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Canisius Golden Griffins v UMass Lowell River Hawks — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Canisius Golden Griffins win
70.4%
Draw
0.0%
UMass Lowell River Hawks win
29.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.65–56.69 63-57 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Canisius Golden Griffins to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
UMass Lowell River Hawks to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win H1 60.3% 62.2% 56.4% 1.10× 1.61
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H1 35.3% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.65
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 88.8% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 88.6% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 78.9% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 79.0% 77.4% 63.9% 1.21× 1.29
H1 under 62.5 69.5% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 52.5 69.0% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 60.5 62.2% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 54.5 61.6% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 53.7% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 54.3% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 50.3% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 49.7% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 46.3% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 45.7% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 54.5 38.4% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 37.8% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 52.5 31.0% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 62.5 30.5% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 49.5 21.1% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 21.0% 22.6% 36.1% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 45.5 11.2% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 11.4% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win H2 61.1% 58.8% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win H2 34.7% 36.3% 40.6% 0.90× 2.75
H2 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 75.5 88.5% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 51.5 86.6% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 79.5% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 76.2% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 70.5% 72.2% 51.3% 1.41× 1.39
H2 over 58.5 66.3% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 63.6% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 59.0% 57.3% 74.5% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 56.2% 57.3% 37.9% 1.51× 1.74
H2 over 62.5 51.4% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 52.4% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 48.6% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 47.6% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 43.8% 42.7% 62.1% 0.69× 2.34
H2 under 60.5 41.0% 42.7% 25.5% 1.67× 2.35
H2 over 66.5 36.4% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 33.7% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 29.5% 27.8% 48.7% 0.57× 3.59
H2 under 55.5 23.8% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 20.5% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 13.4% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 11.5% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins leading at half time 60.3% 62.5% 56.4% 1.11× 1.60
UMass Lowell River Hawks leading at half time 35.3% 37.8% 39.9% 0.95× 2.64
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins +16.5 97.8% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Canisius Golden Griffins +18.5 98.6% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Canisius Golden Griffins +20.5 99.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Canisius Golden Griffins +14.5 96.7% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Canisius Golden Griffins +12.5 95.0% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Canisius Golden Griffins +10.5 92.8% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
UMass Lowell River Hawks +20.5 91.2% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Canisius Golden Griffins +9.5 91.4% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
Canisius Golden Griffins +8.5 89.9% 85.9% 76.5% 1.12× 1.16
UMass Lowell River Hawks +18.5 87.8% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Canisius Golden Griffins +7.5 88.2% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
Canisius Golden Griffins +6.5 86.2% 85.9% 72.3% 1.19× 1.16
UMass Lowell River Hawks +16.5 83.6% 81.1% 75.7% 1.07× 1.23
Canisius Golden Griffins +5.5 84.1% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
Canisius Golden Griffins +4.5 81.7% 81.1% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
Canisius Golden Griffins +3.5 79.2% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
UMass Lowell River Hawks +14.5 78.5% 76.5% 72.1% 1.06× 1.31
Canisius Golden Griffins +2.5 76.4% 76.5% 63.3% 1.21× 1.31
Canisius Golden Griffins +1.5 73.5% 71.6% 61.2% 1.17× 1.40
UMass Lowell River Hawks +12.5 72.6% 71.6% 67.9% 1.06× 1.40
Canisius Golden Griffins −1.5 66.9% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
UMass Lowell River Hawks +10.5 66.1% 66.7% 63.2% 1.06× 1.50
Canisius Golden Griffins −2.5 63.4% 61.9% 56.7% 1.09× 1.62
UMass Lowell River Hawks +9.5 62.6% 61.9% 60.7% 1.02× 1.62
Canisius Golden Griffins −3.5 59.7% 57.1% 54.2% 1.05× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks +8.5 59.0% 57.1% 58.0% 0.98× 1.75
Canisius Golden Griffins −4.5 56.0% 57.1% 52.2% 1.09× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks +7.5 55.3% 57.1% 55.2% 1.03× 1.75
Canisius Golden Griffins −5.5 52.2% 52.4% 49.7% 1.05× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks +6.5 51.5% 52.4% 52.4% 1.00× 1.91
Canisius Golden Griffins −6.5 48.5% 47.6% 47.6% 1.00× 2.10
UMass Lowell River Hawks +5.5 47.8% 47.6% 50.3% 0.95× 2.10
UMass Lowell River Hawks +4.5 44.0% 42.9% 47.8% 0.90× 2.33
Canisius Golden Griffins −7.5 44.7% 42.9% 44.8% 0.96× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks +3.5 40.3% 42.9% 45.8% 0.94× 2.33
Canisius Golden Griffins −8.5 41.0% 42.9% 42.0% 1.02× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks +2.5 36.6% 38.1% 43.3% 0.88× 2.63
Canisius Golden Griffins −9.5 37.4% 38.1% 39.3% 0.97× 2.63
Canisius Golden Griffins −10.5 33.9% 33.3% 36.8% 0.90× 3.01
UMass Lowell River Hawks +1.5 33.1% 33.3% 41.3% 0.81× 3.01
UMass Lowell River Hawks −1.5 26.5% 28.4% 38.8% 0.73× 3.53
Canisius Golden Griffins −12.5 27.4% 28.4% 32.1% 0.88× 3.53
UMass Lowell River Hawks −2.5 23.6% 23.5% 36.7% 0.64× 4.25
Canisius Golden Griffins −14.5 21.5% 23.5% 27.9% 0.84× 4.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −3.5 20.8% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −4.5 18.3% 18.9% 32.2% 0.59× 5.29
