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Chattanooga Mocs v Florida Gators — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 8 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Chattanooga Mocs win
8.2%
Draw
0.0%
Florida Gators win
91.8%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 57.88–73.29 58-73 0% 50% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.36
Chattanooga Mocs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Chattanooga Mocs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Chattanooga Mocs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Florida Gators to score 100+ 0.2% 0.4% 0.5% 0.72× 283.31
Florida Gators to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Florida Gators to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Florida Gators to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win H1 78.1% 79.2% 39.9% 1.99× 1.26
Chattanooga Mocs to win H1 18.6% 16.9% 56.4% 0.30× 5.91
H1 tied 3.2% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.87
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 under 75.5 89.4% 87.7% 88.8% 0.99× 1.14
H1 over 51.5 87.5% 87.7% 82.0% 1.07× 1.14
H1 under 71.5 80.3% 82.5% 81.4% 1.01× 1.21
H1 over 55.5 77.2% 77.4% 71.0% 1.09× 1.29
H1 under 68.5 71.1% 73.5% 73.5% 1.00× 1.36
H1 over 58.5 67.1% 67.4% 61.4% 1.10× 1.48
H1 under 66.5 63.9% 62.7% 67.1% 0.93× 1.59
H1 over 60.5 59.6% 58.2% 53.9% 1.08× 1.72
H1 under 64.5 56.3% 58.2% 60.7% 0.96× 1.72
H1 over 62.5 51.7% 52.6% 46.3% 1.14× 1.90
H1 under 63.5 52.3% 52.6% 57.1% 0.92× 1.90
H1 under 62.5 48.3% 47.4% 53.7% 0.88× 2.11
H1 over 63.5 47.7% 47.4% 42.9% 1.10× 2.11
H1 over 64.5 43.7% 41.8% 39.3% 1.06× 2.39
H1 under 60.5 40.5% 41.8% 46.1% 0.91× 2.39
H1 over 66.5 36.1% 37.3% 32.9% 1.13× 2.68
H1 under 58.5 32.9% 32.6% 38.6% 0.84× 3.07
H1 over 68.5 28.9% 26.5% 26.5% 1.00× 3.77
H1 under 55.5 22.8% 22.6% 29.0% 0.78× 4.43
H1 over 71.5 19.7% 17.5% 18.6% 0.94× 5.72
H1 under 51.5 12.5% 12.3% 18.0% 0.68× 8.14
H1 over 75.5 10.6% 12.3% 11.2% 1.10× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win H2 79.6% 74.0% 40.6% 1.82× 1.35
Chattanooga Mocs to win H2 17.4% 20.4% 56.0% 0.36× 4.90
H2 tied 3.0% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 81.5 88.4% 85.2% 85.8% 0.99× 1.17
H2 over 57.5 86.4% 85.2% 82.2% 1.04× 1.17
H2 under 77.5 79.3% 75.8% 77.9% 0.97× 1.32
H2 over 61.5 76.1% 75.8% 71.3% 1.06× 1.32
H2 under 74.5 70.3% 72.2% 69.9% 1.03× 1.39
H2 over 64.5 66.3% 66.4% 62.1% 1.07× 1.51
H2 under 72.5 63.4% 61.6% 64.1% 0.96× 1.62
H2 over 66.5 59.0% 57.3% 55.4% 1.04× 1.74
H2 under 70.5 56.1% 57.3% 57.8% 0.99× 1.74
H2 over 68.5 51.5% 52.4% 48.7% 1.08× 1.91
H2 under 69.5 52.3% 52.4% 54.8% 0.96× 1.91
H2 under 68.5 48.5% 47.6% 51.3% 0.93× 2.10
H2 over 69.5 47.7% 47.6% 45.2% 1.05× 2.10
H2 over 70.5 43.9% 42.7% 42.2% 1.01× 2.34
H2 under 66.5 41.0% 42.7% 44.6% 0.96× 2.35
H2 over 72.5 36.6% 38.4% 36.0% 1.07× 2.61
