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Chattanooga Mocs v Lipscomb Bisons — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Sunday 15 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Chattanooga Mocs win
71.3%
Draw
0.0%
Lipscomb Bisons win
28.7%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 62.83–56.57 63-57 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lipscomb Bisons to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Lipscomb Bisons to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Lipscomb Bisons to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Lipscomb Bisons to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
Chattanooga Mocs to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Chattanooga Mocs to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Chattanooga Mocs to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Chattanooga Mocs to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win H1 60.9% 62.2% 56.4% 1.10× 1.61
Lipscomb Bisons to win H1 34.8% 33.2% 39.9% 0.83× 3.02
H1 tied 4.3% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 88.9% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 88.5% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 79.0% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 79.0% 77.4% 63.9% 1.21× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 69.2% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 69.4% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 54.5 61.7% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 62.0% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 53.8% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 54.2% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 50.2% 52.6% 35.2% 1.50× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 49.8% 47.4% 64.8% 0.73× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 46.2% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 45.8% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 under 54.5 38.3% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 60.5 38.0% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 52.5 30.8% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 62.5 30.6% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 49.5 21.0% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 65.5 21.0% 22.6% 36.1% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 45.5 11.1% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H1 over 69.5 11.5% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win H2 61.8% 58.8% 56.0% 1.05× 1.70
Lipscomb Bisons to win H2 34.1% 36.3% 40.6% 0.90× 2.75
H2 tied 4.1% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.35
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 75.5 88.5% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 51.5 86.7% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 79.4% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 76.4% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 70.4% 72.2% 51.3% 1.41× 1.39
H2 over 58.5 66.5% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 63.5% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 59.2% 57.3% 74.5% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 56.1% 57.3% 37.9% 1.51× 1.74
H2 over 62.5 51.5% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 52.3% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 48.5% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 47.7% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 43.9% 42.7% 62.1% 0.69× 2.34
H2 under 60.5 40.8% 42.7% 25.5% 1.67× 2.35
H2 over 66.5 36.5% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 33.5% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 29.6% 27.8% 48.7% 0.57× 3.59
H2 under 55.5 23.6% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 20.6% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 13.3% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 11.5% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs leading at half time 60.9% 62.5% 56.4% 1.11× 1.60
Lipscomb Bisons leading at half time 34.8% 32.8% 39.9% 0.82× 3.05
Level at half time 4.3% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.40
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs +14.5 96.8% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Chattanooga Mocs +16.5 98.0% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Chattanooga Mocs +18.5 98.7% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Chattanooga Mocs +20.5 99.2% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Chattanooga Mocs +12.5 95.3% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Chattanooga Mocs +10.5 93.1% 91.1% 80.4% 1.13× 1.10
Chattanooga Mocs +8.5 90.3% 91.1% 76.5% 1.19× 1.10
Chattanooga Mocs +9.5 91.8% 91.1% 78.7% 1.16× 1.10
