Atlanta Hawks v Oklahoma City Thunder — Prediction, Odds & Stats
Monday 12 October 2026 · NBA · 2027
NBA results-only Prediction generated
AI prediction
nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.Atlanta Hawks win
31.2%
Draw
0.0%
Oklahoma City Thunder win
68.8%
Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.
Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends
-oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches
played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight.
Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.What the model said
| Model | Home / Draw / Away | Expected goals | Likeliest score | O2.5 | BTTS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nba-normal | 111.82–118.73 | 112-119 0% | 50% | 0% |
A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest:
it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.
Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it.
Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits
from what that selection normally does in this league.
To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the
Radar.
All markets
Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.
Century marks 9
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 100+ | 95.0% | 94.8% | 85.9% | 1.10× | 1.05 |
| Atlanta Hawks to score 100+ | 85.0% | 79.3% | 89.3% | 0.89× | 1.26 |
| Both sides to score 100+ | 81.4% | 79.2% | 77.5% | 1.02× | 1.26 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 110+ | 78.7% | 77.0% | 60.9% | 1.26× | 1.30 |
| Atlanta Hawks to score 110+ | 57.4% | 56.4% | 67.0% | 0.84× | 1.78 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 120+ | 47.8% | 47.0% | 29.7% | 1.58× | 2.13 |
| Atlanta Hawks to score 120+ | 25.5% | 27.5% | 36.5% | 0.75× | 3.64 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder to score 130+ | 18.1% | 17.6% | 10.0% | 1.76× | 5.69 |
| Atlanta Hawks to score 130+ | 6.7% | 8.8% | 12.8% | 0.68× | 11.38 |
H1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H1 | 60.7% | 62.2% | 44.1% | 1.41× | 1.61 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win H1 | 35.9% | 37.8% | 52.8% | 0.72× | 2.64 |
| H1 tied | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 1.25× | 25.86 |
H1 total 22
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H1 under 128.5 | 82.5% | 82.5% | 86.7% | 0.95× | 1.21 |
| H1 over 104.5 | 81.9% | 82.5% | 78.3% | 1.05× | 1.21 |
| H1 under 124.5 | 73.4% | 73.5% | 78.4% | 0.94× | 1.36 |
| H1 over 108.5 | 72.7% | 73.5% | 67.7% | 1.09× | 1.36 |
| H1 under 121.5 | 65.4% | 67.4% | 71.2% | 0.95× | 1.48 |
| H1 over 111.5 | 64.6% | 62.7% | 59.0% | 1.06× | 1.59 |
| H1 under 119.5 | 59.5% | 58.2% | 65.9% | 0.88× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 113.5 | 58.7% | 58.2% | 52.4% | 1.11× | 1.72 |
| H1 over 115.5 | 52.6% | 52.6% | 46.4% | 1.14× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 117.5 | 53.5% | 52.6% | 59.6% | 0.88× | 1.90 |
| H1 under 116.5 | 50.4% | 52.6% | 56.6% | 0.93× | 1.90 |
| H1 over 116.5 | 49.6% | 47.4% | 43.4% | 1.09× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 115.5 | 47.4% | 47.4% | 53.6% | 0.88× | 2.11 |
| H1 over 117.5 | 46.5% | 47.4% | 40.4% | 1.17× | 2.11 |
| H1 under 113.5 | 41.3% | 41.8% | 47.6% | 0.88× | 2.39 |
| H1 over 119.5 | 40.5% | 41.8% | 34.1% | 1.23× | 2.39 |
| H1 under 111.5 | 35.4% | 37.3% | 41.0% | 0.91× | 2.68 |
| H1 over 121.5 | 34.6% | 32.6% | 28.8% | 1.13× | 3.07 |
| H1 under 108.5 | 27.3% | 26.5% | 32.3% | 0.82× | 3.77 |
| H1 over 124.5 | 26.6% | 26.5% | 21.7% | 1.23× | 3.77 |
| H1 under 104.5 | 18.1% | 17.5% | 21.7% | 0.80× | 5.73 |
| H1 over 128.5 | 17.5% | 17.5% | 13.3% | 1.31× | 5.73 |
H2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win H2 | 60.6% | 58.8% | 44.7% | 1.32× | 1.70 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win H2 | 36.0% | 41.2% | 51.6% | 0.80× | 2.43 |
