California Golden Bears v Gonzaga Bulldogs — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 23 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated 4 Sep 2026, 03:45 UTC

California Golden Bears

05:00 UTC

Gonzaga Bulldogs

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.

California Golden Bears win

69.8%

Draw

0.0%

Gonzaga Bulldogs win

30.2%

70030

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?

A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

Model	Home / Draw / Away	Expected goals	Likeliest score	O2.5	BTTS
nba-normal	70030	72.49–66.84	73-67 0%	50%	0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section

Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to score 100+	0.2%	0.4%	1.8%	0.20×	283.31
California Golden Bears to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.6%	0.64×	283.36
California Golden Bears to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	2.91×	283.36
California Golden Bears to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	7.58×	283.36
Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.5%	0.72×	283.35
Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 110+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	4.74×	283.36
Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 120+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	18.95×	283.36
Gonzaga Bulldogs to score 130+	0.0%	0.4%	0.0%	37.89×	283.36
Both sides to score 100+	0.0%	0.4%	0.1%	6.32×	283.36

H1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win H1	60.2%	62.2%	56.4%	1.10×	1.61
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win H1	35.5%	37.8%	39.9%	0.95×	2.64
H1 tied	4.3%	3.9%	3.7%	1.05×	25.86

H1 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H1 over 54.5	88.2%	87.7%	74.0%	1.19×	1.14
H1 under 78.5	88.0%	87.7%	92.8%	0.95×	1.14
H1 over 58.5	78.5%	77.4%	61.4%	1.26×	1.29
H1 under 74.5	78.3%	77.4%	87.2%	0.89×	1.29
H1 over 61.5	68.9%	67.4%	50.2%	1.34×	1.48
H1 under 71.5	68.7%	67.4%	81.4%	0.83×	1.48
H1 over 63.5	61.7%	62.7%	42.9%	1.46×	1.59
H1 under 69.5	61.5%	62.7%	76.2%	0.82×	1.59
H1 over 65.5	54.0%	52.6%	36.1%	1.46×	1.90
H1 under 67.5	53.8%	52.6%	70.4%	0.75×	1.90
H1 over 66.5	50.1%	52.6%	32.9%	1.60×	1.90
H1 under 66.5	49.9%	47.4%	67.1%	0.71×	2.11
H1 under 65.5	46.0%	47.4%	63.9%	0.74×	2.11
H1 over 67.5	46.2%	47.4%	29.6%	1.60×	2.11
H1 under 63.5	38.3%	37.3%	57.1%	0.65×	2.68
H1 over 69.5	38.5%	37.3%	23.8%	1.56×	2.68
H1 under 61.5	31.1%	32.6%	49.8%	0.65×	3.07
H1 over 71.5	31.3%	32.6%	18.6%	1.76×	3.07
H1 under 58.5	21.5%	22.6%	38.6%	0.58×	4.43
H1 over 74.5	21.7%	22.6%	12.8%	1.76×	4.43
H1 over 78.5	12.0%	12.3%	7.2%	1.70×	8.14
H1 under 54.5	11.8%	12.3%	26.0%	0.47×	8.14

H2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win H2	61.0%	58.8%	56.0%	1.05×	1.70
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win H2	34.9%	36.3%	40.6%	0.90×	2.75
H2 tied	4.1%	3.9%	3.4%	1.16×	25.35