Lipscomb Bisons +20.5 90.8% 91.1% 82.0% 1.11× 1.10
Chattanooga Mocs +7.5 88.7% 85.9% 74.5% 1.15× 1.16
Chattanooga Mocs +6.5 86.8% 85.9% 72.3% 1.19× 1.16
Lipscomb Bisons +18.5 87.3% 85.9% 79.3% 1.08× 1.16
Chattanooga Mocs +5.5 84.7% 81.1% 70.1% 1.16× 1.23
Chattanooga Mocs +4.5 82.4% 81.1% 67.8% 1.20× 1.23
Lipscomb Bisons +16.5 82.9% 81.1% 75.7% 1.07× 1.23
Chattanooga Mocs +3.5 79.9% 76.5% 65.7% 1.16× 1.31
Chattanooga Mocs +2.5 77.2% 76.5% 63.3% 1.21× 1.31
Lipscomb Bisons +14.5 77.7% 76.5% 72.1% 1.06× 1.31
Chattanooga Mocs +1.5 74.3% 71.6% 61.2% 1.17× 1.40
Lipscomb Bisons +12.5 71.8% 71.6% 67.9% 1.06× 1.40
Chattanooga Mocs −1.5 67.9% 66.7% 58.7% 1.14× 1.50
Lipscomb Bisons +10.5 65.1% 66.7% 63.2% 1.06× 1.50
Chattanooga Mocs −2.5 64.3% 61.9% 56.7% 1.09× 1.62
Lipscomb Bisons +9.5 61.6% 61.9% 60.7% 1.02× 1.62
Chattanooga Mocs −3.5 60.7% 61.9% 54.2% 1.14× 1.62
Lipscomb Bisons +8.5 58.0% 57.1% 58.0% 0.98× 1.75
Chattanooga Mocs −4.5 57.0% 57.1% 52.2% 1.09× 1.75
Lipscomb Bisons +7.5 54.3% 52.4% 55.2% 0.95× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs −5.5 53.2% 52.4% 49.7% 1.05× 1.91
Lipscomb Bisons +6.5 50.5% 52.4% 52.4% 1.00× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs −6.5 49.5% 47.6% 47.6% 1.00× 2.10
Lipscomb Bisons +5.5 46.8% 47.6% 50.3% 0.95× 2.10
Chattanooga Mocs −7.5 45.7% 47.6% 44.8% 1.06× 2.10
Lipscomb Bisons +4.5 43.0% 42.9% 47.8% 0.90× 2.33
Chattanooga Mocs −8.5 42.0% 42.9% 42.0% 1.02× 2.33
Lipscomb Bisons +3.5 39.3% 38.1% 45.8% 0.83× 2.63
Chattanooga Mocs −9.5 38.4% 38.1% 39.3% 0.97× 2.63
Lipscomb Bisons +2.5 35.7% 38.1% 43.3% 0.88× 2.63
Chattanooga Mocs −10.5 34.9% 33.3% 36.8% 0.90× 3.01
Lipscomb Bisons +1.5 32.1% 33.3% 41.3% 0.81× 3.01
Chattanooga Mocs −12.5 28.2% 28.4% 32.1% 0.88× 3.53
Lipscomb Bisons −1.5 25.7% 28.4% 38.8% 0.73× 3.53
Lipscomb Bisons −2.5 22.8% 23.5% 36.7% 0.64× 4.25
Chattanooga Mocs −14.5 22.3% 23.5% 27.9% 0.84× 4.25
Lipscomb Bisons −3.5 20.1% 23.5% 34.3% 0.69× 4.25
Lipscomb Bisons −4.5 17.6% 18.9% 32.2% 0.59× 5.29
Chattanooga Mocs −16.5 17.1% 18.9% 24.3% 0.78× 5.29
Lipscomb Bisons −5.5 15.3% 18.9% 29.9% 0.63× 5.30
Lipscomb Bisons −6.5 13.2% 14.1% 27.7% 0.51× 7.09
Chattanooga Mocs −18.5 12.7% 14.1% 20.7% 0.68× 7.09
Lipscomb Bisons −7.5 11.3% 14.1% 25.5% 0.55× 7.09
Lipscomb Bisons −8.5 9.7% 8.9% 23.5% 0.38× 11.25
Lipscomb Bisons −9.5 8.2% 8.9% 21.3% 0.42× 11.25
Chattanooga Mocs −20.5 9.2% 8.9% 18.0% 0.49× 11.25
Lipscomb Bisons −10.5 6.9% 8.9% 19.6% 0.45× 11.25
Lipscomb Bisons −12.5 4.7% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.72
Lipscomb Bisons −14.5 3.2% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.73
Lipscomb Bisons −16.5 2.1% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.73
Lipscomb Bisons −18.5 1.3% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Lipscomb Bisons −20.5 0.8% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs at HT / Chattanooga Mocs at FT 52.3% 51.1% 48.3% 1.06× 1.96
Lipscomb Bisons at HT / Lipscomb Bisons at FT 18.7% 15.5% 30.1% 0.51× 6.47
Lipscomb Bisons at HT / Chattanooga Mocs at FT 16.0% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Chattanooga Mocs at HT / Lipscomb Bisons at FT 8.6% 8.3% 8.2% 1.01× 12.08
Level at HT / Chattanooga Mocs at FT 2.9% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Lipscomb Bisons at FT 1.4% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.77
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win 71.3% 68.7% 59.9% 1.15× 1.46
Lipscomb Bisons to win 28.7% 31.3% 40.1% 0.78× 3.20
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Total points odd 51.6% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Lipscomb Bisons even 50.2% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Chattanooga Mocs even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Lipscomb Bisons odd 49.8% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Chattanooga Mocs odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Total points even 48.4% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 94.4% 94.0% 95.6% 0.98× 1.06
Match to go to overtime 5.6% 6.0% 4.4% 1.35× 16.66
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q1 55.9% 57.3% 54.7% 1.05× 1.75
Lipscomb Bisons to win Q1 38.1% 38.2% 40.4% 0.95× 2.62
Q1 tied 6.0% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 90.0% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 86.7% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.8% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 74.5% 72.7% 81.8% 0.89× 1.38
Q1 under 32.5 70.5% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 64.0% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 59.5% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 53.6% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 52.4% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 47.6% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 46.4% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 40.5% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 36.0% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 29.5% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.5% 27.3% 18.2% 1.50× 3.66