| H2 tied | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.06× | 25.36 |
H2 total 40
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| H2 under 126.5 | 83.0% | 81.8% | 83.2% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 102.5 | 81.8% | 81.8% | 78.5% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| H2 over 101.5 | 82.6% | 81.5% | 80.3% | 1.02× | 1.23 |
| H2 under 125.5 | 81.8% | 81.5% | 81.3% | 1.00× | 1.23 |
| H2 over 105.5 | 73.6% | 72.5% | 71.3% | 1.02× | 1.38 |
| H2 under 121.5 | 72.5% | 72.5% | 72.0% | 1.01× | 1.38 |
| H2 under 122.5 | 74.0% | 72.2% | 74.4% | 0.97× | 1.39 |
| H2 over 106.5 | 72.5% | 72.2% | 68.8% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| H2 under 119.5 | 66.0% | 66.4% | 66.4% | 1.00× | 1.51 |
| H2 over 108.5 | 65.5% | 64.4% | 63.8% | 1.01× | 1.55 |
| H2 under 118.5 | 64.4% | 62.6% | 63.6% | 0.98× | 1.60 |
| H2 over 109.5 | 64.2% | 61.6% | 60.9% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 under 117.5 | 60.1% | 61.6% | 61.1% | 1.01× | 1.62 |
| H2 over 110.5 | 59.7% | 58.0% | 58.1% | 1.00× | 1.72 |
| H2 under 116.5 | 58.5% | 58.0% | 58.1% | 1.00× | 1.72 |
| H2 over 111.5 | 58.3% | 57.3% | 55.3% | 1.04× | 1.74 |
| H2 under 115.5 | 54.0% | 52.4% | 55.4% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 113.5 | 52.1% | 52.4% | 49.9% | 1.05× | 1.91 |
| H2 under 114.5 | 50.9% | 52.4% | 52.5% | 1.00× | 1.91 |
| H2 over 112.5 | 53.7% | 52.1% | 52.6% | 0.99× | 1.92 |
| H2 under 112.5 | 46.3% | 47.9% | 47.4% | 1.01× | 2.09 |
| H2 over 114.5 | 49.1% | 47.6% | 47.5% | 1.00× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 113.5 | 47.9% | 47.6% | 50.1% | 0.95× | 2.10 |
| H2 over 115.5 | 46.0% | 47.6% | 44.6% | 1.07× | 2.10 |
| H2 under 111.5 | 41.7% | 42.7% | 44.7% | 0.96× | 2.34 |
| H2 over 116.5 | 41.5% | 42.0% | 41.9% | 1.00× | 2.38 |
| H2 under 110.5 | 40.3% | 42.0% | 41.9% | 1.00× | 2.38 |
| H2 over 117.5 | 39.9% | 38.4% | 38.9% | 0.99× | 2.61 |
| H2 under 109.5 | 35.8% | 38.4% | 39.1% | 0.98× | 2.61 |
| H2 over 118.5 | 35.6% | 37.4% | 36.4% | 1.03× | 2.67 |
| H2 under 108.5 | 34.5% | 35.6% | 36.2% | 0.98× | 2.81 |
| H2 over 119.5 | 34.0% | 33.6% | 33.6% | 1.00× | 2.97 |
| H2 under 106.5 | 27.5% | 27.8% | 31.2% | 0.89× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 122.5 | 26.0% | 27.8% | 25.6% | 1.09× | 3.59 |
| H2 over 121.5 | 27.5% | 27.5% | 28.0% | 0.98× | 3.63 |
| H2 under 105.5 | 26.4% | 27.5% | 28.7% | 0.96× | 3.64 |
| H2 over 125.5 | 18.2% | 18.5% | 18.7% | 0.99× | 5.41 |
| H2 under 101.5 | 17.4% | 18.5% | 19.7% | 0.94× | 5.41 |
| H2 under 102.5 | 18.2% | 18.2% | 21.5% | 0.85× | 5.50 |
| H2 over 126.5 | 17.0% | 18.2% | 16.8% | 1.08× | 5.50 |
Half time 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder leading at half time | 60.7% | 62.5% | 44.1% | 1.42× | 1.60 |
| Atlanta Hawks leading at half time | 35.9% | 37.8% | 52.8% | 0.72× | 2.64 |
| Level at half time | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 1.22× | 26.41 |
Handicap 60
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder +18.5 | 95.9% | 97.4% | 86.4% | 1.13× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +20.5 | 97.0% | 97.4% | 89.1% | 1.09× | 1.03 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +16.5 | 94.5% | 91.1% | 83.5% | 1.09× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +14.5 | 92.8% | 91.1% | 80.1% | 1.14× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +12.5 | 90.7% | 91.1% | 76.0% | 1.20× | 1.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +9.5 | 86.8% | 85.9% | 68.7% | 1.25× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +10.5 | 88.2% | 85.9% | 71.0% | 1.21× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +8.5 | 85.2% | 85.9% | 65.9% | 1.30× | 1.16 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +7.5 | 83.6% | 81.1% | 63.0% | 1.29× | 1.23 |
