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Charlotte Hornets v Washington Wizards — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Monday 26 October 2026 · NBA · 2027

NBA results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Charlotte Hornets win
90.2%
Draw
0.0%
Washington Wizards win
9.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 125.93–107.56 126-108 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to score 100+ 98.8% 94.9% 89.3% 1.06× 1.05
Charlotte Hornets to score 110+ 92.0% 90.3% 67.0% 1.35× 1.11
Washington Wizards to score 100+ 75.3% 76.9% 85.9% 0.90× 1.30
Both sides to score 100+ 74.6% 72.4% 77.5% 0.93× 1.38
Charlotte Hornets to score 120+ 71.2% 72.3% 36.5% 1.98× 1.38
Washington Wizards to score 110+ 43.0% 41.9% 60.9% 0.69× 2.39
Charlotte Hornets to score 130+ 38.4% 36.0% 12.8% 2.81× 2.78
Washington Wizards to score 120+ 15.0% 13.9% 29.7% 0.47× 7.22
Washington Wizards to score 130+ 2.9% 0.4% 10.0% 0.04× 282.78
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win H1 78.5% 79.2% 52.8% 1.50× 1.26
Washington Wizards to win H1 19.0% 16.9% 44.1% 0.38× 5.91
H1 tied 2.5% 3.9% 3.1% 1.25× 25.87
H1 total 40
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 129.5 82.9% 83.2% 88.1% 0.94× 1.20
H1 over 105.5 81.0% 83.2% 75.8% 1.10× 1.20
H1 under 130.5 83.5% 82.5% 89.6% 0.92× 1.21
H1 over 106.5 80.8% 82.5% 73.3% 1.13× 1.21
H1 under 125.5 74.1% 74.0% 80.7% 0.92× 1.35
H1 over 109.5 71.6% 73.9% 65.0% 1.14× 1.35
H1 under 126.5 74.7% 73.5% 82.8% 0.89× 1.36
H1 over 110.5 71.4% 73.5% 61.9% 1.19× 1.36
H1 under 122.5 66.2% 68.1% 74.0% 0.92× 1.47
H1 under 123.5 66.8% 67.4% 76.0% 0.89× 1.48
H1 over 112.5 63.4% 63.3% 55.8% 1.13× 1.58
H1 under 120.5 60.5% 63.3% 68.4% 0.92× 1.58
H1 over 113.5 63.1% 62.7% 52.4% 1.20× 1.59
H1 under 121.5 61.1% 62.7% 71.2% 0.88× 1.59
H1 over 115.5 57.1% 58.2% 46.4% 1.26× 1.72
H1 under 119.5 55.1% 58.2% 65.9% 0.88× 1.72
H1 over 114.5 57.6% 58.1% 49.6% 1.17× 1.72
H1 under 118.5 52.0% 52.6% 62.9% 0.84× 1.90
H1 over 117.5 51.1% 52.6% 40.4% 1.30× 1.90
H1 over 116.5 51.6% 52.5% 43.4% 1.21× 1.90
H1 under 116.5 48.4% 47.5% 56.6% 0.84× 2.11
H1 under 117.5 49.0% 47.4% 59.6% 0.79× 2.11
H1 over 118.5 48.0% 47.4% 37.1% 1.28× 2.11
H1 under 114.5 42.4% 41.9% 50.4% 0.83× 2.39
H1 over 119.5 44.9% 41.8% 34.1% 1.23× 2.39
H1 under 115.5 42.9% 41.8% 53.6% 0.78× 2.39
H1 over 121.5 38.9% 37.3% 28.8% 1.29× 2.68
H1 under 113.5 36.9% 37.3% 47.6% 0.78× 2.68
H1 over 120.5 39.5% 36.7% 31.6% 1.16× 2.72
H1 under 112.5 36.6% 36.7% 44.2% 0.83× 2.72
H1 over 123.5 33.2% 32.6% 24.0% 1.36× 3.07
H1 over 122.5 33.8% 31.9% 26.0% 1.23× 3.13
H1 under 110.5 28.6% 26.5% 38.1% 0.70× 3.77
H1 over 126.5 25.3% 26.5% 17.2% 1.54× 3.77
H1 under 109.5 28.4% 26.1% 35.0% 0.74× 3.84
H1 over 125.5 25.9% 26.0% 19.3% 1.35× 3.84
H1 under 106.5 19.2% 17.5% 26.7% 0.65× 5.72
H1 over 130.5 16.5% 17.5% 10.4% 1.68× 5.73
