Baylor Bears v Penn State Lady Lions — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 3 Sep 2026, 23:45

Baylor Bears

17:30

Penn State Lady Lions

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

Baylor Bears win

93.0%

Draw

0.0%

Penn State Lady Lions win

7.0%

9307

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	9307	84.25–68.05	84-68 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to score 100+	5.6%	8.8%	1.8%	4.88×	11.39
Baylor Bears to score 110+	0.4%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.28
Baylor Bears to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.35
Baylor Bears to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Penn State Lady Lions to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.35
Penn State Lady Lions to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Penn State Lady Lions to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Penn State Lady Lions to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.35

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win H1	79.8%	79.3%	56.4%	1.40×	1.26
Penn State Lady Lions to win H1	17.1%	16.9%	39.9%	0.42×	5.92
H1 tied	3.0%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.87

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 60.5	88.5%	87.7%	53.9%	1.63×	1.14
H1 under 84.5	87.6%	87.7%	97.4%	0.90×	1.14
H1 over 64.5	79.0%	77.4%	39.3%	1.97×	1.29
H1 under 80.5	77.8%	77.4%	94.9%	0.82×	1.29
H1 over 67.5	69.5%	67.4%	29.6%	2.28×	1.48
H1 under 77.5	68.1%	67.4%	91.6%	0.74×	1.48
H1 over 69.5	62.4%	62.7%	23.8%	2.63×	1.59
H1 under 75.5	60.8%	62.7%	88.8%	0.71×	1.59
H1 over 71.5	54.7%	52.6%	18.6%	2.84×	1.90
H1 under 73.5	53.1%	52.6%	85.6%	0.62×	1.90
H1 over 72.5	50.8%	52.6%	16.4%	3.21×	1.90
H1 under 72.5	49.2%	47.4%	83.6%	0.57×	2.11
H1 over 73.5	46.9%	47.4%	14.4%	3.29×	2.11
H1 under 71.5	45.3%	47.4%	81.4%	0.58×	2.11
H1 over 75.5	39.2%	37.3%	11.2%	3.33×	2.68
H1 under 69.5	37.6%	37.3%	76.2%	0.49×	2.68
H1 over 77.5	31.9%	32.6%	8.4%	3.89×	3.07
H1 under 67.5	30.5%	32.6%	70.4%	0.46×	3.07
H1 over 80.5	22.2%	22.6%	5.1%	4.39×	4.43
H1 under 64.5	21.0%	22.6%	60.7%	0.37×	4.43
H1 over 84.5	12.4%	12.3%	2.6%	4.66×	8.14
H1 under 60.5	11.5%	12.3%	46.1%	0.27×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win H2	81.3%	79.5%	56.0%	1.42×	1.26
Penn State Lady Lions to win H2	15.9%	20.4%	40.6%	0.50×	4.90
H2 tied	2.8%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.36

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 over 67.5	87.2%	85.2%	52.1%	1.63×	1.17
H2 under 91.5	86.7%	85.2%	96.1%	0.89×	1.17
H2 over 71.5	77.6%	75.8%	38.9%	1.95×	1.32
H2 under 87.5	76.9%	75.8%	93.2%	0.81×	1.32
H2 over 74.5	68.4%	66.4%	30.1%	2.21×	1.51
H2 under 84.5	67.6%	66.4%	90.3%	0.74×	1.51
H2 over 76.5	61.5%	61.6%	24.4%	2.53×	1.62
H2 under 82.5	60.6%	61.6%	87.4%	0.71×	1.62
H2 over 78.5	54.2%	52.4%	19.9%	2.64×	1.91
H2 under 80.5	53.3%	52.4%	84.0%	0.62×	1.91
H2 over 79.5	50.5%	52.4%	18.0%	2.91×	1.91
H2 under 79.5	49.5%	47.6%	82.0%	0.58×	2.10
H2 over 80.5	46.7%	47.6%	16.0%	2.98×	2.10
H2 under 78.5	45.8%	47.6%	80.1%	0.59×	2.10
H2 over 82.5	39.4%	38.4%	12.6%	3.05×	2.61
H2 under 76.5	38.5%	38.4%	75.6%	0.51×	2.61
H2 over 84.5	32.4%	33.6%	9.7%	3.46×	2.97
H2 under 74.5	31.6%	33.6%	69.9%	0.48×	2.97
H2 under 71.5	22.4%	24.2%	61.1%	0.40×	4.13
H2 over 87.5	23.1%	24.2%	6.8%	3.56×	4.13
H2 under 67.5	12.8%	14.8%	47.9%	0.31×	6.76
H2 over 91.5	13.3%	14.8%	3.9%	3.77×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears leading at half time	79.8%	79.8%	56.4%	1.41×	1.25
Penn State Lady Lions leading at half time	17.1%	17.0%	39.9%	0.43×	5.88
Level at half time	3.0%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.42

