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Boston College Eagles v UMass Lowell River Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Boston College Eagles win
92.7%
Draw
0.0%
UMass Lowell River Hawks win
7.3%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 75.53–59.52 76-60 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to score 100+ 0.6% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.23
Boston College Eagles to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.35
Boston College Eagles to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Boston College Eagles to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win H1 79.3% 79.2% 56.4% 1.40× 1.26
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H1 17.6% 16.9% 39.9% 0.42× 5.92
H1 tied 3.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 52.5 88.7% 87.7% 79.6% 1.10× 1.14
H1 under 76.5 87.9% 87.7% 90.2% 0.97× 1.14
H1 over 56.5 79.1% 77.4% 68.2% 1.14× 1.29
H1 under 72.5 78.1% 77.4% 83.6% 0.93× 1.29
H1 over 59.5 69.5% 67.4% 57.8% 1.17× 1.48
H1 under 69.5 68.4% 67.4% 76.2% 0.89× 1.48
H1 over 61.5 62.3% 62.7% 50.2% 1.25× 1.59
H1 under 67.5 61.1% 62.7% 70.4% 0.89× 1.59
H1 over 63.5 54.5% 52.6% 42.9% 1.23× 1.90
H1 under 65.5 53.4% 52.6% 63.9% 0.82× 1.90
H1 over 64.5 50.6% 52.6% 39.3% 1.34× 1.90
H1 under 64.5 49.4% 47.4% 60.7% 0.78× 2.11
H1 over 65.5 46.6% 47.4% 36.1% 1.31× 2.11
H1 under 63.5 45.5% 47.4% 57.1% 0.83× 2.11
H1 over 67.5 38.9% 37.3% 29.6% 1.26× 2.68
H1 under 61.5 37.7% 37.3% 49.8% 0.75× 2.68
H1 over 69.5 31.6% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.07
H1 under 59.5 30.5% 32.6% 42.2% 0.77× 3.07
H1 under 56.5 20.9% 22.6% 31.8% 0.71× 4.43
H1 over 72.5 21.9% 22.6% 16.4% 1.38× 4.43
H1 over 76.5 12.1% 12.3% 9.8% 1.26× 8.14
H1 under 52.5 11.3% 12.3% 20.4% 0.60× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win H2 80.7% 79.5% 56.0% 1.42× 1.26
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H2 16.4% 20.4% 40.6% 0.50× 4.90
H2 tied 2.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 83.5 88.4% 85.2% 88.9% 0.96× 1.17
H2 over 59.5 85.9% 85.2% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
H2 under 79.5 79.4% 75.8% 82.0% 0.92× 1.32
H2 over 63.5 75.6% 75.8% 65.3% 1.16× 1.32
H2 under 76.5 70.5% 72.2% 75.6% 0.95× 1.39
H2 over 66.5 65.8% 66.4% 55.4% 1.20× 1.51
H2 under 74.5 63.7% 61.6% 69.9% 0.88× 1.62
H2 over 68.5 58.6% 57.3% 48.7% 1.18× 1.74
H2 under 72.5 56.4% 57.3% 64.1% 0.90× 1.74
H2 under 71.5 52.7% 52.4% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
H2 over 70.5 51.1% 52.4% 42.2% 1.24× 1.91
H2 under 70.5 48.9% 47.6% 57.8% 0.82× 2.10
H2 over 71.5 47.3% 47.6% 38.9% 1.23× 2.10
H2 over 72.5 43.6% 42.7% 36.0% 1.19× 2.34
H2 under 68.5 41.4% 42.7% 51.3% 0.83× 2.34
H2 over 74.5 36.3% 38.4% 30.1% 1.28× 2.61
H2 under 66.5 34.2% 33.6% 44.6% 0.75× 2.97
H2 over 76.5 29.5% 27.8% 24.4% 1.14× 3.59
H2 under 63.5 24.4% 24.2% 34.7% 0.70× 4.13
H2 over 79.5 20.6% 24.2% 18.0% 1.35× 4.13
H2 under 59.5 14.1% 14.8% 23.0% 0.64× 6.76
H2 over 83.5 11.6% 14.8% 11.1% 1.33× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles leading at half time 79.3% 79.7% 56.4% 1.41× 1.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks leading at half time 17.6% 17.0% 39.9% 0.43× 5.87
