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Bryant Bulldogs v Stonehill Skyhawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Tuesday 24 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Bryant Bulldogs win
93.1%
Draw
0.0%
Stonehill Skyhawks win
6.9%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 67.00–50.07 67-50 0% 56% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Bryant Bulldogs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Bryant Bulldogs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Stonehill Skyhawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Stonehill Skyhawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Stonehill Skyhawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Stonehill Skyhawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win H1 79.1% 79.2% 56.4% 1.40× 1.26
Stonehill Skyhawks to win H1 17.7% 16.9% 39.9% 0.42× 5.92
H1 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 89.1% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 89.6% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 under 65.5 80.3% 82.5% 63.9% 1.29× 1.21
H1 over 49.5 78.9% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 62.5 70.8% 73.5% 53.7% 1.37× 1.36
H1 over 52.5 68.7% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 60.5 63.4% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 54.5 61.0% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 58.5 55.4% 58.2% 38.6% 1.51× 1.72
H1 over 56.5 52.8% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 51.3% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 48.7% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 47.2% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 44.6% 41.8% 61.4% 0.68× 2.39
H1 under 54.5 39.0% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 36.6% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 52.5 31.3% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 62.5 29.2% 26.5% 46.3% 0.57× 3.77
H1 under 49.5 21.1% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 19.7% 17.5% 36.1% 0.48× 5.72
H1 under 45.5 10.9% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 10.4% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win H2 80.6% 79.5% 56.0% 1.42× 1.26
Stonehill Skyhawks to win H2 16.5% 20.4% 40.6% 0.50× 4.90
H2 tied 2.9% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 50.5 89.0% 85.2% 94.0% 0.91× 1.17
H2 under 74.5 87.8% 85.2% 69.9% 1.22× 1.17
H2 over 54.5 79.2% 75.8% 88.0% 0.86× 1.32
H2 under 70.5 78.1% 75.8% 57.8% 1.31× 1.32
H2 over 57.5 69.5% 66.4% 82.2% 0.81× 1.51
H2 under 67.5 68.5% 66.4% 47.9% 1.39× 1.51
H2 over 59.5 62.2% 61.6% 77.0% 0.80× 1.62
H2 under 65.5 61.3% 61.6% 41.2% 1.49× 1.62
H2 over 61.5 54.4% 52.4% 71.3% 0.73× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 53.5% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 over 62.5 50.4% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 49.6% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 under 61.5 45.6% 47.6% 28.7% 1.66× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 46.5% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 under 59.5 37.8% 38.4% 23.0% 1.67× 2.61
H2 over 65.5 38.7% 38.4% 58.8% 0.65× 2.61
H2 under 57.5 30.5% 33.6% 17.8% 1.89× 2.97
H2 over 67.5 31.5% 33.6% 52.1% 0.64× 2.97
H2 over 70.5 21.9% 24.2% 42.2% 0.57× 4.13
H2 under 54.5 20.8% 24.2% 12.0% 2.01× 4.13
H2 over 74.5 12.2% 14.8% 30.1% 0.49× 6.76
H2 under 50.5 11.0% 14.8% 6.0% 2.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs leading at half time 79.1% 79.7% 56.4% 1.41× 1.25
Stonehill Skyhawks leading at half time 17.7% 17.0% 39.9% 0.43× 5.87
Level at half time 3.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs +20.5 100.0% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +12.5 99.5% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +14.5 99.7% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +16.5 99.9% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +3.5 96.1% 97.4% 65.7% 1.48× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +4.5 96.8% 97.4% 67.8% 1.44× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +5.5 97.4% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +6.5 97.9% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +7.5 98.3% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +8.5 98.7% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +9.5 99.0% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +10.5 99.2% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +2.5 95.2% 97.4% 63.3% 1.54× 1.03
Bryant Bulldogs +1.5 94.2% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Bryant Bulldogs −1.5 91.6% 91.1% 58.7% 1.55× 1.10