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears +12.5	99.5%	97.4%	83.8%	1.16×	1.03
Baylor Bears +14.5	99.7%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
Baylor Bears +16.5	99.8%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
Baylor Bears +18.5	99.9%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
Baylor Bears +20.5	99.9%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
Baylor Bears +3.5	96.0%	97.4%	65.7%	1.48×	1.03
Baylor Bears +4.5	96.7%	97.4%	67.8%	1.44×	1.03
Baylor Bears +5.5	97.3%	97.4%	70.1%	1.39×	1.03
Baylor Bears +6.5	97.8%	97.4%	72.3%	1.35×	1.03
Baylor Bears +7.5	98.2%	97.4%	74.5%	1.31×	1.03
Baylor Bears +8.5	98.6%	97.4%	76.5%	1.27×	1.03
Baylor Bears +9.5	98.9%	97.4%	78.7%	1.24×	1.03
Baylor Bears +10.5	99.1%	97.4%	80.4%	1.21×	1.03
Baylor Bears +2.5	95.1%	97.4%	63.3%	1.54×	1.03
Baylor Bears +1.5	94.1%	91.1%	61.2%	1.49×	1.10
Baylor Bears −1.5	91.6%	91.1%	58.7%	1.55×	1.10
Baylor Bears −2.5	90.0%	85.9%	56.7%	1.51×	1.16
Baylor Bears −3.5	88.2%	85.9%	54.2%	1.58×	1.16
Baylor Bears −4.5	86.2%	85.9%	52.2%	1.65×	1.16
Baylor Bears −5.5	84.0%	81.1%	49.7%	1.63×	1.23
Baylor Bears −6.5	81.6%	81.1%	47.6%	1.70×	1.23
Baylor Bears −7.5	79.0%	76.5%	44.8%	1.71×	1.31
Baylor Bears −8.5	76.3%	76.5%	42.0%	1.82×	1.31
Baylor Bears −9.5	73.3%	71.6%	39.3%	1.82×	1.40
Baylor Bears −10.5	70.2%	71.6%	36.8%	1.95×	1.40
Penn State Lady Lions +20.5	64.5%	61.9%	82.0%	0.76×	1.62
Baylor Bears −12.5	63.7%	61.9%	32.1%	1.93×	1.62
Baylor Bears −14.5	56.7%	57.1%	27.9%	2.05×	1.75
Penn State Lady Lions +18.5	57.6%	57.1%	79.3%	0.72×	1.75
Penn State Lady Lions +16.5	50.5%	52.4%	75.7%	0.69×	1.91
Baylor Bears −16.5	49.5%	47.6%	24.3%	1.96×	2.10
Penn State Lady Lions +14.5	43.3%	42.9%	72.1%	0.60×	2.33
Baylor Bears −18.5	42.4%	42.9%	20.7%	2.07×	2.33
Penn State Lady Lions +12.5	36.3%	38.1%	67.9%	0.56×	2.63
Baylor Bears −20.5	35.5%	38.1%	18.0%	2.12×	2.63
Penn State Lady Lions +10.5	29.8%	28.4%	63.2%	0.45×	3.53
Penn State Lady Lions +9.5	26.7%	28.4%	60.7%	0.47×	3.53
Penn State Lady Lions +8.5	23.7%	23.5%	58.0%	0.41×	4.25
Penn State Lady Lions +7.5	21.0%	23.5%	55.2%	0.43×	4.25
Penn State Lady Lions +6.5	18.4%	18.9%	52.4%	0.36×	5.29
Penn State Lady Lions +5.5	16.0%	18.9%	50.3%	0.38×	5.30
Penn State Lady Lions +4.5	13.8%	14.1%	47.8%	0.30×	7.09
Penn State Lady Lions +3.5	11.8%	14.1%	45.8%	0.31×	7.09
Penn State Lady Lions +2.5	10.0%	14.1%	43.3%	0.33×	7.09
Penn State Lady Lions +1.5	8.4%	8.9%	41.3%	0.22×	11.25
Penn State Lady Lions −1.5	5.9%	8.9%	38.8%	0.23×	11.25
Penn State Lady Lions −2.5	4.9%	2.6%	36.7%	0.07×	38.72
Penn State Lady Lions −3.5	4.1%	2.6%	34.3%	0.08×	38.72
Penn State Lady Lions −4.5	3.3%	2.6%	32.2%	0.08×	38.73
Penn State Lady Lions −5.5	2.7%	2.6%	29.9%	0.09×	38.73
Penn State Lady Lions −6.5	2.2%	2.6%	27.7%	0.09×	38.73
Penn State Lady Lions −7.5	1.8%	2.6%	25.5%	0.10×	38.73
Penn State Lady Lions −8.5	1.4%	2.6%	23.5%	0.11×	38.73
Penn State Lady Lions −9.5	1.1%	2.6%	21.3%	0.12×	38.74
Penn State Lady Lions −10.5	0.9%	2.6%	19.6%	0.13×	38.74
Penn State Lady Lions −12.5	0.5%	2.6%	16.2%	0.16×	38.74
Penn State Lady Lions −14.5	0.3%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.74
Penn State Lady Lions −16.5	0.2%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.74
Penn State Lady Lions −18.5	0.1%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.74
Penn State Lady Lions −20.5	0.1%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	75.2%	71.6%	66.7%	1.07×	1.40
1st half highest scoring	24.8%	28.4%	33.3%	0.85×	3.53