Level at half time 3.1% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles +12.5 99.4% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +14.5 99.7% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +3.5 95.7% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +4.5 96.5% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +5.5 97.1% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +6.5 97.7% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +7.5 98.1% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +8.5 98.5% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +9.5 98.8% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +10.5 99.1% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Boston College Eagles +2.5 94.9% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Boston College Eagles +1.5 93.9% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Boston College Eagles −1.5 91.2% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
Boston College Eagles −2.5 89.5% 85.9% 56.7% 1.51× 1.16
Boston College Eagles −3.5 87.6% 85.9% 54.2% 1.58× 1.16
Boston College Eagles −4.5 85.6% 85.9% 52.2% 1.65× 1.16
Boston College Eagles −5.5 83.3% 81.1% 49.7% 1.63× 1.23
Boston College Eagles −6.5 80.9% 81.1% 47.6% 1.70× 1.23
Boston College Eagles −7.5 78.2% 76.5% 44.8% 1.71× 1.31
Boston College Eagles −8.5 75.4% 76.5% 42.0% 1.82× 1.31
Boston College Eagles −9.5 72.4% 71.6% 39.3% 1.82× 1.40
Boston College Eagles −10.5 69.2% 66.7% 36.8% 1.81× 1.50
UMass Lowell River Hawks +20.5 65.9% 66.7% 82.0% 0.81× 1.50
Boston College Eagles −12.5 62.5% 61.9% 32.1% 1.93× 1.62
UMass Lowell River Hawks +18.5 59.0% 57.1% 79.3% 0.72× 1.75
Boston College Eagles −14.5 55.4% 57.1% 27.9% 2.05× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks +16.5 51.8% 52.4% 75.7% 0.69× 1.91
Boston College Eagles −16.5 48.2% 47.6% 24.3% 1.96× 2.10
UMass Lowell River Hawks +14.5 44.6% 42.9% 72.1% 0.60× 2.33
Boston College Eagles −18.5 41.0% 42.9% 20.7% 2.07× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks +12.5 37.5% 38.1% 67.9% 0.56× 2.63
Boston College Eagles −20.5 34.1% 33.3% 18.0% 1.85× 3.01
UMass Lowell River Hawks +10.5 30.8% 33.3% 63.2% 0.53× 3.01
UMass Lowell River Hawks +9.5 27.6% 28.4% 60.7% 0.47× 3.53
UMass Lowell River Hawks +8.5 24.6% 23.5% 58.0% 0.41× 4.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks +7.5 21.8% 23.5% 55.2% 0.43× 4.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks +6.5 19.1% 18.9% 52.4% 0.36× 5.29
UMass Lowell River Hawks +5.5 16.7% 18.9% 50.3% 0.38× 5.29
UMass Lowell River Hawks +4.5 14.4% 14.1% 47.8% 0.30× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks +3.5 12.4% 14.1% 45.8% 0.31× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks +2.5 10.5% 14.1% 43.3% 0.33× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks +1.5 8.8% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −1.5 6.1% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −2.5 5.1% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −3.5 4.3% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.72
UMass Lowell River Hawks −4.5 3.5% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −5.5 2.9% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −6.5 2.3% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −7.5 1.9% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −8.5 1.5% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −9.5 1.2% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −10.5 0.9% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −12.5 0.6% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −14.5 0.3% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.8% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.2% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 33.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 16.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles at HT / Boston College Eagles at FT 76.8% 78.0% 48.3% 1.62× 1.28
UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / Boston College Eagles at FT 13.1% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 4.5% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.72