| Atlanta Hawks +20.5 | 82.1% | 81.1% | 93.1% | 0.87× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +6.5 | 81.8% | 81.1% | 60.0% | 1.35× | 1.23 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +5.5 | 79.9% | 76.5% | 57.1% | 1.34× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +4.5 | 77.9% | 76.5% | 54.1% | 1.41× | 1.31 |
| Atlanta Hawks +18.5 | 78.3% | 76.5% | 91.5% | 0.84× | 1.31 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +3.5 | 75.8% | 76.5% | 51.6% | 1.48× | 1.31 |
| Atlanta Hawks +16.5 | 73.9% | 71.6% | 89.7% | 0.80× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +2.5 | 73.5% | 71.6% | 49.1% | 1.46× | 1.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder +1.5 | 71.2% | 71.6% | 46.3% | 1.55× | 1.40 |
| Atlanta Hawks +14.5 | 69.2% | 66.7% | 87.0% | 0.77× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −1.5 | 66.2% | 66.7% | 42.1% | 1.58× | 1.50 |
| Atlanta Hawks +12.5 | 64.1% | 61.9% | 83.9% | 0.74× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −2.5 | 63.5% | 61.9% | 39.5% | 1.57× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −3.5 | 60.8% | 61.9% | 36.9% | 1.68× | 1.62 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −4.5 | 58.0% | 57.1% | 34.3% | 1.67× | 1.75 |
| Atlanta Hawks +10.5 | 58.8% | 57.1% | 80.3% | 0.71× | 1.75 |
| Atlanta Hawks +9.5 | 56.0% | 57.1% | 78.1% | 0.73× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −5.5 | 55.2% | 57.1% | 32.0% | 1.78× | 1.75 |
| Atlanta Hawks +8.5 | 53.2% | 52.4% | 75.7% | 0.69× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −6.5 | 52.4% | 52.4% | 29.4% | 1.78× | 1.91 |
| Atlanta Hawks +7.5 | 50.4% | 52.4% | 73.0% | 0.72× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −7.5 | 49.6% | 47.6% | 27.0% | 1.76× | 2.10 |
| Atlanta Hawks +6.5 | 47.6% | 47.6% | 70.6% | 0.67× | 2.10 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −8.5 | 46.8% | 47.6% | 24.3% | 1.96× | 2.10 |
| Atlanta Hawks +5.5 | 44.8% | 42.9% | 68.0% | 0.63× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −9.5 | 44.0% | 42.9% | 21.9% | 1.96× | 2.33 |
| Atlanta Hawks +4.5 | 42.0% | 42.9% | 65.7% | 0.65× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −10.5 | 41.2% | 42.9% | 19.7% | 2.18× | 2.33 |
| Atlanta Hawks +3.5 | 39.2% | 38.1% | 63.1% | 0.60× | 2.63 |
| Atlanta Hawks +2.5 | 36.5% | 38.1% | 60.5% | 0.63× | 2.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −12.5 | 35.9% | 38.1% | 16.1% | 2.36× | 2.63 |
| Atlanta Hawks +1.5 | 33.8% | 33.3% | 57.9% | 0.57× | 3.01 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −14.5 | 30.8% | 33.3% | 13.0% | 2.56× | 3.01 |
| Atlanta Hawks −1.5 | 28.8% | 28.4% | 53.7% | 0.53× | 3.53 |
| Atlanta Hawks −2.5 | 26.5% | 28.4% | 50.9% | 0.56× | 3.53 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −16.5 | 26.1% | 28.4% | 10.3% | 2.74× | 3.53 |
| Atlanta Hawks −3.5 | 24.2% | 23.5% | 48.4% | 0.49× | 4.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks −4.5 | 22.1% | 23.5% | 46.0% | 0.51× | 4.25 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −18.5 | 21.7% | 23.5% | 8.5% | 2.76× | 4.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks −5.5 | 20.1% | 23.5% | 42.9% | 0.55× | 4.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks −6.5 | 18.2% | 18.9% | 40.0% | 0.47× | 5.29 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder −20.5 | 17.9% | 18.9% | 6.9% | 2.74× | 5.29 |
| Atlanta Hawks −7.5 | 16.4% | 18.9% | 37.0% | 0.51× | 5.30 |
| Atlanta Hawks −8.5 | 14.8% | 14.1% | 34.1% | 0.41× | 7.09 |
| Atlanta Hawks −9.5 | 13.2% | 14.1% | 31.3% | 0.45× | 7.09 |
| Atlanta Hawks −10.5 | 11.8% | 14.1% | 29.0% | 0.49× | 7.09 |
| Atlanta Hawks −12.5 | 9.3% | 8.9% | 24.0% | 0.37× | 11.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks −14.5 | 7.2% | 8.9% | 19.9% | 0.45× | 11.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks −16.5 | 5.5% | 8.9% | 16.5% | 0.54× | 11.25 |
