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Bucknell Bison v Fordham Rams — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Bucknell Bison win
49.4%
Draw
0.0%
Fordham Rams win
50.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 54.76–55.01 54-55 0% 53% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bucknell Bison to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Bucknell Bison to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Fordham Rams to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win H1 48.0% 47.3% 39.9% 1.19× 2.11
Bucknell Bison to win H1 47.4% 47.3% 56.4% 0.84× 2.11
H1 tied 4.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 41.5 89.8% 87.7% 97.5% 0.90× 1.14
H1 under 65.5 89.0% 87.7% 63.9% 1.37× 1.14
H1 over 45.5 79.9% 77.4% 93.5% 0.83× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 79.5% 77.4% 49.8% 1.56× 1.29
H1 over 48.5 69.8% 67.4% 88.8% 0.76× 1.48
H1 under 58.5 69.7% 67.4% 38.6% 1.75× 1.48
H1 over 50.5 62.1% 62.7% 84.5% 0.74× 1.59
H1 under 56.5 62.3% 62.7% 31.8% 1.97× 1.59
H1 over 52.5 54.0% 52.6% 79.6% 0.66× 1.90
H1 under 54.5 54.3% 52.6% 26.0% 2.02× 1.90
H1 under 53.5 50.1% 52.6% 23.2% 2.27× 1.90
H1 over 53.5 49.9% 47.4% 76.8% 0.62× 2.11
H1 under 52.5 46.0% 47.4% 20.4% 2.32× 2.11
H1 over 54.5 45.7% 47.4% 74.0% 0.64× 2.11
H1 under 50.5 37.9% 37.3% 15.5% 2.41× 2.68
H1 over 56.5 37.7% 37.3% 68.2% 0.55× 2.68
H1 under 48.5 30.2% 32.6% 11.2% 2.92× 3.07
H1 over 58.5 30.3% 32.6% 61.4% 0.53× 3.07
H1 under 45.5 20.1% 22.6% 6.5% 3.47× 4.43
H1 over 61.5 20.6% 22.6% 50.2% 0.45× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 11.0% 12.3% 36.1% 0.34× 8.14
H1 under 41.5 10.2% 12.3% 2.5% 4.85× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win H2 48.1% 47.1% 40.6% 1.16× 2.12
Bucknell Bison to win H2 47.5% 47.1% 56.0% 0.84× 2.12
H2 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 46.5 89.0% 85.2% 97.2% 0.88× 1.17
H2 under 70.5 87.8% 85.2% 57.8% 1.47× 1.17
H2 over 50.5 79.1% 75.8% 94.0% 0.81× 1.32
H2 under 66.5 78.2% 75.8% 44.6% 1.70× 1.32
H2 over 53.5 69.3% 66.4% 89.7% 0.74× 1.51
H2 under 63.5 68.7% 66.4% 34.7% 1.91× 1.51
H2 over 55.5 61.9% 61.6% 86.1% 0.72× 1.62
H2 under 61.5 61.5% 61.6% 28.7% 2.14× 1.62
H2 over 57.5 54.1% 52.4% 82.2% 0.64× 1.91
H2 under 59.5 53.8% 52.4% 23.0% 2.28× 1.91
H2 over 58.5 50.1% 52.4% 79.6% 0.66× 1.91
H2 under 58.5 49.9% 47.6% 20.4% 2.34× 2.10
H2 under 57.5 45.9% 47.6% 17.8% 2.67× 2.10
H2 over 59.5 46.2% 47.6% 77.0% 0.62× 2.10
H2 under 55.5 38.1% 38.4% 13.9% 2.76× 2.61
H2 over 61.5 38.5% 38.4% 71.3% 0.54× 2.61
H2 under 53.5 30.7% 33.6% 10.3% 3.26× 2.97
H2 over 63.5 31.3% 33.6% 65.3% 0.51× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 21.8% 24.2% 55.4% 0.44× 4.13
H2 under 50.5 20.9% 24.2% 6.0% 4.01× 4.13
H2 over 70.5 12.2% 14.8% 42.2% 0.35× 6.76
