Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Thursday 17 September 2026 · WNBA · 2026

WNBA results-only Prediction generated 6 Sep 2026, 15:17 UTC

Atlanta Dream

23:30 UTC

Connecticut Sun

AI prediction

deep No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Atlanta Dream win

90.1%

Draw

0.0%

Connecticut Sun win

9.9%

90010

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
deep	90010	91.76–76.74	92-77 0%	50%	0%
nba-normal	90010	91.76–76.74	92-77 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to score 100+	23.4%	22.0%	12.5%	1.76×	4.54
Atlanta Dream to score 110+	4.7%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	282.44
Atlanta Dream to score 120+	0.4%	0.4%	0.8%	0.43×	283.27
Atlanta Dream to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.35
Connecticut Sun to score 100+	1.8%	0.4%	9.8%	0.04×	283.00
Connecticut Sun to score 110+	0.1%	0.4%	2.1%	0.17×	283.33
Connecticut Sun to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.36
Connecticut Sun to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.2%	2.17×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	1.0%	0.4%	3.7%	0.09×	283.16

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win H1	77.4%	79.2%	54.2%	1.46×	1.26
Connecticut Sun to win H1	19.6%	16.9%	42.2%	0.40×	5.90
H1 tied	3.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.03×	25.87

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 under 96.5	84.5%	82.5%	84.2%	0.98×	1.21
H1 over 72.5	83.7%	82.5%	83.2%	0.99×	1.21
H1 under 92.5	75.2%	77.4%	78.0%	0.99×	1.29
H1 over 76.5	74.2%	73.5%	73.0%	1.01×	1.36
H1 under 89.5	66.7%	67.4%	70.0%	0.96×	1.48
H1 over 79.5	65.6%	67.4%	64.8%	1.04×	1.48
H1 under 87.5	60.4%	62.7%	63.2%	0.99×	1.59
H1 over 81.5	59.3%	58.2%	58.1%	1.00×	1.72
H1 under 85.5	53.9%	52.6%	56.4%	0.93×	1.90
H1 over 83.5	52.7%	52.6%	51.3%	1.03×	1.90
H1 under 84.5	50.6%	52.6%	52.1%	1.01×	1.90
H1 over 84.5	49.4%	47.4%	47.9%	0.99×	2.11
H1 under 83.5	47.3%	47.4%	48.7%	0.97×	2.11
H1 over 85.5	46.1%	47.4%	43.6%	1.08×	2.11
H1 under 81.5	40.7%	41.8%	41.9%	1.00×	2.39
H1 over 87.5	39.6%	37.3%	36.8%	1.01×	2.68
H1 under 79.5	34.4%	32.6%	35.2%	0.93×	3.07
H1 over 89.5	33.3%	32.6%	30.0%	1.09×	3.07
H1 under 76.5	25.8%	26.5%	27.0%	0.98×	3.77
H1 over 92.5	24.8%	22.6%	22.0%	1.03×	4.43
H1 under 72.5	16.3%	17.5%	16.8%	1.04×	5.73
H1 over 96.5	15.5%	17.5%	15.8%	1.11×	5.73