Q1 over 34.5 20.2% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 13.3% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.0% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q2 55.7% 59.4% 52.9% 1.12× 1.69
Lipscomb Bisons to win Q2 38.4% 35.8% 41.5% 0.86× 2.80
Q2 tied 5.9% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.49
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 88.8% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 88.0% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 77.8% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 76.8% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 67.9% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 66.8% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 56.5% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 55.4% 58.2% 44.2% 1.32× 1.72
Q2 over 28.5 50.6% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 49.4% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 44.6% 41.8% 55.8% 0.75× 2.39
Q2 under 27.5 43.5% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 33.2% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 32.1% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 23.2% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 22.2% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 12.0% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.89
Q2 under 20.5 11.2% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q3 56.5% 56.8% 53.3% 1.07× 1.76
Lipscomb Bisons to win Q3 37.7% 38.8% 41.8% 0.93× 2.58
Q3 tied 5.8% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.97
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 87.8% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.9% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 under 36.5 76.9% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 26.5 76.5% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 34.5 67.2% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 28.5 66.6% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 32.5 56.1% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 30.5 55.5% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 31.5 50.3% 52.3% 38.4% 1.36× 1.91
Q3 over 31.5 49.7% 47.7% 61.6% 0.77× 2.10
Q3 under 30.5 44.5% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 32.5 43.9% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 28.5 33.4% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 34.5 32.8% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 26.5 23.5% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 36.5 23.1% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 23.5 12.2% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q3 over 39.5 12.1% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win Q4 56.4% 52.0% 52.8% 0.99× 1.92
Lipscomb Bisons to win Q4 37.9% 42.4% 41.5% 1.02× 2.36
Q4 tied 5.7% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.25
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 86.6% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 86.3% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 75.5% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 75.3% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 66.1% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 65.9% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 55.5% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 55.4% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 50.1% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 49.9% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 under 30.5 44.5% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 32.5 44.6% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 28.5 33.9% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 34.5 34.1% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 24.7% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 24.5% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 13.7% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Q4 under 23.5 13.4% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Lipscomb Bisons under 67.5 87.6% 83.9% 65.6% 1.28× 1.19
Chattanooga Mocs under 73.5 86.1% 83.9% 68.5% 1.23× 1.19
Lipscomb Bisons over 47.5 86.3% 83.9% 88.4% 0.95× 1.19
Chattanooga Mocs over 53.5 85.0% 80.7% 85.8% 0.94× 1.24
Lipscomb Bisons under 64.5 79.7% 75.1% 56.9% 1.32× 1.33
Chattanooga Mocs under 70.5 77.9% 75.1% 60.3% 1.25× 1.33
Chattanooga Mocs over 56.5 76.3% 75.1% 79.5% 0.94× 1.33
Lipscomb Bisons over 50.5 76.6% 75.1% 83.1% 0.90× 1.33
