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Clemson Tigers v Georgetown Hoyas — Prediction, Odds & Stats

Friday 27 November 2026 · NCAAW · 2027

NCAAW results-only Prediction generated

AI prediction

nba-normal No snapshot has been taken for this fixture yet; this is the stored price.
Clemson Tigers win
88.4%
Draw
0.0%
Georgetown Hoyas win
11.6%

Probabilities, not certainties. How they are made: the methodology.

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Was this pick made in advance?
A model whose name ends -oos is out of sample: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so its pick is a genuine forecast rather than hindsight. Anything without that suffix was fitted on all available data.

What the model said

ModelHome / Draw / Away Expected goalsLikeliest score O2.5BTTS
nba-normal 66.19–52.67 66-53 0% 52% 0%

A model whose name ends -oos was produced by the walk-forward backtest: it was fitted only on matches played before this one, so the pick is genuinely out of sample.

Using this section
Every selection the model prices for this fixture, grouped by family — click a heading to open it. Calibrated is the number to read; lift shows how far it sits from what that selection normally does in this league. To compare selections across fixtures instead, use the Radar.

All markets

Every selection below comes from the same scoreline distribution, so they are mutually consistent rather than independently guessed. Calibrated is the model corrected by its own out-of-sample record; lift is how much more likely that is than the selection simply being true in this league anyway.