| Atlanta Hawks −18.5 | 4.1% | 2.6% | 13.6% | 0.19× | 38.72 |
| Atlanta Hawks −20.5 | 3.0% | 2.6% | 10.9% | 0.24× | 38.73 |
Highest scoring half 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1st half highest scoring | 56.7% | 52.6% | 53.5% | 0.98× | 1.90 |
| 2nd half highest scoring | 43.3% | 47.4% | 46.5% | 1.02× | 2.11 |
Highest scoring quarter 4
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 highest scoring | 28.3% | 27.4% | 29.2% | 0.94× | 3.65 |
| Q3 highest scoring | 28.0% | 27.4% | 27.5% | 1.00× | 3.65 |
| Q2 highest scoring | 26.6% | 27.4% | 26.3% | 1.04× | 3.65 |
| Q4 highest scoring | 17.2% | 18.3% | 17.0% | 1.08× | 5.46 |
HT/FT 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 51.9% | 51.1% | 30.9% | 1.65× | 1.96 |
| Atlanta Hawks at HT / Atlanta Hawks at FT | 21.2% | 24.4% | 40.8% | 0.60× | 4.10 |
| Atlanta Hawks at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 14.7% | 12.2% | 12.0% | 1.02× | 8.17 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder at HT / Atlanta Hawks at FT | 8.9% | 8.3% | 13.3% | 0.62× | 12.08 |
| Level at HT / Oklahoma City Thunder at FT | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.50× | 47.75 |
| Level at HT / Atlanta Hawks at FT | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 1.22× | 47.77 |
Moneyline 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win | 68.8% | 64.5% | 44.3% | 1.46× | 1.55 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win | 31.2% | 35.5% | 55.7% | 0.64× | 2.82 |
Odd/Even 6
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Atlanta Hawks even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 49.7% | 1.02× | 1.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder even | 50.0% | 50.5% | 50.3% | 1.00× | 1.98 |
| Total points odd | 51.3% | 50.5% | 51.0% | 0.99× | 1.98 |
| Atlanta Hawks odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.3% | 0.98× | 2.02 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder odd | 50.0% | 49.5% | 49.7% | 1.00× | 2.02 |
| Total points even | 48.7% | 49.5% | 49.0% | 1.01× | 2.02 |
Overtime 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| No overtime | 93.7% | 94.0% | 94.8% | 0.99× | 1.06 |
| Match to go to overtime | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 1.16× | 16.65 |
Q1 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q1 | 56.2% | 57.3% | 44.1% | 1.30× | 1.75 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win Q1 | 39.1% | 38.3% | 51.3% | 0.75× | 2.61 |
| Q1 tied | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 0.90× | 23.94 |
Q1 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 under 66.5 | 83.2% | 82.8% | 86.1% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q1 over 50.5 | 82.2% | 82.8% | 79.4% | 1.04× | 1.21 |
| Q1 under 63.5 | 72.9% | 72.7% | 76.8% | 0.95× | 1.38 |
| Q1 over 53.5 | 71.5% | 72.7% | 68.2% | 1.07× | 1.38 |
| Q1 under 61.5 | 64.5% | 61.7% | 68.5% | 0.90× | 1.62 |
| Q1 over 55.5 | 63.0% | 61.7% | 59.2% | 1.04× | 1.62 |
| Q1 under 59.5 | 55.5% | 58.6% | 60.0% | 0.98× | 1.71 |
| Q1 over 57.5 | 53.9% | 52.7% | 49.6% | 1.06× | 1.90 |
| Q1 under 58.5 | 50.8% | 52.7% | 55.7% | 0.95× | 1.90 |
| Q1 over 58.5 | 49.2% | 47.3% | 44.3% | 1.07× | 2.11 |
| Q1 under 57.5 | 46.1% | 47.3% | 50.4% | 0.94× | 2.11 |
| Q1 over 59.5 | 44.5% | 41.4% | 40.0% | 1.03× | 2.42 |
| Q1 under 55.5 | 37.0% | 38.3% | 40.8% | 0.94× | 2.61 |
| Q1 over 61.5 | 35.5% | 38.3% | 31.5% | 1.22× | 2.61 |
| Q1 under 53.5 | 28.5% | 27.3% | 31.8% | 0.86× | 3.66 |
| Q1 over 63.5 | 27.1% | 27.3% | 23.2% | 1.17× | 3.66 |
| Q1 under 50.5 | 17.8% | 17.2% | 20.6% | 0.84× | 5.83 |
| Q1 over 66.5 | 16.8% | 17.2% | 13.9% | 1.23× | 5.83 |
Q2 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q2 | 56.1% | 59.4% | 46.2% | 1.28× | 1.69 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win Q2 | 39.3% | 35.8% | 49.3% | 0.73× | 2.79 |
