0.66× 1.91
Under 144.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 78.1% 0.67× 1.91
Over 143.5 points 50.7% 52.3% 23.3% 2.24× 1.91
Under 143.5 points 49.3% 47.7% 76.7% 0.62× 2.10
Over 144.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 21.9% 2.18× 2.10
Over 145.5 points 45.4% 47.7% 20.5% 2.33× 2.10
Under 141.5 points 44.0% 43.5% 73.4% 0.59× 2.30
Over 147.5 points 40.2% 43.5% 17.7% 2.45× 2.30
Under 139.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 69.9% 0.55× 2.60
Over 149.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 15.1% 2.56× 2.60
Under 137.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 66.2% 0.52× 2.93
Over 151.5 points 30.4% 34.1% 12.8% 2.68× 2.93
Under 134.5 points 26.9% 29.2% 60.2% 0.48× 3.43
Over 154.5 points 23.9% 24.4% 10.2% 2.40× 4.10
Under 129.5 points 17.2% 19.4% 49.5% 0.39× 5.15
Over 159.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 6.7% 2.23× 6.68
Under 124.5 points 10.0% 15.0% 38.5% 0.39× 6.69
Over 164.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 4.1% 2.70× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks to win both halves 31.1% 31.2% 36.0% 0.87× 3.20
High Point Panthers to win both halves 11.6% 14.0% 20.4% 0.69× 7.12
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Arkansas Razorbacks by 1-5 18.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Arkansas Razorbacks by 6-10 17.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
High Point Panthers by 1-5 14.6% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Arkansas Razorbacks by 11-15 13.8% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
High Point Panthers by 6-10 9.9% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Arkansas Razorbacks by 16-20 9.0% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
High Point Panthers by 11-15 5.5% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Arkansas Razorbacks by 21-25 4.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.29
High Point Panthers by 16-20 2.5% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
High Point Panthers by 21-25 1.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Arkansas Razorbacks by 26+ 3.2% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.30
High Point Panthers by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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