H2 total 22

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
H2 under 85.5	88.2%	85.2%	91.2%	0.93×	1.17
H2 over 61.5	85.7%	85.2%	71.3%	1.20×	1.17
H2 under 81.5	79.1%	75.8%	85.8%	0.88×	1.32
H2 over 65.5	75.5%	75.8%	58.8%	1.29×	1.32
H2 under 78.5	70.1%	72.2%	80.1%	0.90×	1.39
H2 over 68.5	65.8%	66.4%	48.7%	1.36×	1.51
H2 under 76.5	63.3%	61.6%	75.6%	0.81×	1.62
H2 over 70.5	58.7%	57.3%	42.2%	1.36×	1.74
H2 under 74.5	56.1%	57.3%	69.9%	0.82×	1.74
H2 under 73.5	52.4%	52.4%	67.1%	0.78×	1.91
H2 over 72.5	51.3%	52.4%	36.0%	1.46×	1.91
H2 under 72.5	48.7%	47.6%	64.1%	0.74×	2.10
H2 over 73.5	47.6%	47.6%	32.9%	1.45×	2.10
H2 over 74.5	43.9%	42.7%	30.1%	1.42×	2.34
H2 under 70.5	41.3%	42.7%	57.8%	0.74×	2.34
H2 over 76.5	36.7%	38.4%	24.4%	1.57×	2.61
H2 under 68.5	34.2%	33.6%	51.3%	0.66×	2.97
H2 over 78.5	29.9%	27.8%	19.9%	1.40×	3.59
H2 under 65.5	24.5%	24.2%	41.2%	0.59×	4.13
H2 over 81.5	20.9%	24.2%	14.2%	1.70×	4.13
H2 under 61.5	14.3%	14.8%	28.7%	0.51×	6.76
H2 over 85.5	11.8%	14.8%	8.8%	1.69×	6.76

Half time 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears leading at half time	60.2%	62.5%	56.4%	1.11×	1.60
Gonzaga Bulldogs leading at half time	35.5%	37.8%	39.9%	0.95×	2.64
Level at half time	4.3%	3.8%	3.7%	1.03×	26.40