H2 under 64.5 33.7% 33.6% 37.9% 0.89× 2.97
H2 over 74.5 29.7% 27.8% 30.1% 0.93× 3.59
H2 under 61.5 23.9% 24.2% 28.7% 0.84× 4.13
H2 over 77.5 20.7% 24.2% 22.1% 1.10× 4.13
H2 under 57.5 13.6% 14.8% 17.8% 0.83× 6.76
H2 over 81.5 11.6% 14.8% 14.2% 1.04× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators leading at half time 78.1% 79.7% 39.9% 2.00× 1.26
Chattanooga Mocs leading at half time 18.6% 17.1% 56.4% 0.30× 5.87
Level at half time 3.2% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators +14.5 99.6% 97.4% 72.1% 1.35× 1.03
Florida Gators +16.5 99.8% 97.4% 75.7% 1.29× 1.03
Florida Gators +18.5 99.9% 97.4% 79.3% 1.23× 1.03
Florida Gators +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 82.0% 1.19× 1.03
Florida Gators +4.5 96.0% 97.4% 47.8% 2.04× 1.03
Florida Gators +5.5 96.7% 97.4% 50.3% 1.94× 1.03
Florida Gators +6.5 97.3% 97.4% 52.4% 1.86× 1.03
Florida Gators +7.5 97.8% 97.4% 55.2% 1.76× 1.03
Florida Gators +8.5 98.3% 97.4% 58.0% 1.68× 1.03
Florida Gators +9.5 98.6% 97.4% 60.7% 1.61× 1.03
Florida Gators +10.5 98.9% 97.4% 63.2% 1.54× 1.03
Florida Gators +12.5 99.3% 97.4% 67.9% 1.44× 1.03
Florida Gators +3.5 95.2% 97.4% 45.8% 2.13× 1.03
Florida Gators +2.5 94.2% 91.1% 43.3% 2.11× 1.10
Florida Gators +1.5 93.1% 91.1% 41.3% 2.21× 1.10
Florida Gators −1.5 90.2% 91.1% 38.8% 2.35× 1.10
Florida Gators −2.5 88.4% 85.9% 36.7% 2.34× 1.16
Florida Gators −3.5 86.4% 85.9% 34.3% 2.50× 1.16
Florida Gators −4.5 84.1% 81.1% 32.2% 2.52× 1.23
Florida Gators −5.5 81.7% 81.1% 29.9% 2.71× 1.23
Florida Gators −6.5 79.1% 76.5% 27.7% 2.76× 1.31
Florida Gators −7.5 76.3% 76.5% 25.5% 3.00× 1.31
Florida Gators −8.5 73.4% 71.6% 23.5% 3.04× 1.40
Florida Gators −9.5 70.2% 71.6% 21.3% 3.36× 1.40
Chattanooga Mocs +20.5 68.5% 66.7% 92.7% 0.72× 1.50
Florida Gators −10.5 66.9% 66.7% 19.6% 3.40× 1.50
Chattanooga Mocs +18.5 61.7% 61.9% 91.1% 0.68× 1.62
Florida Gators −12.5 60.0% 61.9% 16.2% 3.81× 1.62
Chattanooga Mocs +16.5 54.6% 52.4% 89.1% 0.59× 1.91
Florida Gators −14.5 52.8% 52.4% 13.3% 3.95× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs +14.5 47.2% 47.6% 86.7% 0.55× 2.10
Florida Gators −16.5 45.4% 47.6% 10.9% 4.38× 2.10
Chattanooga Mocs +12.5 40.0% 38.1% 83.8% 0.45× 2.63
Florida Gators −18.5 38.3% 38.1% 8.9% 4.27× 2.63
Chattanooga Mocs +10.5 33.1% 33.3% 80.4% 0.41× 3.01
Florida Gators −20.5 31.5% 33.3% 7.3% 4.57× 3.01
Chattanooga Mocs +9.5 29.8% 28.4% 78.7% 0.36× 3.53
Chattanooga Mocs +8.5 26.6% 28.4% 76.5% 0.37× 3.53
Chattanooga Mocs +7.5 23.7% 23.5% 74.5% 0.32× 4.25
Chattanooga Mocs +6.5 20.9% 23.5% 72.3% 0.33× 4.25
Chattanooga Mocs +5.5 18.3% 18.9% 70.1% 0.27× 5.29
Chattanooga Mocs +4.5 15.9% 18.9% 67.8% 0.28× 5.30
Chattanooga Mocs +3.5 13.7% 14.1% 65.7% 0.21× 7.09
Chattanooga Mocs +2.5 11.6% 14.1% 63.3% 0.22× 7.09
Chattanooga Mocs +1.5 9.8% 8.9% 61.2% 0.15× 11.25
Chattanooga Mocs −1.5 6.9% 8.9% 58.7% 0.15× 11.25
Chattanooga Mocs −2.5 5.8% 8.9% 56.7% 0.16× 11.25