Bryant Bulldogs −2.5 89.9% 85.9% 56.7% 1.51× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs −3.5 88.0% 85.9% 54.2% 1.58× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs −4.5 85.9% 85.9% 52.2% 1.65× 1.16
Bryant Bulldogs −5.5 83.6% 81.1% 49.7% 1.63× 1.23
Bryant Bulldogs −6.5 81.1% 81.1% 47.6% 1.70× 1.23
Bryant Bulldogs −7.5 78.3% 76.5% 44.8% 1.71× 1.31
Bryant Bulldogs −8.5 75.4% 76.5% 42.0% 1.82× 1.31
Bryant Bulldogs −9.5 72.3% 71.6% 39.3% 1.82× 1.40
Bryant Bulldogs −10.5 69.0% 66.7% 36.8% 1.81× 1.50
Stonehill Skyhawks +20.5 67.8% 66.7% 82.0% 0.81× 1.50
Bryant Bulldogs −12.5 61.9% 61.9% 32.1% 1.93× 1.62
Stonehill Skyhawks +18.5 60.7% 61.9% 79.3% 0.78× 1.62
Bryant Bulldogs −14.5 54.5% 52.4% 27.9% 1.88× 1.91
Stonehill Skyhawks +16.5 53.1% 52.4% 75.7% 0.69× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs −16.5 46.9% 47.6% 24.3% 1.96× 2.10
Stonehill Skyhawks +14.5 45.5% 47.6% 72.1% 0.66× 2.10
Bryant Bulldogs −18.5 39.3% 38.1% 20.7% 1.84× 2.63
Stonehill Skyhawks +12.5 38.1% 38.1% 67.9% 0.56× 2.63
Bryant Bulldogs −20.5 32.2% 33.3% 18.0% 1.85× 3.01
Stonehill Skyhawks +10.5 31.0% 33.3% 63.2% 0.53× 3.01
Stonehill Skyhawks +9.5 27.7% 28.4% 60.7% 0.47× 3.53
Stonehill Skyhawks +8.5 24.6% 23.5% 58.0% 0.41× 4.25
Stonehill Skyhawks +7.5 21.7% 23.5% 55.2% 0.43× 4.25
Stonehill Skyhawks +6.5 18.9% 18.9% 52.4% 0.36× 5.29
Stonehill Skyhawks +5.5 16.4% 18.9% 50.3% 0.38× 5.30
Stonehill Skyhawks +4.5 14.1% 14.1% 47.8% 0.30× 7.09
Stonehill Skyhawks +3.5 12.0% 14.1% 45.8% 0.31× 7.09
Stonehill Skyhawks +2.5 10.1% 14.1% 43.3% 0.33× 7.09
Stonehill Skyhawks +1.5 8.4% 8.9% 41.3% 0.22× 11.25
Stonehill Skyhawks −1.5 5.8% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Stonehill Skyhawks −2.5 4.8% 2.6% 36.7% 0.07× 38.72
Stonehill Skyhawks −3.5 3.9% 2.6% 34.3% 0.08× 38.72
Stonehill Skyhawks −4.5 3.2% 2.6% 32.2% 0.08× 38.73
Stonehill Skyhawks −5.5 2.6% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.73
Stonehill Skyhawks −6.5 2.1% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.73
Stonehill Skyhawks −7.5 1.7% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Stonehill Skyhawks −8.5 1.3% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −9.5 1.0% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −10.5 0.8% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −20.5 0.0% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −12.5 0.5% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −14.5 0.3% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −16.5 0.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Stonehill Skyhawks −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.7% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 76.8% 78.0% 48.3% 1.62× 1.28
Stonehill Skyhawks at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 13.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Stonehill Skyhawks at HT / Stonehill Skyhawks at FT 4.2% 2.1% 30.1% 0.07× 47.72
Level at HT / Bryant Bulldogs at FT 2.8% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Bryant Bulldogs at HT / Stonehill Skyhawks at FT 2.3% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.75
Level at HT / Stonehill Skyhawks at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.79
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win 93.1% 90.6% 59.9% 1.51× 1.10
Stonehill Skyhawks to win 6.9% 9.4% 40.1% 0.23× 10.66
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Stonehill Skyhawks even 50.7% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Bryant Bulldogs odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Stonehill Skyhawks odd 49.4% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.7% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.3% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.43
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q1 69.3% 72.3% 54.7% 1.32× 1.38
Stonehill Skyhawks to win Q1 25.5% 22.4% 40.4% 0.55× 4.47
Q1 tied 5.2% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 90.6% 91.1% 81.6% 1.12× 1.10
Q1 over 21.5 86.6% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 80.7% 82.8% 68.5% 1.21× 1.21
Q1 over 24.5 74.2% 72.7% 81.8% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 under 32.5 71.4% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 63.5% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 60.4% 61.7% 48.8% 1.27× 1.62
Q1 under 29.5 54.4% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 51.6% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 48.4% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 45.6% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 39.6% 38.3% 51.2% 0.75× 2.61
Q1 under 26.5 36.5% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 28.6% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.8% 27.3% 18.2% 1.50× 3.66
Q1 over 34.5 19.3% 17.2% 31.5% 0.54× 5.83