Handicap 60

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears +14.5	96.2%	97.4%	86.7%	1.12×	1.03
California Golden Bears +16.5	97.5%	97.4%	89.1%	1.09×	1.03
California Golden Bears +18.5	98.4%	97.4%	91.1%	1.07×	1.03
California Golden Bears +20.5	99.0%	97.4%	92.7%	1.05×	1.03
California Golden Bears +12.5	94.5%	91.1%	83.8%	1.09×	1.10
California Golden Bears +10.5	92.2%	91.1%	80.4%	1.13×	1.10
California Golden Bears +9.5	90.8%	91.1%	78.7%	1.16×	1.10
Gonzaga Bulldogs +20.5	90.5%	91.1%	82.0%	1.11×	1.10
California Golden Bears +8.5	89.2%	85.9%	76.5%	1.12×	1.16
California Golden Bears +7.5	87.5%	85.9%	74.5%	1.15×	1.16
Gonzaga Bulldogs +18.5	87.0%	85.9%	79.3%	1.08×	1.16
California Golden Bears +6.5	85.5%	85.9%	72.3%	1.19×	1.16
California Golden Bears +5.5	83.4%	81.1%	70.1%	1.16×	1.23
Gonzaga Bulldogs +16.5	82.8%	81.1%	75.7%	1.07×	1.23
California Golden Bears +4.5	81.0%	81.1%	67.8%	1.20×	1.23
California Golden Bears +3.5	78.5%	76.5%	65.7%	1.16×	1.31
Gonzaga Bulldogs +14.5	77.9%	76.5%	72.1%	1.06×	1.31
California Golden Bears +2.5	75.8%	76.5%	63.3%	1.21×	1.31
California Golden Bears +1.5	72.9%	71.6%	61.2%	1.17×	1.40
Gonzaga Bulldogs +12.5	72.1%	71.6%	67.9%	1.06×	1.40
California Golden Bears −1.5	66.4%	66.7%	58.7%	1.14×	1.50
Gonzaga Bulldogs +10.5	65.7%	66.7%	63.2%	1.06×	1.50
California Golden Bears −2.5	62.9%	61.9%	56.7%	1.09×	1.62
Gonzaga Bulldogs +9.5	62.3%	61.9%	60.7%	1.02×	1.62
California Golden Bears −3.5	59.4%	57.1%	54.2%	1.05×	1.75
Gonzaga Bulldogs +8.5	58.8%	57.1%	58.0%	0.98×	1.75
California Golden Bears −4.5	55.7%	57.1%	52.2%	1.09×	1.75
Gonzaga Bulldogs +7.5	55.2%	57.1%	55.2%	1.03×	1.75
California Golden Bears −5.5	52.1%	52.4%	49.7%	1.05×	1.91
Gonzaga Bulldogs +6.5	51.6%	52.4%	52.4%	1.00×	1.91
California Golden Bears −6.5	48.4%	47.6%	47.6%	1.00×	2.10
Gonzaga Bulldogs +5.5	47.9%	47.6%	50.3%	0.95×	2.10
California Golden Bears −7.5	44.8%	42.9%	44.8%	0.96×	2.33
Gonzaga Bulldogs +4.5	44.3%	42.9%	47.8%	0.90×	2.33
California Golden Bears −8.5	41.2%	42.9%	42.0%	1.02×	2.33
Gonzaga Bulldogs +3.5	40.6%	42.9%	45.8%	0.94×	2.33
California Golden Bears −9.5	37.7%	38.1%	39.3%	0.97×	2.63
Gonzaga Bulldogs +2.5	37.1%	38.1%	43.3%	0.88×	2.63
California Golden Bears −10.5	34.3%	33.3%	36.8%	0.90×	3.01
Gonzaga Bulldogs +1.5	33.6%	33.3%	41.3%	0.81×	3.01
California Golden Bears −12.5	27.9%	28.4%	32.1%	0.88×	3.53
Gonzaga Bulldogs −1.5	27.2%	28.4%	38.8%	0.73×	3.53
Gonzaga Bulldogs −2.5	24.2%	23.5%	36.7%	0.64×	4.25
Gonzaga Bulldogs −3.5	21.5%	23.5%	34.3%	0.69×	4.25
California Golden Bears −14.5	22.1%	23.5%	27.9%	0.84×	4.25
Gonzaga Bulldogs −4.5	19.0%	18.9%	32.2%	0.59×	5.29
California Golden Bears −16.5	17.2%	18.9%	24.3%	0.78×	5.29
Gonzaga Bulldogs −5.5	16.6%	18.9%	29.9%	0.63×	5.30
Gonzaga Bulldogs −6.5	14.5%	14.1%	27.7%	0.51×	7.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs −7.5	12.5%	14.1%	25.5%	0.55×	7.09
California Golden Bears −18.5	13.0%	14.1%	20.7%	0.68×	7.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs −8.5	10.8%	14.1%	23.5%	0.60×	7.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs −9.5	9.2%	8.9%	21.3%	0.42×	11.25
California Golden Bears −20.5	9.5%	8.9%	18.0%	0.49×	11.25
Gonzaga Bulldogs −10.5	7.8%	8.9%	19.6%	0.45×	11.25
Gonzaga Bulldogs −12.5	5.5%	8.9%	16.2%	0.55×	11.25
Gonzaga Bulldogs −14.5	3.8%	2.6%	13.3%	0.19×	38.73
Gonzaga Bulldogs −16.5	2.5%	2.6%	10.9%	0.24×	38.73
Gonzaga Bulldogs −18.5	1.6%	2.6%	8.9%	0.29×	38.73
Gonzaga Bulldogs −20.5	1.0%	2.6%	7.3%	0.35×	38.74

Highest scoring half 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
2nd half highest scoring	73.3%	67.1%	66.7%	1.01×	1.49
1st half highest scoring	26.7%	32.9%	33.3%	0.99×	3.04

Highest scoring quarter 4

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 highest scoring	34.9%	31.9%	31.2%	1.02×	3.14
Q3 highest scoring	33.1%	31.9%	31.3%	1.02×	3.14
Q1 highest scoring	16.8%	18.3%	19.6%	0.94×	5.46
Q2 highest scoring	15.2%	18.3%	17.9%	1.02×	5.46

HT/FT 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears at HT / California Golden Bears at FT	51.3%	51.1%	48.3%	1.06×	1.96
Gonzaga Bulldogs at HT / Gonzaga Bulldogs at FT	19.9%	15.5%	30.1%	0.51×	6.47
Gonzaga Bulldogs at HT / California Golden Bears at FT	15.6%	15.4%	9.8%	1.58×	6.47
California Golden Bears at HT / Gonzaga Bulldogs at FT	8.9%	8.3%	8.2%	1.01×	12.08
Level at HT / California Golden Bears at FT	2.8%	2.1%	1.9%	1.09×	47.74
Level at HT / Gonzaga Bulldogs at FT	1.5%	2.1%	1.8%	1.20×	47.77