H1 under 105.5 19.0% 16.8% 24.2% 0.69× 5.96
H1 over 129.5 17.1% 16.8% 11.9% 1.41× 5.96
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win H2 78.2% 73.9% 51.6% 1.43× 1.35
Washington Wizards to win H2 19.3% 20.5% 44.7% 0.46× 4.89
H2 tied 2.5% 3.9% 3.7% 1.06× 25.37
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 over 103.5 82.7% 81.8% 76.2% 1.07× 1.22
H2 under 127.5 82.1% 81.8% 84.9% 0.96× 1.22
H2 over 107.5 73.6% 72.2% 66.2% 1.09× 1.39
H2 under 123.5 72.9% 72.2% 76.9% 0.94× 1.39
H2 over 110.5 65.5% 66.4% 58.1% 1.14× 1.51
H2 under 120.5 64.7% 61.6% 69.3% 0.89× 1.62
H2 over 112.5 59.7% 57.3% 52.6% 1.09× 1.74
H2 under 118.5 58.8% 57.3% 63.6% 0.90× 1.74
H2 over 114.5 53.5% 52.4% 47.5% 1.10× 1.91
H2 under 116.5 52.6% 52.4% 58.1% 0.90× 1.91
H2 over 115.5 50.5% 52.4% 44.6% 1.17× 1.91
H2 under 115.5 49.5% 47.6% 55.4% 0.86× 2.10
H2 over 116.5 47.4% 47.6% 41.9% 1.14× 2.10
H2 under 114.5 46.5% 47.6% 52.5% 0.91× 2.10
H2 over 118.5 41.2% 42.7% 36.4% 1.17× 2.34
H2 under 112.5 40.3% 42.7% 47.4% 0.90× 2.35
H2 over 120.5 35.3% 38.4% 30.7% 1.25× 2.61
H2 under 110.5 34.5% 33.6% 41.9% 0.80× 2.97
H2 over 123.5 27.1% 27.8% 23.1% 1.20× 3.59
H2 under 107.5 26.4% 27.8% 33.8% 0.82× 3.59
H2 over 127.5 17.9% 18.2% 15.1% 1.20× 5.50
H2 under 103.5 17.3% 18.2% 23.8% 0.76× 5.50
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets leading at half time 78.5% 79.7% 52.8% 1.51× 1.25
Washington Wizards leading at half time 19.0% 17.1% 44.1% 0.39× 5.86
Level at half time 2.5% 3.8% 3.1% 1.22× 26.42
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets +18.5 99.4% 97.4% 91.5% 1.06× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +20.5 99.6% 97.4% 93.1% 1.05× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +6.5 95.6% 97.4% 70.6% 1.38× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +7.5 96.2% 97.4% 73.0% 1.33× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +8.5 96.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +9.5 97.2% 97.4% 78.1% 1.25× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +10.5 97.6% 97.4% 80.3% 1.21× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +12.5 98.3% 97.4% 83.9% 1.16× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +14.5 98.8% 97.4% 87.0% 1.12× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +16.5 99.2% 97.4% 89.7% 1.09× 1.03
Charlotte Hornets +4.5 94.2% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Charlotte Hornets +5.5 95.0% 91.1% 68.0% 1.34× 1.10
Charlotte Hornets +2.5 92.4% 91.1% 60.5% 1.51× 1.10
Charlotte Hornets +3.5 93.3% 91.1% 63.1% 1.44× 1.10
Charlotte Hornets +1.5 91.4% 91.1% 57.9% 1.57× 1.10
Charlotte Hornets −1.5 88.9% 85.9% 53.7% 1.60× 1.16
Charlotte Hornets −2.5 87.4% 85.9% 50.9% 1.69× 1.16
Charlotte Hornets −3.5 85.8% 85.9% 48.4% 1.77× 1.16
Charlotte Hornets −4.5 84.1% 81.1% 46.0% 1.77× 1.23
Charlotte Hornets −5.5 82.3% 81.1% 42.9% 1.89× 1.23
Charlotte Hornets −6.5 80.3% 81.1% 40.0% 2.03× 1.23