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win H2	77.4%	73.9%	51.1%	1.45×	1.35
Connecticut Sun to win H2	19.6%	20.5%	45.3%	0.45×	4.89
H2 tied	3.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 96.5	84.7%	81.8%	82.7%	0.99×	1.22
H2 over 72.5	83.5%	81.8%	82.6%	0.99×	1.22
H2 under 92.5	75.6%	75.8%	73.8%	1.03×	1.32
H2 over 76.5	73.9%	72.2%	72.2%	1.00×	1.39
H2 under 89.5	67.1%	66.4%	66.3%	1.00×	1.51
H2 over 79.5	65.2%	66.4%	65.6%	1.01×	1.51
H2 under 87.5	60.9%	61.6%	59.9%	1.03×	1.62
H2 over 81.5	58.8%	57.3%	58.1%	0.99×	1.74
H2 under 85.5	54.4%	52.4%	52.3%	1.00×	1.91
H2 over 83.5	52.3%	52.4%	52.3%	1.00×	1.91
H2 under 84.5	51.1%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
H2 over 84.5	48.9%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
H2 under 83.5	47.7%	47.6%	47.7%	1.00×	2.10
H2 over 85.5	45.6%	47.6%	47.7%	1.00×	2.10
H2 under 81.5	41.2%	42.7%	41.9%	1.02×	2.34
H2 over 87.5	39.1%	38.4%	40.1%	0.96×	2.61
H2 under 79.5	34.8%	33.6%	34.4%	0.98×	2.97
H2 over 89.5	32.9%	33.6%	33.7%	1.00×	2.97
H2 under 76.5	26.1%	27.8%	27.9%	1.00×	3.59
H2 over 92.5	24.4%	24.2%	26.2%	0.92×	4.13
H2 under 72.5	16.5%	18.2%	17.4%	1.04×	5.50
H2 over 96.5	15.3%	18.2%	17.3%	1.05×	5.50

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream leading at half time	77.4%	79.7%	54.2%	1.47×	1.26
Connecticut Sun leading at half time	19.6%	17.1%	42.2%	0.40×	5.86
Level at half time	3.0%	3.8%	3.7%	1.01×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream +16.5	99.6%	97.4%	91.7%	1.06×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +18.5	99.7%	97.4%	93.3%	1.04×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +20.5	99.8%	97.4%	94.3%	1.03×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +5.5	95.6%	97.4%	69.1%	1.41×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +6.5	96.3%	97.4%	72.2%	1.35×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +7.5	97.0%	97.4%	75.6%	1.29×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +8.5	97.5%	97.4%	78.8%	1.24×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +9.5	97.9%	97.4%	80.5%	1.21×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +10.5	98.3%	97.4%	83.6%	1.17×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +12.5	98.9%	97.4%	86.2%	1.13×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +14.5	99.3%	97.4%	88.4%	1.10×	1.03
Atlanta Dream +4.5	94.8%	91.1%	65.6%	1.39×	1.10
Atlanta Dream +2.5	92.7%	91.1%	60.6%	1.50×	1.10
Atlanta Dream +3.5	93.8%	91.1%	62.9%	1.45×	1.10
Atlanta Dream +1.5	91.5%	91.1%	57.3%	1.59×	1.10
Atlanta Dream −1.5	88.4%	85.9%	52.9%	1.62×	1.16