Canisius Golden Griffins −16.5 16.4% 18.9% 24.3% 0.78× 5.30
UMass Lowell River Hawks −5.5 15.9% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.30
UMass Lowell River Hawks −6.5 13.8% 14.1% 27.7% 0.51× 7.09
Canisius Golden Griffins −18.5 12.2% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks −7.5 11.8% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks −8.5 10.1% 14.1% 23.5% 0.60× 7.09
Canisius Golden Griffins −20.5 8.8% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −9.5 8.6% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −10.5 7.2% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
UMass Lowell River Hawks −12.5 5.0% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.72
UMass Lowell River Hawks −16.5 2.2% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −18.5 1.4% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.73
UMass Lowell River Hawks −20.5 0.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
UMass Lowell River Hawks −14.5 3.3% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.4% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.7% 33.0% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.7% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT 51.5% 51.1% 48.3% 1.06× 1.96
UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 19.4% 15.5% 30.1% 0.51× 6.47
UMass Lowell River Hawks at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT 16.0% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Canisius Golden Griffins at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 8.8% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Canisius Golden Griffins at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / UMass Lowell River Hawks at FT 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win 70.4% 68.7% 59.9% 1.15× 1.46
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win 29.6% 31.3% 40.1% 0.78× 3.19
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.6% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Canisius Golden Griffins even 50.1% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Canisius Golden Griffins odd 49.9% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 48.4% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.4% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.6% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q1 55.5% 57.2% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q1 38.5% 38.3% 40.4% 0.95× 2.61
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 90.0% 91.1% 81.6% 1.12× 1.10
Q1 over 21.5 86.6% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.9% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 74.4% 72.7% 81.8% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 under 32.5 70.6% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 63.9% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 59.6% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 53.7% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 52.3% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 47.7% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 46.3% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 40.4% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 36.1% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 29.4% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.6% 27.3% 18.2% 1.50× 3.66
Q1 over 34.5 20.1% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 13.4% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.0% 8.9% 18.4% 0.49× 11.19
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q2 55.3% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.69
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q2 38.8% 35.8% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 88.8% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 88.1% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 77.7% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 76.8% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 67.8% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 66.9% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 56.4% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 55.5% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 50.5% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 49.5% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 44.5% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 43.6% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 33.1% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 32.2% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 23.2% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 22.3% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 11.9% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.89
Q2 under 20.5 11.2% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q3 56.1% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q3 38.1% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.96
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 39.5 87.9% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 23.5 87.7% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 76.9% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 76.4% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 67.2% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 28.5 66.5% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 32.5 56.2% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 55.4% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 50.4% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 49.6% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 44.6% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 32.5 43.8% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 33.5% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 32.8% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 26.5 23.6% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 23.1% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.3% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 12.1% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win Q4 56.0% 52.0% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win Q4 38.3% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 86.5% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 86.4% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 75.4% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 75.4% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 66.0% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 66.0% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 55.4% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 55.5% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 under 31.5 50.1% 52.5% 38.9% 1.35× 1.91