Lipscomb Bisons under 62.5 73.1% 70.7% 51.0% 1.39× 1.41
Chattanooga Mocs under 68.5 71.1% 70.7% 54.4% 1.30× 1.41
Chattanooga Mocs over 58.5 69.2% 66.4% 74.7% 0.89× 1.51
Lipscomb Bisons over 52.5 69.0% 66.4% 78.5% 0.85× 1.51
Lipscomb Bisons under 60.5 65.4% 66.4% 44.4% 1.50× 1.51
Chattanooga Mocs under 66.5 63.5% 61.2% 48.2% 1.27× 1.63
Chattanooga Mocs over 60.5 61.4% 61.2% 69.5% 0.88× 1.63
Lipscomb Bisons over 54.5 60.5% 61.2% 73.5% 0.83× 1.63
Lipscomb Bisons under 58.5 57.0% 57.1% 37.9% 1.51× 1.75
Chattanooga Mocs under 64.5 55.3% 57.1% 41.6% 1.37× 1.75
Chattanooga Mocs over 62.5 53.1% 52.3% 64.3% 0.81× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs under 63.5 51.1% 52.3% 38.5% 1.36× 1.91
Lipscomb Bisons over 56.5 51.7% 52.3% 68.0% 0.77× 1.91
Lipscomb Bisons under 57.5 52.7% 52.3% 34.9% 1.50× 1.91
Chattanooga Mocs under 62.5 46.9% 47.7% 35.7% 1.34× 2.09
Chattanooga Mocs over 63.5 48.9% 47.7% 61.5% 0.78× 2.09
Lipscomb Bisons under 56.5 48.3% 47.7% 32.0% 1.49× 2.09
Lipscomb Bisons over 57.5 47.3% 47.7% 65.1% 0.73× 2.09
Chattanooga Mocs over 64.5 44.7% 42.9% 58.4% 0.73× 2.33
Lipscomb Bisons over 58.5 43.0% 42.9% 62.1% 0.69× 2.33
Chattanooga Mocs under 60.5 38.6% 38.8% 30.5% 1.27× 2.58
Lipscomb Bisons under 54.5 39.5% 38.8% 26.5% 1.47× 2.58
Chattanooga Mocs over 66.5 36.5% 38.8% 51.8% 0.75× 2.58
Lipscomb Bisons over 60.5 34.6% 33.6% 55.6% 0.60× 2.98
Chattanooga Mocs under 58.5 30.8% 33.6% 25.3% 1.33× 2.98
Lipscomb Bisons under 52.5 31.0% 33.6% 21.5% 1.56× 2.98
Chattanooga Mocs over 68.5 28.9% 29.3% 45.6% 0.64× 3.42
Lipscomb Bisons over 62.5 26.9% 29.3% 49.0% 0.60× 3.42
Chattanooga Mocs under 56.5 23.7% 24.9% 20.5% 1.22× 4.02
Lipscomb Bisons under 50.5 23.4% 24.9% 16.9% 1.48× 4.02
Chattanooga Mocs over 70.5 22.1% 24.9% 39.7% 0.63× 4.02
Lipscomb Bisons over 64.5 20.3% 24.9% 43.2% 0.58× 4.02
Chattanooga Mocs under 53.5 15.0% 19.3% 14.2% 1.36× 5.18
Chattanooga Mocs over 73.5 13.9% 16.1% 31.5% 0.51× 6.21
Lipscomb Bisons under 47.5 13.7% 16.1% 11.6% 1.39× 6.21
Lipscomb Bisons over 67.5 12.4% 16.1% 34.4% 0.47× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Over 100.5 points 92.4% 88.8% 95.6% 0.93× 1.13
Under 140.5 points 91.5% 88.8% 71.8% 1.24× 1.13
Over 105.5 points 85.2% 85.0% 91.9% 0.93× 1.18
Under 135.5 points 85.1% 85.0% 62.4% 1.36× 1.18
Under 130.5 points 75.9% 75.6% 51.7% 1.46× 1.32
Over 110.5 points 75.2% 75.6% 86.4% 0.87× 1.32
Under 127.5 points 69.2% 65.9% 44.9% 1.47× 1.52
Over 113.5 points 67.8% 65.9% 81.9% 0.80× 1.52
Under 125.5 points 64.3% 61.5% 40.5% 1.52× 1.63
Over 115.5 points 62.7% 61.5% 78.8% 0.78× 1.63
Under 123.5 points 59.1% 56.5% 36.7% 1.54× 1.77
Over 117.5 points 57.3% 56.5% 75.3% 0.75× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 53.7% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Over 119.5 points 51.8% 52.3% 71.6% 0.73× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 50.9% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 49.1% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Under 119.5 points 48.2% 47.7% 28.4% 1.68× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 46.3% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 117.5 points 42.7% 43.5% 24.7% 1.76× 2.30
Over 123.5 points 40.9% 43.5% 63.3% 0.69× 2.30
Under 115.5 points 37.3% 38.5% 21.2% 1.82× 2.60
Over 125.5 points 35.7% 38.5% 59.5% 0.65× 2.60
Under 113.5 points 32.2% 34.1% 18.1% 1.89× 2.93
Over 127.5 points 30.8% 34.1% 55.1% 0.62× 2.93
Under 110.5 points 24.8% 24.4% 13.6% 1.80× 4.10
Over 130.5 points 24.1% 24.4% 48.3% 0.50× 4.10
Under 105.5 points 14.8% 15.0% 8.1% 1.86× 6.68
Over 135.5 points 14.9% 15.0% 37.6% 0.40× 6.68
Over 140.5 points 8.5% 11.2% 28.2% 0.40× 8.96
Under 100.5 points 7.6% 11.2% 4.4% 2.53× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs to win both halves 34.6% 31.3% 36.0% 0.87× 3.20
Lipscomb Bisons to win both halves 9.1% 8.8% 20.4% 0.43× 11.30
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Chattanooga Mocs by 1-5 18.0% 16.8% 10.2% 1.64× 5.97
Chattanooga Mocs by 6-10 18.4% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Chattanooga Mocs by 11-15 15.3% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Lipscomb Bisons by 1-5 13.5% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Chattanooga Mocs by 16-20 10.3% 12.3% 8.0% 1.53× 8.11
Lipscomb Bisons by 6-10 8.4% 7.5% 10.3% 0.72× 13.40
Chattanooga Mocs by 21-25 5.6% 7.5% 5.4% 1.39× 13.40
Lipscomb Bisons by 11-15 4.3% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.29
Chattanooga Mocs by 26+ 3.6% 2.0% 12.6% 0.16× 49.30
Lipscomb Bisons by 16-20 1.8% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.31
Lipscomb Bisons by 21-25 0.6% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.32
Lipscomb Bisons by 26+ 0.2% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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