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 highest scoring	33.9%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q4 highest scoring	35.7%	28.6%	31.2%	0.92×	3.50
Q2 highest scoring	14.4%	18.3%	17.9%	1.03×	5.45
Q1 highest scoring	16.1%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears at HT / Baylor Bears at FT	77.5%	78.0%	48.3%	1.62×	1.28
Penn State Lady Lions at HT / Baylor Bears at FT	12.9%	12.2%	9.8%	1.25×	8.17
Penn State Lady Lions at HT / Penn State Lady Lions at FT	4.3%	2.1%	30.1%	0.07×	47.72
Baylor Bears at HT / Penn State Lady Lions at FT	2.3%	2.1%	8.2%	0.26×	47.75
Level at HT / Baylor Bears at FT	2.7%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.75
Level at HT / Penn State Lady Lions at FT	0.4%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.79

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win	93.0%	90.6%	59.9%	1.51×	1.10
Penn State Lady Lions to win	7.0%	9.4%	40.1%	0.23×	10.66

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Penn State Lady Lions even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
Total points odd	50.6%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
Baylor Bears odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Penn State Lady Lions odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	49.4%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	96.9%	97.0%	95.6%	1.02×	1.03
Match to go to overtime	3.1%	3.0%	4.4%	0.67×	33.45

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win Q1	70.1%	73.7%	54.7%	1.35×	1.36
Penn State Lady Lions to win Q1	24.7%	22.2%	40.4%	0.55×	4.51
Q1 tied	5.1%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.33

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 over 28.5	88.2%	87.4%	62.7%	1.40×	1.14
Q1 under 44.5	87.9%	87.4%	96.2%	0.91×	1.14
Q1 over 31.5	77.1%	76.9%	46.0%	1.67×	1.30
Q1 under 41.5	76.7%	76.9%	91.9%	0.84×	1.30
Q1 over 33.5	67.3%	67.6%	36.0%	1.87×	1.48
Q1 under 39.5	66.8%	67.6%	87.5%	0.77×	1.48
Q1 over 35.5	56.1%	58.6%	26.8%	2.19×	1.71
Q1 under 37.5	55.6%	58.6%	81.6%	0.72×	1.71
Q1 over 36.5	50.3%	52.7%	22.6%	2.33×	1.90
Q1 under 36.5	49.7%	47.3%	77.4%	0.61×	2.11
Q1 over 37.5	44.4%	41.4%	18.4%	2.25×	2.42
Q1 under 35.5	43.9%	41.4%	73.2%	0.57×	2.42
Q1 over 39.5	33.2%	32.4%	12.5%	2.59×	3.08
Q1 under 33.5	32.7%	32.4%	64.0%	0.51×	3.08
Q1 over 41.5	23.3%	23.1%	8.1%	2.86×	4.33
Q1 under 31.5	22.9%	23.1%	54.0%	0.43×	4.33
Q1 over 44.5	12.1%	12.6%	3.8%	3.34×	7.95
Q1 under 28.5	11.8%	12.6%	37.3%	0.34×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win Q2	69.6%	68.4%	52.9%	1.29×	1.46
Penn State Lady Lions to win Q2	25.4%	27.7%	41.5%	0.67×	3.62
Q2 tied	5.1%	6.1%	5.7%	1.06×	16.51