Moneyline 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win	69.8%	64.5%	59.9%	1.08×	1.55
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win	30.2%	35.5%	40.1%	0.89×	2.82

Odd/Even 6

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Total points odd	51.6%	50.5%	51.5%	0.98×	1.98
California Golden Bears even	50.0%	50.5%	49.4%	1.02×	1.98
Gonzaga Bulldogs even	50.0%	50.5%	50.1%	1.01×	1.98
California Golden Bears odd	50.0%	49.5%	50.6%	0.98×	2.02
Gonzaga Bulldogs odd	50.0%	49.5%	49.9%	0.99×	2.02
Total points even	48.4%	49.5%	48.5%	1.02×	2.02

Overtime 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
No overtime	94.4%	94.0%	95.6%	0.98×	1.06
Match to go to overtime	5.6%	6.0%	4.4%	1.35×	16.66

Q1 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win Q1	55.5%	57.2%	54.7%	1.05×	1.75
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q1	38.6%	38.3%	40.4%	0.95×	2.61
Q1 tied	6.0%	5.5%	4.9%	1.11×	18.32

Q1 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q1 under 41.5	88.2%	87.4%	91.9%	0.95×	1.14
Q1 over 25.5	87.9%	87.4%	77.6%	1.13×	1.14
Q1 under 38.5	77.2%	76.9%	84.8%	0.91×	1.30
Q1 over 28.5	76.7%	76.9%	62.7%	1.23×	1.30
Q1 under 36.5	67.4%	67.6%	77.4%	0.87×	1.48
Q1 over 30.5	66.8%	67.6%	51.2%	1.32×	1.48
Q1 under 34.5	56.2%	58.6%	68.5%	0.86×	1.71
Q1 over 32.5	55.5%	58.6%	40.9%	1.43×	1.71
Q1 under 33.5	50.3%	52.7%	64.0%	0.82×	1.90
Q1 over 33.5	49.7%	47.3%	36.0%	1.31×	2.11
Q1 under 32.5	44.5%	41.4%	59.1%	0.70×	2.42
Q1 over 34.5	43.8%	41.4%	31.5%	1.31×	2.42
Q1 under 30.5	33.2%	32.4%	48.8%	0.67×	3.08
Q1 over 36.5	32.6%	32.4%	22.6%	1.44×	3.08
Q1 under 28.5	23.3%	23.1%	37.3%	0.62×	4.33
Q1 over 38.5	22.8%	23.1%	15.2%	1.52×	4.33
Q1 under 25.5	12.1%	12.6%	22.4%	0.56×	7.95
Q1 over 41.5	11.8%	12.6%	8.1%	1.56×	7.95

Q2 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win Q2	55.3%	59.4%	52.9%	1.12×	1.69
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q2	38.9%	35.8%	41.5%	0.86×	2.80
Q2 tied	5.9%	6.1%	5.7%	1.07×	16.49

Q2 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q2 under 41.5	89.2%	87.3%	92.7%	0.94×	1.15
Q2 over 25.5	86.9%	87.3%	76.2%	1.15×	1.15
Q2 under 38.5	78.7%	76.8%	85.6%	0.90×	1.30
Q2 over 28.5	75.1%	76.8%	61.2%	1.26×	1.30
Q2 under 36.5	69.2%	67.4%	78.7%	0.86×	1.48
Q2 over 30.5	64.9%	60.7%	49.9%	1.22×	1.65
Q2 under 34.5	58.2%	58.2%	70.1%	0.83×	1.72
Q2 over 32.5	53.5%	52.7%	39.2%	1.34×	1.90
Q2 under 33.5	52.4%	52.7%	65.6%	0.80×	1.90
Q2 over 33.5	47.6%	47.3%	34.4%	1.38×	2.11
Q2 under 32.5	46.5%	47.3%	60.8%	0.78×	2.11
Q2 over 34.5	41.8%	41.8%	29.9%	1.40×	2.39
Q2 under 30.5	35.1%	39.3%	50.1%	0.78×	2.55
Q2 over 36.5	30.8%	32.6%	21.3%	1.53×	3.06
Q2 under 28.5	24.9%	23.2%	38.8%	0.60×	4.31
Q2 over 38.5	21.3%	23.2%	14.4%	1.61×	4.31
Q2 under 25.5	13.1%	12.7%	23.8%	0.53×	7.89
Q2 over 41.5	10.8%	12.7%	7.3%	1.72×	7.90