H2 under 46.5 11.0% 14.8% 2.8% 5.22× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams leading at half time 48.0% 47.2% 39.9% 1.18× 2.12
Bucknell Bison leading at half time 47.4% 47.2% 56.4% 0.84× 2.12
Level at half time 4.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams +18.5 96.1% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Bucknell Bison +18.5 96.0% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Fordham Rams +20.5 97.5% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Bucknell Bison +20.5 97.4% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Fordham Rams +16.5 94.2% 91.1% 75.7% 1.20× 1.10
Bucknell Bison +16.5 94.0% 91.1% 89.1% 1.02× 1.10
Fordham Rams +14.5 91.6% 91.1% 72.1% 1.26× 1.10
Bucknell Bison +14.5 91.3% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Fordham Rams +12.5 88.2% 85.9% 67.9% 1.27× 1.16
Bucknell Bison +12.5 87.7% 85.9% 83.8% 1.03× 1.16
Fordham Rams +10.5 83.9% 81.1% 63.2% 1.28× 1.23
Bucknell Bison +10.5 83.3% 81.1% 80.4% 1.01× 1.23
Fordham Rams +9.5 81.4% 81.1% 60.7% 1.34× 1.23
Bucknell Bison +9.5 80.7% 81.1% 78.7% 1.03× 1.23
Fordham Rams +8.5 78.7% 76.5% 58.0% 1.32× 1.31
Bucknell Bison +8.5 78.0% 76.5% 76.5% 1.00× 1.31
Fordham Rams +7.5 75.8% 76.5% 55.2% 1.38× 1.31
Bucknell Bison +7.5 75.0% 71.6% 74.5% 0.96× 1.40
Fordham Rams +6.5 72.7% 71.6% 52.4% 1.37× 1.40
Bucknell Bison +6.5 71.8% 71.6% 72.3% 0.99× 1.40
Fordham Rams +5.5 69.3% 66.7% 50.3% 1.33× 1.50
Bucknell Bison +5.5 68.4% 66.7% 70.1% 0.95× 1.50
Fordham Rams +4.5 65.8% 66.7% 47.8% 1.39× 1.50
Bucknell Bison +4.5 64.8% 61.9% 67.8% 0.91× 1.62
Fordham Rams +3.5 62.2% 61.9% 45.8% 1.35× 1.62
Bucknell Bison +3.5 61.1% 61.9% 65.7% 0.94× 1.62
Fordham Rams +2.5 58.4% 57.1% 43.3% 1.32× 1.75
Bucknell Bison +2.5 57.3% 57.1% 63.3% 0.90× 1.75
Fordham Rams +1.5 54.5% 52.4% 41.3% 1.27× 1.91
Bucknell Bison +1.5 53.4% 52.4% 61.2% 0.86× 1.91
Fordham Rams −1.5 46.6% 47.6% 38.8% 1.23× 2.10
Bucknell Bison −1.5 45.5% 47.6% 58.7% 0.81× 2.10
Fordham Rams −2.5 42.7% 42.9% 36.7% 1.17× 2.33
Bucknell Bison −2.5 41.6% 42.9% 56.7% 0.76× 2.33
Fordham Rams −3.5 38.9% 38.1% 34.3% 1.11× 2.63
Bucknell Bison −3.5 37.8% 38.1% 54.2% 0.70× 2.63
Fordham Rams −4.5 35.2% 38.1% 32.2% 1.18× 2.63
Bucknell Bison −4.5 34.2% 33.3% 52.2% 0.64× 3.01
Fordham Rams −5.5 31.6% 33.3% 29.9% 1.11× 3.01
Bucknell Bison −5.5 30.7% 33.3% 49.7% 0.67× 3.01
Fordham Rams −6.5 28.2% 28.4% 27.7% 1.02× 3.53
Bucknell Bison −6.5 27.3% 28.4% 47.6% 0.60× 3.53
Fordham Rams −7.5 25.0% 28.4% 25.5% 1.11× 3.53
Bucknell Bison −7.5 24.2% 23.5% 44.8% 0.53× 4.25
Fordham Rams −8.5 22.0% 23.5% 23.5% 1.00× 4.25
Bucknell Bison −8.5 21.3% 23.5% 42.0% 0.56× 4.25
Bucknell Bison −9.5 18.6% 18.9% 39.3% 0.48× 5.29
Fordham Rams −9.5 19.3% 18.9% 21.3% 0.89× 5.29
Fordham Rams −10.5 16.7% 18.9% 19.6% 0.96× 5.29