Boston College Eagles at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 2.5% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.75
Level at HT / Boston College Eagles at FT 2.7% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win 92.7% 90.6% 59.9% 1.51× 1.10
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win 7.3% 9.4% 40.1% 0.23× 10.65
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks even 50.1% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Boston College Eagles odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks odd 49.9% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.8% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.2% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.44
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win Q1 69.6% 72.3% 54.7% 1.32× 1.38
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q1 25.2% 22.4% 40.4% 0.55× 4.47
Q1 tied 5.2% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 24.5 88.3% 87.4% 81.8% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 under 40.5 88.2% 87.4% 89.9% 0.97× 1.14
Q1 over 27.5 77.1% 76.9% 67.7% 1.14× 1.30
Q1 under 37.5 77.0% 76.9% 81.6% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 over 29.5 67.2% 67.6% 56.9% 1.19× 1.48
Q1 under 35.5 67.1% 67.6% 73.2% 0.92× 1.48
Q1 over 31.5 55.9% 58.6% 46.0% 1.27× 1.71
Q1 under 33.5 55.9% 58.6% 64.0% 0.92× 1.71
Q1 over 32.5 50.0% 52.7% 40.9% 1.29× 1.90
Q1 under 32.5 50.0% 47.3% 59.1% 0.80× 2.11
Q1 under 31.5 44.1% 41.4% 54.0% 0.77× 2.42
Q1 over 33.5 44.1% 41.4% 36.0% 1.15× 2.42
Q1 under 29.5 32.8% 32.4% 43.1% 0.75× 3.08
Q1 over 35.5 32.9% 32.4% 26.8% 1.21× 3.08
Q1 over 37.5 23.0% 23.1% 18.4% 1.26× 4.33
Q1 under 27.5 22.9% 23.1% 32.3% 0.71× 4.33
Q1 under 24.5 11.7% 12.6% 18.2% 0.69× 7.95
Q1 over 40.5 11.8% 12.6% 10.1% 1.25× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win Q2 69.1% 68.4% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q2 25.8% 27.7% 41.5% 0.67× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.1% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 40.5 89.1% 87.3% 90.8% 0.96× 1.15
Q2 over 24.5 87.3% 87.3% 80.7% 1.08× 1.15
Q2 under 37.5 78.5% 76.8% 82.3% 0.93× 1.30
Q2 over 27.5 75.6% 76.8% 66.7% 1.15× 1.30
Q2 under 35.5 68.9% 67.4% 74.6% 0.90× 1.48
Q2 over 29.5 65.4% 67.4% 55.8% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 under 33.5 57.8% 58.2% 65.6% 0.89× 1.72
Q2 over 31.5 53.9% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 under 32.5 52.0% 52.7% 60.8% 0.87× 1.90
Q2 over 32.5 48.0% 47.3% 39.2% 1.21× 2.11
Q2 under 31.5 46.1% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 over 33.5 42.2% 41.8% 34.4% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 29.5 34.6% 32.6% 44.2% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 over 35.5 31.1% 32.6% 25.4% 1.29× 3.06
Q2 under 27.5 24.4% 23.2% 33.3% 0.70× 4.31
Q2 over 37.5 21.5% 23.2% 17.7% 1.31× 4.31
Q2 under 24.5 12.7% 12.7% 19.3% 0.66× 7.89
Q2 over 40.5 10.9% 12.7% 9.2% 1.38× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win Q3 70.9% 73.0% 53.3% 1.37× 1.37
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q3 24.2% 22.5% 41.8% 0.54× 4.45
Q3 tied 4.9% 4.3% 4.9% 0.87× 23.42
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 43.5 87.9% 87.2% 90.2% 0.97× 1.15
Q3 over 27.5 87.3% 87.2% 80.0% 1.09× 1.15
Q3 under 40.5 77.0% 77.3% 81.9% 0.94× 1.29
Q3 over 30.5 75.9% 77.3% 66.8% 1.16× 1.29
Q3 under 38.5 67.4% 67.8% 73.9% 0.92× 1.48
Q3 over 32.5 66.1% 67.8% 56.1% 1.21× 1.48
Q3 under 36.5 56.5% 58.4% 64.6% 0.90× 1.71
Q3 over 34.5 55.0% 58.4% 45.4% 1.29× 1.71
Q3 under 35.5 50.7% 52.3% 59.7% 0.88× 1.91
