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Auburn Tigers v Seton Hall Pirates — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 17 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Auburn Tigers win
53.9%
Draw
0.0%
Seton Hall Pirates win
46.1%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 60.40–59.33 60-59 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Seton Hall Pirates to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Auburn Tigers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Auburn Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Auburn Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Auburn Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win H1 50.1% 51.8% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Seton Hall Pirates to win H1 45.4% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 88.9% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 88.3% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 79.1% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 78.7% 77.4% 63.9% 1.21× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 69.3% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 69.1% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 54.5 61.9% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 61.8% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 54.0% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 54.0% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 50.0% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 50.0% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 46.0% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 46.0% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 54.5 38.1% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 38.2% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 30.9% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 52.5 30.7% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 under 49.5 20.9% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 21.3% 22.6% 36.1% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 45.5 11.1% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 11.7% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win H2 50.3% 51.2% 56.0% 0.91× 1.96
Seton Hall Pirates to win H2 45.3% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
H2 tied 4.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 75.5 88.3% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 51.5 86.7% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 79.1% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 76.4% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 70.1% 72.2% 51.3% 1.41× 1.39
H2 over 58.5 66.6% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 63.2% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 59.3% 57.3% 74.5% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 55.8% 57.3% 37.9% 1.51× 1.74
H2 over 62.5 51.8% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 52.0% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 48.2% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 48.0% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 44.2% 42.7% 62.1% 0.69× 2.34
H2 under 60.5 40.7% 42.7% 25.5% 1.67× 2.35
H2 over 66.5 36.8% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 33.4% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 29.9% 27.8% 48.7% 0.57× 3.59
H2 under 55.5 23.6% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 20.9% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 13.3% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 11.7% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers leading at half time 50.1% 51.8% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Seton Hall Pirates leading at half time 45.4% 47.2% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers +18.5 96.2% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Seton Hall Pirates +20.5 96.1% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Auburn Tigers +20.5 97.5% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Auburn Tigers +16.5 94.4% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +18.5 94.3% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Auburn Tigers +14.5 92.0% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Seton Hall Pirates +16.5 91.8% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Auburn Tigers +12.5 88.8% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Seton Hall Pirates +14.5 88.6% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
Auburn Tigers +10.5 84.9% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +12.5 84.7% 81.1% 67.9% 1.20× 1.23
Auburn Tigers +9.5 82.6% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
Auburn Tigers +8.5 80.1% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Seton Hall Pirates +10.5 79.9% 76.5% 63.2% 1.21× 1.31
Auburn Tigers +7.5 77.4% 76.5% 74.5% 1.03× 1.31
Seton Hall Pirates +9.5 77.1% 76.5% 60.7% 1.26× 1.31
Auburn Tigers +6.5 74.5% 71.6% 72.3% 0.99× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +8.5 74.2% 71.6% 58.0% 1.23× 1.40
Auburn Tigers +5.5 71.5% 71.6% 70.1% 1.02× 1.40
Seton Hall Pirates +7.5 71.1% 71.6% 55.2% 1.30× 1.40
Auburn Tigers +4.5 68.2% 66.7% 67.8% 0.98× 1.50
Seton Hall Pirates +6.5 67.9% 66.7% 52.4% 1.27× 1.50
Auburn Tigers +3.5 64.8% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +5.5 64.5% 61.9% 50.3% 1.23× 1.62
Auburn Tigers +2.5 61.3% 61.9% 63.3% 0.98× 1.62
Seton Hall Pirates +4.5 60.9% 61.9% 47.8% 1.29× 1.62
Auburn Tigers +1.5 57.7% 57.1% 61.2% 0.93× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates +3.5 57.3% 57.1% 45.8% 1.25× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates +2.5 53.6% 52.4% 43.3% 1.21× 1.91
Auburn Tigers −1.5 50.2% 52.4% 58.7% 0.89× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates +1.5 49.8% 47.6% 41.3% 1.15× 2.10
Auburn Tigers −2.5 46.4% 47.6% 56.7% 0.84× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates −1.5 42.3% 42.9% 38.8% 1.11× 2.33
Auburn Tigers −3.5 42.7% 42.9% 54.2% 0.79× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates −2.5 38.7% 38.1% 36.7% 1.04× 2.63
Auburn Tigers −4.5 39.1% 38.1% 52.2% 0.73× 2.63
Seton Hall Pirates −3.5 35.2% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
Auburn Tigers −5.5 35.5% 38.1% 49.7% 0.77× 2.63
Seton Hall Pirates −4.5 31.8% 33.3% 32.2% 1.03× 3.01
Auburn Tigers −6.5 32.1% 33.3% 47.6% 0.70× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates −5.5 28.5% 28.4% 29.9% 0.95× 3.53
