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Campbell Fighting Camels v Radford Highlanders — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Wednesday 11 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Campbell Fighting Camels win
60.2%
Draw
0.0%
Radford Highlanders win
39.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 59.70–56.83 60-57 0% 53% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Campbell Fighting Camels to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Radford Highlanders to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Radford Highlanders to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Radford Highlanders to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Radford Highlanders to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win H1 53.8% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Radford Highlanders to win H1 41.7% 42.7% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
H1 tied 4.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.85
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 68.5 89.1% 87.7% 73.5% 1.19× 1.14
H1 over 44.5 88.5% 87.7% 94.7% 0.93× 1.14
H1 under 64.5 79.8% 77.4% 60.7% 1.28× 1.29
H1 over 48.5 78.3% 77.4% 88.8% 0.87× 1.29
H1 under 61.5 70.4% 73.5% 49.8% 1.48× 1.36
H1 over 51.5 68.2% 67.4% 82.0% 0.82× 1.48
H1 under 59.5 63.2% 62.7% 42.2% 1.49× 1.59
H1 over 53.5 60.6% 62.7% 76.8% 0.82× 1.59
H1 under 57.5 55.4% 58.2% 35.2% 1.65× 1.72
H1 over 55.5 52.7% 52.6% 71.0% 0.74× 1.90
H1 under 56.5 51.4% 52.6% 31.8% 1.66× 1.90
H1 over 56.5 48.6% 47.4% 68.2% 0.69× 2.11
H1 under 55.5 47.3% 47.4% 29.0% 1.63× 2.11
H1 over 57.5 44.6% 41.8% 64.8% 0.64× 2.39
H1 under 53.5 39.4% 37.3% 23.2% 1.61× 2.68
H1 over 59.5 36.8% 37.3% 57.8% 0.64× 2.68
H1 under 51.5 31.8% 32.6% 18.0% 1.81× 3.07
H1 over 61.5 29.6% 26.5% 50.2% 0.53× 3.77
H1 under 48.5 21.7% 22.6% 11.2% 2.02× 4.43
H1 over 64.5 20.2% 22.6% 39.3% 0.57× 4.43
H1 under 44.5 11.5% 12.3% 5.3% 2.34× 8.14
H1 over 68.5 10.9% 12.3% 26.5% 0.46× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win H2 54.3% 51.2% 56.0% 0.91× 1.95
Radford Highlanders to win H2 41.4% 43.5% 40.6% 1.07× 2.30
H2 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 49.5 88.1% 85.2% 95.0% 0.90× 1.17
H2 under 73.5 87.4% 85.2% 67.1% 1.27× 1.17
H2 over 53.5 78.3% 75.8% 89.7% 0.85× 1.32
H2 under 69.5 77.9% 75.8% 54.8% 1.38× 1.32
H2 over 56.5 68.6% 66.4% 84.1% 0.79× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 68.5% 66.4% 44.6% 1.49× 1.51
H2 over 58.5 61.4% 61.6% 79.6% 0.77× 1.62
H2 under 64.5 61.4% 61.6% 37.9% 1.63× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 53.8% 52.4% 74.5% 0.70× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 53.9% 52.4% 31.7% 1.65× 1.91
H2 under 61.5 50.0% 52.4% 28.7% 1.82× 1.91
H2 over 61.5 50.0% 47.6% 71.3% 0.67× 2.10
H2 under 60.5 46.2% 47.6% 25.5% 1.87× 2.10
H2 over 62.5 46.1% 47.6% 68.3% 0.70× 2.10
H2 under 58.5 38.6% 38.4% 20.4% 1.88× 2.61
H2 over 64.5 38.6% 38.4% 62.1% 0.62× 2.61
H2 under 56.5 31.4% 33.6% 15.9% 2.12× 2.97
H2 over 66.5 31.5% 33.6% 55.4% 0.61× 2.97
H2 under 53.5 21.7% 24.2% 10.3% 2.34× 4.13