| Q2 tied | 4.6% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 0.98× | 22.88 |
Q2 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q2 under 66.5 | 83.9% | 83.0% | 86.5% | 0.96× | 1.21 |
| Q2 over 50.5 | 81.1% | 83.0% | 78.1% | 1.06× | 1.21 |
| Q2 under 63.5 | 73.9% | 72.0% | 77.5% | 0.93× | 1.39 |
| Q2 over 53.5 | 70.2% | 72.0% | 65.8% | 1.09× | 1.39 |
| Q2 under 61.5 | 65.8% | 67.4% | 70.4% | 0.96× | 1.49 |
| Q2 over 55.5 | 61.6% | 60.7% | 56.3% | 1.08× | 1.65 |
| Q2 under 59.5 | 56.8% | 58.2% | 61.9% | 0.94× | 1.72 |
| Q2 over 57.5 | 52.5% | 52.7% | 47.3% | 1.11× | 1.90 |
| Q2 under 58.5 | 52.2% | 52.7% | 57.3% | 0.92× | 1.90 |
| Q2 over 58.5 | 47.8% | 47.3% | 42.7% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q2 under 57.5 | 47.5% | 47.3% | 52.7% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q2 over 59.5 | 43.2% | 41.8% | 38.1% | 1.10× | 2.39 |
| Q2 under 55.5 | 38.4% | 39.3% | 43.7% | 0.90× | 2.55 |
| Q2 over 61.5 | 34.2% | 32.6% | 29.6% | 1.10× | 3.06 |
| Q2 under 53.5 | 29.8% | 28.0% | 34.2% | 0.82× | 3.57 |
| Q2 over 63.5 | 26.1% | 28.0% | 22.5% | 1.25× | 3.57 |
| Q2 under 50.5 | 18.9% | 17.0% | 21.9% | 0.78× | 5.88 |
| Q2 over 66.5 | 16.1% | 17.0% | 13.5% | 1.26× | 5.89 |
Q3 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q3 | 56.1% | 56.8% | 44.3% | 1.28× | 1.76 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win Q3 | 39.3% | 38.8% | 50.9% | 0.76× | 2.58 |
| Q3 tied | 4.6% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 0.88× | 23.43 |
Q3 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q3 under 66.5 | 83.0% | 82.3% | 84.7% | 0.97× | 1.22 |
| Q3 over 50.5 | 82.9% | 82.3% | 79.7% | 1.03× | 1.22 |
| Q3 under 63.5 | 72.4% | 71.8% | 75.9% | 0.95× | 1.39 |
| Q3 over 53.5 | 72.4% | 71.8% | 68.3% | 1.05× | 1.39 |
| Q3 under 61.5 | 64.0% | 62.0% | 67.7% | 0.91× | 1.61 |
| Q3 over 55.5 | 63.9% | 62.0% | 59.9% | 1.03× | 1.61 |
| Q3 under 59.5 | 54.8% | 52.3% | 59.0% | 0.89× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 57.5 | 54.7% | 52.3% | 50.2% | 1.04× | 1.91 |
| Q3 under 58.5 | 50.0% | 52.3% | 54.8% | 0.95× | 1.91 |
| Q3 over 58.5 | 50.0% | 47.7% | 45.2% | 1.06× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 59.5 | 45.2% | 47.7% | 41.0% | 1.16× | 2.10 |
| Q3 under 57.5 | 45.3% | 47.7% | 49.8% | 0.96× | 2.10 |
| Q3 over 61.5 | 36.0% | 38.0% | 32.3% | 1.18× | 2.63 |
| Q3 under 55.5 | 36.1% | 38.0% | 40.1% | 0.95× | 2.63 |
| Q3 over 63.5 | 27.6% | 28.2% | 24.1% | 1.17× | 3.55 |
| Q3 under 53.5 | 27.6% | 28.2% | 31.7% | 0.89× | 3.55 |
| Q3 over 66.5 | 17.1% | 17.7% | 15.3% | 1.16× | 5.66 |
| Q3 under 50.5 | 17.1% | 17.7% | 20.3% | 0.87× | 5.66 |
Q4 result 3
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win Q4 | 55.9% | 52.0% | 46.4% | 1.12× | 1.92 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win Q4 | 39.3% | 42.4% | 48.3% | 0.88× | 2.36 |
| Q4 tied | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 0.98× | 19.28 |
Q4 total 18
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q4 over 47.5 | 82.8% | 82.0% | 79.0% | 1.04× | 1.22 |
| Q4 under 63.5 | 81.6% | 82.0% | 83.7% | 0.98× | 1.22 |
| Q4 over 50.5 | 72.6% | 71.5% | 68.5% | 1.04× | 1.40 |
| Q4 under 60.5 | 71.0% | 71.5% | 74.2% | 0.96× | 1.40 |
| Q4 over 52.5 | 64.4% | 61.4% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.63 |
| Q4 under 58.5 | 62.6% | 61.4% | 66.2% | 0.93× | 1.63 |
| Q4 over 54.5 | 55.5% | 58.4% | 51.4% | 1.14× | 1.71 |
| Q4 under 56.5 | 53.7% | 52.5% | 57.2% | 0.92× | 1.91 |
| Q4 over 55.5 | 50.9% | 52.5% | 47.1% | 1.11× | 1.91 |
| Q4 under 55.5 | 49.1% | 47.5% | 52.9% | 0.90× | 2.11 |
| Q4 over 56.5 | 46.3% | 47.5% | 42.8% | 1.11× | 2.11 |
| Q4 under 54.5 | 44.5% | 41.6% | 48.6% | 0.86× | 2.40 |
| Q4 over 58.5 | 37.4% | 38.6% | 33.8% | 1.14× | 2.59 |