Charlotte Hornets −7.5 78.3% 76.5% 37.0% 2.06× 1.31
Charlotte Hornets −8.5 76.1% 76.5% 34.1% 2.24× 1.31
Charlotte Hornets −9.5 73.9% 71.6% 31.3% 2.29× 1.40
Charlotte Hornets −10.5 71.5% 71.6% 29.0% 2.47× 1.40
Charlotte Hornets −12.5 66.5% 66.7% 24.0% 2.78× 1.50
Charlotte Hornets −14.5 61.3% 61.9% 19.9% 3.12× 1.62
Charlotte Hornets −16.5 55.8% 57.1% 16.5% 3.46× 1.75
Washington Wizards +20.5 55.3% 57.1% 89.1% 0.64× 1.75
Charlotte Hornets −18.5 50.3% 52.4% 13.6% 3.85× 1.91
Washington Wizards +18.5 49.7% 47.6% 86.4% 0.55× 2.10
Washington Wizards +16.5 44.2% 42.9% 83.5% 0.51× 2.33
Charlotte Hornets −20.5 44.7% 42.9% 10.9% 3.95× 2.33
Washington Wizards +14.5 38.7% 38.1% 80.1% 0.48× 2.63
Washington Wizards +12.5 33.5% 33.3% 76.0% 0.44× 3.01
Washington Wizards +10.5 28.5% 28.4% 71.0% 0.40× 3.53
Washington Wizards +9.5 26.1% 28.4% 68.7% 0.41× 3.53
Washington Wizards +8.5 23.9% 23.5% 65.9% 0.36× 4.25
Washington Wizards +7.5 21.7% 23.5% 63.0% 0.37× 4.25
Washington Wizards +6.5 19.7% 18.9% 60.0% 0.31× 5.29
Washington Wizards +5.5 17.7% 18.9% 57.1% 0.33× 5.29
Washington Wizards +4.5 15.9% 18.9% 54.1% 0.35× 5.30
Washington Wizards +3.5 14.2% 14.1% 51.6% 0.27× 7.09
Washington Wizards +2.5 12.6% 14.1% 49.1% 0.29× 7.09
Washington Wizards +1.5 11.1% 14.1% 46.3% 0.30× 7.09
Washington Wizards −1.5 8.6% 8.9% 42.1% 0.21× 11.25
Washington Wizards −2.5 7.6% 8.9% 39.5% 0.22× 11.25
Washington Wizards −3.5 6.7% 8.9% 36.9% 0.24× 11.25
Washington Wizards −4.5 5.8% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Washington Wizards −5.5 5.0% 8.9% 32.0% 0.28× 11.25
Washington Wizards −6.5 4.4% 2.6% 29.4% 0.09× 38.72
Washington Wizards −7.5 3.8% 2.6% 27.0% 0.10× 38.73
Washington Wizards −8.5 3.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.73
Washington Wizards −9.5 2.8% 2.6% 21.9% 0.12× 38.73
Washington Wizards −10.5 2.4% 2.6% 19.7% 0.13× 38.73
Washington Wizards −12.5 1.7% 2.6% 16.1% 0.16× 38.73
Washington Wizards −14.5 1.2% 2.6% 13.0% 0.20× 38.74
Washington Wizards −16.5 0.8% 2.6% 10.3% 0.25× 38.74
Washington Wizards −18.5 0.6% 2.6% 8.5% 0.30× 38.74
Washington Wizards −20.5 0.4% 2.6% 6.9% 0.37× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
1st half highest scoring 56.8% 52.6% 53.5% 0.98× 1.90
2nd half highest scoring 43.2% 47.4% 46.5% 1.02× 2.11
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 highest scoring 28.3% 27.4% 29.2% 0.94× 3.65
Q3 highest scoring 28.0% 27.4% 27.5% 1.00× 3.65
Q2 highest scoring 26.6% 27.4% 26.3% 1.04× 3.65
Q4 highest scoring 17.1% 18.3% 17.0% 1.08× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets at HT / Charlotte Hornets at FT 75.3% 78.0% 40.8% 1.91× 1.28
Washington Wizards at HT / Charlotte Hornets at FT 12.8% 12.2% 13.3% 0.92× 8.17
Washington Wizards at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 6.2% 8.3% 30.9% 0.27× 12.09