Auburn Tigers −7.5 28.9% 28.4% 44.8% 0.63× 3.53
Seton Hall Pirates −6.5 25.5% 28.4% 27.7% 1.02× 3.53
Auburn Tigers −8.5 25.8% 28.4% 42.0% 0.68× 3.53
Auburn Tigers −9.5 22.9% 23.5% 39.3% 0.60× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −7.5 22.6% 23.5% 25.5% 0.92× 4.25
Auburn Tigers −10.5 20.1% 23.5% 36.8% 0.64× 4.25
Seton Hall Pirates −8.5 19.9% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.29
Seton Hall Pirates −9.5 17.4% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.29
Auburn Tigers −12.5 15.3% 18.9% 32.1% 0.59× 5.30
Seton Hall Pirates −10.5 15.1% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.30
Seton Hall Pirates −12.5 11.2% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
Auburn Tigers −14.5 11.4% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
Seton Hall Pirates −14.5 8.0% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Auburn Tigers −16.5 8.2% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −16.5 5.6% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Auburn Tigers −18.5 5.7% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Seton Hall Pirates −18.5 3.8% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Auburn Tigers −20.5 3.9% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Seton Hall Pirates −20.5 2.5% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers at HT / Auburn Tigers at FT 37.6% 37.8% 48.3% 0.78× 2.65
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 31.4% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
Seton Hall Pirates at HT / Auburn Tigers at FT 14.0% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Auburn Tigers at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 12.5% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Level at HT / Auburn Tigers at FT 2.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Seton Hall Pirates at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win 53.9% 51.0% 59.9% 0.85× 1.96
Seton Hall Pirates to win 46.1% 49.0% 40.1% 1.22× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Auburn Tigers even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Seton Hall Pirates even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Auburn Tigers odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Seton Hall Pirates odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win Q1 48.5% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q1 45.3% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 89.9% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 86.7% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.7% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 74.6% 72.7% 81.8% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 under 32.5 70.3% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 64.1% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 59.3% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 53.4% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 52.5% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 47.5% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 46.6% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 40.7% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 35.9% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 29.7% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.4% 27.3% 18.2% 1.50× 3.66
Q1 over 34.5 20.3% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 13.3% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.1% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win Q2 48.6% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q2 45.4% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 88.8% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 87.9% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 77.8% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 76.6% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 68.0% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 66.6% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 56.6% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 55.2% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 50.7% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 49.3% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 44.8% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 43.4% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 33.4% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 32.0% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 23.4% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 22.2% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 12.1% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.89
Q2 under 20.5 11.2% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win Q3 48.7% 47.6% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q3 45.3% 47.5% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 87.8% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.7% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 76.6% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 76.7% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 67.0% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 28.5 66.8% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 55.6% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 55.9% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 50.1% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 49.9% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 44.4% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 32.5 44.1% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 33.2% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 33.0% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 26.5 23.4% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 23.3% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.2% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 12.3% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win Q4 48.8% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Seton Hall Pirates to win Q4 45.4% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 86.6% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 86.2% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 75.6% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 75.1% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 66.2% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 65.7% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 55.7% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 55.2% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 50.2% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 49.8% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 44.8% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 44.3% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 34.5 34.3% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 33.8% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 24.9% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 24.4% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 13.8% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Q4 under 23.5 13.4% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Seton Hall Pirates under 70.5 88.1% 83.9% 73.7% 1.14× 1.19