Q1 under 21.5 13.4% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 9.4% 8.9% 18.4% 0.49× 11.21
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q2 68.8% 68.4% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Stonehill Skyhawks to win Q2 26.1% 27.7% 41.5% 0.67× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 88.8% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 88.7% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 77.5% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 77.7% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 67.7% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 25.5 67.4% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 56.2% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 27.5 55.8% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 50.2% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 49.8% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 44.2% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 29.5 43.8% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 32.6% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 32.3% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 22.5% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 33.5 22.3% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 11.3% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.90
Q2 under 20.5 11.2% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q3 70.6% 73.0% 53.3% 1.37× 1.37
Stonehill Skyhawks to win Q3 24.4% 22.5% 41.8% 0.54× 4.44
Q3 tied 5.0% 4.3% 4.9% 0.87× 23.42
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 88.6% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 23.5 87.8% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 77.9% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 76.3% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 68.2% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 28.5 66.2% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 32.5 57.0% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 54.7% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 51.2% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 48.8% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 45.3% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 43.0% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 33.8% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 31.8% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.11
Q3 under 26.5 23.7% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 22.1% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.2% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 11.4% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win Q4 70.2% 66.2% 52.8% 1.25× 1.51
Stonehill Skyhawks to win Q4 24.9% 29.1% 41.5% 0.70× 3.44
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 87.1% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 86.5% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 36.5 76.2% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 75.2% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 34.5 66.9% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 65.6% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 32.5 56.3% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 30.5 54.8% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 50.7% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 49.3% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 45.2% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 43.7% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 34.4% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 34.5 33.1% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 24.8% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 36.5 23.8% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 13.5% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Q4 over 39.5 12.9% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Stonehill Skyhawks over 42.5 90.7% 86.4% 94.8% 0.91× 1.16
Stonehill Skyhawks under 62.5 89.9% 83.9% 51.0% 1.65× 1.19
Bryant Bulldogs under 78.5 87.4% 83.9% 79.4% 1.06× 1.19
Bryant Bulldogs over 58.5 84.0% 80.7% 74.7% 1.08× 1.24
Stonehill Skyhawks under 59.5 82.6% 80.7% 41.2% 1.96× 1.24
Bryant Bulldogs under 75.5 79.5% 75.1% 73.2% 1.03× 1.33
Stonehill Skyhawks over 45.5 78.7% 75.1% 91.3% 0.82× 1.33
Stonehill Skyhawks under 57.5 76.1% 75.1% 34.9% 2.16× 1.33
Bryant Bulldogs over 61.5 75.0% 70.7% 66.9% 1.06× 1.41
Bryant Bulldogs under 73.5 73.0% 70.7% 68.5% 1.03× 1.41
Stonehill Skyhawks over 47.5 69.5% 66.4% 88.4% 0.75× 1.51
Stonehill Skyhawks under 55.5 68.4% 66.4% 29.2% 2.27× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs over 63.5 67.7% 66.4% 61.5% 1.08× 1.51
Bryant Bulldogs under 71.5 65.5% 66.4% 63.0% 1.05× 1.51