Charlotte Hornets at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 3.2% 2.1% 12.0% 0.17× 47.74
Level at HT / Charlotte Hornets at FT 2.1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.22× 47.76
Level at HT / Washington Wizards at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.4% 1.49× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win 90.2% 90.6% 55.7% 1.63× 1.10
Washington Wizards to win 9.8% 9.4% 44.3% 0.21× 10.59
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets odd 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Washington Wizards even 50.0% 50.5% 50.3% 1.00× 1.98
Total points odd 50.6% 50.5% 51.0% 0.99× 1.98
Charlotte Hornets even 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Washington Wizards odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.7% 1.00× 2.02
Total points even 49.4% 49.5% 49.0% 1.01× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 97.0% 97.0% 94.8% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.0% 3.0% 5.2% 0.58× 33.46
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win Q1 69.4% 72.3% 51.3% 1.41× 1.38
Washington Wizards to win Q1 26.5% 22.4% 44.1% 0.51× 4.46
Q1 tied 4.1% 4.2% 4.6% 0.90× 23.97
Q1 total 32
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 50.5 83.0% 83.2% 79.4% 1.05× 1.20
Q1 under 66.5 82.0% 83.2% 86.1% 0.97× 1.20
Q1 under 67.5 83.9% 82.8% 88.8% 0.93× 1.21
Q1 over 51.5 81.4% 82.8% 76.0% 1.09× 1.21
Q1 over 53.5 72.7% 73.1% 68.2% 1.07× 1.37
Q1 under 63.5 71.4% 73.1% 76.8% 0.95× 1.37
Q1 under 64.5 73.9% 72.7% 80.1% 0.91× 1.38
Q1 over 54.5 70.5% 72.7% 63.3% 1.15× 1.38
Q1 under 62.5 65.7% 67.6% 72.9% 0.93× 1.48
Q1 over 55.5 64.4% 62.3% 59.2% 1.05× 1.61
Q1 under 61.5 63.0% 62.3% 68.5% 0.91× 1.61
Q1 over 56.5 61.9% 61.7% 54.6% 1.13× 1.62
Q1 over 57.5 55.4% 59.2% 49.6% 1.19× 1.69
Q1 under 60.5 56.7% 58.6% 64.5% 0.91× 1.71
Q1 over 58.5 52.7% 52.7% 44.3% 1.19× 1.90
Q1 under 59.5 52.0% 52.7% 60.0% 0.88× 1.90
Q1 over 59.5 48.0% 47.3% 40.0% 1.18× 2.11
Q1 under 58.5 47.3% 47.3% 55.7% 0.85× 2.11
Q1 over 60.5 43.3% 41.4% 35.5% 1.17× 2.42
Q1 under 57.5 44.6% 40.8% 50.4% 0.81× 2.45
Q1 under 56.5 38.1% 38.3% 45.4% 0.84× 2.61
Q1 over 61.5 37.0% 37.7% 31.5% 1.20× 2.65
Q1 under 55.5 35.6% 37.7% 40.8% 0.92× 2.65
Q1 over 62.5 34.3% 32.4% 27.1% 1.20× 3.08
Q1 under 54.5 29.5% 27.3% 36.7% 0.74× 3.66
Q1 over 64.5 26.1% 27.3% 19.9% 1.37× 3.66
Q1 over 63.5 28.6% 26.9% 23.2% 1.16× 3.72
Q1 under 53.5 27.3% 26.9% 31.8% 0.85× 3.72
Q1 under 51.5 18.6% 17.2% 24.0% 0.71× 5.83
Q1 over 67.5 16.1% 17.2% 11.2% 1.53× 5.83
Q1 over 66.5 18.0% 16.8% 13.9% 1.21× 5.95
Q1 under 50.5 17.0% 16.8% 20.6% 0.82× 5.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win Q2 69.2% 68.4% 49.3% 1.39× 1.46
Washington Wizards to win Q2 26.8% 27.7% 46.2% 0.60× 3.61
Q2 tied 4.1% 4.4% 4.5% 0.98× 22.90
Q2 total 32
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 66.5 82.8% 83.1% 86.5% 0.96× 1.20
Q2 over 50.5 82.0% 83.1% 78.1% 1.06× 1.20