Chattanooga Mocs −3.5 4.8% 2.6% 54.2% 0.05× 38.72
Chattanooga Mocs −4.5 4.0% 2.6% 52.2% 0.05× 38.72
Chattanooga Mocs −5.5 3.3% 2.6% 49.7% 0.05× 38.73
Chattanooga Mocs −6.5 2.7% 2.6% 47.6% 0.05× 38.73
Chattanooga Mocs −7.5 2.2% 2.6% 44.8% 0.06× 38.73
Chattanooga Mocs −8.5 1.7% 2.6% 42.0% 0.06× 38.73
Chattanooga Mocs −9.5 1.4% 2.6% 39.3% 0.07× 38.73
Chattanooga Mocs −10.5 1.1% 2.6% 36.8% 0.07× 38.74
Chattanooga Mocs −12.5 0.7% 2.6% 32.1% 0.08× 38.74
Chattanooga Mocs −14.5 0.4% 2.6% 27.9% 0.09× 38.74
Chattanooga Mocs −16.5 0.2% 2.6% 24.3% 0.11× 38.74
Chattanooga Mocs −18.5 0.1% 2.6% 20.7% 0.12× 38.74
Chattanooga Mocs −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 18.0% 0.14× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 72.2% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 27.8% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 34.5% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.7% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.2% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 15.7% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators at HT / Florida Gators at FT 75.4% 78.0% 30.1% 2.59× 1.28
Chattanooga Mocs at HT / Florida Gators at FT 13.6% 12.2% 8.2% 1.49× 8.17
Chattanooga Mocs at HT / Chattanooga Mocs at FT 5.0% 8.3% 48.3% 0.17× 12.10
Level at HT / Florida Gators at FT 2.8% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.74
Florida Gators at HT / Chattanooga Mocs at FT 2.7% 2.1% 9.8% 0.21× 47.75
Level at HT / Chattanooga Mocs at FT 0.4% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win 91.8% 90.6% 40.1% 2.26× 1.10
Chattanooga Mocs to win 8.2% 9.4% 59.9% 0.16× 10.63
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs even 50.2% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Florida Gators even 50.0% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 50.7% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Chattanooga Mocs odd 49.8% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Florida Gators odd 50.0% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.3% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 96.6% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 3.4% 3.0% 4.4% 0.67× 33.43
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win Q1 68.7% 72.3% 40.4% 1.79× 1.38
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q1 26.1% 22.4% 54.7% 0.41× 4.47
Q1 tied 5.3% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.33
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 over 23.5 88.8% 87.4% 85.4% 1.02× 1.14
Q1 under 39.5 87.8% 87.4% 87.5% 1.00× 1.14
Q1 over 26.5 77.8% 76.9% 72.9% 1.06× 1.30
Q1 under 36.5 76.5% 76.9% 77.4% 0.99× 1.30
Q1 over 28.5 68.0% 67.6% 62.7% 1.08× 1.48
Q1 under 34.5 66.5% 67.6% 68.5% 0.99× 1.48
Q1 over 30.5 56.7% 58.6% 51.2% 1.14× 1.71
Q1 under 32.5 55.1% 58.6% 59.1% 0.99× 1.71
Q1 over 31.5 50.8% 52.7% 46.0% 1.14× 1.90
Q1 under 31.5 49.2% 47.3% 54.0% 0.88× 2.11