Bucknell Bison −10.5 16.1% 18.9% 36.8% 0.51× 5.30
Bucknell Bison −12.5 11.8% 14.1% 32.1% 0.44× 7.09
Fordham Rams −12.5 12.3% 14.1% 16.2% 0.87× 7.09
Bucknell Bison −14.5 8.4% 8.9% 27.9% 0.32× 11.25
Fordham Rams −14.5 8.7% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Fordham Rams −16.5 6.0% 8.9% 10.9% 0.82× 11.25
Bucknell Bison −16.5 5.8% 8.9% 24.3% 0.37× 11.25
Bucknell Bison −18.5 3.9% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.73
Fordham Rams −18.5 4.0% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.72
Bucknell Bison −20.5 2.5% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.73
Fordham Rams −20.5 2.6% 2.6% 7.3% 0.36× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 69.3% 71.6% 66.7% 1.07× 1.40
1st half highest scoring 30.7% 28.4% 33.3% 0.85× 3.52
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.2% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.5% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.4% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.9% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 34.5% 33.2% 30.1% 1.10× 3.01
Bucknell Bison at HT / Bucknell Bison at FT 33.7% 33.2% 48.3% 0.69× 3.01
Bucknell Bison at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 13.7% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Fordham Rams at HT / Bucknell Bison at FT 13.5% 12.2% 9.8% 1.25× 8.17
Level at HT / Bucknell Bison at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Fordham Rams at FT 2.3% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.75
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win 50.6% 50.9% 40.1% 1.27× 1.96
Bucknell Bison to win 49.4% 49.1% 59.9% 0.82× 2.04
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 52.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Bucknell Bison even 50.3% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Fordham Rams even 50.3% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Bucknell Bison odd 49.7% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Fordham Rams odd 49.7% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.0% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 93.9% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.1% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q1 47.1% 47.6% 40.4% 1.18× 2.10
Bucknell Bison to win Q1 46.7% 47.6% 54.7% 0.87× 2.10
Q1 tied 6.2% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 35.5 90.3% 91.1% 73.2% 1.24× 1.10
Q1 over 19.5 87.2% 87.4% 95.4% 0.92× 1.14
Q1 under 32.5 80.1% 82.8% 59.1% 1.40× 1.21
Q1 over 22.5 75.0% 72.7% 88.8% 0.82× 1.38
Q1 under 30.5 70.7% 72.7% 48.8% 1.49× 1.38
Q1 over 24.5 64.3% 61.7% 81.8% 0.75× 1.62
Q1 under 28.5 59.5% 58.6% 37.3% 1.57× 1.71
Q1 under 27.5 53.6% 52.7% 32.3% 1.63× 1.90
Q1 over 26.5 52.5% 52.7% 72.9% 0.72× 1.90
Q1 under 26.5 47.5% 47.3% 27.1% 1.75× 2.11