H2 over 69.5 22.1% 24.2% 45.2% 0.54× 4.13
H2 under 49.5 11.9% 14.8% 5.0% 2.94× 6.76
H2 over 73.5 12.6% 14.8% 32.9% 0.45× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels leading at half time 53.8% 51.9% 56.4% 0.92× 1.93
Radford Highlanders leading at half time 41.7% 42.8% 39.9% 1.07× 2.34
Level at half time 4.5% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels +16.5 96.1% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Campbell Fighting Camels +18.5 97.5% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Campbell Fighting Camels +20.5 98.4% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Campbell Fighting Camels +14.5 94.2% 91.1% 86.7% 1.05× 1.10
Radford Highlanders +20.5 94.9% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Radford Highlanders +18.5 92.6% 91.1% 79.3% 1.15× 1.10
Campbell Fighting Camels +12.5 91.7% 91.1% 83.8% 1.09× 1.10
Campbell Fighting Camels +10.5 88.5% 85.9% 80.4% 1.07× 1.16
Radford Highlanders +16.5 89.6% 85.9% 75.7% 1.13× 1.16
Campbell Fighting Camels +9.5 86.5% 85.9% 78.7% 1.09× 1.16
Radford Highlanders +14.5 85.8% 85.9% 72.1% 1.19× 1.16
Campbell Fighting Camels +8.5 84.4% 81.1% 76.5% 1.06× 1.23
Campbell Fighting Camels +7.5 82.0% 81.1% 74.5% 1.09× 1.23
Radford Highlanders +12.5 81.1% 81.1% 67.9% 1.20× 1.23
Campbell Fighting Camels +6.5 79.5% 76.5% 72.3% 1.06× 1.31
Campbell Fighting Camels +5.5 76.7% 76.5% 70.1% 1.09× 1.31
Radford Highlanders +10.5 75.6% 76.5% 63.2% 1.21× 1.31
Campbell Fighting Camels +4.5 73.7% 71.6% 67.8% 1.06× 1.40
Radford Highlanders +9.5 72.5% 71.6% 60.7% 1.18× 1.40
Campbell Fighting Camels +3.5 70.6% 71.6% 65.7% 1.09× 1.40
Radford Highlanders +8.5 69.3% 66.7% 58.0% 1.15× 1.50
Campbell Fighting Camels +2.5 67.2% 66.7% 63.3% 1.05× 1.50
Radford Highlanders +7.5 65.9% 66.7% 55.2% 1.21× 1.50
Campbell Fighting Camels +1.5 63.8% 61.9% 61.2% 1.01× 1.62
Radford Highlanders +6.5 62.4% 61.9% 52.4% 1.18× 1.62
Radford Highlanders +5.5 58.7% 57.1% 50.3% 1.13× 1.75
Campbell Fighting Camels −1.5 56.4% 57.1% 58.7% 0.97× 1.75
Radford Highlanders +4.5 55.0% 57.1% 47.8% 1.19× 1.75
Campbell Fighting Camels −2.5 52.6% 52.4% 56.7% 0.92× 1.91
Radford Highlanders +3.5 51.2% 52.4% 45.8% 1.14× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels −3.5 48.8% 47.6% 54.2% 0.88× 2.10
Radford Highlanders +2.5 47.4% 47.6% 43.3% 1.10× 2.10
Campbell Fighting Camels −4.5 45.0% 42.9% 52.2% 0.82× 2.33
Radford Highlanders +1.5 43.6% 42.9% 41.3% 1.04× 2.33
Campbell Fighting Camels −5.5 41.3% 42.9% 49.7% 0.86× 2.33
Campbell Fighting Camels −6.5 37.6% 38.1% 47.6% 0.80× 2.63
Radford Highlanders −1.5 36.2% 38.1% 38.8% 0.98× 2.63
Campbell Fighting Camels −7.5 34.1% 33.3% 44.8% 0.74× 3.01
Radford Highlanders −2.5 32.8% 33.3% 36.7% 0.91× 3.01
Campbell Fighting Camels −8.5 30.7% 33.3% 42.0% 0.79× 3.01
Radford Highlanders −3.5 29.4% 28.4% 34.3% 0.83× 3.53
Campbell Fighting Camels −9.5 27.5% 28.4% 39.3% 0.72× 3.53
Radford Highlanders −4.5 26.3% 28.4% 32.2% 0.88× 3.53
Campbell Fighting Camels −10.5 24.4% 23.5% 36.8% 0.64× 4.25
Radford Highlanders −5.5 23.3% 23.5% 29.9% 0.79× 4.25
Radford Highlanders −6.5 20.5% 23.5% 27.7% 0.85× 4.25