Atlanta Dream −2.5	86.5%	85.9%	50.8%	1.69×	1.16
Atlanta Dream −3.5	84.5%	81.1%	48.0%	1.69×	1.23
Atlanta Dream −4.5	82.3%	81.1%	45.8%	1.77×	1.23
Atlanta Dream −5.5	79.9%	76.5%	42.7%	1.79×	1.31
Atlanta Dream −6.5	77.3%	76.5%	39.6%	1.93×	1.31
Atlanta Dream −7.5	74.6%	71.6%	37.6%	1.90×	1.40
Atlanta Dream −8.5	71.8%	71.6%	34.0%	2.10×	1.40
Atlanta Dream −9.5	68.8%	66.7%	30.3%	2.20×	1.50
Connecticut Sun +20.5	67.2%	66.7%	90.1%	0.74×	1.50
Atlanta Dream −10.5	65.7%	66.7%	27.9%	2.40×	1.50
Connecticut Sun +18.5	60.9%	61.9%	86.6%	0.71×	1.62
Atlanta Dream −12.5	59.2%	57.1%	23.6%	2.42×	1.75
Connecticut Sun +16.5	54.3%	52.4%	83.7%	0.63×	1.91
Atlanta Dream −14.5	52.5%	52.4%	19.4%	2.70×	1.91
Connecticut Sun +14.5	47.5%	47.6%	80.6%	0.59×	2.10
Atlanta Dream −16.5	45.7%	47.6%	16.3%	2.92×	2.10
Connecticut Sun +12.5	40.8%	42.9%	76.4%	0.56×	2.33
Atlanta Dream −18.5	39.1%	38.1%	13.4%	2.85×	2.63
Connecticut Sun +10.5	34.3%	33.3%	72.2%	0.46×	3.01
Atlanta Dream −20.5	32.8%	33.3%	9.9%	3.35×	3.01
Connecticut Sun +9.5	31.2%	33.3%	69.7%	0.48×	3.01
Connecticut Sun +8.5	28.2%	28.4%	66.0%	0.43×	3.53
Connecticut Sun +7.5	25.4%	28.4%	62.4%	0.45×	3.53
Connecticut Sun +6.5	22.7%	23.5%	60.4%	0.39×	4.25
Connecticut Sun +5.5	20.1%	23.5%	57.3%	0.41×	4.25
Connecticut Sun +4.5	17.7%	18.9%	54.2%	0.35×	5.29
Connecticut Sun +3.5	15.5%	18.9%	52.0%	0.36×	5.30
Connecticut Sun +2.5	13.5%	14.1%	49.2%	0.29×	7.09
Connecticut Sun +1.5	11.6%	14.1%	47.1%	0.30×	7.09
Connecticut Sun −1.5	8.5%	8.9%	42.7%	0.21×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −2.5	7.3%	8.9%	39.4%	0.23×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −3.5	6.2%	8.9%	37.1%	0.24×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −4.5	5.2%	8.9%	34.4%	0.26×	11.25
Connecticut Sun −5.5	4.4%	2.6%	30.9%	0.08×	38.72
Connecticut Sun −6.5	3.7%	2.6%	27.9%	0.09×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −7.5	3.0%	2.6%	24.4%	0.11×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −8.5	2.5%	2.6%	21.2%	0.12×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −9.5	2.1%	2.6%	19.5%	0.13×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −10.5	1.7%	2.6%	16.5%	0.16×	38.73
Connecticut Sun −12.5	1.1%	2.6%	13.8%	0.19×	38.74
Connecticut Sun −14.5	0.7%	2.6%	11.6%	0.22×	38.74
Connecticut Sun −16.5	0.4%	2.6%	8.3%	0.31×	38.74
Connecticut Sun −18.5	0.3%	2.6%	6.7%	0.39×	38.74
Connecticut Sun −20.5	0.2%	2.6%	5.7%	0.45×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	49.5%	52.4%	50.7%	1.03×	1.91
1st half highest scoring	50.5%	47.6%	49.3%	0.96×	2.10