Q1 over 27.5 46.4% 47.3% 67.7% 0.70× 2.11
Q1 over 28.5 40.5% 41.4% 62.7% 0.66× 2.42
Q1 under 24.5 35.7% 38.3% 18.2% 2.10× 2.61
Q1 over 30.5 29.3% 27.3% 51.2% 0.53× 3.66
Q1 under 22.5 25.0% 27.3% 11.2% 2.43× 3.67
Q1 over 32.5 19.9% 17.2% 40.9% 0.42× 5.82
Q1 under 19.5 12.8% 12.6% 4.6% 2.75× 7.95
Q1 over 35.5 9.8% 8.9% 26.8% 0.33× 11.20
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q2 47.2% 47.0% 41.5% 1.13× 2.13
Bucknell Bison to win Q2 46.8% 47.0% 52.9% 0.89× 2.13
Q2 tied 6.1% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 18.5 89.3% 87.3% 96.1% 0.91× 1.15
Q2 under 34.5 88.2% 87.3% 70.1% 1.25× 1.15
Q2 over 21.5 78.3% 76.8% 90.2% 0.85× 1.30
Q2 under 31.5 76.9% 76.8% 55.7% 1.38× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 68.3% 67.4% 84.6% 0.80× 1.49
Q2 under 29.5 66.8% 67.4% 44.2% 1.53× 1.49
Q2 over 25.5 56.8% 58.2% 76.2% 0.76× 1.72
Q2 under 27.5 55.3% 58.2% 33.3% 1.75× 1.72
Q2 over 26.5 50.8% 52.7% 71.6% 0.74× 1.90
Q2 under 26.5 49.2% 47.3% 28.4% 1.67× 2.11
Q2 over 27.5 44.8% 41.8% 66.7% 0.63× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 43.2% 41.8% 23.8% 1.76× 2.39
Q2 over 29.5 33.2% 32.6% 55.8% 0.58× 3.06
Q2 under 23.5 31.7% 32.6% 15.4% 2.12× 3.06
Q2 over 31.5 23.1% 23.2% 44.3% 0.52× 4.31
Q2 under 21.5 21.7% 23.2% 9.8% 2.37× 4.31
Q2 over 34.5 11.8% 12.7% 29.9% 0.42× 7.89
Q2 under 18.5 10.7% 12.7% 3.9% 3.22× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q3 47.2% 47.5% 41.8% 1.14× 2.10
Bucknell Bison to win Q3 46.8% 47.5% 53.3% 0.89× 2.10
Q3 tied 6.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 37.5 88.7% 87.2% 69.7% 1.25× 1.15
Q3 over 21.5 87.8% 87.2% 95.8% 0.91× 1.15
Q3 under 34.5 77.9% 77.3% 54.6% 1.41× 1.29
Q3 over 24.5 76.2% 77.3% 89.9% 0.86× 1.29
Q3 under 32.5 68.3% 67.8% 43.9% 1.54× 1.48
Q3 over 26.5 66.1% 67.8% 83.8% 0.81× 1.48
Q3 under 30.5 57.2% 58.4% 33.2% 1.76× 1.71
Q3 over 28.5 54.6% 52.3% 76.4% 0.68× 1.91
Q3 under 29.5 51.3% 52.3% 28.2% 1.86× 1.91
Q3 over 29.5 48.7% 47.7% 71.8% 0.66× 2.10
Q3 under 28.5 45.4% 47.7% 23.6% 2.02× 2.10
Q3 over 30.5 42.8% 41.6% 66.8% 0.62× 2.40
Q3 under 26.5 33.9% 32.2% 16.2% 1.99× 3.10
Q3 over 32.5 31.7% 32.2% 56.1% 0.57× 3.11
Q3 under 24.5 23.8% 22.7% 10.1% 2.26× 4.40
Q3 over 34.5 22.1% 22.7% 45.4% 0.50× 4.40
Q3 under 21.5 12.2% 12.8% 4.2% 3.01× 7.83
Q3 over 37.5 11.3% 12.8% 30.3% 0.42× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win Q4 47.3% 47.6% 41.5% 1.15× 2.10
Bucknell Bison to win Q4 46.9% 47.6% 52.8% 0.90× 2.10
Q4 tied 5.9% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 37.5 87.1% 85.6% 68.8% 1.24× 1.17
Q4 over 21.5 86.5% 85.6% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
Q4 under 34.5 76.3% 76.9% 54.4% 1.41× 1.30
Q4 over 24.5 75.2% 76.9% 89.0% 0.86× 1.30
Q4 under 32.5 67.0% 67.4% 44.6% 1.51× 1.48