Campbell Fighting Camels −12.5 18.9% 18.9% 32.1% 0.59× 5.29
Radford Highlanders −7.5 18.0% 18.9% 25.5% 0.74× 5.29
Radford Highlanders −8.5 15.6% 18.9% 23.5% 0.80× 5.30
Radford Highlanders −9.5 13.5% 14.1% 21.3% 0.66× 7.09
Campbell Fighting Camels −14.5 14.2% 14.1% 27.9% 0.51× 7.09
Radford Highlanders −10.5 11.5% 14.1% 19.6% 0.72× 7.09
Campbell Fighting Camels −16.5 10.4% 14.1% 24.3% 0.58× 7.09
Radford Highlanders −12.5 8.3% 8.9% 16.2% 0.55× 11.25
Campbell Fighting Camels −18.5 7.4% 8.9% 20.7% 0.43× 11.25
Radford Highlanders −14.5 5.8% 8.9% 13.3% 0.67× 11.25
Campbell Fighting Camels −20.5 5.1% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Radford Highlanders −16.5 3.9% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Radford Highlanders −18.5 2.5% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
Radford Highlanders −20.5 1.6% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.1% 67.0% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.9% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.6% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 31.9% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 18.0% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.5% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels at HT / Campbell Fighting Camels at FT 42.5% 41.0% 48.3% 0.85× 2.44
Radford Highlanders at HT / Radford Highlanders at FT 26.7% 29.6% 30.1% 0.98× 3.38
Radford Highlanders at HT / Campbell Fighting Camels at FT 15.0% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Campbell Fighting Camels at HT / Radford Highlanders at FT 11.3% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.18
Level at HT / Campbell Fighting Camels at FT 2.6% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.75
Level at HT / Radford Highlanders at FT 1.9% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.76
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win 60.2% 60.6% 59.9% 1.01× 1.65
Radford Highlanders to win 39.8% 39.4% 40.1% 0.98× 2.54
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.9% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Campbell Fighting Camels even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Radford Highlanders even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Campbell Fighting Camels odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Radford Highlanders odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.0% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 6.0% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win Q1 51.1% 52.6% 54.7% 0.96× 1.90
Radford Highlanders to win Q1 42.8% 42.9% 40.4% 1.06× 2.33
Q1 tied 6.1% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.31
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 36.5 89.1% 87.4% 77.4% 1.13× 1.14
Q1 over 20.5 87.9% 87.4% 93.7% 0.93× 1.14
Q1 under 33.5 78.4% 76.9% 64.0% 1.20× 1.30
Q1 over 23.5 76.3% 76.9% 85.4% 0.90× 1.30
Q1 under 31.5 68.6% 67.6% 54.0% 1.25× 1.48
Q1 over 25.5 66.1% 67.6% 77.6% 0.87× 1.48
Q1 under 29.5 57.4% 58.6% 43.1% 1.36× 1.71
Q1 over 27.5 54.5% 52.7% 67.7% 0.78× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 51.5% 52.7% 37.3% 1.41× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 48.5% 47.3% 62.7% 0.76× 2.11