Century marks 9
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 1.8% 0.20× 283.35
Clemson Tigers to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.6% 0.64× 283.36
Clemson Tigers to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 2.91× 283.36
Clemson Tigers to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 7.58× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.71× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 110+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 4.74× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 120+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 18.95× 283.36
Georgetown Hoyas to score 130+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.0% 37.89× 283.36
Both sides to score 100+ 0.0% 0.4% 0.1% 6.32× 283.36
H1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win H1 74.2% 73.0% 56.4% 1.29× 1.37
Georgetown Hoyas to win H1 22.2% 21.4% 39.9% 0.54× 4.68
H1 tied 3.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.05× 25.86
H1 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H1 over 45.5 89.5% 87.7% 93.5% 0.94× 1.14
H1 under 69.5 88.5% 87.7% 76.2% 1.15× 1.14
H1 over 49.5 79.8% 77.4% 86.7% 0.89× 1.29
H1 under 65.5 78.9% 77.4% 63.9% 1.21× 1.29
H1 over 52.5 69.9% 67.4% 79.6% 0.85× 1.48
H1 under 62.5 69.1% 67.4% 53.7% 1.26× 1.48
H1 over 54.5 62.4% 62.7% 74.0% 0.85× 1.59
H1 under 60.5 61.7% 62.7% 46.1% 1.36× 1.59
H1 over 56.5 54.4% 52.6% 68.2% 0.77× 1.90
H1 under 58.5 53.7% 52.6% 38.6% 1.36× 1.90
H1 over 57.5 50.4% 52.6% 64.8% 0.81× 1.90
H1 under 57.5 49.6% 47.4% 35.2% 1.35× 2.11
H1 under 56.5 45.6% 47.4% 31.8% 1.49× 2.11
H1 over 58.5 46.3% 47.4% 61.4% 0.77× 2.11
H1 over 60.5 38.3% 37.3% 53.9% 0.69× 2.68
H1 under 54.5 37.6% 37.3% 26.0% 1.43× 2.68
H1 over 62.5 30.9% 32.6% 46.3% 0.70× 3.07
H1 under 52.5 30.1% 32.6% 20.4% 1.60× 3.07
H1 over 65.5 21.1% 22.6% 36.1% 0.62× 4.43
H1 under 49.5 20.2% 22.6% 13.3% 1.70× 4.43
H1 over 69.5 11.5% 12.3% 23.8% 0.52× 8.14
H1 under 45.5 10.5% 12.3% 6.5% 1.89× 8.14
H2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win H2 75.6% 73.9% 56.0% 1.32× 1.35
Georgetown Hoyas to win H2 21.1% 26.8% 40.6% 0.66× 3.73
H2 tied 3.4% 3.9% 3.4% 1.16× 25.36
H2 total 22
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
H2 under 75.5 88.5% 85.2% 73.0% 1.17× 1.17
H2 over 51.5 87.4% 85.2% 92.7% 0.92× 1.17
H2 under 71.5 79.3% 75.8% 61.1% 1.24× 1.32
H2 over 55.5 77.2% 75.8% 86.1% 0.88× 1.32
H2 under 68.5 70.2% 72.2% 51.3% 1.41× 1.39
H2 over 58.5 67.3% 66.4% 79.6% 0.83× 1.51
H2 under 66.5 63.1% 61.6% 44.6% 1.38× 1.62
H2 over 60.5 59.9% 57.3% 74.5% 0.77× 1.74
H2 under 64.5 55.6% 57.3% 37.9% 1.51× 1.74
H2 over 62.5 52.2% 52.4% 68.3% 0.77× 1.91
H2 under 63.5 51.7% 52.4% 34.7% 1.51× 1.91
H2 under 62.5 47.8% 47.6% 31.7% 1.50× 2.10
H2 over 63.5 48.3% 47.6% 65.3% 0.73× 2.10
H2 over 64.5 44.4% 42.7% 62.1% 0.69× 2.34
H2 under 60.5 40.1% 42.7% 25.5% 1.67× 2.35
H2 over 66.5 36.9% 38.4% 55.4% 0.69× 2.61
H2 under 58.5 32.7% 33.6% 20.4% 1.65× 2.97
H2 over 68.5 29.8% 27.8% 48.7% 0.57× 3.59
H2 under 55.5 22.8% 24.2% 13.9% 1.74× 4.13
H2 over 71.5 20.7% 24.2% 38.9% 0.62× 4.13
H2 under 51.5 12.6% 14.8% 7.3% 2.02× 6.76
H2 over 75.5 11.5% 14.8% 27.0% 0.55× 6.76