Q4 over 26.5 65.5% 67.4% 82.6% 0.82× 1.48
Q4 under 30.5 56.4% 58.4% 33.7% 1.73× 1.71
Q4 over 28.5 54.7% 52.5% 75.1% 0.70× 1.91
Q4 under 29.5 50.9% 52.5% 29.2% 1.80× 1.91
Q4 over 29.5 49.1% 47.5% 70.8% 0.67× 2.11
Q4 under 28.5 45.3% 47.5% 24.9% 1.91× 2.11
Q4 over 30.5 43.6% 41.6% 66.3% 0.63× 2.40
Q4 under 26.5 34.5% 32.6% 17.4% 1.88× 3.07
Q4 over 32.5 33.0% 32.6% 55.4% 0.59× 3.07
Q4 under 24.5 24.8% 23.1% 11.0% 2.10× 4.33
Q4 over 34.5 23.7% 23.1% 45.6% 0.51× 4.33
Q4 under 21.5 13.5% 14.4% 5.0% 2.90× 6.95
Q4 over 37.5 12.9% 14.4% 31.2% 0.46× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bucknell Bison under 66.5 87.9% 83.9% 48.2% 1.74× 1.19
Fordham Rams under 66.5 88.0% 83.9% 62.7% 1.34× 1.19
Fordham Rams over 46.5 86.7% 83.9% 89.7% 0.94× 1.19
Bucknell Bison over 46.5 85.9% 83.9% 95.2% 0.88× 1.19
Bucknell Bison under 63.5 80.2% 80.7% 38.5% 2.09× 1.24
Fordham Rams under 63.5 80.2% 80.7% 53.9% 1.50× 1.24
Fordham Rams over 49.5 76.9% 75.1% 85.1% 0.88× 1.33
Bucknell Bison over 49.5 75.8% 75.1% 92.1% 0.82× 1.33
Bucknell Bison under 61.5 73.7% 70.7% 33.1% 2.14× 1.41
Fordham Rams under 61.5 73.5% 70.7% 47.9% 1.48× 1.41
Fordham Rams over 51.5 69.0% 66.4% 81.0% 0.82× 1.51
Bucknell Bison over 51.5 67.9% 66.4% 89.3% 0.74× 1.51
Bucknell Bison under 59.5 66.2% 66.4% 27.8% 2.38× 1.51
Fordham Rams under 59.5 65.8% 66.4% 41.2% 1.61× 1.51
Fordham Rams over 53.5 60.5% 61.2% 76.3% 0.80× 1.63
Bucknell Bison over 53.5 59.5% 57.1% 85.8% 0.67× 1.75
Bucknell Bison under 57.5 58.0% 57.1% 22.8% 2.50× 1.75
Fordham Rams under 57.5 57.4% 57.1% 34.9% 1.64× 1.75
Bucknell Bison under 56.5 53.7% 52.3% 20.5% 2.55× 1.91
Fordham Rams over 55.5 51.5% 52.3% 70.8% 0.74× 1.91
Fordham Rams under 56.5 52.9% 52.3% 32.0% 1.63× 1.91
Bucknell Bison over 55.5 50.7% 52.3% 81.6% 0.64× 1.91
Bucknell Bison under 55.5 49.3% 47.7% 18.5% 2.59× 2.09
Fordham Rams under 55.5 48.5% 47.7% 29.2% 1.63× 2.09
Fordham Rams over 56.5 47.1% 47.7% 68.0% 0.70× 2.09
Bucknell Bison over 56.5 46.3% 47.7% 79.5% 0.60× 2.09
Fordham Rams over 57.5 42.6% 42.9% 65.1% 0.66× 2.33
Bucknell Bison over 57.5 42.0% 42.9% 77.2% 0.56× 2.33
Bucknell Bison under 53.5 40.5% 42.9% 14.2% 3.02× 2.33
Fordham Rams under 53.5 39.5% 38.8% 23.7% 1.64× 2.58
Bucknell Bison over 59.5 33.8% 33.6% 72.2% 0.47× 2.98
Fordham Rams over 59.5 34.2% 33.6% 58.8% 0.57× 2.98
Bucknell Bison under 51.5 32.1% 33.6% 10.7% 3.13× 2.98
Fordham Rams under 51.5 31.0% 33.6% 19.0% 1.77× 2.98
Bucknell Bison over 61.5 26.3% 29.3% 66.9% 0.44× 3.42
Fordham Rams over 61.5 26.5% 29.3% 52.1% 0.56× 3.42
Bucknell Bison under 49.5 24.2% 24.9% 7.9% 3.15× 4.02
Fordham Rams under 49.5 23.1% 24.9% 14.9% 1.67× 4.02
Bucknell Bison over 63.5 19.8% 19.3% 61.5% 0.31× 5.18
Fordham Rams over 63.5 19.8% 19.3% 46.1% 0.42× 5.18
Bucknell Bison under 46.5 14.1% 16.1% 4.8% 3.36× 6.21