Q1 under 27.5 45.5% 47.3% 32.3% 1.47× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 42.6% 41.4% 56.9% 0.73× 2.42
Q1 under 25.5 33.9% 32.4% 22.4% 1.45× 3.08
Q1 over 31.5 31.4% 32.4% 46.0% 0.70× 3.08
Q1 under 23.5 23.7% 23.1% 14.6% 1.58× 4.33
Q1 over 33.5 21.6% 23.1% 36.0% 0.64× 4.33
Q1 under 20.5 12.1% 12.6% 6.3% 1.99× 7.95
Q1 over 36.5 10.9% 12.6% 22.6% 0.56× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win Q2 51.0% 51.4% 52.9% 0.97× 1.95
Radford Highlanders to win Q2 43.0% 43.9% 41.5% 1.06× 2.28
Q2 tied 6.0% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 36.5 89.9% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 20.5 87.0% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 33.5 79.6% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 23.5 74.9% 72.0% 84.6% 0.85× 1.39
Q2 under 31.5 70.2% 72.0% 55.7% 1.29× 1.39
Q2 over 25.5 64.4% 60.7% 76.2% 0.80× 1.65
Q2 under 29.5 59.1% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 under 28.5 53.2% 52.7% 38.8% 1.36× 1.90
Q2 over 27.5 52.8% 52.7% 66.7% 0.79× 1.90
Q2 under 27.5 47.2% 47.3% 33.3% 1.42× 2.11
Q2 over 28.5 46.8% 47.3% 61.2% 0.77× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 40.9% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 25.5 35.6% 39.3% 23.8% 1.65× 2.55
Q2 over 31.5 29.8% 28.0% 44.3% 0.63× 3.57
Q2 under 23.5 25.1% 28.0% 15.4% 1.82× 3.57
Q2 over 33.5 20.4% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 20.5 13.0% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.89
Q2 over 36.5 10.1% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win Q3 51.4% 52.7% 53.3% 0.99× 1.90
Radford Highlanders to win Q3 42.7% 42.3% 41.8% 1.01× 2.37
Q3 tied 5.9% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 89.8% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 23.5 85.7% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 79.9% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 73.3% 71.8% 83.8% 0.86× 1.39
Q3 under 34.5 70.8% 71.8% 54.6% 1.31× 1.39
Q3 over 28.5 62.9% 61.9% 76.4% 0.81× 1.61
Q3 under 32.5 60.1% 61.9% 43.9% 1.41× 1.62
Q3 under 31.5 54.4% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 30.5 51.4% 52.3% 66.8% 0.78× 1.91
Q3 under 30.5 48.6% 47.7% 33.2% 1.44× 2.10
Q3 over 31.5 45.6% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 39.9% 38.1% 56.1% 0.68× 2.63
Q3 under 28.5 37.1% 38.1% 23.6% 1.61× 2.63
Q3 over 34.5 29.2% 28.2% 45.4% 0.62× 3.55
Q3 under 26.5 26.7% 28.2% 16.2% 1.74× 3.55
Q3 over 36.5 20.1% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 14.3% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 10.2% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win Q4 51.4% 51.4% 52.8% 0.97× 1.95
Radford Highlanders to win Q4 42.8% 43.1% 41.5% 1.04× 2.32
Q4 tied 5.8% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 39.5 88.3% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 23.5 84.5% 82.0% 91.2% 0.90× 1.22
Q4 under 36.5 78.3% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 26.5 72.4% 71.5% 82.6% 0.87× 1.40
