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Boston University Terriers v Brown Bears — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 25 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Boston University Terriers win
20.8%
Draw
0.0%
Brown Bears win
79.2%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 55.16–64.33 55-64 0% 53% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston University Terriers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Boston University Terriers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.35
Brown Bears to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Brown Bears to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win H1 66.4% 68.3% 39.9% 1.71× 1.47
Boston University Terriers to win H1 29.5% 26.6% 56.4% 0.47× 3.77
H1 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 89.4% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 88.3% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 79.7% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 78.5% 77.4% 63.9% 1.21× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 69.9% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 68.8% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 54.5 62.5% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 61.4% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 54.6% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 53.5% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 50.5% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 49.5% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 46.5% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 45.4% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 38.6% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 37.5% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 31.2% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 52.5 30.1% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 21.5% 22.6% 36.1% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 49.5 20.3% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 11.7% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H1 under 45.5 10.6% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win H2 67.5% 62.8% 40.6% 1.55× 1.59
Boston University Terriers to win H2 28.6% 31.3% 56.0% 0.56× 3.20
H2 tied 3.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 75.5 88.2% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 51.5 87.3% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 79.0% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 77.1% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 69.8% 66.4% 51.3% 1.29× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 67.3% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 62.8% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 60.0% 57.3% 74.5% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 55.4% 57.3% 37.9% 1.51× 1.74
H2 over 62.5 52.3% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 51.5% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 47.7% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 48.5% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 44.6% 42.7% 62.1% 0.69× 2.34
H2 under 60.5 40.0% 42.7% 25.5% 1.67× 2.35
H2 over 66.5 37.2% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 32.7% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 30.2% 33.6% 48.7% 0.69× 2.97
H2 under 55.5 22.9% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 21.0% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 12.7% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 11.8% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears leading at half time 66.4% 68.4% 39.9% 1.71× 1.46
Boston University Terriers leading at half time 29.5% 26.5% 56.4% 0.47× 3.77
Level at half time 4.1% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears +20.5 99.6% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Brown Bears +10.5 95.8% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Brown Bears +12.5 97.2% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Brown Bears +14.5 98.2% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Brown Bears +16.5 98.9% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Brown Bears +18.5 99.3% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Brown Bears +9.5 95.0% 91.1% 60.7% 1.50× 1.10
Brown Bears +7.5 92.7% 91.1% 55.2% 1.65× 1.10
Brown Bears +8.5 93.9% 91.1% 58.0% 1.57× 1.10
Brown Bears +6.5 91.4% 91.1% 52.4% 1.74× 1.10
Brown Bears +5.5 89.8% 85.9% 50.3% 1.71× 1.16
Brown Bears +4.5 88.1% 85.9% 47.8% 1.80× 1.16
Brown Bears +3.5 86.2% 85.9% 45.8% 1.88× 1.16
Boston University Terriers +20.5 86.4% 85.9% 92.7% 0.93× 1.16