Q2 under 67.5 84.6% 83.0% 88.7% 0.94× 1.21
Q2 over 51.5 80.2% 83.0% 74.2% 1.12× 1.21
Q2 under 63.5 72.5% 73.0% 77.5% 0.94× 1.37
Q2 over 53.5 71.4% 73.0% 65.8% 1.11× 1.37
Q2 under 64.5 74.9% 72.0% 80.9% 0.89× 1.39
Q2 over 54.5 69.1% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q2 under 62.5 66.9% 67.4% 74.4% 0.91× 1.49
Q2 under 61.5 64.3% 62.0% 70.4% 0.88× 1.61
Q2 over 55.5 63.0% 62.0% 56.3% 1.10× 1.61
Q2 over 56.5 60.5% 60.7% 51.7% 1.17× 1.65
Q2 under 60.5 58.0% 58.2% 65.7% 0.88× 1.72
Q2 under 59.5 53.4% 52.7% 61.9% 0.85× 1.90
Q2 over 58.5 51.3% 52.7% 42.7% 1.23× 1.90
Q2 over 57.5 54.0% 52.2% 47.3% 1.10× 1.92
Q2 under 57.5 46.0% 47.8% 52.7% 0.91× 2.09
Q2 under 58.5 48.7% 47.3% 57.3% 0.83× 2.11
Q2 over 59.5 46.6% 47.3% 38.1% 1.24× 2.11
Q2 over 60.5 42.0% 41.8% 34.3% 1.22× 2.39
Q2 under 56.5 39.5% 39.3% 48.3% 0.81× 2.55
Q2 under 55.5 37.0% 38.0% 43.7% 0.87× 2.63
Q2 over 61.5 35.7% 38.0% 29.6% 1.28× 2.63
Q2 over 62.5 33.1% 32.6% 25.6% 1.27× 3.06
Q2 under 54.5 30.9% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 64.5 25.1% 28.0% 19.1% 1.46× 3.57
Q2 under 53.5 28.6% 27.0% 34.2% 0.79× 3.71
Q2 over 63.5 27.5% 27.0% 22.5% 1.20× 3.71
Q2 under 51.5 19.8% 17.0% 25.8% 0.66× 5.88
Q2 over 67.5 15.4% 17.0% 11.3% 1.50× 5.89
Q2 under 50.5 18.0% 16.9% 21.9% 0.77× 5.93
Q2 over 66.5 17.2% 16.9% 13.5% 1.25× 5.93
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win Q3 69.2% 66.8% 50.9% 1.31× 1.50
Washington Wizards to win Q3 26.7% 28.8% 44.3% 0.65× 3.47
Q3 tied 4.0% 4.3% 4.9% 0.88× 23.45
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 under 67.5 83.7% 82.3% 87.0% 0.95× 1.22
Q3 over 51.5 82.1% 82.3% 76.1% 1.08× 1.22
Q3 under 64.5 73.4% 71.8% 79.2% 0.91× 1.39
Q3 over 54.5 71.3% 71.8% 63.9% 1.12× 1.39
Q3 under 62.5 65.1% 67.8% 71.9% 0.94× 1.48
Q3 over 56.5 62.8% 61.9% 55.0% 1.13× 1.61
Q3 under 60.5 56.0% 58.4% 63.5% 0.92× 1.71
Q3 over 58.5 53.5% 52.3% 45.2% 1.16× 1.91
Q3 under 59.5 51.3% 52.3% 59.0% 0.89× 1.91
Q3 over 59.5 48.8% 47.7% 41.0% 1.16× 2.10
Q3 under 58.5 46.5% 47.7% 54.8% 0.87× 2.10
Q3 over 60.5 44.0% 41.6% 36.5% 1.14× 2.40
Q3 under 56.5 37.2% 38.1% 45.0% 0.85× 2.63
Q3 over 62.5 34.9% 32.2% 28.1% 1.15× 3.10
Q3 under 54.5 28.7% 28.2% 36.1% 0.78× 3.55
Q3 over 64.5 26.6% 28.2% 20.8% 1.35× 3.55
Q3 under 51.5 17.9% 17.7% 23.9% 0.74× 5.66
Q3 over 67.5 16.3% 17.7% 13.0% 1.36× 5.66
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win Q4 68.8% 60.7% 48.3% 1.26× 1.65
Washington Wizards to win Q4 26.9% 33.3% 46.4% 0.72× 3.00
Q4 tied 4.2% 5.2% 5.3% 0.97× 19.29
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 under 64.5 82.4% 82.0% 86.3% 0.95× 1.22
Q4 over 48.5 81.9% 82.0% 75.5% 1.09× 1.22
Q4 under 61.5 72.1% 71.5% 77.5% 0.92× 1.40
Q4 over 51.5 71.4% 71.5% 64.7% 1.11× 1.40
Q4 under 59.5 63.9% 61.4% 70.2% 0.87× 1.63
Q4 over 53.5 63.1% 61.4% 55.7% 1.10× 1.63
Q4 under 57.5 55.0% 52.5% 61.9% 0.85× 1.91