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 highest scoring	28.1%	27.4%	27.5%	0.99×	3.65
Q3 highest scoring	27.5%	27.4%	27.0%	1.01×	3.65
Q4 highest scoring	22.5%	22.4%	23.8%	0.94×	4.46
Q2 highest scoring	21.9%	22.4%	22.0%	1.02×	4.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream at HT / Atlanta Dream at FT	74.2%	73.2%	41.9%	1.75×	1.37
Connecticut Sun at HT / Atlanta Dream at FT	13.4%	12.2%	11.4%	1.07×	8.17
Connecticut Sun at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	6.2%	8.3%	30.9%	0.27×	12.09
Atlanta Dream at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	3.2%	2.1%	12.5%	0.17×	47.74
Level at HT / Atlanta Dream at FT	2.6%	2.1%	2.1%	0.99×	47.75
Level at HT / Connecticut Sun at FT	0.5%	2.1%	1.8%	1.17×	47.78

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win	90.1%	90.6%	55.0%	1.65×	1.10
Connecticut Sun to win	9.9%	9.4%	45.0%	0.21×	10.59

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream even	50.0%	50.5%	50.5%	1.00×	1.98
Connecticut Sun even	50.0%	50.5%	51.1%	0.99×	1.98
Total points odd	50.8%	50.5%	52.0%	0.97×	1.98
Atlanta Dream odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.5%	1.00×	2.02
Connecticut Sun odd	50.0%	49.5%	48.9%	1.01×	2.02
Total points even	49.2%	49.5%	48.0%	1.03×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	97.6%	97.0%	96.7%	1.00×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	2.4%	3.0%	3.3%	0.92×	33.50

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win Q1	68.0%	72.3%	52.4%	1.38×	1.38
Connecticut Sun to win Q1	27.1%	22.4%	43.0%	0.52×	4.46
Q1 tied	4.8%	4.2%	4.7%	0.88×	23.94

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 34.5	85.1%	87.4%	83.6%	1.05×	1.14
Q1 under 50.5	83.9%	82.8%	84.9%	0.98×	1.21
Q1 over 37.5	74.6%	72.7%	72.8%	1.00×	1.38
Q1 under 47.5	72.9%	72.7%	73.3%	0.99×	1.38
Q1 over 39.5	65.8%	67.6%	63.8%	1.06×	1.48
Q1 under 45.5	63.9%	61.7%	64.3%	0.96×	1.62
Q1 over 41.5	56.0%	58.6%	53.7%	1.09×	1.71
Q1 under 43.5	54.1%	52.7%	53.7%	0.98×	1.90
Q1 over 42.5	51.0%	52.7%	49.2%	1.07×	1.90
Q1 under 42.5	49.0%	47.3%	50.8%	0.93×	2.11
Q1 over 43.5	45.9%	47.3%	46.3%	1.02×	2.11
Q1 under 41.5	44.0%	41.4%	46.3%	0.89×	2.42
Q1 over 45.5	36.1%	38.3%	35.7%	1.07×	2.61
Q1 under 39.5	34.2%	32.4%	36.2%	0.90×	3.08
Q1 over 47.5	27.1%	27.3%	26.7%	1.02×	3.66
Q1 under 37.5	25.4%	27.3%	27.2%	1.00×	3.66
Q1 over 50.5	16.1%	17.2%	15.1%	1.13×	5.83
Q1 under 34.5	14.9%	12.6%	16.5%	0.77×	7.94

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win Q2	67.1%	68.4%	51.8%	1.32×	1.46
Connecticut Sun to win Q2	28.2%	27.7%	45.0%	0.62×	3.61
Q2 tied	4.7%	4.4%	3.4%	1.28×	22.88

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 over 33.5	85.5%	87.3%	83.2%	1.05×	1.15
Q2 under 49.5	84.7%	83.0%	85.5%	0.97×	1.21
Q2 over 36.5	74.7%	72.0%	74.6%	0.97×	1.39
Q2 under 46.5	73.7%	72.0%	75.4%	0.95×	1.39
Q2 over 38.5	65.8%	67.4%	65.1%	1.03×	1.49
Q2 under 44.5	64.6%	60.7%	66.9%	0.91×	1.65
Q2 over 40.5	55.8%	58.2%	54.9%	1.06×	1.72
Q2 under 42.5	54.6%	52.7%	54.7%	0.96×	1.90
Q2 over 41.5	50.6%	52.7%	50.2%	1.05×	1.90
Q2 under 41.5	49.4%	47.3%	49.8%	0.95×	2.11
Q2 over 42.5	45.4%	47.3%	45.3%	1.05×	2.11
Q2 under 40.5	44.2%	41.8%	45.1%	0.93×	2.39
Q2 over 44.5	35.4%	39.3%	33.1%	1.19×	2.55
Q2 under 38.5	34.3%	32.6%	34.9%	0.94×	3.06
Q2 over 46.5	26.3%	28.0%	24.6%	1.14×	3.57
Q2 under 36.5	25.3%	28.0%	25.4%	1.10×	3.57
Q2 over 49.5	15.3%	17.0%	14.5%	1.17×	5.89
Q2 under 33.5	14.5%	12.7%	16.8%	0.76×	7.89