Half time 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers leading at half time 74.2% 73.5% 56.4% 1.30× 1.36
Georgetown Hoyas leading at half time 22.2% 20.9% 39.9% 0.52× 4.78
Level at half time 3.6% 3.8% 3.7% 1.03× 26.41
Handicap 60
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers +14.5 99.4% 97.4% 86.7% 1.12× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +16.5 99.6% 97.4% 89.1% 1.09× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +18.5 99.8% 97.4% 91.1% 1.07× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +20.5 99.9% 97.4% 92.7% 1.05× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +6.5 96.0% 97.4% 72.3% 1.35× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +7.5 96.7% 97.4% 74.5% 1.31× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +8.5 97.3% 97.4% 76.5% 1.27× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +9.5 97.9% 97.4% 78.7% 1.24× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +10.5 98.3% 97.4% 80.4% 1.21× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +12.5 98.9% 97.4% 83.8% 1.16× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +5.5 95.1% 97.4% 70.1% 1.39× 1.03
Clemson Tigers +3.5 93.0% 91.1% 65.7% 1.39× 1.10
Clemson Tigers +4.5 94.1% 91.1% 67.8% 1.34× 1.10
Clemson Tigers +1.5 90.1% 91.1% 61.2% 1.49× 1.10
Clemson Tigers +2.5 91.6% 91.1% 63.3% 1.44× 1.10
Clemson Tigers −1.5 86.3% 85.9% 58.7% 1.46× 1.16
Clemson Tigers −2.5 84.0% 81.1% 56.7% 1.43× 1.23
Clemson Tigers −3.5 81.5% 81.1% 54.2% 1.50× 1.23
Clemson Tigers −4.5 78.8% 76.5% 52.2% 1.47× 1.31
Georgetown Hoyas +20.5 76.5% 76.5% 82.0% 0.93× 1.31
Clemson Tigers −5.5 75.9% 76.5% 49.7% 1.54× 1.31
Clemson Tigers −6.5 72.8% 71.6% 47.6% 1.51× 1.40
Georgetown Hoyas +18.5 70.3% 71.6% 79.3% 0.90× 1.40
Clemson Tigers −7.5 69.5% 66.7% 44.8% 1.49× 1.50
Clemson Tigers −8.5 66.1% 66.7% 42.0% 1.59× 1.50
Clemson Tigers −9.5 62.5% 61.9% 39.3% 1.58× 1.62
Georgetown Hoyas +16.5 63.4% 61.9% 75.7% 0.82× 1.62
Clemson Tigers −10.5 58.9% 57.1% 36.8% 1.55× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas +14.5 56.1% 57.1% 72.1% 0.79× 1.75
Clemson Tigers −12.5 51.4% 52.4% 32.1% 1.63× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas +12.5 48.6% 47.6% 67.9% 0.70× 2.10
Clemson Tigers −14.5 43.9% 42.9% 27.9% 1.54× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas +10.5 41.1% 42.9% 63.2% 0.68× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas +9.5 37.5% 38.1% 60.7% 0.63× 2.63
Clemson Tigers −16.5 36.6% 38.1% 24.3% 1.57× 2.63
Georgetown Hoyas +8.5 33.9% 33.3% 58.0% 0.57× 3.01
Georgetown Hoyas +7.5 30.5% 33.3% 55.2% 0.60× 3.01
Clemson Tigers −18.5 29.7% 28.4% 20.7% 1.37× 3.53
Georgetown Hoyas +6.5 27.2% 28.4% 52.4% 0.54× 3.53
Clemson Tigers −20.5 23.5% 23.5% 18.0% 1.31× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas +5.5 24.1% 23.5% 50.3% 0.47× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas +4.5 21.2% 23.5% 47.8% 0.49× 4.25
Georgetown Hoyas +3.5 18.5% 18.9% 45.8% 0.41× 5.29
Georgetown Hoyas +2.5 16.0% 18.9% 43.3% 0.44× 5.30
Georgetown Hoyas +1.5 13.7% 14.1% 41.3% 0.34× 7.09
Georgetown Hoyas −1.5 9.9% 8.9% 38.8% 0.23× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas −2.5 8.4% 8.9% 36.7% 0.24× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas −3.5 7.0% 8.9% 34.3% 0.26× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas −4.5 5.9% 8.9% 32.2% 0.28× 11.25