Auburn Tigers under 71.5 87.2% 83.9% 63.0% 1.33× 1.19
Seton Hall Pirates over 50.5 84.4% 80.7% 83.1% 0.97× 1.24
Auburn Tigers over 51.5 83.9% 80.7% 89.3% 0.90× 1.24
Seton Hall Pirates under 67.5 80.4% 80.7% 65.6% 1.23× 1.24
Auburn Tigers under 68.5 79.4% 75.1% 54.4% 1.38× 1.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 53.5 74.9% 70.7% 76.3% 0.93× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates under 65.5 73.9% 70.7% 59.8% 1.18× 1.41
Auburn Tigers over 54.5 74.6% 70.7% 83.8% 0.84× 1.41
Auburn Tigers under 66.5 72.9% 70.7% 48.2% 1.47× 1.41
Seton Hall Pirates over 55.5 67.3% 66.4% 70.8% 0.94× 1.51
Auburn Tigers over 56.5 67.2% 66.4% 79.5% 0.83× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates under 63.5 66.4% 66.4% 53.9% 1.23× 1.51
Auburn Tigers under 64.5 65.5% 66.4% 41.6% 1.60× 1.51
Seton Hall Pirates over 57.5 59.0% 57.1% 65.1% 0.88× 1.75
Auburn Tigers over 58.5 59.2% 57.1% 74.7% 0.76× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates under 61.5 58.2% 57.1% 47.9% 1.19× 1.75
Auburn Tigers under 62.5 57.5% 57.1% 35.7% 1.60× 1.75
Seton Hall Pirates under 60.5 54.0% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
Auburn Tigers under 61.5 53.3% 52.3% 33.1% 1.58× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates over 59.5 50.4% 52.3% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
Auburn Tigers over 60.5 50.9% 52.3% 69.5% 0.75× 1.91
Seton Hall Pirates under 59.5 49.6% 47.7% 41.2% 1.16× 2.09
Auburn Tigers under 60.5 49.1% 47.7% 30.5% 1.56× 2.09
Auburn Tigers over 61.5 46.7% 47.7% 66.9% 0.71× 2.09
Seton Hall Pirates over 60.5 46.0% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
Auburn Tigers over 62.5 42.5% 42.9% 64.3% 0.67× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates over 61.5 41.8% 42.9% 52.1% 0.82× 2.33
Seton Hall Pirates under 57.5 41.0% 42.9% 34.9% 1.23× 2.33
Auburn Tigers under 58.5 40.8% 42.9% 25.3% 1.70× 2.33
Auburn Tigers over 64.5 34.5% 33.6% 58.4% 0.58× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates over 63.5 33.6% 33.6% 46.1% 0.73× 2.98
Seton Hall Pirates under 55.5 32.7% 33.6% 29.2% 1.15× 2.98
Auburn Tigers under 56.5 32.8% 33.6% 20.5% 1.64× 2.98
Auburn Tigers over 66.5 27.1% 29.3% 51.8% 0.56× 3.42
Seton Hall Pirates over 65.5 26.1% 29.3% 40.2% 0.73× 3.42
Auburn Tigers under 54.5 25.4% 29.3% 16.2% 1.81× 3.42
Seton Hall Pirates under 53.5 25.1% 29.3% 23.7% 1.23× 3.42
Auburn Tigers over 68.5 20.6% 24.9% 45.6% 0.55× 4.02
Seton Hall Pirates over 67.5 19.6% 19.3% 34.4% 0.56× 5.18
Seton Hall Pirates under 50.5 15.6% 19.3% 16.9% 1.14× 5.18
Auburn Tigers under 51.5 16.1% 19.3% 10.7% 1.80× 5.18
Auburn Tigers over 71.5 12.8% 16.1% 37.0% 0.44× 6.21
Seton Hall Pirates over 70.5 11.9% 16.1% 26.3% 0.61× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 100.5 points 92.3% 88.8% 95.6% 0.93× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 91.3% 88.8% 71.8% 1.24× 1.13
Over 105.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 91.9% 0.93× 1.18
Under 135.5 points 84.7% 80.6% 62.4% 1.29× 1.24
Under 130.5 points 75.4% 75.6% 51.7% 1.46× 1.32
Over 110.5 points 75.2% 75.6% 86.4% 0.87× 1.32
Under 127.5 points 68.7% 65.9% 44.9% 1.47× 1.52
Over 113.5 points 68.0% 65.9% 81.9% 0.80× 1.52
Under 125.5 points 63.8% 61.5% 40.5% 1.52× 1.63
Over 115.5 points 62.9% 61.5% 78.8% 0.78× 1.63
Under 123.5 points 58.6% 56.5% 36.7% 1.54× 1.77
Over 117.5 points 57.6% 56.5% 75.3% 0.75× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 53.3% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Over 119.5 points 52.1% 52.3% 71.6% 0.73× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Under 119.5 points 47.9% 47.7% 28.4% 1.68× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 46.7% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 117.5 points 42.4% 43.5% 24.7% 1.76× 2.30
Over 123.5 points 41.4% 43.5% 63.3% 0.69× 2.30
Under 115.5 points 37.1% 38.5% 21.2% 1.82× 2.60
Over 125.5 points 36.2% 38.5% 59.5% 0.65× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 32.0% 34.1% 18.1% 1.89× 2.93
Over 127.5 points 31.3% 34.1% 55.1% 0.62× 2.93
Under 110.5 points 24.8% 24.4% 13.6% 1.80× 4.10
Over 130.5 points 24.6% 24.4% 48.3% 0.50× 4.10
Over 135.5 points 15.3% 19.4% 37.6% 0.52× 5.15
Under 105.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 8.1% 1.86× 6.68
Over 140.5 points 8.7% 11.2% 28.2% 0.40× 8.96
Under 100.5 points 7.7% 11.2% 4.4% 2.53× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers to win both halves 22.0% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.34
Seton Hall Pirates to win both halves 17.4% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Auburn Tigers by 1-5 18.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 1-5 17.5% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Auburn Tigers by 6-10 15.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Seton Hall Pirates by 6-10 13.4% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Auburn Tigers by 11-15 10.5% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Seton Hall Pirates by 11-15 8.4% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Auburn Tigers by 16-20 5.8% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Seton Hall Pirates by 16-20 4.3% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
Auburn Tigers by 21-25 2.6% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Seton Hall Pirates by 21-25 1.7% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Auburn Tigers by 26+ 1.3% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Seton Hall Pirates by 26+ 0.7% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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