| Q4 under 52.5 | 35.6% | 38.6% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.59 |
| Q4 over 60.5 | 29.0% | 28.5% | 25.8% | 1.11× | 3.51 |
| Q4 under 50.5 | 27.4% | 28.5% | 31.5% | 0.91× | 3.51 |
| Q4 over 63.5 | 18.4% | 18.0% | 16.3% | 1.11× | 5.56 |
| Q4 under 47.5 | 17.2% | 18.0% | 21.0% | 0.85× | 5.56 |
Team total 66
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 129.5 | 81.9% | 80.7% | 90.0% | 0.90× | 1.24 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 101.5 | 80.7% | 80.7% | 86.0% | 0.94× | 1.24 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 123.5 | 80.8% | 80.3% | 74.4% | 1.08× | 1.25 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 106.5 | 79.9% | 78.3% | 68.9% | 1.14× | 1.28 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 103.5 | 78.3% | 78.3% | 82.1% | 0.95× | 1.28 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 121.5 | 79.6% | 75.1% | 69.6% | 1.08× | 1.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 109.5 | 78.7% | 75.1% | 60.9% | 1.23× | 1.33 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 120.5 | 73.3% | 71.9% | 66.3% | 1.08× | 1.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 123.5 | 71.6% | 71.8% | 79.5% | 0.90× | 1.39 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 126.5 | 74.4% | 70.7% | 85.3% | 0.83× | 1.41 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 104.5 | 72.9% | 70.7% | 79.8% | 0.89× | 1.41 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 118.5 | 71.7% | 70.7% | 60.3% | 1.17× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 112.5 | 70.6% | 70.7% | 51.5% | 1.37× | 1.41 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 111.5 | 66.4% | 66.6% | 54.6% | 1.22× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 121.5 | 65.7% | 66.6% | 74.7% | 0.89× | 1.50 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 124.5 | 68.6% | 66.4% | 81.4% | 0.82× | 1.51 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 106.5 | 67.1% | 66.4% | 75.1% | 0.88× | 1.51 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 116.5 | 65.7% | 66.4% | 54.7% | 1.21× | 1.51 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 114.5 | 64.4% | 61.2% | 44.5% | 1.38× | 1.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 122.5 | 62.3% | 61.2% | 77.4% | 0.79× | 1.63 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 108.5 | 60.7% | 61.2% | 69.9% | 0.88× | 1.63 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 113.5 | 60.2% | 61.2% | 48.0% | 1.28× | 1.64 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 114.5 | 59.3% | 57.1% | 48.6% | 1.17× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 116.5 | 57.9% | 57.1% | 38.5% | 1.48× | 1.75 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 120.5 | 55.6% | 57.1% | 72.7% | 0.79× | 1.75 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 110.5 | 54.1% | 52.3% | 64.1% | 0.82× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 118.5 | 51.2% | 52.3% | 32.6% | 1.60× | 1.91 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 112.5 | 52.7% | 52.3% | 42.3% | 1.24× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 119.5 | 52.2% | 52.3% | 70.3% | 0.74× | 1.91 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 111.5 | 50.7% | 52.3% | 61.1% | 0.86× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 115.5 | 53.7% | 52.2% | 41.4% | 1.26× | 1.91 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 117.5 | 52.9% | 52.2% | 64.4% | 0.81× | 1.91 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 113.5 | 51.8% | 52.2% | 45.7% | 1.14× | 1.91 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 113.5 | 48.2% | 47.8% | 54.3% | 0.88× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 117.5 | 47.1% | 47.8% | 35.6% | 1.34× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 115.5 | 46.3% | 47.8% | 58.6% | 0.82× | 2.09 