Brown Bears +2.5 84.1% 81.1% 43.3% 1.87× 1.23
Brown Bears +1.5 81.7% 81.1% 41.3% 1.96× 1.23
Boston University Terriers +18.5 81.7% 81.1% 91.1% 0.89× 1.23
Brown Bears −1.5 76.2% 76.5% 38.8% 1.97× 1.31
Boston University Terriers +16.5 76.3% 76.5% 89.1% 0.86× 1.31
Brown Bears −2.5 73.1% 71.6% 36.7% 1.95× 1.40
Boston University Terriers +14.5 70.0% 71.6% 86.7% 0.83× 1.40
Brown Bears −3.5 69.8% 66.7% 34.3% 1.95× 1.50
Brown Bears −4.5 66.4% 66.7% 32.2% 2.07× 1.50
Brown Bears −5.5 62.8% 61.9% 29.9% 2.07× 1.62
Boston University Terriers +12.5 63.2% 61.9% 83.8% 0.74× 1.62
Brown Bears −6.5 59.2% 57.1% 27.7% 2.06× 1.75
Brown Bears −7.5 55.4% 57.1% 25.5% 2.24× 1.75
Boston University Terriers +10.5 55.9% 57.1% 80.4% 0.71× 1.75
Boston University Terriers +9.5 52.1% 52.4% 78.7% 0.67× 1.91
Brown Bears −8.5 51.7% 52.4% 23.5% 2.23× 1.91
Boston University Terriers +8.5 48.3% 47.6% 76.5% 0.62× 2.10
Brown Bears −9.5 47.9% 47.6% 21.3% 2.23× 2.10
Boston University Terriers +7.5 44.6% 42.9% 74.5% 0.58× 2.33
Brown Bears −10.5 44.1% 42.9% 19.6% 2.19× 2.33
Boston University Terriers +6.5 40.8% 42.9% 72.3% 0.59× 2.33
Boston University Terriers +5.5 37.2% 38.1% 70.1% 0.54× 2.63
Brown Bears −12.5 36.8% 38.1% 16.2% 2.34× 2.63
Boston University Terriers +4.5 33.6% 33.3% 67.8% 0.49× 3.01
Boston University Terriers +3.5 30.2% 33.3% 65.7% 0.51× 3.01
Brown Bears −14.5 30.0% 28.4% 13.3% 2.14× 3.53
Boston University Terriers +2.5 26.9% 28.4% 63.3% 0.45× 3.53
Boston University Terriers +1.5 23.8% 23.5% 61.2% 0.38× 4.25
Brown Bears −16.5 23.7% 23.5% 10.9% 2.16× 4.25
Boston University Terriers −1.5 18.3% 18.9% 58.7% 0.32× 5.29
Brown Bears −18.5 18.3% 18.9% 8.9% 2.12× 5.29
Boston University Terriers −2.5 15.9% 18.9% 56.7% 0.33× 5.30
Boston University Terriers −3.5 13.8% 14.1% 54.2% 0.26× 7.09
Brown Bears −20.5 13.6% 14.1% 7.3% 1.94× 7.09
Boston University Terriers −4.5 11.9% 14.1% 52.2% 0.27× 7.09
Boston University Terriers −5.5 10.2% 14.1% 49.7% 0.28× 7.09
Boston University Terriers −6.5 8.6% 8.9% 47.6% 0.19× 11.25
Boston University Terriers −7.5 7.3% 8.9% 44.8% 0.20× 11.25
Boston University Terriers −8.5 6.1% 8.9% 42.0% 0.21× 11.25
Boston University Terriers −9.5 5.1% 8.9% 39.3% 0.23× 11.25
Boston University Terriers −10.5 4.2% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.72
Boston University Terriers −12.5 2.8% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −14.5 1.8% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.73
Boston University Terriers −16.5 1.1% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −18.5 0.7% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Boston University Terriers −20.5 0.4% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears at HT / Brown Bears at FT 60.0% 56.9% 30.1% 1.89× 1.76
Boston University Terriers at HT / Brown Bears at FT 16.2% 15.5% 8.2% 1.89× 6.47
Boston University Terriers at HT / Boston University Terriers at FT 13.3% 12.2% 48.3% 0.25× 8.17
Brown Bears at HT / Boston University Terriers at FT 6.5% 8.3% 9.8% 0.85× 12.09
Level at HT / Brown Bears at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Level at HT / Boston University Terriers at FT 1.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win 79.2% 75.1% 40.1% 1.87× 1.33
Boston University Terriers to win 20.8% 24.9% 59.9% 0.42× 4.02
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.4% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Boston University Terriers even 50.3% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Brown Bears even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Boston University Terriers odd 49.7% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Brown Bears odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.6% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win Q1 59.8% 57.3% 40.4% 1.42× 1.75
Boston University Terriers to win Q1 34.4% 30.4% 54.7% 0.56× 3.29
Q1 tied 5.8% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 89.8% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 87.1% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.5% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 75.0% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 70.0% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 64.6% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 59.0% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 53.1% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 52.9% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 47.1% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 46.9% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 41.0% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 35.4% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 30.0% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.0% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 20.5% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 12.9% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.2% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win Q2 59.5% 59.4% 41.5% 1.43× 1.68