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 44.5	89.0%	87.3%	96.7%	0.90×	1.15
Q2 over 28.5	87.1%	87.3%	61.2%	1.43×	1.15
Q2 under 41.5	78.4%	76.8%	92.7%	0.83×	1.30
Q2 over 31.5	75.4%	76.8%	44.3%	1.73×	1.30
Q2 under 39.5	68.8%	67.4%	88.4%	0.76×	1.48
Q2 over 33.5	65.3%	67.4%	34.4%	1.96×	1.49
Q2 under 37.5	57.8%	58.2%	82.3%	0.71×	1.72
Q2 over 35.5	53.9%	52.7%	25.4%	2.07×	1.90
Q2 under 36.5	52.0%	52.7%	78.7%	0.67×	1.90
Q2 over 36.5	48.0%	47.3%	21.3%	2.22×	2.11
Q2 under 35.5	46.1%	47.3%	74.6%	0.63×	2.11
Q2 over 37.5	42.2%	41.8%	17.7%	2.37×	2.39
Q2 under 33.5	34.7%	32.6%	65.6%	0.50×	3.06
Q2 over 39.5	31.2%	32.6%	11.6%	2.82×	3.06
Q2 under 31.5	24.6%	23.2%	55.7%	0.42×	4.31
Q2 over 41.5	21.6%	23.2%	7.3%	3.16×	4.31
Q2 under 28.5	12.9%	12.7%	38.8%	0.33×	7.89
Q2 over 44.5	11.0%	12.7%	3.3%	3.87×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win Q3	71.4%	73.0%	53.3%	1.37×	1.37
Penn State Lady Lions to win Q3	23.7%	22.5%	41.8%	0.54×	4.45
Q3 tied	4.9%	4.3%	4.9%	0.87×	23.42

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 48.5	89.4%	87.2%	97.2%	0.90×	1.15
Q3 over 32.5	85.1%	87.2%	56.1%	1.56×	1.15
Q3 under 45.5	79.4%	77.3%	93.8%	0.82×	1.29
Q3 over 35.5	73.0%	71.8%	40.3%	1.78×	1.39
Q3 under 43.5	70.3%	71.8%	90.2%	0.80×	1.39
Q3 over 37.5	62.8%	61.9%	30.3%	2.05×	1.61
Q3 under 41.5	59.8%	58.4%	85.1%	0.69×	1.71
Q3 under 40.5	54.1%	52.3%	81.9%	0.64×	1.91
Q3 over 39.5	51.6%	52.3%	22.1%	2.37×	1.91
Q3 under 39.5	48.4%	47.7%	77.9%	0.61×	2.10
Q3 over 40.5	45.9%	47.7%	18.1%	2.63×	2.10
Q3 over 41.5	40.2%	41.6%	14.9%	2.79×	2.40
Q3 under 37.5	37.2%	38.1%	69.7%	0.55×	2.63
Q3 over 43.5	29.7%	28.2%	9.8%	2.87×	3.55
Q3 under 35.5	27.0%	28.2%	59.7%	0.47×	3.55
Q3 over 45.5	20.6%	22.7%	6.2%	3.67×	4.40
Q3 under 32.5	14.9%	12.8%	43.9%	0.29×	7.83
Q3 over 48.5	10.6%	12.8%	2.8%	4.49×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win Q4	71.1%	66.2%	52.8%	1.25×	1.51
Penn State Lady Lions to win Q4	24.1%	29.1%	41.5%	0.70×	3.44
Q4 tied	4.8%	5.2%	5.7%	0.91×	19.28