Georgetown Hoyas −5.5 4.9% 2.6% 29.9% 0.09× 38.72
Georgetown Hoyas −6.5 4.0% 2.6% 27.7% 0.09× 38.72
Georgetown Hoyas −7.5 3.3% 2.6% 25.5% 0.10× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −8.5 2.7% 2.6% 23.5% 0.11× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −9.5 2.1% 2.6% 21.3% 0.12× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −10.5 1.7% 2.6% 19.6% 0.13× 38.73
Georgetown Hoyas −12.5 1.1% 2.6% 16.2% 0.16× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −14.5 0.6% 2.6% 13.3% 0.19× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −16.5 0.4% 2.6% 10.9% 0.24× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −18.5 0.2% 2.6% 8.9% 0.29× 38.74
Georgetown Hoyas −20.5 0.1% 2.6% 7.3% 0.35× 38.74
Highest scoring half 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
2nd half highest scoring 70.5% 67.1% 66.7% 1.01× 1.49
1st half highest scoring 29.5% 32.9% 33.3% 0.99× 3.04
Highest scoring quarter 4
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 highest scoring 33.8% 31.9% 31.2% 1.02× 3.14
Q3 highest scoring 32.0% 31.9% 31.3% 1.02× 3.14
Q1 highest scoring 17.9% 18.3% 19.6% 0.94× 5.46
Q2 highest scoring 16.4% 18.3% 17.9% 1.02× 5.46
HT/FT 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers at HT / Clemson Tigers at FT 70.4% 73.1% 48.3% 1.52× 1.37
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Clemson Tigers at FT 15.1% 15.4% 9.8% 1.58× 6.47
Georgetown Hoyas at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 7.2% 8.3% 30.1% 0.27× 12.09
Clemson Tigers at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 3.8% 2.1% 8.2% 0.26× 47.73
Level at HT / Clemson Tigers at FT 3.0% 2.1% 1.9% 1.09× 47.74
Level at HT / Georgetown Hoyas at FT 0.6% 2.1% 1.8% 1.20× 47.78
Moneyline 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win 88.4% 85.5% 59.9% 1.43× 1.17
Georgetown Hoyas to win 11.6% 14.5% 40.1% 0.36× 6.92
Odd/Even 6
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers even 50.0% 50.5% 49.4% 1.02× 1.98
Georgetown Hoyas even 50.4% 50.5% 50.1% 1.01× 1.98
Total points odd 51.0% 50.5% 51.5% 0.98× 1.98
Clemson Tigers odd 50.0% 49.5% 50.6% 0.98× 2.02
Georgetown Hoyas odd 49.6% 49.5% 49.9% 0.99× 2.02
Total points even 49.1% 49.5% 48.5% 1.02× 2.02
Overtime 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
No overtime 95.9% 97.0% 95.6% 1.02× 1.03
Match to go to overtime 4.1% 3.0% 4.4% 0.68× 33.38
Q1 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q1 65.5% 72.2% 54.7% 1.32× 1.39
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q1 29.0% 22.5% 40.4% 0.56× 4.45
Q1 tied 5.5% 5.5% 4.9% 1.11× 18.32
Q1 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q1 under 37.5 90.0% 87.4% 81.6% 1.07× 1.14
Q1 over 21.5 87.1% 87.4% 91.5% 0.96× 1.14
Q1 under 34.5 79.7% 76.9% 68.5% 1.12× 1.30
Q1 over 24.5 75.0% 76.9% 81.8% 0.94× 1.30
Q1 under 32.5 70.2% 72.7% 59.1% 1.23× 1.38
Q1 over 26.5 64.5% 61.7% 72.9% 0.85× 1.62
Q1 under 30.5 59.1% 58.6% 48.8% 1.20× 1.71
Q1 under 29.5 53.2% 52.7% 43.1% 1.22× 1.90
Q1 over 28.5 52.8% 52.7% 62.7% 0.84× 1.90
Q1 under 28.5 47.2% 47.3% 37.3% 1.27× 2.11