Q4 under 34.5 69.4% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 28.5 62.5% 61.4% 75.1% 0.82× 1.63
Q4 under 32.5 59.2% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 53.8% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 30.5 51.7% 52.5% 66.3% 0.79× 1.91
Q4 under 30.5 48.3% 47.5% 33.7% 1.41× 2.11
Q4 over 31.5 46.2% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 40.8% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 37.5% 38.6% 24.9% 1.55× 2.59
Q4 over 34.5 30.6% 32.6% 45.6% 0.71× 3.07
Q4 under 26.5 27.6% 28.5% 17.4% 1.64× 3.51
Q4 over 36.5 21.7% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 15.6% 18.0% 8.8% 2.03× 5.56
Q4 over 39.5 11.7% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels under 70.5 86.3% 83.9% 60.3% 1.39× 1.19
Radford Highlanders over 47.5 87.0% 83.9% 88.4% 0.95× 1.19
Radford Highlanders under 67.5 86.8% 83.9% 65.6% 1.28× 1.19
Campbell Fighting Camels over 50.5 85.2% 83.9% 90.8% 0.92× 1.19
Campbell Fighting Camels under 67.5 78.2% 75.1% 51.3% 1.46× 1.33
Radford Highlanders over 50.5 77.7% 75.1% 83.1% 0.90× 1.33
Radford Highlanders under 64.5 78.6% 75.1% 56.9% 1.32× 1.33
Campbell Fighting Camels over 53.5 76.3% 75.1% 85.8% 0.88× 1.33
Radford Highlanders under 62.5 71.8% 70.7% 51.0% 1.39× 1.41
Campbell Fighting Camels under 65.5 71.4% 70.7% 44.7% 1.58× 1.41
Radford Highlanders over 52.5 70.2% 70.7% 78.5% 0.90× 1.41
Campbell Fighting Camels over 55.5 69.1% 66.4% 81.6% 0.81× 1.51
Campbell Fighting Camels under 63.5 63.9% 61.2% 38.5% 1.59× 1.63
Radford Highlanders under 60.5 64.0% 61.2% 44.4% 1.38× 1.63
Campbell Fighting Camels over 57.5 61.1% 61.2% 77.2% 0.79× 1.63
Radford Highlanders over 54.5 62.0% 61.2% 73.5% 0.83× 1.63
Campbell Fighting Camels under 61.5 55.7% 57.1% 33.1% 1.73× 1.75
Radford Highlanders under 58.5 55.5% 57.1% 37.9% 1.51× 1.75
Campbell Fighting Camels over 59.5 52.8% 52.3% 72.2% 0.72× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels under 60.5 51.5% 52.3% 30.5% 1.71× 1.91
Radford Highlanders over 56.5 53.3% 52.3% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Radford Highlanders under 57.5 51.1% 52.3% 34.9% 1.50× 1.91
Campbell Fighting Camels under 59.5 47.2% 47.7% 27.8% 1.72× 2.09
Campbell Fighting Camels over 60.5 48.5% 47.7% 69.5% 0.69× 2.09
Radford Highlanders under 56.5 46.7% 47.7% 32.0% 1.49× 2.09
Radford Highlanders over 57.5 48.9% 47.7% 65.1% 0.73× 2.09
Radford Highlanders over 58.5 44.5% 42.9% 62.1% 0.69× 2.33
Campbell Fighting Camels over 61.5 44.3% 42.9% 66.9% 0.64× 2.33
Campbell Fighting Camels under 57.5 38.9% 38.8% 22.8% 1.70× 2.58
Radford Highlanders under 54.5 38.0% 38.8% 26.5% 1.47× 2.58
Campbell Fighting Camels over 63.5 36.2% 38.8% 61.5% 0.63× 2.58
Radford Highlanders over 60.5 36.0% 38.8% 55.6% 0.70× 2.58
Campbell Fighting Camels under 55.5 30.9% 33.6% 18.5% 1.82× 2.98
Campbell Fighting Camels over 65.5 28.6% 29.3% 55.3% 0.53× 3.42
Radford Highlanders under 52.5 29.8% 29.3% 21.5% 1.36× 3.42
Radford Highlanders over 62.5 28.2% 29.3% 49.0% 0.60× 3.42
Campbell Fighting Camels under 53.5 23.7% 24.9% 14.2% 1.75× 4.02
Campbell Fighting Camels over 67.5 21.8% 24.9% 48.7% 0.51× 4.02