Q4 over 31.5 49.9% 47.5% 61.1% 0.78× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 44.6% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 32.5 44.5% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 34.0% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 34.5 34.0% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 24.6% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 24.6% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 under 23.5 13.5% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Q4 over 39.5 13.6% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 67.5 87.4% 83.9% 65.6% 1.28× 1.19
Canisius Golden Griffins under 73.5 86.5% 83.9% 68.5% 1.23× 1.19
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 47.5 86.5% 83.9% 88.4% 0.95× 1.19
Canisius Golden Griffins over 53.5 84.5% 80.7% 85.8% 0.94× 1.24
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 64.5 79.4% 75.1% 56.9% 1.32× 1.33
Canisius Golden Griffins under 70.5 78.4% 75.1% 60.3% 1.25× 1.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 50.5 77.0% 75.1% 83.1% 0.90× 1.33
Canisius Golden Griffins over 56.5 75.7% 75.1% 79.5% 0.94× 1.33
Canisius Golden Griffins under 68.5 71.7% 70.7% 54.4% 1.30× 1.41
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 62.5 72.7% 70.7% 51.0% 1.39× 1.41
Canisius Golden Griffins over 58.5 68.5% 66.4% 74.7% 0.89× 1.51
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 52.5 69.4% 66.4% 78.5% 0.85× 1.51
Canisius Golden Griffins under 66.5 64.2% 61.2% 48.2% 1.27× 1.63
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 60.5 65.0% 61.2% 44.4% 1.38× 1.63
Canisius Golden Griffins over 60.5 60.7% 61.2% 69.5% 0.88× 1.63
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 54.5 61.0% 61.2% 73.5% 0.83× 1.63
Canisius Golden Griffins under 64.5 56.0% 57.1% 41.6% 1.37× 1.75
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 58.5 56.6% 57.1% 37.9% 1.51× 1.75
Canisius Golden Griffins over 62.5 52.4% 52.3% 64.3% 0.81× 1.91
Canisius Golden Griffins under 63.5 51.9% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 56.5 52.2% 52.3% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 57.5 52.2% 52.3% 34.9% 1.50× 1.91
Canisius Golden Griffins under 62.5 47.6% 47.7% 35.7% 1.34× 2.09
Canisius Golden Griffins over 63.5 48.1% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 56.5 47.8% 47.7% 32.0% 1.49× 2.09
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 57.5 47.8% 47.7% 65.1% 0.73× 2.09
Canisius Golden Griffins over 64.5 44.0% 42.9% 58.4% 0.73× 2.33
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 58.5 43.4% 42.9% 62.1% 0.69× 2.33
Canisius Golden Griffins under 60.5 39.3% 38.8% 30.5% 1.27× 2.58
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 54.5 39.0% 38.8% 26.5% 1.47× 2.58
Canisius Golden Griffins over 66.5 35.8% 38.8% 51.8% 0.75× 2.58
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 60.5 35.0% 38.8% 55.6% 0.70× 2.58
Canisius Golden Griffins under 58.5 31.5% 33.6% 25.3% 1.33× 2.98
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 52.5 30.6% 33.6% 21.5% 1.56× 2.98
Canisius Golden Griffins over 68.5 28.3% 29.3% 45.6% 0.64× 3.42
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 62.5 27.3% 29.3% 49.0% 0.60× 3.42
Canisius Golden Griffins under 56.5 24.3% 24.9% 20.5% 1.22× 4.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 50.5 23.0% 24.9% 16.9% 1.48× 4.02
Canisius Golden Griffins over 70.5 21.6% 24.9% 39.7% 0.63× 4.02
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 64.5 20.6% 24.9% 43.2% 0.58× 4.02
Canisius Golden Griffins under 53.5 15.5% 19.3% 14.2% 1.36× 5.18
Canisius Golden Griffins over 73.5 13.5% 16.1% 31.5% 0.51× 6.21
UMass Lowell River Hawks under 47.5 13.5% 16.1% 11.6% 1.39× 6.21
UMass Lowell River Hawks over 67.5 12.6% 16.1% 34.4% 0.47× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 100.5 points 92.3% 88.8% 95.6% 0.93× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 91.6% 88.8% 71.8% 1.24× 1.13
Over 105.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 91.9% 0.93× 1.18
Under 135.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 62.4% 1.36× 1.18
Under 130.5 points 76.0% 75.6% 51.7% 1.46× 1.32
Over 110.5 points 75.0% 75.6% 86.4% 0.87× 1.32
Under 127.5 points 69.4% 65.9% 44.9% 1.47× 1.52
Over 113.5 points 67.7% 65.9% 81.9% 0.80× 1.52
Under 125.5 points 64.4% 61.5% 40.5% 1.52× 1.63
Over 115.5 points 62.5% 61.5% 78.8% 0.78× 1.63
Under 123.5 points 59.3% 56.5% 36.7% 1.54× 1.77
Over 117.5 points 57.1% 56.5% 75.3% 0.75× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 53.9% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Over 119.5 points 51.6% 52.3% 71.6% 0.73× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 51.1% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 48.9% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Under 119.5 points 48.4% 47.7% 28.4% 1.68× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 46.1% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 117.5 points 42.9% 43.5% 24.7% 1.76× 2.30
Over 123.5 points 40.7% 43.5% 63.3% 0.69× 2.30
Under 115.5 points 37.5% 38.5% 21.2% 1.82× 2.60
Over 125.5 points 35.6% 38.5% 59.5% 0.65× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 32.3% 34.1% 18.1% 1.89× 2.93
Over 127.5 points 30.6% 34.1% 55.1% 0.62× 2.93
Under 110.5 points 25.0% 24.4% 13.6% 1.80× 4.10
Over 130.5 points 24.0% 24.4% 48.3% 0.50× 4.10
Under 105.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 8.1% 1.86× 6.68
Over 135.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 37.6% 0.40× 6.68
Over 140.5 points 8.4% 11.2% 28.2% 0.40× 8.96
Under 100.5 points 7.7% 11.2% 4.4% 2.53× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins to win both halves 33.8% 31.3% 36.0% 0.87× 3.20
UMass Lowell River Hawks to win both halves 9.5% 8.9% 20.4% 0.43× 11.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Canisius Golden Griffins by 1-5 18.1% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Canisius Golden Griffins by 6-10 18.3% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Canisius Golden Griffins by 11-15 15.1% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 1-5 13.7% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Canisius Golden Griffins by 16-20 10.1% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 6-10 8.7% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Canisius Golden Griffins by 21-25 5.4% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 11-15 4.5% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 16-20 1.9% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
Canisius Golden Griffins by 26+ 3.4% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.30
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 21-25 0.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
UMass Lowell River Hawks by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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