Q3 over 35.5 49.3% 47.7% 40.3% 1.18× 2.10
Q3 under 34.5 45.0% 41.6% 54.6% 0.76× 2.40
Q3 over 36.5 43.5% 41.6% 35.4% 1.17× 2.40
Q3 under 32.5 33.9% 32.2% 43.9% 0.73× 3.10
Q3 over 38.5 32.6% 32.2% 26.1% 1.23× 3.10
Q3 under 30.5 24.1% 22.7% 33.2% 0.69× 4.40
Q3 over 40.5 23.0% 22.7% 18.1% 1.25× 4.40
Q3 under 27.5 12.7% 12.8% 20.0% 0.64× 7.83
Q3 over 43.5 12.1% 12.8% 9.8% 1.30× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win Q4 70.6% 66.2% 52.8% 1.25× 1.51
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q4 24.6% 29.1% 41.5% 0.70× 3.44
Q4 tied 4.8% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 43.5 86.3% 85.6% 88.6% 0.97× 1.17
Q4 over 27.5 86.1% 85.6% 78.9% 1.09× 1.17
Q4 under 40.5 75.4% 76.9% 80.6% 0.95× 1.30
Q4 over 30.5 75.0% 71.5% 66.3% 1.08× 1.40
Q4 under 38.5 66.1% 67.4% 73.1% 0.92× 1.48
Q4 over 32.5 65.6% 67.4% 55.4% 1.22× 1.48
Q4 under 36.5 55.7% 58.4% 64.3% 0.91× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 55.1% 58.4% 45.6% 1.28× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 50.3% 52.5% 59.4% 0.88× 1.91
Q4 over 35.5 49.7% 47.5% 40.6% 1.17× 2.11
Q4 under 34.5 44.9% 41.6% 54.4% 0.76× 2.40
Q4 over 36.5 44.3% 41.6% 35.7% 1.17× 2.40
Q4 under 32.5 34.4% 32.6% 44.6% 0.73× 3.07
Q4 over 38.5 33.9% 32.6% 26.9% 1.21× 3.07
Q4 under 30.5 25.0% 28.5% 33.7% 0.84× 3.51
Q4 over 40.5 24.6% 23.1% 19.4% 1.19× 4.33
Q4 under 27.5 13.9% 14.4% 21.1% 0.68× 6.95
Q4 over 43.5 13.7% 14.4% 11.4% 1.26× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 70.5 88.2% 83.9% 73.7% 1.14× 1.19
Boston College Eagles under 86.5 87.2% 83.9% 91.2% 0.92× 1.19
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 50.5 84.6% 80.7% 83.1% 0.97× 1.24
Boston College Eagles over 66.5 83.6% 80.7% 51.8% 1.56× 1.24
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 67.5 80.6% 80.7% 65.6% 1.23× 1.24
Boston College Eagles under 83.5 79.3% 75.1% 87.7% 0.86× 1.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 53.5 75.0% 75.1% 76.3% 0.98× 1.33
Boston College Eagles over 69.5 74.5% 70.7% 42.6% 1.66× 1.41
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 65.5 74.0% 70.7% 59.8% 1.18× 1.41
Boston College Eagles under 81.5 72.8% 70.7% 84.6% 0.84× 1.41
Boston College Eagles over 71.5 67.3% 66.4% 37.0% 1.79× 1.51
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 55.5 67.4% 66.4% 70.8% 0.94× 1.51
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 63.5 66.5% 66.4% 53.9% 1.23× 1.51
Boston College Eagles under 79.5 65.4% 66.4% 81.3% 0.82× 1.51
Boston College Eagles over 73.5 59.4% 57.1% 31.5% 1.81× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 57.5 59.1% 57.1% 65.1% 0.88× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 61.5 58.3% 57.1% 47.9% 1.19× 1.75
Boston College Eagles under 77.5 57.3% 57.1% 77.4% 0.74× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 60.5 54.0% 52.3% 44.4% 1.18× 1.91
Boston College Eagles over 75.5 51.1% 52.3% 26.8% 1.95× 1.91
Boston College Eagles under 76.5 53.2% 52.3% 75.4% 0.69× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 59.5 50.4% 52.3% 58.8% 0.89× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 59.5 49.6% 47.7% 41.2% 1.16× 2.09
Boston College Eagles under 75.5 49.0% 47.7% 73.2% 0.65× 2.09
Boston College Eagles over 76.5 46.8% 47.7% 24.6% 1.94× 2.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 60.5 46.1% 47.7% 55.6% 0.86× 2.09
Boston College Eagles over 77.5 42.7% 42.9% 22.6% 1.90× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 61.5 41.7% 42.9% 52.1% 0.82× 2.33
Boston College Eagles under 73.5 40.6% 42.9% 68.5% 0.63× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 57.5 40.9% 42.9% 34.9% 1.23× 2.33