Q4 over 55.5 54.2% 52.5% 47.1% 1.11× 1.91
Q4 under 56.5 50.4% 52.5% 57.2% 0.92× 1.91
Q4 over 56.5 49.6% 47.5% 42.8% 1.11× 2.11
Q4 under 55.5 45.8% 47.5% 52.9% 0.90× 2.11
Q4 over 57.5 45.0% 47.5% 38.1% 1.25× 2.11
Q4 under 53.5 36.9% 38.6% 44.3% 0.87× 2.59
Q4 over 59.5 36.1% 38.6% 29.8% 1.30× 2.59
Q4 under 51.5 28.6% 28.5% 35.3% 0.81× 3.51
Q4 over 61.5 27.9% 28.5% 22.5% 1.27× 3.51
Q4 under 48.5 18.1% 18.0% 24.5% 0.73× 5.56
Q4 over 64.5 17.6% 18.0% 13.7% 1.31× 5.56
Team total 72
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets under 136.5 81.3% 80.7% 95.3% 0.85× 1.24
Washington Wizards over 97.5 80.4% 80.7% 89.3% 0.90× 1.24
Washington Wizards under 117.5 80.7% 80.7% 64.4% 1.25× 1.24
Washington Wizards under 120.5 80.4% 80.3% 72.7% 1.10× 1.25
Charlotte Hornets over 111.5 80.0% 80.3% 61.1% 1.31× 1.25
Charlotte Hornets over 116.5 79.2% 75.1% 45.3% 1.66× 1.33
Charlotte Hornets over 114.5 72.4% 71.8% 51.4% 1.40× 1.39
Charlotte Hornets under 128.5 71.5% 71.8% 85.5% 0.84× 1.39
Washington Wizards over 103.5 71.1% 71.8% 77.5% 0.93× 1.39
Charlotte Hornets under 133.5 73.7% 70.7% 92.3% 0.77× 1.41
Washington Wizards over 100.5 72.5% 70.7% 84.1% 0.84× 1.41
Washington Wizards under 114.5 72.8% 70.7% 55.5% 1.27× 1.41
Charlotte Hornets over 119.5 71.2% 70.7% 36.5% 1.94× 1.41
Washington Wizards under 115.5 67.1% 66.6% 58.6% 1.14× 1.50
Washington Wizards over 105.5 65.2% 66.6% 71.9% 0.93× 1.50
Charlotte Hornets under 131.5 67.9% 66.4% 89.8% 0.74× 1.51
Washington Wizards over 102.5 66.4% 66.4% 79.7% 0.83× 1.51
Washington Wizards under 112.5 66.8% 66.4% 48.5% 1.37× 1.51
Charlotte Hornets over 121.5 65.1% 66.4% 30.4% 2.18× 1.51
Charlotte Hornets under 129.5 61.6% 61.2% 87.2% 0.70× 1.63
Washington Wizards under 110.5 60.4% 61.2% 42.1% 1.45× 1.63
Washington Wizards under 113.5 60.9% 61.2% 52.0% 1.18× 1.64
Charlotte Hornets over 118.5 60.4% 61.2% 39.7% 1.54× 1.64
Charlotte Hornets under 124.5 59.3% 57.9% 76.8% 0.75× 1.73
Washington Wizards over 104.5 60.0% 57.1% 75.0% 0.76× 1.75
Charlotte Hornets over 123.5 58.6% 57.1% 25.6% 2.23× 1.75
Charlotte Hornets under 127.5 54.9% 52.3% 83.5% 0.63× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 108.5 53.7% 52.3% 36.0% 1.45× 1.91
Charlotte Hornets under 126.5 51.5% 52.3% 81.5% 0.64× 1.91
Charlotte Hornets over 125.5 51.9% 52.3% 20.9% 2.50× 1.91
Washington Wizards over 106.5 53.2% 52.3% 68.9% 0.76× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 107.5 50.2% 52.3% 33.4% 1.57× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 111.5 54.3% 52.2% 45.4% 1.15× 1.91
Charlotte Hornets over 120.5 53.9% 52.2% 33.7% 1.55× 1.91
Charlotte Hornets under 122.5 52.8% 52.2% 71.8% 0.73× 1.91
Washington Wizards over 109.5 52.3% 52.2% 60.9% 0.86× 1.91
Washington Wizards under 109.5 47.7% 47.8% 39.1% 1.22× 2.09
Charlotte Hornets over 122.5 47.2% 47.8% 28.2% 1.69× 2.09
Charlotte Hornets under 120.5 46.1% 47.8% 66.3% 0.72× 2.09