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win Q3	68.5%	66.7%	48.2%	1.38×	1.50
Connecticut Sun to win Q3	26.6%	28.8%	46.4%	0.62×	3.47
Q3 tied	4.9%	4.3%	5.5%	0.77×	23.42

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 over 34.5	85.5%	87.2%	84.4%	1.03×	1.15
Q3 under 50.5	84.0%	82.3%	86.2%	0.96×	1.22
Q3 over 37.5	74.9%	71.8%	73.1%	0.98×	1.39
Q3 under 47.5	72.9%	71.8%	73.6%	0.98×	1.39
Q3 over 39.5	66.1%	67.8%	64.8%	1.05×	1.48
Q3 under 45.5	63.8%	62.0%	64.2%	0.97×	1.61
Q3 over 41.5	56.4%	58.4%	54.9%	1.06×	1.71
Q3 under 43.5	53.8%	52.3%	54.2%	0.96×	1.91
Q3 over 42.5	51.3%	52.3%	50.8%	1.03×	1.91
Q3 under 42.5	48.7%	47.7%	49.2%	0.97×	2.10
Q3 over 43.5	46.2%	47.7%	45.8%	1.04×	2.10
Q3 under 41.5	43.6%	41.6%	45.1%	0.92×	2.40
Q3 over 45.5	36.2%	38.0%	35.8%	1.06×	2.63
Q3 under 39.5	33.9%	32.2%	35.2%	0.92×	3.10
Q3 over 47.5	27.1%	28.2%	26.4%	1.07×	3.55
Q3 under 37.5	25.1%	28.2%	26.9%	1.05×	3.55
Q3 over 50.5	16.0%	17.7%	13.8%	1.28×	5.66
Q3 under 34.5	14.5%	12.8%	15.6%	0.82×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win Q4	67.2%	60.6%	52.6%	1.15×	1.65
Connecticut Sun to win Q4	28.1%	33.3%	42.5%	0.78×	3.00
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.0%	1.03×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 49.5	83.7%	82.0%	82.6%	0.99×	1.22
Q4 over 33.5	83.3%	82.0%	80.6%	1.02×	1.22
Q4 under 46.5	73.1%	71.5%	70.8%	1.01×	1.40
Q4 over 36.5	72.6%	71.5%	70.2%	1.02×	1.40
Q4 under 44.5	64.6%	61.4%	63.5%	0.97×	1.63
Q4 over 38.5	64.0%	61.4%	62.4%	0.98×	1.63
Q4 under 42.5	55.2%	58.4%	55.2%	1.06×	1.71
Q4 over 40.5	54.5%	52.5%	52.8%	1.00×	1.91
Q4 under 41.5	50.3%	52.5%	52.6%	1.00×	1.91
Q4 over 41.5	49.7%	47.5%	47.4%	1.00×	2.11
Q4 under 40.5	45.5%	47.5%	47.2%	1.01×	2.11
Q4 over 42.5	44.8%	41.6%	44.8%	0.93×	2.40
Q4 under 38.5	36.0%	38.6%	37.6%	1.03×	2.59
Q4 over 44.5	35.4%	38.6%	36.5%	1.06×	2.59
Q4 under 36.5	27.4%	28.5%	29.8%	0.96×	3.51
Q4 over 46.5	26.9%	28.5%	29.2%	0.98×	3.51
Q4 under 33.5	16.7%	18.0%	19.4%	0.93×	5.56
Q4 over 49.5	16.3%	18.0%	17.4%	1.03×	5.56