Q1 over 29.5 46.8% 47.3% 56.9% 0.83× 2.11
Q1 over 30.5 40.9% 41.4% 51.2% 0.81× 2.42
Q1 under 26.5 35.5% 38.3% 27.1% 1.41× 2.61
Q1 over 32.5 29.8% 27.3% 40.9% 0.67× 3.66
Q1 under 24.5 25.0% 23.1% 18.2% 1.27× 4.33
Q1 over 34.5 20.3% 23.1% 31.5% 0.73× 4.33
Q1 under 21.5 12.9% 12.6% 8.5% 1.49× 7.95
Q1 over 37.5 10.0% 12.6% 18.4% 0.68× 7.95
Q2 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q2 65.0% 68.3% 52.9% 1.29× 1.46
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q2 29.5% 27.8% 41.5% 0.67× 3.60
Q2 tied 5.4% 6.1% 5.7% 1.07× 16.50
Q2 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q2 over 20.5 89.2% 87.3% 92.7% 0.94× 1.15
Q2 under 36.5 88.0% 87.3% 78.7% 1.11× 1.15
Q2 over 23.5 78.3% 76.8% 84.6% 0.91× 1.30
Q2 under 33.5 76.6% 76.8% 65.6% 1.17× 1.30
Q2 over 25.5 68.4% 67.4% 76.2% 0.88× 1.49
Q2 under 31.5 66.5% 67.4% 55.7% 1.21× 1.49
Q2 over 27.5 57.0% 58.2% 66.7% 0.87× 1.72
Q2 under 29.5 55.0% 52.7% 44.2% 1.19× 1.90
Q2 over 28.5 51.0% 52.7% 61.2% 0.86× 1.90
Q2 under 28.5 49.0% 47.3% 38.8% 1.22× 2.11
Q2 over 29.5 45.0% 47.3% 55.8% 0.85× 2.11
Q2 under 27.5 43.0% 41.8% 33.3% 1.26× 2.39
Q2 over 31.5 33.5% 32.6% 44.3% 0.74× 3.06
Q2 under 25.5 31.6% 32.6% 23.8% 1.37× 3.06
Q2 over 33.5 23.4% 23.2% 34.4% 0.67× 4.31
Q2 under 23.5 21.7% 23.2% 15.4% 1.51× 4.31
Q2 over 36.5 12.0% 12.7% 21.3% 0.60× 7.89
Q2 under 20.5 10.8% 12.7% 7.3% 1.74× 7.90
Q3 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q3 66.6% 66.7% 53.3% 1.25× 1.50
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q3 28.1% 28.8% 41.8% 0.69× 3.47
Q3 tied 5.3% 5.3% 4.9% 1.07× 18.98
Q3 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q3 over 23.5 88.3% 87.2% 92.2% 0.95× 1.15
Q3 under 39.5 87.8% 87.2% 77.9% 1.12× 1.15
Q3 over 26.5 77.1% 77.3% 83.8% 0.92× 1.29
Q3 under 36.5 76.7% 77.3% 64.6% 1.20× 1.29
Q3 over 28.5 67.2% 67.8% 76.4% 0.89× 1.48
Q3 under 34.5 66.9% 67.8% 54.6% 1.24× 1.48
Q3 over 30.5 56.0% 58.4% 66.8% 0.87× 1.71
Q3 under 32.5 55.7% 58.4% 43.9% 1.33× 1.71
Q3 over 31.5 50.1% 52.3% 61.6% 0.85× 1.91
Q3 under 31.5 49.9% 47.7% 38.4% 1.24× 2.10
Q3 over 32.5 44.3% 41.6% 56.1% 0.74× 2.40
Q3 under 30.5 44.0% 41.6% 33.2% 1.26× 2.40
Q3 over 34.5 33.1% 32.2% 45.4% 0.71× 3.10
Q3 under 28.5 32.8% 32.2% 23.6% 1.36× 3.10
Q3 over 36.5 23.3% 22.7% 35.4% 0.64× 4.40
Q3 under 26.5 22.9% 22.7% 16.2% 1.40× 4.40
Q3 over 39.5 12.2% 12.8% 22.1% 0.58× 7.83
Q3 under 23.5 11.7% 12.8% 7.8% 1.64× 7.83
Q4 result 3
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win Q4 66.3% 60.6% 52.8% 1.15× 1.65
Georgetown Hoyas to win Q4 28.5% 33.4% 41.5% 0.80× 3.00
Q4 tied 5.2% 5.8% 5.7% 1.02× 17.26
Q4 total 18
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Q4 over 23.5 87.0% 85.6% 91.2% 0.94× 1.17
Q4 under 39.5 86.2% 85.6% 77.0% 1.11× 1.17
Q4 over 26.5 76.0% 76.9% 82.6% 0.93× 1.30
Q4 under 36.5 75.1% 76.9% 64.3% 1.20× 1.30
Q4 over 28.5 66.6% 67.4% 75.1% 0.90× 1.48
Q4 under 34.5 65.6% 67.4% 54.4% 1.24× 1.48
Q4 over 30.5 56.0% 58.4% 66.3% 0.88× 1.71
Q4 under 32.5 55.0% 58.4% 44.6% 1.31× 1.71
Q4 over 31.5 50.5% 52.5% 61.1% 0.86× 1.91
Q4 under 31.5 49.5% 47.5% 38.9% 1.22× 2.11
Q4 over 32.5 45.0% 41.6% 55.4% 0.75× 2.40
Q4 under 30.5 44.0% 41.6% 33.7% 1.23× 2.40
Q4 over 34.5 34.4% 32.6% 45.6% 0.72× 3.07