Q3 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win Q3	56.0%	56.8%	53.3%	1.07×	1.76
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q3	38.2%	38.8%	41.8%	0.93×	2.58
Q3 tied	5.8%	5.3%	4.9%	1.07×	18.97

Q3 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q3 under 44.5	87.7%	87.2%	92.1%	0.95×	1.15
Q3 over 28.5	87.1%	87.2%	76.4%	1.14×	1.15
Q3 under 41.5	76.8%	77.3%	85.1%	0.91×	1.29
Q3 over 31.5	75.9%	77.3%	61.6%	1.25×	1.29
Q3 under 39.5	67.2%	67.8%	77.9%	0.87×	1.48
Q3 over 33.5	66.1%	67.8%	50.9%	1.33×	1.48
Q3 under 37.5	56.3%	58.4%	69.7%	0.84×	1.71
Q3 over 35.5	55.1%	58.4%	40.3%	1.45×	1.71
Q3 under 36.5	50.6%	52.3%	64.6%	0.81×	1.91
Q3 over 36.5	49.4%	47.7%	35.4%	1.35×	2.10
Q3 under 35.5	44.9%	41.6%	59.7%	0.70×	2.40
Q3 over 37.5	43.7%	41.6%	30.3%	1.37×	2.40
Q3 under 33.5	33.9%	32.2%	49.1%	0.66×	3.10
Q3 over 39.5	32.8%	32.2%	22.1%	1.46×	3.10
Q3 under 31.5	24.1%	22.7%	38.4%	0.59×	4.40
Q3 over 41.5	23.2%	22.7%	14.9%	1.53×	4.40
Q3 under 28.5	12.9%	12.8%	23.6%	0.54×	7.83
Q3 over 44.5	12.3%	12.8%	7.9%	1.63×	7.83

Q4 result 3

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win Q4	55.9%	52.0%	52.8%	0.99×	1.92
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win Q4	38.4%	42.4%	41.5%	1.02×	2.36
Q4 tied	5.7%	5.8%	5.7%	1.02×	17.25

Q4 total 18

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Q4 over 28.5	86.0%	85.6%	75.1%	1.14×	1.17
Q4 under 44.5	86.2%	85.6%	90.6%	0.95×	1.17
Q4 under 41.5	75.2%	76.9%	83.6%	0.92×	1.30
Q4 over 31.5	74.9%	71.5%	61.1%	1.17×	1.40
Q4 under 39.5	65.9%	67.4%	77.0%	0.88×	1.48
Q4 over 33.5	65.6%	67.4%	50.4%	1.34×	1.48
Q4 under 37.5	55.6%	58.4%	68.8%	0.85×	1.71
Q4 over 35.5	55.2%	58.4%	40.6%	1.44×	1.71
Q4 under 36.5	50.2%	52.5%	64.3%	0.82×	1.91
Q4 over 36.5	49.8%	47.5%	35.7%	1.33×	2.11
Q4 under 35.5	44.8%	41.6%	59.4%	0.70×	2.40
Q4 over 37.5	44.4%	41.6%	31.2%	1.33×	2.40
Q4 under 33.5	34.4%	32.6%	49.6%	0.66×	3.07
Q4 over 39.5	34.1%	32.6%	23.0%	1.41×	3.07
Q4 under 31.5	25.1%	28.5%	38.9%	0.73×	3.51
Q4 over 41.5	24.8%	23.1%	16.4%	1.41×	4.33
Q4 under 28.5	14.0%	14.4%	24.9%	0.58×	6.95
Q4 over 44.5	13.8%	14.4%	9.4%	1.53×	6.95