Washington Wizards over 111.5 45.7% 47.8% 54.6% 0.88× 2.09
Washington Wizards over 107.5 49.8% 47.7% 66.6% 0.72× 2.09
Charlotte Hornets over 126.5 48.5% 47.7% 18.5% 2.59× 2.09
Charlotte Hornets under 125.5 48.1% 47.7% 79.1% 0.60× 2.09
Washington Wizards under 106.5 46.8% 47.7% 31.1% 1.54× 2.09
Charlotte Hornets over 127.5 45.1% 47.7% 16.5% 2.90× 2.09
Washington Wizards over 108.5 46.4% 47.7% 64.0% 0.75× 2.09
Charlotte Hornets under 123.5 41.4% 42.9% 74.4% 0.58× 2.33
Washington Wizards under 104.5 40.0% 42.9% 25.0% 1.72× 2.33
Charlotte Hornets over 124.5 40.7% 42.1% 23.2% 1.81× 2.38
Charlotte Hornets under 118.5 39.6% 38.8% 60.3% 0.64× 2.58
Washington Wizards over 113.5 39.1% 38.8% 48.0% 0.81× 2.58
Charlotte Hornets over 129.5 38.4% 38.8% 12.8% 3.02× 2.58
Washington Wizards over 110.5 39.6% 38.8% 57.9% 0.67× 2.58
Charlotte Hornets under 121.5 34.9% 33.6% 69.6% 0.48× 2.98
Washington Wizards under 102.5 33.6% 33.6% 20.3% 1.65× 2.98
Washington Wizards over 112.5 33.2% 33.6% 51.5% 0.65× 2.98
Charlotte Hornets over 131.5 32.1% 33.6% 10.2% 3.29× 2.98
Washington Wizards under 105.5 34.8% 33.4% 28.1% 1.19× 2.99
Washington Wizards over 115.5 32.9% 33.4% 41.4% 0.81× 3.00
Charlotte Hornets under 119.5 28.8% 29.3% 63.5% 0.46× 3.42
Washington Wizards under 100.5 27.5% 29.3% 15.9% 1.85× 3.42
Washington Wizards over 114.5 27.2% 29.3% 44.5% 0.66× 3.42
Charlotte Hornets over 133.5 26.3% 29.3% 7.7% 3.78× 3.42
Washington Wizards under 103.5 28.9% 28.2% 22.5% 1.25× 3.55
Charlotte Hornets over 128.5 28.5% 28.2% 14.5% 1.94× 3.55
Charlotte Hornets under 114.5 27.6% 28.2% 48.6% 0.58× 3.55
Charlotte Hornets under 116.5 20.8% 24.9% 54.7% 0.45× 4.02
Charlotte Hornets under 111.5 20.0% 19.7% 38.9% 0.51× 5.07
Washington Wizards over 120.5 19.6% 19.7% 27.3% 0.72× 5.07
Washington Wizards under 97.5 19.6% 19.3% 10.7% 1.80× 5.18
Washington Wizards over 117.5 19.4% 19.3% 35.6% 0.54× 5.18
Charlotte Hornets over 136.5 18.7% 19.3% 4.8% 4.06× 5.18
Total points 56
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 252.5 points 86.4% 85.5% 88.1% 0.97× 1.17
Under 253.5 points 86.2% 85.0% 89.1% 0.95× 1.18
Over 213.5 points 86.1% 85.0% 76.4% 1.11× 1.18
Over 212.5 points 84.9% 81.9% 77.8% 1.05× 1.22
Under 247.5 points 79.8% 78.1% 83.3% 0.94× 1.28
Over 217.5 points 77.8% 78.1% 69.6% 1.12× 1.28
Over 218.5 points 79.3% 75.6% 67.8% 1.12× 1.32
Under 248.5 points 79.3% 75.6% 84.4% 0.90× 1.32
Under 242.5 points 71.4% 71.0% 76.8% 0.92× 1.41
Over 223.5 points 70.6% 70.8% 58.3% 1.22× 1.41
Under 243.5 points 70.7% 70.8% 78.2% 0.91× 1.41
Over 222.5 points 69.1% 66.6% 60.4% 1.10× 1.50
Under 239.5 points 65.8% 66.6% 72.5% 0.92× 1.50
Over 225.5 points 63.2% 61.7% 54.7% 1.13× 1.62
Under 237.5 points 61.8% 61.7% 69.3% 0.89× 1.62
Over 226.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 52.7% 1.17× 1.63
Under 240.5 points 64.8% 61.5% 74.0% 0.83× 1.63