Radford Highlanders under 50.5 22.3% 24.9% 16.9% 1.48× 4.02
Radford Highlanders over 64.5 21.4% 24.9% 43.2% 0.58× 4.02
Campbell Fighting Camels under 50.5 14.8% 16.1% 9.2% 1.75× 6.21
Campbell Fighting Camels over 70.5 13.7% 16.1% 39.7% 0.41× 6.21
Radford Highlanders under 47.5 13.0% 16.1% 11.6% 1.39× 6.21
Radford Highlanders over 67.5 13.2% 16.1% 34.4% 0.47× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 98.5 points 92.0% 88.8% 96.5% 0.92× 1.13
Under 138.5 points 92.3% 88.8% 67.9% 1.31× 1.13
Under 133.5 points 86.3% 85.0% 58.0% 1.47× 1.18
Over 103.5 points 84.3% 80.6% 93.6% 0.86× 1.24
Under 128.5 points 77.5% 75.6% 47.2% 1.60× 1.32
Over 108.5 points 73.7% 70.8% 88.9% 0.80× 1.41
Under 125.5 points 71.0% 70.8% 40.5% 1.75× 1.41
Over 111.5 points 66.1% 65.9% 85.1% 0.77× 1.52
Under 123.5 points 66.2% 65.9% 36.7% 1.79× 1.52
Under 121.5 points 61.1% 61.5% 32.3% 1.90× 1.63
Over 113.5 points 60.8% 61.5% 81.9% 0.75× 1.63
Over 115.5 points 55.3% 56.5% 78.8% 0.72× 1.77
Under 119.5 points 55.7% 56.5% 28.4% 1.99× 1.77
Under 118.5 points 52.9% 52.3% 26.4% 1.98× 1.91
Under 117.5 points 50.2% 52.3% 24.7% 2.12× 1.91
Over 117.5 points 49.8% 47.7% 75.3% 0.63× 2.10
Over 118.5 points 47.1% 47.7% 73.6% 0.65× 2.10
Under 115.5 points 44.7% 43.5% 21.2% 2.06× 2.30
Over 119.5 points 44.3% 43.5% 71.6% 0.61× 2.30
Under 113.5 points 39.2% 38.5% 18.1% 2.13× 2.60
Over 121.5 points 38.9% 38.5% 67.7% 0.57× 2.60
Under 111.5 points 33.9% 34.1% 14.9% 2.28× 2.93
Over 123.5 points 33.8% 34.1% 63.3% 0.54× 2.93
Over 125.5 points 29.0% 29.2% 59.5% 0.49× 3.43
Under 108.5 points 26.3% 29.2% 11.1% 2.63× 3.43
Over 128.5 points 22.5% 24.4% 52.8% 0.46× 4.10
Under 103.5 points 15.7% 19.4% 6.4% 3.03× 5.15
Over 133.5 points 13.7% 15.0% 42.0% 0.36× 6.68
Under 98.5 points 8.0% 11.2% 3.5% 3.21× 8.96
Over 138.5 points 7.7% 11.2% 32.1% 0.35× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels to win both halves 25.9% 27.2% 36.0% 0.75× 3.68
Radford Highlanders to win both halves 14.1% 14.1% 20.4% 0.69× 7.11
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Campbell Fighting Camels by 1-5 18.9% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Radford Highlanders by 1-5 16.5% 16.8% 10.2% 1.65× 5.97
Campbell Fighting Camels by 6-10 16.8% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Radford Highlanders by 6-10 11.8% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Campbell Fighting Camels by 11-15 12.2% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Campbell Fighting Camels by 16-20 7.1% 7.5% 8.0% 0.93× 13.40
Radford Highlanders by 11-15 6.8% 7.5% 7.6% 0.98× 13.40
Radford Highlanders by 16-20 3.2% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.30
Campbell Fighting Camels by 21-25 3.4% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.30
Radford Highlanders by 21-25 1.2% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Campbell Fighting Camels by 26+ 1.7% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.31
Radford Highlanders by 26+ 0.4% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.32
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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