Q4 under 28.5 33.4% 32.6% 24.9% 1.31× 3.07
Q4 over 36.5 24.9% 23.1% 35.7% 0.65× 4.33
Q4 under 26.5 24.0% 23.1% 17.4% 1.33× 4.33
Q4 over 39.5 13.8% 14.4% 23.0% 0.62× 6.95
Q4 under 23.5 13.0% 14.4% 8.8% 1.63× 6.95
Team total 44
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Georgetown Hoyas under 64.5 89.2% 83.9% 56.9% 1.48× 1.19
Georgetown Hoyas over 44.5 87.8% 83.9% 92.5% 0.91× 1.19
Clemson Tigers under 77.5 87.3% 83.9% 77.4% 1.08× 1.19
Clemson Tigers over 57.5 83.9% 80.7% 77.2% 1.05× 1.24
Georgetown Hoyas under 61.5 81.8% 80.7% 47.9% 1.68× 1.24
Clemson Tigers under 74.5 79.4% 75.1% 70.7% 1.06× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas over 47.5 76.9% 75.1% 88.4% 0.85× 1.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 59.5 75.3% 75.1% 41.2% 1.82× 1.33
Clemson Tigers over 60.5 74.9% 70.7% 69.5% 1.02× 1.41
Clemson Tigers under 72.5 72.9% 70.7% 65.7% 1.08× 1.41
Clemson Tigers over 62.5 67.6% 66.4% 64.3% 1.03× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas over 49.5 68.4% 66.4% 85.1% 0.78× 1.51
Georgetown Hoyas under 57.5 67.7% 66.4% 34.9% 1.91× 1.51
Clemson Tigers under 70.5 65.4% 66.4% 60.3% 1.10× 1.51
Clemson Tigers over 64.5 59.6% 57.1% 58.4% 0.98× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas over 51.5 59.3% 57.1% 81.0% 0.71× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas under 55.5 59.2% 57.1% 29.2% 1.95× 1.75
Clemson Tigers under 68.5 57.3% 57.1% 54.4% 1.05× 1.75
Georgetown Hoyas under 54.5 54.7% 52.3% 26.5% 1.97× 1.91
Clemson Tigers over 66.5 51.2% 52.3% 51.8% 1.01× 1.91
Clemson Tigers under 67.5 53.0% 52.3% 51.3% 1.02× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas under 53.5 50.1% 52.3% 23.7% 2.20× 1.91
Georgetown Hoyas over 53.5 49.9% 47.7% 76.3% 0.63× 2.09
Clemson Tigers under 66.5 48.8% 47.7% 48.2% 0.99× 2.09
Clemson Tigers over 67.5 47.0% 47.7% 48.7% 0.98× 2.09
Georgetown Hoyas over 54.5 45.3% 47.7% 73.5% 0.65× 2.09
Clemson Tigers over 68.5 42.7% 42.9% 45.6% 0.94× 2.33
Clemson Tigers under 64.5 40.4% 42.9% 41.6% 1.03× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas under 51.5 40.7% 42.9% 19.0% 2.26× 2.33
Georgetown Hoyas over 55.5 40.8% 42.9% 70.8% 0.61× 2.33
Clemson Tigers over 70.5 34.6% 33.6% 39.7% 0.85× 2.98
Clemson Tigers under 62.5 32.4% 33.6% 35.7% 0.94× 2.98
Georgetown Hoyas under 49.5 31.6% 33.6% 14.9% 2.25× 2.98
Georgetown Hoyas over 57.5 32.3% 33.6% 65.1% 0.52× 2.98
Clemson Tigers over 72.5 27.1% 29.3% 34.3% 0.85× 3.42
Clemson Tigers under 60.5 25.1% 29.3% 30.5% 0.96× 3.42
Georgetown Hoyas over 59.5 24.7% 24.9% 58.8% 0.42× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas under 47.5 23.1% 24.9% 11.6% 2.14× 4.02
Clemson Tigers over 74.5 20.6% 24.9% 29.3% 0.85× 4.02
Georgetown Hoyas over 61.5 18.2% 19.3% 52.1% 0.37× 5.18
Clemson Tigers under 57.5 16.1% 19.3% 22.8% 0.84× 5.18
Clemson Tigers over 77.5 12.7% 16.1% 22.6% 0.71× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas under 44.5 12.2% 16.1% 7.5% 2.15× 6.21
Georgetown Hoyas over 64.5 10.8% 16.1% 43.2% 0.37× 6.21
Total points 30
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Under 141.5 points 92.7% 88.8% 73.4% 1.21× 1.13
Over 101.5 points 92.5% 88.8% 94.8% 0.94× 1.13
Under 136.5 points 86.8% 85.0% 64.2% 1.32× 1.18