Over 228.5 points 60.7% 61.5% 48.7% 1.26× 1.63
Under 238.5 points 60.7% 61.5% 70.9% 0.87× 1.63
Over 230.5 points 56.5% 56.5% 44.6% 1.27× 1.77
Under 236.5 points 56.5% 56.5% 67.3% 0.84× 1.77
Over 227.5 points 59.1% 56.0% 50.6% 1.11× 1.79
Under 235.5 points 57.7% 56.0% 65.3% 0.86× 1.79
Over 232.5 points 52.2% 52.3% 40.6% 1.29× 1.91
Under 234.5 points 52.2% 52.3% 63.3% 0.83× 1.91
Under 233.5 points 50.0% 52.3% 61.4% 0.85× 1.91
Over 229.5 points 55.0% 52.2% 46.7% 1.12× 1.91
Over 231.5 points 50.7% 52.2% 42.6% 1.22× 1.92
Under 231.5 points 49.3% 47.8% 57.4% 0.83× 2.09
Under 229.5 points 45.0% 47.8% 53.3% 0.90× 2.09
Over 233.5 points 50.0% 47.7% 38.6% 1.23× 2.10
Under 232.5 points 47.8% 47.7% 59.4% 0.80× 2.10
Over 234.5 points 47.8% 47.7% 36.7% 1.30× 2.10
Over 235.5 points 42.3% 44.0% 34.7% 1.27× 2.27
Under 227.5 points 40.9% 44.0% 49.4% 0.89× 2.27
Under 230.5 points 43.5% 43.5% 55.4% 0.79× 2.30
Over 236.5 points 43.5% 43.5% 32.7% 1.33× 2.30
Under 228.5 points 39.3% 38.5% 51.3% 0.75× 2.60
Over 238.5 points 39.3% 38.5% 29.1% 1.32× 2.60
Under 226.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 47.3% 0.82× 2.60
Over 240.5 points 35.2% 38.5% 26.0% 1.48× 2.60
Over 237.5 points 38.2% 38.3% 30.7% 1.24× 2.61
Under 225.5 points 36.8% 38.3% 45.3% 0.84× 2.61
Over 239.5 points 34.2% 33.4% 27.5% 1.21× 2.99
Under 222.5 points 30.9% 33.4% 39.6% 0.84× 3.00
Under 223.5 points 29.4% 29.2% 41.7% 0.70× 3.43
Over 243.5 points 29.3% 29.2% 21.8% 1.34× 3.43
Over 242.5 points 28.6% 29.0% 23.2% 1.25× 3.45
Under 218.5 points 20.7% 24.4% 32.2% 0.76× 4.10
Over 248.5 points 20.7% 24.4% 15.6% 1.57× 4.10
Under 217.5 points 22.3% 21.9% 30.4% 0.72× 4.57
Over 247.5 points 20.2% 21.9% 16.7% 1.31× 4.57
Under 212.5 points 15.1% 18.1% 22.2% 0.82× 5.53
Under 213.5 points 13.9% 15.0% 23.6% 0.64× 6.68
Over 253.5 points 13.8% 15.0% 10.9% 1.38× 6.68
Over 252.5 points 13.6% 14.5% 11.9% 1.22× 6.88
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets to win both halves 60.1% 60.6% 25.2% 2.40× 1.65
Washington Wizards to win both halves 2.6% 3.0% 17.8% 0.17× 33.68
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Charlotte Hornets by 26+ 31.5% 37.6% 6.2% 6.07× 2.66
Charlotte Hornets by 16-20 13.9% 12.3% 7.3% 1.68× 8.11
Charlotte Hornets by 21-25 13.2% 12.3% 4.7% 2.62× 8.11
Charlotte Hornets by 11-15 13.0% 12.3% 10.8% 1.14× 8.11
Charlotte Hornets by 6-10 10.8% 12.3% 13.9% 0.88× 8.11
Charlotte Hornets by 1-5 7.9% 7.5% 12.8% 0.58× 13.40
Washington Wizards by 1-5 4.7% 2.0% 12.3% 0.17× 49.29
Washington Wizards by 6-10 2.7% 2.0% 12.3% 0.16× 49.30
Washington Wizards by 11-15 1.4% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.32
Washington Wizards by 16-20 0.6% 2.0% 4.9% 0.42× 49.32
Washington Wizards by 21-25 0.2% 2.0% 3.0% 0.67× 49.33
Washington Wizards by 26+ 0.1% 2.0% 3.9% 0.53× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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