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream under 102.5	84.4%	80.7%	93.2%	0.87×	1.24
Connecticut Sun over 66.5	82.4%	80.7%	90.4%	0.89×	1.24
Atlanta Dream over 82.5	81.4%	80.7%	60.1%	1.34×	1.24
Connecticut Sun under 86.5	81.8%	80.7%	60.6%	1.33×	1.24
Atlanta Dream under 99.5	76.6%	75.1%	87.5%	0.86×	1.33
Connecticut Sun over 69.5	74.4%	70.7%	86.8%	0.81×	1.41
Connecticut Sun under 83.5	73.7%	70.7%	50.2%	1.41×	1.41
Atlanta Dream over 85.5	72.8%	70.7%	48.5%	1.46×	1.41
Atlanta Dream under 97.5	70.4%	70.7%	83.9%	0.84×	1.41
Connecticut Sun over 71.5	68.1%	66.4%	83.2%	0.80×	1.51
Connecticut Sun under 81.5	67.3%	66.4%	45.0%	1.48×	1.51
Atlanta Dream over 87.5	66.1%	66.4%	41.7%	1.59×	1.51
Atlanta Dream under 95.5	63.5%	61.2%	79.0%	0.77×	1.63
Connecticut Sun over 73.5	61.3%	61.2%	79.2%	0.77×	1.63
Connecticut Sun under 79.5	60.5%	61.2%	38.6%	1.59×	1.63
Atlanta Dream over 89.5	58.9%	57.1%	36.8%	1.55×	1.75
Atlanta Dream under 93.5	56.1%	57.1%	73.9%	0.77×	1.75
Connecticut Sun over 75.5	54.1%	52.3%	75.2%	0.69×	1.91
Atlanta Dream over 91.5	51.4%	52.3%	31.4%	1.66×	1.91
Atlanta Dream under 92.5	52.4%	52.3%	71.5%	0.73×	1.91
Connecticut Sun under 77.5	53.2%	52.3%	30.9%	1.69×	1.91
Connecticut Sun over 76.5	50.4%	52.3%	72.5%	0.72×	1.91
Connecticut Sun under 76.5	49.6%	47.7%	27.5%	1.73×	2.09
Atlanta Dream under 91.5	48.6%	47.7%	68.6%	0.70×	2.09
Atlanta Dream over 92.5	47.6%	47.7%	28.5%	1.68×	2.09
Connecticut Sun over 77.5	46.8%	47.7%	69.1%	0.69×	2.09
Connecticut Sun under 75.5	45.9%	47.7%	24.8%	1.93×	2.09
Atlanta Dream over 93.5	43.9%	42.9%	26.1%	1.65×	2.33
Atlanta Dream under 89.5	41.1%	42.9%	63.2%	0.68×	2.33
Connecticut Sun under 73.5	38.7%	38.8%	20.8%	1.86×	2.58
Connecticut Sun over 79.5	39.5%	38.8%	61.4%	0.63×	2.58
Atlanta Dream over 95.5	36.5%	38.8%	21.0%	1.85×	2.58
Atlanta Dream under 87.5	33.9%	33.6%	58.3%	0.58×	2.98
Connecticut Sun under 71.5	31.9%	33.6%	16.8%	2.00×	2.98
Connecticut Sun over 81.5	32.7%	33.6%	55.0%	0.61×	2.98
Atlanta Dream over 97.5	29.6%	29.3%	16.1%	1.82×	3.42
Atlanta Dream under 85.5	27.2%	29.3%	51.5%	0.57×	3.42
Connecticut Sun under 69.5	25.6%	29.3%	13.2%	2.22×	3.42
Connecticut Sun over 83.5	26.3%	29.3%	49.8%	0.59×	3.42
Atlanta Dream over 99.5	23.4%	24.9%	12.5%	1.98×	4.02
Atlanta Dream under 82.5	18.6%	19.3%	39.9%	0.48×	5.18
Connecticut Sun over 86.5	18.2%	19.3%	39.4%	0.49×	5.18
Connecticut Sun under 66.5	17.6%	19.3%	9.6%	2.01×	5.18
Atlanta Dream over 102.5	15.6%	19.3%	6.8%	2.82×	5.18