Team total 44

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 77.5	87.5%	83.9%	87.2%	0.96×	1.19
California Golden Bears over 62.5	85.4%	83.9%	64.3%	1.31×	1.19
California Golden Bears under 82.5	85.0%	80.7%	86.2%	0.94×	1.24
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 57.5	84.1%	80.7%	65.1%	1.24×	1.24
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 74.5	79.6%	75.1%	82.3%	0.91×	1.33
California Golden Bears over 65.5	77.1%	75.1%	55.3%	1.36×	1.33
California Golden Bears under 79.5	76.4%	75.1%	81.3%	0.92×	1.33
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 60.5	75.0%	70.7%	55.6%	1.27×	1.41
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 72.5	73.1%	70.7%	78.2%	0.90×	1.41
California Golden Bears over 67.5	70.3%	70.7%	48.7%	1.45×	1.41
California Golden Bears under 77.5	69.5%	66.4%	77.4%	0.86×	1.51
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 62.5	67.7%	66.4%	49.0%	1.35×	1.51
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 70.5	65.6%	66.4%	73.7%	0.90×	1.51
California Golden Bears over 69.5	62.8%	61.2%	42.6%	1.44×	1.63
California Golden Bears under 75.5	61.8%	61.2%	73.2%	0.84×	1.63
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 64.5	59.6%	57.1%	43.2%	1.32×	1.75
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 68.5	57.4%	57.1%	68.6%	0.83×	1.75
California Golden Bears over 71.5	54.7%	52.3%	37.0%	1.41×	1.91
California Golden Bears under 73.5	53.7%	52.3%	68.5%	0.76×	1.91
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 66.5	51.1%	52.3%	37.3%	1.40×	1.91
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 67.5	53.2%	52.3%	65.6%	0.80×	1.91
California Golden Bears over 72.5	50.5%	52.3%	34.3%	1.52×	1.91
California Golden Bears under 72.5	49.5%	47.7%	65.7%	0.73×	2.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 66.5	48.9%	47.7%	62.7%	0.76×	2.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 67.5	46.8%	47.7%	34.4%	1.39×	2.09
California Golden Bears under 71.5	45.4%	47.7%	63.0%	0.76×	2.09
California Golden Bears over 73.5	46.3%	47.7%	31.5%	1.51×	2.09
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 68.5	42.6%	42.9%	31.4%	1.37×	2.33
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 64.5	40.4%	42.9%	56.9%	0.75×	2.33
California Golden Bears over 75.5	38.2%	38.8%	26.8%	1.45×	2.58
California Golden Bears under 69.5	37.2%	38.8%	57.4%	0.68×	2.58
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 70.5	34.4%	33.6%	26.3%	1.28×	2.98
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 62.5	32.3%	33.6%	51.0%	0.66×	2.98
California Golden Bears over 77.5	30.5%	33.6%	22.6%	1.49×	2.98
California Golden Bears under 67.5	29.7%	29.3%	51.3%	0.57×	3.42
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 72.5	26.9%	29.3%	21.8%	1.34×	3.42
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 60.5	25.0%	29.3%	44.4%	0.66×	3.42
California Golden Bears under 65.5	22.9%	24.9%	44.7%	0.56×	4.02
California Golden Bears over 79.5	23.6%	24.9%	18.7%	1.33×	4.02
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 74.5	20.4%	24.9%	17.7%	1.40×	4.02
Gonzaga Bulldogs under 57.5	15.9%	19.3%	34.9%	0.55×	5.18
California Golden Bears over 82.5	15.1%	19.3%	13.8%	1.40×	5.18
California Golden Bears under 62.5	14.6%	16.1%	35.7%	0.45×	6.21
Gonzaga Bulldogs over 77.5	12.5%	16.1%	12.8%	1.26×	6.21