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 111.5 | 49.3% | 47.7% | 38.9% | 1.23× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 118.5 | 48.8% | 47.7% | 67.4% | 0.71× | 2.09 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 112.5 | 47.3% | 47.7% | 57.7% | 0.83× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 119.5 | 47.8% | 47.7% | 29.7% | 1.61× | 2.09 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 110.5 | 45.9% | 47.7% | 35.9% | 1.33× | 2.09 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 120.5 | 44.4% | 42.9% | 27.3% | 1.57× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 116.5 | 42.1% | 42.9% | 61.5% | 0.70× | 2.33 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 114.5 | 40.7% | 42.9% | 51.4% | 0.84× | 2.33 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 113.5 | 39.8% | 38.8% | 52.0% | 0.75× | 2.58 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 108.5 | 39.3% | 38.8% | 30.1% | 1.29× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 122.5 | 37.7% | 38.8% | 22.6% | 1.71× | 2.58 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 114.5 | 35.6% | 38.8% | 55.5% | 0.70× | 2.58 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 116.5 | 34.3% | 33.6% | 45.3% | 0.74× | 2.98 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 106.5 | 32.9% | 33.6% | 24.9% | 1.35× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 124.5 | 31.4% | 33.6% | 18.6% | 1.81× | 2.98 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 121.5 | 34.3% | 33.4% | 25.3% | 1.32× | 2.99 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 111.5 | 33.6% | 33.4% | 45.4% | 0.74× | 2.99 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 112.5 | 29.4% | 29.3% | 48.5% | 0.60× | 3.42 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 104.5 | 27.1% | 29.3% | 20.2% | 1.45× | 3.42 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 118.5 | 28.3% | 29.3% | 39.7% | 0.74× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 126.5 | 25.6% | 29.3% | 14.7% | 1.99× | 3.42 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 123.5 | 28.4% | 28.2% | 20.5% | 1.37× | 3.55 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 120.5 | 26.7% | 28.1% | 33.7% | 0.84× | 3.55 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 109.5 | 21.3% | 24.9% | 39.1% | 0.64× | 4.02 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 121.5 | 20.4% | 24.9% | 30.4% | 0.82× | 4.02 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 103.5 | 21.7% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 1.22× | 4.60 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder under 106.5 | 20.1% | 21.7% | 31.1% | 0.70× | 4.61 |
| Atlanta Hawks over 123.5 | 19.2% | 19.7% | 25.6% | 0.77× | 5.07 |
| Atlanta Hawks under 101.5 | 19.3% | 19.3% | 14.0% | 1.37× | 5.18 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder over 129.5 | 18.1% | 19.3% | 10.0% | 1.94× | 5.18 |
Total points 56
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 209.5 points | 85.7% | 85.5% | 82.9% | 1.03× | 1.17 |
| Under 249.5 points | 85.6% | 85.5% | 85.3% | 1.00× | 1.17 |
| Over 210.5 points | 86.2% | 85.0% | 81.4% | 1.05× | 1.18 |
| Under 250.5 points | 86.1% | 85.0% | 86.1% | 0.99× | 1.18 |
| Over 214.5 points | 78.9% | 78.1% | 75.1% | 1.04× | 1.28 |
| Under 244.5 points | 78.7% | 78.1% | 79.5% | 0.98× | 1.28 |
| Over 215.5 points | 79.3% | 75.6% | 73.4% | 1.03× | 1.32 |
| Under 245.5 points | 79.2% | 75.6% | 80.9% | 0.94× | 1.32 |
| Over 219.5 points | 70.4% | 71.0% | 66.1% | 1.07× | 1.41 |
| Under 239.5 points | 70.2% | 71.0% | 72.5% | 0.98× | 1.41 |
| Over 220.5 points | 70.8% | 70.8% | 64.2% | 1.10× | 1.41 |
| Under 240.5 points | 70.5% | 70.8% | 74.0% | 0.96× | 1.41 |
| Over 222.5 points | 64.7% | 61.8% | 60.4% | 1.02× | 1.62 |
| Under 236.5 points | 64.4% | 61.8% | 67.3% | 0.92× | 1.62 |