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 under 48.5	87.9%	85.6%	96.3%	0.89×	1.17
Q4 over 32.5	84.0%	82.0%	55.4%	1.48×	1.22
Q4 under 45.5	77.8%	76.9%	92.4%	0.83×	1.30
Q4 over 35.5	72.2%	71.5%	40.6%	1.76×	1.40
Q4 under 43.5	68.9%	67.4%	88.6%	0.76×	1.48
Q4 over 37.5	62.5%	61.4%	31.2%	1.97×	1.63
Q4 under 41.5	58.8%	58.4%	83.6%	0.70×	1.71
Q4 under 40.5	53.5%	52.5%	80.6%	0.65×	1.91
Q4 over 39.5	51.9%	52.5%	23.0%	2.28×	1.91
Q4 under 39.5	48.1%	47.5%	77.0%	0.62×	2.11
Q4 over 40.5	46.5%	47.5%	19.4%	2.45×	2.11
Q4 over 41.5	41.2%	41.6%	16.4%	2.54×	2.40
Q4 under 37.5	37.5%	38.6%	68.8%	0.56×	2.59
Q4 over 43.5	31.1%	32.6%	11.4%	2.86×	3.07
Q4 under 35.5	27.8%	28.5%	59.4%	0.48×	3.51
Q4 over 45.5	22.2%	23.1%	7.6%	3.02×	4.33
Q4 under 32.5	16.0%	18.0%	44.6%	0.40×	5.56
Q4 over 48.5	12.1%	14.4%	3.7%	3.92×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Penn State Lady Lions under 78.5	87.3%	83.9%	88.3%	0.95×	1.19
Baylor Bears over 74.5	85.1%	83.9%	29.3%	2.87×	1.19
Baylor Bears under 94.5	85.7%	83.9%	96.7%	0.87×	1.19
Penn State Lady Lions over 58.5	84.7%	80.7%	62.1%	1.30×	1.24
Penn State Lady Lions under 75.5	79.3%	75.1%	84.1%	0.89×	1.33
Baylor Bears over 77.5	76.5%	75.1%	22.6%	3.33×	1.33
Baylor Bears under 91.5	77.4%	75.1%	95.1%	0.79×	1.33
Penn State Lady Lions over 61.5	75.8%	75.1%	52.1%	1.44×	1.33
Penn State Lady Lions under 73.5	72.6%	70.7%	80.2%	0.88×	1.41
Baylor Bears under 89.5	70.5%	70.7%	93.9%	0.75×	1.41
Penn State Lady Lions over 63.5	68.5%	66.4%	46.1%	1.44×	1.51
Baylor Bears over 79.5	69.6%	66.4%	18.7%	3.55×	1.51
Penn State Lady Lions under 71.5	64.9%	61.2%	76.1%	0.80×	1.63
Baylor Bears under 87.5	62.9%	61.2%	92.3%	0.66×	1.63
Penn State Lady Lions over 65.5	60.5%	61.2%	40.2%	1.52×	1.63
Baylor Bears over 81.5	61.9%	61.2%	15.4%	3.97×	1.63
Penn State Lady Lions under 69.5	56.6%	57.1%	71.2%	0.80×	1.75
Baylor Bears over 83.5	53.7%	52.3%	12.3%	4.24×	1.91
Baylor Bears under 85.5	54.7%	52.3%	90.2%	0.58×	1.91
Penn State Lady Lions over 67.5	52.0%	52.3%	34.4%	1.52×	1.91
Penn State Lady Lions under 68.5	52.3%	52.3%	68.6%	0.76×	1.91
Baylor Bears under 84.5	50.5%	52.3%	88.9%	0.59×	1.91
Baylor Bears over 84.5	49.5%	47.7%	11.1%	4.31×	2.09
Penn State Lady Lions under 67.5	48.0%	47.7%	65.6%	0.73×	2.09
Penn State Lady Lions over 68.5	47.7%	47.7%	31.4%	1.52×	2.09
Baylor Bears under 83.5	46.3%	47.7%	87.7%	0.54×	2.09
Baylor Bears over 85.5	45.3%	47.7%	9.8%	4.88×	2.09
Penn State Lady Lions over 69.5	43.4%	42.9%	28.8%	1.49×	2.33
Penn State Lady Lions under 65.5	39.5%	38.8%	59.8%	0.65×	2.58
Baylor Bears under 81.5	38.1%	38.8%	84.6%	0.46×	2.58
Baylor Bears over 87.5	37.1%	38.8%	7.7%	5.06×	2.58
Penn State Lady Lions over 71.5	35.1%	38.8%	23.9%	1.62×	2.58
Penn State Lady Lions under 63.5	31.5%	33.6%	53.9%	0.62×	2.98
Baylor Bears under 79.5	30.4%	33.6%	81.3%	0.41×	2.98
Baylor Bears over 89.5	29.5%	29.3%	6.1%	4.77×	3.42
Penn State Lady Lions over 73.5	27.4%	29.3%	19.8%	1.48×	3.42
Penn State Lady Lions under 61.5	24.2%	24.9%	47.9%	0.52×	4.02