Fordham Rams under 46.5 13.3% 16.1% 10.3% 1.56× 6.21
Bucknell Bison over 66.5 12.1% 16.1% 51.8% 0.31× 6.21
Fordham Rams over 66.5 12.0% 16.1% 37.3% 0.43× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 92.5 points 94.2% 88.8% 98.7% 0.90× 1.13
Under 132.5 points 92.6% 88.8% 56.0% 1.59× 1.13
Over 97.5 points 86.5% 85.0% 96.9% 0.88× 1.18
Under 127.5 points 86.7% 85.0% 44.9% 1.89× 1.18
Under 122.5 points 77.8% 75.6% 34.4% 2.20× 1.32
Over 102.5 points 75.5% 75.6% 94.3% 0.80× 1.32
Under 119.5 points 71.3% 70.8% 28.4% 2.50× 1.41
Over 105.5 points 67.5% 65.9% 91.9% 0.72× 1.52
Under 117.5 points 66.3% 65.9% 24.7% 2.67× 1.52
Over 107.5 points 61.9% 61.5% 90.2% 0.68× 1.63
Under 115.5 points 61.0% 61.5% 21.2% 2.91× 1.63
Over 109.5 points 56.1% 56.5% 87.6% 0.65× 1.77
Under 113.5 points 55.4% 56.5% 18.1% 3.12× 1.77
Under 112.5 points 52.5% 52.3% 16.4% 3.20× 1.91
Over 111.5 points 50.3% 52.3% 85.1% 0.62× 1.91
Under 111.5 points 49.7% 47.7% 14.9% 3.19× 2.10
Over 112.5 points 47.5% 47.7% 83.6% 0.57× 2.10
Over 113.5 points 44.6% 43.5% 81.9% 0.53× 2.30
Under 109.5 points 43.9% 43.5% 12.4% 3.51× 2.30
Under 107.5 points 38.1% 38.5% 9.8% 3.92× 2.60
Over 115.5 points 39.0% 38.5% 78.8% 0.49× 2.60
Over 117.5 points 33.7% 34.1% 75.3% 0.45× 2.93
Under 105.5 points 32.5% 34.1% 8.1% 4.23× 2.93
Over 119.5 points 28.7% 29.2% 71.6% 0.41× 3.43
Under 102.5 points 24.5% 24.4% 5.7% 4.25× 4.10
Over 122.5 points 22.2% 24.4% 65.6% 0.37× 4.10
Under 97.5 points 13.5% 15.0% 3.1% 4.88× 6.69
Over 127.5 points 13.3% 15.0% 55.1% 0.27× 6.69
Over 132.5 points 7.4% 11.2% 44.0% 0.25× 8.97
Under 92.5 points 5.8% 11.2% 1.3% 8.49× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Fordham Rams to win both halves 19.2% 18.9% 20.4% 0.93× 5.30
Bucknell Bison to win both halves 18.7% 18.9% 36.0% 0.52× 5.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Bucknell Bison by 1-5 18.8% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Fordham Rams by 1-5 19.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Bucknell Bison by 6-10 14.5% 12.3% 12.9% 0.95× 8.11
Fordham Rams by 6-10 14.9% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Fordham Rams by 11-15 9.4% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Bucknell Bison by 11-15 9.1% 7.5% 10.8% 0.69× 13.40
Bucknell Bison by 16-20 4.5% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.29
Fordham Rams by 16-20 4.7% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.29
Bucknell Bison by 21-25 1.8% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.31
Fordham Rams by 21-25 1.9% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.31
Bucknell Bison by 26+ 0.7% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.32
Fordham Rams by 26+ 0.7% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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