Boston College Eagles over 79.5 34.6% 33.6% 18.7% 1.80× 2.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 63.5 33.5% 33.6% 46.1% 0.73× 2.98
Boston College Eagles under 71.5 32.7% 33.6% 63.0% 0.53× 2.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 55.5 32.6% 33.6% 29.2% 1.15× 2.98
Boston College Eagles over 81.5 27.2% 29.3% 15.4% 1.90× 3.42
Boston College Eagles under 69.5 25.5% 29.3% 57.4% 0.51× 3.42
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 65.5 26.0% 29.3% 40.2% 0.73× 3.42
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 53.5 25.0% 24.9% 23.7% 1.05× 4.02
Boston College Eagles over 83.5 20.7% 24.9% 12.3% 2.02× 4.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 67.5 19.4% 19.3% 34.4% 0.56× 5.18
Boston College Eagles under 66.5 16.4% 19.3% 48.2% 0.40× 5.18
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 50.5 15.4% 19.3% 16.9% 1.14× 5.18
Boston College Eagles over 86.5 12.8% 16.1% 8.8% 1.83× 6.21
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 70.5 11.8% 16.1% 26.3% 0.61× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 115.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 78.8% 1.13× 1.13
Under 155.5 points 91.1% 88.8% 90.7% 0.98× 1.13
Over 120.5 points 84.5% 80.6% 69.8% 1.15× 1.24
Under 150.5 points 84.4% 80.6% 86.1% 0.94× 1.24
Under 145.5 points 75.2% 75.6% 79.5% 0.95× 1.32
Over 125.5 points 74.8% 70.8% 59.5% 1.19× 1.41
Over 128.5 points 67.9% 65.9% 52.8% 1.25× 1.52
Under 142.5 points 68.4% 65.9% 75.1% 0.88× 1.52
Under 140.5 points 63.5% 61.5% 71.8% 0.86× 1.63
Over 130.5 points 62.9% 61.5% 48.3% 1.27× 1.63
Under 138.5 points 58.3% 56.5% 67.9% 0.83× 1.77
Over 132.5 points 57.6% 56.5% 44.0% 1.28× 1.77
Over 134.5 points 52.3% 52.3% 39.8% 1.31× 1.91
Under 136.5 points 53.1% 52.3% 64.2% 0.81× 1.91
Under 135.5 points 50.4% 52.3% 62.4% 0.84× 1.91
Over 135.5 points 49.6% 47.7% 37.6% 1.27× 2.10
Under 134.5 points 47.7% 47.7% 60.2% 0.79× 2.10
Over 136.5 points 46.9% 47.7% 35.8% 1.33× 2.10
Under 132.5 points 42.4% 43.5% 56.0% 0.78× 2.30
Over 138.5 points 41.7% 43.5% 32.1% 1.36× 2.30
Under 130.5 points 37.1% 38.5% 51.7% 0.75× 2.60
Over 140.5 points 36.5% 38.5% 28.2% 1.36× 2.60
Under 128.5 points 32.1% 34.1% 47.2% 0.72× 2.93
Over 142.5 points 31.6% 34.1% 24.9% 1.37× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 25.2% 29.2% 40.5% 0.72× 3.43
Over 145.5 points 24.8% 24.4% 20.5% 1.19× 4.10
Under 120.5 points 15.5% 19.4% 30.2% 0.64× 5.15
Over 150.5 points 15.6% 19.4% 13.9% 1.39× 5.15
Over 155.5 points 8.9% 11.2% 9.3% 1.20× 8.96
Under 115.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 21.2% 0.53× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles to win both halves 62.5% 60.7% 36.0% 1.68× 1.65
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win both halves 1.7% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.74
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston College Eagles by 26+ 19.3% 16.8% 12.6% 1.33× 5.97
Boston College Eagles by 11-15 17.4% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Boston College Eagles by 16-20 17.7% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Boston College Eagles by 21-25 14.8% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Boston College Eagles by 6-10 14.1% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Boston College Eagles by 1-5 9.4% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 1-5 4.4% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 6-10 1.9% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.31
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 11-15 0.7% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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