Q1 over 32.5 44.9% 41.4% 40.9% 1.01× 2.42
Q1 under 30.5 43.3% 41.4% 48.8% 0.85× 2.42
Q1 over 34.5 33.5% 32.4% 31.5% 1.03× 3.08
Q1 under 28.5 32.0% 32.4% 37.3% 0.87× 3.08
Q1 over 36.5 23.5% 23.1% 22.6% 1.02× 4.33
Q1 under 26.5 22.2% 23.1% 27.1% 0.85× 4.33
Q1 over 39.5 12.2% 12.6% 12.5% 1.01× 7.95
Q1 under 23.5 11.2% 12.6% 14.6% 0.86× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win Q2 68.1% 68.4% 41.5% 1.65× 1.46
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q2 26.7% 27.7% 52.9% 0.52× 3.61
Q2 tied 5.2% 6.1% 5.7% 1.06× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 under 39.5 88.8% 87.3% 88.4% 0.99× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 87.8% 87.3% 84.6% 1.03× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 78.0% 76.8% 78.7% 0.98× 1.30
Q2 over 26.5 76.3% 76.8% 71.6% 1.07× 1.30
Q2 under 34.5 68.2% 67.4% 70.1% 0.96× 1.49
Q2 over 28.5 66.2% 67.4% 61.2% 1.10× 1.49
Q2 under 32.5 57.0% 58.2% 60.8% 0.96× 1.72
Q2 over 30.5 54.8% 52.7% 49.9% 1.06× 1.90
Q2 under 31.5 51.1% 52.7% 55.7% 0.95× 1.90
Q2 over 31.5 48.9% 47.3% 44.3% 1.07× 2.11
Q2 under 30.5 45.2% 47.3% 50.1% 0.94× 2.11
Q2 over 32.5 43.0% 41.8% 39.2% 1.07× 2.39
Q2 under 28.5 33.8% 32.6% 38.8% 0.84× 3.06
Q2 over 34.5 31.8% 32.6% 29.9% 1.09× 3.06
Q2 under 26.5 23.7% 23.2% 28.4% 0.82× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 22.0% 23.2% 21.3% 1.09× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 12.2% 12.7% 15.4% 0.82× 7.89
Q2 over 39.5 11.2% 12.7% 11.6% 1.09× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win Q3 69.9% 66.8% 41.8% 1.60× 1.50
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q3 25.1% 28.7% 53.3% 0.54× 3.48
Q3 tied 5.0% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 26.5 87.6% 87.2% 83.8% 1.04× 1.15
Q3 under 42.5 87.8% 87.2% 87.8% 0.99× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 76.8% 77.3% 77.9% 0.99× 1.29
Q3 over 29.5 76.3% 77.3% 71.8% 1.08× 1.29
Q3 under 37.5 67.1% 67.8% 69.7% 0.97× 1.48
Q3 over 31.5 66.5% 67.8% 61.6% 1.10× 1.48
Q3 under 35.5 56.1% 58.4% 59.7% 0.98× 1.71
Q3 over 33.5 55.4% 58.4% 50.9% 1.15× 1.71
Q3 under 34.5 50.4% 52.3% 54.6% 0.96× 1.91
Q3 over 34.5 49.6% 47.7% 45.4% 1.05× 2.10
Q3 under 33.5 44.6% 41.6% 49.1% 0.85× 2.40
Q3 over 35.5 43.9% 41.6% 40.3% 1.03× 2.40
Q3 under 31.5 33.5% 32.2% 38.4% 0.84× 3.10
Q3 over 37.5 32.9% 32.2% 30.3% 1.06× 3.10
Q3 under 29.5 23.7% 22.7% 28.2% 0.81× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 23.2% 22.7% 22.1% 1.03× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 12.4% 12.8% 16.2% 0.79× 7.83
Q3 over 42.5 12.2% 12.8% 12.2% 1.05× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win Q4 69.6% 60.7% 41.5% 1.46× 1.65
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q4 25.5% 33.3% 52.8% 0.63× 3.01
Q4 tied 4.9% 5.2% 5.7% 0.91× 19.28
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 26.5 86.4% 85.6% 82.6% 1.04× 1.17
Q4 under 42.5 86.2% 85.6% 86.2% 0.99× 1.17