Boston University Terriers to win Q2 34.8% 31.9% 52.9% 0.60× 3.14
Q2 tied 5.8% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 89.2% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 87.8% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 78.2% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 76.4% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 68.4% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 66.3% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 57.1% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 54.8% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 51.1% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 48.9% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 45.2% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 42.9% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 33.7% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 31.6% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 23.6% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 21.8% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 12.2% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.89
Q2 under 20.5 10.8% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win Q3 60.6% 60.8% 41.8% 1.46× 1.64
Boston University Terriers to win Q3 33.8% 33.8% 53.3% 0.63× 2.96
Q3 tied 5.7% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 88.2% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.6% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 77.1% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 76.5% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 67.2% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 66.7% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 56.1% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 55.5% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 50.3% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 49.7% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 44.5% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 43.9% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 33.3% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 32.8% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 23.5% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 22.9% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 12.4% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q3 under 23.5 11.8% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win Q4 60.4% 57.8% 41.5% 1.39× 1.73
Boston University Terriers to win Q4 34.1% 37.4% 52.8% 0.71× 2.67
Q4 tied 5.5% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 87.0% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 86.1% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 76.0% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 74.9% 71.5% 64.3% 1.11× 1.40
Q4 over 28.5 66.6% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 65.5% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 56.1% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 54.9% 52.5% 44.6% 1.18× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 50.6% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 49.4% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 45.1% 47.5% 55.4% 0.86× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 43.9% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 34.5 34.5% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 33.4% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 25.1% 28.5% 35.7% 0.80× 3.51
Q4 under 26.5 24.0% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 13.9% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Q4 under 23.5 13.0% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Boston University Terriers under 66.5 87.8% 83.9% 48.2% 1.74× 1.19
Brown Bears under 75.5 87.8% 83.9% 84.1% 1.00× 1.19
Boston University Terriers over 46.5 85.9% 83.9% 95.2% 0.88× 1.19
Brown Bears over 55.5 84.5% 80.7% 70.8% 1.14× 1.24
Boston University Terriers under 63.5 80.2% 80.7% 38.5% 2.09× 1.24
Brown Bears under 72.5 79.9% 75.1% 78.2% 0.96× 1.33
Boston University Terriers over 49.5 75.8% 75.1% 92.1% 0.82× 1.33
Brown Bears over 58.5 75.4% 75.1% 62.1% 1.21× 1.33
Boston University Terriers under 61.5 73.7% 70.7% 33.1% 2.14× 1.41
Brown Bears under 70.5 73.3% 70.7% 73.7% 0.96× 1.41
Boston University Terriers over 51.5 68.0% 66.4% 89.3% 0.74× 1.51
Brown Bears over 60.5 68.0% 66.4% 55.6% 1.19× 1.51