Baylor Bears under 77.5	23.5%	24.9%	77.4%	0.32×	4.02
Baylor Bears over 91.5	22.6%	24.9%	4.9%	5.09×	4.02
Penn State Lady Lions over 75.5	20.7%	24.9%	15.9%	1.57×	4.02
Penn State Lady Lions under 58.5	15.3%	19.3%	37.9%	0.51×	5.18
Baylor Bears under 74.5	14.9%	16.1%	70.7%	0.23×	6.21
Baylor Bears over 94.5	14.3%	16.1%	3.3%	4.87×	6.21
Penn State Lady Lions over 78.5	12.7%	16.1%	11.7%	1.38×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 132.5 points	90.6%	88.8%	44.0%	2.02×	1.13
Under 172.5 points	90.9%	88.8%	98.2%	0.91×	1.13
Under 167.5 points	84.3%	80.6%	96.9%	0.83×	1.24
Over 137.5 points	83.7%	80.6%	33.8%	2.38×	1.24
Over 142.5 points	74.3%	70.8%	24.9%	2.85×	1.41
Under 162.5 points	75.0%	70.8%	95.0%	0.75×	1.41
Over 145.5 points	67.4%	65.9%	20.5%	3.22×	1.52
Under 159.5 points	68.3%	65.9%	93.3%	0.71×	1.52
Under 157.5 points	63.4%	61.5%	92.1%	0.67×	1.63
Over 147.5 points	62.5%	61.5%	17.7%	3.47×	1.63
Under 155.5 points	58.3%	56.5%	90.7%	0.62×	1.77
Over 149.5 points	57.4%	56.5%	15.1%	3.75×	1.77
Over 151.5 points	52.2%	52.3%	12.8%	4.10×	1.91
Under 153.5 points	53.1%	52.3%	89.0%	0.59×	1.91
Under 152.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	88.1%	0.59×	1.91
Over 152.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	11.9%	4.01×	2.10
Under 151.5 points	47.8%	47.7%	87.3%	0.55×	2.10
Over 153.5 points	46.9%	47.7%	11.0%	4.35×	2.10
Under 149.5 points	42.6%	43.5%	84.9%	0.51×	2.30
Over 155.5 points	41.7%	43.5%	9.3%	4.68×	2.30
Under 147.5 points	37.5%	38.5%	82.3%	0.47×	2.60
Over 157.5 points	36.6%	38.5%	7.9%	4.88×	2.60
Under 145.5 points	32.6%	34.1%	79.5%	0.43×	2.93
Over 159.5 points	31.7%	34.1%	6.7%	5.09×	2.93
Under 142.5 points	25.7%	29.2%	75.1%	0.39×	3.43
Over 162.5 points	25.0%	29.2%	5.0%	5.80×	3.43
Under 137.5 points	16.3%	19.4%	66.2%	0.29×	5.15
Over 167.5 points	15.7%	19.4%	3.1%	6.19×	5.15
Under 132.5 points	9.4%	11.2%	56.0%	0.20×	8.96
Over 172.5 points	9.1%	11.2%	1.8%	6.08×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears to win both halves	63.5%	60.7%	36.0%	1.68×	1.65
Penn State Lady Lions to win both halves	1.7%	3.0%	20.4%	0.15×	33.74

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Baylor Bears by 26+	20.6%	23.9%	12.6%	1.90×	4.18
Baylor Bears by 16-20	17.6%	16.8%	8.0%	2.08×	5.97
Baylor Bears by 11-15	17.1%	16.8%	10.8%	1.55×	5.97
Baylor Bears by 21-25	14.9%	12.3%	5.4%	2.29×	8.11
Baylor Bears by 6-10	13.7%	12.3%	12.9%	0.95×	8.11
Baylor Bears by 1-5	9.1%	7.5%	10.2%	0.73×	13.40
Penn State Lady Lions by 1-5	4.3%	2.0%	10.2%	0.20×	49.29
Penn State Lady Lions by 6-10	1.8%	2.0%	10.3%	0.20×	49.31
Penn State Lady Lions by 11-15	0.6%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.32
Penn State Lady Lions by 16-20	0.2%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.33
Penn State Lady Lions by 21-25	0.0%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.33
Penn State Lady Lions by 26+	0.0%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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