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 148.5 points	87.0%	85.0%	84.9%	1.00×	1.18
Under 188.5 points	87.0%	85.0%	85.5%	0.99×	1.18
Over 153.5 points	80.0%	80.6%	76.5%	1.05×	1.24
Under 183.5 points	80.1%	80.6%	79.5%	1.01×	1.24
Over 158.5 points	71.3%	70.8%	70.5%	1.00×	1.41
Under 178.5 points	71.3%	70.8%	70.5%	1.00×	1.41
Over 161.5 points	65.3%	65.9%	64.3%	1.02×	1.52
Under 175.5 points	65.3%	65.9%	64.3%	1.02×	1.52
Over 163.5 points	61.0%	61.5%	59.4%	1.03×	1.63
Under 173.5 points	61.1%	61.5%	62.2%	0.99×	1.63
Over 165.5 points	56.7%	56.5%	55.2%	1.02×	1.77
Under 171.5 points	56.7%	56.5%	58.0%	0.97×	1.77
Over 167.5 points	52.2%	52.3%	51.0%	1.03×	1.91
Under 169.5 points	52.3%	52.3%	53.4%	0.98×	1.91
Under 168.5 points	50.0%	52.3%	50.8%	1.03×	1.91
Over 168.5 points	50.0%	47.7%	49.2%	0.97×	2.10
Under 167.5 points	47.8%	47.7%	49.0%	0.97×	2.10
Over 169.5 points	47.7%	47.7%	46.6%	1.02×	2.10
Under 165.5 points	43.3%	43.5%	44.8%	0.97×	2.30
Over 171.5 points	43.3%	43.5%	42.0%	1.03×	2.30
Under 163.5 points	39.0%	38.5%	40.6%	0.95×	2.60
Over 173.5 points	38.9%	38.5%	37.8%	1.02×	2.60
Under 161.5 points	34.7%	34.1%	35.7%	0.96×	2.93
Over 175.5 points	34.7%	34.1%	35.7%	0.96×	2.93
Under 158.5 points	28.7%	29.2%	29.5%	0.99×	3.43
Over 178.5 points	28.7%	29.2%	29.5%	0.99×	3.43
Under 153.5 points	20.0%	19.4%	23.5%	0.83×	5.15
Over 183.5 points	19.9%	19.4%	20.5%	0.95×	5.15
Under 148.5 points	13.0%	15.0%	15.1%	0.99×	6.69
Over 188.5 points	13.0%	15.0%	14.5%	1.03×	6.69

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream to win both halves	58.2%	57.8%	25.7%	2.25×	1.73
Connecticut Sun to win both halves	2.5%	3.0%	17.9%	0.17×	33.69

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Atlanta Dream by 26+	19.3%	16.8%	5.2%	3.22×	5.97
Atlanta Dream by 11-15	16.6%	16.8%	10.3%	1.63×	5.97
Atlanta Dream by 16-20	16.3%	16.8%	8.0%	2.10×	5.97
Atlanta Dream by 6-10	14.2%	12.3%	15.0%	0.82×	8.11
Atlanta Dream by 21-25	13.5%	12.3%	4.9%	2.52×	8.11
Atlanta Dream by 1-5	10.2%	12.3%	12.5%	0.98×	8.11
Connecticut Sun by 1-5	5.5%	7.5%	14.2%	0.53×	13.40
Connecticut Sun by 6-10	2.7%	2.0%	14.7%	0.14×	49.30
Connecticut Sun by 11-15	1.1%	2.0%	6.5%	0.31×	49.32
Connecticut Sun by 16-20	0.4%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.32
Connecticut Sun by 21-25	0.1%	2.0%	2.3%	0.89×	49.33
Connecticut Sun by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	3.6%	0.57×	49.33

Atlanta Dream v Connecticut Sun — Prediction, Odds & Stats

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