| Over 224.5 points | 60.7% | 61.7% | 56.5% | 1.09× | 1.62 |
| Under 234.5 points | 60.3% | 61.7% | 63.3% | 0.97× | 1.62 |
| Over 223.5 points | 64.9% | 61.5% | 58.3% | 1.06× | 1.63 |
| Under 237.5 points | 64.7% | 61.5% | 69.3% | 0.89× | 1.63 |
| Over 225.5 points | 60.8% | 61.5% | 54.7% | 1.12× | 1.63 |
| Under 235.5 points | 60.6% | 61.5% | 65.3% | 0.94× | 1.63 |
| Over 227.5 points | 56.6% | 56.5% | 50.6% | 1.12× | 1.77 |
| Under 233.5 points | 56.4% | 56.5% | 61.4% | 0.92× | 1.77 |
| Over 226.5 points | 56.5% | 56.0% | 52.7% | 1.06× | 1.79 |
| Under 232.5 points | 56.2% | 56.0% | 59.4% | 0.94× | 1.79 |
| Under 231.5 points | 52.1% | 52.3% | 57.4% | 0.91× | 1.91 |
| Over 229.5 points | 52.3% | 52.3% | 46.7% | 1.12× | 1.91 |
| Over 230.5 points | 50.1% | 52.3% | 44.6% | 1.17× | 1.91 |
| Over 228.5 points | 52.3% | 52.2% | 48.7% | 1.07× | 1.92 |
| Under 228.5 points | 47.7% | 47.8% | 51.3% | 0.93× | 2.09 |
| Under 230.5 points | 49.9% | 47.7% | 55.4% | 0.86× | 2.10 |
| Over 231.5 points | 47.9% | 47.7% | 42.6% | 1.12× | 2.10 |
| Under 229.5 points | 47.7% | 47.7% | 53.3% | 0.89× | 2.10 |
| Over 232.5 points | 43.8% | 44.0% | 40.6% | 1.08× | 2.27 |
| Under 226.5 points | 43.5% | 44.0% | 47.3% | 0.93× | 2.27 |
| Under 227.5 points | 43.4% | 43.5% | 49.4% | 0.88× | 2.30 |
| Over 233.5 points | 43.6% | 43.5% | 38.6% | 1.13× | 2.30 |
| Under 225.5 points | 39.2% | 38.5% | 45.3% | 0.85× | 2.60 |
| Over 235.5 points | 39.4% | 38.5% | 34.7% | 1.11× | 2.60 |
| Under 223.5 points | 35.1% | 38.5% | 41.7% | 0.92× | 2.60 |
| Over 237.5 points | 35.3% | 38.5% | 30.7% | 1.25× | 2.60 |
| Over 234.5 points | 39.7% | 38.3% | 36.7% | 1.04× | 2.61 |
| Under 224.5 points | 39.3% | 38.3% | 43.5% | 0.88× | 2.61 |
| Over 236.5 points | 35.6% | 38.2% | 32.7% | 1.17× | 2.62 |
| Under 222.5 points | 35.3% | 38.2% | 39.6% | 0.97× | 2.62 |
| Under 220.5 points | 29.2% | 29.2% | 35.8% | 0.81× | 3.43 |
| Over 240.5 points | 29.5% | 29.2% | 26.0% | 1.12× | 3.43 |
| Over 239.5 points | 29.8% | 29.0% | 27.5% | 1.05× | 3.45 |
| Under 219.5 points | 29.6% | 29.0% | 33.9% | 0.85× | 3.45 |
| Under 215.5 points | 20.7% | 24.4% | 26.6% | 0.92× | 4.10 |
| Over 245.5 points | 20.8% | 24.4% | 19.1% | 1.27× | 4.10 |
| Over 244.5 points | 21.4% | 21.9% | 20.5% | 1.07× | 4.57 |
| Under 214.5 points | 21.1% | 21.9% | 24.9% | 0.88× | 4.57 |
| Over 250.5 points | 13.9% | 15.0% | 13.9% | 1.08× | 6.68 |
| Under 210.5 points | 13.8% | 15.0% | 18.6% | 0.80× | 6.68 |
| Under 209.5 points | 14.3% | 14.5% | 17.1% | 0.85× | 6.88 |
| Over 249.5 points | 14.4% | 14.5% | 14.7% | 0.99× | 6.88 |
Win both halves 2
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder to win both halves | 34.7% | 31.3% | 17.8% | 1.75× | 3.20 |
| Atlanta Hawks to win both halves | 11.0% | 14.0% | 25.2% | 0.56× | 7.13 |
Winning margin 12
| Selection | Model | Calibrated | Base | Lift | Fair odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 1-5 | 13.5% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.01× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 6-10 | 14.0% | 12.3% | 12.3% | 1.00× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 11-15 | 12.9% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 1.54× | 8.11 |
| Atlanta Hawks by 1-5 | 11.1% | 12.3% | 12.8% | 0.96× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 16-20 | 10.5% | 12.3% | 4.9% | 2.54× | 8.11 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 26+ | 10.2% | 12.3% | 3.9% | 3.19× | 8.11 |
| Atlanta Hawks by 6-10 | 8.3% | 7.5% | 13.9% | 0.54× | 13.40 |
| Oklahoma City Thunder by 21-25 | 7.6% | 7.5% | 3.0% | 2.45× | 13.40 |
| Atlanta Hawks by 11-15 | 5.5% | 7.5% | 10.8% | 0.69× | 13.40 |
| Atlanta Hawks by 16-20 | 3.3% | 2.0% | 7.3% | 0.28× | 49.30 |
| Atlanta Hawks by 21-25 | 1.7% | 2.0% | 4.7% | 0.43× | 49.31 |
| Atlanta Hawks by 26+ | 1.3% | 2.0% | 6.2% | 0.33× | 49.32 |