Q4 over 29.5 75.3% 76.9% 70.8% 1.09× 1.30
Q4 under 39.5 75.3% 76.9% 77.0% 1.00× 1.30
Q4 over 31.5 65.9% 67.4% 61.1% 1.10× 1.48
Q4 under 37.5 65.9% 67.4% 68.8% 0.98× 1.48
Q4 over 33.5 55.4% 58.4% 50.4% 1.16× 1.71
Q4 under 35.5 55.4% 58.4% 59.4% 0.98× 1.71
Q4 over 34.5 50.0% 52.5% 45.6% 1.15× 1.91
Q4 under 34.5 50.0% 47.5% 54.4% 0.87× 2.11
Q4 under 33.5 44.6% 41.6% 49.6% 0.84× 2.40
Q4 over 35.5 44.6% 41.6% 40.6% 1.03× 2.40
Q4 under 31.5 34.1% 32.6% 38.9% 0.84× 3.07
Q4 over 37.5 34.1% 32.6% 31.2% 1.04× 3.07
Q4 under 29.5 24.7% 23.1% 29.2% 0.79× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 24.7% 23.1% 23.0% 1.00× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 13.6% 14.4% 17.4% 0.83× 6.95
Q4 over 42.5 13.8% 14.4% 13.8% 1.04× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs under 68.5 86.7% 83.9% 54.4% 1.54× 1.19
Florida Gators over 63.5 86.3% 83.9% 46.1% 1.82× 1.19
Chattanooga Mocs over 48.5 85.9% 83.9% 93.3% 0.90× 1.19
Florida Gators under 83.5 85.9% 83.9% 93.9% 0.89× 1.19
Chattanooga Mocs under 65.5 78.6% 75.1% 44.7% 1.68× 1.33
Florida Gators over 66.5 77.9% 75.1% 37.3% 2.02× 1.33
Chattanooga Mocs over 51.5 76.6% 75.1% 89.3% 0.84× 1.33
Florida Gators under 80.5 77.4% 75.1% 91.0% 0.83× 1.33
Chattanooga Mocs under 63.5 71.9% 70.7% 38.5% 1.83× 1.41
Florida Gators over 68.5 70.9% 70.7% 31.4% 2.25× 1.41
Florida Gators under 78.5 70.4% 70.7% 88.3% 0.80× 1.41
Chattanooga Mocs over 53.5 69.2% 66.4% 85.8% 0.77× 1.51
Chattanooga Mocs under 61.5 64.3% 61.2% 33.1% 1.85× 1.63
Florida Gators over 70.5 63.1% 61.2% 26.3% 2.33× 1.63
Florida Gators under 76.5 62.5% 61.2% 85.8% 0.71× 1.63
Chattanooga Mocs over 55.5 61.1% 61.2% 81.6% 0.75× 1.63
Chattanooga Mocs under 59.5 56.0% 57.1% 27.8% 2.05× 1.75
Florida Gators over 72.5 54.6% 52.3% 21.8% 2.40× 1.91
Florida Gators under 74.5 54.0% 52.3% 82.3% 0.64× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs over 57.5 52.5% 52.3% 77.2% 0.68× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs under 58.5 51.8% 52.3% 25.3% 2.07× 1.91
Florida Gators over 73.5 50.3% 52.3% 19.8% 2.64× 1.91
Florida Gators under 73.5 49.7% 47.7% 80.2% 0.60× 2.09
Chattanooga Mocs under 57.5 47.5% 47.7% 22.8% 2.09× 2.09
Chattanooga Mocs over 58.5 48.2% 47.7% 74.7% 0.64× 2.09
Florida Gators under 72.5 45.4% 47.7% 78.2% 0.61× 2.09
Florida Gators over 74.5 46.0% 47.7% 17.7% 2.69× 2.09
Chattanooga Mocs over 59.5 44.0% 42.9% 72.2% 0.59× 2.33
Chattanooga Mocs under 55.5 38.9% 38.8% 18.5% 2.10× 2.58
Florida Gators under 70.5 36.9% 38.8% 73.7% 0.53× 2.58
Florida Gators over 76.5 37.5% 38.8% 14.2% 2.73× 2.58
Chattanooga Mocs over 61.5 35.7% 38.8% 66.9% 0.58× 2.58
Chattanooga Mocs under 53.5 30.8% 33.6% 14.2% 2.36× 2.98
Florida Gators under 68.5 29.1% 29.3% 68.6% 0.43× 3.42
Florida Gators over 78.5 29.6% 29.3% 11.7% 2.51× 3.42
Chattanooga Mocs over 63.5 28.1% 29.3% 61.5% 0.48× 3.42
Chattanooga Mocs under 51.5 23.4% 24.9% 10.7% 2.31× 4.02