Stonehill Skyhawks over 49.5 59.8% 57.1% 85.1% 0.67× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs over 65.5 59.6% 57.1% 55.3% 1.03× 1.75
Stonehill Skyhawks under 53.5 59.6% 57.1% 23.7% 2.41× 1.75
Bryant Bulldogs under 69.5 57.3% 57.1% 57.4% 0.99× 1.75
Stonehill Skyhawks under 52.5 54.9% 52.3% 21.5% 2.43× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs over 67.5 51.2% 52.3% 48.7% 1.07× 1.91
Bryant Bulldogs under 68.5 53.1% 52.3% 54.4% 0.96× 1.91
Stonehill Skyhawks under 51.5 50.1% 52.3% 19.0% 2.75× 1.91
Stonehill Skyhawks over 51.5 49.9% 47.7% 81.0% 0.59× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs under 67.5 48.8% 47.7% 51.3% 0.93× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs over 68.5 46.9% 47.7% 45.6% 1.05× 2.09
Stonehill Skyhawks over 52.5 45.1% 47.7% 78.5% 0.61× 2.09
Bryant Bulldogs over 69.5 42.7% 42.9% 42.6% 1.01× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs under 65.5 40.4% 42.9% 44.7% 0.96× 2.33
Stonehill Skyhawks over 53.5 40.4% 42.9% 76.3% 0.56× 2.33
Stonehill Skyhawks under 49.5 40.2% 42.9% 14.9% 2.87× 2.33
Bryant Bulldogs over 71.5 34.5% 33.6% 37.0% 0.91× 2.98
Bryant Bulldogs under 63.5 32.3% 33.6% 38.5% 0.87× 2.98
Stonehill Skyhawks under 47.5 30.5% 33.6% 11.6% 2.89× 2.98
Stonehill Skyhawks over 55.5 31.6% 33.6% 70.8% 0.47× 2.98
Bryant Bulldogs over 73.5 27.0% 29.3% 31.5% 0.93× 3.42
Bryant Bulldogs under 61.5 25.0% 29.3% 33.1% 0.89× 3.42
Stonehill Skyhawks over 57.5 23.9% 24.9% 65.1% 0.38× 4.02
Stonehill Skyhawks under 45.5 21.3% 24.9% 8.7% 2.87× 4.02
Bryant Bulldogs over 75.5 20.5% 24.9% 26.8% 0.93× 4.02
Stonehill Skyhawks over 59.5 17.4% 19.3% 58.8% 0.33× 5.18
Bryant Bulldogs under 58.5 16.0% 19.3% 25.3% 0.76× 5.18
Bryant Bulldogs over 78.5 12.6% 16.1% 20.6% 0.78× 6.21
Stonehill Skyhawks over 62.5 10.1% 16.1% 49.0% 0.33× 6.21
Stonehill Skyhawks under 42.5 9.3% 13.6% 5.2% 2.62× 7.36
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 100.5 points 93.5% 88.8% 95.6% 0.93× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 93.1% 88.8% 71.8% 1.24× 1.13
Under 135.5 points 87.2% 85.0% 62.4% 1.36× 1.18
Over 105.5 points 86.2% 85.0% 91.9% 0.93× 1.18
Under 130.5 points 78.5% 75.6% 51.7% 1.46× 1.32
Over 110.5 points 75.3% 75.6% 86.4% 0.87× 1.32
Under 127.5 points 71.9% 70.8% 44.9% 1.58× 1.41
Over 113.5 points 67.4% 65.9% 81.9% 0.80× 1.52
Under 125.5 points 66.9% 65.9% 40.5% 1.63× 1.52
Over 115.5 points 61.7% 61.5% 78.8% 0.78× 1.63
Under 123.5 points 61.5% 61.5% 36.7% 1.67× 1.63
Over 117.5 points 55.8% 56.5% 75.3% 0.75× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 32.3% 1.75× 1.77
Under 120.5 points 53.0% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Under 119.5 points 50.1% 52.3% 28.4% 1.84× 1.91
Over 119.5 points 49.9% 47.7% 71.6% 0.67× 2.10
Over 120.5 points 47.0% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Under 117.5 points 44.2% 43.5% 24.7% 1.76× 2.30
Over 121.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 67.7% 0.64× 2.30
Under 115.5 points 38.3% 38.5% 21.2% 1.82× 2.60
Over 123.5 points 38.5% 38.5% 63.3% 0.61× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 32.6% 34.1% 18.1% 1.89× 2.93
Over 125.5 points 33.1% 34.1% 59.5% 0.57× 2.93
Over 127.5 points 28.1% 29.2% 55.1% 0.53× 3.43
Under 110.5 points 24.7% 24.4% 13.6% 1.80× 4.10
Over 130.5 points 21.5% 24.4% 48.3% 0.50× 4.10
Under 105.5 points 13.8% 15.0% 8.1% 1.85× 6.68
Over 135.5 points 12.8% 15.0% 37.6% 0.40× 6.69
Over 140.5 points 7.0% 11.2% 28.2% 0.40× 8.97
Under 100.5 points 6.5% 11.2% 4.4% 2.53× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs to win both halves 62.0% 60.6% 36.0% 1.68× 1.65
Stonehill Skyhawks to win both halves 1.6% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.75
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bryant Bulldogs by 11-15 18.3% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Bryant Bulldogs by 16-20 18.5% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Bryant Bulldogs by 26+ 17.2% 16.8% 12.6% 1.33× 5.97
Bryant Bulldogs by 6-10 14.6% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Bryant Bulldogs by 21-25 15.0% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Bryant Bulldogs by 1-5 9.5% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Stonehill Skyhawks by 1-5 4.3% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.29
Stonehill Skyhawks by 6-10 1.8% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.31
Stonehill Skyhawks by 11-15 0.6% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Stonehill Skyhawks by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.33
Stonehill Skyhawks by 21-25 0.0% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Stonehill Skyhawks by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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