Boston University Terriers under 59.5 66.2% 66.4% 27.8% 2.38× 1.51
Brown Bears under 68.5 65.7% 66.4% 68.6% 0.97× 1.51
Brown Bears over 62.5 59.9% 57.1% 49.0% 1.16× 1.75
Boston University Terriers over 53.5 59.5% 57.1% 85.8% 0.67× 1.75
Boston University Terriers under 57.5 58.0% 57.1% 22.8% 2.50× 1.75
Brown Bears under 66.5 57.4% 57.1% 62.7% 0.91× 1.75
Boston University Terriers under 56.5 53.7% 52.3% 20.5% 2.55× 1.91
Brown Bears over 64.5 51.3% 52.3% 43.2% 1.21× 1.91
Brown Bears under 65.5 53.1% 52.3% 59.8% 0.87× 1.91
Boston University Terriers over 55.5 50.7% 52.3% 81.6% 0.64× 1.91
Boston University Terriers under 55.5 49.3% 47.7% 18.5% 2.59× 2.09
Brown Bears under 64.5 48.7% 47.7% 56.9% 0.84× 2.09
Brown Bears over 65.5 46.9% 47.7% 40.2% 1.19× 2.09
Boston University Terriers over 56.5 46.3% 47.7% 79.5% 0.60× 2.09
Brown Bears over 66.5 42.6% 42.9% 37.3% 1.15× 2.33
Boston University Terriers over 57.5 42.0% 42.9% 77.2% 0.56× 2.33
Boston University Terriers under 53.5 40.5% 42.9% 14.2% 3.02× 2.33
Brown Bears under 62.5 40.1% 42.9% 51.0% 0.84× 2.33
Brown Bears over 68.5 34.3% 33.6% 31.4% 1.07× 2.98
Boston University Terriers over 59.5 33.8% 33.6% 72.2% 0.47× 2.98
Boston University Terriers under 51.5 32.0% 33.6% 10.7% 3.13× 2.98
Brown Bears under 60.5 32.0% 33.6% 44.4% 0.76× 2.98
Boston University Terriers over 61.5 26.3% 29.3% 66.9% 0.44× 3.42
Brown Bears over 70.5 26.7% 29.3% 26.3% 1.11× 3.42
Boston University Terriers under 49.5 24.2% 24.9% 7.9% 3.15× 4.02
Brown Bears under 58.5 24.6% 24.9% 37.9% 0.66× 4.02
Brown Bears over 72.5 20.1% 24.9% 21.8% 1.14× 4.02
Boston University Terriers over 63.5 19.8% 19.3% 61.5% 0.31× 5.18
Brown Bears under 55.5 15.5% 19.3% 29.2% 0.66× 5.18
Boston University Terriers under 46.5 14.1% 16.1% 4.8% 3.36× 6.21
Boston University Terriers over 66.5 12.2% 16.1% 51.8% 0.31× 6.21
Brown Bears over 75.5 12.2% 16.1% 15.9% 1.01× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 101.5 points 92.1% 88.8% 94.8% 0.94× 1.13
Under 141.5 points 92.4% 88.8% 73.4% 1.21× 1.13
Under 136.5 points 86.2% 85.0% 64.2% 1.32× 1.18
Over 106.5 points 84.6% 80.6% 91.0% 0.89× 1.24
Under 131.5 points 77.5% 75.6% 53.9% 1.40× 1.32
Over 111.5 points 74.0% 70.8% 85.1% 0.83× 1.41
Under 128.5 points 70.9% 70.8% 47.2% 1.50× 1.41
Over 114.5 points 66.5% 65.9% 80.4% 0.82× 1.52
Under 126.5 points 66.0% 65.9% 42.6% 1.54× 1.52
Over 116.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 77.2% 0.80× 1.63
Under 124.5 points 60.9% 61.5% 38.5% 1.60× 1.63
Over 118.5 points 55.6% 56.5% 73.6% 0.77× 1.77
Under 122.5 points 55.5% 56.5% 34.4% 1.64× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 52.8% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 50.1% 52.3% 69.8% 0.75× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 49.9% 47.7% 30.2% 1.58× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 47.2% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 118.5 points 44.4% 43.5% 26.4% 1.64× 2.30
Over 122.5 points 44.5% 43.5% 65.6% 0.66× 2.30
Over 124.5 points 39.2% 38.5% 61.5% 0.63× 2.60
Under 116.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 22.8% 1.69× 2.60
Over 126.5 points 34.0% 34.1% 57.4% 0.59× 2.93
Under 114.5 points 33.5% 34.1% 19.6% 1.74× 2.93
Over 128.5 points 29.1% 29.2% 52.8% 0.55× 3.43
Under 111.5 points 26.1% 29.2% 14.9% 1.95× 3.43
Over 131.5 points 22.5% 24.4% 46.1% 0.53× 4.10
Under 106.5 points 15.4% 19.4% 9.0% 2.16× 5.15
Over 136.5 points 13.8% 15.0% 35.8% 0.42× 6.68
Under 101.5 points 7.9% 11.2% 5.2% 2.15× 8.96
Over 141.5 points 7.6% 11.2% 26.6% 0.42× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears to win both halves 42.1% 40.6% 20.4% 2.00× 2.46
Boston University Terriers to win both halves 6.1% 8.8% 36.0% 0.24× 11.33
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Brown Bears by 6-10 18.7% 16.8% 10.3% 1.63× 5.97
Brown Bears by 1-5 16.4% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Brown Bears by 11-15 17.4% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Brown Bears by 16-20 13.1% 12.3% 4.8% 2.60× 8.11
Boston University Terriers by 1-5 10.7% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Brown Bears by 21-25 7.9% 7.5% 2.7% 2.79× 13.40
Boston University Terriers by 6-10 6.0% 7.5% 12.9% 0.58× 13.40
Brown Bears by 26+ 5.7% 7.5% 4.6% 1.62× 13.40
Boston University Terriers by 11-15 2.7% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.30
Boston University Terriers by 16-20 1.0% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Boston University Terriers by 21-25 0.3% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Boston University Terriers by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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