Over 106.5 points 85.0% 80.6% 91.0% 0.89× 1.24
Under 131.5 points 78.1% 75.6% 53.9% 1.40× 1.32
Over 111.5 points 74.2% 70.8% 85.1% 0.83× 1.41
Under 128.5 points 71.5% 70.8% 47.2% 1.50× 1.41
Over 114.5 points 66.5% 65.9% 80.4% 0.82× 1.52
Under 126.5 points 66.6% 65.9% 42.6% 1.54× 1.52
Over 116.5 points 61.0% 61.5% 77.2% 0.80× 1.63
Under 124.5 points 61.4% 61.5% 38.5% 1.60× 1.63
Over 118.5 points 55.4% 56.5% 73.6% 0.77× 1.77
Under 122.5 points 55.9% 56.5% 34.4% 1.64× 1.77
Under 121.5 points 53.2% 52.3% 32.3% 1.62× 1.91
Under 120.5 points 50.3% 52.3% 30.2% 1.73× 1.91
Over 120.5 points 49.7% 47.7% 69.8% 0.68× 2.10
Over 121.5 points 46.8% 47.7% 67.7% 0.70× 2.10
Under 118.5 points 44.6% 43.5% 26.4% 1.64× 2.30
Over 122.5 points 44.1% 43.5% 65.6% 0.66× 2.30
Under 116.5 points 39.0% 38.5% 22.8% 1.69× 2.60
Over 124.5 points 38.6% 38.5% 61.5% 0.63× 2.60
Under 114.5 points 33.5% 34.1% 19.6% 1.74× 2.93
Over 126.5 points 33.4% 34.1% 57.4% 0.59× 2.93
Over 128.5 points 28.5% 29.2% 52.8% 0.55× 3.43
Under 111.5 points 25.8% 29.2% 14.9% 1.95× 3.43
Over 131.5 points 21.9% 24.4% 46.1% 0.53× 4.10
Under 106.5 points 15.0% 19.4% 9.0% 2.16× 5.15
Over 136.5 points 13.2% 15.0% 35.8% 0.42× 6.69
Under 101.5 points 7.5% 11.2% 5.2% 2.15× 8.97
Over 141.5 points 7.3% 11.2% 26.6% 0.42× 8.97
Win both halves 2
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers to win both halves 53.9% 50.5% 36.0% 1.40× 1.98
Georgetown Hoyas to win both halves 2.9% 3.0% 20.4% 0.15× 33.66
Winning margin 12
SelectionModelCalibrated BaseLiftFair odds
Clemson Tigers by 11-15 18.7% 16.8% 10.8% 1.55× 5.97
Clemson Tigers by 6-10 17.0% 16.8% 12.9% 1.30× 5.97
Clemson Tigers by 16-20 16.7% 16.8% 8.0% 2.08× 5.97
Clemson Tigers by 1-5 12.6% 12.3% 10.2% 1.21× 8.11
Clemson Tigers by 21-25 12.0% 12.3% 5.4% 2.29× 8.11
Clemson Tigers by 26+ 11.5% 12.3% 12.6% 0.98× 8.11
Georgetown Hoyas by 1-5 6.7% 7.5% 10.2% 0.73× 13.40
Georgetown Hoyas by 6-10 3.2% 2.0% 10.3% 0.20× 49.30
Georgetown Hoyas by 11-15 1.2% 2.0% 7.6% 0.27× 49.32
Georgetown Hoyas by 16-20 0.4% 2.0% 4.8% 0.43× 49.32
Georgetown Hoyas by 21-25 0.1% 2.0% 2.7% 0.76× 49.33
Georgetown Hoyas by 26+ 0.0% 2.0% 4.6% 0.44× 49.33
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Match

What this page is for

One fixture in full. The model's probability for every market it prices, the prices stored against them, the teams expected to feature, and for a match already played, the shot map and the xG timeline.

How to read the shot map

Every shot is placed where it was taken and sized by its chance of being scored. A cluster of small marks from distance and a clean sheet is a side that was busy without ever threatening; two big marks and a defeat is a side that had the better of it and lost anyway. Both happen constantly, and both are invisible in the score.

How to read the xG timeline

The steps are chances as they arrived, so the shape shows who was on top and when. A flat line that jumps once near the end is a smash and grab.

Things to watch

The stored prediction is the one made before the match, kept deliberately so it can be judged afterwards. It is not re-fitted with hindsight.

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