Florida Gators over 80.5 22.6% 24.9% 9.0% 2.76× 4.02
Chattanooga Mocs over 65.5 21.4% 24.9% 55.3% 0.45× 4.02
Florida Gators under 66.5 22.1% 24.9% 62.7% 0.40× 4.02
Chattanooga Mocs under 48.5 14.1% 16.1% 6.7% 2.42× 6.21
Florida Gators over 83.5 14.1% 16.1% 6.1% 2.66× 6.21
Chattanooga Mocs over 68.5 13.3% 16.1% 45.6% 0.35× 6.21
Florida Gators under 63.5 13.7% 16.1% 53.9% 0.30× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 152.5 points 91.9% 88.8% 88.1% 1.01× 1.13
Over 112.5 points 91.2% 88.8% 83.6% 1.06× 1.13
Under 147.5 points 85.6% 85.0% 82.3% 1.03× 1.18
Over 117.5 points 83.8% 80.6% 75.3% 1.07× 1.24
Under 142.5 points 76.7% 75.6% 75.1% 1.01× 1.32
Over 122.5 points 73.7% 70.8% 65.6% 1.08× 1.41
Under 139.5 points 70.1% 70.8% 69.9% 1.01× 1.41
Over 125.5 points 66.4% 65.9% 59.5% 1.11× 1.52
Under 137.5 points 65.3% 65.9% 66.2% 1.00× 1.52
Over 127.5 points 61.2% 61.5% 55.1% 1.12× 1.63
Under 135.5 points 60.2% 61.5% 62.4% 0.99× 1.63
Over 129.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 50.5% 1.12× 1.77
Under 133.5 points 54.9% 52.3% 58.0% 0.90× 1.91
Under 132.5 points 52.2% 52.3% 56.0% 0.94× 1.91
Over 131.5 points 50.5% 52.3% 46.1% 1.14× 1.91
Under 131.5 points 49.5% 47.7% 53.9% 0.88× 2.10
Over 132.5 points 47.8% 47.7% 44.0% 1.08× 2.10
Over 133.5 points 45.1% 47.7% 42.0% 1.14× 2.10
Under 129.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 49.5% 0.88× 2.30
Over 135.5 points 39.8% 38.5% 37.6% 1.02× 2.60
Under 127.5 points 38.8% 38.5% 44.9% 0.86× 2.60
Over 137.5 points 34.7% 34.1% 33.8% 1.01× 2.93
Under 125.5 points 33.6% 34.1% 40.5% 0.84× 2.93
Over 139.5 points 29.9% 29.2% 30.1% 0.97× 3.43
Under 122.5 points 26.3% 29.2% 34.4% 0.85× 3.43
Over 142.5 points 23.3% 24.4% 24.9% 0.98× 4.10
Under 117.5 points 16.2% 19.4% 24.7% 0.79× 5.15
Over 147.5 points 14.4% 15.0% 17.7% 0.84× 6.68
Under 112.5 points 8.8% 11.2% 16.4% 0.68× 8.96
Over 152.5 points 8.1% 11.2% 11.9% 0.94× 8.96
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators to win both halves 60.5% 60.6% 20.4% 2.98× 1.65
Chattanooga Mocs to win both halves 2.0% 3.0% 36.0% 0.08× 33.72
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Florida Gators by 11-15 17.8% 16.8% 7.6% 2.20× 5.97
Florida Gators by 16-20 17.6% 16.8% 4.8% 3.53× 5.97
Florida Gators by 26+ 17.2% 16.8% 4.6% 3.63× 5.97
Florida Gators by 6-10 14.8% 12.3% 10.3% 1.20× 8.11
Florida Gators by 21-25 14.3% 12.3% 2.7% 4.61× 8.11
Florida Gators by 1-5 10.1% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Chattanooga Mocs by 1-5 4.9% 2.0% 10.2% 0.20× 49.28
Chattanooga Mocs by 6-10 2.2% 2.0% 12.9% 0.16× 49.31
Chattanooga Mocs by 11-15 0.8% 2.0% 10.8% 0.19× 49.32
Chattanooga Mocs by 16-20 0.2% 2.0% 8.0% 0.25× 49.33
Chattanooga Mocs by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 5.4% 0.38× 49.33
Chattanooga Mocs by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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