Total points 30

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
Over 119.5 points	90.7%	88.8%	71.6%	1.24×	1.13
Under 159.5 points	90.9%	88.8%	93.3%	0.95×	1.13
Under 154.5 points	84.2%	80.6%	89.8%	0.90×	1.24
Over 124.5 points	83.9%	80.6%	61.5%	1.31×	1.24
Over 129.5 points	74.4%	70.8%	50.5%	1.40×	1.41
Under 149.5 points	74.9%	70.8%	84.9%	0.83×	1.41
Over 132.5 points	67.6%	65.9%	44.0%	1.50×	1.52
Under 146.5 points	68.1%	65.9%	80.9%	0.81×	1.52
Under 144.5 points	63.3%	61.5%	78.1%	0.79×	1.63
Over 134.5 points	62.7%	61.5%	39.8%	1.54×	1.63
Over 136.5 points	57.6%	56.5%	35.8%	1.58×	1.77
Under 142.5 points	58.2%	56.5%	75.1%	0.75×	1.77
Over 138.5 points	52.4%	52.3%	32.1%	1.63×	1.91
Under 140.5 points	52.9%	52.3%	71.8%	0.73×	1.91
Under 139.5 points	50.4%	52.3%	69.9%	0.75×	1.91
Over 139.5 points	49.6%	47.7%	30.1%	1.58×	2.10
Under 138.5 points	47.6%	47.7%	67.9%	0.70×	2.10
Over 140.5 points	47.1%	47.7%	28.2%	1.69×	2.10
Under 136.5 points	42.4%	43.5%	64.2%	0.68×	2.30
Over 142.5 points	41.8%	43.5%	24.9%	1.75×	2.30
Under 134.5 points	37.3%	38.5%	60.2%	0.64×	2.60
Over 144.5 points	36.7%	38.5%	21.9%	1.76×	2.60
Under 132.5 points	32.4%	34.1%	56.0%	0.61×	2.93
Over 146.5 points	31.9%	34.1%	19.1%	1.79×	2.93
Under 129.5 points	25.6%	29.2%	49.5%	0.59×	3.43
Over 149.5 points	25.1%	29.2%	15.1%	1.94×	3.43
Under 124.5 points	16.1%	19.4%	38.5%	0.50×	5.15
Over 154.5 points	15.8%	19.4%	10.2%	1.91×	5.15
Under 119.5 points	9.3%	11.2%	28.4%	0.39×	8.96
Over 159.5 points	9.1%	11.2%	6.7%	1.67×	8.96

Win both halves 2

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears to win both halves	34.1%	31.3%	36.0%	0.87×	3.20
Gonzaga Bulldogs to win both halves	10.0%	14.0%	20.4%	0.69×	7.13

Winning margin 12

Selection	Model	Calibrated	Base	Lift	Fair odds
California Golden Bears by 1-5	17.7%	16.8%	10.2%	1.64×	5.97
California Golden Bears by 6-10	17.8%	16.8%	12.9%	1.30×	5.97
California Golden Bears by 11-15	14.7%	12.3%	10.8%	1.14×	8.11
Gonzaga Bulldogs by 1-5	13.6%	12.3%	10.2%	1.21×	8.11
California Golden Bears by 16-20	10.0%	12.3%	8.0%	1.53×	8.11
Gonzaga Bulldogs by 6-10	8.8%	7.5%	10.3%	0.72×	13.40
California Golden Bears by 21-25	5.6%	7.5%	5.4%	1.39×	13.40
Gonzaga Bulldogs by 11-15	4.7%	2.0%	7.6%	0.27×	49.29
California Golden Bears by 26+	3.9%	2.0%	12.6%	0.16×	49.29
Gonzaga Bulldogs by 16-20	2.1%	2.0%	4.8%	0.43×	49.31
Gonzaga Bulldogs by 21-25	0.7%	2.0%	2.7%	0.76×	49.32
Gonzaga Bulldogs by 26+	0.3%	2.0%	4.6%	0.44×	49.33

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